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Beaten-Down AI & Growth Stocks Analysis | Seeking Alpha
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This transcript was generated by AI. It is not curated or reviewed and is provided for convenience and information purposes only. The accuracy and completeness of the transcript are not guaranteed.
Nicole Benjamin: Hey, everybody. It’s Nicole Benjamin, your host here at Seeking Alpha, to bring to you another episode of The Weekly Grade. And joining us for today is none other than VP of Quantitative Strategy here at Seeking Alpha, Steven Cress himself, the wonderful guy behind a lot of the amazing products you see on site, our Alpha Picks portfolio, our Pro Quant portfolio, and our newest Quant Growth and Income portfolio. So follow him back on Seeking Alpha. Make sure you check out his articles, see if there’s anything that might be in there for you. And Steve, thank you so much for joining us today.
Steven Cress: Hey, thank you very much for organizing it.
NB: Absolutely. Now, I wanna jump right in. Today, we are talking about Pagaya Technologies and an AI-powered fintech holding. It’s considered a quant strong buy on the site, and this is despite experiencing significant pullback from its recent peak. So how does Pagaya’s network model convert loan volume and institutional power growth into operational leverage without requiring this aggressive marketing spend?
SC: Well, they’re doing a great job on it. As you can see by our factor grades, on the right-hand side, they are a very profitable company, so they’re managing to do it. And actually, you can see that profitability grades increased to B plus from a B six months ago, so the trend is going in the right direction. So this means that their revenue and earnings are converting to profitability, so their leverage has been applied well, and they’re taking leverage off the table and turning that into profits. You can see analysts are very positive as well. When you look at these factor revision grades, it has improved to an A.
That means analysts are taking their estimates up from where they previously were and at a much faster pace. You could see actually six months ago compared to the sector, it had a D grade, which meant analysts’ revisions were lower than other companies for this sector. But their fortunes have turned around, profitability has improved, and analysts are actually taking their revisions upwards. So in the last ninety days, as a matter of fact, we have had eight analysts take up their earnings estimates and zero have taken it down. So that’s really positive.
And for the upcoming quarter, which is November sixth, you’ve also had eight analysts revise up their estimates and zero have revised it down. So lots of positives on that front. You could see looking at the quant rating history, we did have a strong buy, and then we got slightly negative on it for a while. That was probably when we saw the momentum grade drop to an F and the revisions grade drop to D. So I want to sell and stay to hold for quite a period of time. But a couple months ago, we went into the buy territory and the strong buy, and it’s obvious from the improvement in the factor grades why. So currently, the company is it’s in the IT sector. It’s a software company.
It ranks two out of one hundred and sixty-six companies that we cover in software, and their long-term EPS growth rate is tremendous. It’s at a six hundred percent difference in terms of its growth compared to this sector. ROE, as I said is improving as well. If you actually look at the ROE growth rate, it is a forty-three percent growth rate in their ROE versus the sector at seven percent. And from a valuation standpoint, the company looks really attractive as well. It has an A plus grade on value, and its multiple is dirt cheap. It’s currently at a multiple of five point five times versus the IT sector at a multiple of twenty-three times.
So it’s literally at a seventy-six percent discount. Now, what I, I like today and what you led with is there has actually been a pullback in the stock. It is well off its fifty-two-week high. The stock currently is eighteen dollars and seventy-three cents. The fifty-two-week high was thirty-eight dollars. But we’re inter– we’re entering sort of an interesting type of year. Typically, most people know September is seasonally weak. But what also happens is with stocks that are well off their fifty-two-week highs, many institutions try to clear their books out of their losers by the end of October. So sometimes weak stocks that are hovering around that fifty-two-week low, they’ll remain low.
Today, this company’s got a market cap of one point seven billion, so it’s a really small cap. There’s a seller out there despite the strong fundamentals, despite that analysts are taking their estimates up. Notably, there are other strong buys out of the stock. If you look at the consensus from Wall Street analysts, they have a strong buy on it, and the consensus of Seeking Alpha contributors is a strong buy, as well as the quant. So that’s sort of the trifecta. You have three independent research sources all indicating strong buy on the stock right now. So it looks very timely. I’d say take advantage and be opportunistic of the pullback.
Institutions, of course, as I mentioned, they tend to clear some of their losers out by the end of October. That’s when their calendar year ends. So could remain weak for a little bit longer, but you wanna take advantage of that.
NB: All right. Well, I wanna jump right over Steve and talk about some of the products we have here on site, our Pro Quant portfolio, our Alpha Picks portfolio, and our newest Quant Growth and Income portfolio. And in this side-by-side comparison, the Pro Quant portfolio, Alpha Picks, and QGI, how should investors be evaluating the trade frequency, asset universe, and the rebalancing cadences when deciding which of these quantitative strategies will be a great match for their investment objectives?
SC: I’m glad you brought it up. So all three of these products are designed to be really user-friendly. Individuals don’t always have a lot of time. To do the research on their own. Even though Seeking Alpha’s premium site will rank all the stocks, and you could see if they’re strong buy, buy, or sell, it’s still a lot of research. So these products help bring forward our top strong buys. But it does it at a different pace. Some people like to be really aggressive, some individuals don’t like to be aggressive. So the Pro Quant portfolio was designed for long-term capital appreciation, but for people who like a high frequency of ideas.
So the portfolio is always fixed at thirty stocks, but it rebalances weekly, which means, on average, every week you have two to three new ideas coming out. So for individuals that like that pace of ideas, the Pro Quant portfolio would be the product. For individuals who want long-term capital appreciation, but not quite that high frequency of having to get new ideas every week, Pro Alpha Picks spreads it out to only two ideas a month. So on the trading date closest to the first of the month and the fifteenth of the month, an individual or subscriber would receive those emails. So you only get two new ideas a month as opposed to two to three a week with the Pro Quant portfolio.
And then for the Quant Growth in Income, that’s actually focused on people that want a combination of capital appreciation and income generation. So the common thread with that fixed portfolio of thirty stocks is every single one of them pays a dividend. So it’s got a nice little yield, and many investors like to have that yield. We refer to that as more of the all-weather type of product. So it may not have quite the performance of a PQP or an Alpha Picks, but it’s more of a steady eddy. So three different portfolios for three different risk appetites.
NB: Right. Well, I also wanna bring up some stats here that we have about these portfolios. And just considering what’s on the screen, all of these portfolios are demonstrating significant total return over their respective market benchmarks. So in an environment where rate expectations and sector rotations create this short-term price volatility, how does sticking strictly to the factor grades prevent losses during these market pullbacks?
SC: Well, I wouldn’t say that factor grades prevent losses. Typically, when you hit periods that are really volatile, stocks with strong fundamentals actually do sell off quite a bit because when anxiety is high and sentiment is more fearful, people tend to take profits in stocks, and they’ll go to safe haven sectors or safe haven asset classes such as cash or consumer staples or utilities. However, you can dull that downward volatility on your portfolio by d– with diversification. So a good approach I often refer to is having a barbell approach.
You wanna be able to focus on stocks that offer that upside potential and also be opportunistic when the prices decline, but you also wanna have that income generation on the other side of the barbell, and that helps to sort of minimize any downward volatility. Companies that tend to pay a dividend, you get paid to wait, so the stocks typically do not come off as much as in a volatile period. So we have a combination of both together in that barbell approach, where you’re focusing on both capital appreciation and income generation. It tends to really smooth out any downward pressure that’s created by volatility.
NB: All right, Steve. Well, thank you so much. I wanna jump over and wrap things up there. For everybody that’s listening in, go ahead and click the follow button on Steve’s page. Go read his article, see if there’s something in there that might be right for you. And then just for some housekeeping, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Content is offered for information purposes only. Unless stated otherwise, any and all individuals participating in the video are third parties that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Unless stated otherwise, the views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. The accuracy and completeness of content shared cannot be guaranteed. Seeking Alpha does not take account of your objectives or financial situation and does not offer any personalized investment advice. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker, US investment advisor, or investment bank. Thank you so much.
Read Steven Cress’ Article on Seeking Alpha
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McDonald’s on Wednesday announced plans to create its own media network, following in the footsteps of retail giants like Amazon and Walmart.
In August, 450 of its company-owned U.S. restaurants began displaying advertising for other companies on its digital drive-thru order boards as part of a pilot. It is early days for the program, which has not yet rolled out to the franchisees who operate the rest of its roughly 14,000 U.S. locations.
Still, McDonald’s hopes that it could eventually grow to be a $1 billion business for the company.
“Commerce media is one of the fastest-growing areas in advertising, and it’s expected to reach more than $100 billion in the U.S. alone by 2028,” Morgan Flatley, McDonald’s global chief marketing officer and executive vice president of new business ventures, said during an investor presentation.
“It’s an opportunity to generate revenue for the system with little in the way of additional cost, no operational complexity and no disruption to our customer experience,” Flatley added.
The move could eventually bring McDonald’s a steady stream of high-margin revenue as costs for key inputs like beef climb and as the chain plans to invest billions of dollars in restaurant upgrades over the next decade.
In the restaurant industry, McDonald’s would be a pioneer for creating its own media network. CFO Ian Borden said that the company is uniquely positioned to make it a success.
“We have one of the most valuable brands of any company of our size and scale in any industry,” Borden told CNBC. “We serve about 85% of the U.S. population at least once a year, so we have reach that’s quite unique, and we have 14,000 locations across the U.S., which means we’re in every community, and we’re connecting with every consumer.”
Retailers like Amazon and Walmart have found success running their own media networks, which tend to be high-margin businesses. Amazon reported $68.6 billion in advertising service sales in 2025, accounting for just under 10% of the company’s overall revenue. Amazon’s ads appear across its portfolio, from its shopping pages to Prime Video to lockers and live streaming platform Twitch, as well as third-party apps and websites.
Walmart does not share specific sales results for its advertising unit, but the company said that Connect, its U.S. ad business, grew sales 43% in its fiscal second quarter. The retailer’s media network shows ads on its app, website and inside its more than 4,600 U.S. stores, plus outside apps like Instagram. It also bought TV maker Vizio in late 2024 with an eye toward its ad business.
McDonald’s newest venture was announced as part of the company’s investor day, which was hosted at its Chicago headquarters. In addition to the media network, executives shared more details about plans to grow sales through pricey restaurant upgrades and better food quality.
DETROIT — As President Donald Trump meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping this week, U.S. politicians as well as the global automotive industry are warning that allowing Chinese automakers to enter the market could be a Pandora’s box.
Trump earlier this month said he might be “OK” letting Chinese automakers into the U.S. if they produced vehicles domestically, leading a consortium of auto trade groups representing every major facet of the American auto industry to urge him to rethink that position.
It was an uncharacteristically unified message from automakers operating in the U.S., franchised dealers and suppliers. More than two dozen Democratic lawmakers followed that push with their own letter, urging Trump to keep in place U.S. restrictions against Chinese automakers.
“It’s not at this point a partisan issue,” Sen. Elissa Slotkin, D-Mich., told reporters Wednesday. “It’s about whether we want to make cars in America and whether we want a manufacturing base that can pivot when we need it. If we want that, we shouldn’t let them in our country.”
Trump is scheduled to host Xi and a delegation from China on Thursday and Friday that reportedly could include Wang Chuanfu, founder of BYD, China’s largest automaker, and Robin Zeng, founder of CATL, the world’s top battery maker for electric vehicles.
Michael Dunne, an expert on China’s automotive industry and a former General Motors executive, said even the potential that those two executives could attend underscores the importance of Xi’s trip for the U.S. auto industry.
GM CEO Mary Barra is also expected to be among the attendees at Trump’s state dinner for Xi, Reuters reported Wednesday, along with several other U.S. executives, including Tesla CEO Elon Musk.
As for America’s other largest automakers, Ford Motor declined to disclose whether CEO Jim Farley will be attending after the Department of Transportation criticized the company for its Chinese ties, including a licensing deal with CATL. Reuters reported Chrysler parent Stellantis said CEO Antonio Filosa is out of the country and not planning to attend.
Industry insiders and onlookers have expressed concerns similar to those raised by automakers and lawmakers as bipartisan bills to ban Chinese automakers from the U.S. move through Congress.
The pressure campaign comes as China-made vehicles have been rapidly expanding outside of their domestic market, especially to Europe and Central and South America. There’s fear among global automakers that Chinese rivals, like BYD and Geely, which are heavily subsidized by their governments, could flood global markets, undercutting domestic production and vehicle prices.
Dunne said he doesn’t believe those concerns are overblown. He said Chinese automakers would “quickly overwhelm America’s auto industry, just as it is now ravaging Europe.”
Global market share for Chinese brands jumped nearly 70% from 2020 to 2025, according to market research and consulting firm GlobalData. The automakers’ market share in the European Union was virtually nothing in 2020 but hit 12% in August, according to Germany-based Dataforce.
“China’s scores of automakers are currently engaged in a fight-to-the-death price war at home,” Dunne wrote in a post Monday. “There’s red ink everywhere. Access to the U.S., by far the most lucrative car market in the world, is like a giant tank of life-saving oxygen.”
‘Attacking very aggressively’
For much of this century, China was one of the largest and fastest-growing markets in the world. Non-China automakers flocked to the historically enclosed country with hopes of massive sales and profits.
But after years of success for automakers such as GM, the Chinese automotive sector has rapidly changed from an insular industry to the biggest exporter of vehicles globally.
China’s growth has been fueled by government funding for companies as well as a culture of innovation and speed the country has instilled in its workers, experts said. The decision to ramp up exports has come on the heels of a slowing Chinese market and plant underutilization.
A BYD Sealion 6 DM-i on display during the Busan International Mobility Show 2026 in South Korea, June 27, 2026.
Sopa Images | Lightrocket | Getty Images
Christian Meunier, Nissan Motor chairman of the Americas, described competing against Chinese automakers as a “hell of a challenge” in countries outside of the U.S.
“They have decent product but it’s all dumping,” he told CNBC during a recent interview. “We know we’re not competing with [automakers], we’re competing against the governments. … They’re attacking very aggressively.”
Meunier said the Japanese automaker has been trying to battle the Chinese as best as it can through growing scale globally to lower costs and become more efficient.
“We need to get ready for the day when they come to the U.S. because it will happen one day. Hopefully not tomorrow, but it will happen one day,” he said.
Dunne said China’s ambitions and ways of doing business are vastly different than the U.S.’ allies, which makes it different from allowing imports from Japan, South Korea and other countries.
“As Xi Jinping has alluded to many times, the goal for China is to ‘make other countries more dependent on China and China less dependent on other countries.’ That’s not a friendly posture,” Dunne said.
— CNBC’s Justin Papp contributed to this report.
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Melania Trump rings New York Stock Exchange opening bell to launch new women’s initiative Imperia
It’s called Imperia, and its members include CEOs, founders, innovators, entrepreneurs and others.
A lot of the first lady’s attention has been on children, but, with Imperia, she is leaning on her business skills to encourage women to harness their economic power and help others understand women’s role in a global economy.
“For generations, women fought for a seat at the table,” she told a meeting of the group. “The next chapter is about owning, growing and making space for the women who come next.”
She said that means owning businesses, equity, real estate, capital and investment assets, along with “our ideas, our intellectual property and our economic future.”
“People still do not fully understand the full scale of women’s power in the global economy,” she continued. “Women are not just part of the marketplace, simple participants. We are its foundation, and we are its infrastructure.”
In a rare television interview earlier Wednesday on Fox News Channel’s “Fox & Friends” to promote Imperia, the first lady addressed several other subjects, including this week’s state visit of Chinese President Xi Jinping, her efforts to reunite children separated from their families by Russia’s war against Ukraine, her new docuseries and the extent of her public engagements.Some recent news reports have said the first lady is appearing in public less often than during President Donald Trump’s first term.
Melania Trump said the difference is that she is more focused on getting results.
“You don’t see me everywhere, but behind the scenes I’m working nonstop,” she said, citing as an example the preparations for her events in New York this week on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly and for Xi’s visit. “I’m working on so many projects … in the future. So stay tuned.”
She was deeply involved in the planning for Xi’s visit in her role as first lady. She said her husband decided to personally greet China’s leader after his plane lands because of their “great relationship.” President Trump typically greets leaders at the White House.
As of July, Melania Trump had helped reunite five groups of Ukrainian and Russian children with their families, work that underscores the more global approach she has taken during the Republican president’s second term. She said that she has a “direct channel” with leaders from the warring countries and that her team is working on another reunification.
“This is ongoing, and we want to reunite as many children as possible,” the first lady said. “And that’s my focus as well. What they’re going through, it’s heartbreaking. And it’s nothing better to see than a child reunite with the parents, right?”
The first lady also rang the opening bell at the NYSE in January before the release of her Amazon documentary, “Melania,” about her life in the weeks leading up to Donald Trump’s inauguration for a second term in office. A new two-part docuseries featuring her will be released in the fall. She said it will be different from the documentary and teased that it will include some surprises.
“It’s more conversation, one on one with me,” the first lady said. “So when I was traveling and doing all of the filming, the director was asking me questions, and there are some private questions that I will answer that people never heard before. So it’s kind of exciting.
Former MLB All-Star Albert Pujols discusses the league’s new AI-augmented camera system. Pujols also reacts to his induction into the Cardinals Hall of Fame and shares details on the Playing with Heart program.
Albert Pujols is embracing baseball’s technology-driven changes, arguing that a new way to challenge ball-and-strike calls could give players another chance when a game is on the line.
MLB legend Albert Pujols weighs in on baseball’s new AI-powered challenge system and how technology is changing the game. (Mary DeCicco/WBCI/MLB / Getty Images)
The former MLB All-Star joined FOX Business’ Stuart Varney on “Varney & Co.” to discuss the Automated Ball-Strike (ABS) Challenge System, which allows batters, pitchers and catchers to contest ball-and-strike calls, and how changes to the game could benefit fans.
Meta’s new AI agent Muse partners with Instacart for grocery shopping. The ‘Varney & Co.’ panel discusses the technology’s capabilities, human concierge testing and why some investment strategists are still not buying Meta stock.
The system gives batters, pitchers and catchers a way to challenge an umpire’s ball-or-strike call rather than leaving a potentially pivotal decision unchanged. For Pujols, who finished his career with 703 home runs, its appeal is especially clear in the final moments of a close game.
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“I love it,” Pujols said, “I didn’t play… My career with it but now covering in baseball and watching some of the guys taking a chance and opportunity what I love the most is that there might be a chance in the bottom of the ninth and they might call strike on you… And you might get a chance to come back… And probably win so it’s a second opportunity.”
French Foreign Ministry spokesperson Pascal Confavreux tells Fox News Digital why France is bringing leading AI executives to the UN to address security risks and the protection of young people.
Pujols acknowledged that challenges can put umpires in a difficult position, but he connected the latest change to baseball’s broader push to improve the pace of play. He pointed to the pitch clock as another adjustment that initially drew questions but has helped shorten games.
META’S MUSE BECOMES APP STORE’S HOTTEST DOWNLOAD
“We put the umpires in a tough situation… But this is where we are in baseball right now,” he said. Later, discussing the changes and their effect on spectators, he added, “This is great for baseball.”
FOX Business’ Liz Claman hosted a fireside chat with AMD CEO Lisa Su and First Lady Melania Trump during a trip to the New York Stock Exchange celebrating women in business.
As U.S. leadership in artificial intelligence (AI) and the semiconductor industry remains a central economic and national security issue, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Chair and CEO Lisa Su said she will attend President Donald Trump’s state dinner for Chinese President Xi Jinping.
“I’m honored to say that I will be at the dinner tomorrow night,” Su told FOX Business’ Liz Claman in a fireside chat on Wednesday during a trip to the New York Stock Exchange celebrating women in business. “It is an honor… to be there.”
“This summit between the presidents, President Xi and President Trump, is very impactful, very important. I think technology is one of those areas where we rely on the global ecosystem to come together. So, yes, I think we’re anxiously looking at what will come out of it. And the truth is, we want to ensure that there’s good stability across the global ecosystem as it relates to technology.”
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Su will join other prominent American tech leaders, including Tesla CEO Elon Musk, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang and Apple’s Tim Cook. The tech leaders’ anticipated attendance at the Trump-Xi state dinner comes at a time of geopolitical tensions, including over the development of AI and access to both models and the chips that power them.
AMD CEO Lisa Su announced Wednesday that she will be attending the state dinner with U.S. President Donald Trump and President of the People’s Republic of China Xi Jinping. (Getty Images)
The U.S. and China are competing to develop increasingly capable AI tools, a source of tension between the two countries. China’s access to specialized chips that power advanced AI models has been restricted through U.S. export controls on advanced semiconductors, including those made by Nvidia.
President Trump recently described AI as potentially the greatest industrial revolution in history. As demand for compute capability grows, leaders in the industry face a dual responsibility to expand U.S. technology while establishing technical safeguards.
FOX Business’ Edward Lawrence reports on Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s arrival to meet with China’s vice premiers. This comes ahead of President Trump’s meeting with Chinese President Xi JinPing.
“I am an AI optimist,” Su said. “You know, I will say that for sure… And I’m not, you know, just saying this because I’m a technology person. In terms of power, of technology and what I’ve seen over my career over the last 30 plus years, it is the most powerful technology I’ve ever seen.”
“The world is going to be very ambitious with AI. The world should be very ambitious with AI. And I think we as technology companies and we as the American U.S. ecosystem must continue to be very aggressive while also ensuring that everybody comes together and realizes that we must build trust in AI,” she continued. “It is absolutely non-negotiable that we must build trust in AI.”
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A red carpet rollout is planned for when Xi and his wife, Peng Liyuan, arrive at Joint Base Andrews on Wednesday evening, replete with an arrival ceremony for the man who has found himself at odds with Trump on issues ranging from artificial intelligence and intellectual property theft, trade practices, rare-earth minerals to the communist country’s support for Iran during America’s military conflict there. Xi hasn’t visited the nation’s capital in more than a decade.
President Donald Trump discusses artificial intelligence during remarks delivered before the United Nations General Assembly.
AI will be a major topic of discussion during the two-day summit, which officially begins Thursday morning and ends Friday evening, according to a senior administration official.
FOX Business’ Eric Revell and Fox News’ Peter D’Abrosca and Ashley J. DiMella contributed to this report.
Ulla Paajanen
Good afternoon to our guests here in the room and to everyone joining us online. My name is Ulla Paajanen, and I will be responsible for WISA’s Investor Relations. A warm welcome to WISA’s first Capital Markets Day hosted here at UPM Biofore House.
I would also like to remind you of our clear disclaimer since we might be making forward-looking statements. And before we begin, let me briefly get — go through some important safety information regarding the premises. Safety is a top priority for WISA. Therefore I would like to remind everyone here that in the event of evacuation, please leave all personal belongings behind and proceed outside as quickly and safely as possible. Our designated meeting point is located directly in front of the Biofore House.
Your today’s presenters are Chair of the Board, Tapio Korpeinen, whose distinguished career spans leadership position as a CFO and business area Executive at UPM. Joining him is President and CEO, Tuija Suur-Hamari, a highly respected leader with extensive experience across the forest industry, particularly in materials-based and industrial businesses. Completing the team is Chief Financial Officer, Lasse von Hertzen, who brings a unique combination of capital markets expertise from investment banking and deep financial leadership experience from UPM.
Let us now turn to today’s agenda. As you can see, Tapio will begin by sharing why UPM believes WISA is well positioned to create greater value as
WA is moving to regulate student housing projects through the planning system.
The dollar briefly hit a seven-week high against a basket of currencies before paring gains as oil prices see-sawed.
Crude prices turned lower after Japan’s Kyodo News said Iran offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if the U.S. takes steps toward easing military pressure.
An earlier rise in oil prices, which reflected continuing shipping risks, had lifted the dollar due to the U.S.’s position as a net oil exporter and the currency’s safe-haven role.
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