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Why Multiple Resistance Tests Actually Increase Breakout Probability: Technical Analyst Reveals Market Truth

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TLDR:

  • Each resistance test removes sell liquidity, gradually weakening the barrier rather than strengthening it. 
  • Short positions accumulate above tested resistance, creating stop-loss clusters that fuel explosive breakouts. 
  • Horizontal resistance levels with three or more touches demonstrate institutional recognition and setup quality. 
  • Repeated price returns to resistance signal market acceptance and persistent demand, not rejection behavior.

 

Breakout probability increases with multiple tests at resistance levels, contrary to traditional technical analysis teachings.

Technical analyst Aksel Kibar challenges conventional market wisdom in a detailed explanation of modern market dynamics. The analysis focuses on liquidity pools, order flow, and auction theory.

Classical teachings suggest resistance strengthens with repeated failures. However, market behavior demonstrates the opposite trend through systematic liquidity depletion. Each test removes available sell orders and transfers inventory from sellers to buyers.

Liquidity Depletion Weakens Resistance Over Time

Resistance levels function as liquidity pools rather than solid barriers. Modern markets reveal these zones contain clusters of limit orders and resting sell liquidity.

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Each price movement into resistance consumes available sell orders through transactions. This process gradually removes supply from the level.

The technical analyst compares resistance to ice being chipped away with each touch. Every test fills sell orders and reduces available supply at that price point.

Eventually, insufficient sellers remain to maintain the resistance level. This creates conditions favorable for eventual breakouts.

Buyers consistently absorb demand at these levels through repeated transactions. The inventory transfers from sellers to buyers during each test. This systematic reduction in available supply makes future breakouts structurally easier to achieve.

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Short Positions Create Breakout Fuel Above Resistance

Market participants tend to initiate new short positions after repeated failures at resistance. Confidence in the level grows with each rejection, leading to tighter stop-loss clustering above. This accumulation of stops creates latent energy that fuels eventual breakouts.

When resistance finally breaks, short sellers must cover their positions simultaneously. Breakout traders and momentum participants enter the market at the same time. This combination creates a liquidity vacuum that accelerates price movement upward.

Aksel Kibar notes on his platform that strong breakouts frequently occur after multiple failed attempts. The concentration of stop-loss orders above well-tested levels amplifies the breakout move. This pattern explains why persistent testing often leads to decisive directional moves.

Horizontal Boundaries Signal Institutional Recognition

Horizontal levels carry particular significance in technical analysis, according to the analyst. These boundaries indicate institutional recognition and shared market memory across time periods. Multiple touches increase participant awareness and order clustering around these levels.

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The analyst emphasizes mature chart patterns with a minimum of three touch points to pattern boundaries. This selection criterion improves signal quality and setup probability in trading decisions. Horizontal patterns from global exchanges demonstrate this principle consistently.

Markets operate as auction systems where repeated price returns signal ongoing negotiation. Persistence at specific levels indicates acceptance behavior rather than rejection.

Strong markets build bases through consolidation near resistance before continuation moves. This base-building process incorporates multiple tests as part of the natural market structure.

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Crypto World

Mirae Asset to Buy 92% Stake in Korbit for $93M

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Crypto Breaking News

Mirae Asset Consulting, an affiliate of South Korea’s Mirae Asset Group, is moving to take control of local crypto exchange Korbit. In a regulatory filing, the company agreed to acquire 26.9 million Korbit shares for 133.48 billion won, roughly $93 million, securing a 92.06% ownership stake in the exchange. The purchase will be paid entirely in cash, and the deal has the board’s approval as of February 5. Completion is expected within seven business days after all contractual closing conditions are satisfied, underscoring a rapid move to consolidate a regulated digital-asset business within Korea’s evolving crypto infrastructure. The filing notes Mirae Asset intends to secure future growth drivers through digital-asset (virtual-asset) businesses.

Key takeaways

  • Mirae Asset Consulting agrees to buy 26.9 million Korbit shares for 133.48 billion won, gaining about 92.06% ownership in the exchange, with cash as the payment method.
  • The acquisition received board approval on February 5, and is slated to close within seven business days after contractual closing conditions are satisfied.
  • Korbit’s current ownership structure includes about 60.5% held by NXC and Simple Capital Futures, with SK Square owning roughly 31.5%.
  • Korbit reported 8.7 billion won in revenue and 9.8 billion won in net profit in its latest fiscal year, reversing prior losses.
  • The exchange operates with a full license and established compliance infrastructure, potentially making it an attractive vehicle for a financial group seeking regulated exposure to digital assets.

Tickers mentioned:

Market context: The deal unfolds within Korea’s tightly regulated crypto landscape, where Upbit and Bithumb dominate daily trading volumes, and Korbit remains a smaller player by comparison. Data cited by CoinGecko shows Korbit’s roughly $59.9 million in 24-hour trading activity versus Upbit’s about $2.16 billion and Bithumb’s around $1.36 billion. The transaction signals ongoing consolidation among domestic exchanges as traditional financial groups pursue regulated access to digital-asset markets.

Market context: The broader environment in Korea has long featured a push toward licensed operations and stronger compliance frameworks, with regulators scrutinizing promotions and business practices in the sector. The move by a major asset manager to take control of a licensed exchange aligns with a broader trend of institutional players seeking regulated exposure to crypto markets rather than unregistered platforms.

Why it matters

The planned acquisition marks a notable shift in Korea’s crypto ecosystem, illustrating how conventional financial groups are intensifying their strategic bets on digital-asset infrastructure. Mirae Asset’s intention to leverage Korbit’s established license and compliance capabilities could accelerate the exchange’s product, risk controls, and customer onboarding processes, potentially translating into stronger operating leverage for the platform as part of a larger asset-management and fintech ecosystem.

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For Korbit, the deal provides a clear path to liquidity and alignment with a major financial conglomerate, potentially enabling enhanced interoperability with traditional banking channels and institutional-grade custody solutions. The company’s reported 8.7 billion won in revenue and 9.8 billion won in net profit in its most recent fiscal year reflect a profitability trajectory that may have attracted Mirae Asset’s interest in expanding regulated, scalable digital-asset services. Korbit’s ownership structure—where NXC and Simple Capital Futures hold a majority stake alongside SK Square—suggests a transition moment that could reshape the exchange’s governance and strategic direction under new majority ownership.

From a market perspective, the deal emphasizes the continuing maturation of Korea’s crypto market, where licensed venues like Korbit coexist with larger platforms and regulatory scrutiny. The emphasis on a cash deal and rapid closing also signals a preference for definitive, trustee-like control structures to manage risk and ensure a swift integration path for regulatory-compliant digital-asset activities. As regulatory expectations evolve, the success of Mirae Asset’s investment could hinge on how smoothly Korbit can integrate into a broader digital-asset strategy and how it adapts to evolving compliance standards and product requirements.

What to watch next

  • The contractual closing conditions must be satisfied, with settlement anticipated within seven business days after those requirements are met.
  • The integration of Korbit into Mirae Asset’s digital-asset framework and any organizational changes at the exchange.
  • Regulatory confirmations or conditions that may accompany the closing process and any post-merger compliance reviews.

Sources & verification

  • DART filing: rcpNo=20260213002679, detailing the cash acquisition and ownership thesis.
  • Korbit’s financials: revenue of 8.7 billion won and net profit of 9.8 billion won in the latest fiscal year.
  • Korbit ownership: NXC and Simple Capital Futures ~60.5%, SK Square ~31.5%.
  • Trading volume context: Upbit (~$2.16 billion) and Bithumb (~$1.36 billion) in 24-hour activity; Korbit ~ $59.9 million, per CoinGecko data.

What the move means for Korea’s crypto landscape

Mirae Asset’s Korbit bet signals a broader push into regulated crypto markets

The transaction represents a decisive step in the ongoing consolidation of Korea’s digital-asset infrastructure, where license and compliance play a critical role in determining strategic value. Mirae Asset’s cash offer and rapid cadence may set a precedent for other traditional financial groups evaluating similar moves, especially those seeking to bolster exposure to regulated crypto ecosystems without bearing the full operational burden of building a compliant platform from scratch. As the ecosystem evolves, Korbit’s improved access to Mirae Asset’s capital and infrastructure could translate into more robust risk controls, enhanced product offerings, and greater interoperability with mainstream financial services.

In the near term, stakeholders will be watching how Korbit navigates post-acquisition governance, how the integration aligns with Mirae Asset’s broader digital-asset strategy, and whether the deal serves as a catalyst for other exchanges to pursue strategic partnerships or consolidations. For investors and users, the development underscores the ongoing transition of crypto services from scrappy startups to regulated, institution-friendly platforms—an arc that could influence liquidity, product quality, and regulatory clarity across Korea’s crypto market.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Mirae Asset to Buy Controlling Stake at Korea’s Korbit Exchange for $93M

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Mirae Asset to Buy Controlling Stake at Korea’s Korbit Exchange for $93M

Mirae Asset Consulting, an affiliate of South Korean multinational financial services company Mirae Asset Group, has agreed to acquire a controlling stake in local crypto exchange Korbit.

The company plans to purchase 26.9 million shares of Korbit for 133.48 billion won (about $93 million), a transaction that would give it a 92.06% ownership interest in the exchange, according to a Friday regulatory filing. The payment will be made entirely in cash

Mirae Asset said the purpose of the acquisition is “to secure future growth drivers through digital-asset (virtual-asset) businesses,” per the filing. The company’s board approved the decision on Feb. 5, while reports on the planned deal initially surfaced last year.

The transaction has not yet closed. The settlement will occur once contractual closing conditions are satisfied, with completion expected within seven business days after those requirements are met.

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