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New York City Council probes prediction markets’ marketing strategies

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New York City Council probes prediction markets' marketing strategies

A Kalshi billboard displaying New York City mayoral election odds in Times Square in New York, US, on Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2025.

Adam Gray | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The New York City Council is investigating marketing practices by prediction market platforms, the office of Council Speaker Julie Menin said on Wednesday. 

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In letters to four prediction market platforms — Polymarket, Kalshi, Coinbase and Gemini Titan — Menin wrote that the council has been examining allegations of “false, deceptive, unconscionable, and objectionable marketing practices” by event contract exchanges for months. 

“Prediction markets aggressively entice consumers to bet and wager on sports, politics, culture, weather, and pretty much anything,” Menin said in a statement. “I intend to harness the full power of the Council to protect New Yorkers from deceptive and predatory marketing practices by prediction market platforms.”

Menin the letters referenced an investigation by The Wall Street Journal that claimed that Polymarket conducted misleading marketing campaigns. The Journal said in a June article that Polymarket made it appear as though content creators it partnered with were winning on the platform when, in fact, they were not using their own money. The Journal’s reporting led to an investigation by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the federal regulator for prediction markets.

CNBC reported on Tuesday that Polymarket has taken steps to revamp its marketing strategy, including through updated and streamlined guidelines for staff at the company and the content creators it works with. 

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Menin added in her letters to the platforms that the council is investigating whether such advertising strategies are used by other prediction market companies. A memo attached to these letters said the allegations against Polymarket show an urgent need to determine if legislation or other policy changes are necessary. Menin’s office added that the council plans to hold a hearing on the matter. 

The memo, which also described the probe, made clear that the inquiry is not exploring whether or not event contract exchanges violate New York’s state gambling laws.

New York state is currently in active litigation against Kalshi, Coinbase and Gemini, alleging that the companies are running illegal gambling operations. The platforms assert that they are federally regulated financial exchanges and aren’t subject to state betting laws. New York state is currently not in litigation against Polymarket. 

Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini are all headquartered in New York City. Coinbase officially operates out of Texas, but announced plans earlier this year to expand its total workforce to more than 1,000 employees in New York

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“We look forward to engaging with The New York City Council on this matter,” a Polymarket spokesperson said in a statement.

When contacted by CNBC for comment, a Coinbase spokesperson said, “Coinbase offers our customers access to federally regulated prediction markets overseen by the CFTC, and fully complies with applicable laws.”‘

Kalshi spokesperson Dani Lever in a statement said that the company looks “forward to educating the New York City Council about our business model and practices.”

Gemini did not immediately respond to a request for comment. 

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Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.

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Pi Network (PI) Climbs 4% After the Community Shares a Major Milestone

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Pi Network’s native token, which has been on a major downfall over the past several months, is among the top-performing cryptocurrencies today (August 12).

Its resurgence comes amid rumors that the controversial project has completed yet another ecosystem update.

PI Rises

The token’s price jumped by 4% over the past 24 hours to reach almost $0.09. This means that PI has outperformed nearly all top 100 digital assets, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), Solana (SOL), and many more. Its market capitalization stands just below $1 billion, making it the 65th-largest cryptocurrency.

PI Price
PI Price, Source: CoinGecko

It remains unclear what exactly fueled the resurgence. One might speculate that the momentum is tied to rumors suggesting that protocol version 26 has already been deployed.

Not long ago, Pi Network urged all mainnet node operators to complete the upgrade by August 11 to remain connected to the network. While the Core Team has not yet issued an official announcement on the matter, certain X users claimed the upgrade is already in effect.

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Rizo suggested that protocol v26 has been rolled out, and that attention is now turning to version 27, which should be the final upgrade in this series. X user amrOnChain also weighed in, saying that Testnet 2 is now officially on protocol v26, and the node has been upgraded to the latest version.

“The final stretch is here. From v19 to v26, 8 successful upgrades completed. Only one remains before the network is fully up to date. This is the moment we’ve been building toward,” the X user added.

Sustainable Rally or Pullback Ahead?

According to some market observers, PI has the potential to chart additional gains in the near future. X user Crypto With Gopal claimed it has formed a large triangle pattern. He added that the price has been compressing between descending resistance and rising support, displaying tightening momentum and bulls defending the lower range.

That said, the analyst predicted that a “clean breakout” above $0.10 could trigger a more substantial pump to $0.15 – a level last witnessed at the end of May.

It is worth keeping in mind that traders and investors should remain cautious since a downside move is also on the table. PI has been rejected several times after showing signs of life, while the reigning bear market isn’t exactly helping.

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The post Pi Network (PI) Climbs 4% After the Community Shares a Major Milestone appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Miden to launch privacy-focused USDC-backed stablecoin using Circle’s xReserve

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Legacy crypto on-ramps and bridges will disappear as payments become invisible, Fun CEO says

Privacy has emerged as a key barrier to bringing more financial activity onchain. Public blockchains expose transaction histories, balances and counterparties by default, a level of transparency that is difficult to reconcile with how businesses and financial institutions operate.

Trading firms don’t want to reveal positions, companies can’t publish payroll and treasury activity and individuals may not want their financial lives visible on a block explorer. Privacy infrastructure aims to bring the confidentiality of traditional finance onchain while preserving crypto’s programmability and verifiability.

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a steady value, typically by tracking the U.S. dollar. They have become a key piece of crypto infrastructure, providing a bridge between traditional money and blockchains while enabling faster payments, trading and settlement without the volatility of assets like bitcoin or ether .

Miden sees USDCx as the foundation for a broader category it calls “PriFi,” spanning private institutional trading, B2B payments, payroll, cross-border payments and corporate treasury management.

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The company spun out of Polygon as an independent project in April 2025 and is backed by a16z crypto, 1kx, Hack VC and others.

Read more: The future of crypto payments won’t include on-ramps or bridges, Fun CEO says

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CFTC orders Kalshi to continue operations amid New York lawsuit

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The revolving door for lawyers between Kalshi and DOJ

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) enacted its “emergency authority” yesterday and ordered prediction market Kalshi to keep operating in New York state.

It gave the order after Kalshi told the CFTC that a lawsuit in New York is causing a “market emergency.”

The lawsuit, filed by State Attorney General Letitia James in July, seeks a nationwide temporary restraining order against Kalshi and damages equal to three times its gains — a sum the CFTC says is over $36 billion. 

It accuses Kalshi of running an illegal gambling operation that failed to secure a license with the New York State Gaming Commission.

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CFTC chairman Michael S. Selig said, “Congress did not intend for derivatives exchanges to be regulated under a patchwork of state gaming laws,” adding that “New York has no business regulating these interstate financial markets.

“The Commission is required by law to ensure order in these markets, and that is what we have done today.”

Read more: The revolving door for lawyers between Kalshi and DOJ

Kalshi and Polymarket both advised by Trump family

Kalshi and rival Polymarket both employ members of the Trump family as their advisors, and both are continuing to fight regulatory court cases across the US.

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Kalshi was also sued in July by flight tracking service FlightAware which claims that the prediction market is using its data and brand to display canceled flight markets without FlightAware’s permission. 

The New York lawsuit was also supported by a coalition of American Indian tribes who want to block Kalshi’s operations, which it claims are undermining gaming laws on their land.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Kalshi Adds Sports and Crypto Perps Data Feed to DoubleZero

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Crypto Breaking News

Prediction market infrastructure is getting a more institutional-style upgrade. Kalshi says its live order book for event contracts is now available through data provider DoubleZero Edge’s dedicated fiber network, allowing subscribers to consume real-time market depth in a machine-readable form.

The companies announced on Wednesday that the arrangement will be the first of its kind for a prediction market supplying its real-time order book data on sports and crypto perpetuals event contracts through that dedicated distribution channel. Instead of assembling market data from order books and API responses, users can subscribe to a purpose-built feed designed to reduce the engineering effort required to integrate prediction-market liquidity.

Key takeaways

  • Kalshi’s real-time order book for sports and crypto perpetuals event contracts is now distributed via DoubleZero Edge’s dedicated fiber network.
  • DoubleZero Edge positions the feed as a turnkey, machine-readable alternative to building infrastructure using raw order books and API responses.
  • Sports is Kalshi’s second-largest category by weekly notional volume, with crypto in third place, according to Dune data.
  • The move comes as Kalshi remains embroiled in ongoing US jurisdiction disputes over whether its sports event contracts are regulated as derivatives or treated as wagers.

Dedicated fiber distribution for prediction-market order books

At the center of the announcement is how market data is delivered. DoubleZero Edge provides a dedicated fiber network and a corresponding data feed, which the companies say will stream Kalshi’s live order book information for relevant contracts.

From a user perspective, that matters because prediction markets often require low-latency, structured data pipelines to support faster market analysis, algorithmic trading strategies, and more reliable execution. The companies’ messaging emphasizes that data access is a “critical part” of market structure, and they argue that the broader ecosystem has lacked similar distribution-grade infrastructure as crypto, perpetuals, and prediction markets have expanded.

DoubleZero co-founder Austin Federa framed the initiative as bringing “institutional-grade infrastructure” to industry participants. In practical terms, the pitch is less about changing the underlying contracts and more about improving how market participants can ingest and process market depth at scale.

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Where Kalshi’s volume sits across sports, crypto, and exotics

The announcement also highlights Kalshi’s product mix. According to Dune data shared in the original coverage, exotics lead Kalshi’s weekly notional trading volume at 39.4%, followed by sports at 37.8%. Crypto ranks third at 20.3% in the same weekly notional-volume breakdown.

Sports being the second-largest category helps explain why the order book distribution focus includes sports event contracts. It also signals that demand for structured, low-latency access isn’t limited to crypto-linked products; it spans the broader set of markets Kalshi operates.

These percentages are based on weekly notional volume and are attributed to Dune via a referenced query on its platform. (See: Dune data.)

Regulatory pressure remains: sports contracts and competing jurisdiction claims

The new data distribution capability lands in the middle of a regulatory fight that has been escalating for months. Kalshi’s sports event contracts have become the subject of a jurisdictional dispute involving state regulators and the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

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State authorities have argued that Kalshi’s sports contracts amount to wagers and should therefore fall under state gambling laws. Kalshi and the CFTC counter that the contracts are derivatives, placing them under the CFTC’s exclusive authority.

Legal actions cited in the reporting illustrate how unsettled the status remains. In late June, a Michigan judge temporarily blocked Kalshi from allowing residents to place bets on sporting events. Around the same time, Kentucky filed suit against multiple prediction market platforms—including Kalshi and Polymarket—alleging they operate unlicensed sports betting services.

Nevada also issued a temporary ban on Kalshi earlier in March, according to the same reporting. Meanwhile, the CFTC has taken the opposite tack by suing several states. The agency’s argument, as described in earlier coverage, is that federally regulated event contracts fall under its exclusive jurisdiction.

For market participants, these disputes are more than legal background—they can affect where contracts are accessible and under what compliance frameworks traders can operate. Even as the infrastructure for order book delivery improves, the ability to participate may still depend on jurisdiction-specific rulings and enforcement outcomes.

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Broader visibility for Kalshi markets

The story also connects Kalshi’s markets to broader consumer-facing visibility. Earlier in July, OpenAI began displaying Kalshi’s prediction market odds for FIFA World Cup matches in ChatGPT search results, according to prior coverage.

This kind of display can increase public awareness of event markets and may expand the audience beyond traditional traders and developers. However, it also underlines that prediction markets are increasingly part of mainstream information flows—an environment where legal clarity becomes even more important.

What to watch next

Kalshi and DoubleZero Edge’s dedicated fiber feed could make it easier for institutions and serious builders to integrate prediction-market order books without custom plumbing, but the larger question for users is whether contract access will remain stable as courts and regulators continue to argue over jurisdiction. Watch upcoming rulings and any further adjustments to where and how sports event contracts can be offered.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Bitcoin Miners Hit 10-Year Low as Fee Revenue Falls Below 0.7%

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin’s mining economics are looking increasingly subsidy-driven as transaction fees sink to levels last seen in the late stages of the decade. At the same time, multiple analysts point to a shift in miner strategy toward AI and high-performance computing (AI/HPC), coinciding with a noticeable decline in network hash rate.

Onchain analytics and mining cost estimates show fees make up just 0.69% of miner revenue, while the broader pressure on margins continues as Bitcoin’s price weakens and electricity costs remain a critical factor for operators. The resulting question for investors is whether miners’ AI pivot will stabilize long-term operations—or introduce new volatility to the network’s security parameters.

Key takeaways

  • Glassnode data indicates Bitcoin fees are contributing only 0.69% of miner revenue, returning close to decade-low territory.
  • Fees were reported as low as 0.52% in April, leaving miners more dependent on the fixed block subsidy.
  • Checkonchain estimates show hash rate fell about 33% from an October 2025 peak of 1.3 ZH/s to 861 EH/s.
  • Analysts argue the industry’s shift toward AI/HPC has contributed to reduced mining activity as difficulty adjustments evolve.
  • Estimated mining production costs remain above current spot price, intensifying profitability pressure for marginal operators.

Fees fade as miner reliance on subsidies grows

According to Glassnode, transaction fees now represent just 0.69% of miner revenue—near the lowest levels seen in years. Glassnode co-founder Rafael Schultze-Kraft previously highlighted that fees had stayed below 1% of miner revenue for almost a year, with the share falling to 0.52% in April.

In a post on X, Schultze-Kraft said that “Bitcoin was below $400 the last time fee share was this low.” While that comparison is meant to contextualize the current environment, the practical impact is straightforward: when fee revenue collapses, miners lean more heavily on the block subsidy to cover operating expenses.

That matters because the subsidy is fixed in BTC terms—currently 3.125 BTC per block—but its value in US dollars depends on Bitcoin’s price. The article notes Bitcoin has fallen nearly 50% since its October 2025 all-time high, which would reduce the USD value of each subsidy payment and squeeze margins unless operational costs fall or fee rates rebound.

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Cost pressure stays high: production estimates outpace spot

The mining picture is also constrained by profitability math. Checkonchain’s mining analytics put the estimated average cost to produce one Bitcoin at $78,254 as of Tuesday—about 23% above the current spot price referenced in the source.

Even if these are “estimated” costs rather than audited figures for every operator, the direction is what counts for the market: when production costs exceed spot value, miners are incentivized to either optimize aggressively, consolidate, or exit. That dynamic tends to hit smaller players first, potentially concentrating hash rate among operators with more capital flexibility and better power procurement.

Investors should also consider that production costs are influenced by variables outside the chain itself, especially electricity prices and hardware efficiency. In periods where fees remain weak, any non-chain cost increase can accelerate the churn in mining capacity.

Hash rate drops 33% since October 2025 peak

Network security metrics reflect the mining sector’s changing behavior. Checkonchain estimates hash rate declined from a peak of about 1.3 ZH/s in October 2025 to roughly 861 EH/s, a drop of 33%.

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Hash rate is an important indicator not because it alone determines security, but because sustained decreases can signal reduced competitive participation. If the network’s mining base becomes less active, difficulty and mining economics may adjust over time—but the transition itself can be disruptive for operators and for the incentives that sustain long-run security.

Analysts warn AI/HPC pivot could be a concerning shift

Beyond the numbers, several analysts argue the decline in hash rate is linked to a strategic redeployment of compute resources. Independent analyst William Clemente, in an analysis published at the weekend and shared on X, acknowledged the downturn while arguing that automated difficulty readjustments would have offered a window for miners to increase activity. With difficulty reported as rising again, he suggested that miners’ move toward “more lucrative AI computing” has become more visible.

“There is no other way to slice it, hash rate has been in a decline,” Clemente wrote, pointing to margin compression after 2022 and higher energy prices, but also emphasizing a pivot by “many into AI/HPC.” He characterized these AI-related moves as “prudent business decisions” for publicly traded companies that pursued them.

The broader claim is not simply that miners are diversifying; it’s that the timing and direction of the shift could reduce mining participation during a period when fees are already contributing less than 1% of revenue. In an environment where the subsidy is already under pressure from Bitcoin’s price drawdown, a reduction in mining activity could widen the gap between operational realities and long-term security assumptions.

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Cointelegraph previously reported that CleanSpark refocused on AI, shifting toward operating data centers after missing profit targets. Another example cited in the source is Keel Infrastructure, which shut down all US mining operations after revenue fell 50% in the second quarter. These cases support Clemente’s argument that operators facing weaker mining profitability may look to alternative compute markets.

Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments also linked hash rate declines to miners’ AI pivot, describing it as a “concerning Bitcoin development in 2026” and noting acceleration since April.

What to watch next as incentives keep shifting

With fee revenue near decade-low levels and estimated mining costs exceeding spot value, the next signal will be whether hash rate stabilizes as difficulty adjusts—or whether additional miners continue reallocating capital toward AI/HPC. Investors may also want to monitor how quickly fee share recovers, since sustained low fees increase the network’s dependence on the subsidy at exactly the moment when operators appear to be changing how they deploy compute.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Kalshi Launches Sports, Crypto Perps Data Feed on DoubleZero

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Kalshi Launches Sports, Crypto Perps Data Feed on DoubleZero

Prediction market Kalshi’s live order book is now available through data provider DoubleZero Edge’s dedicated fiber network, the two companies said in a Wednesday announcement shared with Cointelegraph.

Kalshi said this makes it the first prediction market to distribute its real-time order book data on sports and crypto perpetuals event contracts, which will be available to new DoubleZero Edge subscribers.

Users looking for a machine-readable view of prediction market data can access these capabilities via the dedicated feed, instead of building this infrastructure from order books and application programming interface (API) responses themselves.

Data access is a “critical part” of market structure, but related infrastructure has been missing from new financial paradigms such as crypto, perpetuals and prediction markets, said Austin Federa, co-founder of DoubleZero, adding that this initiative will bring institutional-grade infrastructure to industry participants. 

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Sports ranks as the second-largest category on Kalshi with 37.8% of weekly notional volume, followed by crypto in third place, at 20.3%. Exotics ranked first, accounting for 39.4% of Kalshi’s weekly notional trading volume, according to Dune data.

In early July, OpenAI started displaying Kalshi’s prediction market odds for FIFA World Cup matches in ChatGPT search results. 

Kalshi’s sports event contracts are at the center of a jurisdictional dispute between state regulators and the federal Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).  State authorities argue that the contracts are wagers subject to state gambling laws, while the CFTC and Kalshi contend that they are derivatives subject to the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction. 

On June 29, a Michigan judge temporarily blocked Kalshi from allowing residents to place bets on sporting events. Days earlier, Kentucky sued five prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket, accusing them of operating unlicensed sports betting platforms. Nevada also issued a temporary ban on Kalshi earlier in March. 

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The CFTC also sued several states, arguing that federally regulated event contracts fall under its exclusive authority. 

Magazine: Why Argentina is blocking Polymarket despite its global growth

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U.S. CPI inflation slows to 3.4% as expected, bitcoin (BTC) holds near $64,000

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U.S. CPI inflation slows to 3.4% as expected, bitcoin (BTC) holds near $64,000

U.S. inflation in July was in line with expectations, leaving expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike broadly unchanged.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.1% in July from the previous month, compared with economists’ forecast for a 0.1% increase and June’s 0.4% decline.

On a year-over-year basis, CPI rose 3.4%, in line with forecasts and slightly lower than June’s 3.5% reading.

Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 0.2% month over month in July, compared with forecasts for a 0.2% increase and an unchanged reading in June. On a year-over-year basis, core CPI rose 2.5% as expected by analysts and edging lower from June’s 2.6%.

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Bitcoin fell from $64,400 to $64,080 in a knee-jerk reaction before stabilizing, still largely flat over 24 hours. Nasdaq 100 futures traded 0.7% higher.

Treasury yields remained under pressure, maintaining pre-CPI weakness. The two-year hovered at 4.19%, down 3.6 basis points on the day, and the 10-year yield stood at 4.66%, also down three basis points.

Already a key data point for markets, July’s CPI report took on added importance after a weaker-than-expected U.S. employment report showed that the economy unexpectedly shed 23,000 jobs in July.

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Standard Chartered-led Anchorpoint launches Hong Kong dollar stablecoin

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CLARITY will strengthen dollar stablecoins, but Asia wins on yield: HashKey Research

Standard Chartered-led Anchorpoint Financial has started a limited rollout of HKDAP, its Hong Kong dollar-backed stablecoin, four months after securing one of the city’s first two issuer licences.

The initial rollout will focus on institutional payments and settlement before adding more access channels and cross-border applications.

HashKey Exchange and OSL Group joined as authorized distributors, allowing eligible institutions and professional investors to obtain HKDAP through their apps and other supported channels, according to separate announcements.

HashKey said it had completed its first minting and redemption transaction for the token, including conversions between HKDAP and fiat currency.

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Anchorpoint, a joint venture between Standard Chartered, Animoca Brands and HKT, plans to use distributors and commercial partners to bring the token into payments, settlement and other financial applications. HKDAP stands for “Hong Kong dollar at par.”

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies with values pegged to an external reference such as fiat currencies. Stablecoins are widely used to finance crypto trading, serve as a means of payment and facilitate cross‑border capital flows. The combined market cap of all stablecoins was nearly $287 billion as of this writing.

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Smart contract blockchain Solana nearly froze Wednesday, Marinade Finance says

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Smart contract blockchain Solana nearly froze Wednesday, Marinade Finance says

The latest issue started with a bad internet route from Teraswitch’s Miami facility that then spread to data centers across Europe and Asia, cutting off validators in London, Amsterdam, Frankfurt, Singapore and Tokyo. North America stayed online. The company fixed the issue in about 10 minutes, and traffic was flowing again by 4:16 a.m. UTC.

One single network operator, identified as AS2032, controlled more than a quarter of all the tokens people had locked up to secure the network, which was more than the Solana-prescribed safety limit. Almost all of those tokens went offline at the same time. Other companies lost another 14 million tokens in the same short period. Most of the affected validators, including the big one called Helius, stayed offline for the full 33 minutes because their backup systems never switched on.

This whole event is a clear warning: if more than one-third of the network’s tokens ever go offline at once, the entire blockchain freezes for every single person holding SOL, and there is no quick way to fix the bigger damage that would follow.

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Pi Network price gains 5% as CPI cools, upgrade passes

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Pi Network daily chart shows PI holding above its 20-day SMA at $0.0853 but below $0.096 resistance.

Pi Network price rose more than 5% toward $0.090 on Aug. 12 as the Protocol 26 deadline passed and softer U.S. inflation data supported speculative assets.

Summary

  • Pi Network price rose more than 5% before settling near $0.088 during the session.
  • Protocol 26’s Aug. 11 deadline required Mainnet node operators to update or lose connectivity.
  • PI remains above its 20-day moving average at $0.0853, but below the 50-day average.
  • A breakout above $0.096–$0.10 could open a path toward $0.12 and potentially $0.15.

Pi Network price action today

According to data from crypto.news, Pi Network (PI) price climbed more than 5% to approach $0.090 on Aug. 12, while trading activity reportedly increased by about 35%. PI traded near $0.0883 at the time of writing after giving back part of its intraday advance.

The move followed the Aug. 11 deadline for Mainnet node operators to complete the Protocol 26 upgrade. The Pi Core Team previously said nodes that missed the cutoff would lose Mainnet connectivity until they installed the required update.

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No widespread network disruption had been reported by the time of writing. However, the team had not published figures showing how many operators completed the upgrade, making it difficult to confirm the participation rate across Pi Network’s node infrastructure.

Protocol 26 improves smart contract safety, state management, interoperability, and cryptographic functions. The upgrade is also intended to prepare the network for Protocol 27, the final planned step in the current protocol update sequence.

Cooling US inflation supports PI recovery

U.S. macroeconomic conditions provided a second tailwind for PI and the broader crypto market. The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index rose 0.1% in July and 3.4% from a year earlier.

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Annual inflation slowed from 3.5% in June, while core CPI increased 0.2% month over month and 2.5% annually. Both annual readings eased from the previous month.

Slower inflation can reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates further. Lower rate expectations generally support risk assets by improving liquidity conditions, although PI’s immediate move remained closely tied to the network upgrade and retail trading activity.

PI’s price is still more than 95% below its February 2025 peak, leaving the token exposed to sharp swings as short-term traders respond to technical breakouts and project updates.

Supply also remains an important risk. Data attributed to PiScan indicates that approximately 775.8 million PI could be unlocked by the end of 2026. Unlocks do not guarantee immediate selling, but they may increase the amount of PI available in the market if recipients choose to sell.

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PI price holds above short-term support

The daily chart shows PI trading above its 20-day simple moving average at $0.0853. Reclaiming the average marks an improvement from the sustained downtrend that pushed the token from above $0.20 in March to a July low near $0.071.

Pi Network daily chart shows PI holding above its 20-day SMA at $0.0853 but below $0.096 resistance.
Pi Network price daily chart — Aug. 12 | Source: crypto.news

Bull-bear power has also turned slightly positive at 0.00166, indicating that buyers have gained limited control around the current range. Price has nevertheless failed to produce a decisive trend reversal.

PI remains below the 50-day moving average at $0.0961, which forms the first major resistance zone. The 100-day and 200-day averages sit much higher at $0.1215 and $0.1489, respectively, showing that the broader daily trend remains bearish.

A daily close above $0.096 would strengthen the recovery case and place the psychological $0.10 level in focus. Clearing both barriers could allow buyers to target the 100-day average near $0.12.

Failure to hold $0.0853 would weaken the current setup. Sellers could then test $0.080, followed by the July support area between $0.071 and $0.075.

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4-hour indicators show weak but improving momentum

PI’s 4-hour chart shows price consolidating between approximately $0.085 and $0.092 after recovering from the late-July low. Buyers have repeatedly defended the lower end of the range, but rallies have lost momentum around $0.090–$0.093.

Pi Network 4-hour chart shows PI consolidating near $0.088 as RSI approaches 50 and MACD momentum improves.
Pi Network price 4-hour chart — Aug. 12 | Source: crypto.news

The 4-hour Relative Strength Index stood at 49.79, just below the neutral 50 level. The reading shows that selling pressure has eased without confirming strong bullish momentum.

MACD offered a slightly more constructive signal. Its histogram turned positive at 0.00006 as the MACD line moved above the signal line, although both remained below zero. The setup points to an early recovery attempt rather than a confirmed breakout.

A 4-hour close above $0.093 would improve the short-term structure and expose the $0.096–$0.10 resistance zone. Losing $0.085, however, would invalidate the immediate bullish setup and raise the risk of another move toward $0.080.

Analyst sees $0.15 target after triangle breakout

Crypto analyst Crypto With Gopal said PI was compressing between descending resistance and rising support, creating a large triangle pattern.

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According to the analyst’s chart, a clean break above approximately $0.10 could trigger a larger move toward $0.15. Such a move would require PI to reclaim its 50-day and 100-day moving averages before challenging the 200-day average near the analyst’s target.

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Until PI closes above $0.10, the pattern remains unconfirmed. The token’s position below its major long-term averages and the pending supply unlocks continue to limit the strength of the bullish case.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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