Crypto World
Russia Blocks WhatsApp to Push Surveillance App, Company Claims
WhatsApp, the messaging app owned by Meta, is at the center of a high-stakes regulatory clash as Moscow pushes a domestic alternative and tightens control over digital communication. In recent days, the company publicly accused the Russian government of attempting to block access for millions of users to steer them toward a state-owned substitute. The dispute unfolds as Russia advances a homegrown platform, Max, developed by VK, and seeks to entrench it as the official backbone for private messaging inside the country. The government’s aim is amplified by directives to pre-install Max on all smartphones sold in Russia, a move scheduled to take effect on Sept. 1, and by a broader push to curb reliance on Western platforms amid ongoing regulatory scrutiny.
Key takeaways
- WhatsApp alleges Russia is attempting to isolate over 100 million users from private and secure communication, describing the move as a setback to digital safety.
- Max, announced by VK and described as a state-backed alternative to WhatsApp and Telegram, began rolling out in March 2025 and is being mandated for pre-installation on new devices starting Sept. 1.
- Backlinko estimates Russia hosts about 72 million active monthly WhatsApp users, placing the country among the top markets for the app outside the usual leaders.
- Russian authorities have signaled that unblocking WhatsApp would require compliance with local laws and a willingness to negotiate, signaling a potential but uncertain path to access restoration.
- Beyond Russia, authorities in other countries have intermittently restricted messaging services during periods of conflict or political upheaval, highlighting a broader trend in digital sovereignty and governance.
Sentiment: Neutral
Market context: The episode sits at the intersection of tech policy and geopolitical risk, illustrating how regulatory actions aimed at domestic control of communications can ripple through the broader digital ecosystem, including networks that crypto services rely on for open, cross-border activity. It underscores a growing attention to data localization, interoperability, and platform sovereignty that could influence global tech and financial ecosystems.
Why it matters
The confrontation between WhatsApp and Russia’s state-backed messaging initiative underscores a fundamental tension between user safety, privacy, and state interests. By introducing Max as a domestically controlled alternative, Moscow is signaling that access to private communication platforms is not simply a consumer choice but a matter of national policy. The move could reshape how Russians communicate, store sensitive information, and interact with businesses, while also raising questions about data localization, resilience, and security in a landscape where private messaging has become a critical utility for personal and professional life.
For international platforms, the Russian example highlights the costs and friction of compliance in a regulated environment that prizes sovereign control over digital infrastructure. The push to pre-install Max on all devices introduces a form of interoperability risk and raises concerns about interoperability with foreign networks, encryption standards, and user consent. Companies that operate across borders must navigate a patchwork of rules, sometimes in real time, which can affect everything from customer support to data flows and incident response protocols. The situation also hints at potential regulatory spillovers to adjacent technologies, including decentralized and cross-border services that crypto projects rely on to maintain open access and censorship resistance.
From a safety and governance perspective, the Russian case illustrates why policymakers abroad are investing in formal mechanisms to manage online communications. The tension between allowing free, secure messaging and enforcing content or data requests from law enforcement creates a persistent policy dilemma. In markets where crypto and blockchain technologies are gaining traction, observers will be watching to see how such regulatory dynamics influence the development of compliant, privacy-preserving communication tools and infrastructure that can withstand political pressure while preserving user trust.
The broader pattern is not limited to Russia. Reports from other countries describe a spectrum of actions—from partial restrictions to complete takedown attempts—that governments have employed during moments of political contention. The dialogue around messaging sovereignty compounds existing concerns about censorship, access to information, and digital rights. For users, this can mean unpredictability in service availability, the need for alternative channels, or the adoption of independent or decentralized messaging solutions as a hedge against outages or coercive controls.
On the technical front, the unfolding dynamic may accelerate innovation in how platforms approach data localization, compliance tooling, and cross-border interoperability. It also raises practical questions for developers, such as how to design communication apps that can operate seamlessly across multiple legal regimes without compromising user safety or security. While the immediate focus is regional, the implications reverberate through any ecosystem that depends on reliable, private messaging as a backbone for collaboration, financial transactions, or sensitive communications—an area where crypto communities have long stressed the importance of resilient, permissionless networks even as regulators seek to impose order and accountability.
What to watch next
- Sept. 1, 2025 — Russia’s mandatory pre-installation of Max on all smartphones takes effect, elevating the platform’s installed base and potentially altering user behavior during the ongoing policy debate.
- End of 2026 — Official signals from Moscow suggest a possible complete blocking of WhatsApp if compliance with national laws does not align with the state’s terms.
- February 2026 — Public commentary and further reporting on whether WhatsApp remains accessible or experiences domain-level restrictions within Russia, including official statements from the presidential administration or regulatory bodies.
- Regulatory actions and negotiations — Any new statements from Russia’s negotiation channels or law-enforcement agencies that clarify the conditions under which foreign messaging services could regain access or be forced to alter operational practices.
- Comparative developments — Monitoring similar moves in other jurisdictions to assess how messaging sovereignty affects global platforms, user experience, and cross-border data flows.
Sources & verification
- Gazeta.ru: Russia reports that WhatsApp’s domain had been blocked and would require VPN or similar workaround to access. https://www.gazeta.ru/tech/news/2026/02/11/27830761.shtml
- TASS: Presidential press secretary Dmitry Peskov commented that unblocking WhatsApp would require the app to follow Russian laws and engage in negotiations. https://www.gazeta.ru/tech/news/2026/02/12/27832279.shtml?utm_source=chatgpt.com&utm_auth=false
- Backlinko: Estimates of Russia’s active WhatsApp user base, highlighting a sizable market. https://backlinko.com/whatsapp-users
- WhatsApp on X: Official status update from the messaging platform regarding Russia’s access measures. https://x.com/WhatsApp/status/2021749165835829485?s=20
- Related coverage and context: Afghanistan internet outage and blockchain decentralization discussion. https://cointelegraph.com/news/afghanistan-internet-outage-blockchain-centralized-web
Digital friction in Russia’s messaging ecosystem: implications for users and global platforms
The dispute over WhatsApp and the push for a state-backed alternative in Russia crystallizes how policy choices can redefine the digital landscape that users rely on every day. The government’s insistence on pre-installation and on maintaining control over messaging channels is rooted in a broader imperative to keep communications within national boundaries, a stance that has long resonated with policymakers across different regions and sectors, including finance and crypto. While the immediate stakes involve access to a popular app and the safety of private conversations, the longer arc concerns how digital infrastructure is governed, who bears responsibility for safeguarding data, and how open networks can survive attempts at centralization.
For users in Russia, the outcome may hinge on a balance between safety assurances and the practicality of maintaining private, secure conversations in a domestic environment. The presence of a government-backed platform could improve certain regulatory alignments but might also introduce new layers of surveillance or compliance expectations. In contrast, WhatsApp’s contention that the move would “isolate over 100 million users” emphasizes concerns about user autonomy and the resilience of cross-border communication in the face of coercive policy changes. The debate has implications that extend beyond messaging to how crypto ecosystems—built on permissionless networks that assume open access—are perceived when governments seek to exert tighter control over digital channels and data flows.
From a business and innovation standpoint, the Max initiative raises questions about interoperability and the economics of protocol choices in a regulatory environment. Domestic platforms can attract usage through convenience and policy compliance, but they may also risk fragmentation, reduced interoperability with global services, and increased costs for developers who must adapt to multiple rule sets. For the broader tech community, the gambit signals a need to design systems and user experiences that maintain robust privacy protections while meeting diverse regulatory requirements. The lessons learned from Russia’s approach could influence the development of new messaging tools, privacy-preserving features, and strategies to ensure user safety without sacrificing openness—an objective that remains central to many crypto advocates who champion secure, censorship-resistant networks.
Ultimately, the case highlights how control over digital communications remains a strategic frontier for governments and tech firms alike. It also serves as a reminder for users and investors to monitor regulatory trajectories and policy signals, as these can have spillover effects on adjacent sectors that depend on stable, accessible online infrastructure. Whether by design or accident, policy choices in one major market can catalyze shifts in how people communicate, how services are delivered, and how new technologies—such as decentralized tools or crypto-enabled platforms—are perceived and adopted in the years ahead.
What to watch next
- Sept. 1, 2025 — Max becomes the default pre-installed option on new smartphones in Russia, solidifying its installed base.
- End-2026 — Official statements or regulatory actions that could signal a complete blocking of WhatsApp if compliance terms are not met.
- February 2026 — Ongoing reporting on access to WhatsApp in Russia, including potential official clarifications or statements from Moscow.
- Regulatory updates — Any new measures that define how foreign messaging platforms must operate within Russia’s legal framework.
The current state of the crypto market is unfolding almost exactly as historical patterns would suggest, according to Michael Terpin, CEO of Transform Ventures
That’s why he was skeptical of recent overly optimistic bottom calls. “When people thought the bottom was going to be at $80,000 and that it would only be a six-week bear market, that seems ridiculous to me,” Terpin said at Consensus Hong Kong 2026 on Thursday.
Predictions that bitcoin would bottom at $60,000 and immediately resume its climb struck him as premature. “That also seems a little too soon.”
While he stopped short of forecasting another year-long drawdown, Terpin believes the market likely faces “one more point of pain” in what he describes as a fragile environment. He suggests bitcoin could revisit levels in the $50,000s or even the $40,000s before a durable bottom is formed.
The halving is central to bitcoin’s design because it cuts the reward miners receive for validating transactions in half roughly every four years, reducing the rate at which new coins are created.
This built-in supply shock reinforces bitcoin’s scarcity, a core part of its value proposition, and has historically preceded major bull markets as reduced new supply meets steady or rising demand.
The halving mechanism slows bitcoin’s inflation rate over time, ultimately capping total supply at 21 million coins and reinforcing its positioning as digital gold.
“We are exactly where we should be,” Terpin argued, pointing to the well-established four-year cycle anchored around Bitcoin’s halving events.
One of the most reliable elements of prior cycles has been the rough timing of the bubble peak and subsequent unwind, he argued.
“The bull market popped in the fourth quarter after the halving,” he notes, adding that the speculative blow-off phase typically lasts between nine and 11 months. “This time it was 11 months.”
Terpin draws a close parallel to the last cycle. “The highs, the bubble popping, were on Nov. 10, 2021,” he says. “The lows were right after FTX declared bankruptcy on Nov. 10, 2022. Exactly a year to the day.”
Read more: Crypto asset manager Bitwise says bitcoin will break its four-year cycle in 2026
Job growth varied dramatically by sector last month, though healthcare and social assistance remained stalwart employment engines.
The healthcare sector started off the year strong with the addition of 82,000 jobs in January, after a softer month in December. That’s much higher than the average monthly gains of 33,000 seen in 2025.
The social assistance sector added 42,000 jobs last month. Healthcare and social assistance have been the only consistent industries for job growth for more than a year. Without their gains, the economy would have lost jobs last year. December did show some softening in those areas’ hiring, but that trend dissipated last month.
Bitcoin (BTC) sellers resumed their activity on Thursday as the Bitcoin price turned away from its intraday high of $68,300. Analysts said that Bitcoin remained in capitulation, which could push the price lower, potentially reaching a bottom during the last quarter of 2026.
Key takeaways:
-
Multiple onchain indicators suggest Bitcoin is in deep capitulation as downside risks remain.
-
Long-term holder net-position change shows extreme distribution, mirroring past corrections that preceded further downside before bottoms.
-
Analysts forecast BTC price to hit a bottom in Q4/2026 based on various technical and onchain metrics.
Bitcoin’s capitulation persists
Bitcoin’s 46% drawdown from its all-time high of $126,000 has left a significant portion of holders underwater, and data shows they are now reducing their exposure.
Glassnode’s long-term holder (LTH) net-position change shows that Bitcoin held by these investors over 30 days decreased by 245,000 BTC on Feb. 6, marking a cycle-relative extreme in daily distribution. Since then, this investor cohort has been reducing its exposure by an average of 170,000 BTC, as shown in the chart below.
Related: Binance teases Bitcoin bullish ‘shift’ as crypto sentiment hits record low
Similar spikes in LTH net position change appeared during the corrective phases in 2019 and mid-2021, leading to BTC price consolidating before extended downtrends.
CryptoQuant data shows that Bitcoin’s MVRV Adaptive Z-Score (365-Day Window) has fallen to -2.66, reinforcing the intensity of the sell-side pressure.
“The current Z-Score reading of -2.66 proves that Bitcoin remains persistently in the capitulation zone,” CryptoQuant contributor GugaOnChain said in a Thursday Quicktake post, adding:
“The indicator suggests that we are approaching the historical accumulation phase.”
Bitcoin’s Realized Profit/Loss Ratio is about to break below 1, levels that have historically aligned with “broad-based capitulation, where realized losses outpace profit-taking across the market,” Glassnode said.
Analysts say Bitcoin will bottom out toward the end of 2026
According to multiple analyses, Bitcoin could extend its downtrend, possibly reaching as low as $40,000 to $50,000 during the last quarter of the year.
The “final capitulation on $BTC is still ahead,” Crypto analyst Tony Research said in a recent post on X, adding:
“My take is, $BTC will bottom at $40K–50K, most likely forming between mid-September and late November 2026.”
Fellow analyst Titan of Crypto said that previous bear cycles in 2018 and 2022 printed their lows 12 months after the bull market top.
Bitcoin’s current all-time high of over $126,000 was reached on Oct. 2, 2025.
“If this cycle follows the same rhythm, that puts the low around October,” the analyst added.
On-Chain College shared a chart showing that Bitcoin’s Net Realized Loss levels hit extreme levels at $13.6 billion on Feb. 7, levels last seen during the 2022 bear market.
“The 2022 loss peak occurred 5 months before the actual bear market bottom was printed,” the analyst said, suggesting that BTC could form a bottom in July 2026.
As Cointelegraph reported, many analysts expect 2026 to be a bear market year, and various forecasts predict the BTC price dropping to as low as $40,000.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision. While we strive to provide accurate and timely information, Cointelegraph does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information in this article. This article may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Cointelegraph will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from your reliance on this information.
TLDR
- Apple stock dropped more than 5% following political controversy and regulatory scrutiny.
- The Federal Trade Commission raised concerns about political bias on Apple News.
- Several institutional investors reduced their exposure to Apple stock amid growing risks.
- Apple’s increasing investments in artificial intelligence are raising concerns about rising costs.
- Despite strong quarterly earnings, investor confidence in Apple has weakened due to regulatory and political challenges.
Apple’s stock suffered a sharp decline after facing new political controversies, investor caution, and concerns about escalating AI investments. Despite a strong performance last week, Apple’s shares dropped more than 5% on Thursday. Regulatory issues and increasing scrutiny over its content platform added to the uncertainty.
Rally Reverses as Political Controversy Erupts
The reversal of Apple’s stock came after the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) raised concerns about political bias on the Apple News platform. FTC Chair Andrew Ferguson urged CEO Tim Cook to investigate claims of censorship, specifically regarding conservative outlets. The allegations suggest that Apple News may be promoting left-wing content while suppressing conservative views.
The FTC’s letter highlighted reports that claimed Apple News was skewed toward liberal sources. Apple, however, has yet to publicly respond to these allegations. This political controversy comes at a time when technology companies are already under close regulatory scrutiny.
Apple Stock Sees Institutional Investor Withdrawals
As political risks grew, institutional investors began reducing their exposure to Apple stock. Reports revealed that NBT Bank reduced its position by 5.3%, while Campbell & Co cut its holdings by over 70%. Other firms, such as Gamco, also lowered their stakes, signaling a shift in sentiment toward Apple’s stock.
These moves reflect a broader rotation out of large tech stocks as investors seek safer investments in the current market climate. The growing regulatory scrutiny, along with political controversies, has made Apple a less attractive option for some institutional investors. This caution comes after a long period of strong performance, during which Apple’s stock price reached new highs.
AI Spending Raises Fresh Concerns
Apple’s growing investment in artificial intelligence (AI) has raised additional concerns for investors. CEO Tim Cook has called AI a “profound opportunity,” but the rising costs associated with AI development are becoming a concern. Apple’s recent acquisition of Israeli startup Q.ai, which focuses on advanced human-computer interaction, highlights the company’s deepening commitment to AI.
Investors are increasingly questioning the high costs involved in AI research and infrastructure. The capital required to compete in the AI sector, especially for specialized chips and data centers, could put pressure on Apple’s profit margins. There are concerns that the commercial viability of certain AI technologies may not justify the hefty investment required in the short term.
Despite these challenges, Apple’s financial performance remains strong. The company’s recent quarterly results showed a 16% increase in revenue, reaching $143.8 billion. The iPhone continues to be a key driver, with record sales of $85.3 billion. However, investors are now focusing on how effectively Apple can manage its increasing AI costs and whether these investments will translate into long-term growth.
In the meantime, Apple continues to benefit from favorable policy changes in India, which support its supply chain strategy. However, these long-term advantages do little to ease investor concerns in the near term, as political scrutiny and AI-related costs dominate the narrative around the company’s future prospects.
The hot January jobs report had traders rethinking bets on multiple interest-rate cuts before July.
Odds of a quarter-point cut at the Federal Reserve’s March policy meeting fell to 6% from 20.1% prior to the report.
Through the June meeting, odds of no cuts surged to 40.4% from 24.8%. Odds of a single quarter-point cut were at 49.4% from 49%, while odds of a half point in cuts or more fell to 10.2% from 26.2%.
Stock Futures Pop After Stronger-Than-Expected January Jobs Report
CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.
The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 1943.37, up 1.3% (+25.4) since 4 p.m. ET on Wednesday.
Seventeen of the 20 assets are trading higher.
Leaders: HBAR (+6.7%) and XLM (+4.2%).
Laggards: UNI (-1.9%) and BCH (-0.8%).
The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.
Nearly every major company in the world is experimenting with artificial intelligence, but almost none are changing meaningfully as a result, McKinsey’s chairman of Greater China, Joe Ngai, told Consensus Hong Kong on Thursday.
Internal surveys show 98% of corporate executives report implementing some form of AI, Ngai said. But when asked how much of that is deployed at scale, “that number drops significantly” to less than 20%, he said. When it comes to measurable profit impact, it’s 5%.
The bottleneck, Ngai argued, isn’t technical capability, it’s organizational design.
Modern corporations, he said, are built on “layers of people, hierarchies, managers and reporting.” In an AI-native world, that structure becomes friction.
Instead of reimagining business models, most firms are layering AI pilots onto legacy processes, seeking approvals, testing small use cases and protecting reporting lines.
“That is actually not where you get the most benefit out of AI,” Ngai said. “The bottleneck of AI implementation is actually people.”
From his vantage point in China, Ngai sees a different approach. Chinese companies have spent a decade digitizing operations around mobile and data. As a result, the “receptance … on agentic and AI is far greater,” with less resistance from labor structures and legacy governance.
Unlike Western discourse, which often centers on frontier models and artificial general intelligence, China’s focus is pragmatic: “There’s a lot less talk about the models … there’s a lot more talk around usage.”
Ngai also highlighted embodied AI, such as robotics, automation and autonomous driving, as a major frontier. Given China’s supply chain scale, he predicts a coming “robot dividend,” arguing the country may soon deploy more robots than humans, offsetting demographic decline and reshaping industrial productivity.
Ngai described 2026 as defined by two opposing forces: geopolitical uncertainty and technological acceleration. CEOs are navigating tariffs and fragmentation on one hand, and AI-driven transformation on the other. Yet corporate earnings remain resilient.
The traditional four-year crypto cycle, long-tethered to bitcoin’s halving events, may be a thing of the past.
Han Lin, founder and CEO of Gate and an early advocate of bitcoin, told CoinDesk on Thursday the digital asset market has matured into a global macroeconomic pillar that now moves in lockstep with U.S. equities and AI-driven technological shifts rather than internal supply shocks.
Lin, who leads the world’s fourth-largest exchange with daily volume exceeding $2 billion, laid out his vision of an industry that has transitioned from an “existential threat” to the foundational infrastructure of traditional finance.
The American Bankers Association (ABA) urged U.S. Congress to ban yield on payment stablecoins and revise open banking rules, framing the changes as necessary for consumer protection and competitive balance. Crypto and fintech critics say the ABA’s agenda would tilt the regulatory playing field toward banks by limiting how wallets, stablecoin issuers and apps can access users and their financial data.
“I don’t believe in the four-year cycle anymore,” Lin said, noting that Gate (formerly Gate.io) is positioning itself for an upward move driven by the convergence of crypto and TradFi. “The market is bigger now. It is more related to the global economy and the U.S. stock market. You cannot see it as isolated.”
Lin’s outlook comes as Gate executed a massive global rebranding, moving to the Gate.com domain and securing high-profile sponsorships with Oracle Red Bull Racing and Inter Milan. The goal, Lin says, is to prepare for a wave of real-world asset (RWA) tokenization that extends far beyond the current stablecoin market.
While stablecoins like USDC and USDT are the “most successful use cases” today, Lin anticipates a rapid migration of stocks, precious metals, and commodities onto the blockchain. Gate is already facilitating this shift, offering users access to traditional assets in a tokenized, 24/7 format.
“We will beat traditional exchanges and banks very soon,” Lin claimed, citing the inherent efficiency of onchain liquidity. He argues that while legacy institutions like the New York Stock Exchange are only now exploring 24/7 trading, crypto-native platforms have already perfected the infrastructure required for a round-the-clock global market.
Lin dismissed the idea that stablecoins are an inherent threat to bank deposits. Instead, he views them as a technological upgrade that banks are increasingly eager to adopt.
“I have talked with some banks; they are no longer eager to go against crypto,” Lin said. “They can use stablecoins to accelerate their own service. We use them as a rail for money transfer.”
Despite the competitive landscape, Lin confirmed that his crypto exchange has no plans to develop its own stablecoin, preferring to remain a neutral venue that integrates existing tokens like Circle’s USDC. This strategy focuses on “building the infrastructure” rather than competing with the assets themselves.
Market resilience and AI tailwinds
Despite a volatile 2025 that saw many retail participants sidelined, Lin remains bullish on the “believers” who continue to accumulate at low points. He points to the 15x growth in crypto-based payments over the last two years as evidence that digital assets are finding “real-world utility” beyond simple speculation.
Lin sees the current AI boom as a “strong support” for crypto. As investors hunt for the next technological frontier, the intersection of AI and blockchain, particularly in lowering the barrier to entry for new users, is expected to drive the next wave of adoption.
“We don’t care about the price alarms,” Lin concluded. “We care about the applications. We are making it lower cost and more efficient. The technology works, and nobody can stop that.”
Bitcoin price is approaching a critical $65,000 support zone where Fibonacci and channel confluence suggest a potential local bottom may form before a strong relief rally unfolds.
Summary
- Rising channel support and 0.618 Fibonacci converge near the $64,400–$65,000 zone
- Local downtrend likely persists until stronger support is tested
- Bullish volume at support could spark a relief rally toward channel resistance
Bitcoin (BTC) price action remains corrective in the near term, with the market continuing to rotate lower within a broader rising channel. After failing to hold the channel midpoint, BTC has slipped into a weaker internal trend, putting downward pressure on the price as sellers remain in control.
Despite this weakness, the broader structure does not yet signal a macro breakdown. Instead, current conditions suggest Bitcoin may be nearing a high-probability support zone where a temporary bottom could form.
This type of environment often precedes internal rotations within an uptrend, where price revisits deeper support before attempting a recovery. The focus now shifts to whether Bitcoin can find demand near the lower boundary of its rising channel.
Bitcoin price key technical points
- Rising channel structure remains intact, despite the loss of mid-channel support
- 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with channel support near the $64,400–$65,000 zone
- Bullish volume at support is required, to confirm a relief rally and trend continuation
Bitcoin has been trading within a rising channel that has guided price action over recent months. The recent loss of the channel midpoint marked an important shift in short-term momentum, indicating that buyers were unable to maintain control at higher value levels. Once this internal support failed, price began rotating lower toward the stronger structural support at the channel low.
This type of movement is common in trending markets. Rather than immediately reversing, price often seeks deeper liquidity and stronger technical confluence before stabilizing. The current downtrend on lower timeframes reflects this internal rotation rather than a full trend reversal.
Importantly, this move lower has occurred without aggressive expansion in bearish volume, suggesting controlled selling rather than panic-driven capitulation.
$65,000 support zone comes into focus
The next major technical level sits near the $64,400–$65,000 region. This zone represents a strong confluence of technical factors, including the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the broader move and the lower boundary of the rising channel. When Fibonacci retracements align with structural channel support, they often act as high-probability reaction zones.
A move into this area would complete the current internal rotation within the channel. As long as price holds this support on a closing basis, the broader bullish structure remains intact. This makes the $65,000 region a key area where buyers may step in to defend trend continuation.
‘No Man’s Land’ consolidation likely before support test
At present, Bitcoin is trading between major support and resistance levels, an area often described as “no man’s land.” In these zones, price action tends to be choppy, with limited follow-through in either direction. Consolidation in this region is typical as the market prepares for its next decisive move.
As long as BTC remains below reclaimed resistance and above major support, further ranging and slow drift lower remain likely. This environment often frustrates both bulls and bears, but it is a necessary phase before larger rotations unfold.
What to expect in the coming price action
From a technical, price-action, and market-structure perspective, Bitcoin appears to be nearing the latter stages of its current corrective rotation. While short-term downside risk remains, the $64,400–$65,000 region stands out as a potential bottoming zone.
For a meaningful relief rally to begin, Bitcoin will need to show a clear reaction at its support level. This includes strong bullish volume, rejection wicks, and acceptance back above short-term value levels.
If these conditions are met, price could rotate back toward the upper boundary of the rising channel, with the $75,000 region acting as the next major resistance target.
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