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Thailand SEC Approves Bitcoin and Crypto Assets for Regulated Futures and Options Trading

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TLDR:

  • Thailand SEC authorizes Bitcoin and digital assets as underlyings for futures and options trading
  • New rules follow cabinet approval of amendments to the country’s long-standing Derivatives Act
  • Trading will occur only through licensed operators on the Thailand Futures Exchange platform
  • Spot crypto trading stays regulated, while payments using digital assets remain restricted

 

Thailand’s Securities and Exchange Commission has approved the use of Bitcoin and other digital assets in regulated derivatives markets.

Futures and options tied to crypto will trade on the Thailand Futures Exchange under licensed supervision. The move expands investor access while keeping activity inside formal rules. Spot trading remains limited to approved exchanges, and payment restrictions stay in place.

Crypto Assets Enter Thailand’s Derivatives Market

Under the revised Derivatives Act, digital assets may serve as underlying assets for futures, options, and related contracts. Bitcoin was listed among eligible instruments, alongside carbon credits and other approved assets. Trading will occur on the Thailand Futures Exchange.

The SEC stated that derivatives tied to crypto will follow the same oversight standards as traditional contracts. Operators must obtain licenses and meet reporting and compliance requirements. These controls aim to keep trading orderly and transparent.

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Thailand has regulated crypto markets since 2018. Spot trading remains allowed only through licensed exchanges. At the same time, authorities continue to prohibit the use of cryptocurrencies as everyday payment tools.

SEC Secretary-General Pornanong Budsaratragoon said the update expands investment choices and supports risk diversification. Investors can now access digital asset exposure through familiar financial products rather than direct holdings.

Framework Expands While Supervision Continues

The development gained attention on social media after Vivek Sen posted on X that Thailand was easing crypto trading rules. His post drew market interest and reflected the broader response from the crypto community.

Regulators clarified that the new structure builds on existing laws, not a full policy shift. The focus remains on controlled growth within regulated venues. Derivatives allow participation while exchanges maintain custody and compliance standards.

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The SEC also plans additional rules for operator licensing and supervision updates. Future steps may include crypto exchange-traded funds and tokenization initiatives. No timelines were provided for those measures.

Trading and settlement will follow established exchange procedures. Digital assets will function as approved underlyings rather than separate markets. Authorities said implementation will occur gradually to ensure stability.

Through these measures, Thailand expands access to crypto-based products while maintaining strict regulatory control.

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Crypto World

AVAX Eyes $147 Target as Elliott Wave Pattern Signals Multi-Year Recovery Phase

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TLDR:

  • AVAX completed Wave 1 between $8-$5, now entering Wave 2 recovery phase within descending channel 
  • CryptoPatel targets $33, $58, $97, and $147 representing potential 2,489% expansion from bottom 
  • Critical support at $5.50 must hold on weekly close to maintain bullish Elliott Wave structure 
  • Analysis suggests multi-year setup through 2026-2027 suited for spot accumulation and patience

 

AVAX traders are monitoring a technical analysis that suggests the token could target $147 in the coming years. Crypto analyst CryptoPatel has identified an Elliott Wave formation on the weekly chart, indicating a possible recovery phase after a 95% correction from the 2021 all-time high.

The analysis places AVAX at a critical inflection point, with the asset trading within a multi-year descending channel.

Price action currently hovers near $8.86, presenting what the analyst describes as a macro support accumulation zone.

Technical Structure Shows Wave Completion

The technical framework outlined by CryptoPatel centers on Elliott Wave theory applied to AVAX’s weekly timeframe. According to the analysis shared on X, Wave 1 completed between $8 and $5, marking a macro bottom for the current cycle.

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The token now enters what the analyst labels as Wave 2, representing an early recovery phase from the previous correction.

The descending channel formation has contained price action since the 2021 peak. This pattern shows a bearish breakdown followed by a retest of the lower trendline, creating what technical analysts call a deviation setup.

Market structure at these levels suggests accumulation by institutional participants, though this remains speculative based on price behavior rather than confirmed data.

Support zones have formed between $8 and $7, coinciding with weekly demand areas. The liquidity sweep into these zones mirrors fractal patterns from previous market cycles.

Additionally, the compression phase resembles historical accumulation periods that preceded major rallies in past bull markets.

Price Targets Extend Beyond $100 Mark

CryptoPatel’s forecast includes four distinct targets as the Elliott Wave structure potentially unfolds through 2026 and 2027. The progression starts at $33, followed by $58, then $97, before reaching a final target of $147.

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These levels correspond to the mid-channel resistance and eventual upper boundary of the descending formation. From the identified bottom to the highest target, the expansion measures approximately 2,489%.

The bullish scenario requires sustained weekly strength with expansion toward mid-channel resistance zones. Price must demonstrate momentum capable of breaking through overhead supply levels that accumulated during the extended correction. However, the analysis also establishes clear invalidation parameters to manage risk exposure.

The critical support level sits at $5.50, representing the Wave 1 low. A weekly close beneath this threshold would negate the Elliott Wave count and suggest further downside potential. This makes the $5.50 level essential for bulls to defend on higher timeframes.

The analyst characterizes this setup as appropriate for spot accumulation and long-term positioning rather than short-term trading.

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The asymmetric risk-reward profile stems from proximity to identified support versus the distance to upside targets.

Patience remains necessary as weekly timeframe patterns develop over extended periods, typically spanning months or years rather than days or weeks.

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Coinbase Reports $667M Q4 Loss as Crypto Market Downturn Hits Revenues

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🛡

Coinbase earnings just broke its streak, and not in a good way. After eight straight winning quarters, it posted a brutal $667 million net loss in Q4 2025. That is a punch to the face.

As crypto prices slid from their yearly highs, the exchange completely missed Wall Street revenue expectations.

Revenue came in at $1.78 billion. Sounds big, but it was below the $1.85 billion analysts expected. Transaction revenue was the real damage. Down 37% to $982.7 million.

That tells you everything about trader activity right now.

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Key Takeaways

  • Coinbase reported a $667 million net loss, its first profit miss since Q3 2023.
  • Revenue fell 21.5% YoY to $1.78 billion, missing analyst expectations.
  • Transaction fees plummeted 37% as retail traders exited the market.
  • Shares (COIN) dipped 7.9% intraday but rebounded nearly 3% after hours.

Is the Bull Market Officially Over? How Coinbase Can Survive It

That $667 million loss is not just a bad quarter. It screams deeper cycle weakness. A big chunk of it came from unrealized losses on Coinbase own crypto holdings after prices collapsed from the October 2025 highs.

When Bitcoin falls from nearly $126,000 to the mid $60k range, nobody walks away clean. Not even the exchanges.

This kind of volatility feels similar to the uncertainty during the FTX fallout days. Brian Armstrong is still calling this downturn psychological.

Retail traders are barely active. Transaction revenue, which is the core engine of the business, dried up as volume vanished.

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Casual money is staying on the sidelines. And that is the last thing Coinbase needed.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio

COIN Stock Resilience or Dead Cat Bounce?

Even after that ugly earnings report, COIN stock actually climbed 2.9% in after-hours, sitting near $145. Sounds crazy, right?

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But the stock had already dropped 7.9% during the regular session. Traders probably priced in the disaster before the numbers even hit.

Source: COINUSD / TradingView

Still, the outlook is not exactly comforting. Subscription and services revenue was the only real bright spot, up 13% to $727.4 million.

That helped soften the blow. But management is already guiding lower for Q1 2026, expecting that figure to fall into the $550 to $630 million range. That is not small.

If even the so-called stable revenue starts shrinking, the safety cushion gets thin fast. And if that happens, a retest of the $139 zone, near the 52-week lows, would not be surprising at all.

Discover: What is the next crypto to explode?

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Bitcoin ETFs Post $410M Outflows As Early-Week Momentum Fades

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Bitcoin ETFs Post $410M Outflows As Early-Week Momentum Fades

US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw heightened selling on Thursday, with outflows accelerating the same day Standard Chartered lowered its 2026 Bitcoin forecast.

Spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs recorded $410.4 million in outflows, extending weekly losses to $375.1 million, according to SoSoValue data.

Unless Friday brings substantial inflows, the funds are on track for a fourth consecutive week of losses, with assets under management (AUM) nearing $80 billion, down from a peak of almost $170 billion in October 2025.

Daily flows in US spot Bitcoin ETFs since Monday. Source: SoSoValue

The selling coincided with Standard Chartered lowering its 2026 Bitcoin target from $150,000 to $100,000, warning that prices could fall to $50,000 before recovering.

“We expect further price capitulation over the next few months,” the bank said in a Thursday report shared with Cointelegraph, forecasting Bitcoin to drop to $50,000 and Ether (ETH) to $1,400.

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“Once those lows are reached, we expect a price recovery for the remainder of the year,” Standard Chartered added, projecting year-end prices for BTC and ETH at $100,000 and $4,000, respectively.

Solana ETFs the only winners amid heavy crypto ETF outflows

Negative sentiment persisted across all 11 Bitcoin ETF products, with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) and the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund suffering the largest outflows of $157.6 million and $104.1 million, respectively, according to Farside.

Ether ETFs faced similar pressure, with $113.1 million in daily outflows dragging weekly outflows to $171.4 million, marking a potential fourth consecutive week of losses.

XRP (XRP) ETFs saw their first outflows of $6.4 million since Feb. 3, while Solana (SOL) ETFs bucked the trend, recording a minor $2.7 million in inflows.

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Extreme bear phase not yet here as analysts expect $55,000 bottom

Standard Chartered’s latest Bitcoin forecast follows previous analyst forecasts that Bitcoin could dip below $60,000 before testing a recovery.

Crypto analytics platform CryptoQuant reiterated that realized price support remains at around $55,000 and has not yet been tested.

“Bitcoin’s ultimate bear market bottom is around $55,000 today,” CryptoQuant said in a weekly update shared with Cointelegraph.

Bitcoin’s realized price chart. Source: CryptoQuant

“Market cycle indicators remain in the bear phase, not extreme bear phase,” CryptoQuant noted, adding: “Our Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator has not entered the Extreme Bear regime that historically marks the start of bottoming processes, which typically persist for several months.”

Related: Bernstein calls Bitcoin sell-off ‘weakest bear case’ on record, keeps $150K 2026 target

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Bitcoin hovered around $66,000 on Thursday, briefly dipping to $65,250, according to CoinGecko data.

Despite ongoing selling pressure, long-term holder (LTH) behavior does not indicate capitulation, with holders currently selling around breakeven. “Historical bear market bottoms formed when LTHs endured 30–40% losses, indicating further downside may be required for a full reset,” CryptoQuant added.

Magazine: Bitcoin difficulty plunges, Buterin sells off Ethereum: Hodler’s Digest, Feb. 1 – 7