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CBI Survey: Private sector set to decline but City bucks trend

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Business and professional services in the City set for best quarter since 2024

A general view of the London City skyline

A general view of the City of London skyline(Image: 2024 Getty Images)

Private sector activity is expected to contract over the coming quarter but firms operating within business and professional services are poised to enjoy their strongest period since 2024, according to the UK’s foremost industry body.

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The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) has revealed that the majority of firms anticipate a fall in activity over the next three months, with its weighted balance reading registering at -13 per cent.

Industry figures attributed the downturn in activity to declining distribution sales, coupled with a drop in manufacturing output. Service sector business volumes were also forecast to decrease, with consumer-facing businesses particularly exposed to the slowdown.

However, the CBI also suggested that activity expectations within business and professional services had improved, representing the most encouraging set of figures since the quarter to October 2024, as reported by City AM.

The results mirror a quiet sense of confidence amongst City firms, where consultancies, advisory businesses and other financial services organisations predominate.

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CBI researchers further noted that private sector expectations were the least pessimistic since November 2024 — the month following Chancellor Rachel Reeves’ decision to raise employment taxes via increased national insurance contributions totalling some £25bn.

Charlotte Dendy, the CBI’s economic surveys manager, described the upturn in business confidence as “notable” despite continuing to sit below long-term averages.

“Businesses continue to highlight the impact of recent Budgets on costs, alongside weak customer confidence and a broader lack of demand indicating that the mood remains fragile,” Dendy said.

“While the Spring Forecast may not carry the full weight of a Budget, it still provides an important moment for the Chancellor to double down on the government’s growth mission.

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“With business costs continuing to weigh on private sector activity, growth and investment, broader solutions must be found on lowering business energy costs and on the practical implementation of the Employment Rights Act.”

The survey also revealed that workforce numbers are expected to decline further in the three months to May, partially due to workplace rights reforms introduced through the Employment Rights Act.

The CBI and other trade organisations secured a compromise with the government to abandon ‘day one’ rights for unfair dismissal but a raft of other reforms, including enhanced powers for unions to organise strikes and expanded sick pay guarantees, could increase regulatory burdens on businesses.

A series of consultations on the bill will launch in February, covering areas such as maternity leave and trade union membership.

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FTSE 100 today: Fall on Middle East tensions, pound weak; energy, defense rally

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FTSE 100 today: Fall on Middle East tensions, pound weak; energy, defense rally

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Stocks to Watch Monday: Exxon Mobil, Airlines, RTX, Berkshire

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David Uberti hedcut

Stocks to Watch Monday: Exxon Mobil, Airlines, RTX, Berkshire

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Former CBI boss Dame Carolyn Fairbairn appointed HSBC UK chair

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The former director-general of the Confederation of British Industry set to succeed Dame Clara Furse

The former director-general of the CBI, Carolyn Fairbairn

The former director-general of the CBI, Carolyn Fairbairn(Image: PA)

The former director general of the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) has been named as the incoming chair of HSBC UK.

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The banking giant said Dame Carolyn Fairbairn would assume the role at the end of the current half-year period. The existing chair, Dame Clara Furse, is preparing to step down from the non-executive position in the months ahead following nine years of service.

Dame Carolyn, who headed the CBI until 2020, currently serves as chair of HSBC’s group remuneration committee and will move to the new role subject to regulatory clearance.

HSBC said the appointment follows a “robust succession process which considered both internal and external candidates”.

The announcement comes just three months after Brendan Nelson was appointed as chairman of the broader HSBC group.

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Mr Nelson said: “I would like to thank Dame Clara for her dedication, commitment and the significant contribution she has made to HSBC during her time as chair of HSBC UK.

“I believe that Dame Carolyn’s deep understanding of the UK business and regulatory landscape will be invaluable in the next phase of delivery of HSBC UK Bank’s growth strategy and as we deliver for our investors, customers, communities and employees.”

Meanwhile on Monday, competing lender Santander UK confirmed that Nicola Bannister will become chief executive of TSB Bank following its acquisition of the high street bank.

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Wall St futures fall on fears of protracted Middle East conflict

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Wall St futures fall on fears of protracted Middle East conflict


Wall St futures fall on fears of protracted Middle East conflict

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Informa stock falls on Middle East geopolitical concerns

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Informa stock falls on Middle East geopolitical concerns

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Before You Buy Any Stock, Run This 4-Step Reality Check

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Before You Buy Any Stock, Run This 4-Step Reality Check

Before You Buy Any Stock, Run This 4-Step Reality Check

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Blood Moon Timetable and Viewing Guide for North America, Asia & Australia

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A view of Saturn and Titan from Cassini in 2012

Skywatchers across much of the world prepared for a striking celestial event early Tuesday, March 3, 2026: a total lunar eclipse that turned the full Worm Moon a dramatic copper-red hue, often called a “blood moon.” This was the only total lunar eclipse visible anywhere in 2026, marking the third in a near-tetrad sequence and the last until late 2028.

The eclipse unfolded over the night of March 2-3 depending on time zones, with the Moon passing fully into Earth’s umbral shadow. Unlike solar eclipses, lunar ones are visible from the entire night side of Earth where the Moon is above the horizon, making this one accessible to millions in North America, Central America, parts of South America, Asia, Australia and the Pacific.

Super blood Moon

Key times were given in Coordinated Universal Time (UTC) and major zones:

– **Penumbral eclipse begins** — 8:44 UTC (March 3) / 3:44 a.m. EST / 12:44 a.m. PST / 8:44 p.m. KST (March 3 in Korea) / 7:44 p.m. AEST (March 3 in eastern Australia). The Moon entered Earth’s faint outer shadow, causing subtle dimming.

– **Partial eclipse begins** — 9:50 UTC / 4:50 a.m. EST / 1:50 a.m. PST.

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– **Totality begins** — 11:04 UTC / 6:04 a.m. EST / 3:04 a.m. PST / 8:04 p.m. KST / 9:04 p.m. AEST. The entire Moon immersed in the dark umbra, appearing reddish due to sunlight refracted through Earth’s atmosphere.

– **Greatest eclipse (maximum totality)** — 11:33 UTC / 6:33 a.m. EST / 3:33 a.m. PST. The peak moment, with the Moon at its deepest in shadow.

– **Totality ends** — 12:03 UTC (approximately) / 7:03 a.m. EST / 4:03 a.m. PST. The Moon began exiting the umbra.

– **Partial ends** — 13:17 UTC / 8:17 a.m. EST.

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– **Penumbral ends** — 14:23 UTC / 9:23 a.m. EST.

Totality lasted about 58-59 minutes, with the full eclipse spanning roughly 5 hours and 38 minutes. The Moon’s apparent size was near average, occurring about a week from perigee and apogee.

Visibility varied by location. In North America, western regions enjoyed the best views of totality under dark skies. Eastern U.S. observers saw the start of totality around sunrise, with the Moon setting mid-eclipse in many places — a phenomenon where the rising Sun and setting eclipsed Moon appeared simultaneously. Central and Mountain time zones caught more of totality before dawn. NASA noted early morning viewing in North and Central America, with far western South America also in range.

In Asia and Australia, the eclipse occurred during evening hours on March 3 local time. Eastern Asia and Australia saw full totality in the evening sky, while Pacific islands had it overnight. Europe and Africa missed visibility entirely, as the Moon was below the horizon during key phases.

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The reddish color resulted from Earth’s atmosphere scattering shorter blue wavelengths, allowing longer red ones to reach the Moon — the same process that tints sunsets. Clouds or atmospheric particles could alter the shade from deep copper to brick red or even grayish.

No special equipment was needed; the naked eye sufficed, though binoculars or small telescopes enhanced crater details and color variations. Photographers used tripods for long exposures to capture the dim scene. Safe viewing applied — unlike solar eclipses, lunar ones posed no eye risk.

Astronomers highlighted this as part of a series: following totals on March 14, 2025, and September 8, 2025, with a partial on August 28, 2026. The next total arrives December 31, 2028–January 1, 2029, dubbed a New Year’s blood moon.

The March event coincided with the Worm Moon, traditionally named for earthworm activity signaling spring in some cultures. It peaked near 6:38 a.m. EST, close to maximum eclipse.

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Communities organized watch parties, planetariums streamed views and apps like Stellarium or Sky Tonight helped locate the Moon. Clear skies were crucial; forecasts varied regionally.

The eclipse offered a reminder of celestial mechanics: Earth’s shadow extends far into space, and the Moon’s orbit aligns perfectly twice yearly for eclipses. This alignment at the descending node produced the total phase.

As dawn broke in many viewing areas, the Moon exited shadow, returning to normal brightness. For those who missed it, recordings from NASA and observatories circulated widely.

This rare astronomical spectacle captivated observers, blending science, beauty and a moment of shared wonder across continents.

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Phuket Tourism Groups Call on Hotels to Support Stranded Travelers Amid Middle East Crisis

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Phuket Tourism Groups Call on Hotels to Support Stranded Travelers Amid Middle East Crisis
Phuket Tourism Groups Call on Hotels to Support Stranded Travelers Amid Middle East Crisis

Key Points

  • Flight disruptions due to Middle East tensions are affecting tourists’ arrivals and departures in Phuket.
  • Two major tourism associations (Phuket Tourist Association and Thai Hotels Association Southern Chapter) have issued an urgent call to action.
  • Hotels and operators are urged to waive fees for postponed or canceled stays for affected guests.
  • Special room rates should be offered to travelers forced to extend their stay.
  • Operators must provide close assistance with travel information and guidance.
  • The initiative aims to protect Thailand’s tourism reputation and showcase hospitality amid global uncertainty.

 

 

Source : PHUKET TOURISM GROUPS URGE HOTELS TO ASSIST STRANDED TRAVELERS AMID MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS

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HMRC complaints hit five-year high as compensation payouts surge 35%

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HM Revenue & Customs (HMRC) has released new guidance cautioning freelancers, contractors, and consultants about the risks associated with Managed Service Companies (MSCs)—complex tax arrangements that could leave independent workers facing tax bills running into tens of thousands of pounds.

Complaints made by taxpayers about HM Revenue & Customs have climbed to their highest level in five years, with the proportion of cases resulting in compensation also reaching a recent peak.

New figures obtained under the Freedom of Information Act by the Contentious Tax Group show that HMRC received 93,589 complaints in the 2024/25 tax year, up from 78,542 in 2020/21, a rise of 19.2 per cent over five years.

The data suggests mounting frustration among taxpayers and advisers at a time when the tax authority has faced sustained criticism over service standards, processing delays and limited access to support.

The increase in complaints follows repeated warnings from watchdogs about declining performance levels at HMRC. In January 2025, the Public Accounts Committee said that telephone response times, often viewed as a barometer of service quality, had continued to deteriorate from an all-time low recorded the previous year.

Professional advisers say operational failings, including incorrect tax coding notices, misapplied adjustments and processing backlogs, are fuelling a cycle of error and complaint.

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Andrew Park, tax investigations partner at Price Bailey, speaking on behalf of the Contentious Tax Group, said the trend reflected growing distress among taxpayers.

“HMRC is being forced to accept that an ever-increasing number of taxpayers are suffering worry and distress due to its action or inaction,” he said.

“Every year thousands of people suffer financial loss, wasted time and needless distress because HMRC struggles to deliver the basics.”

The rise in complaints has been accompanied by a marked increase in compensation payments. The number of cases in which HMRC paid redress rose by 35 per cent, from 11,333 in 2020/21 to 15,304 in 2024/25.

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Over the same period, the proportion of complaints resulting in compensation climbed from 14.4 per cent to 16.4 per cent, the highest level in five years.

Of particular note is the rise in payments linked specifically to “worry and distress”, which has reached nearly 10,000 cases in the most recent year.

However, while more taxpayers are receiving compensation, the average payout has fallen. In 2024/25, the average redress payment stood at £125.27, the lowest average figure across the five-year period.

“Most taxpayers complain simply to get errors corrected,” he said. “Yet poor service levels can cause financial losses that dwarf the modest compensation HMRC is willing to offer.”

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Tax specialists argue that complaints about service standards cannot easily be separated from substantive tax disputes. Mistakes in coding notices, delays in processing returns and system errors can lead directly to incorrect tax liabilities, and additional financial stress for individuals and businesses.

“Operational failings can be a major driver of tax errors that contribute to rising complaint volumes,” Park said.

In many cases, taxpayers are forced to invest significant time, or incur professional fees, to resolve issues that stem from administrative mistakes rather than disputes over tax law.

The Contentious Tax Group also highlighted concerns that HMRC’s continued push towards digitalisation may be exacerbating the problem.

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The tax authority has increasingly encouraged taxpayers to use online systems and automated services, positioning digital transformation as the long-term solution to resource constraints and performance challenges.

Critics, however, warn that traditional support channels are being scaled back before digital alternatives are fully reliable.

“HMRC is pushing taxpayers towards digital systems that are not yet ready, while withdrawing the human support people still need,” Park said. “This is a combination that risks compounding operational difficulties and driving complaints even higher.”

As HMRC prepares for further reforms, including the expansion of Making Tax Digital requirements to additional groups of taxpayers, advisers fear complaint volumes could rise further if service capacity does not improve.

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With nearly 94,000 complaints lodged in the past year alone and compensation levels at a five-year high, the figures underline the growing pressure on Britain’s tax authority to restore confidence in its service delivery.


Jamie Young

Jamie Young

Jamie is Senior Reporter at Business Matters, bringing over a decade of experience in UK SME business reporting.
Jamie holds a degree in Business Administration and regularly participates in industry conferences and workshops.

When not reporting on the latest business developments, Jamie is passionate about mentoring up-and-coming journalists and entrepreneurs to inspire the next generation of business leaders.

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Mosques in Australia Honouring Ayatollah Ali Khamenei Face Calls for Criminal Investigations

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Khamenei is believed not to have left Iran since 1989

There are now calls to launch criminal investigations against mosques in Australia that opted to honour Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Iran state media confirmed that Khamenei was killed in his office on February 28 as the United States and Israel launched strikes aimed at Iran.

Mosques Honouring Khamenei Face Criticism

According to a report by Sky News, Co-Chief Executive Officer of the Executive Council of Australian Jewry Alex Ryvchin said mosques that honoured Khamenei should be subjected to criminal investigations.

“We cannot allow terrorists to be glorified in our country or for such actions to occur without consequence,” Ryvchin said in a post shared on social media.

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“We have seen where brazen support for terrorism and glorification of violence can take our country,” he added.

Australian Iranian Community Alliance Vice President Suren Edgar also reacted to the tributes, calling the support for Khamenei “scary,” according to a report by news.com.au.

“That’s shocking. That’s not our community — that’s the ideology we’re fighting, and unfortunately, we see many supporters of the ideology here in Australia,” Edgar told news.com.au.

He added, “Thousands of people came to the streets to celebrate (Khamenei’s death) yesterday — this is our community.”

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What Mosques Have Been Saying About Khamenei

In the wake of Khamenei’s death, multiple mosques across Australia sent their messages of condolences.

Among the mosques that have done so are Masjid Arrahman Mosque in Kingsgrove and Husaineyat Sayeda Zaynab in Banksia.

The likes of El Zahra Community Centre in Hoppers Crossing, Victoria, and the Zainabia Islamic Centre in Brisbane have announced that there will be memorials that will be held in honour of Khamenei.

Posting on social media, the Al Zahra mosque in Sydney, said it will be holding a vigil in “honour of the martyrdom of his eminence, the guardian jurist and supreme leader of the Islamic revolution.”

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