Business
GDP data, crude prices among 7 factors likely to steer D-Street this week
On Friday, August 28, benchmark indices, the BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty50, ended higher, snapping a two-session losing streak. The Nifty50 closed at 24,178, up 85 points, or 0.35%, while the Sensex settled at 77,264 , gaining 331 points, or 0.43%. Market breadth was positive, with 1,918 stocks advancing on the NSE against 1,561 declines, while 124 stocks remained unchanged.
Analysts said the Nifty 50 remains in a broader consolidation phase, with the technical setup finely balanced. The index has retained a positive bias on the weekly timeframe but continues to face resistance at higher levels.
Key factors likely to decide Nifty bulls’ fate:
1) GDP data to offer clues on domestic growth
The week will begin with India’s first-quarter GDP data, which will offer fresh cues on the domestic growth trajectory.
GDP is expected to have grown by a median 7.3% in the April-June quarter, according to an ET poll of 10 economists, with resilient consumption and exports, along with robust government capital expenditure, supporting growth despite supply chain disruptions and elevated commodity prices.Hariselvan Radhakrishnan, Founder and CEO of HST Wealth, said a series of important domestic and overseas macroeconomic releases would be in focus as investors look for fresh direction after a largely range-bound market.
“India’s first-quarter GDP data on Monday will offer insights into the domestic growth trajectory, while Friday’s US non-farm payrolls report is expected to influence global market sentiment as investors reassess expectations for the Federal Reserve’s September policy decision following Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole address,” Radhakrishnan said.
Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Investments, said investors would also track business-sentiment readings and the domestic GDP print for further direction on growth and the global rate trajectory.
2) US jobs data, global markets in focus
The US non-farm payrolls report, due on Friday, September 4, will be closely watched as markets assess the outlook for the Federal Reserve’s September policy decision following Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole address.
Ponmudi R, CEO of Enrich Money, said the August jobs report and the next inflation reading would be key data points in shaping expectations around US monetary policy.
Global market cues will also remain important, with investors tracking the US dollar and Treasury yields. Ponmudi also highlighted the rupee as an important variable, while Nair said the hawkish undertone in the RBI’s August meeting minutes had kept upward pressure on domestic bond yields.
3) Crude oil, Strait of Hormuz remain key
Crude oil prices will remain a key market driver this week, with developments around the Strait of Hormuz likely to influence the geopolitical risk premium. Oil prices fell more than 5% last week, with brent crude settling at $89.31 a barrel on Friday, as traders weighed stalled US-Iran diplomatic talks against the resumption of some crude flows through the Strait.
“Any sustained improvement in shipping flows could further reduce the geopolitical premium in crude oil and provide relief to emerging-market equities, while renewed disruptions could quickly reverse that trend,” Ponmudi said.
Nair said the recent decline in crude prices, along with a firmer rupee and softer US yields, had helped cushion Indian equities against geopolitical concerns.
“US sanctions on Iran fell short of market expectations, triggering a sharp slide in crude and easing imported-inflation worries. This relief on the energy front, coupled with a firmer rupee and softer US yields, cushioned sentiment against lingering West Asia tensions,” Nair said.
4) FII, DII flows on radar
Institutional flows will remain another important factor for the market, particularly as foreign investors continue to show bouts of heavy selling.
According to Ponmudi, FIIs turned aggressive sellers on Friday, recording net outflows of around Rs 5,040 crore. However, this was largely offset by DII buying of approximately Rs 5,184 crore.
On a month-to-date basis, FIIs remained marginal net buyers at around Rs 454 crore, while DIIs recorded inflows of approximately Rs 79,620 crore.
Ponmudi said the continued strength in domestic institutional participation remained an important stabilising factor, helping limit the impact of foreign selling.
ALSO READ:Nearly half of BSE 200 stocks fail to deliver returns in 2026. What’s dragging them down?
5) AI trade keeps IT stocks in focus
Global technology sentiment is likely to remain relevant for Indian IT stocks after Nvidia’s strong results and upbeat guidance reinforced optimism around sustained AI investment.
“IT outperformed after Nvidia’s strong results and upbeat guidance reinforced optimism around sustained AI-related investments, which could benefit firms involved in enterprise AI deployment and workflow integration,” Nair said.
Ponmudi also flagged global technology sentiment as an important driver for Indian IT stocks, with upcoming earnings from Broadcom and Micron potentially influencing sectoral rotation.
6) Metals, FMCG and upstream stocks in focus
Sectoral moves are likely to remain driven by commodity prices and global cues.
Nair said metals led the gains on firm commodity prices and improving realisation prospects, while softer crude prices weighed on upstream producers. FMCG stocks also retreated amid concerns over rising input costs.
7) Technical setup remains finely balanced
On the weekly timeframe, the Nifty remains in a consolidation phase with a positive bias, according to Radhakrishnan. The index is holding above its 20-week moving average at 24,036 but remains below the 100-week moving average at 24,423. The weekly RSI at 50.07 is neutral, while the MACD has recovered from negative levels.
A sustained close above 24,190-24,335 could pave the way for a move towards 24,710, while a break below 24,000 could trigger deeper weakness, Radhakrishnan said.
Ponmudi said the 24,200-24,300 zone remains the immediate resistance, with a sustained move above 24,400 opening the way towards 24,500-24,600. On the downside, 24,100-24,000 remains the key support zone, with a break below 24,000 potentially exposing the index to 23,800.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of Economic Times)
Business
European midcaps: Where Jefferies sees upside into H2

European midcaps: Where Jefferies sees upside into H2
Business
European central bankers fear more U.S. policy turbulence, Reuters reports

European central bankers fear more U.S. policy turbulence, Reuters reports
Business
7 of top 10 firms shed Rs 1.13 lakh cr in m-cap; Airtel, Reliance worst hit
Last week, the BSE benchmark Sensex declined 276.32 points, or 0.35 per cent, and the NSE Nifty dipped 76.35 points, or 0.31 per cent.
“Indian equity markets ended the week on a cautious note, extending their recent corrective phase as concerns over global interest rates, geopolitical uncertainty and volatility surrounding the new closing auction session weighed on investor sentiment,” Ajit Mishra — SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said.
Although markets recovered sharply on Friday, supported by strong buying in IT stocks following upbeat global technology cues, the benchmark indices remained under pressure for the third consecutive week, he added.
While Reliance Industries, Bharti Airtel, HDFC Bank, Bajaj Finance, Larsen & Toubro, Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC), and Hindustan Unilever faced erosion from their market valuation, ICICI Bank, State Bank of India, and Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) were the winners.
The valuation of Bharti Airtel tumbled Rs 40,500.85 crore to Rs 11,74,462.30 crore.
Reliance Industries’ valuation eroded Rs 40,056.32 crore to reach Rs 17,38,119.27 crore.The market valuation of HDFC Bank dropped Rs 11,558.35 crore to Rs 11,09,600.70 crore and that of Bajaj Finance fell Rs 10,086.05 crore to Rs 6,70,535.57 crore.
Larsen & Toubro’s market capitalisation (mcap) declined Rs 6,473.45 crore to Rs 5,55,987.49 crore and that of LIC dipped Rs 3,162.5 crore to Rs 5,32,817.81 crore.
The mcap of Hindustan Unilever edged lower by Rs 1,550.73 crore to Rs 4,72,361.83 crore.
However, the mcap of TCS jumped Rs 16,643.2 crore to Rs 8,48,079.71 crore.
The valuation of ICICI Bank climbed Rs 4,475.28 crore to Rs 10,22,805.73 crore and that of State Bank of India went up Rs 599.99 crore to Rs 9,65,568.75 crore.
Reliance Industries remained the most-valued firm, followed by Bharti Airtel, HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, State Bank of India, TCS, Bajaj Finance, Larsen & Toubro, LIC and Hindustan Unilever.
Business
FPIs turn buyers for second straight month, invest Rs 30,919 cr in August
The inflow follows Rs 20,200 crore invested in July, marking a sharp turnaround after four consecutive months of heavy selling.
FPIs had withdrawn Rs 49,340 crore in June, Rs 32,963 crore in May, Rs 60,847 crore in April and a massive Rs 1.17 lakh crore in March. Prior to the selling streak, they had invested Rs 22,615 crore in February, according to CDSL data.
The two straight months of buying, following the worst six-month stretch in years, offer the first indication of a possible trend reversal.
However, foreign investors remain net sellers in Indian equities in 2026, with withdrawals of Rs 2.23 lakh crore so far. This is higher than the Rs 1.66 lakh crore outflow recorded during the entire 2025.
“The important factors driving the FPI flows into India are the reversal of the chip trade, the stability in the rupee and, more importantly, the improving earnings growth in India,” V K Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments, said.
The continuation of foreign buying in August was supported by improving domestic fundamentals as well as a relatively favourable global backdrop.”Corporate earnings showed signs of improvement during the June quarter, helping ease concerns around the earnings slowdown that had weighed on foreign investor sentiment earlier. Resilient economic activity and strengthening credit growth also reinforced confidence in India’s medium- to long-term growth prospects,” Himanshu Srivastava, Principal, Manager Research, Morningstar Investment Research India, said.
Global factors also turned relatively supportive during parts of the month.
Easing geopolitical concerns aided risk sentiment, while expectations of softer US interest rates and a rotation of global capital away from the crowded AI and semiconductor trade in markets such as Korea and Taiwan created room for incremental allocations towards India, he added.
However, tensions in West Asia and uncertainty over crude oil prices continued to remain an overhang.
“Cash flows suggest returning conviction; futures suggest lingering caution. The trend may be turning, post AI and war-related worries receding,” Manish Bhandari, CEO and Portfolio Manager, Vallum Capital, said.
Going ahead, investors will closely monitor movements in Brent crude prices and developments surrounding US-Iran tensions. Escalating US-Canada trade tensions could further add to market uncertainty and keep investors cautious, Pabitro Mukherjee, Deputy Vice President-Research, Bajaj Broking, said.
Elevated US bond yields also remain a key concern, with markets awaiting upcoming inflation data ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting in mid-September.
On the domestic front, Q1 GDP growth and inflation data will remain key indicators to watch for institutional flows, he added.
Foreign investor interest also extended to the debt market. They invested Rs 627 crore through the Fully Accessible Route (FAR) and Rs 289 crore through the Voluntary Retention Route (VRR). However, they pulled out Rs 2,318 crore through the general route.
Business
5 big analyst AI moves: Downgrades for SAP and Intuit; AMD lifted to Strong Buy

5 big analyst AI moves: Downgrades for SAP and Intuit; AMD lifted to Strong Buy
Business
Fidelity Blue Chip Growth ETF Q2 2026 Commentary (FBCG)
Fidelity’s mission is to strengthen the financial well-being of our customers and deliver better outcomes for the clients and businesses it serves. With assets under administration of $12.6 trillion, including discretionary assets of $4.9 trillion as of December 31, 2023, Fidelity focuses on meeting the unique needs of a broad and growing customer base. Privately held for 77 years, Fidelity employs more than 74,000 associates with its headquarters in Boston and a global presence spanning nine countries across North America, Europe, Asia and Australia. Note: This account is not managed or monitored by Fidelity, and any messages sent via Seeking Alpha will not receive a response. For inquiries or communication, please use Fidelity’s official channels.
Business
2-Year Treasury Yield Surges in Biggest Jackson Hole Reaction Since Greenspan Era
The short-end of the Treasury market believed Warsh after he said that the Fed is going to control inflation.
The yield on the 2-year Treasury note rose 0.118 percentage point to 4.348% Friday. That marked the note’s largest single-day yield gain on a day that a Fed chair gave a speech at Jackson Hole since Alan Greenspan’s address in 1996, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
The two-year yield rose after Warsh said during his speech at the annual economic policy symposium that if the central bank isn’t confident that inflation is moving to its 2% objective clearly and at sufficient speed, then “we have work to do. That’s our job.”
Business
IFRA: Voter AI Data Center Backlash Shows Up On The Chart (BATS:IFRA)
Freelance Financial Writer | Investments | Markets | Personal Finance | RetirementI create written content used in various formats including articles, blogs, emails, and social media for financial advisors and investment firms in a cost-efficient way. My passion is putting a narrative to financial data. Working with teams that include senior editors, investment strategists, marketing managers, data analysts, and executives, I contribute ideas to help make content relevant, accessible, and measurable. Having expertise in thematic investing, market events, client education, and compelling investment outlooks, I relate to everyday investors in a pithy way. I enjoy analyzing stock market sectors, ETFs, economic data, and broad market conditions, then producing snackable content for various audiences. Macro drivers of asset classes such as stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and crypto excite me. My thing is communicating finance with an educational and creative style. I also believe in producing evidence-based narratives using empirical data to drive home points. Charts are one of the many tools I leverage to tell a story in a simple but engaging way. I focus on SEO and specific style guides when appropriate.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Business
Fed’s Warsh Cites ‘Readiness to Act’ on Inflation. That’s Forward Guidance by Any Name.
Fed’s Warsh Cites ‘Readiness to Act’ on Inflation. That’s Forward Guidance by Any Name.
Business
LESS THAN 24 HOURS REMAINING: Unlock InvestingPro for 55% off BEFORE IT’S TOO LATE

LESS THAN 24 HOURS REMAINING: Unlock InvestingPro for 55% off BEFORE IT’S TOO LATE
-
Crypto World4 days agoSpaceX stock could rise 75% to $240, JPMorgan says
-
Fashion2 days agoWeekend Open Thread: Maeve – Corporette.com
-
Crypto World2 days agoBitcoin’s 22% rally now needs real demand to outlast Treasury liquidity boost
-
Crypto World4 days agoWarsh Jackson Hole keynote puts financial innovation first
-
Crypto World5 days agoA $30 Billion AI Fund Implodes, Now the SEC Is Investigating Wall Street’s Role
-
Business2 days agoSalesforce Stock Soars 19% as Blowout Earnings and Agentforce AI Growth Silence Software Skeptics
-
Crypto World4 days agoDid Trump Just Move SpaceX Stock With One Truth Social Post?
-
Business7 days agoMystery AI Model ‘Ox Alpha’ Draws Developers With Free Access as Chinese Lab Origins Remain Debated
-
Business4 days agoWalmart takes aim at younger shoppers with new fashion brand
-
NewsBeat3 days agoLindsay Clancy jury braces for closing arguments as judge tells court: ‘You’ve heard all the evidence’ – Live updates
-
Crypto World3 days agoElon Musk Grok Bot Promise: We Will Make You Whole if AI Loses Your Money
-
Crypto World1 day agoBitcoin price tests $82K resistance as Brandt stays long
-
Business6 days agoModerna CEO warns China is pouring state money into mRNA technology
-
Crypto World3 days agoNVIDIA revenue hits $96.2B as AI demand doubles
-
Business5 days agoNVIDIA Stock Drops Nearly 2 Percent to $210 on Seventh Losing Day Ahead of Critical AI Earnings
-
Business4 days agoThailand’s Eastern Economic Corridor Capital City (EECiti): Key Developments and Investment Opportunities
-
Business2 days agoiPhone 18 Pro Pre-Orders Could Shift to Saturday as Apple Reportedly Avoids September 11 Anniversary
-
Business2 days agoApple Confirms September 9 Keynote and Reveals Its Full Pre-Order Schedule
-
Crypto World6 days ago$92 Billion Nvidia Earnings Could Make or Break the AI Trade
-
Business7 days agoWhere Will Kevin Durant Play in 2027? Rockets Hold Player Option Key to His Future With Houston via Deal

You must be logged in to post a comment Login