Bitcoin traded near $64,270 on Aug. 5, gaining less than 1% as record equity markets and falling oil prices failed to produce a broad crypto rally. 

The largest cryptocurrency remained roughly flat over seven days and about 49% below its October 2025 record above $126,000.

Ether and XRP weakened, while BNB and Hyperliquid’s HYPE outperformed among major tokens. The restrained response contrasted with global stocks, where the S&P 500 and Dow closed at records and Asian technology shares rose sharply on strong AI related earnings.

Bitcoin price sits out the latest risk rally

Reuters reported that Japan’s Nikkei gained 3.5%, South Korea’s benchmark rose 4.3%, and an MSCI Asia Pacific gauge excluding Japan advanced 2.3%. Brent crude fell toward $78.85, while the U.S. 10 year Treasury yield eased to about 4.603% as traders reduced expectations for another near term Federal Reserve rate increase.

Those conditions would normally offer support to BTC. Cheaper oil can reduce inflation pressure, while lower bond yields can make non interest bearing assets more attractive. Yet BTC has shown only a limited response across several sessions, suggesting crypto specific demand remains too weak to confirm a wider risk rally.

U.S. spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds recorded $19.6 million of net inflows on Aug. 4, according to Farside Investors. The positive session offered some support, but it followed a period of heavier withdrawals, including about $265 million reported on Aug. 1.

Corporate supply has also returned to the market. Strategy’s official Bitcoin ledger shows the company sold 1,638 BTC for about $105 million, leaving it with 842,138 BTC. The sale was small relative to its holdings, but it removed a source of price insensitive accumulation that had supported earlier rallies.

A Hormuz agreement remains possible, not confirmed

Axios reported that the U.S., Iran, and Oman were approaching a temporary arrangement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with an announcement targeted for Wednesday. The proposal would create a 60 day shipping arrangement that could be extended. President Donald Trump later said a deal could arrive Wednesday or Thursday.

No signed agreement had been announced at the time of reporting. Trump described the discussions as “very good,” while Iran and the U.S. still differed on key details. The market therefore remains exposed to another breakdown after an earlier arrangement collapsed and attacks on shipping resumed.

Oil has already priced in part of the expected easing in tensions. The largest crypto has recovered by more than $2,000 from its recent low near $62,200, but the move remains modest compared with the response in equities and crude. A confirmed agreement may reduce a major inflation and geopolitical risk, although it would not guarantee fresh crypto demand.

The crypto rose toward $66,800 after an earlier Hormuz reopening announcement in June.Renewed conflict could expose support below $64,000. The contrast makes the next confirmed diplomatic update a useful test of whether Bitcoin still reacts strongly to the oil and rates channel.

Bitcoin needs $64,300 to confirm a breakout

The supplied four hour setup places $64,300 at the upper boundary of a descending channel. Analyst Ali Martinez said a close above that level “could confirm the breakout” and open a possible move toward $65,500 or $66,500. Those levels are conditional targets, not confirmed outcomes.

The daily chart gives a more cautious reading. The crypto trades near the Bollinger Bands middle line around $64,404. The upper band sits near $66,285, while the lower band is around $62,524. This structure shows consolidation rather than a completed directional move.

The Aroon Oscillator stands at negative 71.43, showing recent lows remain more dominant than recent highs. Holding $62,500 to $63,000 would preserve the range, while a daily move above $66,000 to $66,300 would provide stronger evidence that buyers have regained control.

Meanwhile, the next market test is whether a confirmed Hormuz agreement can push the crypto above $64,300 and then through the upper Bollinger Band. Failure to rally after a verified deal would strengthen the view that capital is favoring AI shares, bonds, and gold rather than crypto.

Traders will also watch ETF flows, the $62,500 lower range, and whether Strategy reports further sales. Until volume expands and BTC closes above resistance, the rebound from $62,200 remains a recovery inside a broader downtrend rather than a confirmed trend reversal.

FAQs

Ted is a more awkward fit as a father figure to the Lady Greyhounds because, well, the new gender dynamic could read as less paternal than paternalistic. Make him a voice of reason, and he might be perceived as mansplaining; have him defer too much to his players, and he becomes the cringey, try-hard male feminist he sometimes resembled in previous seasons. The show’s solution is to keep him largely on the sidelines, leaving female characters like Alice and, in one clumsily inserted storyline, erstwhile AFC Richmond therapist Sharon (Sarah Niles) to dispense wisdom on such female-coded issues as intra-team cliques. This puts the players at arm’s length as well. There’s a mom, a couple, a goalie who refuses to wear gloves, but no Roy or Jamie emerges.    

Female characters were never the mostly male Ted Lasso creative team’s strength. Despite charming performances from Waddingham and Temple, Rebecca and Keeley’s business plot never lives up to its potential because these colleagues continue to interact like giggly teenagers at a slumber party. Although there are plenty of women writing and directing in Season 4, Alice—the highlight of the series’ second act so far—is the only substantial character who doesn’t feel filtered through the male gaze. 

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes said the debt-fueled artificial intelligence infrastructure boom could end in a 2008-style credit crisis and predicted the resulting government liquidity response could drive Bitcoin (BTC) to $1 million or higher. 

In a Tuesday blog post, Hayes said investors have mistakenly treated spending on data centers and power infrastructure as high-growth technology investment rather than leveraged real estate. He said he expects lenders to finance excessive construction before a slowdown in AI capital expenditure exposes weaker borrowers. 

The thesis connects the trillion-dollar expansion of AI infrastructure to a potential new source of crypto-market liquidity. However, Hayes’ predicted crisis, government bailout and subsequent BTC rally remain speculative. 

Hayes described the AI boom as a “credit story like 2008 and not an earnings story like 2000.” He said BTC could remain between $60,000 and $70,000, with possible downside to $50,000, before the credit cycle and resulting liquidity response drive a recovery. Hayes also forecast that Ether (ETH) would reach $5,000 by year-end and said Maelstrom intends to build a significant position while selling out-of-the-money ETH put options.

Hayes’ latest outlook builds on his earlier views on AI’s competing effects on crypto liquidity. On May 13, he said US-China competition in AI would encourage bank lending and fiat creation, benefiting Bitcoin. On June 4, Hayes sold HYPE and NEAR after warning that major AI listings could divert capital from crypto.

Big Tech locks in $1 trillion of future leases

The scale of commitments underpinning the AI boom is already visible. On Tuesday, Reuters reported that Microsoft, Meta, Oracle, Amazon and Alphabet have committed about $1.09 trillion to leases that have not yet commenced, primarily for data centers. 

The commitments are nearly four times the roughly $285 billion in lease liabilities already recognized by the companies. However, Reuters noted that the $1.09 trillion cannot simply be treated as debt because it represents undiscounted payments spread across several years. 

Related: Iran war, AI spending could push Bitcoin back to $126K this year: Hayes

Still, the financial strain is uneven. Oracle’s debt was about 4.3 times its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, while Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft and Meta had ratios below one, according to a separate Reuters analysis. 

S&P Global analyst Andrew Chang said Oracle’s data-center leases, which run for 15 to 19 years, pose a key risk because its customer contracts last no more than five years. 

Magazine: Why Meta is choosing partners over power in its 2026 stablecoin push

A wallet identified by onchain analytics platform Lookonchain as being associated with Strategy transferred 1,030 Bitcoin worth about $66.14 million on Aug. 5. 

The movement came two days after Strategy officially disclosed another Bitcoin sale, increasing scrutiny of the company’s changing treasury policy. Lookonchain’s post described the addresses as wallets linked to Strategy.

However, Strategy has not confirmed that the latest transfer represented a sale. Its most recent Securities and Exchange Commission filing reported holdings of 842,138 BTC as of Aug. 2. No later filing had reduced that figure when this report was prepared.

Strategy transfer is not yet a confirmed Bitcoin sale

Lookonchain asked, “Is Michael Saylor’s Strategy dumping BTC again?” The wording reflects uncertainty. Wallet attribution can indicate that an address is likely connected to an organization, but an onchain transfer alone does not establish its purpose or legal ownership.

Bitcoin can move between custodians, internal wallets, trading accounts and settlement addresses without being sold. Confirmation would require a company disclosure, an identified exchange deposit followed by trading activity, or other evidence showing that ownership changed.

Strategy’s public Bitcoin ledger still lists 842,138 BTC following the company’s Aug. 3 update. The ledger records transactions reported by Strategy rather than every transfer attributed to the company by external analytics firms.

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The latest movement occurred after the Aug. 2 reporting cutoff in Strategy’s filing. It could therefore appear in a later update if it represents a sale under the company’s Bitcoin monetization program.

Strategy officially sold 1,638 BTC for $104.73 million

Strategy confirmed that it sold 1,638 BTC between July 27 and Aug. 2. The company received $104.73 million after fees, equal to an average sale price of $63,957 per Bitcoin. The official figure is higher than the roughly $102.4 million cited in some early reports.

Strategy used $52.4 million of the proceeds to fund preferred stock dividends. It directed the remaining $52.3 million toward repurchases of its STRC preferred shares. The company separately bought back 912,143 STRC shares for $81.2 million during the period.

Its remaining 842,138 BTC had an aggregate purchase price of $63.51 billion and an average cost of $75,419 per coin. The company also reported a $4 billion U.S. dollar reserve, including unsettled proceeds from common stock sales.

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The transaction was permitted under Strategy’s Bitcoin monetization framework, which its board approved in June. The framework allows Bitcoin sales to support the cash reserve, pay dividends or interest, and finance approved security repurchases. It does not require Strategy to sell any specific amount.

As crypto.news reported, the Aug. 3 disposal followed earlier sales that marked a departure from Strategy’s previous focus on continuous accumulation. Its ledger shows four reported 2026 sales totaling 5,258 BTC.

MARA’s Two Prime transfer may involve asset management

Separately, Lookonchain reported that MARA transferred 6,000 BTC, worth approximately $384.6 million at the time, to addresses identified as belonging to Two Prime. The analytics firm cautioned that the movement “doesn’t necessarily mean a sale” and could relate to asset management.

MARA has an established financial relationship with Two Prime. In July 2025, the miner led a $20 million investment in the firm and expanded its managed Bitcoin allocation from 500 BTC to 2,000 BTC. Two Prime manages institutional trading, lending and Bitcoin yield strategies.

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An SEC filing showed that MARA transferred 2,000 BTC into a separately managed account during 2025. The account held 1,903 BTC by Sept. 30 after recording a net trading loss of roughly 97 BTC.

The new 6,000 BTC transfer could expand the arrangement, move assets between custody accounts or support another financial transaction. Those possibilities remain unconfirmed. MARA’s 2025 annual report says it may buy or sell Bitcoin depending on market conditions and capital allocation priorities.

In related coverage, crypto.news reported that MARA increased its holdings to 36,303 BTC in June after selling 15,133 BTC during March to support a $1 billion convertible debt repurchase.

Official filings will determine whether more Bitcoin was sold

Bitcoin traded near $64,387 at the time of reporting, up about 0.95%. Strategy shares rose approximately 2.9% to $97.65 during the latest U.S. session, while MARA shares were nearly unchanged at $11.75. The market data showed no immediate broad selloff tied to the reported transfers.

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Strategy says it will disclose material Bitcoin monetization through its customary Form 8-K filings and its public dashboard. Its next update should show whether the 1,030 BTC movement changed the company’s reported holdings.

MARA investors will similarly need an SEC filing or company statement to determine whether its 6,000 BTC remains under company ownership. Until those disclosures arrive, both movements should be treated as transfers rather than confirmed sales.