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Last week’s rout delivered BTC’s biggest realized loss ever; bottoming signals grow

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Last week's rout delivered BTC's biggest realized loss ever; bottoming signals grow

The largest realized loss in bitcoin history occurred during last week’s market downturn, shattering previous records as the asset plummeted from $70,000 to $60,000 on Feb. 5.

According to Glassnode, the Entity-Adjusted Realized Loss reached $3.2 billion. This metric exclusively tracks the USD value of moved coins sold below their acquisition price while filtering out internal transfers between the same entity.

This massive capitulation surpassed even the darkest days of 2022, eclipsing the $2.7 billion loss recorded during the collapse.

According to data platform Checkonchain, “Last week’s bitcoin sell-off meets the criteria of a textbook capitulation event. It occurred rapidly, on heavy volume, and crystallised losses from the lowest-conviction holders.”

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With daily net losses exceeding $1.5 billion, the scale of this sell-off represents the most significant absolute USD loss ever crystallized in the network’s history. This points to more signs of a bear market bottom.

As of press time bitcoin is trading around $67,600.

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Was The 40% Rally A Retail Trap?

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Bullish Structure

Uniswap price is up around 3% over the past 24 hours, trading near $3.40. But this small move hides what really happened on February 11. That day, UNI surged nearly 42% to a high near $4.57 after news linked Uniswap to BlackRock’s tokenized fund expansion.

Since then, sellers have erased about 26% of that rally. This raises a key question: was this institutional-driven breakout a real trend shift, or a trap for retail buyers?

Uniswap Price Breakout on February 11 Was Driven by Retail Momentum

The rally on February 11 did not happen randomly.

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On the 12-hour chart, Uniswap price had been forming a bullish setup since mid-January. Between January 19 and February 11, UNI made lower lows while the Relative Strength Index, or RSI, made higher lows. RSI measures momentum by tracking buying and selling strength. When price falls, but RSI rises, it signals a bullish divergence, often warning that selling pressure is weakening.

Bullish Structure
Bullish Structure: TradingView

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This divergence suggested that a rebound was building.

That signal was confirmed on February 11. On that day, On-Balance Volume, or OBV, broke above a long-term descending trendline. OBV tracks whether volume is flowing into or out of an asset. When OBV breaks upward, it usually shows growing retail participation. The timing was important.

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Retail Participation Behind The Rally
Retail Participation Behind The Rally: TradingView

RSI divergence had been in place for weeks. OBV only broke out on February 11, exactly when the BlackRock-linked news hit the market. This shows that retail traders reacted aggressively to the headline, rushing into UNI.

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With momentum and volume aligned, the Uniswap price surged to around $4.57 in a single session. But the structure of that candle raised early warning signs.

On the 12-hour chart, the breakout candle formed with a very long upper wick and a small body. This means buyers pushed the price higher, but sellers absorbed most of the move before the close. It was the first sign that a strong supply existed near $4.50. The rally looked powerful. But distribution had already started.

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Whale Selling Near $4.57 Explains the Sharp Rejection

The long wick on February 11 was not driven by random selling. Whale data shows who was responsible.

On that day, supply held by large Uniswap holders dropped sharply from about 648.46 million UNI to 642.51 million UNI. That is a reduction of roughly 5.95 million tokens. At prices near $4.57, this represents selling pressure worth about $27 million.

This was not profit-taking by small traders. It was a coordinated distribution by large wallets.

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Uniswap Whales In Action
Uniswap Whales In Action: Santiment

While retail buyers were chasing the breakout, whales were exiting into strength. This explains why the UNI price failed to hold above $4.50 and why the rally collapsed so quickly. Once large holders finished selling, buy-side momentum weakened. Without whale support, the market could not sustain elevated prices.

The result was a fast retracement. From the $4.57 peak, the Uniswap price fell about 26%. Most late buyers were possibly immediately pushed into losses. This confirms that the BlackRock-related surge became a liquidity event for large holders.

Retail provided the demand. Whales provided the supply.

4-Hour Chart Shows the Uniswap Price Rally Target Was Already Completed

The lower timeframe explains why the pullback started so quickly. On the 4-hour chart, Uniswap had been forming an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern inside a descending channel. This is a classic reversal structure that often signals a short-term breakout.

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On February 11, UNI broke above the neckline of this pattern and quickly reached its projected target near $4.57. In technical terms, the setup had already completed its measured move.

Uniswap Price Structure
Uniswap Price Structure: TradingView

At the same time, the 4-hour OBV divergence became clear. Between late January and February 11, UNI moved higher, but OBV continued trending lower. This shows that volume strength was weakening even as the price rose. This bearish OBV divergence warned that the breakout was not being supported by sustained retail demand. Plus, the OBV is currently trending down, showing retail offloading.

Retail traders focused on the price move. Whales focused on the structure. By the time most buyers entered, the rally was already mature. Now, price is drifting near $3.40 while volume continues to weaken. This suggests that speculative demand is fading.

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Uniswap Price Analysis
Uniswap Price Analysis: TradingView

If UNI holds above $3.21, the market may attempt consolidation. But this support is fragile because it is built on short-term buying, not long-term accumulation.

A breakdown below $3.21 would likely trigger another sell wave. In that case, the next major level sits near $2.80, which marks the head of the prior reversal pattern. A move to this zone would erase all of the BlackRock-driven gains.

To regain strength, Uniswap price must reclaim the $3.68 to $3.96 region. This area now acts as a major obstacle after the failed breakout. Only a sustained move above it would reopen upside toward $4.57.

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WhatsApp Accuses Russia of Restricting Access for Millions of Users

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WhatsApp Accuses Russia of Restricting Access for Millions of Users

WhatsApp, the messaging app owned by social media giant Meta, has accused Russia of attempting to block access for millions of its users to push them towards its state-owned alternative.

“Trying to isolate over 100 million users from private and secure communication is a backward step and can only lead to less safety for people in Russia. We continue to do everything we can to keep users connected,” the company said in an X post on Wednesday.

Moscow’s state-backed platform Max was launched in March 2025 by Russian tech firm VK as a domestic alternative to foreign-owned services such as WhatsApp and Telegram.

The government has since been promoting it heavily, making it mandatory for all smartphones sold in the country starting Sept. 1 to be pre-installed. 

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SEO firm Backlinko estimates that Russia has the fourth-largest active monthly WhatsApp user base, with 72 million users, behind Indonesia, Brazil, and India.

Source: WhatsApp

Russian media reports claim WhatsApp is inaccessible

Gazeta.ru, a Russian online news website based in Moscow, reported Wednesday that WhatsApp’s domain had been completely blocked, making it inaccessible without a VPN or similar workaround.

The outlet also reported, citing state-owned news agency TASS, that presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov said unblocking WhatsApp in Russia would require the messaging service to follow Russian laws and show a willingness to negotiate.