Business
AI Stocks Without The AI Price Tag
BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

While we firmly believe AI stocks are in a bubble, it is undeniable that AI is powerful and likely a major driver of future earnings. Even with the dot-com bubble popping in devastating fashion, the internet upon which it was based is a clear source of value.
As fundamental-based value investors, AI poses an interesting puzzle: How do we invest in the technology and underlying growth without exposing ourselves to the risks of a potential bubble?
The headline AI names are trading at rather extreme valuations, essentially already building in tremendous success. Even those with seemingly reasonable multiples, such as the chip makers, are arguably bubble valuations if one adjusts for the cyclicality of earnings.
We believe there is a different category of stocks that simultaneously provides exposure to the upside of AI while remaining compliant with fundamental value principles.
We sought and continually purchased stocks of companies that were clear fundamental beneficiaries of the buildout of AI but had not yet experienced a bloom in valuation. Let us first walk through the phases of bubble formation as they played out and then discuss the opportunity set.
AI bubble formation resonating outward
As bubbles form, there is usually an epicenter where the hype is most concentrated and first appears. After the initial hype phase, it resonates outward to adjacent industries that participate somewhere along the supply chain.
The current AI bubble began when OpenAI released its LLM to the world, and individuals could experience for the first time how powerful the technology could be. Thus, the epicenter was the explicitly AI companies.
It was apparent that OpenAI could not do it alone. AI would need astronomical amounts of compute and infrastructure. So, the bubble resonated outward.
2MC

Hyperscalers like much of the Mag 7 already owned vast amounts of computing power.
Chip makers, led by NVIDIA but inclusive of the whole set, were the obvious picks and shovels of the AI gold rush.
All the incremental compute would need 2 factors to be possible:
- Lots of power
- Data centers in which to house and power the equipment
Independent power producers emerged as favorites because of their ability to sell power at market price rather than a regulated price. As auction prices spiked, their revenue multiplied immediately.
Many data centers were requesting green energy, but their 24/7 nature required on-demand power that was difficult to produce from wind or solar, so nuclear received the lion’s share of hype. Anything remotely related to nuclear traded up to bubble valuation, even speculative nuclear and SMR (small modular reactor) startups.
Data centers took a surprisingly long time to get bid up but eventually received bubble valuation.
Finally, electric utilities are being seen as the gatekeepers of the incremental electricity production necessary to fuel AI. Valuations across the sector crept up but remain reasonable.
Fundamentally responsible investing in AI
The 2 greatest pitfalls to investing in AI today are:
- Bubble valuations
- Temporary fundamental benefit
As the hype resonated outward, investors could have done very well by investing in each ring before the pricing went parabolic. Investing after the move seems a bit more dubious.
As value investors, we were only able to invest before the move because our valuation principles precluded investment once prices went haywire. GE Vernova (GEV) is simultaneously a point of pride and remorse. We saw it early but also exited way too early as the stock surpassed what we viewed as reasonable valuation.
It took a remarkably long time for the hype and extreme valuation to reach the outer rings in the diagram above. In 2025, data centers were still cheap. The market was so used to companies that experienced the demand boom in a more cyclical (high operating leverage) sort of way that Equinix (EQIX) got clobbered on its Investor Day presentation in 2025.
SA

The market just didn’t seem to comprehend that the growth EQIX was talking about was secular, repeatable growth, while something like a chip maker was experiencing cyclical growth. All the market saw was that EQIX’s growth number was smaller. It sold off, affording a value entry point into a top performing company with clear long-term exposure to AI.
We think there is still substantial mispricing in AI-related stocks and a clear opportunity within that mispricing. The biggest remaining source of mispricing seems to be a lack of differentiation between temporary and permanent fundamental benefits.
Temporary fundamental benefit
Much of the temporary fundamental benefit from AI stocks is related to imbalances in supply chains that were created by a sudden surge in demand.
- Chip demand surges; production is insufficient, causing chip prices to soar.
- Power demand surges; production is insufficient, causing electricity prices to soar.
- Turbine demand surges; production is insufficient, so prices soar.
We consider this a temporary fundamental benefit because the margin expansion is directly related to the current imbalance. Over time, production will rise to meet demand, at which point prices will normalize.
Many of these stocks are priced as if the fundamental benefit is permanent. The earnings multiples are only appropriate if the margins stay high. However, there are already signs of supply chains normalizing.
- New chip production is being built.
- New power plants are in various stages of development.
- Increased turbine manufacturing is in progress.
While there may be 1-3 years before sufficient production comes online, we see eventual restoration of equilibrium as inevitable.
Thus, we believe the stocks in these categories that are trading at high multiples are at risk of the bubble popping.
In contrast, there are other companies that have either permanent fundamental benefits or locked-in enhanced earnings for a long time period.
Permanent beneficiaries
The contrast is most clearly seen in the difference between IPPs and regulated utilities.
- IPPs experienced extremely high growth, with many even reaching triple-digit growth. Almost all of that was based on the price at which they could sell.
- Regulated utilities had much more muted growth, around 8%. Their sale prices are regulated, so they didn’t get to participate in the price spike.
However, as sufficient power comes online, prices will come back down, and IPPs will lose earnings power. Regulated utilities will have grown permanently with their increased load. In 5 years, the regulated utilities will have earnings that are permanently ~40% higher because their loads will be substantially bigger, and they get a regulated return on their load.
The market seems to be dramatically overvaluing temporary beneficiaries, almost extrapolating the recent earnings surge. This could prove dangerous as earnings not only stop surging, but potentially come back down to where they were before the spike. In my opinion, GEV, chip makers, and IPPs are all susceptible to a bubble-style crash.
3 other sectors are closer to permanent beneficiaries:
- Contracted power providers
- Data centers
- Regulated electric utilities
Contracted power providers like Clearway Energy (CWEN) and HA Sustainable Infrastructure (HASI) sign long contracts for their power production. During the surge, they have secured contractual earnings on incremental generation for terms north of 10 years. The pricing they secured was nowhere near as extreme as the IPPs, but it will last much longer.
Data centers are similarly being built in a build-to-suit fashion where they are constructed with contracts already in place at going-in cap rates north of 10%. Capital-intensive development at mid-teen cap rates will not create explosive earnings growth, but it is durable earnings growth. That said, data center multiples are getting a bit above our value range, so we only have a small stub position in EQIX left as well as ancillary exposure from Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) and American Tower (AMT).
Electric utilities are, in my opinion, the best remaining AI play. While the sector has performed well, earnings have kept up such that earnings multiples have remained in the normal range. In fact, regulated utilities are trading cheaper relative to the S&P 500 than they normally trade relative to the S&P 500.
It is a discounted sector with a PE multiple of 20.47X, yet the sector’s forward growth rate is higher than its normal. Almost all the major utilities are calling for growth in the 7%-10% range annually for the next 5+ years.
The math just works well for investors at this valuation. Dividend yields of 3%-4% with 7%-10% earnings growth imply well above market total return potential.
Avoid the bubble but participate in the technology
Investing in the way discussed above has 3 main benefits:
- Reduced downside if/when the bubble pops. There could be some collateral damage to the whole market given the scale of the bubble, but companies with solid fundamentals and reasonable valuation should bounce back quickly.
- Long-term upside as AI technology progresses.
- Agnostic to which AI model wins
There are so many AI models, and the “best AI” keeps changing. We have no idea whether the ultimate winner will be Gemini, Anthropic, Grok.AI, or some other model that hasn’t even been announced yet. We also don’t know if it will be winner-take-all or split among dozens.
Investing in the underlying infrastructure at a reasonable valuation doesn’t care about the above unknowns. If AI succeeds in any form, data centers, utilities, and contractual power producers will win. The key is just buying at the right valuation.
Business
Israeli strikes kill two in Gaza, destroy medicine storage warehouses

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Business
Vizio Down? Users Report Widespread TV and SmartCast Outage as Complaints Spike on Downdetector This Saturday
Vizio users across the country reported difficulty using their smart televisions Saturday morning, after outage-tracking service Downdetector recorded a sharp spike in complaints beginning around 10 a.m. Eastern time.
Downdetector’s official social media account flagged the surge in reports shortly after the issues began, posting under the hashtag “#VizioDown” and asking affected users to share how the disruption was impacting them. As of the most recent available information, Vizio had not issued a public statement confirming a company-wide outage or detailing its specific cause, though the company has a history of responding to similar disruptions affecting its SmartCast platform, which powers the interface and app functionality on Vizio’s connected televisions.
Users experiencing problems with Vizio devices have historically reported a range of specific symptoms during past SmartCast disruptions, including televisions displaying a persistent loading or spinning icon without ever fully booting into the smart interface, streaming apps failing to load or unexpectedly cutting off mid-broadcast, and difficulty logging into or accessing account-linked features. During a previous SmartCast outage, Vizio confirmed the disruption directly through its official social media account, telling affected customers at the time, “Currently, there is an outage impacting SmartCast TV. We’re working on this right now. You’ll still be able to use the quick buttons on the TV’s remote control and you can cast to the TV. We hope to have this resolved soon but we don’t have a timeframe.”
That kind of company acknowledgment has typically included practical guidance for customers looking for workarounds during an active SmartCast disruption. In past incidents, Vizio has noted that even when the smart interface itself becomes unavailable, physical quick-access buttons on the television’s remote control generally continue to function independently of the SmartCast software layer, allowing users to jump directly to preset streaming apps. Casting content to the television from a separate device, such as a smartphone or tablet, has also historically remained available as an alternative during outages affecting the smart TV’s built-in interface.
Downdetector, the platform used to track and aggregate Saturday morning’s complaints, monitors self-reported user issues across thousands of websites and connected services rather than directly accessing the internal systems of the companies it tracks. Owned by Ookla and launched in 2012, the service currently tracks more than 12,000 services internationally and maintains separate country-specific outage-tracking pages across 45 countries. Because Downdetector relies on aggregated, self-reported complaints rather than direct server-side monitoring, spikes in reported issues can sometimes reflect a genuine, widespread service disruption, while other spikes may instead result from more localized problems affecting specific devices, firmware versions, regions or internet service providers rather than a broader, company-wide outage.
Separate independent monitoring services checking Vizio’s website and related services around the same general timeframe reported mixed results, with some tools indicating the company’s main website was functioning normally while still noting that individual failures remained possible, consistent with the pattern of a disruption concentrated specifically in Vizio’s SmartCast television platform rather than its broader web presence.
Vizio, one of the largest sellers of smart televisions in the United States, has built its business model substantially around SmartCast, the proprietary operating system that powers the streaming and app functionality on its television lineup. The company also generates significant revenue through its Platform+ advertising and data business, which relies on SmartCast’s connectivity to deliver targeted advertising and content recommendations to users, meaning outages affecting the platform can disrupt both the viewing experience for customers and the underlying data and advertising infrastructure the company depends on for a meaningful share of its revenue.
For users experiencing difficulty with their Vizio televisions during the reported disruption, common troubleshooting steps recommended for smart TV connectivity issues include restarting the television by unplugging it from its power source for approximately 30 seconds before plugging it back in, verifying that the television’s Wi-Fi or ethernet connection is functioning properly by testing other connected devices on the same network, and checking for any available software updates once the device successfully reconnects. If the underlying disruption proves to be a service-side issue affecting Vizio’s SmartCast servers rather than a problem specific to an individual user’s television or home network, however, these troubleshooting steps are unlikely to resolve the problem until the company restores normal service on its end.
As of the most recent available information, Vizio had not provided a public timeline for resolving Saturday’s reported issues, and the company had not responded publicly to the elevated volume of complaints registered through Downdetector throughout the morning. Users continuing to experience problems with their Vizio televisions or the SmartCast platform are encouraged to monitor the company’s official social media channels for updates, given the absence of confirmed information directly from Vizio as of Saturday morning.
Business
Fitch withdraws Reliance Capital ratings
“The ratings have been withdrawn as Reliance Capital has chosen to stop participating in the rating process. Therefore, Fitch will no longer have sufficient information to provide ratings or analytical coverage of Reliance Capital,” Fitch Ratings said in a statement.
A leading financial services company Reliance Capital, an Anil Ambani group firm, has interests in diverse areas including asset management, mutual funds, portfolio management services, life and general insurance.
Business
CTA Nasdaq de-risking appears largely complete: BofA

CTA Nasdaq de-risking appears largely complete: BofA
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Google Pulls Nano Banana 2 AI Image Tool From Earth Just One Day After Launch Over Fabricated Imagery
Google pulled a new artificial intelligence image-generation feature from Google Earth on Friday, just one day after launching it globally, after users demonstrated that the tool could be used to fabricate realistic-looking satellite-style imagery superimposed over real, named locations.
The feature, called “Create Image,” used Google’s Nano Banana 2 model, technically known as Gemini 3.1 Flash Image, to generate AI images grounded in actual satellite, aerial and 3D terrain data for any location a user selected within Google Earth’s web platform. Google framed the launch as a creative tool that could let users visualize how a historical landmark once looked, brainstorm urban planning concepts for a vacant lot, or preview real estate development ideas before construction began, distinguishing it from general-purpose AI image generators that start only from a blank text prompt rather than a real, mapped location.
The feature rolled out globally at no additional charge on Thursday, available exclusively through Google Earth’s web version at earth.google.com rather than through the mobile apps, which together account for more than 500 million downloads on the Google Play Store alone. Generated images were watermarked, both visibly and with an embedded invisible marker, and could only be saved within Google Earth projects, without the ability to be directly exported or shared outside the platform, according to Google’s developer documentation.
Those safeguards proved insufficient to prevent misuse once the tool became widely accessible. Digital investigator Henk van Ess demonstrated the feature’s potential for generating misleading content by producing images depicting refugees near the Mexican border, a nuclear facility in Iran, a fatal crash scene in Amsterdam, and a bomb crater near a hospital in Gaza, all superimposed onto real, identifiable map locations within Google Earth’s interface.
The specific interaction model underlying the tool, allowing users to type a text description and have the resulting AI-generated image dropped directly onto a real satellite map location, drew particularly sharp criticism given Google Earth’s established reputation as a widely trusted source of geospatial reference imagery. Journalists routinely use the platform to geolocate conflict footage and verify the authenticity of on-the-ground reporting, human rights investigators use it to corroborate witness accounts of specific events, and academics rely on it as a baseline dataset for geographic and historical research. Layering a generative AI tool directly inside that same interface effectively collapsed the visual distinction between genuine, recorded satellite imagery and synthetic, AI-fabricated imagery within a single trusted platform, a concern critics raised almost immediately after the feature’s rollout.
Google confirmed it was rolling back the feature after becoming aware of screenshots showing generated imagery that the company said appeared to violate its policies. The company said it plans to rebuild the tool with stronger safeguards before any future relaunch, though it has not provided a specific timeline for when a revised version might become available again.
Prior to the rollback, Google had highlighted a range of intended use cases for the tool through its official launch materials, including visualizing historical scenes at real-world landmarks, generating easy-to-read historical infographics tied to specific locations, and exploring conceptual redesigns of public spaces or vacant lots. The company positioned the feature as adding a new creative layer to Google Earth, transforming the platform from a tool that primarily shows users the world as it currently exists into one that also lets them imagine what a given location could become in the future.
Nano Banana 2 sits within a broader family of Google image-generation models of varying capability tiers. It occupies a mid-tier position between the lighter-weight Nano Banana 2 Lite, which can generate standalone images in roughly four seconds through Google’s developer API at a cost of $0.034 per image, and the more capable Nano Banana Pro, which Google has reserved for more complex, professional-grade image rendering tasks.
The rapid rollback comes just days after Google had separately touted the growing role of artificial intelligence within its broader product ecosystem, crediting AI tools with helping identify and fix significantly more bugs within its Chrome browser in June than the company had resolved across the prior two years combined, according to reporting on the company’s recent AI-related announcements.
The Google Earth incident adds to a broader, ongoing debate across the technology industry about how to responsibly deploy increasingly capable generative AI image tools within platforms that carry an established reputation for accuracy and trustworthiness. Watermarking and export restrictions, the two primary safeguards Google built into the initial version of the Nano Banana 2 Earth integration, proved insufficient on their own to prevent the creation of convincing, potentially misleading fabricated imagery tied to real, sensitive locations, underscoring the difficulty technology companies continue to face in balancing creative AI features against the risk of enabling visual misinformation.
With the feature now pulled less than 24 hours after its global debut, Google has not specified what additional guardrails it intends to implement before considering a future relaunch, leaving open questions about whether the underlying tension between creative flexibility and misinformation risk can be fully resolved for a feature integrated directly into one of the world’s most widely used and trusted geospatial reference platforms.
Business
Seanergy Q2 2026 slides: record earnings fuel $591M fleet renewal

Seanergy Q2 2026 slides: record earnings fuel $591M fleet renewal
Business
Range Resources: The Prime Appalachian Beneficiary Of The AI Energy Transition (NYSE:RRC)
M&T Research Group is a collaboration between Heidi Tait, a Stock Options, Futures, and Forex trader, and Daniel Michael, a Petroleum Engineer interested in oil & gas market mechanics and money flow. We focus on sharing actionable trades and plays in our areas of interest while collaboratively writing about key economic events and developments, commodities and E&P stocks and derivatives, and options plays.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Business
DB Realty, Unitech stocks rose after top executives granted bail in 2G scam
Scrapping of projects involving the government, delayed execution and difficulty in securing approvals for new projects – DB Realty has seen it all. The company did not launch any new projects in the September quarter and sold around 50-75% of its existing seven projects. Even the analyst community has washed its hands of the stock with most brokerages discontinuing their coverage on the stock.
The company’s net sales for the first half year ended September are down by 36%, while its net profit dropped by 76% during the same period. However, the company is extinguishing its debt by selling non-core assets.
At the end of the September quarter, the company managed to reduce its debt from Rs600 crore a year ago to Rs 230 crore. It is sitting on a substantial pileup of TDR (transfer of development rights), which can be realised to further boost cash flows of the company. However, the outcome of the 2G scam case on its promoters will weigh heavily on the business prospects of the company which has its projects predominantly in Mumbai.
Unitech is the second big real estate company to be impacted because of the alleged involvement of its top deck in the 2G scam. Besides the problems associated with all real estate companies, there are other challenges.
For instance, the company was at the receiving end of shareholders’ ire at its annual general meeting as they refused to approve a resolution to pay dividend on equity shares for the fiscal 2011. The company’s net sales and earnings have dropped by 17% and 45% respectively for the first half of this fiscal.
However, the business model continues to remain strong. Unitech has a presence in the affordable and mid-income housing segment which enables it to generate cash flows. It has been launching new projects, although the scale of execution is slow. Despite lower revenue recognition, it has managed to lower its debt through internal cash accruals.
It has an outstanding net debt of Rs 5,144 crore and a land bank of close to 7,000 acres with an average cost of acquisition of land of around Rs 250 per square feet. Despite strong fundamentals, the loss of credibility and uncertainty over the 2G probe will restrict any major upside in the stock. The stock continues to trade at a significant discount to its land value that analysts estimate to be at Rs 60.
Business
Alfa Laval raises delisting price to Rs 2,850 a share
In a filing with the BSE, Alfa Laval India said its parent company increased the delisting offer price after “considering the prevailing market conditions and with a view to reward shareholders”.
However, the company further said, “Offer price should in no way be construed as a ceiling or maximum price for the purpose of the reverse book-building process and the public shareholders are free to tender their equity shares at any price higher than the indicative offer price.”
Reacting to the news, the company’s shares surged by 14.40 per cent to close at Rs 2,710.85 a piece on the BSE. In the intra-day trade, the stock hit a 52-week high of Rs 2,742.
The entity that offers heat transfer, separation and fluid handling technologies would be delisted from the BSE and the National Stock Exchange.
In September 2011, the company’s board had accepted the delisting proposal and in October fixed a floor price of Rs 2,045 a share to buy out the outstanding public float.
Alfa Laval (India) had said the promoter firm would make a delisting offer to acquire up to 2,040,202 shares, accounting for 11.23 per cent stake in the domestic entity.
At present, the promoter company holds 88.77 per cent stake in Alfa Laval (India).
Business
Two 25%+ Covered Call ETFs Where The Risk Has Quietly Changed
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