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Ethereum price nears oversold zone as ETH staking metric hits key milestone

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ethereum price

Ethereum price remained in a bear market as the crypto market continued to weaken ahead of the U.S. consumer inflation report.

Summary

  • Ethereum price has moved into a bear market after falling by 60% from its all-time high.
  • The Relative Strength Index is approaching the oversold level.
  • Ethereum’s staking ratio has jumped to a record high of 30%.

Ethereum (ETH) dropped to $1,985, down by 60% from its highest level in August last year. This is the token’s fourth consecutive week in the red, a move that has shed billions of dollars in value.

Ethereum’s price retreated as demand for its ETFs and futures open interest declined. Data compiled by SoSoValue shows that spot ETH ETFs shed over $129 million in assets on Wednesday, bringing the monthly outflow to over $224 million. It is the fourth consecutive month of outflows, with the cumulative net inflows being $11.75 billion.

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More data show that Ethereum’s futures open interest has continued to fall over the past few months. Its open interest dropped to $23 billion, down sharply from last year’s high of over $70 billion. Falling open interest is a sign that investor demand has waned.

However, there are signs that more Ethereum is being moved today to staking pools. Data show that Ethereum staking recently crossed 30% of the total supply for the first time.

More data show that the staking queue has continued soaring in the past few months. There are now over 4 million ETH tokens in the queue waiting to be staked, with less than 25,000 waiting to exit.

Ethereum price prediction: Technical analysis 

ethereum price
ETH price chart | Source: crypto.new

The weekly timeframe chart shows that the ETH price has been in a strong downward trend in the past few months, moving from $4,950 in August to the current $1,988.

It has crashed below the crucial support level at $2,112, its lowest level in August 2024. 

On the positive side, the coin has formed an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, a common bullish reversal sign in technical analysis.

Also, the Average Directional Index has dropped from 33 in July last year to 21 now, a sign that the downtrend is losing momentum. 

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Most notably, the Relative Strength Index is nearing the oversold level of 30, its lowest level since April last year. Ethereum has often rebounded whenever the RSI has moved into the oversold zone.

Therefore, as Tom Lee noted, there are signs that Ethereum is about to bottom. If this happens, the next level to watch will be the psychological $2,500 level.

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Crypto World

Fed’s Barr Calls for Balanced US Stablecoin Rules Under GENIUS Act

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Federal Reserve, Legislation, United States, Stablecoin, Genius Act

US Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr said Tuesday that clearer US stablecoin rules could speed the market’s growth, but warned that regulators still need to address money laundering risks, bank run risks and consumer safeguards as they implement the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act.

Speaking at a Federalist Society event on stablecoin regulation, Barr said the law provides “needed clarity” for issuers, but that “a great deal will depend on how federal and state regulators implement the statute.”

Barr said stablecoins are still used mainly for crypto trading and as a US dollar store of value in some foreign markets, though they could also lower remittance costs, speed up trade finance processing and help firms manage treasury operations. He also highlighted the risk of bad actors buying stablecoins in secondary markets without identity checks, and said issuers may be tempted to stretch for yield in reserve assets in ways that undermine confidence during stress.

Barr’s speech also cast the stablecoin debate in historical terms. He said private money has a “long and painful history” when safeguards are weak, pointing to the Free Banking Era in the US, the Panic of 1907, money market fund stress during the global financial crisis and COVID-19 shock, and more recent stablecoin valuation pressure as reasons to be cautious about any asset marketed as redeemable at par on demand.

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Barr’s remarks come as US agencies move from legislation to rule-writing. The US Treasury Department opened a second round of public comment on implementing the GENIUS Act in September 2025, saying the law must be translated into rules that both encourage innovation and address illicit finance, consumer protections and financial stability risks.

Federal Reserve, Legislation, United States, Stablecoin, Genius Act
Brief Remarks on Stablecoins. Source: Federal Reserve

Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman told lawmakers in February that banking regulators were already working on capital and liquidity rules for stablecoin issuers, and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation chair Travis Hill said in March that the agency does not expect stablecoins to receive deposit insurance under the law.

Related: Who gets the yield? CLARITY Act becomes fight over onchain dollars

Barr warns GENIUS Act rollout will test stablecoin safeguards

Barr’s speech signals where the implementation fights may land. He flagged reserve asset rules, regulatory arbitrage, the scope of issuer activities beyond issuance, capital and liquidity requirements, Anti-Money Laundering (AML) checks and consumer protection standards as the key issues still to be settled.

The GENIUS Act, signed into law on July 18, 2025, created a federal framework for payment stablecoins in the United States. The law requires issuers to maintain one-to-one backing with reserve assets such as US dollars and Treasury bills, and is expected to take effect 18 months after signing or 120 days after final agency rules are completed.

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Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026