Crypto World
Nigeria sets 1% crypto tax withholding for exchanges
Nigeria’s revenue authority has issued detailed crypto tax rules requiring exchanges and P2P marketplace operators to collect, report and remit taxes arising from virtual asset transactions.
Summary
- Platforms must withhold 1% from taxable crypto disposals, while stablecoin sales remain exempt under guidelines.
- Staking, mining, airdrops and DeFi rewards may face 10% withholding when classified as taxable income.
- Token to fiat and fiat to token transfers attract 1.5% stamp duty collected by platforms and marketplaces under guidelines.
- Some withheld taxes require remittance in originating tokens, while VAT follows the transaction’s payment currency.
- Nigeria’s framework places exchanges and P2P operators at the center of reporting and enforcement duties.
The Nigeria Revenue Service published the Guidelines on Taxation of Virtual Assets on July 31. The agency announced the framework publicly on Aug. 3, saying it explains how the Nigeria Tax Act 2025 and Nigeria Tax Administration Act 2025 apply to digital assets.
One of the most unusual requirements concerns the form of payment. Income tax deducted at source and stamp duty must be remitted to the NRS in the token used for the underlying transaction. VAT must instead be paid in the currency used for payment, according to the guidelines.
Nigeria crypto tax rules shift collection to platforms
Platforms must withhold 1% of the proceeds from taxable disposals of cryptocurrencies, security tokens and applicable nonfungible tokens. The deduction serves as an advance payment toward the taxpayer’s final income tax bill rather than a separate final tax.
Sales involving stablecoins are exempt from that 1% withholding requirement. However, the exemption does not necessarily remove every possible tax obligation arising from stablecoin activity. The final treatment depends on the transaction, the taxpayer and whether income or a taxable gain arose.
Staking rewards, mining income, airdrops and returns from decentralized finance may attract 10% withholding when treated as taxable income. Platforms and P2P operators must make the deduction when they process covered payments.
The rules also apply a 1.5% stamp duty to transfers from fiat currency into tokens and from tokens into fiat currency. The platform or marketplace handling the transaction must collect the duty from the virtual asset credited to the recipient.
Tax liability depends on how the assets are used
Nigeria no longer treats all crypto profits through the former standalone 10% capital gains model introduced by the Finance Act 2023. Under the 2025 reforms, gains from digital asset disposals form part of taxable income and follow the rates applicable to the taxpayer.
Companies other than qualifying small companies generally face a 30% income tax rate on taxable profits and gains. A small company is broadly defined as having annual turnover of no more than ₦100 million and fixed assets not exceeding ₦250 million. Individuals face progressive personal income tax rates.
Taxable events include selling, exchanging or transferring an asset when beneficial ownership changes. Crypto payments for goods or services must be valued at their market price on the transaction date and included in taxable income. The NRS requires valuations from recognized trading platforms.
Simply holding Bitcoin or another token is not taxable. Transfers between wallets controlled by the same owner also fall outside the tax net when beneficial ownership remains unchanged. Other exclusions include minting an NFT before its sale, receiving a crypto backed loan and locking tokens for staking before rewards arise.
Exchanges must connect transactions with tax identities
Virtual asset service providers must register for tax purposes and maintain records showing acquisition dates, costs, disposal values, fees and counterparties. They must also file information allowing the NRS to identify taxable users and transactions.
As crypto.news previously reported, the Nigeria Tax Administration Act requires registered platforms to connect customer activity with Tax Identification Numbers and, where applicable, National Identification Numbers.
Reports can include customers’ names, addresses, telephone numbers, email addresses and transaction values. Platforms must also report large or suspicious activity and retain identification and transaction records for at least seven years.
The framework explicitly includes P2P marketplace operators. This closes a collection gap that could arise when buyers and sellers trade through a matching platform rather than a conventional centralized exchange.
Nigeria’s broader crypto framework is still developing
President Bola Tinubu directed the NRS to issue the tax policy through a July 18 executive order. The order created a Virtual Asset Council chaired by the Central Bank of Nigeria, with the NRS and Securities and Exchange Commission serving as vice chairs.
As crypto.news reported in related coverage, the council coordinates existing regulators rather than replacing them. The SEC retains authority over securities related assets, while the central bank oversees payment, settlement and custody services involving nonsecurity assets.
Nigeria’s Senate is separately considering the Virtual Asset Service Providers Regulation Bill 2026. The measure passed its second reading in June and moved to the Senate Committee on Capital Market. It would establish licensing and compliance requirements for exchanges and other digital asset businesses if enacted.
The immediate next step falls on exchanges and P2P operators. They must adjust transaction systems, customer records and remittance processes to meet the NRS requirements. Further guidance may be needed on token custody, conversion procedures and how the agency will receive and account for taxes paid in multiple digital assets.
Crypto World
Jim Cramer Plans to Sell Bitcoin Over Quantum Fears as BTC Rises 1.6%
Former hedge fund manager and CNBC “Mad Money” host Jim Cramer said he plans to sell all his Bitcoin due to quantum computing fears.
“I’m going to sell mine [Bitcoin],” said Cramer during a Friday Mad Money episode, citing quantum computing concerns that IBM Chairman and CEO Arvind Krishna had raised in on his show the previous day.
During Thursday’s episode, Krishna told Cramer that he should get “paranoid” about quantum computing’s threat to cryptocurrencies in the next three to four years.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price was up roughly 1.7% on Tuesday to trade above $63,500, but was down 27% year-to-date, according to TradingView data.
Some crypto investors celebrated Cramer’s remarks, referencing the popular “inverse Cramer” meme and investment philosophy, which ironically seeks to capitalize on the opposite of the investment calls made by the former fund manager.
“If Cramer is selling, it’s time to start buying,” commented GRIT Trading Academy founder Archie Spencer.
“Every time Cramer says sell, I add to my position. Been doing it since 2018. The inverse Cramer index remains undefeated,” wrote pseudonymous crypto investor Bitcoin & Barbells.

BTC/USD, year-to-date chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Whale wallets start selling as trading activity declines
Meanwhile, large investors are selling their Bitcoin holdings as crypto market liquidity is drying up.
On Monday, whale wallet ‘bc1qpt’ transferred its entire holdings of 16,400 Bitcoin, worth about $1 billion, to a new wallet address following seven months of inactivity, according to blockchain analytics platform Lookonchain.
The transfer occurred shortly after daily cryptocurrency trading activity across the leading 44 spot crypto exchanges fell to $15 billion last week, marking the lowest level of 2026, according to data from crypto intelligence platform Kaiko shared by the Kobeissi Letter.

Source: The Kobeissi Letter
“This marks a -70% decline from January peak levels, ” wrote the Kobeissi Letter in a Tuesday X post, adding that “crypto market liquidity is drying up.”
Related: Nearly 10% of Bitcoin supply is ‘structurally unsafe’ from quantum breakthrough: Glassnode
Industry watchers divided over quantum threat’s timeline
Industry watchers are divided over the timeline of a quantum computing breakthrough. In November 2025, Blockstream CEO Adam Back said that Bitcoin faces no meaningful quantum threat for at least the next 20 to 40 years.
In contrast, analysts at Bernstein said that Bitcoin has about three to five years to prepare for a post-quantum security upgrade, in an April report.
“Back’s assessment is the more accurate and measured view: practical quantum threats capable of breaking Bitcoin’s cryptography remain highly unlikely within the next decade,” Lacie Zhang, research analyst at Bitget Wallet, told Cointelegraph.
Magazine: Bitcoin’s quantum upgrade path: What BIP-360 changes and what it does not
Crypto World
Yamaha Shares Explode 13% on Record H1 Results, Defying Japan’s Market Crisis
Yamaha Motor shares surged 13.40% on Tuesday to close at 1,511 yen (roughly 9.62 dollars), after record first-half results forced the company to raise its annual guidance.
The rally stood out in a Japanese market still rattled by last week’s coordinated currency intervention.
The Record Numbers Behind the Rally
Operating profit measures earnings from core business activities before interest and taxes, a cleaner gauge of operational health than net income alone.
Yamaha’s revenue reached 1.498 trillion yen (~$9.54 billion) during the January to June period, up 17.2% year-over-year. Operating profit climbed to 158.5 billion yen (~$1.01 billion), an 88.6% increase. Attributable net profit performed even better. The figure hit 113.9 billion yen (~$725 million), representing a growth of 114.7%.
Motorcycles drove the expansion. European and American markets led demand, supported by a weaker yen through most of the period and improved cost management. Structural changes accompanied the results. The company announced reforms to its off-road leisure vehicle business and raised its full-year forecast.
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Investor response was immediate. Trading volume exceeded 30 million shares, reflecting unusually strong interest in the stock.
The broader index offered only modest relief. The Nikkei 225 advanced 0.32% to 63,957.53 points, partially recovering from sharp declines in previous sessions.
Japanese markets have endured severe volatility since late July. The yen weakened to levels unseen in 40 years before Tokyo and the US Treasury executed a joint yen-buying intervention.
Why the Risks Have Not Disappeared
The subsequent currency rebound created its own problem. Exporters faced profitability concerns, triggering heavy selling across the index.
Washington is now pushing for additional tools. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent publicly asked the Federal Reserve to expand its FIMA repo facility. The mechanism matters considerably. It allows foreign governments to obtain dollars by using Treasury bonds as collateral, thereby supporting interventions without straining American debt markets.
Risks remain firmly in place, however. Analysts warn the real pain may still be ahead for Japanese equities. Two threats stand out. A possible Bank of Japan rate hike in September, combined with a yen still prone to strengthening, would squeeze export-dependent companies.
Kioxia Holdings illustrates that vulnerability. The memory chip maker already missed its first-half guidance and suffers directly from yen appreciation, given its reliance on foreign sales.
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The contrast defined Tuesday’s session. While the Nikkei managed only a timid rebound, Yamaha demonstrated that exceptional results still command investor attention.
Sustainability remains an open question. Further yen strengthening or a more aggressive decision by the Bank of Japan in September could pressure exporters again. For now, the market rewarded execution over macro anxiety. Whether that holds depends on decisions in Tokyo rather than corporate boardrooms.
The post Yamaha Shares Explode 13% on Record H1 Results, Defying Japan’s Market Crisis appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
South African lawmakers propose draft rules on cross-border crypto transactions
South Africa’s Treasury and central bank are moving towards regulating the use of cryptocurrency for cross-border transactions.
The National Treasury and the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) released a draft rulebook on Monday that proposes that sending crypto offshore must be conducted through an authorized provider and reported to the central bank’s Financial Surveillance Department (FinSurv).
“The proposed regulatory measures seek to minimize the risk of regulatory arbitrage between regulated entities conducting cross-border activities, and to enhance the ability of the Financial Surveillance Department (FinSurv) to detect, deter and disrupt illicit financial flows,” Treasury and the Reserve Bank said in a joint statement.
The framework would not make crypto legal tender, nor do the rules distinguish between different digital assets.
The two bodies have invited comments from interested parties with a deadline for submission of Sept. 30.
The proposed rules build on previous National Treasury draft regulations issued in April, which would require crypto holders to declare assets above a certain threshold and hand over private keys to enforcement officers on demand.
Crypto World
XRP News: Ripple Takes Equity Stakes in Zilo and Licuido to Fix Idle Tokenized Assets
In the latest XRP News, Ripple announced strategic equity investments in two UK-based firms, Zilo and Licuido, on August 3, 2026, converting existing commercial partnerships into ownership positions to complete a full-lifecycle institutional capital markets stack on the XRP Ledger.
The move targets the gap that has stalled most institutional tokenization pilots: minting a token is straightforward; financing, pledging, and settling it with the same reliability as a conventional holding is not.
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The Problem: Tokenized Assets That Sit Idle
Institutional RWA tokenization has exhibited a consistent structural failure: tokenized fund shares are issued and then parked.
The ownership record, issuance rail, and settlement mechanism have historically been handled by separate, often incompatible legacy systems that were never designed to interface with on-chain collateral markets.
Ripple’s framing of the deal is explicit on this point. The company described the investments as addressing constraints in which collateral sits idle, settlement takes longer than necessary, and institutions have no reliable path to unlock liquidity from tokenized positions.
The Zilo and Licuido stakes are designed to close those three gaps simultaneously on XRPL.
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XRP News: What Zilo and Licuido Each Provide
Zilo handles transfer agency and fund administration – the regulated record of who owns what, extended to cover tokenized share classes as funds move on-chain. Before any lender will extend credit against a tokenized fund position, they need a legally reliable ownership register; Zilo supplies that layer. Its client roster, which includes Citi, Fidelity International, and State Street, provides Ripple with a direct bridge into incumbent custody and TA infrastructure.
Licuido, an FCA-regulated platform, manages issuance, distribution, and execution, allowing traditional financial assets, including fund shares, to move as digital collateral through on-chain atomic settlement.
Trades settle on the XRPL in three to five seconds. Ripple’s dollar-pegged stablecoin, RLUSD, functions as the regulated cash leg for delivery-versus-payment transactions, so asset transfer and payment settle simultaneously rather than sequentially.
Together, the three-part stack – Zilo for regulated record-keeping, Licuido for issuance and collateral mobility, RLUSD for the cash leg – gives institutions a single operating model for tokenized fund assets from issuance through financing. Neither company’s financial terms were disclosed.

Nigel Khakoo, Ripple’s SVP of Trading and Markets, characterized the infrastructure role of both firms in the official press release: “ZILO and Licuido provide core capabilities that are essential to further scaling this shift: regulated digital transfer agency infrastructure and liquidity for issuance and collateral mobility.”
Building on Live Deployments, Not Pilots
The stakes are not speculative bets on unproven vendors. Ripple confirmed that both investments build on pre-existing partnerships, and Licuido was already in production as the tokenization infrastructure for the Aviva Investors USD Liquidity Fund, the first tokenized fund structure approved by the Central Bank of Ireland on a public blockchain, which went live on XRPL on July 29, 2026.
BNY holds the underlying assets; Komainu provides digital asset custody.
The institutional pipeline extends further. Ripple’s parallel push into institutional infrastructure also encompasses a September 2025 memorandum of understanding with Franklin Templeton and DBS to list Franklin Templeton’s sgBENJI tokenized money market fund on the DBS Digital Exchange alongside RLUSD, with a stated path toward using sgBENJI as repo collateral.
The collateral-mobility thesis Ripple is industrializing through Zilo, and Licuido is the same structure that the partnership was designed to test.
On the network side, Ripple reported that XRPL has processed more than four billion transactions since 2012 and is maintained by 120 independent validators. A major protocol upgrade, xrpld 3.3.0, targeting improvements in XRPL infrastructure and institutional finance functionality, was expected to be released within days of the announcement.
Ripple is also one of 54 firms on a UK government task force formed to build live tokenized wholesale financial market use cases over the next 12 months, alongside Circle, Coinbase, BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan, and Morgan Stanley. The first target is the tokenized repo. Ripple’s expanding regulatory positioning in Europe provides additional runway for the institutional tokenization push built on XRPL.
The practical test for the Zilo and Licuido stack is whether tokenized fund shares generate genuine secondary liquidity and serve as working collateral in live credit markets over the next 12 to 24 months – or whether they remain a more sophisticated form of the same idle token problem Ripple is explicitly trying to solve.
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The post XRP News: Ripple Takes Equity Stakes in Zilo and Licuido to Fix Idle Tokenized Assets appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
A SpaceX Rocket Will Crash Into the Moon This Week. Here’s Everything You Need to Know
The 230-ft. Falcon 9 lifted off from launch complex 39A at the Kennedy Space Center on Jan. 15, 2025, packed with a pair of spacecraft bound for the moon. One of them, the Blue Ghost lander, built by Firefly Aerospace of Cedar Park, Texas, landed on the moon on March 2, 2025, becoming the first privately built ship to pull off a completely successful lunar touchdown. The other, the Resilience lander, built by the Japanese company ispace, wasn’t so fortunate, crash-landing on the moon on June 5, 2025, after its laser range-finder failed. At the beginning of their missions, once the ships had climbed to near-Earth space, both of them relied on the Falcon 9’s 45-ft. upper stage to blast them away from the Earth and outward to the moon. After releasing the two lunar landers, that Falcon stage was supposed to fall harmlessly away, but instead it’s hung around.
Crypto World
Trump Administration Plans Ban on New Chinese AI Data Center Components: Report
The White House is reportedly preparing fresh restrictions targeting Chinese-made data centers as it seeks to secure the infrastructure powering the race for AI domination.
The new rules, reported by Reuters earlier today, would prohibit US imports of new models of Chinese optical transceivers used in AI data centers.
AI-Security Needs Increase
The Federal Communications Commission is developing the proposed restrictions and is expected to announce them later this year. If approved, they would block future imports of the network components, which transmit data through fiber-optic cables at extremely high speeds. They have a key role in connecting AI chips inside modern data centers.
Reuters further claimed that US officials are concerned that Chinese-made transceivers could be exploited to steal sensitive information, install malicious software, or disrupt operations inside the massive data centers that power some of the leading AI models.
Divyansh Kaushik, an AI policy expert in advisory firm Beacon Global Strategies, doubled down that “transceivers definitely pose a risk,” and warned that AI developers “want to make sure the data center supply chain is secure from the get-go.”
According to the report, the proposals come after some hard lessons learned by the US government from the Huawei fiasco, when Chinese telecommunications equipment became so deeply embedded into American infrastructure that replacing it became highly expensive and time-consuming.
Beijing Will Respond
Although the White House and the FCC failed to respond to Reuters’ queries, the Chinese embassy in Washington said Beijing had urged the US to “heed the objective and rational voices of the business communities in both countries and stop smearing Chinese companies and threatening them with sanctions.”
The officials added that China will “take all necessary measures” in response to whatever action is undertaken by the Trump administration.
The POTUS has frequently outlined in the past the significance of keeping the US as the leader in terms of artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency adoption and development.
The post Trump Administration Plans Ban on New Chinese AI Data Center Components: Report appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
CLARITY Act Senate Vote Locked In, But 60-Vote Hurdle Looms Large
Senate Majority Leader John Thune confirmed on August 3 that H.R. 3633, the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act, will receive a Senate floor vote before the August recess, upgrading the bill’s status from probable to scheduled.
The confirmation matters, but it does not resolve the harder question: whether Republicans can assemble the roughly seven Democratic votes needed to clear the 60-vote filibuster threshold that stands between a floor vote and actual passage.
As of that confirmation, the CLARITY Act was still absent from the official Senate floor calendar, and no cloture motion had been filed.
Per analysis from crypto analyst Ted Pillows, if Senate leadership waits until Wednesday, August 6, to file cloture, the earliest possible floor vote falls on Friday, August 8, leaving almost no margin before the chamber disperses for its state work period.
The primary source identifies August 7 as the last functional Senate workday, with August 10 marking the visible close of the window.
Thune’s move to force a vote, even without guaranteed passage, is partly about accountability. A floor vote creates a public record, placing every undecided Democrat on the spot before the midterm cycle intensifies. That political calculation does not change the arithmetic, but it changes the pressure environment heading into September.
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What the CLARITY Act Would Actually Restructure
The core function of the CLARITY Act is jurisdictional. The SEC retains oversight of investment contracts and tokenized securities.
The CFTC acquires full spot market regulatory authority over digital commodities, a significant expansion given the agency currently holds derivatives jurisdiction but limited fraud enforcement reach in spot markets.
That SEC-CFTC split is the structural change the industry has been lobbying toward for years, as covered in earlier reporting on Treasury Secretary Bessent’s pressure campaign for the same vote.
The total crypto market stood at $2.28 trillion as of July 20, 2026, with Bitcoin accounting for $1.29 trillion, roughly 56% dominance, and stablecoins representing approximately $305 billion.
The remaining $680 billion in digital assets is the most directly affected tranche: those are the tokens whose securities-versus-commodities classification remains legally ambiguous, and whose exchanges, market makers, and issuers would face new registration and compliance obligations under the bill.
Bitcoin is the least affected asset in this picture. It already carries established commodity treatment, a derivatives market, and spot ETF access. The CLARITY Act would confirm its status rather than change it.
The primary beneficiaries sit in the mid- and long-tail of the market: investment contract-type tokens seeking commodity reclassification, U.S. spot exchanges pursuing federal registration, stablecoin platforms navigating yield restrictions, and DeFi protocols with identifiable governance structures.
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Three Unresolved Disputes That Could Sink the 60-Vote Count
The Senate Banking Committee passed its version of the bill 15-9 on May 14, 2026, with all Republicans plus Democratic Senators Ruben Gallego and Angela Alsobrooks in favor, though both explicitly reserved judgment on floor support pending further negotiations.
The Senate Agriculture Committee, which oversees CFTC jurisdiction over digital commodity spot markets, approved a separate version in January 2026. Senator Cynthia Lummis released a unified draft merging both committee texts on July 22, but reconciliation gaps remain.
The stablecoin rewards debate is the most commercially charged open issue. The Senate Banking draft would prohibit yield payments on stablecoin holdings, treating platforms that pay such yields as de facto deposit-taking institutions subject to bank-equivalent requirements.
Crypto firms argue the provision protects incumbent banks rather than consumers, and the carve-outs for transaction rewards, digital payments, and loyalty programs raise definitional questions that the SEC, CFTC, and Treasury would have to resolve jointly in rulemaking, adding implementation uncertainty even if the bill passes.
Ethics rules represent the more politically explosive obstacle. Several Democratic senators are pushing for stricter restrictions on federal officials and their families engaging in crypto dealings, a demand inseparable from the Trump family’s crypto activity.
The updated draft includes a temporary restriction on senior officials issuing or sponsoring digital assets, set to expire in 2029, but that provision has not secured White House backing.
Senator Thom Tillis acknowledged negotiators are “not quite there” on an ethics agreement. Without that resolution, the Democratic vote count necessary to reach 60 likely does not exist. Per crypto.news, Polymarket traders price the CLARITY Act’s probability of becoming law in 2026 at approximately 33%, while Galaxy Research puts it at 30%.
What Failure Before August 10 Actually Means for Crypto Markets
The August 10 date carries institutional weight rather than immediate market weight. No existing exchange, token, or stablecoin faces legal jeopardy if the bill misses the window.
What changes is the regulatory trajectory: a failed vote pushes the realistic timeline for comprehensive crypto market-structure legislation into mid-2027 at the earliest, as post-recess legislative calendar compression coincides with government funding negotiations and a sharpening midterm environment.
The practical consequence of continued delay is that the SEC and CFTC proceed through guidance and enforcement rather than statute, a framework that is both less predictable and more reversible with each change in administration.
That regulatory uncertainty is already priced into U.S.-based exchange valuations and token classification risk premiums. Passage would compress those premiums; failure extends them.
The parallel is instructive: MiCA’s implementation in Europe demonstrated how codified market structure rules can materially shift institutional positioning once legal ambiguity is removed.
Even if the CLARITY Act clears the Senate and reaches the president’s desk, the operational timeline is not immediate. The current draft sets a 360-day effective date after enactment, with additional delays built in for SEC and CFTC rulemaking on exchanges, custody, derivatives, and market data.
Most operational changes would not take effect until late 2027. Passage in 2026 matters for the institutional commitment it signals and the legal baseline it sets, not because it flips a switch on market structure in the near term. The next 72 hours of Senate scheduling will determine whether that baseline arrives this year or gets deferred into another Congress entirely.
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The post CLARITY Act Senate Vote Locked In, But 60-Vote Hurdle Looms Large appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Israel Bombs Gaza, Casting Doubt on Trump Peace Plan
On Friday, Trump said that Israel was “very happy” with the deal, which he called a “big step for the Middle East.”
Instead, Israel has appeared to buck Trump—not for the first time—by sharply intensifying its deadly attacks on Gaza. The weekend airstrikes are just the latest Israeli attacks since the October cease-fire, which was meant to halt fighting after the war killed more than 67,000 Palestinians. Since then, the Palestinian death toll has risen to 73,000, according to Gaza’s Health Ministry, while five Israeli soldiers have been killed, including one in friendly fire, since the cease-fire, according to Israeli officials. The war began after the Palestinian militant group Hamas launched a terrorist attack on Israel on Oct. 7, 2023, killing around 1,200 people.
Crypto World
Strategy’s STRC retakes $90 after 24% rebound from June closing low

The preferred shares have recovered nearly 24% from their June closing low as Strategy builds its cash reserve and repurchases STRC.
Crypto World
GBP/USD: The Triangle That Could Define the Rest of 2026
The pound just closed its strongest week against the dollar in months, ending July up more than 1% and holding just below $1.35. Two factors are driving the move. First, political risk has faded: the UK appointed its seventh prime minister in a decade, and the new government’s pledge of fiscal discipline has reassured markets. Second, the Bank of England surprised with a more hawkish tone than expected—policymakers voted 6-3 to hold rates steady, but three members pushed for a hike, a stronger signal of resolve than markets had priced in.
The dollar, meanwhile, has had a rough few sessions. Following the Fed’s decision to hold rates for a fifth consecutive meeting, Chair Kevin Warsh offered little clarity on the path ahead, leaving investors questioning whether the central bank is doing enough to bring inflation back to target. The dollar index posted its worst weekly performance in three months as a result, though roughly two-thirds of the market still expects a September hike.
With both central banks striking cautiously hawkish tones but offering little forward guidance, GBP/USD’s next move looks set to hinge on incoming US labor data.
Technical Analysis of GBP/USD

As the GBP/USD chart shows, the pair has been compressing into a broad symmetrical triangle since January’s highs, with price now converging near the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement around 1.3427, exactly where the two trendlines meet. This narrowing structure suggests a decisive breakout may be approaching after months of range-bound trading.
Bullish Scenario
Should buyers push through the descending trendline and reclaim the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement near 1.3510, the path would open toward the 0.618 level around 1.3594, with a stronger move potentially targeting the 1.3865 highs from January if fundamental momentum aligns.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, a break below the ascending trendline would expose the 1.3200 support zone, with a more significant breakdown risking a retest of the 1.3155 low that anchored this entire triangle formation.
With price coiled right at the apex of this multi-month triangle, and both the Fed and incoming labor data serving as potential catalysts, GBP/USD looks primed for its next major directional move—will the pound extend its recent strength, or is the dollar poised for a comeback?
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Ripple invested in two regulated capital markets firms. Today.
Senate Majority Leader Thune says he still expects to hold a vote for the crypto Clarity Act this week before recess.
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