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PIPPIN Price Prepares For 221% Breakout, Eyes New ATH

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PIPPIN NVT Ratio.

PIPPIN price has staged a powerful rally, pushing the meme coin closer to its all-time high. While momentum remains strong, continued investor selling could test the sustainability of this advance.

The question now is whether PIPPIN can sustain demand and convert resistance levels into lasting support.

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PIPPIN Is Not Overheating

The Network Value to Transactions, or NVT, ratio remains relatively low despite the recent price spike. Historically, sharp rallies in speculative assets push the NVT ratio higher. A rising NVT often signals that market value is outpacing transaction activity, suggesting overheating conditions.

In PIPPIN’s case, the muted NVT reading indicates that network usage is expanding alongside price. Transaction volumes have kept pace with market capitalization growth. This alignment reduces the probability of an immediate correction driven purely by overvaluation concerns.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

PIPPIN NVT Ratio.
PIPPIN NVT Ratio. Source: Glassnode

A low NVT ratio during a rally can signal healthy participation. It suggests that price gains reflect genuine user engagement rather than excessive speculation. For investors focused on on-chain fundamentals, this metric supports the view that PIPPIN’s recent breakout attempt rests on a stronger footing.

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Will Investors’ Selling Affect PIPPIN?

Exchange data shows that holders have been actively selling over the past several days. Since the beginning of the month, approximately 41.95 million PIPPIN tokens have moved onto exchanges. At current prices, this represents more than $17 million in realized supply.

Such selling typically reflects short-term profit-taking following rapid price appreciation. However, distribution alone does not confirm a bearish reversal. In strong uptrends, elevated exchange balances can coincide with aggressive demand from new entrants absorbing available supply.

PIPPIN Balance on Exchanges
PIPPIN Balance on Exchanges. Source: Glassnode

The combination of rising prices, steady NVT readings, and exchange inflows may indicate absorption. Buyers appear willing to offset sell pressure without triggering a breakdown. This dynamic is often observed in early-to-mid bull market phases, when demand quietly outpaces distribution despite visible profit-taking.

PIPPIN Price Breakout Likely

PIPPIN price has surged 159% over the past five days, trading at $0.419 at publication. The meme coin stands out as the week’s top-performing digital asset. Technical charts show the token nearing a breakout from a descending broadening wedge pattern.

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The wedge formation projects a potential 221% advance upon confirmation. A decisive move above $0.518, flipped into support, would validate the breakout structure. Even if PIPPIN falls short of the full projection, momentum could still drive price beyond its previous all-time high of $0.720 and toward $0.800.

Risk factors remain relevant for short-term traders. If the NVT ratio begins rising while exchange selling persists, transaction activity may weaken. A failed breakout could trigger a pullback toward $0.267 or even $0.186. Such a decline would invalidate the current bullish thesis and shift momentum decisively lower.

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S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kaiko Bring iBoxx Treasury Index On-Chain via Canton Network

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Crypto PAC to spend $1.5m to unseat Rep. Al Green

At Kaiko’s Cannes conference, S&P DJI and Kaiko unveiled plans to tokenize the iBoxx U.S. Treasury index on Canton, turning it into programmable on-chain IP.

Summary

  • iBoxx U.S. Treasuries is being brought natively on Canton alongside DTCC’s on-chain Treasuries to support index-linked product issuance on the same infrastructure.
  • S&P will distribute the index as a smart contract token embedding full index data, IP rights, licensing terms, fees and access controls.
  • The model treats index data “like a financial asset,” enabling traceability, automated fee collection and reusable, scalable licensing on-chain.

At the Agora Kaiko conference in Cannes on March 31, S&P Dow Jones Indices’ Chief Product and Operations Officer Cameron Drinkwater and Kaiko CEO Ambre Soubiran unveiled a partnership to tokenize one of S&P’s flagship fixed-income benchmarks, the iBoxx U.S. Treasury index, on the Canton network, turning the index itself into a programmable on-chain IP product rather than a simple price feed.

New Canton, Kaiko and S&P DGI partnership announced

Kaiko CEO Ambre Soubiran announced that “Kaiko and S&P DGI, we’ve been partnering now in tokenizing one of the biggest S&P benchmarks, the iBoxx index, and bringing that onto the Canton Network.” The move follows DTCC’s decision to bring U.S. Treasuries natively onto Canton (CC), which Drinkwater described as “a natural opportunity for us to bring the iBoxx Treasury index also on Canton to give product developers or counterparties a tool to use with the physical underlying also on that chain.”

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Soubiran emphasized this is “not just publishing the price of the benchmark on the network.” Instead, S&P is “actually creating a smart contract token that contains all of the index data,” so that clients receive “a smart contract containing the index data but also explicitly having licensing and fees and access control all embedded into a smart contract.” She framed it as “more about a distribution play rather than a data play,” delivering the full index product on-chain.

Drinkwater said choosing iBoxx was a “total no-brainer” because with DTCC putting U.S. Treasuries on Canton, “you have the underlying” and “a very active kind of treasury institutional trade landscape on Canton” plus “real demand for the iBoxx Treasury index to be used as a underlying for product issuance on the Canton chain.”

On-chain IP and data-as-asset

For S&P, tokenizing indices as full IP products changes how licensing and economics work. Drinkwater argued that “one of the great advantages for an IP issuer like ourselves on chain is we actually have better auditability, visibility in how IP is being used, reporting on that use case and… instantaneous reporting and potentially commercial exchange based on that smart contract.” In traditional markets, he noted, S&P is “dependent on delayed reporting on volumes,” often disputed, followed by “multiple months on contract settlement,” whereas on chain “the whole timeline pulls in quite considerably” with “far less opportunity for dispute.”

Soubiran linked this to a broader shift: “the more we bring capital markets applications on chain, the more we bring data on chain, especially private and IP protected data, the more we need to treat data like a financial asset.” Blockchain infrastructure, she said, enables “traceability of data and treat data like a financial asset and trace where that data goes,” which is “great from a IP protection standpoint” and for “programmatically” managing monetization of IP in financial products.

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Drawing on Kaiko’s own index business, she noted that many index fee arrangements are tied to AUM and turnover, with end-of-year reconciliations still “quite heavily manual.” Moving indices on-chain allows firms to “on chain verify what is the AUM related to the financial product that is linked to your index or your benchmark” and enable “daily fee collection based on daily turnover.” It is, she said, “not necessarily a novel product, it’s just a novel way of distributing” existing benchmarks.

Composability, evergreen contracts and Canton

Both speakers highlighted composability as a key benefit of this design. “The idea of tokenizing an index is for product issuers… to consume that index product natively on chain and wrap it into a index-linked financial product,” Soubiran explained, calling the application of composability to data products “extremely new and powerful.”

Drinkwater described the structure as layered: “you can think of the token being the index and then the smart contract being wrapped around it and that’s the use case, the use case specific terms and conditions, audit rights, etc.” That wrapper “can be tailored to whatever use case clients come to us for, but then it’s repeatedly usable. It’s evergreen. It’s on chain.” Compared with today’s model, where “clients have to come to us for every use case, it’s a new schedule on their MSA,” he said this offers “a very frictionless process of getting new product issued on chain, massively speeding up timelines,” and a “reusable infrastructure that really benefits all parties.”

On why Canton matters, Drinkwater pointed to its ability to straddle public and private workflows. On fully public chains like Ethereum, “that reporting is going to be public,” which does not fit “a lot of our use cases” such as “private exchange swaps… between institutions and they don’t want that public.” Canton’s setup, he said, lets reporting be “private when it needs to be private, public where it can be public, but back to us nonetheless,” unifying reporting across use cases in a way that “in TradFi is not the case.”

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Soubiran framed the broader aim as servicing “almost a new addressable market that is your existing clients moving to an infrastructure that is programmatic and a little bit more disintermediated,” stressing that “a lot of great things exist in our current financial system,” but that the opportunity lies in “making things more automated… more programmatic in the transfer of information, the transfer of data.”

S&P’s broader digital roadmap

Drinkwater placed the Kaiko and Canton partnership within S&P’s longer digital asset strategy. He recalled that SPY “was not SPY for the first decade of its life, but it flag planted,” and said S&P understands “the power of moving first and establishing real use cases in new technology.” With a brand “known and trusted by institutions and retail alike,” S&P wants “to move first and early when we have conviction in new products and new technologies because we need our brand to be firmly planted there as an established entity.”

Over the last year, he said, S&P has “very selectively” chosen “high quality players as partners and putting IP on chain where we saw very discrete and tangible use cases,” citing the on-chain S&P 500 token with Centrifuge and the Digital Markets 50 index with Genari that bundles blockchain-exposed equities and cryptocurrencies in a structure “hard to replicate in TradFi.” Even so, he signaled he is “most excited about the innovation that we’re pushing today” with tokens wrapped in smart contracts that are “tailored to use cases, but extensible and evergreen on chain,” because this “unlocks so many use cases and scalability of our IP.”

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Who is Keven Warsh, Trump’s Pick for the Federal Reserve?

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Who is Keven Warsh, Trump’s Pick for the Federal Reserve?

The US Senate could soon hear testimony to confirm financier Kevin Warsh as the new chair of the Federal Reserve.

Warsh, who previously served on the Fed’s Board of Governors from 2006 to 2011, has criticized the central bank’s policies under current chair Jerome Powell. Warsh has called for “regime change” and lower interest rates.

Regarding crypto, Warsh has a somewhat nuanced approach. He hails Bitcoin as a sustainable store of value, but claims it doesn’t function as money. 

Lower interest rates and a fairly open attitude toward crypto could be good news for digital asset prices, which most investors perceive as risk-on. But even if Warsh passes his nomination, there’s no guarantee he’ll affect the changes expected. 

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Warsh wants to lower Fed interest rates, but can he?

Warsh, a graduate of Stanford and Harvard, started his career at Morgan Stanley, where he eventually became a VP and executive director. He then served as an executive secretary of the White House National Economic Council under President George W. Bush.

Bush nominated him to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve in 2006, where his hawkish views on inflation often differed from his colleagues. He was critical of the aggressive use of its balance sheet, which he said led to a period of “monetary dominance” that artificially depressed rates. 

Some of this appears to have changed in recent years. In a November 2025 op-ed for the Wall Street Journal, Warsh criticized Powell’s leadership at the Fed, claiming that “inflation is a choice, and the Fed’s track record under Chairman Jerome Powell is one of unwise choices.”

He said “credit on Main Street is too tight” and that the Fed’s balance sheet, which is “bloated” due to past crisis-management efforts, “can be reduced significantly.” 

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Source: Polymarket Money

“That largesse can be redeployed in the form of lower interest rates to support households and small and medium-size businesses,” he said. 

Plans for cutting interest rates come at an economically fraught time. The US and Israel’s joint attack on Iran, which could soon escalate into an invasion if US President Donald Trump so decides, has wreaked havoc on oil prices.

Increasing oil prices had a direct effect on the core inflation metrics the Federal Reserve uses when considering rate changes. This could put the damper on any plans for rate cuts, at least certainly under Powell.

Warsh told Barron’s that the “core theory of inflation that the Fed is using” is “mistaken.” He said that “we need to fundamentally rethink macro, which is a fundamental rethink of the core economic models that the Fed is using.”

In his accounting, rising wages and commodity prices are not to blame for inflation. Rather, “at the core, I think inflation comes about when the government spends too much and prints too much.”

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Returning to monetarism, as well as dumping some of the debt held by the Federal Reserve, could help address inflation concerns, in his view. 

Bankers and former Bush administration officials have congratulated Warsh on the nomination. Former US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said the Fed would “benefit from his steady, principled leadership.”

“He understands the central bank’s key role for the United States and our allies around the world,” she said.

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has also welcomed Warsh’s nomination. He said that he knew both Powell and Warsh well, and that “They’re both very qualified.”

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Qualifications aside, Warsh may find it difficult to enact his preferred policies.

Roger W. Ferguson Jr., the Steven A. Tananbaum Distinguished Fellow for International Economics at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), and Maximilian Hippold, a research associate for international economics at CFR, wrote that Warsh won’t revolutionize the Fed.

They said that the chair alone does not make inflation rate decisions. “They are determined by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), a twelve-member body that includes seven Fed governors and five regional Fed presidents.” The chair can’t change policy without convincing a majority. 

A Fed Board of Governors meeting in 2022 with Powell center. Source: Public Domain

Others argue that Warsh’s interest in lowering interest rates is a recent pivot and may not be a core conviction around which he will focus central bank policy. A December 2025 analysis from Deutsche Bank noted Warsh’s response to the global financial crisis in 2008, when he was a Governor at the Fed.

“His views while he was a Governor around the GFC [global financial crisis] at times skewed more hawkish than his colleagues,” the report read. “Although Warsh has argued for lower rates recently, we do not view him as structurally dovish.”

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They further questioned Warsh’s plans to lower interest rates and cut assets on the Fed balance sheet. “This trade-off would only be feasible if regulatory changes are made that lower banks’ demand for reserves. While several Fed officials have made this argument recently, including Vice Chair of Supervision Bowman and Governor Miran, it is not obvious these changes are realistic in the near-term.”

“The chair has just one vote amongst a particularly divided committee.”

Warsh’s nomination and Fed independence

Commentators have also drawn attention to Warsh’s connection to the Trump administration. Warsh’s father-in-law, Ronald Lauder, is a classmate of Trump and a major donor to his political campaigns.

His relatively recent opinions on low interest rates also make him uniquely suited to the role, at least in Trump’s eyes. Ferguson and Hippold wrote, “Trump believes he has found a successor who will align with his economic priorities in Warsh.”

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The president has long bemoaned Fed officials who supposedly promise rate cuts, but then raise them once in office. “It’s too bad, sort of disloyalty, but they got to do what they think is right,” he said in a speech at Davos last year. 

Trump has long pushed for lower interest rates, claiming that they are needed to spur his economic development plans. Powell’s refusal to acquiesce to the White House’s request led to political scandal. 

Last year, the Department of Justice (DoJ) opened a criminal investigation into Powell, alleging that he misappropriated billions of dollars for new offices for the Federal Reserve.

A federal judge recently quashed the DoJ’s subpoenas in the case. Judge James Boasberg wrote in a memorandum opinion, “A mountain of evidence suggests that the dominant purpose is to harass Powell to pressure him to lower rates. For years, the President has publicly targeted Powell because the Fed is not delivering the low rates that Trump demands.”

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Boasberg noted Trump’s invective posts on social media. Source: US District Court for the District of Columbia

Regarding his pick, Trump said in a January press event in the Oval Office that it would be “inappropriate” to ask Warsh about his stance on interest rates. “I want to keep it nice and pure, but he certainly wants to cut rates, I’ve been watching him for a long time.” 

Just a couple of weeks later, in an interview with NBC, Trump said Warsh understands that he wants to lower interest rates. “But I think he wants to anyway. If he came in and said ‘I want to raise them’ […] he would not have gotten the job.”

But Warsh hasn’t “gotten the job,” at least not yet. He will face tough questioning from Democrats on the Senate Banking Committee, possibly as soon as April 13

In a letter lambasting Warsh’s role in bailing out banks in 2008, Senator Elizabeth Warren, who serves on the committee, said, “I have no doubt that you will serve as a rubber stamp on President Trump’s Wall Street First agenda.”

Warren expected written responses to this, and to Warsh’s opinion about Trump’s “witch hunts” against Powell and Fed Governor Lisa Cook, by April 2.

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