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Bitcoin price could bottom at $65K before major relief rally

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Why Bitcoin price could bottom at $65,000 before a major relief rally - 1

Bitcoin price is approaching a critical $65,000 support zone where Fibonacci and channel confluence suggest a potential local bottom may form before a strong relief rally unfolds.

Summary

  • Rising channel support and 0.618 Fibonacci converge near the $64,400–$65,000 zone
  • Local downtrend likely persists until stronger support is tested
  • Bullish volume at support could spark a relief rally toward channel resistance

Bitcoin (BTC) price action remains corrective in the near term, with the market continuing to rotate lower within a broader rising channel. After failing to hold the channel midpoint, BTC has slipped into a weaker internal trend, putting downward pressure on the price as sellers remain in control.

Despite this weakness, the broader structure does not yet signal a macro breakdown. Instead, current conditions suggest Bitcoin may be nearing a high-probability support zone where a temporary bottom could form.

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This type of environment often precedes internal rotations within an uptrend, where price revisits deeper support before attempting a recovery. The focus now shifts to whether Bitcoin can find demand near the lower boundary of its rising channel.

Bitcoin price key technical points

  • Rising channel structure remains intact, despite the loss of mid-channel support
  • 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with channel support near the $64,400–$65,000 zone
  • Bullish volume at support is required, to confirm a relief rally and trend continuation
Why Bitcoin price could bottom at $65,000 before a major relief rally - 1
BTCUSDT (1H) Chart, Source: TradingView

Bitcoin has been trading within a rising channel that has guided price action over recent months. The recent loss of the channel midpoint marked an important shift in short-term momentum, indicating that buyers were unable to maintain control at higher value levels. Once this internal support failed, price began rotating lower toward the stronger structural support at the channel low.

This type of movement is common in trending markets. Rather than immediately reversing, price often seeks deeper liquidity and stronger technical confluence before stabilizing. The current downtrend on lower timeframes reflects this internal rotation rather than a full trend reversal.

Importantly, this move lower has occurred without aggressive expansion in bearish volume, suggesting controlled selling rather than panic-driven capitulation.

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$65,000 support zone comes into focus

The next major technical level sits near the $64,400–$65,000 region. This zone represents a strong confluence of technical factors, including the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the broader move and the lower boundary of the rising channel. When Fibonacci retracements align with structural channel support, they often act as high-probability reaction zones.

A move into this area would complete the current internal rotation within the channel. As long as price holds this support on a closing basis, the broader bullish structure remains intact. This makes the $65,000 region a key area where buyers may step in to defend trend continuation.

‘No Man’s Land’ consolidation likely before support test

At present, Bitcoin is trading between major support and resistance levels, an area often described as “no man’s land.” In these zones, price action tends to be choppy, with limited follow-through in either direction. Consolidation in this region is typical as the market prepares for its next decisive move.

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As long as BTC remains below reclaimed resistance and above major support, further ranging and slow drift lower remain likely. This environment often frustrates both bulls and bears, but it is a necessary phase before larger rotations unfold.

What to expect in the coming price action

From a technical, price-action, and market-structure perspective, Bitcoin appears to be nearing the latter stages of its current corrective rotation. While short-term downside risk remains, the $64,400–$65,000 region stands out as a potential bottoming zone.

For a meaningful relief rally to begin, Bitcoin will need to show a clear reaction at its support level. This includes strong bullish volume, rejection wicks, and acceptance back above short-term value levels.

If these conditions are met, price could rotate back toward the upper boundary of the rising channel, with the $75,000 region acting as the next major resistance target.

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Crypto World

Genius Group Dumps Bitcoin Treasury Amid Revenue Surge

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Genius Group Dumps Bitcoin Treasury Amid Revenue Surge

AI-powered Bitcoin treasury and education company Genius Group revealed on Tuesday that it sold the remainder of its Bitcoin in Q1 to pay off debt, adding to a recent wave of companies offloading assets amid a crypto bear market. 

“The company will recommence building its Bitcoin Treasury when it believes market conditions are more favorable,” it stated. 

The move appears to go against its “Bitcoin first” strategy, which it touted in November 2024, vowing at the time to commit 90% or more of its current and future reserves to be held in Bitcoin. 

Genius Group held 84 BTC worth around $5.7 million as of March 2026, but holdings have declined since April 2025, around the time it was temporarily barred by a US court from expanding its Bitcoin treasury. It resumed buying in June of that year.

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The recent announcement came as Genius Group reported strong results in Q1, with revenue up 171% year-on-year to $3.3 million and gross profit up 228% to $2 million. The company swung from a $500,000 operating loss in Q1 2025 to a $2.7 million net profit in Q1 2026.

Genius Group BTC holdings have now fallen to zero. Source: Bitcoin Treasuries

Bitcoin treasuries liquidating in 2026 

Genius Group is not the only Bitcoin-related company to offload assets in recent months. 

MARA Holdings sold 15,133 BTC for around $1.1 billion in March, dropping its treasury to 38,689 BTC and down to the third largest corporate Bitcoin treasury, behind Twenty One Capital. 

The proceeds were used to repurchase approximately $1 billion of convertible senior notes and the remainder for general corporate purposes. 

Related: Bhutan offloads another $37M in Bitcoin as sovereign wallet shrinks

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Meanwhile, mining company Bitdeer liquidated its entire stash of 943 BTC and sold newly mined coins, cutting corporate holdings to zero in February.

Other notable recent sales include Bitcoin miner Cango Inc., which sold 4,451 BTC, and AI tech firm GD Culture Group, confirming authorization of the sale of some of its 7,500 BTC treasury in February. 

Stalwart Strategy keeps on buying 

Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin treasury, has bucked the trend and has continued buying Bitcoin, dominating purchases this year.

“Strip out Strategy, and the rest of the ecosystem’s buying pace has collapsed,” reported BTC mining analytics outlet BitcoinMiningStock in March.

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The firm’s last purchase was 1,031 BTC on March 23, and it has accumulated 89,581 BTC worth around $6.1 billion at current market prices so far this year, according to the Saylor Tracker. 

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