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Troyes vs Paris FC Prediction and Betting Tips

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Troyes will entertain Paris FC at the Stade de l’Aube in their Ligue 1 campaign opener on Saturday. The hosts are back in the top flight after three seasons, while the capital club secured a mid-table finish in Ligue 1 last season.

ESTAC enjoyed an unbeaten run in the preseason, although their last two games ended in draws. They faced Panetolikos at home last week and were held to a 1-1 draw, with Renaud Ripart scoring in that match.

Les Bleus registered just one win in the preseason. They lost their last two friendly games, conceding seven goals. In their match against Angers last week, Pablo Pagis and Luca Koleosho were on the scoresheet as they lost 3-2.

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Troyes vs Paris FC head-to-head stats and key numbers

  • There is limited history between the two teams, who have met 14 times in all competitions. They have contested these meetings closely, with the visitors leading 6-4 in wins and four games ending in draws.
  • They last met in the 2024-25 season of Ligue 2, and the capital club won both the home and away games with an aggregate score of 4-0.
  • They will meet in the top flight for the first time since the 1973-74 season.
  • Troyes have won their last five competitive home games, scoring at least four goals in three matches during that period.
  • Paris FC have suffered just two defeats in Ligue 1 away games in 2026.
  • Four of the last six meetings between them have produced over 2.5 goals.
  • ESTAC have won just one of their last 10 meetings against the visitors, with that triumph coming at home.
  • The capital club have seen over 2.5 goals in five of their last six league outings.

Troyes vs Paris FC prediction

ESTAC went unbeaten in the preseason, winning four of the six games, and will look to build on that form here. They have seen decisive outcomes in their last five competitive games, suffering two defeats, with both losses coming away from home.

Ismael Boura was injured in the friendly against Auxerre earlier this month and is expected to be sidelined for a few weeks.

Les Bleus concluded the preseason on a four-game winless run, conceding 11 goals in that period. Interestingly, they also scored at least two goals in three games.

Emmanuel Mbemba picked up a knock earlier this month and is facing a race against time to prove match fitness.

The capital club have won their last three meetings against the hosts, and considering their Ligue 1 away record in 2026, we back them to secure a narrow win.

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Prediction: Troyes 1-2 Paris FC


Troyes vs Paris FC betting tips

Tip 1: Paris to win

Tip 2: Over 2.5 goals

Tip 3: Both teams to score – Yes

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