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Business confidence plunges as IoD warns Burnham on Whitehall reform

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Business confidence has fallen sharply to its lowest point this year, according to the Institute of Directors

Andy Burnham delivers a speech at The People's Museum in Manchester

Andy Burnham delivers a speech at The People’s Museum in Manchester(Image: Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images)

Ministers must focus on delivery rather than “changes in the machinery of government” if business confidence is to be restored, one of Britain’s most influential lobby groups has warned, in a direct message to Andy Burnham as he readies himself to overhaul Whitehall and devolve power to the North of England.

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In its monthly business confidence survey, the Institute of Directors revealed that economic sentiment among bosses fell sharply this month. The reading for optimism on the UK economy over the next 12 months dropped to -61 from -53 in May.

Company directors were equally downbeat about their own firms’ prospects and future sales, with revenue expectations sliding to their lowest point this year.

Economists have noted that businesses are still feeling the aftershocks of the collapse in trade across the Strait of Hormuz, the vital Middle Eastern chokepoint that was shut off as a result of the Iran war.

Bank of England analysis has indicated that the impact on consumer demand and the surge in input costs could leave businesses grappling with inflation and sluggish growth for the remainder of the year.

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Anna Leach, chief economist at the IoD, said disruption and uncertainty were “becoming normalised” for 80 per cent of companies, and called on ministers to simplify the tax system and reduce regulatory costs in order to ease the pressure on firms.

“As well as easing back on investment and hiring, this is pushing businesses to prioritise resilience over expansion, maintain higher reserves, reduce discretionary spend, diversify their supply chains and enhance their risk management,” Leach said, as reported by City AM.

“While there is a logic to changes in the machinery of government, what matters is delivery on the ground. Businesses need to see meaningful improvements in areas like regulatory cost, tax complexity and swiftness and consistency of government decisions to fundamentally unlock spending and get growth going.”

The IoD’s remarks serve as a cautionary note to Burnham following his announcement of plans to establish a Number 10 in the North and shift power away from London.

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According to the survey, cost expectations remained stable despite a sharp drop in oil and gas prices earlier this month, triggered by the announcement of a draft peace deal between the US and Iran. It had been hoped the agreement might ease price pressures and keep inflation in check.

Some 43 per cent of business leaders surveyed said supply shortages could affect their operations, with firms remaining apprehensive about disruptions stemming from the breakdown of trade across the Middle East.

Fuel shortages emerged as the greatest risk facing businesses, with a larger share of directors flagging concerns about the impact compared to April, according to the IoD, which represents thousands of senior executives across Britain.

The IoD’s findings broadly mirrored those of Lloyds Banking’s business barometer, which similarly indicated a drop in confidence levels.

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International businesses that participated in Lloyds’ survey were notably more upbeat about growth prospects, according to researchers, as their outlook on the wider economy improved.

Confidence among businesses was strongest in London and the East Midlands, according to the bank, whose survey encompasses companies with an annual turnover exceeding £250,000.

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Singapore vs Hong Kong vs Dubai: Regional HQ Trade-Offs for Investors

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Singapore vs Hong Kong vs Dubai: Regional HQ Trade-Offs for Investors

Global reforms emphasize control and decision-making authority over legal forms, shifting regional headquarters evaluation to governance, risk management, and value creation, impacted by tax rates and regulatory expectations.

Evolving Evaluation of Regional Headquarters

Global minimum tax, stricter substance enforcement, and geopolitical fragmentation have reshaped how regional headquarters are assessed. Singapore, Hong Kong, and Dubai now serve distinct roles, each aligned with different strategies for controlling operations and managing risks. They are no longer interchangeable hubs competing on similar benefits, but rather centers tailored to specific business models and regulatory environments.

Authority and Control Define a Headquarters

The focus has shifted from a legal entity’s structure to the authority it exercises within an organization. Regulators and counterparties increasingly scrutinize where key decisions—related to capital allocation, pricing, treasury, and risk management—are made. An entity exercising discretion in these areas is viewed as a true control center, influencing regulatory treatment and compliance risk instead of mere administrative support.

Governance and Control in Practice

Beyond reporting functions, the extent of authority impacts governance, documentation, and accountability standards. These factors determine a company’s regulatory exposure and defenses. While corporate tax rates like Singapore’s 17% and Hong Kong’s 16.5% are still relevant, emphasis now also rests on where value creation and control are evidenced within the organization.

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Amazon and Microsoft Delivered Major Earnings Wins

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Amazon and Microsoft Delivered Major Earnings Wins

Are you tired? I’m tired. In addition to four Big Tech companies reporting earnings this past week, the calendar included results for second-quarter gross domestic product and the June personal consumption expenditures price index, along with the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision. Unscheduled, there was a meltdown of the artificial-intelligence trade, as highly leveraged bull positions were liquidated. The iShares Semiconductor exchange-traded fund was down 12% across three days, and one of the most successful AI investors—hedge fund Situational Awareness—saw margin calls and forced sales.

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Exclusive | KKR Near Deal to Buy Integer Holdings

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Exclusive | KKR Near Deal to Buy Integer Holdings

Private-equity firm KKR KKR is near a deal to take medical-device outsourcing company Integer Holdings ITGR private, according to people familiar with the matter.

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The deal, which could come as soon as next week, would value the Plano, Texas-based company at roughly $127 a share, the people said. There are no guarantees a deal will come together.

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Exclusive-Japan to announce Tokyo, Washington took joint action on yen, sources say

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Exclusive-Japan to announce Tokyo, Washington took joint action on yen, sources say

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Apple Slump Drags on Tech Stocks

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Stocks Fall After Trump Picks Kevin Warsh as Next Fed Chair

A 9% selloff in Apple stock hasn’t done much to slow down the Nasdaq today.

Apple was recently down about $470 billion in market capitalization, on pace for its largest one-day market cap decline on record and the second-largest of any U.S. company. If it holds, the decline will be Apple’s biggest since 2020.

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Siltronic AG ADR 2026 Q2 – Results – Earnings Call Presentation (OTCMKTS:SLTCY) 2026-08-01

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

This article was written by

Seeking Alpha’s transcripts team is responsible for the development of all of our transcript-related projects. We currently publish thousands of quarterly earnings calls per quarter on our site and are continuing to grow and expand our coverage. The purpose of this profile is to allow us to share with our readers new transcript-related developments. Thanks, SA Transcripts Team

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Israeli strikes kill at least four in Gaza despite Trump announcing breakthrough

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Israeli strikes kill at least four in Gaza despite Trump announcing breakthrough

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Three dead in Idaho shopping center shooting

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Three dead in Idaho shopping center shooting

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Retail Earnings Season Could Be the Messiest Yet

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Retail Earnings Season Could Be the Messiest Yet

Retailers’ second-quarter earnings season is poised to begin in mid-August, and it may look a bit like a sandcastle being reclaimed by the sea: lumpy, all over the place, and with plenty of moving parts.

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Westinghouse IPO Could Be America’s Biggest Nuclear Offering Yet

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Westinghouse IPO Could Be America’s Biggest Nuclear Offering Yet

Westinghouse IPO Could Be America’s Biggest Nuclear Offering Yet

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