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The crypto crowd is so convinced this rally is a fakeout, it might trigger short squeeze

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Potential bull trap or breakout? (TradingView)

Bitcoin pushed above $73,000 this week, reclaiming a key psychological level that had capped the market for weeks. Yet the breakout has been met with an unusual reaction across crypto markets: widespread skepticism.

Many traders are warning that the move could become a classic bull trap — a brief breakout that lures in late buyers before reversing lower. Analysts have pointed to heavy overhead supply and positioning in derivatives markets as potential risks, with some suggesting a rally into the $72,000–$76,000 range could attract sellers rather than confirm a sustained recovery.

The caution stems partly from recent history. Earlier this year, Bitcoin appeared to break out of a consolidation range, only to reverse violently. The move trapped momentum traders and triggered a cascade of liquidations as the price plunged from around $98,000 to roughly $60,000 within two weeks — a reminder of how quickly sentiment can flip in crypto.

Potential bull trap or breakout? (TradingView)
Potential bull trap or breakout? (TradingView)

But the current setup may present a paradox: the trade has become crowded on the bearish side.

Across crypto Twitter, analysts and chartists are widely calling for a bull trap. That consensus itself raises the possibility of the opposite outcome — a squeeze higher that forces short sellers to cover. In leveraged markets, strong directional agreement often creates the liquidity needed for moves in the other direction.

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Macro uncertainty could also complicate the outlook. Geopolitical tensions following the Iran conflict have already pushed gold higher and lifted oil price expectations, while some Asian equity markets have shown signs of stress. Radu Tunaru, professor of finance and risk management at Henley Business School, argues geopolitical shocks have historically played a role in major market sell-offs. He points to the 1987 Black Monday crash, which he believes was partly triggered by U.S.–Iran tensions that first rattled Asian markets before spreading globally.

For now, Bitcoin’s breakout above $73,000 has revived bullish momentum — but price action over the coming days will determine whether a bottom is truly in or if this is an accurately predicted bull trap.

To regain a bullish macro structure, bitcoin needs to trade back into the $98,000 region to snap the grueling lower high formed by the previous bull trap in January.

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Crypto World

Fermi (FRMI) Stock Plunges 20% as Top Executives Depart Amid Major Restructuring

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FRMI Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Fermi (FRMI) shares plummeted 20% to $5.27 during premarket hours Monday following executive departures
  • CEO Toby Neugebauer resigned; CFO Miles Everson simultaneously exited his role
  • Board members had been evaluating potential CEO replacement for a minimum of three months
  • Company unveiled “Fermi 2.0” initiative, representing a comprehensive overhaul of governance and strategy
  • Evercore analysts reaffirmed Outperform rating with $20 price target for FRMI

Shares of Fermi (FRMI) tumbled 20% on Monday following the data-center company’s announcement that both its chief executive and chief financial officer would be exiting, prompting a comprehensive leadership transformation the firm has branded “Fermi 2.0.”


FRMI Stock Card
Fermi Inc. Common Stock, FRMI

Co-founder and CEO Toby Neugebauer, who established the company with former Texas Governor and U.S. Energy Secretary Rick Perry, resigned with immediate effect. Neugebauer will continue serving as a board member.

According to reports, the board had been deliberating a potential CEO replacement for no less than three months. Several sell-side analysts verified this timeline after participating in a management conference call that followed the public disclosure.

CFO Miles Everson similarly departed from his executive position. Following his resignation, Everson was appointed to the board after a trust controlled by the Neugebauer family executed its board nomination privileges.

The board has initiated an active search for Neugebauer’s successor. Leadership recruitment firm Heidrick & Struggles has been retained, with a committee composed of independent board members overseeing the selection process.

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Fermi has additionally established an Office of the CEO to maintain business continuity throughout the transition period. Jacobo Ortiz Blanes, the former COO, and Anna Bofa, previously serving as a Board Advisor, have been promoted to Co-Presidents and will answer to newly designated Chairman Marius Haas.

Haas, who formerly held the position of Lead Independent Board Director, assumed the role of Executive Chairman immediately.

Jeffrey S. Stein, co-founder of Breakpoint Advisory Partners, joined the board as a new member, increasing the board size from five to seven seats.

Executive Transition Linked to Tenant Acquisition Struggles

The management upheaval arrives as Fermi has encountered difficulties securing a major anchor tenant for its Project Matador development in Amarillo, Texas. The massive 7,570-acre property is designed to become the world’s largest data center facility.

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Company officials emphasized that the transition would not impair its capacity to deliver electrical infrastructure or execute tenant agreements. Management noted that prospective lease negotiations had actually intensified, with potential clients resuming engagement within 48 hours following the announcement.

Evercore analyst Nicholas Amicucci characterized the transformation as a shift in leadership philosophy while maintaining operational momentum. Evercore maintained its Outperform rating and $20 price target on the stock.

FRMI shares had already declined 18% year-to-date before Monday’s trading session, with the premarket selloff driving the price down to $5.27.

Corporate Headquarters Relocation and Expansion Strategy

As a component of the Fermi 2.0 initiative, company leadership revealed plans to relocate corporate headquarters to Dallas. Additionally, Fermi intends to develop a dedicated corporate office facility at the Project Matador location in Amarillo.

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Management stated these strategic moves represent the company’s evolution from startup phase to large-scale enterprise operations.

Texas Tech University System Chancellor Brandon Creighton reaffirmed the university’s ongoing commitment to its collaboration with Fermi America. Negotiations continue regarding potential extensions to certain milestone deadlines contained in the lease agreement as Project Matador progresses.

The company indicated it would name an Interim CFO within the current week.

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Crypto Funds Post $1.4B Inflows as BTC Almost Touches $78K

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Crypto Funds Post $1.4B Inflows as BTC Almost Touches $78K

Cryptocurrency investment products logged another week of strong inflows on ceasefire optimism and a Bitcoin price breakout driving investor sentiment.

Crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) posted $1.4 billion in inflows last week, beating the prior week’s $1.1 billion and marking the second-largest weekly inflows since January, CoinShares reported on Monday.

Following the three-week inflow streak totaling $2.7 billion, crypto ETPs now have net year-to-date inflows of around $3.8 billion, with assets under management (AUM) at $154.8 billion — the highest level since early February after dipping to as low as $128 billion in March.

The uptick in crypto funds has likely been driven by a recovery in risk appetite on US-Iran ceasefire extension talks, CoinShares head of research James Butterfill said.

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The sentiment was further reinforced by Bitcoin (BTC) nearly touching $78,000 on Friday, according to CoinGecko.

Ether funds turn positive year to date

Bitcoin led last week’s ETP gains by a significant margin, with inflows totaling $1.12 billion. The gains brought year-to-date inflows to $3 billion, with AUM at $123 billion.

The majority of gains were contributed by US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which posted $1 billion in inflows last week.

Ether (ETH) investment products also picked up with $328 million inflows in its strongest week since January, finally lifting the ETPs into green year-to-date with $197 million inflows.

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Crypto ETP flows by asset (in millions of US dollars). Source: CoinShares

Still, altcoin ETPs, including XRP (XRP) and Solana (SOL), recorded negative flows, with XRP leading the outflows at $56 million. Solana recorded minor outflows of $2.3 million.

Short-Bitcoin products saw a modest $1.4 million of inflows, suggesting residual but limited hedging demand.

Regionally, the US dominated the surge with $1.5 billion of inflows, while Germany ranked second with just $28 million of inflows. Switzerland saw the largest redemptions last week, with outflows totaling $138 million.

Addressing the implications of recent economic data, CoinShares’ Butterfill suggested that March’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) increase of 3.3% appears to have been largely looked through by markets, with core CPI at 2.6% seen as relatively contained, pointing to inflation pressures that remain more supply-driven than broad-based.

Related: Bitcoin erases weekend gains as US-Iran ceasefire faces pressure

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Nomura’s Laser Digital echoed that view, telling Cointelegraph that backward-looking macro indicators currently offer only limited insight while conflicts continue to affect supply chains and spending patterns.

“Delayed indicators like CPI and PMIs mostly reflect past conditions rather than the current situation,” Laser Digital said, adding that the outlook remains “cautiously optimistic.”

Bitcoin Price, Iran, CoinShares, Ethereum ETF, Bitcoin ETF, ETF
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Source: Alternative.me

Sentiment improvement was also reflected in the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which moved from “extreme fear” to “fear,” with the score rising above 29 on Monday for the first time since Jan. 29.

Magazine: Bitcoin ‘on track’ for $90K, ETFs pull in nearly $1B: Hodler’s Digest, April 12 – 18