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What Gives Me Hope About the Future of Public Health in the U.S.

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What Gives Me Hope About the Future of Public Health in the U.S.

And innovators are applying technology to problems that public health and health care have struggled to solve at scale. While it is too early to call them success stories, they are steps in the right direction. This month, the Coalition for Health AI launched PULSE, bringing public health agencies at state, tribal, local, and territorial levels together with technology companies to test responsible use cases of generative AI ranging from biosurveillance to multilingual communication. OpenAI and Anthropic are providing access to their technology, and lessons from participating health departments will be shared so others can build on what works. Akido is using AI to help street medicine teams care for hard-to-reach populations, using technology to increase the number of patients each clinician can see while maintaining strong retention in care and addressing public health concerns such as substance use. Jimini Health is using technology-enabled AI models made for mental health to extend care between visits, engaging patients between sessions while giving clinicians visibility into progress and allowing clinicians to prioritize what the models work on with patients.

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Mastercard Trial Enables Identity Checks for Borderless Stablecoin Transfers

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Crypto Breaking News

Mastercard and stablecoin orchestration network Borderless are launching a pilot focused on improving cross-border stablecoin payments using Mastercard’s Crypto Credential standards-based framework.

The initiative, announced in coordination with Cointelegraph, will test whether Mastercard’s approach can generate assurance signals that market participants can plug into their own approval, compliance, and risk workflows—potentially reducing friction where verification responsibilities often become fragmented across counterparties.

Key takeaways

  • Mastercard and Borderless will trial how Crypto Credential standards can produce governance and verification signals for cross-border stablecoin payments.
  • The pilot is designed to help participants incorporate assurance signals into their internal approval, compliance, and risk processes.
  • Borderless frames compliance and trust between parties as the key bottleneck, comparing it to how correspondent banking historically handled assurance.
  • Mastercard will not process or settle funds as part of the pilot; the project centers on the credential layer rather than payment execution.

Why “assurance signals” matter for stablecoin payments

Stablecoins can move value quickly, but cross-border usage often runs into a problem that looks less like a technology challenge and more like a governance and compliance workflow issue. According to Borderless CEO and co-founder Kevin Lehtiniitty, the main source of friction is providing the right kind of assurance across a chain of counterparties.

Lehtiniitty compares the situation to correspondent banking, which “solved this decades ago” by making trust upstream and avoiding repeated re-execution of compliance checks at each step with downstream parties. In his view, Mastercard’s Crypto Credential framework aims to apply a similar idea to digital-asset payments: instead of every participant building their own end-to-end verification logic from scratch, the system provides standardized signals that can be interpreted and used across the network.

Mastercard’s Crypto Credential framework, as described in the announcement, relies on common standards and assurance signals intended to add certainty to blockchain-related transactions. In the pilot, the partners will look specifically for governance signals that can lower operational friction in cross-border stablecoin flows.

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A pilot focused on governance, not settlement

While the partnership is positioned within the broader stablecoin payments ecosystem, the pilot itself is intentionally narrower. Lehtiniitty told Cointelegraph that Mastercard’s role would be limited to the Crypto Credential governance and verification layer; Mastercard will not process or settle funds as part of this test.

That distinction matters for how investors and builders might interpret the trial. It suggests the project is primarily about interoperability—how credentialed assurance can be communicated and reused—rather than about replacing payment rails or directly competing with settlement providers in the near term.

For Borderless, the value proposition is tied to workflow integration: participants would be able to take the signals produced under Mastercard’s framework and incorporate them into their existing approval, compliance, and risk processes. The pilot therefore aims at practical adoption challenges, not just a theoretical standard.

How Mastercard’s stablecoin push is evolving

The pilot builds on Mastercard’s recent expansion in the stablecoin industry. Cointelegraph previously reported that Mastercard completed its acquisition of stablecoin infrastructure company BVNK on Monday, a deal valued at $1.8 billion.

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In June, Mastercard also announced plans to expand settlement capabilities to include intraday, weekend, and holiday card settlement. That proposal included settlement through stablecoins such as Circle’s USDC, Paxos-issued PYUSD, and other dollar-linked tokens, including USDG and USDP, as well as Ripple’s RLUSD and SoFi’s SoFiUSD.

Taken together, the new pilot indicates Mastercard is pursuing a dual-track strategy: expanding where stablecoins can be used in settlement while also working on how trust and verification can be communicated in a way that fits traditional compliance expectations.

Still, the pilot’s scope leaves open some important questions. The partners have emphasized credentialing and governance signals, but they have not indicated how quickly these signals could standardize cross-border approvals across different jurisdictions, nor whether the pilot will extend beyond specific participants or networks. Those details will determine whether the program becomes a scalable template or remains a proof-of-concept.

What to watch next in the pilot

Because Mastercard and Borderless have framed the work around assurance signals that can be incorporated into compliance and risk processes, observers should watch for outcomes that reflect real operational integration—not just technical compatibility. Key areas include how participants interpret the governance signals, whether the framework meaningfully reduces the need for repeated due diligence steps, and what governance standards emerge as most effective in lowering cross-border friction.

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Another practical factor is whether the credential layer can maintain consistency across counterparties without requiring each party to recreate verification logic. If the pilot succeeds, it could offer a clearer path for stablecoins to fit into existing payment and compliance infrastructures—where trust models are typically built around accountable intermediaries.

For now, the next step is the pilot’s results: how well the assurance and governance signals translate into reduced friction for cross-border stablecoin payments, and whether the approach can be expanded from a controlled test into a broader standard that participants can adopt with confidence.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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This American-Born Singer Could Be On a New Euro Banknote

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This American-Born Singer Could Be On a New Euro Banknote

Europeans have been invited to give their views on the final selection through an online survey which closes Sept. 21. The results will be considered by the Governing Council of the ECB, along with independent jury conclusions and a technical review, before the final design is selected toward the end of 2026.

The new banknotes would then undergo testing before entering circulation, while remaining interchangeable with the current series of euro notes.

According to the ECB, the redesign aims to better reflect Europe’s identity and values, introduce enhanced security features, improve environmental sustainability, and make the banknotes more accessible and easier to use.

As it’s the first major redesign of the euro banknotes since the currency notes were introduced in 2002, the stakes are high.

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“Talk to friends, colleagues, family members, and ask them to participate, because we want as many Europeans as possible to express their views about our future banknotes,” said ECB president Christine Lagarde.

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Crypto may have institutionalized, but it still trades like a rumor mill

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Crypto may have institutionalized, but it still trades like a rumor mill

When Strategy sold a tiny 32 Bitcoin for the first time since 2022, the market treated it as the top. But a single balance-sheet decision is not necessarily reflecting long-term demand data. The subsequent much larger sale of bitcoin by Strategy was digested more as treasury management than capitulation, interpreting the step as Strategy evolving its long-term treasury strategy from passively HODLing collateral to actively managing it over time. The market initially spent its energy reacting to a press release while the real long-term relevant picture was being written somewhere it was not looking at directly.

Fabian Dori is Chief Investment Officer at Sygnum Bank.

When spot Bitcoin ETFs had their worst month on record for outflows, the coverage read like a wake. Yet at the very same time, long-term holders, the wallets that have held through previous cycles and rarely sell, started buying again, adding into the weakness. The cohort with the best record of timing entries was doing the exact opposite of the institutional money that was selling. The headline audience saw capitulation. The positioning audience saw something closer to opportunity. They were looking at the same market.

Derivatives told the same story earlier in the year. One of the clearest, least ambiguous signals I track is simple: of the 50 largest perpetual futures contracts, how many carry a positive funding rate, the recurring fee traders pay to keep a position open. When that fee is positive, it is the bulls paying to stay long; when it is negative, the bears are paying to stay short. Bitcoin’s funding rate stayed negative for its longest stretch since the aftermath of FTX, yet a meaningful share of those top 50 contracts had quietly flipped positive. Risk appetite was turning up before the price confirmed it. The headline was still “record short streak.” The positioning was already less bearish.

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Bitcoin Under $50,000? These Two Feared August Events Could Trigger It

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Bitcoin August Seasonal Returns

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stalling near $64,000 after two failed pushes at the same ceiling, and both large wallets and long-term holders have started selling into the weakness.

The rollover lands just as two US events with a track record of moving crypto return to the calendar, and history says both tend to hit Bitcoin when it is already soft.

Bitcoin Enters a Weak Month With a Double Top in Play

August has been unkind to Bitcoin. It has closed the month lower in six of the last eight years, so buyers begin from a weak seasonal base.

Bitcoin August Seasonal Returns
Bitcoin August Seasonal Returns: BeInCrypto

The chart makes that base look shakier. Bitcoin has formed a double top, a bearish reversal pattern where price fails twice at the same resistance and struggles higher. The two peaks built on comparable volume, which adds weight to the signal.

Bitcoin Double Top Structure
Bitcoin Double Top Structure:TradingView

Sell-side volume has also risen since August 1, pushing the current Bitcoin price toward the lower edge of the range rather than back toward the highs.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

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Large holders are pulling back at the same time. Supply held by Bitcoin whales in the 10,000 to 100,000 BTC band peaked on August 3 near 2.26 million BTC, then eased to 2.25 million. The move is small, but it suggests the biggest wallets are trimming rather than adding.

Whale Supply 10K To 100K BTC
Whale Supply 10K To 100K BTC: Santiment

Whale behavior alone does not confirm a trend, so the next question is whether long-term holders agree.

Long-Term Holders Flip From Buyers to Sellers

They appear to. The Hodler Net Position Change, a metric that tracks the net change in supply held by long-term holders, stayed positive through July as those holders added coins. It turned negative in early August.

The shift is sharp. Net selling deepened from about 1,802 BTC on August 2 to roughly 11,472 BTC on August 4, a more than six-fold jump in two days. That points to long-term holders possibly selling into strength rather than holding through it.

Hodler Net Position Change
Hodler Net Position Change: Glassnode

With whales and long-term holders leaning the same way, the market now meets two events that have moved Bitcoin hard before.

The Two Events That Have Moved Bitcoin Before

The first is Friday’s US jobs report. It is the same release that helped trigger Bitcoin’s sharp early-August drop in 2024, when a weak print sparked recession fear. Economists expect another soft reading this week, near 80,000 new jobs with unemployment around 4.2%.

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Since 2023, Bitcoin has tended to fall on weak labor data.

Bitcoin Reaction To Jobs Reports
Bitcoin Reaction To Jobs Reports: BeInCrypto

The second is the Jackson Hole symposium in the final week of August. A hawkish speech there in 2022 helped send Bitcoin below $20,000. For years, a dovish Fed later softened those blows, but that cushion is gone. Kevin Warsh took over as Fed chair in May and has run a hawkish, inflation-first line, with markets now pricing higher-for-longer rather than cuts.

Bitcoin Reaction To Jackson Hole
Bitcoin Reaction To Jackson Hole: BeInCrypto

Warsh gives his first Jackson Hole speech as chair this month, and a market still hoping for relief is exposed to disappointment. That sets up the price chart as the decider.

Bitcoin Price Levels to Watch Before Friday’s Jobs Report

The first line buyers need to defend sits at $61,080. A clean loss of that level would expose $59,500, the last support before the pattern’s neckline.

The neckline runs through the $57,750 to $57,470 zone. A daily close below it would confirm the double top and open a measured move of roughly 14%, which points toward the sub-$50,000 region near $49,700. The 14% drop potential is in line with August 2022’s drop size.

Bitcoin Price Analysis
Bitcoin Price Analysis: TradingView

The setup is not confirmed yet. A double top only completes on a neckline break, so a hold above $61,080 keeps the range alive. A reclaim of the $66,930 to $67,230 ceiling that capped both peaks would invalidate the bearish Bitcoin price outlook entirely.

For now, the structure and on-chain flows lean the same way into a hostile macro week. The $57,750 neckline separates a routine August pullback from a 14% slide toward $50,000.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Eyes $65,000 As US-Iran Talks Progress

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded from Monday’s low of $62,210, retaking $64,000. The flagship cryptocurrency reached an intraday high of $64,497 on Tuesday and is currently trading around $64,122.

A close above $65,000 could open the door to a move towards $66,000 and July’s high of $67,975. However, buyers must overcome immediate resistance between $64,000 and $65,000.

Bitcoin Back Above $64,000

Bitcoin (BTC) started the week with a sharp drop, falling to a low of $62,210 as the Coincard exploit, along with prevailing macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions, pressured an already jittery market. The flagship cryptocurrency recovered from Monday’s low to reach an intraday high of $64,497 on Tuesday, and held above $64,000 during the ongoing session as buyers stepped in. A close above $64,300 could lead to more gains, but macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty is weighing down market sentiment.

The RSI currently sits in neutral territory at 51, while the MACD suggests bulls have a slight advantage. Despite BTC’s impressive recovery this week, it remains in a broader consolidation range spanning between $57,000 and $67,000. While a close above $65,000 is bullish in the short term, a break above $67,000 could hand bulls control.

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Bitcoin Tests Descending Channel

On the four-hour chart, BTC tested the upper boundary of a descending channel, briefly pushing higher before dropping back towards $64,000. This price action suggests buyers are unsure about a breakout. Meanwhile, analyst Ali Martinez stated that a close above $64,300 on the four-hour chart could clear the way for a move towards $65,500-$66,500.

“If you’re bullish on Bitcoin, watch this. $BTC is testing the upper boundary of a descending channel, making $64,300 the key level to watch. A 4-hour close above $64,300 could confirm the breakout and open the door to a rally toward $65,500 or even $66,500.”

The Awesome Oscillator flashed a bullish signal, climbing past 277 and printing rising green bars. However, Bitcoin must absorb the overhead supply to ensure sustained momentum. An order book analysis revealed large sell orders between $64,000 and $65,000, explaining BTC’s inability to extend its gains beyond the current range.

$62,000 In Focus

The Bitcoin liquidation heatmap revealed a substantial concentration of leveraged positions at $62,000 and could come into focus if BTC loses momentum. The heatmap also shows smaller clusters around $63,000 and between $64,500 and $66,000. In a bullish scenario, BTC stays above $63,496 and breaks above the overhead supply zone. Such a scenario could see BTC push above $67,000 and its broader consolidation range. However, if BTC falls below $63,500, it could bring the liquidation cluster at $62,000 into focus. A break below this level could see BTC slip below $61,000.

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US-Iran Talks Progress

BTC’s latest recovery began after Qatar confirmed mediators were working to reopen negotiations between the US and Iran. Majed Al-Ansari, Qatar’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, stated that Doha aims to restore normalcy in the Strait of Hormuz and was working with other regional countries to mediate between Washington and Tehran.

“What matters to us now is the resumption of negotiations, and to achieve this, a ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz must be guaranteed.”

Diplomatic efforts have eased concerns about supply chain disruptions. The strait is one of the world’s most important oil supply routes. Reopening the strait could ease strain on crude prices and drive demand for risk assets like BTC.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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USD/JPY and USD/CAD Consolidate Ahead of ADP Employment Report

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USD/JPY and USD/CAD Consolidate Ahead of ADP Employment Report

Following last week’s sharp decline, the US dollar has entered a consolidation phase against most major currencies. At the same time, some instruments, including USD/JPY, are showing a moderate recovery as markets await fresh macroeconomic signals. Today’s key event will be the release of the preliminary ADP private-sector employment report. Forecasts suggest that job growth will slow to 68,000 after 98,000 in the previous month. If the data comes in below expectations, pressure on the dollar could increase as markets price in a more dovish Federal Reserve stance. Conversely, a stronger report could support the US currency ahead of the official US labour market data release.

Additional attention will be focused on US services sector activity indicators. Markets expect the preliminary S&P Global Services PMI to improve to 53.6 points, while the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is forecast to rise to 54.5. Strong readings could partly offset any weakness in the ADP report and confirm the resilience of the largest sector of the US economy. It is worth noting that market participants traditionally view the ADP report only as an early indicator ahead of the official Nonfarm Payrolls release. Although the trends in the two reports do not always align, today’s data could significantly influence short-term expectations regarding the health of the US labour market.

USD/JPY

Last week, following the Federal Reserve meeting, USD/JPY declined sharply, losing more than 500 pips over several trading sessions. At the beginning of the current week, after testing the key support level at 155.30, buyers managed to push the pair back towards 158.00, while forming a “doji” candlestick pattern, which may signal a weakening of the bearish momentum. If the price breaks above yesterday’s high, the corrective move could extend towards 158.70–159.40. Weaker US employment data could trigger a renewed downward move.

Key events for USD/JPY:

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  • Today at 15:15 (GMT+3): ADP change in US non-farm private employment;
  • Today at 16:45 (GMT+3): US Services PMI;
  • Tomorrow at 17:00 (GMT+3): US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI.

USD/CAD

Last week, USD/CAD retested the key support level around 1.4000, forming a “bullish harami” pattern after the rebound. Technical analysis of USD/CAD suggests the potential for further recovery towards 1.4130–1.4170. Weaker US economic data, however, could trigger another test of the 1.4000 level.

Key events for USD/CAD:

  • Today at 17:30 (GMT+3): US crude oil inventories;
  • Today at 23:05 (GMT+3): speech by Federal Reserve Governor Lisa D. Cook;
  • Tomorrow at 16:30 (GMT+3): Canada Services PMI.

The main drivers for the US dollar today will be the preliminary ADP employment figures and US services sector activity data. If the releases confirm the resilience of the US economy, USD/JPY and USD/CAD could continue their recovery following the dollar’s recent correction. Weaker data, on the other hand, could strengthen expectations of a more accommodative Fed policy, adding further pressure on the US currency and allowing sellers to regain control. However, investors are likely to draw more definitive conclusions about the labour market after the official Nonfarm Payrolls report is released later this week.

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Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy Digital (GLXY) heads lower after earnings

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Mike Novogratz's Galaxy Digital (GLXY) heads lower after earnings

Galaxy Digital (GLXY) shares are lower by a bit more than 5% in pre-market action after reporting quarterly results.

Galaxy’s $85 million net loss narrowed from $216 million in the first quarter, while its diluted and adjusted loss narrowed to $0.09 per share from $0.49. Street forecasts had been for a loss of $0.28 per share.

Its digital assets operation generated $66 million in adjusted gross profit, up 34% quarter-on-quarter, despite a 7% decline in trading volume.

Galaxy’s data center business generated revenue for the first time in the quarter as the company completed the initial phase of its Helios campus in West Texas.

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The segment generated $20 million in adjusted gross profit and $11 million in adjusted EBITDA, reversing a $900,000 adjusted EBITDA loss in the first quarter. Galaxy delivered 200 megawatts of gross power, representing 133 megawatts of critical IT capacity, to CoreWeave under a 15-year lease.

The firm’s results, however, could have disappointed as they did not include a new data-center customer or lease, though Galaxy said it remains in discussions with prospective tenants for another 830 megawatts of approved capacity at Helios.

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Ken Griffin’s Citadel posts best month in years after scooping up Situational Awareness stocks

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Ken Griffin's Citadel posts best month in years after scooping up Situational Awareness stocks

Ken Griffin, Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Citadel, speaks during the America Business Forum at Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida, U.S. Nov. 5, 2025.

Marco Bello | Reuters

Ken Griffin’s Citadel posted strong gains across its major hedge funds in July, helped by a recovery in risk assets and a discounted purchase of assets from the collapse of Leopold Aschenbrenner’s Situational Awareness to end the month, according to a person familiar with the firm’s performance.

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Citadel’s flagship multistrategy Wellington fund, the firm’s largest, returned 5.9% in July, marking its best monthly performance since 2022 and pushing 2026 gains to 12%, the person said. The tactical trading fund, which combines discretionary equity investing with quantitative strategies, gained 11.1% in July and is up 27% on the year. The equities fund advanced 14.2% last month, bringing 2026 return to 27%. Tactical fund and equities fund both had its best month ever. The person asked not to be identified discussing confidential performance figures.

The July gains came after Citadel acquired the bulk of the public-stock portfolio formerly held by Situational Awareness late last month, following the hedge fund’s rapid unraveling after steep losses triggered margin calls and forced asset sales. Citadel purchased many of the holdings at a significant discount, positioning the firm to benefit as markets rebounded into the month-end.

Situational Awareness, founded by former OpenAI researcher Leopold Aschenbrenner, was forced to unwind many of its positions after a sharp reversal in artificial intelligence trades left it bleeding on both sides of its book. The firm had accumulated sizable stakes in AI infrastructure companies while betting against software stocks, a strategy that backfired as software shares rallied and AI hardware names slumped.

Several of the fund’s prime brokers worked to reduce positions in an orderly fashion as Situational Awareness sought to meet margin requirements. Citadel emerged as one of the largest buyers of the portfolio, taking advantage of one of the year’s biggest forced liquidations.

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Stocks such as Nebius and Micron that Aschenbrenner’s fund owned rebounded in the final days of July following a brutal month with many traders saying the fund’s near collapse and rescue move by Citadel was a clearing event that caused short sellers to take profits.

Citadel managed about $71 billion in assets as of July 1 and has often used periods of market dislocation to deploy capital into distressed or forced-selling situations.

Citadel declined to comment.

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AI agent token AI16Z, once worth $2.4 billion, ends with founder calling it ‘dead’

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AI agent token AI16Z, once worth $2.4 billion, ends with founder calling it 'dead'

The firm filed a proposed class action in the Southern District of New York in April, alleging false advertising, deceptive practices, negligent misrepresentation and unjust enrichment. The complaint claimed the project marketed itself as an “autonomous, AI-run venture fund” even though Walters and other insiders controlled it. It also alleged that holders were diluted during the migration from AI16Z to ELIZAOS.

The rebrand followed objections from venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz, commonly known as a16z, over the original name.

“Their claim was ridiculous, but we didn’t have the capital to legally fight it,” Walters wrote. He added that he once held tokens worth about $25 million in his wallet and watched their value fall toward zero.

CoinDesk has asked Eliza Labs and Burwick Law about the settlement terms, the status of the federal case and what holders received when the original daos.fun vehicle expired.

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How AI Agents were once a darling sector

AI16Z launched on Solana in October 2024 with a pitch built around an AI agent running a venture-style fund and token holders participating as partners. By late December, its daos.fun vehicle held more than $22 million in user-supplied tokens and was due to expire in October 2025.

The category began with Truth Terminal, an account run by New Zealand researcher Andy Ayrey that posted its own strange, quasi-religious material on X, and drew a $50,000 bitcoin donation from a16z founder Marc Andreessen in July 2024. A developer with no connection to it launched GOAT around its obsessions that October, and the token hit $1.2 billion within days.

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Dell Stock Surged 260% This Year, and Here’s All the Reasons Why

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Dell Stock Surged 260% This Year, and Here’s All the Reasons Why

Dell Technologies shares hit an all-time high on Tuesday, closing near $467 after climbing almost 9% in a single session and briefly touching $476.

The stock has now surged more than 260% year-to-date, driven by demand for artificial intelligence and repeated presidential endorsements.

Dell Stock Price Chart. Source: Yahoo Finance

The AI Numbers Powering Dell’s Record Run

TradingView data confirmed the breakout. After testing key support levels, Dell powered higher during the session, extending gains beyond previous peaks set in June.

Momentum carried into overnight trading. Shares advanced roughly 30% from recent support zones that had previously triggered sharp rebounds of 23%-29%.

The rally coincides with a broader boom in AI equities. Investors piled into server and data-center hardware stocks as confidence in sustained spending returned.

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The fundamentals support that enthusiasm. Dell reported $16.1 billion in AI server revenue in the fiscal first quarter, a 757% year-over-year increase. Guidance moved sharply higher, too. Management raised its full-year AI server forecast to $60 billion, underscoring the scale of the opportunity.

Fresh corporate news bolstered the narrative. The same day the stock hit its record high, Dell announced that the startup Volta had selected the company to power its first AI factory. The Norwegian deployment carries real scale.

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The 133-megawatt project will use Dell PowerRack systems with PowerEdge XE9812 servers featuring NVIDIA accelerators, supported by Dell Professional Services.

Volta emerged from stealth with a $2.4 billion valuation, backed by NVIDIA and Michael Dell’s family office. Its broader pipeline exceeds one gigawatt of near-term capacity.

The Political Tailwind and the Risks Ahead

Political support has provided an unusual tailwind. President Donald Trump has publicly urged Americans to go out and buy a Dell on three separate occasions within five months, most recently in early July.

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Those comments moved markets. Previous endorsements sparked intraday gains of up to 10% for the stock.

A relevant detail accompanies them, however. Trump holds a personal stake in Dell valued between $1 million and $5 million, according to disclosures reviewed by market observers.

The endorsements have kept the company in the public spotlight. That visibility reinforced positive sentiment at a moment when retail interest in AI hardware was already climbing.

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Caution has accompanied the enthusiasm, though. The parabolic rise has drawn scrutiny from traders who question how much optimism is already priced in.

Margins remain the persistent concern. Hardware businesses have historically operated on thinner margins than their software peers, and component costs remain volatile.

Concentration risk deserves attention as well. Dell’s trajectory now depends heavily on a single spending cycle continuing at its current intensity. History offers a warning here. Gains of this magnitude frequently invite sharp reversals once momentum fades or expectations reset.

The next earnings report arrives in early September. Investors will watch whether the company converts its massive order backlog into sustained profitability. That conversion defines the real test. Backlog reflects demand, while margins and cash flow reveal whether the business model scales profitably.

For now, robust demand, political visibility, and tangible contracts have propelled Dell to unprecedented heights. Whether that combination holds depends on the AI infrastructure buildout maintaining its pace.

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