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Cathie Wood: AI and Market Volatility Create Long-Term Opportunities

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TLDR:

  • Cathie Wood sees AI as the largest investment opportunity for tech companies today.
  • Algorithmic trading drives volatility but creates opportunities for well-researched investors.
  • Inflation is easing, with monetary velocity stabilizing and unit labor costs contained.
  • Bitcoin underperforms gold short-term, yet long-term supply dynamics remain favorable.

 

Cathie Wood ARK Invest market outlook is drawing attention as volatility intensifies across equities and digital assets.

The ARK Invest founder attributes recent swings to algorithmic trading and maintains that disciplined research during fearful periods can uncover long-term opportunities.

Volatility, AI Spending, and Market Structure

In a recent post on X, ARK Invest wrote, “Fear is high. Volatility is elevated.” The firm added that Cathie Wood would explain why such periods may create long-term opportunities in its “In The Know” segment.

Wood stated that much of the current turbulence is driven by algorithmically generated trading. “This kind of volatility tends to create opportunities for those who are doing deep research,” she said.

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She argued that automated strategies are accelerating short-term market swings.

She compared the present backdrop to earlier stress events, including tariff-related turmoil. Wood noted that investors who sold in panic during those episodes later regretted their decisions. “Markets climb a wall of worry in strong bull markets,” she said, describing the current phase.

Wood contrasted today’s climate with the late-1990s tech and telecom bubble. She said the market is less forgiving of spending without productivity gains.

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However, she maintained that Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Amazon “should be investing aggressively in AI,” calling it “the biggest opportunity of our lifetime.”

Inflation Trends, Dollar Outlook, and Bitcoin

Wood also addressed fiscal dynamics and productivity. She said the US budget deficit could shift toward surplus by the end of the current presidential term due to stronger-than-expected productivity growth. Citing Palantir, she pointed to data-driven efficiencies supporting that view.

On trade, Wood said concerns about the deficit overlook capital inflows. “We have a capital surplus that offsets the trade deficit,” she stated. She added that a dollar turnaround would be “a powerful anti-inflationary force.”

Turning to inflation metrics, Wood referenced the relationship between CPI and M2. She said inflation “is breaking down,” adding that monetary velocity is likely to flatten or decline. She also noted that unit labor costs are not rising as they did in the 1970s.

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Addressing digital assets, Wood discussed Bitcoin and its recent underperformance against gold. She attributed the move to “risk-off sentiment and algorithmic selling.” Despite short-term pressure, she reiterated a long-term constructive outlook on Bitcoin supply dynamics and encouraged investors to consider self-custody.

 

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Pi Network’s PI Finally Rebounds Sharply, Bitcoin (BTC) Eyes $70K: Weekend Watch

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BTCUSD Feb 14. Source: TradingView


PI has surged by almost 20% since its latest all-time low registered just a few days ago.

Bitcoin’s impressive price ascent that began late on Friday drove the asset to a multi-day low of just under $70,000, where it faced some resistance.

The altcoin space is filled with notable gainers as well, with ETH surging toward $2,100, SOL going to $86, and XRP aiming at $1.45.

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BTC Eyes $70K

After dumping to $60,000 on February 6, the primary cryptocurrency bounced off to $72,000 almost immediately but couldn’t penetrate that level and was sent south toward $68,000. The following several days were quite underwhelming as BTC spent them trading sideways between $68,000 and $72,000.

The upper boundary rejected the latest attempt on February 10, and bitcoin began to lose value rapidly, going down to $66,000 on February 12 and $65,000 on Friday morning. However, the bulls managed to defend that support and actually helped BTC reverse its trajectory.

They initiated a notable leg up that drove bitcoin to $68,000 $69,000 on Friday evening. After it stalled there for some hours, the bulls pushed the asset further to almost $70,000 on Saturday morning, but that resistance is yet to fall.

For now, bitcoin’s market cap has risen to $1.390 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the altcoins has remained relatively stable at 56.7%.

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BTCUSD Feb 14. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Feb 14. Source: TradingView

Alts on the Rise

Ethereum struggles mid-week as it dumped below $2,000 after the latest leg down. However, it reacted positively to this drop and now sits close to $2,100 after a 6% daily increase. XRP, which went down to $1.35 at one point, stands at $1.45 now after a similar daily increase.

Zcash is the biggest gainer from the larger-cap alts. ZEC has soared by 20% to $280, followed by HBAR (9%), BCH (8%), XLM (8%), and LINK (6%). SOL has shipped to $86 after a 7.3% daily jump.

Pi Network’s native token has finally shown some signs of revival. It’s up by 8% daily and 18% since its all-time low marked just three days ago, which prompted some analysts to speculate whether this is a sustainable recovery or just another dead-cat bounce before a new plunge.

The total crypto market cap has added roughly $100 billion in a day and is up to $2.455 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview Daily Feb 14. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview Daily Feb 14. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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ARK Invest Bets on Coinbase Again with $15M Buy After Selling Spree

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Crypto Breaking News

ARK Invest has quietly reloaded on Coinbase Global (EXCHANGE: COIN) shares, deploying roughly $15 million across its flagship ETFs after trimming the position at the start of February. The Cathie Wood-led firm disclosed purchases totaling 66,545 Coinbase shares through the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), 16,832 shares via the Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW), and 9,477 shares through the Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF), according to ARK’s daily trade disclosures. The move followed a strong price session for Coinbase stock, which closed at $164.32 on Friday, up about 16% on the day and trading higher in after-hours action. Taken together, the buys lift ARK’s reported Coinbase exposure to roughly $15.2 million in aggregate across the three ETFs. In parallel, ARK stepped up its stake in Roblox Corporation (EXCHANGE: RBLX), with purchases routed through the same trio of ARK funds as Roblox traded near $63.17 on Friday on the New York Stock Exchange.

  • ARK’s fresh Coinbase exposure amounts to roughly $15 million across ARKK, ARKW, and ARKF, including 66,545 shares in ARKK, 16,832 in ARKW, and 9,477 in ARKF.
  • Coinbase stock surged roughly 16% intraday, closing at $164.32 and extending gains after the session, underscoring a supportive price backdrop for the trading activity.
  • The same day also saw ARK lift its Roblox (EXCHANGE: RBLX) holdings across its ETFs, with Roblox trading near the $63.17 mark on Friday.
  • ARK had trimmed Coinbase shares earlier in February, including roughly $17.4 million sold on Feb. 5—the first reduction since August 2025—and an additional $22 million sold across several ETFs on Feb. 6.
  • Coinbase’s quarterly results in late 2025 showed a material swing in profitability, with a Q4 net loss of $667 million on revenue of $1.78 billion; transaction revenue declined year over year while subscription and services revenue rose.
  • The broader market backdrop for crypto equities remained volatile, with ARK ETFs previously contending with crypto-market pullbacks that pressured performance.

Tickers mentioned: $COIN, $RBLX, $BTC, $ETH

Sentiment: Neutral

Price impact: Positive — the session’s sharp rally in Coinbase shares coincided with ARK’s renewed buying across its ETFs, signaling renewed institutional interest even as the broader crypto cycle remained choppy.

Market context: The episode unfolds against a backdrop of ongoing crypto market volatility and shifting risk sentiment. ARK’s activity reflects how ETF flows can momentarily diverge from broader sector headlines, with price action in Coinbase acting as a barometer for investor appetite in crypto-linked equities amid a period of volatility in digital assets.

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Why it matters

The resurgence of ARK’s Coinbase exposure matters for investors watching how fast-moving ETF flows interact with crypto-adjacent equities. Coinbase, a primary onramp and exchange operator exposed to the cyclicality of digital asset markets, has endured a brutal 2025 as crypto prices and volumes sagged. The new purchases signal that ARK’s active-management approach remains willing to tilt toward Coinbase when its price action aligns with a broader risk-on tone in the market. The trades also occur alongside ARK’s continued interest in Roblox, a name that remains sensitive to consumer engagement and online platform monetization, highlighting how ARK’s thematic bets span both crypto-enabled fintech and broader digital ecosystems.

From a fundamental perspective, Coinbase’s quarterly results underscore the complexity of monetizing a crypto-connected business in a market where transaction revenue can be volatile. In Q4 2025, Coinbase posted a net loss of $667 million as revenue declined to $1.78 billion, though the company noted a shift in revenue mix with subscription and services delivering modest gains. The variance in quarterly performance was echoed by real-time market dynamics, as COIN’s stock moved with broader crypto sentiment rather than solely company-specific catalysts. This backdrop helps explain why ARK’s ETF footprints can swing with both macro risk sentiment and micro-level earnings data.

For readers tracking the intersection of traditional finance and crypto-native exposure, the narrative around Coinbase also intersects with broader media and product initiatives. Coinbase has been spotlighted for recent product enhancements—whether via AI-oriented wallet features or other wallet innovations highlighted in industry coverage—and for high-profile marketing moves tied to broader consumer appeal. The juxtaposition of strong price moves in COIN with ongoing earnings scrutiny illustrates how investor expectations for growth, revenue diversification, and cost discipline remain essential to how ARK and other active managers position crypto-adjacent equities in a volatile environment.

Additionally, ARK’s strategic positioning in Roblox underscores the firm’s broader appetite for platforms with sticky user engagement and scalable monetization. Roblox’s performance sits at an interesting cross-section of entertainment, user-generated content, and in-app economics, which can be sensitive to digital advertising trends and consumer spending patterns. The simultaneous moves in both Coinbase and Roblox highlight a broader narrative: active managers are testing whether distinct but thematically linked equities can weather the near-term cyclical headwinds while offering exposure to longer-term secular themes in fintech and digital experiences.

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Related coverage in the crypto business space has framed Coinbase within a broader technology and asset-management ecosystem, including AI-driven wallet concepts and other crypto-native products that aim to tailor services for developers and users alike. For example, articles detailing Coinbase’s wallets built for AI agents offer a window into how the firm is aligning product development with evolving user demands in a rapidly changing tech landscape. Meanwhile, Coinbase’s public advertising presence continues to shape investor expectations around user growth and platform monetization as the company navigates a shifting regulatory and competitive backdrop.

What to watch next

  • ARK’s next batch of daily trade disclosures—monitor for further changes in COIN exposure across ARKK, ARKW, and ARKF.
  • Coinbase’s upcoming earnings cycle and updated guidance on subscription revenue trajectory and planned product initiatives.
  • Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) price action to gauge how macro crypto volatility influences crypto-adjacent equities.
  • Roblox (EXCHANGE: RBLX) performance metrics and engagement trends as ARK maintains exposure through its ETFs.
  • Regulatory developments or ETF-flow shifts that could alter sentiment for crypto-linked equities and related fintech names.

Sources & verification

  • ARK Invest daily trade disclosures detailing purchases across ARKK, ARKW, and ARKF and the corresponding Coinbase (COIN) and Roblox (RBLX) allocations.
  • Coinbase Q4 2025 earnings release and accompanying financial results (net loss, revenue breakdown, and commentary on future revenue streams).
  • Google Finance data showing Coinbase closing price of $164.32 and subsequent after-hours movement on the referenced session.
  • Pricing and trading data for Roblox (RBLX) around the same session to corroborate ARK’s increased stake.
  • February 5 and February 6 ARK trades reported publicly, including reductions in Coinbase exposure and reallocations within the ETF family, as described in accompanying coverage.

ARK’s renewed Coinbase bet signals renewed institutional appetite amid crypto volatility

ARK Invest’s latest moves reflect a nuanced stance on the intersection of crypto markets and listed equities. The firm’s decision to add approximately $15 million in Coinbase Global stock across ARKK, ARKW, and ARKF comes after a period of selective trimming, suggesting a calibrated stance rather than a blanket turnaround. By acquiring 66,545 shares in ARKK, 16,832 in ARKW, and 9,477 in ARKF, ARK is signaling a belief that Coinbase can absorb near-term volatility while retaining a longer-term growth narrative tied to crypto adoption and fintech infrastructure. Coinbase’s price response—closing above $164 and moving higher in after-hours trade—provides a recent price signal that could attract further ETF-driven demand if the momentum persists.

Against that backdrop, the Roblox position adds another dimension to ARK’s strategy. Roblox is a platform with a large, engaged user base and monetization opportunities spanning in-game purchases, licensing, and developer ecosystem expansion. ARK’s firm-wide tilt toward RBLX across its ETFs underscores an ongoing conviction that digital platforms with scalable network effects remain a core theme for long-term equity growth, even amid episodic volatility in the broader market.

These movements also connect to Coinbase’s ongoing product and marketing efforts, including initiatives highlighted in related coverage that emphasize how the company positions its wallets and services for a world increasingly shaped by AI-assisted technologies and consumer demand for seamless digital-finance experiences. While Coinbase reported a net loss in Q4 2025, driven by the broader crypto market downturn and revenue mix shifts, the stock’s reaction in the Friday session demonstrates that investors are differentiating between near-term earnings results and longer-term strategic positioning—especially when ETF flows reflect renewed confidence in a given name. For readers who track the crypto ecosystem, the sequence underscores how institutional positioning can diverge from macro crypto momentum for periods as investors discern the implications of product diversification, regulatory developments, and platform monetization strategies.

In summary, ARK’s renewed Coinbase exposure and its parallel Roblox moves embody a cautious, theme-driven allocation approach in a market where both crypto volatility and macro sentiment continue to drive sector-wide fluctuations. As the sector evolves, such actions will be watched closely for implications on ETF flows, investor appetite for crypto-linked equities, and the resilience of platform-based business models in digital economies.

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Pompliano Says Cooling Inflation Tests Bitcoin Investors’ Conviction

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Bitcoin holders may be entering a different phase of the market cycle as inflation eases, according to entrepreneur and investor Anthony Pompliano, who says the asset’s core thesis is now being challenged.

Key Takeaways:

  • Pompliano says easing inflation is testing Bitcoin investors’ long-term conviction.
  • Bitcoin’s scarcity thesis depends more on money supply expansion than short-term CPI moves.
  • Weak sentiment and macro uncertainty may pressure prices before a potential recovery.

In an interview with Fox Business on Thursday, Pompliano argued that many investors first turned to Bitcoin during a period of rising prices and aggressive monetary expansion.

With inflation slowing, he said, the real question is whether participants still believe in Bitcoin’s long-term purpose.

Pompliano: Bitcoin’s Case Tested Without High Inflation

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“I think the challenge for Bitcoin investors, can you hold an asset when there is not high inflation in your face on a day-to-day basis?” he said.

“Can you still believe in what Bitcoin’s value proposition is, which is that it’s a finite-supply asset. If they print money, Bitcoin is going higher.”

Government data shows inflation cooling modestly. The Consumer Price Index slowed to 2.4% in January from 2.7% a month earlier, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Even so, Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi recently told CNBC that the improvement appears stronger in statistics than in everyday costs faced by consumers.

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Bitcoin has long been promoted as a hedge against currency debasement because its supply is capped at 21 million coins.

When central banks expand liquidity and weaken purchasing power, investors often move toward scarce assets, including Bitcoin and gold, both of which Pompliano described as durable long-term stores of value.

Market sentiment, however, has deteriorated. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index recently dropped to an “Extreme Fear” reading of 9, a level not seen since June 2022.

Bitcoin was trading near $68,850 at publication, down roughly 28% over the past month, according to CoinMarketCap.

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Pompliano expects macroeconomic conditions to create turbulence before any sustained recovery.

He anticipates deflationary pressures in the short run, followed by policy responses such as rate cuts and renewed liquidity injections.

“We’re going get deflationary-type forces in the short term, people are going to ask to print money and to drop interest rates,” he said.

He described the dynamic as a “monetary slingshot,” where currency devaluation occurs while falling prices temporarily obscure its effects.

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Over time, he argued, additional money creation would weaken the U.S. dollar and strengthen scarce assets.

Bitcoin Slides as US Jobs Revision Shakes Market Confidence

Bitcoin’s recent decline followed a sharp shift in economic expectations after US authorities revised last year’s employment data lower by nearly 900,000 jobs.

While January payrolls showed a modest gain of 130,000 positions, the large adjustment undermined confidence in earlier reports and unsettled financial markets.

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Investors reacted less to the weak headline figure and more to the reliability of the data itself, as uncertainty tends to weigh heavily on risk assets.

The change quickly rippled across markets. US Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year moving from about 4.15% to 4.20%, while expectations for a March interest-rate cut dropped sharply from 22% to 9%.

Derivatives activity also intensified, with large traders increasing hedging positions against further downside.

Analysts noted that preliminary labor estimates, including statistical models used during economic transitions, may have overstated job creation in prior readings.

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For Bitcoin, the bond market remains a key signal. Higher yields typically tighten liquidity conditions, making it harder for speculative assets to recover.

Although some traders believe prices could be nearing a bottom, current market behavior suggests hesitation.

The post Pompliano Says Cooling Inflation Tests Bitcoin Investors’ Conviction appeared first on Cryptonews.

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ARK Invest Buys $15M Coinbase Shares After Recent Selling

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ARK Invest Buys $15M Coinbase Shares After Recent Selling

ARK Invest has returned to buying shares of Coinbase Global after trimming its position, adding roughly $15 million worth of stock across several of its actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on Friday.

The Cathie Wood-led asset manager purchased 66,545 Coinbase shares through the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), 16,832 shares through Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) and 9,477 shares through Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF), according to the firm’s daily trade disclosures.

The buying activity coincided with a sharp surge in Coinbase stock. Shares closed the trading session at $164.32, up about 16.4% on the day, before edging higher in after-hours trading, according to data from Google Finance. The surge put the firm’s total purchase at roughly $15.2 million.

Alongside Coinbase, ARK also increased its stake in Roblox Corporation, buying shares in ARKK, ARKW and ARKF. Roblox closed near $63.17 on the New York Stock Exchange on Friday.

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Coinbase shares surged 16% on Friday. Source: Google Finance

Related: Coinbase unveils crypto wallets designed specifically for AI agents

ARK cuts Coinbase shares across ETFs

Last week, ARK Invest reduced its exposure to Coinbase, selling about $17.4 million in Coinbase stock on Feb. 5 for the first time this year and its first reduction since August 2025.

The exchange then sold another $22 million worth of Coinbase shares across several ETFs on Feb. 6, while increasing its position in digital-asset platform Bullish.

As Cointelegraph reported, Coinbase became the top detractor across several of Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest ETFs in the fourth quarter of 2025, as a broader crypto market pullback pressured performance. Shares of Coinbase fell more sharply than both Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) during the quarter.

Related: Coinbase bets on Backstreet Boys nostalgia in return to Super Bowl

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Coinbase posts $667 million Q4 loss

Coinbase reported a net loss of $667 million in the fourth quarter of 2025, ending an eight-quarter run of profitability. Earnings per share came in at 66 cents, missing analyst expectations of 92 cents, while net revenue fell 21.5% year-over-year to $1.78 billion. Transaction revenue dropped nearly 37% to $982.7 million, although subscription and services revenue rose more than 13% to $727.4 million.