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LARRY KUDLOW: Iran or not, the Dow just broke another record

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LARRY KUDLOW: Do not listen to the Schumer open border crowd

Putting Iran aside for a moment, I want to point out, besides Iranian news, just how strong the American economy is — war or not. By the way, the Dow Jones index just hit a new record high of 53,178.  

Today’s Institute for Supply Management manufacturing index came in far higher than consensus estimates, and scored its seventh straight monthly gain. We haven’t seen anything like this in years. And if you run your finger down the survey category — whether its new orders, or production, or employment, or even order backlogs, it’s a power-packed report. Seven straight months.

From a policy standpoint, two big issues: first, the One Big Beautiful Republican Bill, and its immediate 100 percent expensing of business investments, including the whole semiconductor connectivity, power networking boom, is driving this manufacturing renaissance. 

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And, second, although mainstream economists may not like it, tariffs have refocused businesses domestic production away from offshoring. Hat-tip to our pal John Carney on this one.

This manufacturing report comes after a badly misunderstood GDP report — where the topline was only 1.5 percent growth, but the guts of the economy, which is consumer spending and business investment, actually grew at 3.9 percent. And here too, business equipment is up more than 15 percent, all at an annual rate.

Unemployment claims are at record lows. Nobody’s getting fired. The AI doomsters are wrong. Jobs are rising, not falling. The American dollar is strong. Hopefully exerting lower inflation pressures.  And the aforementioned manufacturing AI productivity boom is leading to soaring profits, lower economy-wide costs, and guess what? A record breaking Dow. 53,178 at the close. How about those apples?

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OPEC and Allies Agree to Small Production Hike in September

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Barron's

The countries, lead by Saudi Arabia and Russia, and also including Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria, and Oman, agreed to raise production by another 188,000 barrels a day. The group has steadily raised production throughout the months of the Iran war despite supply chain disruptions caused by curtailed flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz.

The group, which met virtually on Sunday to approve the production increase, said it was committed to supporting oil market stability and that the move “will provide an opportunity for the participating countries to accelerate their compensation.”

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ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript