Business
Andy Burnham rejects ‘tax and spend socialist’ comments
Andy Burnham has insisted he is prepared to take “difficult decisions” on the economy, after a former Bank of England chief economist said investors were worried about his willingness to cut spending.
Andy Haldane, who has advised Burnham on the economy, claimed financial markets had grown wary of his economic plans and now considered his premiership a “traditional tax and spend socialist government”.
But the PM rejected this, adding that he would not take risks with the economy and had already made difficult choices since taking office.
It comes as recent rises to the cost of UK borrowing worsened the political options facing the government ahead of next month’s Budget.
Haldane said the prime minister was facing a “straight choice” between raising taxes and cutting spending at the yearly spending statement due on 28 October.
In an interview with LBC on Tuesday, he urged him not to raise taxes further, but said investors were questioning whether he was prepared to risk anger from Labour backbenchers by making reductions in public expenditure.
“The fiscal Achilles Heel of this government thus far has been its unwillingness and/or inability to cut public spending,” he told the radio station.
“Within financial markets, we’ve gone from the cautious optimism of the summer months to the studied scepticism of September. The market now suspects that this is a traditional tax and spend socialist government with better TikTok videos.”
Business
Sugar supplies improve this year but tighten next season
Business
Forgent Power Shares Surge Nearly 12% After Record Quarter and TD Cowen Price-Target Hike
DAYTON, Minn. — Forgent Power Solutions shares rose 11.99% to $35.11 in late-morning trading Wednesday, up $3.76, a day after the electrical-equipment maker posted a record fourth quarter and TD Cowen raised its price target.
The Class A stock closed Tuesday at $31.36 after a 9.5% jump on the earnings print. Tuesday’s volume topped 32 million shares. The 52-week range is $25.95 to $66.00. Market value is about $10 billion to $11 billion depending on the print. The company went public in February at $27.
On Tuesday, Forgent reported fiscal fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of 25 cents a share, against a 24-cent consensus, and revenue of $461.67 million, against $429.94 million expected. Revenue rose 94% from a year earlier. Bookings were $1.5 billion, up 375%, a 3.3 times book-to-bill. Backlog reached $3 billion, up 256%. Adjusted EBITDA was $113 million, up 163%, with margin at 24.4%, about 200 basis points higher.
Full-year fiscal 2026 revenue was $1.42 billion, up 89% from $753.2 million. Gross profit was $497.6 million. Operating income was $182.5 million. Net income attributable to Forgent was $81.8 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $322.9 million. Trailing EPS is 30 cents. The company guided full-year adjusted earnings to $1.26 to $1.40 a share, above a $1.14 estimate, and issued revenue guidance above Street figures.
TD Cowen analyst Michael Elias kept a Buy rating and lifted the target to $76 from $73. The published analyst average target is about $59 to $59.50, with a high of $73 before the Cowen move. Consensus on the name is strong buy among the small coverage group.
Forgent, based in Dayton, Minnesota, designs and builds electrical distribution gear for data centers, the grid and heavy industry: switchgear, transformers, PDUs, eHouses, power skids and related cabinets. It sells custom products and prefabricated powertrain packages meant to cut field labor. The website lists about 10 campuses, more than 2 million square feet and roughly 1,800 to 2,000 employees; filings put plant space near 2.3 million square feet after a 2025–2026 expansion. Chief executive is Gary Niederpruem. The firm was organized in 2023 and lists more than a century of predecessor manufacturing history in electrical distribution.
The 10-K filed with the results showed $97.5 million in cash, $598.5 million of variable-rate debt and a $338.9 million tax receivable agreement liability. Total debt in some summaries is higher, near $700 million. The company sold Class A stock in public offerings in May, June and July.
Wednesday’s $35 handle is a rebound from $28.64 on Sept. 14, not a return to June’s $66 high. The multiple is still rich on trailing earnings and thinner on the new $1.26–$1.40 guide. The trade is backlog and data-center power lead times, not a completed fiscal year. Until the next quarter shows whether a $3 billion book converts at 24% EBITDA, the stock remains a high-beta claim on AI-related electrical gear. Buyers on Wednesday paid up for the beat, the book-to-bill and the $76 target.
Business
KeyCorp raises prime rate after Fed decision

KeyCorp raises prime rate after Fed decision
Business
200 UK advisory roles to go
KPMG has confirmed it will make about 200 roles redundant in its UK advisory division over the coming weeks, citing “low levels of attrition” among the reasons for the cuts.
The reductions account for about 4 per cent of the firm’s UK advisory workforce and will affect all pay grades. A consultation to determine who will go is under way, with affected staff likely to depart next month.
A spokeswoman for KPMG said: “To respond to these market dynamics combined with low levels of attrition, we are proposing reductions in some of our advisory client-facing teams and will support our colleagues throughout this process.”
She said the firm was also acting “to make sure we have the right skills in place to best serve our clients”.
Client spending on consultants falls
The cuts come as corporate clients rein in their spending on consultants against a backdrop of trade wars, real wars, sluggish economic growth and persistent inflation.
Revenues in KPMG’s advisory business declined by 3 per cent in its most recent financial year. Deloitte, EY and PwC also reported contractions in their consulting businesses.
A few years ago, during the post-lockdown Great Resignation, the large accounting and consulting firms were competing to retain staff, but the backdrop has changed dramatically since then.
Firms in the sector would normally respond to a smaller pipeline of work by not replacing staff who leave. With hiring across the industry having slowed sharply, however, fewer people are resigning, and firms are instead making redundancies.
KPMG is not the only Big Four firm to point to staff turnover. This summer, Deloitte also blamed low attrition rates for its decision to cut about 175 roles from its UK workforce.
Recruitment at the entry level had already been scaled back. Business Matters reported last year that the Big Four had cut graduate hiring over two years, with KPMG making the steepest reduction, from 1,399 graduates to 942, a fall of 33 per cent.
Skills and artificial intelligence
It is widely accepted in the industry that the rapid adoption of artificial intelligence means the future workforce will need different skills, particularly softer skills.
The same Business Matters report noted that AI tools were automating tasks traditionally given to junior analysts, and that all four firms were increasing offshoring to countries including India, Malaysia and the Philippines.
Headcount and partner pay
KPMG employed more than 17,000 staff in the UK during the pandemic. That figure has fallen to about 15,800, and the firm has shed about 1,000 jobs so far this year.
Jon Holt, KPMG’s UK senior partner, has prioritised cost cutting to improve profitability and raise partner pay, which had lagged behind the firm’s rivals for many years.
Last year the average KPMG partner in the UK was paid £880,000. That meant KPMG partners received more than their counterparts at PwC and EY for the first time in more than a decade.
The latest round of redundancies adds to earlier reductions at the firm this year. The consultation now under way will determine which roles in the advisory client-facing teams are removed, with KPMG saying it will support colleagues throughout the process.
Business
Aura Biosciences at Morgan Stanley conference: bel-sar takes center stage

Aura Biosciences at Morgan Stanley conference: bel-sar takes center stage
Business
Baron Real Estate Fund Q2 2026 Shareholder Letter
PM Images/DigitalVision via Getty Images

Dear Baron Real Estate Fund Shareholder,
Performance
Baron Real Estate Fund (the Fund) delivered strong results in the second quarter. The Fund increased 11.89% (Institutional Shares), outperforming the MSCI USA IMI Extended Real Estate Index (the MSCI Real Estate Index), which rose 9.88%, and in line with the MSCI US REIT Index (the REIT Index), which increased 11.84%.
The Fund’s long-term performance remains strong. According to Morningstar, the Fund has held the #1 real estate ranking since inception (December 31, 2009) through June 30, 2026. It also ranks in the top 1% of all real estate funds over both the trailing 10- and 15-year periods ended June 30, 2026.
We will address the following topics in this letter:
- Our current top-of-mind thoughts
- Portfolio composition and key investment themes
- Top contributors and detractors to performance
- Recent activity
- Concluding thoughts on the prospects for real estate and the Fund
As of June 30, 2026, the Morningstar Real Estate Category consisted of 207, 199, 191, 149, 111, and 153 share classes for the 1-, 3-, 5-, 10-, 15-year, and since inception (December 31, 2009) periods. Morningstar ranked Baron Real Estate Fund Institutional Share Class in the 37th, 22nd, 41st, 1st, 1st, and 1st percentiles, respectively. On an absolute basis, Morningstar ranked Baron Real Estate Fund Institutional Share Class as the 74th, 46th, 84th, 2nd, 1st, and 2nd best performing share class in its Category, for the 1-, 3-, 5-, 10-, 15-year, and since inception periods, respectively.
As of June 30, 2026, Morningstar ranked Baron Real Estate Fund R6 Share Class in the 37th, 22nd, 41st, 1st, 1st, and 1st percentiles, respectively. On an absolute basis, Morningstar ranked Baron Real Estate Fund R6 Share Class as the 75th, 47th, 85th, 1st, and 1st best performing share class in its Category, for the 1-, 3-, 5, 10-year, and since inception periods, respectively.
Since inception rankings include all share classes of funds in the Morningstar Real Estate Category. Performance for all share classes date back to the inception date of the oldest share class of each fund based on Morningstar’s performance calculation methodology.
Morningstar calculates the Morningstar Real Estate Category Average performance and rankings using its Fractional Weighting methodology. Morningstar rankings are based on total returns and do not include sales charges. Total returns do account for management, administrative, and 12b-1 fees and other costs automatically deducted from fund assets.
Baron Real Estate Fund Institutional Share Class was rated 4 stars overall, 3 stars for the trailing 3 years, 3 stars for the trailing 5 years, and 5 stars for the trailing 10 years ended June 30, 2026. There were 199 share classes, 191 share classes, and 149 share classes for the 3-, 5-, and 10-year periods. The Morningstar Ratings™ are for the Institutional share class only; other classes may have different performance characteristics. The Morningstar Ratings are based on the Morningstar Risk-Adjusted Return measures.
Performance listed in the above table is net of annual operating expenses. Annual expense ratio for the Retail Shares and Institutional Shares as of April 30, 2026 was 1.32% and 1.05%, respectively. The performance data quoted represents past performance. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The investment return and principal value of an investment will fluctuate; an investor’s shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. The Adviser may waive or reimburse certain Fund expenses pursuant to a contract expiring on August 29, 2036, unless renewed for another 11-year term and the Fund’s transfer agency expenses may be reduced by expense offsets from an unaffiliated transfer agent, without which performance would have been lower. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. For performance information current to the most recent month end, visit BaronCapitalGroup.com or call 1-800-99-BARON.
Annualized performance (%) for periods ended June 30, 2026
Our Current Top-of-Mind Thoughts
The first half of 2026 offered early evidence that a multi-year recovery in real estate — a long out-of-favor asset class — is beginning to take shape. Several REITs and travel- and residential-related companies performed well over the period, though we believe the broader recovery remains in its early innings.
We are clear-eyed about the headwinds: elevated interest rates, housing affordability pressures, and AI-driven disruption are real considerations. Yet our optimism about public real estate’s prospects remains firm, grounded in several themes we have explored in recent shareholder letters:
1. Real Estate Has Lagged
- Despite a solid start to 2026, many real estate stocks — both REITs and non-REIT companies — have underperformed the broader market for several years. For example, over the five years ending June 30, 2026, the S&P 500 Index has returned 13.41% annually versus just 4.58% for the REIT Index.
2. Real Estate Continues to Offer Relative Value
- A large portion of public real estate remains attractively valued. We highlight various examples later in the letter.
3. Privatizations of Discounted Public Real Estate Are Accelerating
- As we have noted in prior letters, many publicly traded real estate companies trade at meaningful discounts to private market values. During the second quarter of 2026, three Fund holdings received acquisition announcements at significant premiums: – Caesars Entertainment, Inc. – Caesars, the largest gaming company in the U.S., according to management, announced an agreement to be acquired by Fertitta Entertainment at a 49% premium to its unaffected share price as of February 25, 2026. – Taylor Morrison Home Corporation — Berkshire Hathaway announced an agreement to acquire Taylor Morrison, a leading national homebuilder, at a 24% premium to its May 29, 2026, closing price. – MGM Resorts International — Barry Diller’s media conglomerate, People Inc. (formerly IAC), offered to acquire MGM Resorts’ outstanding shares at a 32% premium to its December 31, 2025, closing price. – M&A activity has also accelerated across multi-family, self-storage, shopping centers, industrial, retail, health care, homebuilders, and other real estate sectors — further underscoring the disconnect between public market valuations and underlying private asset values. We believe this valuation gap creates the potential for additional public company acquisitions.
4. Supply-Demand Dynamics Favor Real Estate
- Across much of the sector, demand continues to outpace supply — a dynamic that supports occupancy gains, rent growth, increased home sales, cash flow expansion, and improving valuations.
- Importantly, construction activity across many real estate segments has fallen to decade lows (Source: Green Street Advisors, LLC), which should set the stage for a faster growth rebound than in prior cycles as demand continues to strengthen.
5. Balance Sheets Are Healthy and the Debt Environment Is Improving
- Real estate balance sheets are in strong shape, characterized by prudent leverage, well-laddered debt maturities, and a balanced mix of fixed- and floating-rate obligations. – Should long-term interest rates decline — driven by the deflationary effects of AI, moderating shelter inflation, or a more accommodative Federal Reserve over time — borrowing costs could fall. Lower rates would likely support higher real estate valuations, stimulate housing market activity, and accelerate M&A, further underscoring the relative attractiveness of public real estate.
6. Real Estate Is Increasingly an AI Beneficiary
- The market has increasingly rewarded owners with tangible, hard-to-replicate assets – what we describe as HALO (Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence) businesses – including REITs, homebuilders, and other real estate-related companies. These businesses tend to offer greater near-term earnings visibility and lower risk of AI-driven disruption compared to many segments of the digital economy.
7. Many Investors Remain Underweight Real Estate
- If investors rebalance toward the sector, increased capital flows could provide a meaningful lift to valuations and share prices.
8. We See a Path to Double-Digit Annual Returns
- We believe the Baron Real Estate Fund® is well-positioned to deliver double-digit annual returns over the next several years, supported by improving growth prospects, rising dividends, and what we view as compelling valuations across the portfolio.
The Baron Real Estate Fund offers a compelling way to access the long-term return potential of the Real Estate sector
We believe the advantages of the Fund’s comprehensive, flexible, and actively managed approach – enabling investment across a broad spectrum of real estate companies, including both REITs and non-REIT real estate-related businesses – will become increasingly evident in the years ahead. In our view, a rapidly evolving real estate landscape requires more selective and discerning analysis.
We believe our highly differentiated real estate fund enjoys several attractive attributes compared to:
- Actively managed REIT funds: The Fund benefits from a broader investment universe and reduced reliance on the debt markets. Since inception on December 31, 2009, the Fund has increased 13.09% on an annualized basis versus the REIT Index, which increased 8.40%. • Passive/ETF real estate funds: The Fund has the flexibility to be selective, emphasizing companies with attractive long-term prospects rather than broadly replicating an index and owning both higher- and lower-quality real estate businesses. Since inception on December 31, 2009, the Fund has increased 13.09% annually versus the Vanguard Real Estate ETF, which increased 8.95%.*
- Non-traded REITs and private real estate: The Fund provides enhanced liquidity, diversification, valuation transparency, lower fees, and strong performance over the long term.
Portfolio Composition and Key Investment Themes
We currently invest in REITs as well as seven additional non-REIT real estate-related categories. Allocations across these areas are dynamic and reflect our bottom-up research and assessment of relative opportunities, as outlined below.
Fund investments in real estate-related categories
* Individual weights may not sum to the displayed total due to rounding.
Investment Themes
REITs
We believe the outlook for REITs remains favorable for several key reasons:
- REITs have lagged
- In the last five years through June 30, 2026, the REIT Index trailed the S&P 500 Index by 62% cumulatively.
- Several REITs offer compelling value
- We have identified several REITs trading at meaningful discounts to both historical norms and private market valuations.
- Across a broad range of property types – including multi-family, single-family rentals, hotels, strip centers, office, life sciences, cold storage, self-storage, and timber – public market prices sit 10% to 50% below replacement cost or recent private market transaction values. We believe this dislocation may attract private equity or other buyers in taking public REITs private.
- Favorable demand versus supply set up
- Demand remains generally strong or is improving: Robust in segments such as health care, industrial, and retail, and showing signs of improvement in residential, office, and storage categories.
- Supply constraints are underappreciated: According to our research, new construction activity across many REIT categories has fallen 50% to 70% from peak levels in 2022 and remains well below historical levels, as higher land, labor, and materials costs make development prohibitively expensive.
- The combination of strengthening demand, a favorable supply environment, and occupancy levels above 90% for many properties creates a compelling setup for rent growth acceleration.
REITs benefit from both cyclical and secular tailwinds
- Cyclical tailwinds: Strong early-cycle demand prospects, supportive supply conditions for real estate, and the historical pattern of real estate cycles typically lasting 7 to 10 years.
- Secular tailwinds across property types: Growth in AI and cloud computing driving demand for data centers, an aging population boosting healthcare real estate, housing affordability pressures increasing rental demand, suburbanization benefiting retail, 5G network upgrades supporting towers, and the rise of remote work fueling storage needs.
AI haven
- Several REITs are relatively insulated from potential AI-related disruption, benefiting from tangible assets, well-covered dividends, contracted cash flows, annual rent escalators, and other structural advantages.
Solid balance sheets + rising dividends + built-in inflation protection
Return prospects for REITs are attractive
- We believe several REITs have the potential to deliver double-digit returns through a mix of earnings growth, dividend income, and multiple expansion.
As of June 30, 2026, we had investments in eight REIT categories representing 29.0% of the Fund’s net assets.
REITs
† Exposure to Data Center REITs would be 7.5% if non-REIT data center company GDS Holdings Limited was included in the category.
* Individual weights may not sum to the displayed total due to rounding.
Residential-related real estate
We recognize that the housing market is currently facing a logjam.
On one hand, a buyers’ strike has emerged, as many potential homeowners find properties unaffordable following a roughly 50% rise in home prices over the past five years and a jump in mortgage rates from 3% to between 6% and 7%, based on data from the National Association of Realtors.
On the other hand, a sellers’ strike is also in place, as many current homeowners are hesitant to sell while their existing mortgages carry rates well below today’s levels.
Navigating near-term headwinds while staying bullish long-term: Affordability pressures and persistent buyer-seller standoffs have kept us cautious about housing. That said, we added exposure in the second quarter where valuations became sufficiently compelling. Looking ahead, we remain firmly bullish on residential real estate for the following reasons:
- Housing is an early cycle beneficiary, and we believe we are early in the cycle
- Economic growth could accelerate potential stimulus such as tax refunds and other pre-midterm measures, deregulation, and the possibility of easing inflation and interest rate cuts.
- Housing tends to benefit early in the economic cycle due to its sensitivity to interest rates, pent-up consumer demand, and its powerful multiplier effect – creating more jobs, boosting consumer spending, supporting higher prices, and accelerating overall economic growth.
- Housing is also supported by long-term secular tailwinds
- Millennial household formation remains significantly below its long-term stabilized level.
- Buyers are increasingly favoring new homes over existing ones, as they offer better layouts, lower maintenance, and greater energy efficiency at comparable price points.
- Existing homes are aging – averaging over 40 years – while homeowners sit on record levels of equity and are staying in their homes longer. Together, these factors should support strong home repair and remodeling activity in the years ahead.
- Bipartisan support to address the housing crisis
- Housing affordability appears to be a key issue heading into the mid-term elections, and we expect certain initiatives may emerge.
- Housing is an AI beneficiary
- Housing and select residential building product companies may benefit from AI trends, as their asset-heavy structures provide relative insulation from disruption – what we describe as HALO.
- Several housing companies are attractively valued
- Select homebuilders are trading near 1 times book value, well below their historical norm of 1.3 to 1.5 times book value, implying roughly 30% to 50% upside to more typical valuations. The market’s mispricing appears increasingly hard to ignore: three public homebuilders have already received acquisition offers at significant premiums in 2026.
- Other residential-related real estate companies are currently valued at or near trough valuation levels.
- New Federal Reserve Chief may become more dovish should inflation move towards its targeted rate of 2%
- The housing market would be a major beneficiary from lower mortgage rates.
- Big picture: There is a compelling long-term investment case for housing
- The U.S. faces a structural housing shortage of more than 4 million homes relative to demographic needs. Today, the country builds roughly 1.4 million homes annually – the same number as in the 1960s – despite the population nearly doubling from 180 million to 340 million, according to data from the Census Bureau.
As of June 30, 2026, residential-related real estate companies represented 33.7% of the Fund’s net assets.
Residential-related real estate companies
* Individual weights may not sum to the displayed total due to rounding.
Travel-related real estate
We continue to believe several travel-related real estate companies are well positioned to benefit from a favorable “trifecta” of cyclical, secular, and 2026-specific tailwinds, which should support strong fundamentals and share price performance in the years ahead.
- Cyclical tailwinds – economic growth may accelerate
- Key inflation components may moderate over time, while the regulatory environment remains business – and investment-friendly. Favorable tax policies enacted in 2025 – such as bonus depreciation to encourage investment – combined with a massive investment cycle in AI and other technologies, major initiatives like the CHIPS Act, and a busy 2026 event calendar, together create a supportive backdrop for economic and corporate growth.
- Broad-based economic growth and middle-class wage growth.
- Limited supply growth: Projected to increase by less than 1% over the next few years, well below the long-term average of 2% to 2.5%, according to Green Street Advisors, LLC.
Secular tailwinds
- Many investors view travel spending as cyclical – our view is that travel spending is also secular.
- Consumers are allocating more discretionary spending to travel rather than durable goods. Factors supporting this trend include delayed household formation, which leaves more disposable income for travel, flexible work arrangements that combine business and leisure or enable extended stays, and cyclically muted business activity.
2026 tailwinds
- World Cup (in 11 major metro markets) + America’s 250th anniversary + Super Bowl + Major League Baseball all-star game.
- Increasing spending on onshoring initiatives.
Examples of several travel-related companies that are attractively valued
– Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H)
- A luxury-focused hotel company that has transitioned to a 90% asset-light model, currently trades at a 3 to 4 times multiple discount to its hotel C-Corp peers and below private market valuations.
– Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN)
- A leading hotel and gaming company, currently valued at just 8.4 times 2027 estimated cash flow compared with its historical range of 13 to 15 times.
- The company could become one of the most compelling travel-related growth stories with the opening of its UAE resort in 2027, which could be worth $40/share versus its recent market value of only $97 per share.
– Red Rock Resorts, Inc. (RRR)
- A leading gaming growth company positioned in the highly attractive Las Vegas Locals market. Red Rock Resorts has the real estate capacity to potentially double its portfolio in the coming years, and we find its current valuation – approximately 11 times 2027 estimated cash flow – compelling.
– Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB)
- A global asset-light travel company, with over 9 million active listings, generating more than $4 billion in annual free cash flow. The company faces limited AI disruption risk due to 90% direct traffic and the uniqueness of most of its inventory. Shares are currently trading at just 14 times 2027 estimated cash flow.
– Dry powder / private equity
- With private equity sitting on substantial dry powder, we believe public travel companies — still deeply discounted relative to private market values — present an increasingly attractive acquisition target. This thesis is already playing out: in the first half of 2026, two of the Fund’s travel holdings, Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR) and MGM Resorts International (MGM), received takeover bids. Should valuations remain depressed, we expect further take-private activity to follow.
As of June 30, 2026, travel-related real estate companies represented 19.1% of the Fund’s net assets.
Travel-related real estate companies
* Individual weights may not sum to the displayed total due to rounding.
Commercial real estate services companies
In the first six months of 2026, shares of leading commercial real estate services firms CBRE Group, Inc. (CBRE), Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated (JLL), and Cushman & Wakefield Ltd. (CWK) declined despite strong earnings and positive business outlooks. The sell-off largely reflected investor concerns that AI could disrupt parts of their operations.
While certain business lines – such as office leasing, valuation services, and property management – may face AI-related challenges over time, we believe current multi-year concerns are overstated and already reflected in share prices. We continue to research and monitor potential AI-related headwinds.
Despite near-term uncertainties, we remain long-term optimistic about these leading commercial real estate services companies. They are positioned to potentially benefit from structural and secular tailwinds, including the outsourcing and institutionalization of commercial real estate, as well as opportunities to gain market share in a highly fragmented industry. We also see the early stages of a rebound in commercial real estate sales and leasing activity. Based on these factors, we believe CBRE, JLL, and Cushman & Wakefield could achieve earnings-per-share growth of 12% to 15% over the next several years.
Further, we believe valuations are attractive. CBRE is valued at a discount to the S&P 500 multiple despite superior earnings growth, a pristine balance sheet, and a resilient business model. JLL is valued at only 12 times 2027 estimated earnings, compared with the high-teens multiple justified by its historical trading and its improvement in its business mix. Cushman & Wakefield is valued at only 8 times 2027 estimated earnings, a highly discounted valuation multiple, in our opinion.
Real estate-focused alternative asset managers
Shares of alternative asset managers declined in the first six months of 2026, as several companies faced a mix of headwinds, including: exposure to software investments that could be affected by AI-related risks; credit concerns tied to private loans; limitations on investor redemptions for semi-liquid products (2% per month or 5% per quarter); delayed monetizations; and the potential for slower earnings growth due to these factors, along with the risk that growth in the retail channel may underperform expectations.
While these challenges may persist in the near term, we do not view them as existential, and we believe current valuations largely reflect these concerns.
Over the long term, we remain optimistic about leading real estate-focused asset managers, including Brookfield Corporation (BN), Brookfield Asset Management Ltd. (BAM), and Blackstone Inc. (BX) Each has the potential to gain market share in a growing industry, supported by strong investment track records and global scale. These companies are well positioned to potentially benefit from secular growth in alternative assets, leveraging their ability to deliver attractive relative and absolute returns – often with lower perceived volatility compared with other investment options.
Valuations, in our opinion, are compelling. Brookfield Corporation, a global owner and operator of real assets, trades at $43 per share, well below management’s estimated liquidation value of $67 per share – approximately 55% higher than the current share price. Blackstone’s shares are currently valued at the low-end of its valuation multiple over the last 5 years.
Property technology companies
The convergence of real estate and technology has given rise to a new category – real estate technology, or proptech. The growth of proptech and the digitization of real estate represent an exciting and promising development. We believe we are in the early stages of a technology-driven investment cycle focused on data and digitization, enabling real estate-related businesses to generate incremental revenue streams and reduce costs.
We recently began acquiring shares in Procore Technologies, Inc. (PCOR), a provider of software solutions to the construction industry, and will elaborate on this company in future shareholder letters.
As of June 30, 2026, other real estate-related companies, which include the three investment themes mentioned directly above, plus an investment in Chinese data center operator GDS Holdings Limited (GDS), represented 14.1% of the Fund’s net assets.
Other real estate-related real estate companies
* Individual weights may not sum to the displayed total due to rounding.
Top Contributors and Detractors
Top contributors to performance for the quarter
The Macerich Company, a high-quality retail mall REIT, contributed positively to performance in the second quarter, driven by management’s continued strong execution. Key highlights included nearing full achievement of the leasing targets outlined in its Path Forward Plan, a growing pipeline of accretive acquisitions, and an opportunistic equity raise that further strengthened balance sheet flexibility.
As previously outlined, we remain optimistic about Macerich’s prospects over the next several years. The fundamental backdrop for high-quality mall real estate remains favorable: tenant demand is robust, desirable retail space is scarce (occupancy is high with little new mall development), and the resulting demand/supply imbalance is giving landlords meaningful pricing power. We continue to engage with CEO Jackson Hsieh, a well-regarded outsider who is bringing a fresh, analytical lens to the company’s real estate portfolio. We believe he will continue to unlock significant value by divesting non-core properties and reducing debt. Our conviction has grown that the company can generate over $2.00 in FFO over the next couple of years, which we believe would be a meaningful catalyst for share price appreciation from current levels.
Shares of Hyatt Hotels Corporation appreciated materially following strong first quarter results and an Investor Day in May that outlined strong long-term growth targets. Hyatt franchises and manages a portfolio of luxury hotel brands across over 1,500 properties in 83 countries. The company is in the final stages of transforming its earnings mix primarily to an asset-light fee stream while growing its development pipeline to record levels, enabling sector-leading unit growth, double-digit fee revenues, and mid-teens EBITDA and free cash flow growth. This translates to over 50% cumulative cash flow growth over the next three years with an increasing portion returned to shareholders via buybacks.
Shares of AAON, Inc. rose during the quarter following an exceptionally strong earnings report which saw the company see drastically faster growth in its data center business, BasX, than expected. Up 26% sequentially and 72% over the past year, BasX has positioned itself as a true best-in-class cooling solutions provider with a focus on customized offerings vs. peers’ off-the-shelf products. With the new Memphis facility ramping production, the company can now satisfy elevated levels of demand with over $2 billion of BasX revenue capacity. The HVAC business performed well, as the company accelerated market share gains following strong heat pump and national accounts driven growth. We believe AAON is well positioned to continue to compound well above peers for the foreseeable future.
Top detractors from performance for the quarter
Despite solid operating results and after strong share price performance to start the year, shares of GDS Holdings Limited declined in the second quarter. Several items weighed on performance including management communication about full-year guidance components, a material step-up in capital expenditure over the next few years and a slight delay in timing when the company is expected to see a growth inflection in its underlying results. While we continue to see evidence of the building of the AI wave in China through significant bookings growth and see material under-appreciated value in GDS’ stake in its spun-out international subsidiary (DayOne), we trimmed our position and reallocated capital to companies where we have a higher degree of visibility and lower exogenous risks such as the current geopolitical environment.
SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) is the largest distributor of wholesale landscape supplies in North America. SiteOne sells irrigation, hardscapes, agronomics, and nursery products to professional contractors through its branch network for maintenance, upgrade/repair, and new construction applications. Shares fell during the quarter as investors worried about the impacts of the Iran War and a potential reduction in demand given rising commodity prices. Despite this, we believe the company remains well positioned to continue outgrowing its markets and expand margins as it harvests benefits from its ongoing initiatives and investments in improving underperforming branches, operational efficiency, technology, and product category management to continue differentiating itself from the fragmented wholesale landscape supplies distribution industry. Our belief was reinforced by a positive Analyst Day held by SiteOne at the end of the quarter highlighting the progress the company has made on each of these fronts. The event highlighted the depth of SiteOne’s talent and a clear pathway toward above-market organic growth, EBITDA margin expansion (toward 13%-plus target by 2030), and continued consolidation of the market driving an expected high-teens EBITDA growth rate out to 2030. As the underlying market begins to recover and SiteOne continues to execute on what is can control, we believe the multiple should re-rate which combined with rapidly growing earnings can deliver strong stock upside over time.
Shares of Blackstone Inc. (BX) continued to be volatile and were a drag on performance in the second quarter as mounting redemption pressures at Blackstone’s Private Credit vehicle (BCRED) and sector-wide liquidity fears overwhelmed an otherwise constructive fundamental backdrop. The first quarter saw elevated redemption requests at approximately 8% of NAV followed by 10% in the second quarter, requiring Blackstone to cap withdrawals at the standard 5% limit for the first time. Broader sector sentiment was further pressured when other alternative asset managers announced withdrawal restrictions, reigniting broad private market liquidity fears and dragging the entire sector lower. Please see our “Top purchases” section for additional detail.
Recent Activity
Top net purchases for the quarter
During the quarter, we initiated a position in Meritage Homes Corporation, the fifth-largest homebuilder in the U.S., with operations across the West, Central, and East regions. In 2025, the company delivered approximately 15,000 single-family homes to entry-level and first move-up buyers at an average selling price of $390,000.
We are optimistic about our investment in Meritage Homes for several reasons:
- We are optimistic about the medium-term outlook for U.S. single-family housing. New home construction remains depressed relative to population growth, the housing shortage is acute — estimated at over 2 million units according to Freddie Mac — and secular demand is accelerating, driven by rising millennial household formation and a growing preference for new homes over existing ones.
- Fundamentals appear to be bottoming, with a return to growth on the horizon. Depressed construction activity and a potential peak in builder concessions may set the stage for improving sales and margins beginning in 2027.
- Meritage Homes has a credible path to substantial long-term growth. Management targets 20,000 annual deliveries over time — a roughly 40% increase from current levels — driven by double-digit growth in community count. As volumes scale and elevated incentives normalize, operating margins could expand by 600 basis points or more. Together, these drivers could support earnings per share growth of 250% or more over time.
- The homebuilding industry has seen a rising wave of consolidation, with several U.S. builders taken private in recent years. Further M&A activity would not be surprising, and Meritage Homes’ scale and operational track record could make it an attractive candidate.
- Valuation is attractive. The stock currently trades at a discount to book value; despite the premium it has historically commanded at times. Recent take-private transactions in the sector have been completed at 1.2 to 1.3 times book value, underscoring the potential upside from current levels.
While near-term uncertainty may continue to weigh on the shares, we are excited about Meritage Homes’ long-term growth prospects and compelling valuation. We see meaningful potential for share price appreciation over the coming years, driven by earnings growth and multiple expansion.
Blackstone Inc. is the world’s largest alternative asset manager with over $1.3 trillion in assets under management and the largest real estate manager in the world according to management. As we noted in our first quarter letter, while we consolidated our positions in the alternative asset manager space, Blackstone remained high on our list to revisit. Given severe multiple compression across the sector with all alternative managers being painted with a broad brush and extreme investor negativity, we took advantage of the volatility to reinitiate a position in the company at what we deemed to be highly compelling valuation levels. While the liquidity narrative dominates headlines, underlying fundamentals continue to be strong. We retain long-term conviction in Blackstone due to its premier brand, global franchise, loyal customers, exceptional balance sheet, and an excellent management team. At current share price levels, we believe the company is well positioned to benefit as the liquidity narrative fades and realization activity accelerates.
We participated in the IPO of Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc., a newly listed Blackstone-sponsored vehicle focused on acquiring stabilized, fully leased data centers underpinned by long-term non-cancellable leases to the world’s largest hyperscalers in primary data center markets. The opportunity is compelling given the absence of large-scale capital dedicated to acquiring stabilized data center assets – leaving a significant volume of institutional-quality assets available at attractive prices with limited competition. Blackstone’s sponsorship brings an unparalleled sourcing advantage, having invested $200 billion into digital infrastructure since 2018 and sourcing over 85% of deals off market, alongside a near-term actionable pipeline of $25 billion. We believe the long-term leases with annual escalators and limited exposure to operating risks support a highly visible, attractive return profile and risk/reward opportunity. We also spent considerable time with management prior to the IPO and came away highly impressed with the depth of the team, the quality of the identified pipeline, and the clarity of the long-term vision.
Top net sales for the quarter
We recently trimmed the Fund’s investment in Wynn Resorts, Limited, a global luxury owner and operator of integrated resorts (hotels and casino resorts), in part due to the delay in the opening of its new UAE resort. We may increase the Fund’s ownership of Wynn at a later date.
Following a 40% increase in the shares of Equinix, Inc., a leading global operator of data centers, we trimmed the Fund’s large position in the company but remain bullish about the company’s long-term business prospects.
Following the announcement of Berkshire Hathaway’s agreement to acquire Taylor Morrison Home Corporation, a leading national homebuilder, we exited the Fund’s investment in the company.
Concluding Thoughts on the Prospects for Real Estate and the Fund
As outlined in our first quarter letter, we remain mindful of the headwinds that could weigh on equity markets in the coming months. Periods of volatility and sharp dislocations have historically been our best opportunity to reposition the Fund – and the first half of 2026 was no exception. We remain actively engaged and confident in our ability to continue doing so.
We maintain our constructive outlook for the broader equity market, public real estate, and the Fund.
Stock Market Outlook
Our research points to broadly stable economic conditions ahead, supported by several potential tailwinds. On the policy front, reduced trade uncertainty, lower taxes, and enhanced depreciation incentives should encourage capital investment; deregulation and a more permissive M&A environment add further support. A Federal Reserve that eases gradually, combined with administration efforts to address housing supply constraints, provides an additional constructive backdrop. Beyond policy, we see AI-driven productivity gains as a meaningful catalyst – one with the potential to moderate inflation, compress long-term interest rates, and expand profit margins.
For these reasons, we remain positive about the outlook for the stock market.
Real Estate Market Outlook
We believe the conditions are in place for real estate to perform well in the next few years. Demand across most property sectors remains steady, with growth expected to improve over the next several years. At the same time, new supply has declined – often by more than 50% from peak 2002 levels – a dynamic we believe is underappreciated.
As a result, growth may rebound more quickly than in prior cycles, as the sector is not burdened by excess supply or elevated vacancies. Many public real estate shares have lagged, and valuations have reset to reflect a higher cost of capital, leaving many trading at attractive discounts relative to private market values. This disparity could catalyze ongoing real estate M&A activity.
Balance sheets remain strong, and credit markets are supportive. Additionally, moderating shelter inflation and productivity gains from AI could contribute to lower long-term interest rates – an important potential catalyst for the sector.
Taken together, we believe a favorable combination of cash flow growth, dividends, and the potential for multiple expansion in public real estate valuations could generate double-digit annual returns in the years ahead.
So, in our opinion, this is an attractive time to invest in real estate.
Baron Real Estate Fund® Outlook
We continue to believe the benefits of the Fund’s broader and more flexible investment approach – encompassing a wide range of real estate companies, including both REITs and non-REIT real estate-related businesses – will become increasingly advantageous in the years ahead. In our view, a rapidly evolving real estate landscape demands more selective and discerning analysis.
While some companies are positioned to potentially benefit from accelerating tailwinds, others are likely to face persistent headwinds. We believe the portfolio is composed of competitively advantaged real estate companies that are generally well positioned to grow faster than their peers. The Fund is structured to capitalize on compelling investment themes, and we believe current valuations and return prospects are attractive.
For these reasons, we remain positive about the outlook for the Baron Real Estate Fund.
Top 10 holdings
I would be remiss without acknowledging our core real estate team – David Kirshenbaum (assistant portfolio manager), George Taras (senior analyst), and David Berk (analyst). Their dedication, intellectual curiosity, and passion for the work remain impressive.
Our team and I remain fully committed and energized to delivering strong long-term results.
I proudly remain a major shareholder of the Baron Real Estate Fund.
Sincerely,
Jeffrey Kolitch
Portfolio Manager
Editor’s Note: The summary bullets for this article were chosen by Seeking Alpha editors.
Editor’s Note: This article covers one or more microcap stocks. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks.
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Business
IBM Shares Slide More Than 3% as Investors Weigh Mainframe Slowdown Against AI Deals
ARMONK, N.Y. — International Business Machines shares fell 3.22% to $240.31 in midday trading Wednesday, down $7.99, as the stock gave back Tuesday’s gain and traded near the low end of a year that has already cut about 19% from the price.
The stock closed Tuesday at $248.37. The day’s range opened near $240.50 with a low around $239.70. The 52-week span is $199.19 to about $332. Market value is roughly $228 billion to $234 billion. Next earnings are slated for Oct. 21. The dividend is $6.76 a share, a yield near 2.8%.
There was no IBM earnings release on Wednesday. Headlines around the name included a Commerce Department CHIPS award of $1 billion, through Anderon, an IBM company, aimed at a U.S. pure-play quantum foundry, and continued coverage of an IBM-NASA open-source lunar AI model. Those items did not lift the tape. Broader pressure cited in market wraps included higher oil prices, firmer bond yields and bets on further Federal Reserve rate increases.
The last official numbers remain the second quarter. Revenue was $17.2 billion, up 1%. Software rose 5% to $7.8 billion, with Red Hat up 11% and data up 19%. Consulting was flat at $5.3 billion, up 1% at constant currency. Infrastructure fell 7% to $3.8 billion. Transaction processing, the mainframe software line, was down 8%. GAAP earnings were $2.27 a share, down 2%. Operating earnings were $2.93, up 5%. First-half free cash flow was $4.8 billion.
Chairman and Chief Executive Arvind Krishna said the company cut full-year constant-currency revenue growth to 4% to 5% from a prior view of more than 5%. “We are confident in IBM’s strategy and portfolio, and in our ability to capture growth opportunities ahead,” he said in the July 22 release. “We fundamentally believe that we are in the early innings of a structural shift for business, and that our portfolio — across software, infrastructure, and consulting — is well-positioned to help our clients tap the value, and manage the challenges, of an AI-driven future.”
On the call he was blunter about the miss. “With the portfolio we have and the opportunities ahead, it comes down to execution. That is where we fell short in the second quarter.” On software: “The vast majority of our software business, about 80% of that revenue, is recurring in nature and delivered healthy growth in the quarter.” On AI: “Our AI strategy is the right one for IBM and aligns to what we are known for: hybrid, sovereignty, and trust.”
Chief Financial Officer James Kavanaugh said IBM still expects free cash flow to rise about $1 billion for the year and about 100 basis points of operating pre-tax margin expansion. Software growth is guided at 6% to 8%. Infrastructure is now low-single-digit growth. Consulting is low- to mid-single-digit. The company has committed more than $10 billion to quantum over five years.
Law-firm notices have advertised investigations after a mainframe, or IBM Z, slowdown and a large drop from the 52-week high. Those are solicitations, not findings. Trailing revenue is about $69 billion. Trailing EPS is about $11.27. The forward multiple is near 19 to 22 times. Consensus targets clustered near $245 to $265 in mid-September notes.
Wednesday’s $240 print is not a new thesis. It is the same one from July: software and cash are intact, Z and infrastructure slipped, guidance was cut a point, and the multiple compressed while Nvidia-class AI names ran. A CHIPS quantum grant and a moon model do not close a mainframe quarter. Until October 21 shows whether 4% to 5% growth is the floor, IBM trades as a dividend compounder with an execution gap, not as a high-beta AI proxy. Sellers on Wednesday treated it that way.
Business
Jeanie Poling, Fixture of San Francisco Bluegrass Scene, Dies at 67 After Cancer Fight
SAN FRANCISCO — Jeanie Poling, a guitarist and singer who spent more than four decades at the center of this city’s traditional bluegrass and country circuit, died Aug. 26. She was 67.
The San Francisco Chronicle reported her death on Sept. 10. She died at UCSF Health Stanyan Hospital of pneumonia after what her husband, Chuck Poling, described as a three-and-a-half-year fight with cancer. The Chronicle said she had been treated for two rare cancers since a January 2023 diagnosis and kept playing farmers markets and street fairs in a cowboy hat and boots.
Chuck Poling wrote on Facebook under the heading “MY JEANIE.” “She passed away on August 26 from pneumonia after a three-and-a-half-year battle with cancer. She fought the good fight but knew when to throw in the towel.”
He thanked people who had reached out to him and to their children, Isabel and Reuben. “Even in their own grief for their mother, Isabel and Reuben (and his beautifully compassionate wife Kat) are doing so much to prop me up. I’ve never been prouder of them.”
“I could say so much about Jeanie but can easily sum it up by saying she made all my dreams come true,” he wrote. “I shared 44 years of true love — that elusive magic that so many people search their whole lives and never find — with a beautiful, bright, funny, and oh, so talented woman. A wonderful mother, an amazing singer, and accomplished professional, and my partner, my lover, and my biggest fan.”
To the Chronicle he said: “Jeanie was a remarkable singer, with a powerful voice. She could really get a room to shut up and listen.”
Jeanie Poling was a Long Island transplant. Chuck Poling is a San Francisco native. They performed as Jeanie and Chuck and earlier as Jeanie and Chuck’s Country Roundup, he on mandolin, she on guitar, often sharing one microphone in western clothes. The Chronicle compared the stance to Porter Wagoner and Dolly Parton at the Grand Ole Opry. In 2002 they played Hardly Strictly Bluegrass when the festival was still called Strictly Bluegrass.
For about 20 years they hosted a Bluegrass Country Jam at the Plough and Stars in the Inner Richmond. The weekly session stopped when the pandemic closed rooms. They also appeared with groups including Chickwagon Junction and BettyJacks. Chuck Poling has written for the California Bluegrass Association and served as an area vice president.
She left a city job after the 2023 diagnosis, went through surgery and chemotherapy, and kept working stages under the shortened billing Jeanie and Chuck. The Chronicle placed her “at the heart of San Francisco’s bluegrass scene.” That circuit is small: church halls, Irish bars, street fairs, the odd festival slot. It runs on people who book the jam and show up when the door is thin.
There was no national chart run and no major-label campaign. The record of the career is rooms that went quiet when she sang and a Tuesday night that lasted two decades. Friends on the Facebook post called the marriage a model. Those notes are personal, not a box-office tally.
She is survived by her husband and their children. A public memorial has not been announced in the Chronicle account. The music she and Chuck played was the old kind: high tenor, mandolin chop, guitar run, one mic. San Francisco’s bluegrass map is smaller without the voice that could stop a room.
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