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Polymarket reportedly seeks $1 billion at $20B

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Polymarket says no mandatory KYC planned for main prediction market

Polymarket is reportedly in preliminary talks with prospective investors about raising roughly $1 billion at a valuation above $20 billion.

Summary

  • Polymarket is reportedly discussing a new $1 billion raise at a valuation exceeding $20 billion.
  • April’s financing reportedly valued Polymarket at $15 billion and included D.E. Shaw and G Squared.
  • ICE confirmed a $600 million March investment after making an earlier $1 billion Polymarket investment.
  • July prediction market volume reached $50.6 billion, with Kalshi handling $37.7 billion across its platform.
  • Polymarket US operates through QCX, a CFTC designated market, amid state challenges to federal authority.

Bloomberg reported the discussions on Aug. 4, citing people familiar with the private negotiations. 

The company has not announced a deal. A Polymarket spokesperson declined to comment on the report. The fundraising amount, valuation and investor group should therefore be treated as “preliminary” rather than completed financing.

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A successful round would place Polymarket near Kalshi, its largest prediction market rival, which secured a $22 billion valuation in May. It would also continue the rapid rise in private valuations across an industry expanding from election contracts into sports, economics, crypto and other real world events.

Polymarket funding talks remain unconfirmed

The reported transaction remains at an early stage. No term sheet, closing date or final investor list has been released. Private funding discussions can change before completion, including the capital raised and the valuation investors ultimately accept.

Comparisons with Polymarket’s October 2025 valuation also require care. Bloomberg referred to a valuation of about $9 billion. However, Intercontinental Exchange’s official announcement said its planned investment reflected an approximate $8 billion valuation before the new capital was added. The figures may use different valuation bases and are not necessarily contradictory.

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The April financing also combines reported and confirmed information. Bloomberg said Polymarket completed roughly $1 billion in financing at a $15 billion valuation, with D.E. Shaw and G Squared joining the investor group.

ICE separately confirmed a further $600 million investment on March 27 as part of a Polymarket equity raise. The New York Stock Exchange owner had already invested $1 billion in October 2025. ICE did not disclose the valuation attached to its March investment.

A valuation above $20 billion would be at least 33% higher than the reported April figure. It would also represent more than twice the valuation Bloomberg assigned to Polymarket’s October round.

U.S. expansion supports Polymarket’s valuation case

Polymarket’s return to the U.S. gives the company a regulated growth channel alongside its international platform, which uses crypto settlement.

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The CFTC’s official registry lists QCX LLC, doing business as Polymarket US, as a designated contract market. The regulator records its designation date as July 9, 2025. The exchange has since submitted rule changes covering fees, liquidity programs, surveillance and trading procedures.

Bloomberg reported that Polymarket had opened its U.S. exchange following its April financing. Meanwhile, the company’s U.S. access page states that its app is being rolled out to users from a waitlist. This indicates that access may still be expanding in stages rather than being uniformly available.

Revenue growth provides another part of the reported valuation case, although the numbers remain private company metrics. Bloomberg’s sources said Polymarket’s annualized revenue had more than tripled since April to above $1.2 billion.

Reuters reported in June that the platform’s annualized revenue had passed $1 billion. An annualized figure extrapolates recent performance and is not the same as audited revenue collected across a completed financial year.

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Trading data also shows that the U.S. venue is gaining activity. As crypto.news reported, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Kalshi generated a combined record of $50.6 billion in July volume.

Kalshi led with $37.7 billion. Polymarket US increased its volume by 54% to $5 billion, while Polymarket’s international venue fell 26% to $7.9 billion. The figures show faster U.S. growth, but they also show that the wider Polymarket business did not expand evenly.

Kalshi’s lead creates a demanding benchmark

Kalshi officially announced a $1 billion Series F round at a $22 billion valuation on May 7. Coatue led the financing, with participation from Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, IVP, Paradigm, Morgan Stanley and ARK Invest.

The company said institutional trading volume had risen 800% over six months. Kalshi also said its annualized trading volume increased from $52 billion to $178 billion. Those are company supplied trading figures and should not be confused with revenue.

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In related coverage, crypto.news reported that Kalshi claimed more than 90% of U.S. prediction market activity when it announced the financing. Independent July data also showed Kalshi processing almost three times the combined volume of Polymarket’s international and U.S. venues.

Polymarket’s reported target would narrow the valuation gap despite Kalshi’s larger trading volume. Prospective investors may be assigning value to Polymarket’s international reach, crypto settlement infrastructure, brand recognition and relationship with ICE.

Volume alone cannot determine a private company’s worth. Fees, customer retention, compliance costs, market composition and activity after major sporting or political events can affect revenue quality. July open interest fell after the World Cup ended even as monthly trading reached a record.

Regulatory disputes could influence the funding round

Polymarket US holds a federal designation, but several states argue that sports event contracts amount to gambling and remain subject to state laws.

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The Nevada Gaming Control Board filed a civil complaint against Polymarket and QCX in January. The regulator asked a state court to stop the companies from offering what it described as unlicensed wagering in Nevada.

As previously reported, Polymarket and Kalshi are involved in a broader dispute over whether the Commodity Exchange Act gives the CFTC exclusive authority over federally registered event contract platforms.

North Carolina has followed a different route. A law signed in July recognizes CFTC regulated prediction markets and establishes a 6% tax on their trading fee revenue beginning in 2027.

These disputes do not prevent Polymarket from discussing financing. However, they could affect market access, legal costs and how investors value the company’s U.S. growth plans.

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Hut 8 Stock Slides 9.7% Despite 81% Revenue Surge in Q2

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Hut 8 Stock Chart Showing the 9.74% Drop on August 4

Hut 8 stock dropped 9.74% to $101.16 on Tuesday after the company reported second-quarter earnings. Revenue climbed 81% year over year to $74.9 million, while net losses reached $177.1 million.

The Bitcoin (BTC) miner turned AI data center developer recovered 1.29% to $102.47 in after-hours trading. Investors appear focused on the loss rather than the company’s growing lease book.

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Hut 8 Stock Chart Showing the 9.74% Drop on August 4
Hut 8 Stock Chart Showing the 9.74% Drop on August 4. Source: Google Finance

Why Hut 8 Stock Fell Despite Revenue Growth

Most of the quarterly loss existed only on paper. The company booked $138.6 million in primarily unrealized losses on digital assets, according to its earnings release.

The comparison with last year sharpened the reaction. Hut 8 posted $137.5 million in net income in Q2 2025, when digital asset gains lifted results.

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Core operations moved the other way. Adjusted EBITDA excluding digital assets reached $10.4 million, up from $4.2 million a year earlier.

“Adjusted EBITDA inclusive of digital assets mark-to-market for the three months ended June 30, 2026 was $(94.6) million, compared to $221.2 million in the prior-year period,” the firm revealed.

AI Leases Reach 949 MW and $26.6 Billion

The loss overshadowed a growing commercial pipeline. Contracted IT capacity across Hut 8’s AI campuses reached 949 MW, with a base-term contract value of roughly $26.6 billion.

Those leases are expected to generate more than $1.75 billion in average annual net operating income. A 352 MW Beacon Point Phase 2 deal, signed after quarter-end, lifted that campus alone to roughly $19.6 billion.

The build-out extends the AI data center pivot Hut 8 began in December with AI cloud firm Fluidstack. Financing kept pace, as the company closed $7.5 billion in investment-grade project notes split between its River Bend and Beacon Point campuses, with no recourse to the parent.

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CEO Asher Genoot said execution now takes precedence over deal-making.

“Delivery is now our central priority. We continue to apply the full weight of our organization to deliver River Bend and Beacon Point: operating rigor built through years of developing energy-intensive infrastructure at scale and a team we continue to expand ahead of the growth to come,” the exeutive stated.

Delivery timelines now define the story. River Bend targets its first data hall in Q2 2027. Beacon Point Phase 1 expects initial energization in Q1 2027. The coming quarters will show whether the construction pace matches the contracted numbers.

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Important Pi Network News and PI Token Update: August 5

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The Core Team behind the project rarely stays quiet, trying to improve the broader network with new updates, features, redesigns, and anything in between.

Although these attempts generally fall short when it comes to boosting investor sentiment toward the underlying asset, there has been an evident shift in the past week or so.

Pi Joins RoboPay

The latest announcement coming from the Pi Network team outlined a partnership with RoboPay, making it a payment partner. This would allow “tens of millions of Pi users” to have access to robot services directly through the use of the asset they already hold, meaning they can spend Pi for grocery deliveries, property patrols, industrial inspections, and humanoid assistance.

RoboPay is an on-chain system built by the non-profit Fabric Foundation to let AI agents discover, hire, and pay robots autonomously.

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“This partnership marks a fundamental shift in how humans are able to interact with robotics. Instead of purchasing robots themselves, users will be able to simply purchase outcomes. Physical intelligence becomes an on-demand service that is discoverable, programmable, and instantly payable through a shared economic network,” reads the announcement.

Launchpad Model

The Core Team has long claimed that it tends to approach token launches differently than other blockchain projects, which typically keep the raised funds. In contrast, Pi Network sends the committed Pi coins directly into a liquidity pool paired with the newly issued ecosystem asset.

In a recent post, they outlined the details of how this process will enhance user engagement and real application functions. More than 240,000 Pioneers participated in the distribution of the Testnet token called SLICE. According to the team, users have committed roughly 16 million Test-Pi for 10 million SLICE tokens.

The newly issued asset, which remains only in test mode and will never go to mainnet, as the team explained, is linked to the game Slice of Pi. It aims to test engagement-based bonuses and promote product utility over capital raising.

Next Protocol Version

Pi Network confirmed the completion of protocol version 25 at the end of July, and outlined August 11 as the deadline for the deployment of the next one, version 26. The team described it as a major milestone that leads to the final planned upgrade, version 27, after eight successful migrations.

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Later on, they published a reminder to node operators that they have to ensure their systems are upgraded by the set deadline, otherwise risk being disconnected from the network.

PI Price Update

It was less than a month ago when the underlying asset plummeted to a new all-time low of just over $0.07. This was the culmination of consecutive breakdowns and the loss of key support levels.

The bulls finally stepped up and helped it surge to $0.10 within days. However, another rejection followed, and PI slipped below $0.09 and $0.08. This time, though, the support at $0.074 managed to contain the losses, and the asset has remained above $0.08 for the past several days.

Moreover, it jumped from under $0.083 to over $0.086 earlier today, where it was stopped and now sits inches below it. Nevertheless, it’s still 22% higher than the ATL marked in mid-July. A large portion of these gains came after the team announced the upcoming version 26.

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The post Important Pi Network News and PI Token Update: August 5 appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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BTC Reclaims $64K Ahead of Expected Iran-US-Oman Hormuz Deal Today: Report

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Bitcoin’s price recovery from the dip to $62,200 continues, as the asset has added two grand and now sits confidently above $64,000. It appears that the market is pricing in the latest positive development on the Middle East uncertainty.

A report from Axios from earlier this morning indicated that the US, Iran, and Oman are “closing in on an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.” Moreover, it added that President Trump wants the confirmation to be announced today.

The report follows the weekend developments in which the POTUS canceled the planned strikes against Iran and claimed that there’s a deal in the making, something which the Middle Eastern country initially refuted.

Citing two regional sources familiar with the matter, Axios outlined details of the worked-out deal: all inbound traffic of ships would go through the Iran-controlled northern lane, while outbound traffic would pass through the southern lane through Omani waters.

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In addition, neither side will charge fees or tolls for a 60-day period. Previously, Iran wanted up to $2 million per ship, possibly paid in BTC.

The parties will work on clearing naval mines from the median lane, which would later be used for inbound and outbound traffic under the terms of a permanent arrangement between Oman and Iran.

BTC has gained over $2,000 since the local low at $62,200, as it continues to be impacted by the developments on the war front. However, the breakout attempt would probably not be validated until a permanent deal is reached.

The post BTC Reclaims $64K Ahead of Expected Iran-US-Oman Hormuz Deal Today: Report appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Bybit’s EU Payments Unit Obtains Austrian E-Money License

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Crypto Breaking News

Bybit has taken another step toward expanding its regulated business in Europe after its Austria-based payments unit, Bybit Payments GmbH, received an electronic money institution (EMI) license from the country’s Financial Market Authority. The approval gives the exchange a clearer regulatory foundation to introduce payment-related products alongside its existing Europe-focused platform.

In an announcement shared on Tuesday, Bybit said the EMI authorization enables its future payment capabilities, which may eventually include person-to-person transfers, merchant payment services, open banking functionality, and card products. For users and partners, the practical impact is that Bybit is positioning to offer payment rails and e-money services under a supervisory framework rather than relying solely on third-party arrangements.

Key takeaways

  • Bybit Payments GmbH has received an electronic money institution license from Austria’s Financial Market Authority.
  • The authorization is intended to support future payment and e-money products, potentially including P2P, merchant solutions, open banking, and cards.
  • Payments will be offered through Bybit.eu alongside existing services from a separate Austrian crypto-licensed entity.
  • Bybit EU GmbH continues to operate under EU MiCA authorization (granted in May 2025), with responsibilities kept distinct from the EMI permissions.
  • Bybit stated Malta is excluded, citing MiCA passporting requirements that must be met for each jurisdiction.

Austria approval lays groundwork for regulated e-money and payments

The EMI license centers on Bybit Payments GmbH’s ability to provide regulated electronic money and payment services. Bybit did not describe a specific go-live date for any particular product, but it tied the authorization to a broader plan to expand payments features as they are introduced.

For institutional and business users, this matters because payment services typically require ongoing regulatory oversight that extends beyond exchange operations. By obtaining an EMI license, Bybit can create a more direct, jurisdictionally supervised pathway to integrate with banks, payment providers, and enterprises—potentially improving operational control and reducing dependence on external payment infrastructure.

How Bybit plans to split roles across two Austrian entities

Bybit’s European structure now hinges on two different Austrian entities, each carrying different regulatory permissions. The exchange said Bybit Payments GmbH will manage the EMI and payment-related activity as e-money and payment products are launched. Meanwhile, Bybit EU GmbH—another Austrian entity—remains responsible for crypto services under EU Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA).

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According to Bybit, Bybit EU GmbH is authorized to provide crypto custody, exchange, placement, and transfer services. This separation is designed to keep permissions and obligations distinct: one entity under the crypto regime for crypto-asset activities, and the other under the payments regime for electronic money and regulated payment products.

Bybit also said both services will be made available through Bybit.eu, suggesting the user-facing platform will continue to act as a single destination while the underlying compliance responsibilities are managed by the appropriate licensed entity.

Which regions will have access—and why Malta is missing

Bybit Payments GmbH’s services are expected to run through Bybit.eu for users across the European Economic Area (EEA), with an exception: Malta.

Bybit did not give a specific operational reason for the exclusion. Instead, it referenced its own website guidance, stating that services are offered only in jurisdictions where applicable MiCA passporting requirements have been met. The statement suggests that regulatory coverage for the overall Bybit offering—including how crypto and payments are packaged for particular regions—depends on whether passporting conditions have been satisfied.

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For readers, the key takeaway is that licensing alone may not automatically translate into immediate availability across every EEA jurisdiction. Even when an entity is licensed in one country, market access can hinge on broader cross-border permissions tied to the regulatory framework involved.

Why the milestone could change how Bybit partners with banks

Beyond product expansion, Bybit framed the EMI license as a relationship-strengthening development with banks, payment providers, and enterprises. Bybit suggested the new approval could also reduce reliance on third-party payment infrastructure.

That shift is particularly relevant in Europe, where fintech and crypto firms often face a trade-off: speed to market versus the cost and complexity of building and maintaining compliant payment operations. Establishing an EMI license can support more direct routing of payment flows and potentially help standardize integrations with counterparties. It may also make it easier for partners to understand which part of Bybit’s business is responsible for regulated payment activities.

At the same time, it remains to be seen how quickly Bybit will convert the license into concrete consumer-facing offerings. An EMI authorization provides a regulatory capability, but product rollouts—especially those involving card services or open banking—typically require additional implementation work and coordination with payment networks and partners.

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Related: Crypto exchange Bybit launches in Indonesia after NOBI acquisition

Investors and users should watch how Bybit translates the EMI license into specific payment features on Bybit.eu, and whether the exchange later broadens availability to additional jurisdictions currently excluded—particularly Malta. The other open question is the pace of integration between the MiCA-authorized entity and the newly licensed EMI unit, since the two permissions are meant to stay distinct even if the experience is unified.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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CLARITY Act may stall, but crypto can grow: Bitwise

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CLARITY Act chances of becoming law by Dec, source: Polymarket

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan said on Aug. 4 that the crypto industry would continue expanding even if the U.S. Senate fails to advance the CLARITY Act before its August recess.

Summary

  • No CLARITY Act cloture motion appeared on Tuesday’s Senate schedule, narrowing this week’s remaining window.
  • Bitwise’s Matt Hougan says SEC rulemaking could sustain crypto growth if Congress delays market structure.
  • The bill cleared Senate Banking 15 to 9 but still needs sixty votes for cloture.
  • Democratic senators seek ethics, consumer protection, illicit finance, conflict, and market integrity provisions before passage.
  • Polymarket traders place 2026 enactment odds at 23%, reflecting doubts before the Senate recess begins.

In a new investor memo, Hougan said crypto “will be fine” without immediate congressional action. He argued that Securities and Exchange Commission rulemaking could provide an alternative path while traditional financial companies continue adopting digital assets. His assessment is a forward looking industry view, not a confirmed regulatory outcome.

The bill’s immediate prospects remain uncertain. The Senate’s Aug. 4 floor schedule did not include H.R. 3633, and the chamber’s official list of pending cloture motions named two unrelated matters. No cloture filing for the CLARITY Act had been announced by the end of Tuesday’s session.

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CLARITY Act faces an Aug. 5 procedural test

Hougan identified Wednesday, Aug. 5, as the practical deadline for Senate leaders to file cloture and preserve a possible Friday procedural vote. Senate Rule XXII ordinarily requires a cloture vote one hour after the chamber meets on the following calendar day but one after filing. Sixteen senators must sign the motion.

Ending debate on legislation normally requires three fifths of senators duly chosen and sworn, or 60 votes when every seat is filled. The measure could move faster under a unanimous consent agreement, but such an arrangement would require cooperation that Senate leaders have not announced.

The Senate Banking Committee approved the bill 15 to 9 on May 14. Senator Cynthia Lummis later released a merged 616 page proposal combining work by the Banking and Agriculture committees. The revised measure remains on the Senate legislative calendar but has not received a full chamber vote.

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As crypto.news reported on Aug. 4, government funding legislation and nominations occupied the available floor schedule. The omission does not legally kill the CLARITY Act, but it leaves little time for debate, amendments and a final vote before lawmakers depart.

SEC rules could help but cannot replace the bill

Hougan based his fallback scenario on comments from SEC Chair Paul Atkins, who said the agency was “ready, willing, and able” to address several matters covered by the legislation. Hougan believes rules adopted under Atkins could initially prove more favorable to innovation than compromises required for a bipartisan law. He said they “may even be an accelerant,” although no such effect is assured.

Atkins has supported agency action through Project Crypto, including work on token classifications, capital formation and securities market rules. However, he has also backed congressional legislation. In an official speech, Atkins said statutory language provides the strongest protection against future regulators reversing the current approach.

The distinction matters because the CLARITY Act would divide digital asset jurisdiction between the SEC and Commodity Futures Trading Commission. The updated congressional summary covers token disclosures, digital commodity exchanges, customer property, decentralized finance, stablecoin rewards and anti money laundering requirements.

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The SEC can change rules governing securities, registered intermediaries and token offerings within its existing authority. It cannot independently grant the CFTC nationwide authority over digital commodity spot markets. SEC rules could therefore provide part of the framework, but not the complete structure Congress is considering.

As previously reported by crypto.news, agency rules would also be less durable than legislation. A future commission could revise or withdraw them through another regulatory process. A federal statute could only be changed through new congressional action.

Political disputes still threaten Senate support

Seven Democratic senators said on July 22 that the updated Republican text “falls short.” Catherine Cortez Masto, Angela Alsobrooks, Cory Booker, Ruben Gallego, John Hickenlooper, Mark Warner and Raphael Warnock requested stronger rules for elected officials, consumer protection, illicit finance, conflicts of interest and market integrity. They also said negotiations would continue.

The merged bill already contains an ethics division that would restrict covered officials and spouses from issuing or sponsoring digital assets for compensation while in office. It would also require additional financial disclosures. Democrats have not accepted those provisions as sufficient.

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Banks are separately seeking tighter restrictions on rewards linked to payment stablecoin balances. The current proposal prohibits interest paid solely for holding stablecoins but allows certain activity and loyalty rewards. Banking groups argue that some exceptions could still resemble deposit interest and draw funds away from community lending.

Prediction markets have created another dispute. Twelve senators asked committee leaders to prevent CFTC registered platforms from listing contracts that resemble sports wagers or casino games. They also requested protections for state authority, tribal sovereignty and tribal gaming compacts.

These disagreements make the 60 vote threshold harder to reach. They also show why SEC action cannot resolve every issue. Questions involving CFTC powers, banking law, political ethics and tribal gaming require broader federal authority or additional legislation.

A delay would move the fight into a harder calendar

The Senate’s published calendar places lawmakers in a state work period from Aug. 10 through Sept. 11. Failure to act this week would not remove H.R. 3633 from the calendar, but it would push consideration into a period crowded by government funding, the November election and other unfinished legislation.

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Hougan described that outcome as a “walking dead” period in which the bill remains alive without a clear route to passage. He suggested lawmakers could revisit it in September or attach provisions to a year end package. Those possibilities remain speculative because Senate leaders have announced neither a fall vote nor an omnibus strategy.

Polymarket traders currently give the CLARITY Act a 23% chance of becoming law by Dec. 31, down from 27% when Hougan published his memo. The market has attracted approximately $3.9 million in volume. Its price measures trader sentiment and is not an official congressional forecast.

CLARITY Act chances of becoming law by Dec, source: Polymarket
CLARITY Act chances of becoming law by Dec, source: Polymarket

A cloture filing on Aug. 5 would be the next concrete development. Without one, ordinary Senate procedure would leave almost no route to a pre recess vote. The industry could still receive narrower SEC rules, but the long term allocation of U.S. digital asset oversight would remain unsettled.

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Nikkei 225 Jumps 3% as Chip Stocks Rally on Iran Deal Hopes

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Despite the Yen-USD intervention, the Nikkei is showing strong signs.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 climbed 3.34% Wednesday to 66,090 points, marking its sharpest one-day gain in weeks. Chip stocks led the advance across Asian markets.

The rally followed an overnight surge on Wall Street. Traders also welcomed fresh hope that the United States and Iran will soon reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Chip Stocks Lead The Rally

The Nikkei 225 opened nearly 1% higher and climbed steadily through the session. The gain reversed recent pressure tied to Bank of Japan currency intervention.

SoftBank Group surged more than 10%, according to CNBC. Tokyo Electron added 3.64%, Advantest gained 7%, and Kioxia rose 6.34%.

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Despite the Yen-USD intervention, the Nikkei is showing strong signs.
Despite the Yen-USD intervention, the Nikkei is showing strong signs. Image Source: Trading View

South Korea’s SK Hynix jumped around 6%. Samsung Electronics gained more than 4% at the open, extending South Korea’s chip rebound into the new session.

Ortus Advisors strategist Andrew Jackson linked the move to renewed U.S. semiconductor strength. He said it reinforced the bullish outlook for Asian AI stocks.

SK Hynix also partnered with SanDisk (SNDK) to launch High Bandwidth Flash (HBF), a new memory standard for AI servers. Investors read the move as a sign of continued momentum in AI memory supply chains.

Bessent’s Iran Remarks Support The Rally

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC Tuesday he expects a deal “today or tomorrow” to reopen the strait. He called it a critical corridor for global oil shipments.

Iran has periodically threatened the waterway during its conflict with the United States. Bessent’s comments followed Trump’s Monday Hormuz talks announcement.

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The remarks helped push oil prices lower. Cheaper oil eases cost pressure on energy-dependent economies like Japan and South Korea.

Overnight, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both closed at record highs. The Nasdaq Composite led gains, climbing 2.59%.

Wednesday’s gains follow a volatile stretch for Japanese and South Korean equities. Morgan Stanley’s Korea upgrade points to further room for chip stocks to recover. Traders will watch whether the rally holds once Washington and Tehran confirm a Hormuz deal.

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Coldcard hacker’s $36 million wallet becomes a graffiti wall of pleas and hustles

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Coldcard hacker's $36 million wallet becomes a graffiti wall of pleas and hustles

That’s because the ability to write messages is tied to a quirky Bitcoin feature called OP_RETURN, which lets anyone attach a small text string to a transaction. The text gets permanently timestamped into the blockchain alongside the transfer of money. The function exists for technical purposes; mainly, developers use it to timestamp documents or embed small proofs. That said, users can use the function to leave personal notes.

The Coldcard hardware wallet exploit, first detected on July 30, has snowballed into a major self-custody breach, with confirmed losses now topping $100 million.

What people are actually writing

The plea that opened this article isn’t the only one. Several similar messages have surfaced, according to on-chain tracker Arkham Intelligence.

One reads “Please Please Please” alongside an address; another bluntly asks for “80% of my 5 BTC” back. Whether these come from genuine hack victims or opportunists capitalizing on the sympathy wave is difficult to verify.

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Other messages are opportunistic rather than sympathetic.

One reads, “I clean btc, do kyc and cashout. I take 10%,” complete with a Telegram handle — a laundering pitch hoping to land the hacker as a client. Another begs, “1 BTC for my Bitcoin journey,” which is entirely unrelated to the hack. The sender seems to be using the hacker wallet’s spotlight to solicit money from strangers.

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Bitcoin robbery plot leads to charges for 3 Missouri men

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Bitcoin robbery plot leads to charges for 3 Missouri men

Three Missouri men have pleaded not guilty to a federal charge tied to an alleged plan to steal Bitcoin through a home invasion in Connecticut. 

Summary

  • Three Missouri men face a federal conspiracy charge over an alleged Connecticut Bitcoin robbery plan.
  • Prosecutors say the group surveilled the intended target and his parents for two consecutive days.
  • The Hobbs Act robbery conspiracy charge carries a maximum federal prison sentence of twenty years.
  • Louis and Davis remain detained, while Williams pleaded not guilty and remains free on bond.
  • Two admitted coordinators face August sentencing dates as the Connecticut prosecution continues in federal court.

The U.S. Attorney’s Office for the District of Connecticut announced the charges on Aug. 4 against Sedric Louis, 32, John Davis, 34, and Martel Williams, 27, all of St. Louis.

A New Haven grand jury returned a second superseding indictment on May 22. It charged the three defendants with conspiracy to interfere with commerce by robbery, commonly known as Hobbs Act robbery. Federal law allows a sentence of up to 20 years, although any punishment would depend on a conviction and the court’s findings.

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According to the Justice Department, the defendants traveled to Connecticut between Aug. 21 and Aug. 24, 2024. Prosecutors allege that they obtained rental vehicles, air rifles and walkie talkies before watching the intended target and his parents for two days.

The alleged plan involved entering the family’s home, threatening the target and forcing a transfer of Bitcoin to accounts controlled by the organizers. Prosecutors say the Missouri group left after fearing that home security cameras had recorded them and after losing confidence in the plan.

The charges connect to a later Connecticut kidnapping

The Justice Department says another group from Florida arrived after the Missouri men departed. Danbury police arrested six Florida men on Aug. 25, 2024, after a violent carjacking and the beating and kidnapping of two people.

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Investigators identified the victims as the parents of a person who participated in the theft of hundreds of millions of dollars in Bitcoin. The latest release does not identify that person or state how much cryptocurrency the alleged home invasion crew expected to recover.

The three new defendants have denied the charge. Louis and Davis have remained detained since their June 25 arrests and pleaded not guilty on July 30. Williams pleaded not guilty on July 17 and was released on bond. The Justice Department stressed that “an indictment is not evidence of guilt” and that all three remain presumed innocent.

Guilty pleas already shape the broader federal case

The prosecution reaches beyond the three newly announced defendants. Adam Iza pleaded guilty on June 1 to the same Hobbs Act conspiracy offense. Prosecutors say he communicated with participants, directed logistics and supplied funding. His sentencing is scheduled for Aug. 12.

Saif Faiq pleaded guilty on June 8. The Justice Department says he recruited participants, traveled to Connecticut and helped conduct surveillance. His sentencing is scheduled for Aug. 28. Six people charged over the later carjacking and kidnapping have also pleaded guilty, according to prosecutors.

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The case reflects the use of physical coercion to target digital asset holders. As crypto.news previously reported, three men faced federal charges in a separate alleged $6.5 million cryptocurrency robbery involving kidnapping and forced transfers.

In related coverage, a French crypto worker fought off an armed intruder who allegedly sought access to cryptocurrency wallets.

What happens next in the Bitcoin robbery case

The Justice Department’s Aug. 4 announcement did not provide a trial date for Louis, Davis or Williams. The federal court will next address pretrial motions, evidence and scheduling unless the parties reach plea agreements.

The FBI New Haven Violent Crimes Task Force, FBI offices in Los Angeles and St. Louis, and Danbury police are investigating. Assistant U.S. Attorneys Karen L. Peck and Daniel George are prosecuting the case. The scheduled August sentencings of Iza and Faiq may provide the next public updates in the broader prosecution.

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Bitcoin gains 1.6% as Jim Cramer plans quantum exit

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Bitcoin gains 1.6% as Jim Cramer plans quantum exit

Bitcoin rose about 1.6% to trade near $63,700 on Aug. 4 after CNBC host Jim Cramer said he planned to sell his holdings because of concerns about quantum computing.

Summary

  • Cramer said he plans to sell Bitcoin after IBM chief Arvind Krishna raised quantum concerns.
  • Bitcoin traded near $63,700, gaining 1.6% despite Cramer’s warning and weak spot market liquidity conditions.
  • Google estimates fewer than 500,000 physical qubits could eventually break widely used elliptic curve cryptography.
  • Glassnode classifies 1.92 million Bitcoin, or 9.6% of supply, as structurally exposed to quantum attacks.
  • A 16,400 Bitcoin whale transfer moved funds between wallets, not onto any identified cryptocurrency exchange.

Cramer tied the decision to a CNBC interview with IBM Chairman and CEO Arvind Krishna. Krishna said investors should become “paranoid” about cryptocurrency security within three to four years. Cramer later said, “I’m going to sell mine.” Neither the size of his holdings nor evidence of an executed sale has been disclosed.

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Bitcoin rises despite Cramer’s sell plan

Bitcoin climbed from an intraday low near $62,387 to as high as $64,117 before easing. The recovery left the asset about 1.6% higher over 24 hours, although the price remained inside the range that has controlled trading since the June decline.

The market reaction does not prove traders dismissed Cramer’s warning. Bitcoin was also absorbing Strategy’s recent sale, miner distribution estimates and the Coldcard security incident. As crypto.news reported, buyers continued defending the area above $60,000 despite those pressures.

The TradingView daily chart supplied with the story shows Bitcoin consolidating after its sharp June decline. Support remains near $60,000, while $65,000 to $67,000 is the main resistance zone. Volume near 5,950 BTC appeared modest compared with earlier selloff periods, suggesting the rebound still lacked strong participation.

A sustained move above $67,000 would strengthen the recovery case. Until that happens, the price remains range bound rather than in a confirmed new uptrend.

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Quantum warning describes a future risk

Krishna’s three to four year estimate is a forecast, not proof that a quantum machine can currently break Bitcoin. IBM’s official roadmap targets a large scale, fault tolerant system called Starling for 2029. The company says the planned machine would use 200 logical qubits and perform 100 million quantum operations. IBM has not claimed that Starling could recover Bitcoin private keys.

Google Quantum AI tightened the theoretical risk estimate in March. Its researchers said a future cryptographically relevant quantum computer could solve the elliptic curve problem used by many digital assets with fewer than 500,000 physical qubits under stated hardware assumptions. The estimate was about 20 times lower than previous calculations.

However, Google described this as a future capability. It urged blockchains to begin moving toward post quantum cryptography before such machines become available. Current systems do not have the scale and error correction needed to conduct the proposed attack.

Glassnode has measured which Bitcoin outputs could face exposure if that capability emerges. Its May analysis classified 1.92 million BTC, or 9.6% of issued supply, as structurally exposed because the associated public keys are already visible.

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It placed another 4.12 million BTC in an operationally exposed category linked largely to address reuse and custody practices. Glassnode explicitly said its study did not predict whether or when a practical quantum attack would become possible. As crypto.news reported, the figures measure exposure rather than an active theft risk.

Whale transfer and thin trading add caution

Blockchain tracker Lookonchain reported that a wallet holding 16,400 BTC, worth about $1.04 billion, transferred its full balance to a new address after seven months of inactivity.

The transaction was a wallet to wallet movement. The funds did not go directly to an identified exchange, meaning the transfer does not establish that the holder was preparing to sell. It may have reflected custody changes, security measures or internal wallet management.

Market depth remains a separate concern. The Kobeissi Letter, citing Kaiko data, said daily spot activity across 44 exchanges fell to about $15 billion, around 70% below its January peak.

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The underlying Kaiko dataset was not available in a public report reviewed for this article. The $15 billion figure should therefore remain attributed to the post rather than treated as an independently confirmed market total.

Social media users also revived the “inverse Cramer” meme, which treats his bearish calls as contrarian buy signals. The meme reflects several widely discussed calls that later moved against him, but it is not a tested indicator and does not explain Bitcoin’s price movement by itself.

Bitcoin must reclaim $67,000

Bitcoin’s immediate test remains the $65,000 to $67,000 resistance band. A sustained close above that area, supported by stronger volume, would improve the short term structure. Failure to maintain the current recovery could return attention to $62,000 and then the key $60,000 support level.

The longer term question is whether developers, exchanges and custodians accelerate preparations before quantum computers become cryptographically relevant. Bitcoin companies have begun funding post quantum research, while BitGo recently introduced four wallet controls designed to measure and reduce public key exposure.

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Cramer’s statement does not change Bitcoin’s current security, and no practical quantum computer is known to have broken its cryptography. The next verified developments would include evidence that Cramer completed a sale, movement of the 16,400 BTC toward an exchange, stronger spot volume or measurable progress on Bitcoin’s post quantum migration plans.

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Crypto World

XRP price tests $1.06 as open interest hits six month low

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XRP price chart, source: crypto.news

XRP extended its decline on Aug. 5, 2026, trading near $1.07 as buyers struggled to move the token away from its lower range.

Summary

  • XRP trades near $1.07 as weak momentum keeps the token pinned above crucial technical support.
  • CoinGlass data shows open interest near $2.25 billion after leveraged positions continued unwinding across exchanges.
  • CryptoQuant sees balanced liquidations and neutral funding, suggesting positioning reset rather than forced capitulation currently.
  • U.S. spot XRP ETFs reportedly logged four consecutive inflow days despite the token’s weak price.
  • A sustained break below $1.05 could expose $1.00, while $1.10 remains the first recovery hurdle.

crypto.news data showed XRP down about 0.9% over 24 hours, with trading volume near $911.7 million and market capitalization around $66.7 billion. XRP remained the sixth largest cryptocurrency.

The decline left XRP close to the $1.05 to $1.06 area that has repeatedly attracted buyers since late June. However, momentum indicators, spot flows and derivatives positioning offer little evidence of a confirmed recovery.

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The current setup is not a typical liquidation collapse. Leverage has declined, funding remains close to neutral and liquidations have been relatively balanced. These conditions may reduce the risk of an immediate forced selloff, but they also show that traders have limited conviction in a rebound.

XRP price remains trapped near its lower range

The supplied XRP/USDT daily chart shows a broad decline from above $2.50 to around $1.0676. Recent candles have formed a narrow consolidation close to the bottom of that move. XRP has not established a sustained recovery above $1.10, leaving the short term structure weak.

The relative strength index stood at 43.71, below both the neutral 50 level and its moving average of 44.87. The reading shows that buying momentum remains limited, although XRP has not entered deeply oversold territory on the daily chart.

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XRP price chart, source: crypto.news
XRP price chart, source: crypto.news

MACD also remains mildly bearish. The MACD line was near negative 0.0110, below the signal line around negative 0.0101. The histogram remained slightly negative at about negative 0.0009. The small difference between the lines points to weak downside momentum rather than a sharp acceleration.

The immediate technical test sits between $1.05 and $1.06. A daily close below that range could expose the psychological $1 level and the late June lows around $1.01. XRP briefly broke the $1.05 area on July 28 before buyers returned. The earlier decline also pushed the four hour RSI into oversold territory, but that reading did not create a lasting reversal.

A recovery above $1.10 would provide the first evidence that buyers are regaining control. XRP would then need to clear the $1.13 to $1.15 region, which has repeatedly limited advances since June.

Analyst Ali Charts described $1.06 as the deciding level. His upside estimates of “$1.35 and $1.64” depend on XRP holding support and confirming a recovery. His downside levels of “$0.80 and potentially $0.62” require a clear breakdown. Neither path has been confirmed.

Other social media forecasts calling for “$23” or “$50+” are highly speculative. Those targets sit far above the current price and are not supported by present momentum, verified institutional forecasts or an established breakout structure.

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Lower leverage points to a quiet positioning reset

CoinGlass data showed XRP futures volume near $1.35 billion and total derivatives open interest around $2.25 billion at the time of reporting. The price on the platform stood near $1.067. The supplied data snapshot showed volume falling 10.27% and open interest declining 5.59% over 24 hours.

Falling price and falling open interest usually mean traders are closing positions rather than adding aggressive new shorts. This can reduce the fuel available for large liquidation driven moves. It does not, however, establish that spot buyers are ready to take control.

A separate CryptoQuant analysis found that its XRP open interest measure had fallen into a six month range low between 362 million and 369 million. The estimated leverage ratio also declined toward 0.139 to 0.142, close to the lowest reading during the same period.

CryptoQuant contributor CryptoOnchain also noted that funding remained between roughly negative 0.009 and positive 0.010 during the latest decline. Long and short liquidations alternated rather than producing a one sided cascade. The analyst interpreted the structure as a positioning reset rather than forced capitulation.

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Network valuation also compressed faster than reported transaction activity. CryptoOnchain said the network value to transactions ratio fell 42.7% compared with its three month average, while transaction count declined 23.3%. This may indicate that market valuation weakened faster than ledger usage, but it does not provide a reliable timing signal for a price reversal.

The supplied CoinGlass spot flow chart recorded a net outflow of about $2.15 million on Aug. 5. Recent negative readings have been smaller than the large outflow spikes recorded in late 2025. Selling pressure appears less intense, but sustained positive flow would offer stronger evidence that demand is improving.

XRP Spot Inflow/Outflow, source: CoinGlass
XRP Spot Inflow/Outflow, source: CoinGlass

U.S. XRP demand has not produced a breakout

U.S. spot XRP exchange traded funds have continued attracting capital despite weak price performance. Recent flow data reportedly showed four consecutive inflow sessions totaling about $15.4 million. 

XRP nevertheless remained near $1.08 during that period, showing that the purchases were not large enough to overcome selling elsewhere in the market.

As crypto.news reported in an earlier analysis, five U.S. spot XRP funds launched between November and December 2025 and had attracted roughly $1.5 billion by mid 2026. The funds created a new regulated source of demand, but XRP remained confined to a range around $1.00 to $1.13.

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This divergence suggests that ETF inflows alone have not been enough to change the wider trend. Fund purchases must compete with token sales, exchange activity, derivatives hedging and weaker demand across offshore spot markets.

Regulated derivatives activity provides another U.S. market signal. CME Group data showed activity across its standard XRP futures contracts, while the settlement page listed prior day open interest of 6,894 contracts. CME contract data cannot be compared directly with CoinGlass totals because the products use different contract sizes and reporting methods.

The legal risk surrounding Ripple has also changed. The SEC and Ripple dismissed their appeals in August 2025. The district court’s final judgment remained in force, including a $125.04 million penalty and an injunction concerning future registration violations. The dismissal removed the active appeal, but it did not erase the court’s findings involving Ripple’s institutional sales. The SEC litigation release confirms that status.

Wider U.S. legislation remains unresolved. The CLARITY Act has reached the Senate calendar, but it still requires sufficient floor support, reconciliation with other legislative text and presidential approval. Seven Democratic senators said in July that the Republican proposal still fell short on several matters, and no final Senate vote had been confirmed by Aug. 5.

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A confirmed vote or renewed delay could influence sentiment toward XRP and other U.S. traded digital assets. It would not, by itself, guarantee a sustained price move.

Ripple developments have not changed near term momentum

Ripple announced strategic investments in ZILO and Licuido on Aug. 3. The companies plan to add transfer agency, token issuance, trading and collateral tools to Ripple’s institutional infrastructure on the XRP Ledger. Ripple did not disclose the investment amounts or financial targets. The official company announcement described RLUSD as a settlement asset for tokenized fund transactions.

As crypto.news reported in related coverage, the investments support Ripple’s broader move into tokenized capital markets. They have not yet produced disclosed revenue, transaction volume or XRP demand that can be tied directly to the token’s price.

The XRP Ledger also faced a validator manifest flood in late July. Developers released xrpld version 3.2.1 to restrict the processing and storage of untrusted manifests. The ledger continued closing normally, and no confirmed loss of funds or altered transactions was reported. Node operators were urged to install the update.

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The next price signal will likely come from the market itself. Traders will watch whether XRP can hold $1.05, reclaim $1.10 and build stronger volume above $1.15. Open interest should also stabilize without price making new lows. Continued ETF inflows would be more constructive if they coincide with positive spot flows and stronger momentum.

A break below $1.05 would keep $1.00 exposed. A confirmed daily recovery above $1.15 would weaken the immediate bearish structure. Until either event occurs, XRP remains in a low conviction range with reduced leverage and limited bullish confirmation.

FAQs

Is XRP oversold?

Not on the supplied daily chart. Its RSI near 43.71 remains below neutral but above the conventional oversold level of 30. Shorter time frames have reached oversold readings during recent declines, although those readings did not confirm a lasting bottom.

Does falling open interest support an XRP recovery?

It can reduce liquidation risk because fewer leveraged positions remain open. A recovery still requires stronger spot demand, improving momentum and price confirmation above resistance.

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Why have XRP ETF inflows not lifted the price?

ETF demand represents only one part of the market. It can be offset by direct token selling, hedging, weak offshore demand and distributions from existing holders.

What are the main XRP levels to watch?

The immediate support range is $1.05 to $1.06, followed by $1.00. Initial resistance sits near $1.10, with stronger confirmation required above $1.13 to $1.15.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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