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From Oman to Tanzania: How the Iran war is redrawing India’s trade map

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From Oman to Tanzania: How the Iran war is redrawing India’s trade map
The conflict in West Asia is reshaping India’s trade flows in unexpected ways, triggering a dramatic reordering of both import sources and export destinations.

The most striking shift has been Oman’s emergence as a key trade partner. Ranked only 30th among India’s import sources in April-May 2025, the Gulf nation has jumped to 10th place in the first two months of the current financial year. Imports from Oman surged 3.8 times to $3.4 billion, largely driven by energy shipments.

The changes extend far beyond the Gulf. The UAE slipped to fourth place among India’s import partners, while Russia reclaimed the second spot, followed by the US. India’s search for alternative LPG supplies helped lift imports from the US, while purchases from Brazil rose 2.8 times to $2.7 billion. Imports from Peru climbed 3.7 times to more than $2 billion, making it India’s 20th-largest import source compared with 35th a year earlier.

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Export patterns have also undergone a significant shift. Singapore overtook China and the Netherlands to become India’s third-largest export destination during April-May, trailing second-ranked UAE by just $180 million. Tanzania emerged as the eighth-largest destination for Indian exports, up from 25th place a year ago, while South Africa climbed to 10th.

According to Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal, exports of oil products and gems and jewellery have driven Tanzania’s rise, with shipments increasing from $800 million in April-May last year to $2.2 billion this year. Exports to Sri Lanka nearly tripled to $1.8 billion, lifting the island nation to 12th place among India’s export markets.
Singapore’s rise has been fuelled largely by a 2.2-fold increase in imports of Indian petroleum products, with exports touching $5.1 billion. The island nation has been among the economies most affected by disruptions caused by the conflict in West Asia, helping it edge past China despite a more than 25% increase in Indian exports to the world’s second-largest economy.
The disruption of shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz, the vital gateway to the Persian Gulf, has elevated Oman’s strategic importance. Agrawal said Oman, with which India recently operationalised a free trade agreement, has opened the ports of Sohar, Salalah and Duqm for the transit of Indian goods to destinations across the region, including the UAE.
These arrangements have helped India restore exports to West Asia to nearly last year’s levels. Imports from the region, however, remain around 18% lower due to ongoing disruptions in energy supplies.

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Frontier forecasts third-quarter profit above estimates on higher airfares after Spirit’s exit

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Frontier forecasts third-quarter profit above estimates on higher airfares after Spirit’s exit

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Middle-earners ‘struggling’ over Jersey schools bonus cap

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A woman with dark hair and blue eyes in a plain white T-shirt sits at a desk in a wood-panelled home office, facing the camera. A computer monitor, notebook, water bottle, phone and glasses are visible on the desk, with framed artwork hanging on the wall behind.

Middle income families who are struggling with the cost of living are being “failed” by the government, a Jersey parent has said.

It comes as families have shared frustration that a means-tested benefit to help buy school supplies has not been made available island-wide.

Mum of two Lisa McCabe said not being able to access the back to school bonus was a “kick in the teeth” for working parents just above the income threshold.

The social security minister said she would review the back to school bonus ahead of next year and that the government was looking at ways to make life more affordable for parents in Jersey.

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McCabe runs a private health screening clinic in Jersey.

She said “every day” she was seeing parents struggling with the cost of raising a family in Jersey: “There’s the level of stress and burnout from people who are on what would have been considered very good wages a few years ago that just aren’t making ends meet.”

She said many middle-earners in the island had been squeezed by an increase in interest rates and the end of mortgage interest tax relief for homeowners.

For many working parents, she said, this was made worse by expensive nursery fees and the cost of covering children’s hot lunches and after school clubs.

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“There are some really difficult decisions to be made,” she said.

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Humana (HUM) earnings Q2 2026

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Humana (HUM) earnings Q2 2026

Cheng Xin | Getty Images News | Getty Images

Humana on Wednesday reported second-quarter results that topped estimates, as the health insurer’s spending on medical services came in line with expectations. 

The company also maintained its 2026 adjusted profit outlook of at least $9 per share. 

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The earnings beat was driven by strength across Humana’s insurance business and CenterWell healthcare services unit, Humana CFO Celeste Mellet said in an interview. She said medical and pharmacy cost trends tracked in line with Humana’s expectations across new and existing members. The company saw “slight favorability” in medical costs in the inpatient space, particularly among members receiving care from value-based providers, she added. 

Still, in a Wednesday note, Cantor Fitzgerald analysts called the unchanged profit outlook a “disappointment” after recent earnings beats and guidance raises seen by other insurers overseeing privately run Medicare Advantage plans. Investors have been ratcheting up their expectations for the industry as some companies hike their outlooks and get a better handle on rising medical costs in those plans – an issue that has been dogging the broader sector for more than two years. 

Shares of Humana fell more than 4% in premarket trading despite the solid quarter. The company is one of the largest Medicare Advantage providers serving people aged 65 and older as well as people with ​disabilities.

Here’s what the company reported for the second quarter compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on a survey of analysts by LSEG:

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  • Earnings per share: $7.61 adjusted vs. $7.22 expected
  • Revenue: $40.87 billion vs. $40.61 billion expected

The company posted second-quarter net income of $694 million, or $5.73 per share, compared with $545 million, or $4.51 per share, in the same period a year ago. Excluding items like amortization and impairment charges, Humana earned $7.61 per share.

Revenue climbed to $40.87 billion from $32.39 billion in the prior-year quarter. The company’s insurer and Centerwell unit both topped analysts’ sales estimates for the quarter, according to StreetAccount. 

Insurers, particularly those that run Medicare Advantage plans, have been pinched by an influx of people seeking care they delayed post-pandemic and high-cost specialty drugs like GLP-1s, among other factors. 

But Humana’s medical benefit ratio — a measure of total medical expenses paid relative to premiums collected — came in at 91.2% for the second quarter, which is in line with what analysts were expecting. Mellet said the ratio also matched the company’s expectations for the quarter across both new and current members. 

“I think that it’s a combination of just [medical cost] trend stabilizing and then our actions as well to help drive better health outcomes for our members and our patients,” Mellet said. 

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Still, the ratio is slightly higher than the 89.9% reported in the year-earlier period. A lower ratio typically indicates that the company collected more in premiums than it paid out in benefits, resulting in higher profitability.

Mellet said medical cost expectations for next year are “fairly consistent.” The company is watching to see if services such as inpatient admissions will continue to decline this year, but she said “at this point, we call medical costs more stable.” 

Meanwhile, pharmacy medical cost trends remain “very elevated,” driven by drug prices and the launch of new medicines, Mellet noted. She said those costs will be slightly higher next year compared to 2026, but added that it’s a broader drug cost issue, not a question of member demand. 

Mellet said Humana expects changes to its 2027 Medicare Advantage plans to help improve profitability and put the company on track to reach a sustainable pretax margin of at least 3% by 2028. She said the insurer also remains confident in its ability to boost earnings by expanding membership, improving the quality ratings of its Medicare Advantage plans, maintaining pricing discipline and controlling costs.

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CNX Resources earnings ahead: Can hedges offset weak gas prices?

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CNX Resources earnings ahead: Can hedges offset weak gas prices?

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BASF SE (BASFY) Q2 2026 Press Conference Call Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript