Business
Apogee Therapeutics Shares Surge 46 Percent to 132.70 on Positive Clinical Developments
NEW YORK — Apogee Therapeutics Inc. shares experienced dramatic gains Monday, rising more than 46 percent to $132.70 in morning trading. The biotechnology company’s stock movement reflected strong investor reaction to advancements in its clinical pipeline and potential for significant therapeutic breakthroughs.
Trading volume for Apogee Therapeutics surged substantially above average levels, indicating broad participation from institutional and retail investors. The percentage increase placed the stock among the day’s top performers on major exchanges, generating considerable market attention.
Biotechnology companies frequently see sharp price movements following clinical trial updates or regulatory milestones. Apogee Therapeutics, focused on developing innovative antibody therapies, has positioned itself in competitive areas of immunology and inflammatory diseases. Monday’s surge suggested positive interpretations of recent company progress.
The session’s gains occurred within a broader healthcare sector showing selective strength. While major indices demonstrated modest movements, individual biotechnology names responded to company-specific catalysts. Apogee Therapeutics stood out due to the magnitude of its advance and trading interest.
Analysts following the company have highlighted its novel approaches to treating complex conditions. Research efforts target specific pathways that could offer improved efficacy and safety profiles compared to existing treatments. Positive developments in clinical programs often trigger substantial market responses in the biotechnology sector.
Apogee Therapeutics operates within a dynamic environment where scientific innovation drives value creation. The sector features high research and development costs alongside substantial commercial potential for successful products. Monday’s trading reflected investor optimism regarding the company’s therapeutic candidates and development strategy.
Trading patterns for Apogee Therapeutics have shown volatility typical of clinical-stage biotechnology firms. Share prices often react sharply to news regarding trial results, intellectual property and strategic partnerships. The current advance suggests favorable assessments of recent activities and future prospects.
Broader healthcare trends provided supportive context for the stock’s performance. Increased focus on precision medicine and targeted therapies has benefited companies pursuing innovative treatment approaches. Apogee Therapeutics’ positioning within this landscape may have contributed to investor enthusiasm.
Market observers noted elevated options activity around Apogee Therapeutics, indicating speculative interest in near-term movements. Such activity frequently accompanies significant news or anticipation of upcoming catalysts. The stock’s liquidity supported active trading throughout the morning session.
The biotechnology industry’s competitive nature requires continuous scientific advancement and strategic execution. Apogee Therapeutics’ efforts to advance its pipeline demonstrate commitment to addressing unmet medical needs. Success in clinical development could substantially impact the company’s market position and valuation.
Investor sentiment toward biotechnology has fluctuated based on regulatory environments and commercial considerations. Monday’s gains for Apogee Therapeutics suggested positive views regarding its specific programs and overall development approach.
Company leadership has emphasized rigorous scientific methods and patient-centered development. Such priorities align with industry standards while addressing stakeholder expectations. Strategic decisions about clinical trials and potential collaborations influence market perceptions.
The session’s performance added Apogee Therapeutics to lists of notable market movers. Percentage gains of this magnitude often generate media coverage and increased analyst attention. Investors and observers will likely monitor the stock closely for follow-through or consolidation patterns.
Biotechnology investing requires understanding scientific fundamentals alongside financial metrics. Apogee Therapeutics’ pipeline progress represents key value drivers while cash position and operational efficiency affect near-term stability. Balanced assessment involves multiple considerations.
Market dynamics for biotechnology companies often feature rapid price movements based on news flow. Apogee Therapeutics’ surge exemplified this characteristic while highlighting the sector’s potential for substantial returns. Risk management remains essential given development uncertainties.
Looking ahead, Apogee Therapeutics faces typical biotechnology milestones that could influence future performance. Clinical trial results, regulatory interactions and potential business development activities represent significant potential catalysts. Investors will evaluate these against competitive landscapes and commercial prospects.
The broader market environment continues evolving with attention to economic indicators and policy developments. Biotechnology companies navigate these conditions while pursuing scientific objectives. Apogee Therapeutics’ recent performance suggests resilience amid varying external factors.
Trading activity showed strong momentum for Apogee Therapeutics shares. The 46.82 percent increase reflected significant buying interest and positive sentiment. Market participants will assess whether this momentum sustains or experiences typical profit-taking.
Overall, Apogee Therapeutics’ stock surge highlighted the biotechnology sector’s capacity for dramatic movements. The company’s developments attracted substantial investor attention while contributing to market narratives about innovation and therapeutic potential. Continued monitoring of fundamental progress will remain important for long-term assessments.
Business
Lucid to lay off roughly 18% of U.S. workforce
Lucid electric vehicles are seen at the New York International Auto Show on April 2, 2026.
Danielle DeVries | CNBC
Lucid Group said Monday it is cutting its U.S. workforce by approximately 18% as part of a cost-savings plan.
The all-electric vehicle maker said its plan would give it annualized cost savings of approximately $158 million.
The company also said Monday that its chief operating officer, Marc Winterhoff, is leaving the company effective immediately. Winterhoff was interim CEO at the company until Silvio Napoli took over the top job on June 1. The role of COO has been eliminated, Lucid said.
Lucid’s workforce reductions include full-time employees, contractors and hourly production workers in manufacturing, according to a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The automaker had about 9,000 employees globally as of Dec. 31.
“These are difficult decisions taken to align production with demand, reduce inventory, and adapt to declining market conditions,” a Lucid spokesperson said in a statement. “They are part of a broader effort to simplify the company, sharpen execution, and position Lucid to become more competitive over time.”
In February, Lucid laid off about 12% of its U.S. workforce in a push for profitability.
Lucid said Monday it expects to incur cash charges of approximately $32 million related to severance, employee benefits and employee transition associated with the latest cuts, according to its filing.
The automaker also said it would be eliminating the second shift of production at its AMP-1 factory in Arizona.
Lucid said last month that Napoli would be evaluating the company’s business operations. It suspended its guidance as a result, adding that it needs to lower its “elevated inventory” of vehicles, which for automakers has historically meant decreasing or idling vehicle production.
Lucid held its first investor day in nearly five years in March. It said at the time that it expects to be cash-flow positive by later this decade.
While Lucid has been able to increase sales and narrow losses, the company lost $2.7 billion on revenue of $1.35 billion in 2025. It had negative free cash flow of $3.8 billion last year, roughly 31% larger than the year earlier.
Lucid and its electric vehicle peers are increasingly facing a more challenging market than they did in recent years amid slower-than-expected adoption of EVs and changing regulations under the Trump administration, including the elimination of a $7,500 federal incentive for purchasing an EV.
— CNBC’s Michael Wayland contributed to this report.
Business
Florida AG Launches Investigation Into MLB Over Alleged Religious Discrimination Against Christian Players
Florida Attorney General James Uthmeier has opened a formal investigation into Major League Baseball over allegations of religious discrimination against Christian players’ display of Bible verses. He issued an investigative subpoena that orders the league to produce extensive records by July 23.
The Core Allegation
The subpoena questions whether MLB selectively enforces its uniform rules, punishing Christian players for displaying Bible verses while permitting secular, social justice and ideological messages, the attorney general’s office said in a statement.
Uthmeier said MLB’s claim that it tolerates no religious discrimination doesn’t match its conduct. “If MLB applauds ideological messages it prefers while reprimanding expressions of Christian faith, that is not neutral rule enforcement — it is religious discrimination that cannot stand in Florida,” he said.
The subpoena added that the state wouldn’t hesitate to take all necessary action to protect the religious liberty of players and employees working in Florida.
The Incident That Sparked the Probe
The investigation follows MLB’s warning to three Giants pitchers, including Landen Roupp, over Bible verses written on their caps during a Pride Night game, when the team wore rainbow colors that have come to symbolize LGBT advocacy.
The Bible passage cited was Genesis 9:12-16, which recounts God’s covenant with humanity and the rainbow as its sign.
MLB’s Response to the Players
Three days after the players wore the Bible verses on their caps, MLB Chief Communications Officer Pat Courtney said in a statement that the writings on the caps violated league rules and that, consistent with normal practice, the players were warned about future violations.
Another Giants player, J.T. Brubaker, wrote a shorter version of the passage, Genesis 9:13-15, on his cap.
An Offer From Hollywood
The incident drew attention beyond the baseball world as well. Actor and comedian Rob Schneider offered to pay any fines the players incur in response to reports that MLB had threatened consequences for future Bible verses on caps.
Comparing MLB’s Treatment of Other Causes
Central to the investigation is the question of whether MLB has applied its uniform rules inconsistently across different types of messaging. The subpoena said MLB has approved or overlooked similar modifications for other causes, including Black Lives Matter patches on sleeves, “United for Change” messaging, social justice statements on cleats, and etchings on the pitcher’s mound.
The Legal Basis for the Subpoena
The subpoena was issued under the Florida Civil Rights Act, the state’s primary law against discrimination. It also cites the Florida Deceptive and Unfair Trade Practices Act, a consumer protection statute.
What Records the State Is Seeking
The subpoena seeks MLB’s uniform and equipment rules along with the specific provisions cited for the June warnings, and the league’s complete enforcement history since 2020, covering markings that drew discipline as well as those allowed without action. Separately, it seeks documents on how MLB distinguishes religious messages from what the league calls permitted expression.
Additional categories cover MLB’s policies on Pride Night and themed apparel, any adverse action taken against players who declined to participate, and internal deliberations, complaints, and compliance analysis tied to the June warnings. It further requests personnel records from the Rays, the Marlins, and 15 clubs in the Grapefruit League, MLB’s spring training circuit in Florida.
A Public Lead-Up to the Investigation
Uthmeier had publicly questioned MLB on social media days before announcing the probe. The investigation marks his most recent action against a major professional sports league.
A Pattern of Scrutiny on Professional Sports Leagues
Monday’s announcement is not the first time Uthmeier’s office has turned its attention to a major sports organization over discrimination-related concerns. Earlier this year, Uthmeier subpoenaed the National Football League over diversity-related hiring practices, including the Rooney Rule, which requires teams to interview candidates from underrepresented groups for head coaching and senior front office jobs. He argued some NFL practices could constitute discrimination based on race or sex.
NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell said the league was cooperating and regularly reviews its policies to ensure legal compliance.
Background on Uthmeier
Uthmeier was named Florida attorney general by Gov. Ron DeSantis in February 2025, succeeding Ashley Moody after she was appointed to the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Marco Rubio. He had previously served as DeSantis’s chief of staff and is a graduate of Georgetown University Law Center.
With MLB facing a July 23 deadline to produce the requested records, the league’s response — and whether it complies fully, partially, or contests the subpoena — will likely shape the next phase of the investigation. Given the parallel scrutiny Uthmeier has already directed at the NFL over its diversity hiring practices, MLB’s handling of the inquiry may serve as a bellwether for how other major professional sports leagues navigate similar state-level investigations into their uniform and conduct policies in the months ahead. For now, MLB has not issued a detailed public response to the specific allegations raised in the subpoena beyond its earlier statement explaining the original warnings issued to the Giants players.
Business
SpaceX Stock Plunges 8.5% as KeyBanc Caution Deepens Post-IPO Selloff
SpaceX shares tumbled 8.55% to $169.18 on Monday, extending a sharp pullback that has now erased much of the spectacular rally that briefly made Elon Musk’s rocket and AI company more valuable than Amazon and Microsoft in the days following its record-setting initial public offering.
A Steep Two-Day Slide
Space Exploration Technologies Corporation stock pulled back again on Thursday, falling 3.6% to close at $185 per share. That followed a 5% drop on Wednesday. It was down by about 5% in pre-market trading on Monday as well. Combined, the slide has erased most of the spectacular post-IPO rally that briefly pushed SpaceX past both Amazon and Microsoft in market cap.
The numbers tell the story clearly. SpaceX stock peaked at over $225 intraday the prior Tuesday — up nearly 67% from the $135 IPO price. Since then, shares have retreated by about 20% from that high, bringing the stock back to where it traded on day two after the IPO.
A New Catalyst for Monday’s Decline
SpaceX shares tumbled about 7% Monday after KeyBanc adopted a more cautious stance on the stock, arguing that its current valuation has run well ahead of the company’s underlying fundamentals — adding fresh analyst skepticism to a stock already grappling with post-IPO profit-taking.
A Reality Check After Frenzied Retail Buying
The decline marks a notable shift after a period of extraordinary retail investor enthusiasm that characterized the stock’s first days of trading. “We’re running out of superlatives to describe retail enthusiasm for SpaceX. SPCX has now topped the leaderboard as the most bought stock by retail investors for three consecutive sessions,” Vanda Research said in a note. “In total, retail investors have bought $369.8 million of SPCX over the last three sessions. To put that into perspective, retail bought just $100 million of QQQ and $88.2 million of NVDA over the same period.”
That buying intensity, the firm noted, has been roughly four times larger than what flows into traditionally retail-favored names like the Nasdaq ETF or Nvidia over a comparable stretch.
A Skeptical Voice From a Former Nasdaq Chief
As the rally has cooled, prominent voices in the financial industry have grown more vocal about questioning whether the stock’s valuation reflects genuine business fundamentals. Former Nasdaq CEO Robert Greifeld said publicly that SPCX trades on hopes instead of fundamentals. SpaceX’s journey from $135 to $225.64 to its subsequent pullback over the span of roughly a week represents the clearest evidence yet that SPCX today is a float-and-sentiment stock overlaying a fundamental Starlink and Starship story.
Why the Stock Has Been So Volatile
Much of the extreme price action tracing through SpaceX’s first weeks as a public company stems from a structural feature of the IPO itself: an unusually small float of tradable shares. It is noteworthy that only about 4.2% of total shares are free to trade, meaning the stock’s tiny float amplified its upward moves — and, more recently, its downward ones as well.
The Financial Picture Behind the Volatility
Beneath the dramatic price swings, SpaceX’s underlying financial disclosures have continued drawing scrutiny from analysts and investors alike. SpaceX disclosed in its IPO filing that it posted a net loss of $4.9 billion in 2025 and another $4.28 billion in the first quarter of 2026, with Starlink remaining its only profitable segment. Within 48 hours of trading, the stock had already surpassed the highest analyst price target published at the time.
A Drop Despite Strength in the Broader Market
Monday’s session continued a pattern in which SpaceX has significantly underperformed broader market benchmarks even during periods of overall market strength. The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq have all posted gains on days when SpaceX continued declining, highlighting how sharply the stock has decoupled from broader market sentiment in recent sessions.
The Bull Case Hasn’t Disappeared Entirely
Despite the recent weakness, some analysts have continued to make the case for significant additional upside, even after the pullback. Arete analyst Andrew Beale initiated coverage of SpaceX with a buy rating, highlighting that Starlink’s V3 satellites create a substantial opportunity in suburban broadband. Beale set a street-high price target of $401 for SPCX stock, implying significant upside from the stock’s recent trading levels even after accounting for the post-IPO retracement.
Other Space Stocks Also Felt the Pressure
The selloff in SpaceX shares has rippled across the broader space and satellite sector, with several related companies posting declines of their own in recent sessions. Other space sector companies also declined, including Intuitive Machines, Planet Labs, Satellogic, and Virgin Galactic, which fell between 3% and 5%. AST SpaceMobile dropped more than 8%, while satellite communications company EchoStar, which held SpaceX shares before the IPO, fell more than 6%.
Falling Below Amazon Once Again
The scale of the pullback has been enough to reverse SpaceX’s brief tenure among the world’s most valuable publicly traded companies. The SpaceX stock drop pushed the company’s market cap to roughly $2.43 trillion, slipping back below Amazon, which closed at $2.63 trillion. Just days earlier, SpaceX had briefly surpassed both Amazon and Microsoft to become one of the most valuable companies in the world.
A Board Addition Amid the Volatility
Amid the share price turbulence, the company also made a notable governance move. SpaceX announced it has added Roelof Botha — a longtime Elon Musk ally — to its board as an independent director and audit committee member. Botha becomes the eighth board member at the company. Musk controls more than 82% of voting rights and owns shares worth over $1 trillion, which means outside shareholders have limited influence regardless of board composition.
What Analysts Say Investors Should Watch
Given the structural factors driving the stock’s volatility, several analysts have suggested investors temper their expectations for stability in the near term. High volatility will likely persist until the December 2026 lockup expiration, when significantly more shares become available for trading, or until the company’s first post-IPO earnings release, expected in early August, provides the market with a clearer fundamentals-based anchor for the stock.
With SpaceX’s market capitalization having now retreated below Amazon’s after briefly overtaking both Amazon and Microsoft just days into its public trading life, the coming weeks are likely to test whether the stock can stabilize around current levels or continue retracing further toward the lower end of its 52-week range. Given the combination of a still-tiny tradable float, a widening range of analyst price targets, and a business that remains unprofitable on a net income basis despite Starlink’s strength, SpaceX’s next major test will likely come either from its scheduled August earnings report or from the gradual unlocking of additional shares later this year — both of which analysts expect to bring considerably more clarity to a stock that has, so far, traded primarily on sentiment rather than fundamentals.
Business
Apple Prepares 20th Anniversary iPhones in Two Sizes Alongside Second-Generation Foldable Device
CUPERTINO, Calif. — Apple Inc. is accelerating development of special iPhone models to mark the device’s 20th anniversary next year, with plans for two sizes featuring advanced display technology. The company also intends to launch a second-generation foldable iPhone simultaneously, according to industry reports, as it continues pushing boundaries in smartphone design and manufacturing processes.
The anniversary models will reportedly feature nearly borderless displays with curved glass on all sides, creating an immersive visual experience. These devices will come in sizes comparable to current premium iPhones, approximately 6.3 inches and 6.9 inches, offering consumers choices within the high-end segment. Apple aims to celebrate two decades of iPhone innovation with distinctive hardware that builds upon established design language while introducing fresh elements.
This development aligns with Apple’s tradition of milestone celebrations through special editions. The original iPhone revolutionized personal computing and communication when introduced in 2007. Two decades later, the company continues refining the product line while exploring new form factors like foldable designs.
Manufacturing preparations for the anniversary iPhones are reportedly intensifying, with suppliers ramping up production capabilities for advanced components. The devices will incorporate Apple’s latest A21 chip built on a 2-nanometer process, representing a significant advancement in semiconductor technology. This chip will power both anniversary models and the second-generation foldable iPhone, showcasing Apple’s vertical integration strategy.
The foldable iPhone represents Apple’s entry into a growing market segment where competitors have already established presence. The second-generation device aims to address limitations observed in early foldable phones while maintaining Apple’s emphasis on premium materials and user experience. Industry observers anticipate the foldable model will complement rather than replace traditional iPhone designs.
Apple’s broader iPhone roadmap includes the standard iPhone 18 launching in spring 2027 with a less powerful A20 chip. This staggered release schedule allows the company to differentiate product tiers while managing supply chain complexities. The iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max expected this September will feature A20 Pro processors, marking Apple’s transition to more advanced manufacturing processes.
The 2-nanometer technology promises improved efficiency and performance compared to previous generations. Apple’s chip development has consistently delivered advantages in power consumption and processing capabilities, contributing to the iPhone’s reputation for longevity and reliability. These advancements support increasingly sophisticated features while maintaining battery life expectations.
Display technology for the anniversary models focuses on minimizing bezels through curved glass construction. This design approach could create more immersive viewing experiences for media consumption and gaming while maintaining structural integrity. Suppliers are reportedly developing specialized manufacturing techniques to produce these complex components at scale.
The foldable iPhone’s development reflects Apple’s methodical approach to emerging categories. Rather than rushing into the market, the company has observed competitor implementations while refining its own vision. The second-generation model benefits from accumulated learnings and technological maturation in flexible displays and hinge mechanisms.
Industry analysts anticipate strong consumer interest in Apple’s foldable offering given the company’s brand strength and ecosystem integration. The device could appeal to users seeking enhanced productivity through larger screens while maintaining portability. Pricing and specific features will determine market reception upon launch.
Apple’s annual iPhone releases remain central to its financial performance. The product line consistently generates substantial revenue while driving services and accessory sales. Milestone celebrations like the 20th anniversary provide opportunities for marketing differentiation and consumer excitement.
Supply chain partners are preparing for increased production demands across multiple device variants. Advanced manufacturing processes require significant capital investment and technical expertise. Apple’s supplier relationships have evolved to support increasingly sophisticated product requirements.
Consumer expectations for iPhones continue evolving toward greater integration of artificial intelligence and enhanced durability. The anniversary models and foldable device will likely incorporate these trends while maintaining core iPhone characteristics that have defined the product category.
The technology sector watches Apple’s innovations closely as indicators of broader industry direction. The company’s design choices often influence competitor roadmaps and consumer preferences. The upcoming releases could set new standards for smartphone aesthetics and functionality.
Market projections suggest continued growth in premium smartphone segments despite economic uncertainties. Apple’s brand loyalty and ecosystem lock-in provide resilience against competitive pressures. The 20th anniversary celebration could generate additional marketing momentum.
Global supply chains supporting iPhone production have demonstrated adaptability through recent challenges. Component sourcing and assembly operations continue scaling to meet anticipated demand for new models. Apple’s manufacturing partnerships remain crucial to timely product launches.
The foldable iPhone’s development timeline aligns with maturing flexible display technology. Early challenges in durability and user experience have prompted iterative improvements across the industry. Apple’s entry could accelerate mainstream adoption if execution meets high standards.
Software integration represents another critical aspect of upcoming releases. iOS updates will likely optimize experiences for new hardware configurations while maintaining compatibility with existing devices. Apple’s unified ecosystem approach enhances user satisfaction across product generations.
The anniversary iPhones’ design language may influence future models beyond 2027. Successful elements could become standard features while experimental aspects inform subsequent iterations. Apple’s iterative development philosophy balances innovation with reliability.
Consumer interest in iPhone upgrades remains strong despite lengthening replacement cycles. Special editions and significant technological leaps encourage periodic refreshes. The 20th anniversary timing provides compelling reasons for upgrades among longtime users.
Industry observers anticipate comprehensive coverage of Apple’s fall event where current-generation iPhones will debut. The 20th anniversary models and foldable device will likely feature prominently in subsequent announcements. Strategic communication will shape market expectations.
Apple’s commitment to innovation continues driving product evolution. The upcoming releases demonstrate ongoing investment in research and development across multiple form factors. Consumers and competitors alike await detailed specifications and availability timelines.
The technology landscape evolves rapidly, with Apple maintaining leadership through strategic execution. The 20th anniversary iPhones and foldable device represent significant milestones in the company’s smartphone journey. Market reception will influence future directions in mobile computing.
Business
Housing affordability won’t return to pre-2022 levels, Morgan Stanley says
SlateStone Wealth chief market strategist Kenny Polcari discusses whether investors are too dependent on AI, Space X’s IPO and his outlook for the markets on ‘Varney & Co.’
The affordability of the U.S. housing market may not improve significantly over time for would-be homebuyers, with a new report suggesting that they shouldn’t wait in the hopes of affordability measures returning to their pre-2022 levels.
Sarah Wolfe, a senior economist and strategist at Morgan Stanley, said in a report that while housing affordability could improve modestly over time, it is “unlikely to return to more favorable levels of the past, as the market adjusts to a higher-cost, tighter-supply environment.”
Wolfe noted that there was a brief period of optimism in February when mortgage rates briefly dipped below 6%, but it was short-lived as they returned to around 6.5% and have remained over 6% since then – which sapped the potential momentum for the housing market before it could gather steam.
“That recent episode is telling. In today’s market, small changes in rates have outsized effects on affordability, which remains historically strained, due in part to this rate-sensitivity,” Wolfe wrote.
INCOME NEEDED TO AFFORD A MEDIAN-PRICED HOME HAS NEARLY DOUBLED SINCE 2020, REPORT FINDS

Housing turnover has slowed significantly amid higher mortgage rates, Morgan Stanley noted. (Daniel Acker/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
She said that in looking at the housing market from 1990 to 2021, it was less affordable than it currently is about 15% of the time.
That implies that even modest improvements in the affordability of the current housing market would be considered tight in comparison to prior cycles in the last few decades.
To illustrate the present affordability challenges, an estimate by Morgan Stanley Research found that the buyer of a median-priced home faces a monthly payment of about $2,000 – which is roughly double the carrying cost from five years ago.
MIDWEST AND SOUTHERN STATES DOMINATE HOUSING REPORT CARDS: SEE HOW YOURS SCORED

The housing sector may not return to pre-2022 affordability levels, Morgan Stanley’s analysis found. (Angus Mordant/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Homeowners who have lower interest rates on their mortgages have been reluctant to sell and take on a new mortgage with a higher interest rate, which has exacerbated affordability for new buyers.
“The jump in financing costs is also freezing sellers. Of existing homeowners, about 70% have mortgage rates below 5%, and one-half have rates below 4%. These homeowners often find it too costly to move and take on a new mortgage at current higher rates. The result is a collapse in housing turnover to the lowest level in roughly 40 years,” Wolfe said.
Due to the lack of turnover in the market for existing homes, new construction has played an increasingly important role on the supply side of the housing market. The report notes that the pace of price appreciation has slowed in some areas and scarcity has been persistent in others, with supply not improving fast enough to “meaningfully lower the barrier to entry.”
MEDIAN US HOME PRICE PROJECTED TO HIT $1 MILLION BY 2050 – RIGHT AS MILLENNIALS RETIRE

New home construction is helping support housing market supply, but isn’t occurring fast enough to significantly improve affordability. (David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
The affordability challenges in the housing market have also contributed to changes in the characteristics of first-time homebuyers. While the average age remains around 36, the average credit score has risen to 734 from 718 in 2019.
First-time homebuyers are also carrying larger mortgage balances, which rose to an average of $334,000 in 2024 – an increase from $240,000 in 2019 and $195,000 in 2014. That growth has outpaced inflation by more than two-fold, the report noted, while buyers have also shifted to more affordable zip codes to buy their first home.
Wolfe went on to say that there could be some modest improvement in housing affordability when rates stabilize and the pace of home price growth eases, with the firm projecting rates will moderate to around 5%, lowering mortgage payments from about 24% of household income to about 21% in the next decade – though that remains above the 15% that followed the 2007-2009 financial crisis.
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“In all of the scenarios that Morgan Stanley Wealth Management modeled – whether mortgage rates settle closer to 4%, 5% or 6% – affordability does not return to prior peaks. And the likelihood of mortgage rates settling closer to 6% than 5% has been rising,” Wolfe wrote. “In short, the market is not broken, but it is resetting to a more constrained equilibrium.”
Wolfe added that “waiting on the sidelines for prices to revert to the affordability of the two decades before 2022 may prove to be the wrong strategy. The better approach may instead be to buy when it makes sense for your financial situation – and when the right opportunity presents itself.”
Business
Alphabet Shares Slide as AI Spending Concerns and Waymo Recalls Weigh on Stock
Alphabet shares fell sharply Monday morning, with the Class C shares dropping 5.32% to $347.92, extending a month-long slide that has left the tech giant underperforming the broader market amid persistent investor anxiety over the scale of its artificial intelligence spending and a string of operational setbacks at its self-driving unit.
A Stock Under Sustained Pressure
Alphabet shares have dropped 6.3% over the past month, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector’s return of 3.6% over the same period. The company’s huge capital expenditure plan — between $180 billion and $190 billion for 2026, roughly double 2025’s level, with spending expected to rise further in 2027 — has spooked investors.
Why the Spending Plan Worries Wall Street
The core tension driving investor concern centers on whether the enormous capital outlay will ultimately pay off. The question that investors are asking is whether the returns from AI investments will justify the enormous upfront costs. Most of Alphabet’s capital expenditure is marked for building AI and cloud infrastructure, including data centers, chips, and servers for Gemini and cloud growth.
That spending is already squeezing the company’s free cash flow even as overall cash generation remains substantial. Although Alphabet generates considerable cash flow — $174.4 billion on a trailing 12-month basis at the end of the first quarter of 2026 — the steep increase in capital expenditure is expected to squeeze free cash flow, which stood at $64.4 billion on a trailing 12-month basis over the same period.
A Dilutive Equity Raise Adds to the Pressure
Beyond the spending itself, Alphabet has also taken steps to finance its AI buildout that carry direct consequences for existing shareholders. Alphabet announced plans to raise approximately $84.75 billion through equity offerings to fund AI infrastructure spending that dilutes existing shareholders’ stakes — a move that has added to the cautious sentiment surrounding the stock in recent weeks.
The Wiz Acquisition’s Margin Impact
Alphabet’s cloud business is also facing near-term profitability headwinds tied to a recent acquisition. The Wiz acquisition is expected to have a low single-digit percentage point headwind to Google Cloud’s operating margin for the remainder of 2026, adding another factor weighing on near-term earnings even as the deal is expected to strengthen the company’s cybersecurity offerings over the longer term.
Capacity Constraints Despite Rapid Buildout
Despite the massive spending commitment, Alphabet’s cloud business has also faced operational limitations in keeping pace with demand. The company is suffering from capacity constraints despite the improving pace of server deployments and data center construction. This, along with higher depreciation expenses and related data center operations costs, including energy, is expected to hurt profitability.
Waymo’s Robotaxi Recalls Add to the Pressure
Beyond the financial concerns surrounding AI spending, Alphabet’s self-driving unit has also generated negative headlines in recent days. Waymo, the self-driving vehicle unit of tech giant Alphabet, is recalling over 3,800 robotaxis in the U.S. after a software glitch caused more than a dozen of its vehicles to drive into freeway construction zones. The self-driving car company is recalling certain fifth-generation automated driving systems after a number of events in which its cars didn’t recognize and drove past ramp-closure signs into pre-planned construction areas.
Waymo has recalled its fleet of nearly 4,000 robotaxis to restrict them from driving on highways while it figures out how to make the vehicles behave around construction zones. Despite the recall, data still shows a reduction in serious accidents with the company’s robotaxis overall, suggesting the underlying safety trend remains positive even as the specific software issue gets addressed.
A Notable Departure From Google’s AI Team
Adding to the list of concerns weighing on the stock, Alphabet has also faced renewed scrutiny over talent retention within its core AI research division. Google Gemini co-lead Noam Shazeer announced his departure to ChatGPT maker OpenAI, raising concerns about future performance in AI development at a moment when competition for top AI research talent across the industry remains intense.
Where the Bull Case Still Stands
Despite the recent weakness, several elements of Alphabet’s underlying business have continued performing well, giving some analysts reason for continued optimism. Alphabet’s prospects are benefiting from its growing AI-powered Search capabilities and significant investments in cloud computing. Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai has highlighted enterprise AI as a main growth driver, with revenue from generative AI products soaring nearly 800% year-over-year.
The company’s competitive position in search has also remained essentially unchallenged. In the search domain, Google continues to dominate with a roughly 90.39% share, followed by Microsoft’s Bing, with a 5.03% share. In cloud computing, Amazon maintained a strong lead in the market, though Microsoft and Alphabet’s Google continued to achieve substantially higher growth rates, with market shares of roughly 28%, 21%, and 14% respectively among the three providers.
A Valuation That Some See as Stretched
Despite the recent pullback in share price, at least one widely followed valuation framework suggests Alphabet shares may not yet be cheap relative to historical norms. Alphabet shares are considered overvalued, as suggested by a Value Score of D. The stock is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 25.73 times, compared with the broader Zacks Internet Services Industry’s 24.98 times.
Multiple Paths to Future Growth
Analysts following the company continue to point to a diverse range of potential revenue streams tied to its AI investments as a basis for longer-term optimism, even amid near-term spending concerns. AI creates multiple monetization pathways for Alphabet beyond traditional search advertising through AI-powered advertising tools such as AI Max and Performance Max. Other options include consumer AI subscriptions through Google One and Gemini plans, enterprise AI infrastructure and model services, agentic commerce initiatives such as Universal Cart, as well as AI-driven productivity and developer platforms like Antigravity.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 earnings is pegged at $14.30 per share, indicating 32.3% year-over-year growth, suggesting analysts still expect meaningful profit growth even as the company absorbs its historically large capital spending commitments.
With Alphabet’s massive AI infrastructure buildout continuing to draw mixed reactions from investors, and with the Waymo recall and recent AI talent departure adding fresh near-term headlines, the stock’s trajectory in the coming weeks will likely depend heavily on whether the company’s cloud growth and AI-driven search improvements continue outpacing the costs associated with that spending. Given the scale of capital expenditure planned through 2027, market participants are likely to continue scrutinizing each quarterly earnings report closely for evidence that Alphabet’s AI investments are translating into durable revenue growth rather than simply compressing near-term margins and free cash flow.
Business
Energy outlook improves, more needed: AEMO
The state’s near-term electricity outlook has improved year-on-year, with the main electricity grid to remain in surplus until 2029-30 according to new modelling.
Business
FBI Acknowledges Possible Error in Bitcoin Ransom Payment That May Have Complicated Nancy Investigation

TUCSON, Ariz. — Federal authorities have acknowledged a potential misstep in their handling of a cryptocurrency ransom demand connected to the disappearance of Nancy Guthrie, a Tucson woman who vanished from her home earlier this year. The admission highlights challenges in investigating cases involving digital currencies and cross-border elements as search efforts continue along the U.S.-Mexico border.
The FBI, collaborating with the Pima County Sheriff’s Department, received a reported demand for $4 million in Bitcoin from individuals claiming responsibility for Guthrie’s abduction. Task force insiders indicated that only a small amount — approximately $152 — was transferred as part of a strategy designed to prompt further communication from the suspects. The limited payment, intended to test the legitimacy of the demand, instead resulted in a complete cessation of contact.
This tactic, sometimes referred to in law enforcement circles as an attempt to “tickle the wire,” aimed to elicit responses that could provide additional investigative leads. However, the lack of follow-up communication has prompted internal reviews of the approach and its effectiveness in digital ransom situations. Authorities have described the outcome as potentially complicating the case, though they continue pursuing multiple avenues.
Guthrie, the mother of NBC News correspondent Savannah Guthrie, disappeared from her Tucson residence. The case quickly drew national attention due to the family’s public profile and the mysterious circumstances surrounding her vanishing. Investigators initially treated it as a missing persons matter before shifting focus based on emerging evidence suggesting possible abduction.
Search operations have expanded into regions south of the Arizona border following anonymous tips. A Mexican volunteer organization, Buscando Corazones Nogales, recently examined areas near Nogales, Sonora. The group reported discovering multiple unmarked graves during these efforts, though none have been linked to Guthrie’s case.
The leader of the search collective received information pointing to a possible burial site in a stream near the Mariposa Port of Entry. Volunteers conducted thorough examinations but found no evidence connecting the location to Guthrie. These discoveries highlight broader humanitarian and criminal concerns in border regions where clandestine activity can obscure traces.
The partial Bitcoin transfer has become a focal point of discussion within law enforcement. Cryptocurrency transactions, while offering traceability through blockchain analysis, present unique operational challenges due to their speed and potential anonymity. Authorities had hoped the small payment would yield verifiable contact or confirm details about Guthrie’s situation.
FBI officials have emphasized that the investigation remains active with resources dedicated to various leads. Digital forensics, human intelligence and ground searches form core components of ongoing efforts. The agency has not publicly detailed specific reasoning behind the limited transfer but indicated all investigative decisions undergo continuous evaluation.
Pima County authorities have echoed the commitment to resolving the case. Joint task force members stress that no credible evidence has confirmed harm to Guthrie, though the passage of time increases urgency. Family representatives continue appealing for public assistance while supporting law enforcement work.
The involvement of cryptocurrency in the alleged ransom demand mirrors evolving patterns in abduction cases. Bitcoin and similar assets provide perpetrators with rapid transfer capabilities while complicating immediate tracking. Law enforcement agencies have enhanced capabilities in blockchain analysis, though success depends on various technical and operational factors.
Border region searches have uncovered broader issues, including numerous unmarked graves. These findings, while not connected to Guthrie, point to ongoing challenges in remote areas where criminal activity and migration patterns intersect. Mexican authorities and volunteer groups maintain collaborative search efforts.
Nancy Guthrie’s disappearance has resonated widely due to her daughter’s prominent media role. Savannah Guthrie has balanced professional responsibilities with family support throughout the ordeal. The case has also highlighted vulnerabilities faced by individuals in everyday situations, prompting discussions on personal safety measures.
Investigators have explored multiple theories while maintaining open communication channels. The ransom communication introduced digital elements requiring specialized expertise. Coordination between federal, state and international partners continues as the case spans potential jurisdictional boundaries.
The “fatal mistake” reference attributed to task force insiders reflects internal acknowledgment of the payment’s outcome. Such admissions, though difficult, demonstrate commitment to learning from operational experiences. Future protocols for digital ransom situations may incorporate lessons from this case.
Community support in Tucson and beyond has included awareness campaigns and assistance with tip generation. Local residents have participated in searches and provided information that has helped shape investigative focus. The high visibility of the case has brought attention to similar unresolved disappearances.
Federal resources remain dedicated to the effort, with interagency cooperation ongoing. The Bitcoin tactic review could influence future approaches to similar situations. Cryptocurrency’s role in criminal activity requires evolving law enforcement strategies.
As the investigation advances, authorities urge anyone with relevant information to come forward. Tips can be submitted through official channels with assurances of confidentiality where appropriate. Rewards for information leading to resolution have been discussed in similar cases.
The Guthrie case exemplifies complexities in modern missing persons investigations, particularly those with potential international dimensions. Digital currencies add technical layers while border regions present logistical challenges. Persistent effort across multiple agencies remains essential for resolution.
For the Guthrie family, the ongoing uncertainty creates profound emotional strain. Public appeals for information reflect hope that collective awareness might yield breakthroughs. The case serves as a reminder of vulnerabilities present even in familiar environments.
Search teams continue covering challenging terrain based on tips and analytical assessments. Technology assists in mapping remote areas while human expertise interprets subtle evidence. Comprehensive approaches combine traditional policing with modern tools.
The FBI and local authorities maintain focus on factual developments while avoiding speculation. Professional protocols guide information sharing to protect investigative integrity. Public updates balance transparency with operational security.
As time passes since Guthrie’s disappearance, the investigation’s scope broadens while maintaining core objectives. Digital analysis, witness interviews and physical searches form interconnected elements of a multifaceted approach. Resolution remains the primary goal.
The Guthrie case continues drawing attention as authorities pursue every available lead. Community engagement and interagency cooperation provide essential support for sustained efforts. Hope persists for information that could bring clarity to the family and community.
Business
EWU: Starmer Exits, But Expect More Turbulence (NYSEARCA:EWU)
Markets rise and fall, booms come and go, and the world keeps ticking. Ultimately, I believe observing megatrends, as difficult as they can be to spot, let alone fully comprehend, can yield insights into the advance of human society, which in turn could pave the way for many useful investment insights. As society and technologies evolve, companies and other stakeholders will seize advantages. Figuring out which companies will take the best advantage of any given opportunities is not easy. I am especially interested in macrotrends, futurism, and increasingly, emerging technologies. However, as far as investing is concerned, it’s crucial to pay attention to the fundamentals, quality of leadership, product pipeline, and all the other details. In recent years, I have focused on marketing and business strategy, primarily for medium-sized companies and startups. I have worked in international development, including overseas for a foreign Prime Minister’s office, as well as non-profit work in the United States. Among other tasks, I evaluated startups and emerging industries/technologies. I have also moonlighted as a technology and economic news journalist. Now I’m looking to tie everything together. While my personal interests will always keep megatrends and technological developments in mind, I do believe fundamentals and technicals are vital to uncovering opportunities.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Business
POET Technologies Vs. Sivers Semiconductors: Selling One Photonics And Holding The Other
I am a stock analyst with over 20 years of experience in quantitative research, financial modeling, and risk management. My focus is on equity valuation, market trends, and portfolio optimization to uncover high-growth investment opportunities. As a former Vice President at Barclays, I led teams in model validation, stress testing, and regulatory finance, developing a deep expertise in both fundamental and technical analysis. Alongside my research partner (also my wife), I co-author investment research, combining our complementary strengths to deliver high-quality, data-driven insights. Our approach blends rigorous risk management with a long-term perspective on value creation. We have a particular interest in macroeconomic trends, corporate earnings, and financial statement analysis, aiming to provide actionable ideas for investors seeking to outperform the market.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
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