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Why Did Tesla’s Stock Drop 7% Despite a Record Delivery Quarter?

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Tesla's price jumped after the FSD v14 Lite update rolled out, but sharply fell back down.

Tesla shares sank about 7.5% on July 2, their worst single-day decline in nearly a year. The drop came even after the company reported second-quarter deliveries far above Wall Street’s expectations.

The selloff came just three trading days after Tesla stock jumped more than 8% on optimism around a new self-driving software rollout.

Deliveries Crushed Estimates, But the Rally Came Early

Tesla reported 480,126 vehicle deliveries for the second quarter, against a company-compiled consensus of 406,024 and a StreetAccount estimate of 406,600. Production came in at 451,758 units.

The result marked a 25% jump from the same period last year. It also represented a 34% increase over the first quarter’s 358,023 deliveries. Tesla also shipped more cars than it built, drawing down inventory that had ballooned earlier in the year.

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Tesla's price jumped after the FSD v14 Lite update rolled out, but sharply fell back down.
Tesla’s price jumped after the FSD v14 Lite update rolled out, but sharply fell back down. Image Source: Trading View

Much of the setup traces back to June 29. Tesla shares posted their biggest single-day gain in over a year after the FSD v14 Lite update rolled out. The update reached older Hardware 3 vehicles for the first time in more than a year. That rally already reflected rising expectations for the delivery report itself.

Why a Beat Still Sank the Stock

CNBC’s Phil LeBeau called the numbers a clear beat on air Thursday morning.

“The consensus estimate going into today was 406.6 thousand vehicles. They beat it by 74,000 vehicles. So just a massive beat from Tesla for the second quarter.”

Attribution: CNBC

Yet the stock fell anyway. Fund manager Gary Black noted that Tesla and Rivian shares had both climbed heading into their delivery reports. That timing undercuts the idea that new autonomy enthusiasm drove the earlier run-up.

Higher European gasoline prices from the Iran conflict likely pulled some demand forward. Tesla’s cheaper Model 3 and Model Y variants added to that effect. China-made EV sales rose 24.4% year over year in June, while Norway registrations fell 43%.

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Valuation Still Hinges on Autonomy, Not Cars

Tesla’s roughly $1.6 trillion valuation now rests largely on its robotaxi and Full Self-Driving story rather than car sales. That mirrors the doubts investors raised during Tesla’s volatile 2010 IPO period.

A National Highway Traffic Safety Administration probe remains open into a fatal June 19 crash involving Tesla’s driver-assistance software. That probe keeps safety scrutiny on the same technology stack Tesla is now rolling out on robotaxis.

Tesla reports full second-quarter financial results on July 22. That release will show whether the delivery beat came with pricing discipline or with margin-eating incentives.

The post Why Did Tesla’s Stock Drop 7% Despite a Record Delivery Quarter? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Bulls test path back toward $1.10 as token zips 4% higher

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Bulls test path back toward $1.10 as token zips 4% higher

XRP is starting to build a higher base above $1 following last week’s sell-off. The token edged higher through the U.S. session, held $1.08 on repeated tests and pushed toward $1.10 before sellers slowed the move. That keeps the setup constructive, but still unfinished, with traders watching whether the latest accumulation turns into a clean breakout.

News Background

• XRP wallet creation rose to 4,941 daily addresses, the strongest single-day growth in 14 weeks.

• Bullish social sentiment reached a three-month high, with positive comments outnumbering bearish ones by 3.7 to 1.

• Ripple completed its scheduled 1 billion XRP escrow unlock without a meaningful price shock.

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• XRP’s move tracked the broader crypto market closely, with idiosyncratic variance against CD5 staying well below the level that would suggest a major asset-specific catalyst.

Price Action Summary

• XRP rose from $1.0611 to $1.0894 during the 24-hour session, gaining 0.62%.

• The token established higher lows at $1.0552, $1.0589 and $1.0799, showing buyers stepped in at progressively higher levels.

• Volume rose 26.92% above the seven-day average, pointing to steady participation around the move.

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• The strongest push came at 13:00 UTC, when volume reached 117.5 million XRP, about 142% above the 24-hour average.

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Crypto’s Positive June Average Masked an 82% Decline Across Top Assets

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Major Crypto Assets’ Performance in June 2026.

Roughly 82.1% of the top-100 crypto assets declined in June, the worst market breadth of 2026, even as the group’s average return stayed positive.

That split defined the month. A single outlier lifted the average into positive territory while the median return dropped 16.8%, according to a second-quarter recap from CryptoRank.

A Headline Average That Hid the Damage

Across the current top-100 assets excluding stablecoins, CryptoRank recorded a positive average return of 8.9% for June. That figure reflected a single outlier rather than the broader market.

“The market breadth data shows a clear deterioration in participation across the current non-stablecoin Top 100 assets. In June, breadth weakened to its worst level of 2026 so far,” the report read.

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Major Crypto Assets’ Performance in June 2026.
Major Crypto Assets’ Performance in June 2026. Source: CryptoRank

The report noted that the average was affected by Velvet (VELVET), which surged 1,715% during the month, lifting the aggregate. The 25-point gap between the positive average and the negative 16.8% median showed how few tokens carried the upside.

Besides VELVET, other top gainers included LAB (LAB) at 116% and Audiera (BEAT) at 112%. June also reversed a stronger start to the quarter. 

April saw 64% of top-100 assets gain, the best month of 2026. Meanwhile, May showed a more fragile structure, and the June breakdown confirmed the reversal.

Weakness Reached Major Crypto Narratives in June

The decline was not limited to the largest assets. Across all traded tokens with 24-hour volume of more than $1 million, every one of the eight tracked narratives posted a negative median return.

Layer 2 chains led the losses at -24.9%, followed by Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks (DePIN) at -24.8% and Layer 1 chains at -22.8%.

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“All 8 tracked narratives posted negative median returns, with losers outnumbered gainers in nearly every category, confirming that the market remained defensive and narrow through Q2 without a broad recovery in breadth,” CryptoRank said.

How Major Crypto Narratives Performed
How Major Crypto Narratives Performed. Source: CryptoRank

The gainers-versus-losers split showed how narrow the market became. Decentralized Finance (DeFi) recorded 42 gainers against 117 losers, while Artificial Intelligence (AI) posted 21 gainers against 35 losers.

The pattern pointed to a defensive market. Bitcoin (BTC) dominance held near 56% at quarter-end as capital rotated away from weaker altcoins.

Whether June marks a base or another leg lower depends on breadth recovering in the second half. 

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The post Crypto’s Positive June Average Masked an 82% Decline Across Top Assets appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Russia’s digital ruble launch nears despite EU sanctions

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Russia’s digital ruble launch nears despite EU sanctions

Russia’s central bank says the digital ruble is ready for a Sept. 1 rollout, keeping the country’s central bank digital currency plan on schedule. 

Summary

  • Russia’s Sept. 1 digital ruble rollout moves ahead despite EU sanctions targeting related financial infrastructure.
  • Bank rules require major lenders and large retailers to support digital ruble payments in stages.
  • U.S. lawmakers are moving toward a temporary CBDC ban while Russia expands state digital money.

Governor Elvira Nabiullina said “everyone is ready” for the launch, according to a July 2 report by RIA Novosti.

The digital ruble will circulate alongside cash and non-cash rubles, not replace them. The Bank of Russia has said people will be able to open digital wallets through banking apps connected to its platform. It has also said individuals will not pay fees on digital ruble transactions.

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The rollout begins with banks and large merchants

The Bank of Russia’s timeline requires major banks to offer digital ruble services from Sept. 1, 2026. Large retailers with annual revenue above 120 million rubles must also accept digital ruble payments from that date.

The rules will expand in stages. Banks with universal licenses and retailers with annual revenue above 30 million rubles must join from Sept. 1, 2027. Other banks and smaller retailers will follow from Sept. 1, 2028, while very small merchants will remain exempt.

Sanctions pressure frames the rollout

The launch comes as the European Union has already moved against Russia-linked digital finance. In its 20th sanctions package, the EU Council banned transactions involving RUBx and all EU support for the development of the digital ruble. It linked the measures to Russia’s war against Ukraine and wider concerns over sanctions evasion.

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In addition, the EU also proposed broader restrictions on foreign crypto services tied to Russian sanctions evasion. That plan followed growing scrutiny of ruble-linked crypto rails, including platforms and tokens that authorities say may support cross-border payments outside Western controls.

Russia has tested digital ruble use cases for more than a year. As previously reported, the Central Bank of Russia piloted digital ruble smart contracts in Tatarstan, including tests on conditional spending for public funds. The latest timeline shows that Moscow now wants to move the project from testing into broader payment use.

U.S. policy moves in the opposite direction

Russia’s CBDC push contrasts with U.S. policy, where lawmakers have moved toward a temporary ban on a Federal Reserve digital dollar. As crypto.news reported, the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act would block the Fed from creating a CBDC or similar asset through 2030 if it becomes law.

The U.S. debate reflects concerns over privacy, state control, and the role of private stablecoins. The Russian approach is different. Moscow is building a state-run digital currency while also testing other digital asset rules for trade and financial access under sanctions.

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A February report by Jack Jarmon for the Australian Institute of International Affairs said Russia could face limits if it relies on Bitcoin or other proof-of-work assets to bypass sanctions. The report pointed to old power infrastructure and limited access to foreign technology. Those limits may explain why the digital ruble remains central to Moscow’s state-led payment strategy.

The Sept. 1 launch will test whether Russia can drive adoption among banks, merchants, and users. Nabiullina said the central bank wants the digital ruble to be “in demand by people and businesses” and “convenient.” 

For now, the rollout places Russia among the countries pushing CBDCs forward while sanctions and U.S. policy debates keep digital state money under close review.

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eToro backs Extended in $12.5M onchain perps push

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eToro backs Extended in $12.5M onchain perps push

eToro has led a $12.5 million strategic funding round in Extended, an onchain exchange for perpetual futures.

Summary

  • eToro’s Extended investment links Zengo self-custody tools with onchain perpetual futures trading access for users.
  • Jump Crypto joined the round as brokerages move deeper into decentralized derivatives and market infrastructure.
  • Perp DEX growth is pulling trading platforms toward self-custody, tokenized assets, and onchain execution.

Extended announced the round in a July 2 post on X, saying eToro led the investment and Jump Crypto also joined the deal.

Meanwhile, the funding is tied to a partnership between Extended and Zengo, the self-custody wallet eToro acquired earlier this year. The companies plan to work on access to global financial markets through onchain infrastructure. eToro said the partnership will explore ways to connect traditional financial assets with decentralized trading venues.

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Self-custody becomes part of the plan

Zengo gives eToro a direct route into self-custody products. The wallet uses multi-party computation technology, which removes the need for seed phrases while still giving users control over assets. It also supports swaps, staking, and access to decentralized applications.

eToro completed its Zengo acquisition on April 30 while reporting a sharp drop in crypto trading profit. The company said at the time that Zengo would support its plan to connect traditional financial products with onchain systems. The Extended deal now gives that plan a derivatives-focused path.

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Extended builds onchain perps market

Extended was founded by former Revolut employees and opened trading to all users in late 2024. In its public launch announcement, the company said it planned to add unified margin with technical support from StarkWare.

The exchange is built on StarkWare’s StarkEx scaling engine. It focuses on perpetual futures, a type of derivative contract that has no expiry date. Extended says its model supports self-custody trading while aiming to keep execution fast enough for active traders. That structure places it between centralized crypto futures venues and fully decentralized trading platforms.

Perps growth draws larger firms

Perpetual futures remain one of the largest crypto trading markets. As crypto.news reported, CoinGecko’s 2026 Crypto Perpetuals Report found that perp DEX open interest share rose from 3.6% in early 2025 to 13.5% in 2026. The same report showed Binance and OKX still leading centralized perps trading, even as decentralized venues gained share.

That growth has drawn more attention from brokers and trading apps. Previously, crypto.news reported that Robinhood launchedperpetual futures tied to commodities, ETFs, and currencies for eligible European users. The rollout showed how crypto-style trading tools are moving into traditional markets.

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Deal follows weaker crypto trading income

The investment comes after eToro reported lower crypto-related trading profit in the first quarter of 2026. As reported by crypto.news, crypto generated $13 million in profit during the quarter, or about 5% of eToro’s total net trading profit of $258 million. That was down from $46 million in the same period in 2025.

The Extended round shows that eToro is still building around digital assets despite weaker short-term crypto revenue. The company is using Zengo to strengthen its self-custody stack and Extended to enter onchain derivatives more directly. 

Moreover, the move also places eToro closer to a market where trading apps, crypto exchanges, and decentralized platforms are competing for users who want faster access, direct asset control, and broader exposure to global markets.

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The End of Blockchain Silos: Why the Future of Web3 Is Interoperable

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The End of Blockchain Silos: Why the Future of Web3 Is Interoperable

Blockchain technology has evolved rapidly over the past decade, giving rise to hundreds of networks optimized for different use cases. Some prioritize speed, others focus on security, privacy, scalability, or specialized applications like gaming and decentralized finance (DeFi). While this diversity has fueled innovation, it has also created one of Web3’s biggest challenges: blockchain silos.

Today, the industry is moving toward a future where blockchains no longer operate as isolated ecosystems. Instead, they’re becoming interconnected networks that can communicate, exchange assets, and share data seamlessly. This shift could redefine how decentralized applications (dApps), users, and institutions interact with blockchain technology.

What Are Blockchain Silos?

A blockchain silo exists when a network operates independently without native communication with other blockchains. Assets, data, and smart contracts remain confined to their respective ecosystems.

For example:

  • Bitcoin primarily serves as a secure store of value.
  • Ethereum powers a vast ecosystem of smart contracts.
  • Solana focuses on high-speed transactions.
  • BNB Chain emphasizes affordable and scalable DeFi.
  • Avalanche offers customizable blockchain infrastructure.

Each blockchain has unique strengths, but moving assets or information between them has traditionally required third-party bridges or centralized exchanges.

This fragmentation often creates unnecessary complexity for users and developers alike.

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The Problems Caused by Blockchain Silos

1. Fragmented Liquidity

Liquidity scattered across multiple blockchains reduces capital efficiency. Instead of one unified financial ecosystem, liquidity is divided among separate networks, making markets less efficient.

2. Poor User Experience

Managing several wallets, switching networks, paying different gas fees, and learning multiple interfaces discourages mainstream adoption.

3. Limited Application Potential

Developers often build applications for a single blockchain, restricting access to users and liquidity from other ecosystems.

4. Security Risks

Traditional cross-chain bridges have become attractive targets for hackers. Billions of dollars have been lost through bridge exploits over the past several years, highlighting the need for more secure interoperability solutions.

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The Rise of Blockchain Interoperability

Instead of competing in isolation, blockchain ecosystems are increasingly embracing interoperability—the ability for different blockchains to communicate securely.

Modern interoperability solutions aim to allow:

  • Cross-chain asset transfers
  • Cross-chain messaging
  • Shared liquidity
  • Multi-chain smart contract execution
  • Unified user experiences

Rather than forcing users to choose one blockchain, interoperability allows them to benefit from many simultaneously.


Technologies Driving the End of Silos

Cross-Chain Messaging

Instead of merely transferring tokens, cross-chain messaging enables smart contracts on one blockchain to trigger actions on another.

This opens the door to far more sophisticated decentralized applications.

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Interoperability Protocols

Dedicated interoperability layers provide standardized communication between independent blockchains.

These protocols reduce fragmentation while allowing each network to maintain its own security and governance.


Chain Abstraction

One of the biggest emerging trends is chain abstraction.

Instead of asking users to manually manage networks, wallets, bridges, and gas tokens, applications handle the complexity behind the scenes.

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Users simply interact with the application while the infrastructure determines the optimal blockchain for each transaction.


Intent-Based Architecture

Intent-based systems allow users to specify their desired outcome rather than manually executing every blockchain interaction.

For example:

Instead of bridging tokens, swapping assets, and staking manually, a user simply requests:

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“Stake my stablecoins in the highest-yield lending protocol.”

The protocol automatically completes every required cross-chain action.


Benefits of an Interoperable Future

Better Capital Efficiency

Assets can move freely across ecosystems, creating deeper liquidity and more efficient markets.

Improved User Experience

Users no longer need to understand every blockchain’s technical details. Applications become as simple as traditional fintech apps.

More Powerful Applications

Developers gain access to users, assets, and services across multiple chains, enabling richer decentralized applications.

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Greater Ecosystem Collaboration

Instead of competing for users, blockchain networks can specialize while remaining connected through shared infrastructure.


Challenges That Still Need Solving

Although interoperability has advanced significantly, several challenges remain.

Security

Cross-chain infrastructure must maintain strong security guarantees without introducing centralized trust assumptions.

Standardization

The industry still lacks universal standards for messaging, identity, and asset transfers across every blockchain.

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Scalability

As interoperability grows, systems must efficiently process increasing volumes of cross-chain communication.

Governance

Coordinating upgrades across multiple decentralized ecosystems remains a complex challenge.


What This Means for DeFi

The end of blockchain silos could dramatically reshape decentralized finance.

Future DeFi platforms may automatically source liquidity from multiple chains, optimize yields across ecosystems, and execute transactions wherever conditions are most favorable—all without requiring users to manually bridge assets or switch networks.

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This could make decentralized finance significantly more accessible to everyday users while improving efficiency for institutional participants.


Beyond DeFi: A Unified Web3

Interoperability extends far beyond finance.

Potential applications include:

  • Cross-chain gaming assets
  • Portable digital identities
  • Interoperable NFTs
  • Multi-chain DAOs
  • Unified social networks
  • Enterprise blockchain integration
  • AI agents coordinating across decentralized ecosystems

Rather than existing as separate blockchain islands, these services could operate within one connected Web3 ecosystem.


Conclusion

The next phase of blockchain evolution isn’t about finding a single “winning” blockchain—it’s about enabling all blockchains to work together.

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As interoperability protocols, chain abstraction, and intent-based systems mature, users may no longer need to think about which blockchain they’re using. Just as internet users rarely consider which servers deliver a website, future Web3 users may simply interact with applications while the underlying infrastructure seamlessly coordinates across multiple networks.

The end of blockchain silos represents more than a technical milestone. It marks the transition from isolated blockchain ecosystems to a truly interconnected decentralized internet—one where assets, applications, and information flow freely across networks, unlocking the full potential of Web3.

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Polymarket’s U.S. ban fails to stop political betting: report

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Polymarket upholds ‘No’ ruling in disputed Strategy Bitcoin sale market

U.S.-linked wallets appear to be the largest political trading group on Polymarket’s global platform, even though the platform lists the United States as a blocked country.

Summary

  • U.S.-linked wallets dominate Polymarket political trading despite geoblocks, according to new Allium on-chain research findings.
  • Researchers say offshore activity raises fresh oversight questions as prediction markets face tougher global controls.
  • Polymarket restrictions list the United States as blocked, but demand appears to continue offshore globally.

Blockchain data firm Allium said in a July 3 report that the U.S. was the biggest national political market by contracts traded among wallets it could link to a country.

The firm said its data covered only about 6% of wallets with country tags, so the results should be treated as directional. Still, Allium said the pattern was clear enough to show that US demand did not disappear after access blocks. “Blocking access did not end U.S. participation,” the report said. It added that activity had moved offshore and outside direct U.S. oversight.

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Geoblocks face fresh questions

Polymarket’s own geographic restriction page says the platform is unavailable in the United States and other blocked countries. It also says users must not use VPNs or similar tools to bypass location rules. The page lists 33 fully blocked countries, along with several regions where trading is not allowed.

That policy traces back to earlier U.S. enforcement. In 2022, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission ordered Polymarket to pay a $1.4 million civil penalty and wind down markets that did not comply with US rules. The platform later developed a separate U.S.-regulated product, while the global platform continued to block U.S. users.

Trading patterns point to politics and conflict

Allium said U.S.-linked wallets on Polymarket showed more interest in foreign conflict markets than the wider platform. Five of the top 12 markets by notional volume for the U.S.-linked group related to the Iran war, according to the report. “U.S. money pours into foreign wars,” Allium said, while adding that U.S.-linked traders showed less interest in election markets.

A separate analysis by Rutgers statistician Harry Crane reached a similar view in June. Crane estimated that U.S. users may account for about 30% of total Polymarket volume by studying sports preferences and trading times. His work said Polymarket’s activity pattern looked global, but still showed a large U.S. share.

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Rules tighten as markets grow

The report comes as prediction markets face wider regulatory pressure. As crypto.news reported, the CFTC is preparing new prediction market rules that could affect Polymarket and Kalshi. The proposed review process would give regulators more tools to assess event contracts tied to politics, sports, and real-world events.

Previously, crypto.news reported that Spain moved to block Polymarket and Kalshi over gambling license concerns. That action followed similar blocks or restrictions in several other countries. As crypto.news reported in May, Polymarket also said it had no plan to require mandatory KYC on its main global market, even as legal and sanctions pressure increased.

The latest Allium report adds a new point to that debate. If U.S. users still reach global markets despite geoblocks, regulators may ask whether location controls can work at scale. For Polymarket, the data may add pressure at a time when the platform is also dealing with security concerns, including a recent $2.9 million frontend theft that led to promised user refunds.

The issue also puts Polymarket’s split model under closer review. Its U.S.-regulated platform offers a narrower product set, while global markets still draw interest from users who appear to be in blocked regions. That gap may become harder to defend if more data show steady activity from restricted jurisdictions.

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US Leads Polymarket Political Betting as Geoblock Fails to Halt Demand

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Crypto Breaking News

US users remain the most active force behind Polymarket’s political prediction markets, even after the platform moved to geoblock Americans from its global, decentralized service. New analysis from blockchain research firm Allium finds that the United States is the largest single country for political contracts on Polymarket when measured by trading volume and wallet participation—suggesting the demand simply shifted outside formal US oversight.

The findings add another layer to the regulatory and compliance challenges surrounding Polymarket, which has already faced scrutiny from US authorities and was compelled to restrict access under a settlement with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) in 2022.

Key takeaways

  • Allium’s report ranks the US as Polymarket’s biggest political market by both contracts traded and wallet count.
  • Despite access restrictions, the study argues that US demand did not disappear—it moved offshore.
  • US traders appear more drawn to foreign conflict-related markets, with Iran-war themes dominating the top US markets by volume.
  • Election-focused markets attract less US participation on the global Polymarket, where such markets are comparatively more prominent on Kalshi and Polymarket US.
  • Independent research has previously estimated a large share of Polymarket activity originates from the US, even with geoblocking and VPN countermeasures.

US activity persists after Polymarket’s geoblock

Allium’s analysis, published on Thursday, estimates that US-based users form the largest single political crowd on Polymarket across all countries it tracks. The report emphasizes that this is based on tagged wallets—specifically, the 6% of wallets Allium could associate with a country—so the figures are directional rather than definitive.

Still, Allium frames the result as a clear outcome of Polymarket’s restrictions. Blocking access, the firm argues, did not stop US participation; instead, it concentrated it into a way that makes the US look even larger by volume within the offshore-access model.

“Blocking access did not end US participation; it made the US the largest single political market on Polymarket by volume,” the report said. “The demand is still there, now offshore and beyond US oversight.”

This is an important distinction for investors and market participants watching the political prediction market space: the restriction regime may be affecting where and how US users participate, but it has not eliminated US influence over global outcome bets.

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Foreign conflict markets draw more US bets than elections

Allium’s breakdown suggests that US participants disproportionately favor foreign conflict-related topics. In the report’s assessment, five of the top 12 markets for US users by notional volume relate to the Iran war.

At the same time, US interest in election-related markets appears comparatively weaker on Polymarket’s global platform. Allium notes that election markets are a category that is allowed on Kalshi and Polymarket US—meaning the global audience’s incentives and the market landscape may differ from what US users most actively trade.

“US money pours into foreign wars, lately Iran, and largely skips the elections the global crowd trades,” said Allium.

For readers tracking adoption and behavior in prediction markets, the takeaway is not just who is trading, but what they are trading. If US demand continues to show up most strongly in geopolitical risk and away from election positioning, that may shape how liquidity, volatility, and information demand evolve across the different platforms.

Polymarket US vs. the global platform: restrictions and regulatory pressure

Allium’s report also clarifies an often-confused distinction: Polymarket US is a US-regulated platform launched in December and offers a narrower selection of markets. The research discussed here concerns the global Polymarket environment, where access was curtailed for US users.

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Polymarket was forced to cut off US users from its global platform as part of a $1.4 million settlement with the CFTC in 2022. That enforcement backdrop has continued to cast a spotlight on how prediction market operators handle jurisdictional boundaries and user verification.

Cointelegraph previously reported that US policy makers and regulators have raised concerns about Polymarket, including issues connected to its marketing and compliance approach. Those broader concerns remain relevant in light of Allium’s findings that US involvement has not gone away—only changed form.

Evidence from other researchers: US share remains large

Allium’s results align with an earlier study by Rutgers University statistician Harry Crane. In a June publication, Crane estimated that 30% of Polymarket trading volume comes from the US, despite Polymarket blocking US-based IP addresses and VPNs that can be used to bypass geofencing.

Crane’s analysis estimated that US-based traders sent between $10.6 billion and $26.7 billion through Polymarket between May 2025 and April 2026. The researcher tied activity to likely US participants by comparing trade timing and the specific markets where trades occurred.

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There have also been reports that Polymarket has moved to clamp down on VPN usage by blocking certain IP addresses associated with VPN services, reinforcing the idea that the company is actively attempting to reduce circumvention. However, the existence of US-heavy participation in outcome bets—whether directly or via offshore access—suggests countermeasures may not be fully effective.

Where Polymarket is blocked and where it is “close only”

Geographic restrictions are not limited to the United States. Polymarket is completely blocked in more than 34 countries, with Spain cited as the latest example where authorities took action as a “precautionary measure” while investigating whether the companies are operating without necessary licensing.

In an additional tier, four countries—including Singapore, Thailand, Taiwan, and Poland—operate under “close only” rules. In those jurisdictions, users can close existing positions but cannot open new trades.

Polymarket also maintains restricted regions within countries, according to published information: Ontario in Canada, and Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk in Ukraine, where Polymarket is blocked locally but remains accessible elsewhere in the same nation.

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These layers of access—complete blocks, close-only allowances, and region-level restrictions—highlight how uneven enforcement and licensing frameworks can be across jurisdictions. For traders, it means the practical reach of a prediction market can remain broader than what top-line policy statements might suggest.

Going forward, the key question is how Polymarket will adapt its geoblocking and compliance tooling as scrutiny grows. Readers should watch whether enforcement tightens enough to materially change participation patterns—or whether US influence continues to reappear offshore in ways that keep global political markets effectively driven by the same demand.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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CFTC chair blasts Illinois over ‘punitive’ crypto tax

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CFTC scraps no deny rule as crypto enforcement shift deepens

CFTC Chair Michael Selig criticized Illinois lawmakers over a new 0.2% tax on crypto transactions, saying the state had moved against financial technology at the wrong time. 

Summary

  • Illinois’ 0.2% crypto tax drew sharp CFTC criticism before its planned 2027 start date.
  • The law requires broker registration, monthly reports, and tax collection on covered digital asset activity.
  • Federal crypto tax and market structure talks are moving while Illinois pursues its own rule.

In a July 1 statement, Selig said Illinois lawmakers “slammed the brakes on technological progress” when they approved the measure.

The tax forms part of Illinois’ fiscal 2027 budget and is set to take effect on Jan. 1, 2027. It applies to certain digital asset activity carried out by brokers, including exchange, transfer, custody, and wallet services. The rule has drawn criticism from crypto firms, policy groups, and some market figures.

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Selig says state risks falling behind

Selig said blockchains could change how value moves across markets, much as the internet changed how information moves. He argued that tokenized assets may cover commodities, currencies, stocks, and bonds. His statement said Illinois could place residents and businesses at a disadvantage if the state taxes crypto transfers differently from other financial activity.

The CFTC chair also said Illinois lawmakers “decided they know better” than federal lawmakers working on crypto market rules. His comments came as Washington continues to review market structure bills, tax proposals, and agency roles. The remarks show a growing split between state-level tax policy and federal efforts to set national digital asset rules.

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Brokers face new duties

Illinois’ Digital Asset Tax Act requires brokers to register with the Illinois Department of Revenue before covered activity begins. Brokers must collect the tax as a separate line item and file monthly reports on covered digital asset activity.

The law can also reach firms outside Illinois if they serve users in the state. Tax advisers have said customer records, mailing addresses, IP addresses, and other data may help decide whether activity falls under Illinois rules. That has raised questions about how exchanges, wallet firms, and custody providers will track and apply the tax in practice.

Industry criticism grows

Previously, crypto.news reported that Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor called the Illinois tax a “Big Mistake” after Governor JB Pritzker signed the budget. Industry groups also warned that the law could raise costs for users and push crypto firms away from the state.

Some critics have focused on the design of the tax. They argue that it applies to activity itself, not only to profits or capital gains. Others have raised concerns about routine wallet transfers, broker reporting systems, and whether the rule treats digital assets differently from stocks, bonds, or derivatives.

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Federal talks add pressure

The Illinois dispute comes while Congress reviews broader crypto tax rules. As previously reported, lawmakers have split the Digital Asset PARITY Act into seven tax discussion drafts covering stablecoin payments, mining, staking, lending, wash-sale rules, charitable donations, and disclosure duties.

Moreover, Federal agencies are also reviewing crypto market rules. The SEC and CFTC opened a joint rules review covering derivatives, margining, and market structure questions. Against that backdrop, Selig’s criticism frames the Illinois tax as a state-level move that may clash with wider federal attempts to build clearer rules for digital assets.

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Microsoft Commits $2.5 Billion to New AI Deployment Business

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AI Is Handing Hackers Tools That Once Belonged to Elite Attackers

Microsoft is investing $2.5 billion in a new operating business that embeds 6,000 engineers and industry experts directly inside enterprise customers to build and run AI systems.

The company, called Microsoft Frontier Company, launched on Thursday. It ties its work to measurable business results.

How the Microsoft Frontier Company Works and Who Runs It

The unit delivers what Microsoft calls Frontier Transformation. Experts embed with customers to co-design, deploy, and continuously improve AI systems at scale.

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Judson Althoff, CEO of Microsoft’s Commercial Business, positioned the effort beyond standard industry practice. He argued it combines deep industry knowledge with enterprise AI engineering.

“This goes beyond what has been labeled as Forward-Deployed Engineering, and will be the largest, most capable, outcome-driven engineering organization in the industry,” he said.

Microsoft Frontier Company will include salespeople, support staff, technical consultants, and forward-deployed engineers already at the company, many with experience in specific industries, CNBC reported.

The company stressed that customers keep control of their own intelligence. It pledged that client data will not be used to train models in ways that erode a customer’s competitive edge.

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The platform also stays model-diverse. Customers can run models from OpenAI, Anthropic, Microsoft, open source, or specialized industry options for each task. Rodrigo Kede Lima will serve as president of the new organization.

Microsoft Enters a Crowded AI Deployment Race

The launch puts Microsoft in a fast-growing market. Rivals have moved quickly to sell hands-on AI deployment, not just tools.

Amazon Web Services committed $1 billion to its own deployment venture two days earlier. Both OpenAI and Anthropic also launched their own deployment ventures in May.

The OpenAI Deployment Company is a standalone entity backed by more than $4 billion in funding. Anthropic teamed up with Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, and Hellman & Friedman on a $1.5 billion venture to deploy Anthropic’s Claude AI model directly inside businesses.

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The post Microsoft Commits $2.5 Billion to New AI Deployment Business appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Binance moves ahead in Philippines as SEC clears BlockShoals sandbox testing

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Binance reassures EU users as MiCA service changes begin

Binance has moved a step closer to returning to the Philippine market after the country’s Securities and Exchange Commission granted final approval for its local partner BlockShoals Technologies to begin regulatory sandbox testing.

Summary

  • The Philippine SEC has granted final sandbox approval to BlockShoals, moving Binance closer to a regulated return to the local market.
  • BlockShoals will complete a 90 day integration with a licensed local provider before Binance backed user onboarding begins.
  • The approval covers SEC sandbox testing, while separate BSP licensing requirements for crypto services remain in place.

In a post on X, Binance co-founder and Chief Customer Service Officer Yi He said the exchange had officially entered the Philippine market, while an accompanying SEC document showed that BlockShoals Technologies Inc. had received final approval to launch financial product and service testing under the Commission’s Strategic Regulatory Sandbox (Stratbox) framework.

SEC approves sandbox rollout

Under the approval, BlockShoals will operate using a crypto-asset intermediary model that allows users in the Philippines to access selected products and services through its global crypto-asset service provider partner, Binance. 

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The SEC document stated that BlockShoals must first complete system integration with a local virtual asset service provider during an initial 90-day phase before proceeding with the approved testing program.

Once that integration is completed, the testing plan will move forward under regulatory oversight and applicable safeguards, including user registration and onboarding through Binance as its global CASP partner, according to the SEC approval.

The final approval follows the SEC’s earlier clearance of BlockShoals’ Stratbox application in November 2025, after the company fulfilled the remaining regulatory requirements set by the Commission.

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BSP licensing question remains

The latest SEC approval comes weeks after the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas clarified that neither Binance nor BlockShoals currently holds a Virtual Asset Service Provider license required for certain crypto payment and transaction services.

As previously reported by crypto.news, the BSP said participation in the SEC’s Stratbox program does not replace the need for a separate central bank license because the two regulators oversee different parts of the country’s financial sector. The central bank also noted that BlockShoals would need to integrate with a licensed domestic VASP before onboarding users through Binance’s infrastructure could begin.

While Yi He described the development as Binance’s official entry into the Philippines, the SEC approval itself authorizes BlockShoals to begin sandbox testing and identifies Binance as its global CASP partner. The document does not state that Binance has obtained a Philippine VASP license.

Binance has been working to strengthen its regulatory position in several jurisdictions. On July 1, the exchange told affected European Union users that withdrawals and other account options would remain available as MiCA-related service changes took effect, while it continued pursuing authorization to operate under the bloc’s new crypto rules.

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