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Baht Likely to Decline Further Amid Escalating Mideast Tensions

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Asian Currencies Slide as Iran Conflict Escalates

The Thai baht is expected to weaken to 33.50 per US dollar this week. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, rising US bond yields, and declining gold prices are driving this trend, with Asian economies also impacted by oil import reliance.


Key Points

  • The Thai baht is projected to weaken to 33.50 against the US dollar this week due to Middle East conflict and dollar’s safe-haven appeal.
  • Rising US bond yields and regional currency depreciation, influenced by oil import reliance, also contribute to the baht’s decline.
  • Lower gold prices and the Bank of Thailand’s reserve management add further pressure, with an expected trading range of 32.50-33.50 for the year.

Baht Depreciation Amidst Geopolitical Tensions

The Thai baht is projected to depreciate further, potentially reaching 33.50 per US dollar this week. This forecast follows a recent testing of a nine-month low at 33.04 on Monday. The primary driver for this expected weakening is the heightened uncertainty stemming from the conflict in the Middle East, which is bolstering the US dollar as a safe-haven asset. Investors are increasingly revising their expectations, now anticipating that the US Federal Reserve will refrain from further policy rate cuts this year, consequently leading to rising US bond yields. Furthermore, the baht’s movement is mirroring that of other regional currencies, which are also experiencing depreciation against the dollar.

Contributing Factors to Baht Weakness

Beyond geopolitical risks, the baht is facing additional downward pressure from a significant decline in global gold prices, which have fallen approximately 22% from their February peak. This trend is partly attributed to investors reallocating their capital from gold to oil. The Bank of Thailand is expected to intervene to manage baht volatility and depreciation, aiming to mitigate the impact on business operating costs. However, the concurrent rise in global oil prices is anticipated to escalate the cost of imported raw materials. International reserves held by the Bank of Thailand also saw a weekly decline, from $288 billion to $284 billion as of March 13th.

Outlook and Market Adjustments

The baht has exhibited a gradual depreciation trend since Friday, aligning with escalating tensions and concerns about a prolonged Middle East conflict. This situation has prompted market participants to adjust their outlooks for monetary policy decisions by major central banks, including the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England, and the European Central Bank. The continued fall in gold prices, from around $4,700 per ounce to the support level of $4,400, has further exacerbated the pressure on the baht relative to the US dollar. The overall expectation is for the baht to trade within a range of 32.50–33.50 per US dollar for the remainder of the year.

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Precious Metals Royalty And Streaming Companies – May 2026 Report

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Precious Metals Royalty And Streaming Companies - April 2026 Report

This article was written by

Peter Arendas is an associate professor at the University of Economics in Bratislava. He has over 15 years of investing experience. Peter specializes in covering small and mid-cap companies in the resource sector with an in-depth insight into the precious and industrial metals royalty & streaming industry.Peter is the leader of the investing group Royalty & Streaming Corner where he offers in-depth analysis of long-only investment ideas, actionable research, model portfolios, discussions of the latest news, and direct access for questions in chat. Learn More.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ELE, RGLD either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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US stock futures dip on Iran escalation, Oracle losses

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US stock futures dip on Iran escalation, Oracle losses

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Built completes Midland private hospital

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Built completes Midland private hospital

St John of God Health Care’s new private hospital in Midland has reached practical completion, paving the way for the state government to take over St John’s existing private hospital.

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Port proponent Crestlink to buy Koolan Island mine from MGX Resources

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Port proponent Crestlink to buy Koolan Island mine from MGX Resources

Private port proponent Crestlink has struck a deal to buy the Koolan Island iron ore mine for $20.2 million from MGX Resources.

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Uber sues New York City over ’reckless’ driver protection law

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Uber sues New York City over ’reckless’ driver protection law


Uber sues New York City over ’reckless’ driver protection law

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STEW: Deep Discount Gets Deeper (Rating Upgrade)

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STEW: Deep Discount Gets Deeper (Rating Upgrade)

STEW: Deep Discount Gets Deeper (Rating Upgrade)

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I'd have vetoed foreign sale of UK tech giant, says Business Secretary

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I'd have vetoed foreign sale of UK tech giant, says Business Secretary

Peter Kyle’s comments come as the government sets out how it would back British technology companies.

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Aethlon Medical, Inc. (AEMD) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Operator

Good day, and welcome to the Aethlon Medical Fiscal Year-end March 31, 2026, Financial Results and Corporate Update Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]

Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jim Frakes, CEO and CFO of Aethlon Medical. Please go ahead.

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James Frakes
CEO, CFO, Chief Accounting Officer, Secretary & Director

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Aethlon Medical’s Fiscal Year-end March 31, 2026, Earnings Conference Call. My name is Jim Frakes, and I’m the Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer of Aethlon Medical. At 4:15 p.m. Eastern Time today, Aethlon Medical released financial results for its fiscal year ended March 31, 2026. If you have not seen or received Aethlon Medical’s earnings release, please visit the Investors page at www.aethlonmedical.com to view it.

Following this introduction and the reading of the company’s forward-looking statement disclaimer, Dr. Steven LaRosa, our Chief Medical Officer, and I will provide an overview of Aethlon’s strategy and recent developments. I will then make some brief remarks on Aethlon’s financials. We will then open up the call for the Q&A session.

Before we start the business portion of the call, please note that the news release today and this call contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended. The company cautions you that any statement that is not a statement of

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Certain World Cup seats are pricier than mortgages in these 5 US cities: report

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Certain World Cup seats are pricier than mortgages in these 5 US cities: report

Soccer fans hoping to watch the World Cup in person may need a housing-sized budget.

The tournament kicks off Thursday in Mexico City, launching a six-week event expected to draw between 5 million and 6 million fans across 16 North American host cities. But for many U.S. fans, getting inside the stadium has become a major financial hurdle, according to Realtor.com.

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In five of the 11 U.S. host cities, the cheapest available World Cup tickets for late-stage tournament matches cost more than the average monthly mortgage payment in that market, Realtor.com reported, citing real estate research firm PropertyShark.

HERSHEY’S LAUNCHES LIMITED-EDITION CHRISTIAN PULISIC CHOCOLATE BARS HONORING THEIR HOMETOWN WORLD CUP STAR

General view outside MetLife Stadium on June 9, 2026

A general view outside MetLife Stadium on June 9, 2026, in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Catherine Ivill – AMA/Getty Images)

That means fans in Miami, Dallas, Atlanta, Kansas City and the New York area could spend the equivalent of a mortgage payment — or more — for a single seat.  The figure does not include airfare, hotel stays, food, parking or merchandise.

The steepest prices are for the July 19 final at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The least expensive seats are listed at $7,256, far above New York’s average monthly mortgage payment of $4,096 and average rent of $4,872, according to Realtor.com.

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In Dallas, the cheapest tickets for the July 14 semifinal are listed at $2,391, slightly above the city’s average mortgage payment of $2,351. In Atlanta, the lowest-priced semifinal tickets are $2,208, above the average mortgage payment of $2,149, the outlet reported.

10 HOTTEST RENTAL HOUSING MARKETS IN THE US THIS SUMMER

Kansas City Prepares to Host FIFA World Cup 2026

A general view of FIFA World Cup 2026 signage at Kansas City Stadium on June 8, 2026, in Kansas City, Missouri. (Jay Biggerstaff/Getty Images / Getty Images)

Kansas City’s cheapest seats for a July 11 match are $1,567, compared with an average mortgage payment of $1,477. In Miami, the lowest-priced tickets for Colombia versus Portugal on June 27 are $2,700, nearly matching the city’s average mortgage payment and rent, according to Realtor.com.

Some consumers have already been priced out. A LiveSportsonTV survey of 1,008 U.S. soccer fans found that 52% had given up on buying World Cup tickets because of high prices.

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“We’re seeing unprecedented prices for events like the World Cup because of supply and demand, to put it simply,” Mark Sanaiha of Macallan Capital said in a statement. “For years, the experience economy has outpaced wage growth, and younger generations aren’t planning to change that trajectory.”

AMERICANS OPTIMISTIC ABOUT INNOVATION ADDRESSING MAJOR CHALLENGES, SURVEY FINDS

A detailed view of the FIFA World Cup 2026 sign inside Dallas Stadium

A detailed view of a FIFA World Cup 2026 sign inside Dallas Stadium on April 13, 2026, in Arlington, Texas.  (Stacy Revere/Getty Images / Getty Images)

The pricing has also drawn scrutiny from state officials. Attorneys general in Texas, New York, New Jersey and California have launched probes into World Cup ticket pricing and packaging policies, Realtor.com reported.

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“Being honest about ticket sales is not complicated,” New Jersey Attorney General Jennifer Davenport said in a statement. “But FIFA has turned buying a ticket to the World Cup into a gauntlet of confusion, fake scarcity, and impossibly high prices — all at the expense of consumers and hardworking New Jerseyans.”

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Consumer Price Index: Inflation At 4.2% In May

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Dow Jones And U.S. Index Outlook: Some CPI Morning Bullishness

Consumer Price Index: Inflation At 4.2% In May

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