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AI Stocks Without The AI Price Tag

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Nvidia: Buy The Dip

Nvidia Corporation building in Taipei, Taiwan.

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While we firmly believe AI stocks are in a bubble, it is undeniable that AI is powerful and likely a major driver of future earnings. Even with the dot-com bubble popping in devastating fashion, the internet upon which it was based is a clear source of value.

As fundamental-based value investors, AI poses an interesting puzzle: How do we invest in the technology and underlying growth without exposing ourselves to the risks of a potential bubble?

The headline AI names are trading at rather extreme valuations, essentially already building in tremendous success. Even those with seemingly reasonable multiples, such as the chip makers, are arguably bubble valuations if one adjusts for the cyclicality of earnings.

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We believe there is a different category of stocks that simultaneously provides exposure to the upside of AI while remaining compliant with fundamental value principles.

We sought and continually purchased stocks of companies that were clear fundamental beneficiaries of the buildout of AI but had not yet experienced a bloom in valuation. Let us first walk through the phases of bubble formation as they played out and then discuss the opportunity set.

AI bubble formation resonating outward

As bubbles form, there is usually an epicenter where the hype is most concentrated and first appears. After the initial hype phase, it resonates outward to adjacent industries that participate somewhere along the supply chain.

The current AI bubble began when OpenAI released its LLM to the world, and individuals could experience for the first time how powerful the technology could be. Thus, the epicenter was the explicitly AI companies.

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It was apparent that OpenAI could not do it alone. AI would need astronomical amounts of compute and infrastructure. So, the bubble resonated outward.

A diagram of a company's diagram AI-generated content may be incorrect.

2MC

Hyperscalers like much of the Mag 7 already owned vast amounts of computing power.

Chip makers, led by NVIDIA but inclusive of the whole set, were the obvious picks and shovels of the AI gold rush.

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All the incremental compute would need 2 factors to be possible:

  1. Lots of power
  2. Data centers in which to house and power the equipment

Independent power producers emerged as favorites because of their ability to sell power at market price rather than a regulated price. As auction prices spiked, their revenue multiplied immediately.

Many data centers were requesting green energy, but their 24/7 nature required on-demand power that was difficult to produce from wind or solar, so nuclear received the lion’s share of hype. Anything remotely related to nuclear traded up to bubble valuation, even speculative nuclear and SMR (small modular reactor) startups.

Data centers took a surprisingly long time to get bid up but eventually received bubble valuation.

Finally, electric utilities are being seen as the gatekeepers of the incremental electricity production necessary to fuel AI. Valuations across the sector crept up but remain reasonable.

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Fundamentally responsible investing in AI

The 2 greatest pitfalls to investing in AI today are:

  1. Bubble valuations
  2. Temporary fundamental benefit

As the hype resonated outward, investors could have done very well by investing in each ring before the pricing went parabolic. Investing after the move seems a bit more dubious.

As value investors, we were only able to invest before the move because our valuation principles precluded investment once prices went haywire. GE Vernova (GEV) is simultaneously a point of pride and remorse. We saw it early but also exited way too early as the stock surpassed what we viewed as reasonable valuation.

It took a remarkably long time for the hype and extreme valuation to reach the outer rings in the diagram above. In 2025, data centers were still cheap. The market was so used to companies that experienced the demand boom in a more cyclical (high operating leverage) sort of way that Equinix (EQIX) got clobbered on its Investor Day presentation in 2025.

A screen shot of a graph AI-generated content may be incorrect.

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The market just didn’t seem to comprehend that the growth EQIX was talking about was secular, repeatable growth, while something like a chip maker was experiencing cyclical growth. All the market saw was that EQIX’s growth number was smaller. It sold off, affording a value entry point into a top performing company with clear long-term exposure to AI.

We think there is still substantial mispricing in AI-related stocks and a clear opportunity within that mispricing. The biggest remaining source of mispricing seems to be a lack of differentiation between temporary and permanent fundamental benefits.

Temporary fundamental benefit

Much of the temporary fundamental benefit from AI stocks is related to imbalances in supply chains that were created by a sudden surge in demand.

  • Chip demand surges; production is insufficient, causing chip prices to soar.
  • Power demand surges; production is insufficient, causing electricity prices to soar.
  • Turbine demand surges; production is insufficient, so prices soar.

We consider this a temporary fundamental benefit because the margin expansion is directly related to the current imbalance. Over time, production will rise to meet demand, at which point prices will normalize.

Many of these stocks are priced as if the fundamental benefit is permanent. The earnings multiples are only appropriate if the margins stay high. However, there are already signs of supply chains normalizing.

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  • New chip production is being built.
  • New power plants are in various stages of development.
  • Increased turbine manufacturing is in progress.

While there may be 1-3 years before sufficient production comes online, we see eventual restoration of equilibrium as inevitable.

Thus, we believe the stocks in these categories that are trading at high multiples are at risk of the bubble popping.

In contrast, there are other companies that have either permanent fundamental benefits or locked-in enhanced earnings for a long time period.

Permanent beneficiaries

The contrast is most clearly seen in the difference between IPPs and regulated utilities.

  • IPPs experienced extremely high growth, with many even reaching triple-digit growth. Almost all of that was based on the price at which they could sell.
  • Regulated utilities had much more muted growth, around 8%. Their sale prices are regulated, so they didn’t get to participate in the price spike.

However, as sufficient power comes online, prices will come back down, and IPPs will lose earnings power. Regulated utilities will have grown permanently with their increased load. In 5 years, the regulated utilities will have earnings that are permanently ~40% higher because their loads will be substantially bigger, and they get a regulated return on their load.

The market seems to be dramatically overvaluing temporary beneficiaries, almost extrapolating the recent earnings surge. This could prove dangerous as earnings not only stop surging, but potentially come back down to where they were before the spike. In my opinion, GEV, chip makers, and IPPs are all susceptible to a bubble-style crash.

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3 other sectors are closer to permanent beneficiaries:

  1. Contracted power providers
  2. Data centers
  3. Regulated electric utilities

Contracted power providers like Clearway Energy (CWEN) and HA Sustainable Infrastructure (HASI) sign long contracts for their power production. During the surge, they have secured contractual earnings on incremental generation for terms north of 10 years. The pricing they secured was nowhere near as extreme as the IPPs, but it will last much longer.

Data centers are similarly being built in a build-to-suit fashion where they are constructed with contracts already in place at going-in cap rates north of 10%. Capital-intensive development at mid-teen cap rates will not create explosive earnings growth, but it is durable earnings growth. That said, data center multiples are getting a bit above our value range, so we only have a small stub position in EQIX left as well as ancillary exposure from Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) and American Tower (AMT).

Electric utilities are, in my opinion, the best remaining AI play. While the sector has performed well, earnings have kept up such that earnings multiples have remained in the normal range. In fact, regulated utilities are trading cheaper relative to the S&P 500 than they normally trade relative to the S&P 500.

It is a discounted sector with a PE multiple of 20.47X, yet the sector’s forward growth rate is higher than its normal. Almost all the major utilities are calling for growth in the 7%-10% range annually for the next 5+ years.

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The math just works well for investors at this valuation. Dividend yields of 3%-4% with 7%-10% earnings growth imply well above market total return potential.

Avoid the bubble but participate in the technology

Investing in the way discussed above has 3 main benefits:

  1. Reduced downside if/when the bubble pops. There could be some collateral damage to the whole market given the scale of the bubble, but companies with solid fundamentals and reasonable valuation should bounce back quickly.
  2. Long-term upside as AI technology progresses.
  3. Agnostic to which AI model wins

There are so many AI models, and the “best AI” keeps changing. We have no idea whether the ultimate winner will be Gemini, Anthropic, Grok.AI, or some other model that hasn’t even been announced yet. We also don’t know if it will be winner-take-all or split among dozens.

Investing in the underlying infrastructure at a reasonable valuation doesn’t care about the above unknowns. If AI succeeds in any form, data centers, utilities, and contractual power producers will win. The key is just buying at the right valuation.

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DB Realty, Unitech stocks rose after top executives granted bail in 2G scam

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ET Search
The stocks of DB Realty and Unitech rose after top executives of these companies were granted bail in the 2G scam case. The DB Realty stock has risen 40%, while Unitech gained 4%. However, some of the intrinsic problems which plague these companies, and uncertainty over the outcome of the 2G scam case may prevent any major appreciation in the stock.

Scrapping of projects involving the government, delayed execution and difficulty in securing approvals for new projects – DB Realty has seen it all. The company did not launch any new projects in the September quarter and sold around 50-75% of its existing seven projects. Even the analyst community has washed its hands of the stock with most brokerages discontinuing their coverage on the stock.

The company’s net sales for the first half year ended September are down by 36%, while its net profit dropped by 76% during the same period. However, the company is extinguishing its debt by selling non-core assets.

At the end of the September quarter, the company managed to reduce its debt from Rs600 crore a year ago to Rs 230 crore. It is sitting on a substantial pileup of TDR (transfer of development rights), which can be realised to further boost cash flows of the company. However, the outcome of the 2G scam case on its promoters will weigh heavily on the business prospects of the company which has its projects predominantly in Mumbai.

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Unitech is the second big real estate company to be impacted because of the alleged involvement of its top deck in the 2G scam. Besides the problems associated with all real estate companies, there are other challenges.


For instance, the company was at the receiving end of shareholders’ ire at its annual general meeting as they refused to approve a resolution to pay dividend on equity shares for the fiscal 2011. The company’s net sales and earnings have dropped by 17% and 45% respectively for the first half of this fiscal.
However, the business model continues to remain strong. Unitech has a presence in the affordable and mid-income housing segment which enables it to generate cash flows. It has been launching new projects, although the scale of execution is slow. Despite lower revenue recognition, it has managed to lower its debt through internal cash accruals.

It has an outstanding net debt of Rs 5,144 crore and a land bank of close to 7,000 acres with an average cost of acquisition of land of around Rs 250 per square feet. Despite strong fundamentals, the loss of credibility and uncertainty over the 2G probe will restrict any major upside in the stock. The stock continues to trade at a significant discount to its land value that analysts estimate to be at Rs 60.

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Alfa Laval raises delisting price to Rs 2,850 a share

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MUMBAI: Alfa Laval (India), a subsidiary of Sweden-based Alfa Laval Corporate AB, today said its parent firm has raised the delisting offer price to Rs 2,850 a share.

In a filing with the BSE, Alfa Laval India said its parent company increased the delisting offer price after “considering the prevailing market conditions and with a view to reward shareholders”.

However, the company further said, “Offer price should in no way be construed as a ceiling or maximum price for the purpose of the reverse book-building process and the public shareholders are free to tender their equity shares at any price higher than the indicative offer price.”

Reacting to the news, the company’s shares surged by 14.40 per cent to close at Rs 2,710.85 a piece on the BSE. In the intra-day trade, the stock hit a 52-week high of Rs 2,742.

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The entity that offers heat transfer, separation and fluid handling technologies would be delisted from the BSE and the National Stock Exchange.


In September 2011, the company’s board had accepted the delisting proposal and in October fixed a floor price of Rs 2,045 a share to buy out the outstanding public float.
Alfa Laval (India) had said the promoter firm would make a delisting offer to acquire up to 2,040,202 shares, accounting for 11.23 per cent stake in the domestic entity.

At present, the promoter company holds 88.77 per cent stake in Alfa Laval (India).

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Two 25%+ Covered Call ETFs Where The Risk Has Quietly Changed

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To uncover hidden business risks concept. Male hand opens the blue paper and reveals the word risk.

Two 25%+ Covered Call ETFs Where The Risk Has Quietly Changed

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Spain installs floating barrier in Ceuta after calm night following border rush

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Thousands in Amsterdam for boisterous WorldPride in shadow of Berlin attack

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Worried Amitabh Bachchan fans pray to Lord Shiva for his recovery

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KOLKATA: Hundreds of worried fans of ailing Bollywood megastar Amitabh Bachchan today performed a yagna here to pray for his speedy recovery.

“We are using the auspicious occasion of Maha Shivratri to pray to Lord Shiva to help him recover painlessly from his health problems,” Sourav Banerjee of Amitabh Bachchan Fans Association of Kolkata, told.

Dressed in traditional attires, hundreds of fans carrying the actor’s posters thronged the Ekdaliya Evergreen Park in the afternoon for the hour-long yagna.

Ever since the news of Big B’s health problems broke, his admirers here, who have also built a temple for him in south Kolkata, have been a worried lot.

“We have been praying for his health and well-being ever since and are constantly monitoring media reports on his health,” Banerjee said.

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Another of his fan blamed the actor’s “workaholic nature” for his medical condition.
“He has delivered hits after hits all his career and at this age of his life his body needs rest,” said 32-year-old Goutam Basak adding that they are planning a gala celebration when the superstar returns home from hospital. On February 11, 69-year-old Bachchan underwent an abdominal surgery but after he complained of acute pain, his stay at the hospital had to be extended.

Currently recuperating at the Seven Hills hospital, Big B’s health is now said to be improving.

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To keep growing, incoming Best Buy CEO first wants to go smaller

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To keep growing, incoming Best Buy CEO first wants to go smaller

Best Buy is at a critical juncture as the consumer electronics retailer aims to revitalize its performance under incoming CEO Jason Bonfig, who spoke exclusively with CNBC about his strategy for the company.

The company has been struggling with slumping sales over the past few years, which it has attributed to lower consumer confidence, less tech innovation and a slower housing market. In an effort to refresh its products, improve the customer experience and drive more sales, the retailer announced Bonfig will succeed current CEO Corie Barry this fall.

As he prepares to take the helm, Bonfig has said he’s focused on four key pillars: advancing Best Buy as a retail and technology company, improving its reach, enhancing the customer experience and focusing on being a human-powered company. Bonfig has also said he’s looking into ways to capitalize on the artificial intelligence boom and Best Buy’s spot in that next chapter.

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This week, Best Buy opened two new stores, one in Jonesboro, Arkansas, and one in Cape Cod, Massachusetts, which Bonfig told CNBC illustrates his strategy as he prioritizes returning the company to long-term and sustainable growth.

“What we’re finding is that there are markets that we just can’t be in with a traditional size Best Buy store, but they’re markets that absolutely make sense for Best Buy from a reach perspective,” Bonfig said.

Shoppers wait outside at a Best Buy store on Black Friday in New York, US, on Friday, Nov. 28, 2025.

Victor J. Blue | Bloomberg | Getty Images

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To lean into those markets, the company is opening new small-format stores, ranging from 12,000 to 15,000 square feet, compared to its medium-format stores, which range from 20,000 to 25,000 square feet. Some of its largest stores, including its flagship location in New York City, exceed 40,000 square feet.

The new small stores tap into Bonfig’s priority of expanding the company’s reach, he said.

“We also know that when we put a store close to a customer, it doesn’t just change the customers’ behavior in the frequency of the visits of the store … it also changes their behavior digitally as well,” Bonfig said.

When Best Buy joins a new, smaller community, he said, the company has found more customers physically go to a store for the first time, but they also use the app and digital channels as well. The Jonesboro store marks Best Buy’s return to the town after a tornado destroyed its previous location.

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“It’s a great example of a vibrant market, a place where customers are interested in our brand, but not a market that could support a 30,000- or 35,000-square-foot store,” Bonfig said. “An 18,000-square-foot store allows us to have the best of all of our different categories and meet the needs at that particular location.”

The second opening, in Cape Cod, is slightly larger than Best Buy’s normal medium-format stores, coming in at 28,000 square feet, but Bonfig said it’s another example of finding “the right size store in the right location in the right node.”

He added that Best Buy Canada, which can often do things faster than its U.S. counterpart, has been after the small-format store for “an extended period of time” and has seen success with locations as small as 7,000 square feet.

Still, Bonfig emphasized that the small stores are not a replacement for its more typical-format locations.

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“It’s actually an enhancement of what we’re doing today,” he said. “But it actually allows us to reach more customers and more markets that we just were not in before.”

Trying to turn the page

Jason Bonfig to succeed Corie Barry as Chief Executive Officer.

Courtesy: Best Buy

Over the past five years, Best Buy has seen its stock sink roughly 20% after hitting its peak in late 2021, trading at $138 per share.

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For the current fiscal year, Best Buy has said it expects comparable sales in the range of a decline of 1% to an increase of 1%. Though its most recent quarter outperformed Wall Street expectations, it came on the heels of years of declines, like the third fiscal quarter of 2026, when Best Buy reported net income of $140 million, down from $273 million the year prior.

The retailer was also hit by tariffs and is navigating the soaring price of memory chips, which have caused the costs of some consumer electronics to rise.

Bonfig said he attributes Best Buy’s recent stagnant performance to a general pull-forward behavior from consumers during Covid that created an unprecedented demand curve that led to a lull. Like home improvement companies, Best Buy saw outsized spending as shoppers were stuck at home and looking to upgrade.

He said Best Buy saw that behavior reset the technology life cycle for a lot of consumers while also forcing vendors to pivot from innovation to production.

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“I wouldn’t say that Best Buy’s lost its momentum,” he told CNBC. “I think there’s been a very interesting couple years, or maybe more than a couple years, in the market where there was an interesting demand curve where everything was pulled forward.”

As he prepares to take the reins of the company, Bonfig said he’s focused on improving the customer experience, including upgrading TV selections and working with customers to replace their existing TVs.

Bonfig said he’ll define success during his tenure as CEO by the customer response.

He also said the company is leaning into AI for customers and the corporate side of the business, adding that Best Buy is actively investing in new products like Meta’s glasses. Best Buy also has an AI tool for customers to use, in addition to partnerships with OpenAI and Google.

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“Agentic commerce and commerce through AI platforms is happening today,” Bonfig said. “We’re seeing traffic there, and we want to make sure that the Best Buy experience is represented.”

Still, he added, he expects AI to be an enhancement to the human power behind Best Buy.

And, ultimately, as he looks to step into his new role, Bonfig said he still believes in the core strength of Best Buy despite its recent stagnation.

“Corie had an amazing strategy, and my strategy is built on top of that,” Bonfig said. “There is a tremendous amount of momentum.”

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Fifa’s World Cup plan never stacked up – here are 4 reasons why

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FIFA president Gianni Infantino speaks during an event, standing in front of a purple and yellow striped background.

In the slides, Fifa’s central argument was that football does not raise enough cash in relation to its fan base, that “Fifa has been under-monetised versus other leagues” and so “global football development gets squeezed”.

It did this with reference to a comparative chart showing annual revenue as well as revenue per fan for Fifa, the Uefa Champions League, Premier League, US baseball and NFL American football.

On the face of it, Fifa is the poorer cousin at just $1 per global fan, compared to NFL’s $52.8. But this measure is rather suspect.

The World Cup is not an annual competition; it happens once every four years. If instead this was done on revenue per World Cup 2026 match, Fifa makes multiples of the Premier League, perhaps more than three times as much.

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As important, football is decentralised globally, so more of the revenues go to individual leagues, such as the Premier League or Champions League. Fifa was effectively arguing it wanted to keep more of that overall football pie.

Football’s fans are also spread across the globe, in rich and poor countries alike. NFL has a much smaller base concentrated in the US and is pretty much the whole of American Football.

Finally, about half of NFL’s revenues are paid out as wages. Fifa does not pay Erling Haaland or Lionel Messi or Vozinha. Profits would have yielded a rather different result than the chart’s focus on revenues.

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Seatrium Limited 2026 Q2 – Results – Earnings Call Presentation (OTCMKTS:SMBMY) 2026-08-01

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

This article was written by

Seeking Alpha’s transcripts team is responsible for the development of all of our transcript-related projects. We currently publish thousands of quarterly earnings calls per quarter on our site and are continuing to grow and expand our coverage. The purpose of this profile is to allow us to share with our readers new transcript-related developments. Thanks, SA Transcripts Team

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Documents reveal contents of the first telegraph message between India & England

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Documents reveal contents of the first telegraph message between India & England
PORTHCURNO (ENGLAND): Newly discovered documents have revealed the first telegraph messages and joy when England was linked for the first time with India on 23 June, 1870, via thousands of km of cables laid painstakingly below the seas, reducing time from months to minutes.

The sylvan Porthcurno valley in Cornwall, located on the Atlantic coast 506 km south-west of London, was the unlikely place of a revolution that enabled Britain and its former colonies to communicate with each other.

Museum officials told a visiting PTI correspondent that Porthcurno was the hub of international cable communications from 1870 to 1970, and a training college for the communications industry until 1993.

Now a museum housing rare equipment and details of the history of telegraph, Porthcurno has been granted millions of pounds in funding to develop an international education programme that includes community groups in India.

Among its rare archives discovered last week is a collection of the first telegraph messages sent from Porthcurno and Mumbai (then Bombay).

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Until that landmark day, communication between England and India was unreliable, and often took months.
According to the document, the first message was dispatched on the night of 23 June, 1870, and a reply was received in 5 minutes, which was a technological feat at the time.The message was called a ‘complimentary telegram’ between the ‘Managing Director in London and the Manager in Bombay’.

The first message was from ‘Anderson to Stacey: How are you all?’, to which the reply was: ‘All well’.

The second message from Anderson was: ‘Please ask gentlemen of the press, Bombay, to send a message to gentlemen of the press, New York’.

After several messages that night, including some to the governor of Bombay, from Lady Mayo to viceroy Lord Mayo based in Shimla, and one from the Prince of Wales to the viceroy, a response was received from journalists based in Bombay.

It said: ‘From the Press of India to the Press of America: The Press of India sends salaam to the Press of America. Reply quick’.

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The document notes that the viceroy of India had sent a telegraph to the president of the United States and “received a reply which reached him in 7 hours 40 minutes”.

The viceroy’s message, which was read in the American Congress the same evening, was: “The Viceroy of India for the first time speaks direct by telegraph with the President of the United States. May the completion of the long line of uninterrupted communication be the emblem of lasting union between the Eastern and Western World”.

Telegraphic communication with India was first established in 1864 by overland telegraph lines from Europe to the top of the Persian Gulf and then by an undersea cable to Karachi, but the overland section was never satisfactory, prompting efforts to lay more reliable cables below the sea.

In 1869, telegraph pioneer John Pender established the British Indian Submarine Telegraph Company, whose task was to lay undersea cables to India.

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The five ships used to lay the thousands of km of cables were the Great Eastern, William Cory, Chiltern, Hawk and Hibernia.

It took six weeks to lay the cables from Suez to Bombay. This was followed by the laying of the final link from Malta to Porthcurno.

It was the first long distance cable ‘chain’, and opened to the public with much jubilation, museum records show.

After the link with India was established, Porthcurno was linked by undersea cables to several other areas across the world.

At its height, it was the world’s largest station with 14 cables in operation. Porthcurno’s telegraphic codename was ‘PK’.

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During World War II, tunnels were dug by Cornish miners to house an underground building and Porthcurno’s entire telegraph operations.
The building today houses the museum and archives that started the communication revolution in the late nineteenth century.
Besides 1.44 million pounds funding received in January, the museum this week has been granted 35,000 pounds from the international telecommunications organisation SubOptic to develop an education project with community groups in India, among other countries.
Museum officials said the money will fund an international education programme that will benefit users from spring 2013.

It will include online learning resources, including video clips, animations and games that will enable users to discover the science of global cable-based telecommunications, as well as its impacts on local identity, democracy and culture.

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