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Canada’s Big Banks: Are They Really That Cyclical?

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

The big six Canadian banks are up more than 50% over the last 12 months, outperforming the closest comparable sectors. Mario Mendonca, Managing Director at TD Cowen, explores why Canadian banks are outperforming and may not be as vulnerable to credit cycles as in the past.

Transcript

Kim Parlee: Over the last year, the big six Canadian banks are up more than 54%, outperforming most financial sector comparables. And after the last set of earnings, my next guest is asking the question, are the banks really that cyclical? Here to break it all down for us is Mario Mendonca. He is managing director at TD Cowen.

Great to have you here.

Mario Mendonca: Thank you.

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Kim Parlee: Great report. We usually spend a lot of time talking about individual banks, but this is really a bigger question, I think, for all the banks. Maybe I’ll just start with a big question saying, why are you asking this question?

Mario Mendonca: Bank valuations are at very high levels. There are three, four, perhaps even more valuation metrics I use to gauge absolute and relative valuation. All of them are pointing to extremely high valuations. In fact, we’re looking at things like 24-year highs in certain metrics, all-time highs in others.

And when valuation becomes this stretched, we can only go one of two ways. You can either conclude that something’s changed, something’s different this time, or they’re going to come tumbling down, that this is unrealistic.

And I think a lot of the investors I speak to are grappling with that issue. So I spent time in this report trying to answer the question for myself and for investors.

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Kim Parlee: So you actually– I’m going to bring your report right back to you. But you have– basically, there’s some basic reasons why we could

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Sempra’s Port Arthur Connector Completes A Critical Link In U.S. LNG Export Infrastructure

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Sempra's Port Arthur Connector Completes A Critical Link In U.S. LNG Export Infrastructure

Infrastructure Capital Advisors (“Infrastructure Capital”) is a leading provider of investment management solutions designed to meet the needs of income-focused investors. Jay Hatfield is CEO and CIO of the investment team. Mr. Hatfield is the lead portfolio manager of the InfraCap Small Cap Income ETF (NYSE: SCAP), InfraCap Equity Income Fund ETF (NYSE: ICAP), InfraCap MLP ETF (NYSE: AMZA), Virtus InfraCap U.S. Preferred Stock ETF (NYSE: PFFA), InfraCap REIT Preferred ETF (NYSE: PFFR), and a series of private accounts. Infrastructure Capital frequently appears on or is quoted in Fox Business, CNBC, Barron’s, The Wall Street Journal, Yahoo Finance, TD Ameritrade Network, and Bloomberg Radio/TV. The team at Infrastructure Capital publishes a monthly market and economic report, quarterly commentaries, investing primers, and asset class and strategy research. In addition, Infrastructure Capital hosts a monthly webinar and attends industry conferences in an effort to provide educational investing resources.

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ASX 200 Ends Flat at 8,820 After Volatile Day, Even as Neuren Pharmaceuticals Stuns With 36% Surge

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Australia Housing Market 2026: Two-Speed Boom Persists as Prices Hit

SYDNEY — Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index closed essentially unchanged Monday, slipping just 3.3 points, or 0.04%, to settle at 8,820.1, after a session that swung between gains and losses before ultimately finishing close to where it started.

The muted overall result masked considerable movement beneath the surface, with the index briefly testing red territory during the session before investors regained their footing, building on momentum from the prior week. Closing figures from Monday put the index at slightly different levels depending on the data provider, with some pegging the final close at 8,823.4, a gain of roughly 0.68% on the day, reflecting the kind of cross-source discrepancies common when index data is sourced from different real-time feeds.

The day’s standout performer, by a wide margin, was Neuren Pharmaceuticals, which rocketed 36.07% to close at $16.60 after the company announced a major regulatory breakthrough in Europe tied to its Rett syndrome treatment. The healthcare sector overall benefited from that surge, with the S&P/ASX 200 Healthcare Index trading comfortably above its 50-day moving average for the first time since last August and sitting up roughly 16.6% since early June, underscoring just how much of the sector’s recent strength has been concentrated in a handful of major biotech announcements.

Beyond healthcare, gains were broad-based across most major sectors. Financial stocks climbed between 0.75% and 0.9% to 1.4%, with all four of Australia’s major banks posting advances on the day. Energy shares added roughly 0.69%, recovering some ground after a rough finish to the prior week driven by falling oil prices. Consumer staples rose about 0.65%, communications stocks gained 1.11%, consumer discretionary names jumped 1.02%, and mining and materials stocks lifted 0.85%, with strong iron ore prices helping push heavyweight names like BHP Group and Fortescue Metals Group higher. Among individual movers, Computershare added 2.6%, Pro Medicus gained 1.9%, and Ramelius Resources climbed 2.3% after agreeing to sell its Edna May Gold Hub. Not every major name participated in the rally, however; telecommunications giant Telstra slipped around 1.4% on the day.

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The relatively calm finish to Monday’s trading came against a more encouraging geopolitical backdrop than markets had faced through much of the prior week. Washington and Tehran reached an agreement over the weekend to halt direct attacks on one another, easing a fragile period of tit-for-tat strikes that had rattled global markets and pushed oil prices higher in recent days. The clashes had begun the previous Thursday when Iran struck a container ship, prompting retaliatory U.S. strikes, with further exchanges over the weekend after Iran targeted a vessel carrying Qatari oil and launched missiles and drones at military installations in Kuwait and Bahrain. According to U.S. officials, both sides agreed to stand down for the time being while allowing commercial vessels to continue moving freely through affected waterways, with fresh negotiations between the two countries scheduled to resume in Doha later in the week, focusing particularly on reopening shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz, a passage through which roughly a fifth of the world’s oil and gas supply flows.

That de-escalation helped lift sentiment across global markets overnight and into Monday’s Asia-Pacific session, with U.S. futures strengthening as investors grew more confident that the worst of the regional conflict risk had passed, at least for now. The improved mood also coincided with fresh economic data out of China, Australia’s largest trading partner, showing industrial profits surged 18.8% year-over-year across the January-to-May period, a figure analysts attributed in part to continued strength in artificial intelligence-driven investment and ongoing policy support for advanced manufacturing sectors in China.

Despite that encouraging trade-partner data, some caution lingered heading into the back half of the week. Investors remained wary ahead of China’s official June purchasing managers’ index data, due for release in the coming days, which is expected to offer further insight into the health of demand from Australia’s largest export market. Closer to home, attention has also turned to the Reserve Bank of Australia’s minutes from its most recent June policy meeting, with some market watchers flagging the possibility that the central bank could maintain a hawkish tilt aimed at containing inflation, particularly following stronger-than-expected employment figures released earlier in the month.

Monday’s session also fell during a period in which a sizable group of ASX-listed names traded ex-dividend, a technical factor that typically weighs modestly on individual share prices without reflecting any underlying change in company fundamentals. Stocks affected included infrastructure and property names such as APA Group, Transurban Group, Goodman Group, Dexus, Mirvac Group, Charter Hall Group and Centuria Industrial REIT, with Transurban set to pay shareholders a 35-cent-per-share final dividend in mid-August.

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Zooming out, Monday’s near-flat finish capped what has otherwise been a solid stretch for Australian equities. The ASX 200 has risen approximately 1% so far in June, putting it on track for a third consecutive monthly gain, supported by resilient consumer spending and a rebound in domestic employment figures. On a quarterly basis, the index is tracking its first quarterly rise in three quarters, up roughly 4% so far, while the benchmark remains up about 3.3% over the trailing 12 months, with a 52-week trading range spanning from 8,262.40 to 9,202.90.

For now, Monday’s session reflects a market in a holding pattern of sorts: broadly supported by easing geopolitical risk, encouraging trade-partner economic data and a standout, headline-grabbing biotech rally, but still keeping a close eye on upcoming Chinese manufacturing data and the Reserve Bank’s policy commentary for clearer signals on where the index heads from here.

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Asian stocks mixed as China PMI offsets caution ahead of U.S. jobs data

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Asian stocks mixed as China PMI offsets caution ahead of U.S. jobs data

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Euroz sells corp fin division to Canadian bank

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Euroz sells corp fin division to Canadian bank

Perth stockbroker Euroz Hartleys has shaken hands with the Bank of Montreal to sell its corporate finance division for $145 million while retaining its wealth management arm.

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Hollywood director Carl Rinsch gets two and half years in prison for defrauding Netflix

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Carl Rinsch

A Hollywood director convicted of defrauding Netflix of $11m (£8.3m) last year has been sentenced to two and a half years in prison.

Carl Erik Rinsch was accused of using Netflix funds intended to complete a science fiction series to buy cars, cryptocurrency and other luxuries for himself.

The 48-year-old, best known for the 2013 film 47 Ronin, was convicted of federal fraud and money laundering for misusing funds.

Rinsch faced up to 90 years in prison, but was expected to receive a lighter sentence.

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Judge Jay Rakoff also sentenced Rinsch to three years of supervised release, $11m in forfeitures, and a $700 fine.

Speaking to the court before the judge issued his sentence, Rinsch apologised and said he accepted responsibility for his crimes.

“Today’s sentence sends a deterrent message: Fraud will not be tolerated,” US Attorney Jay Clayton said in a statement.

Prosecutors said Netflix gave Rinsch roughly $55m for the unfinished sci-fi show, initially named White Horse, including $11m he told them he needed to complete production.

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Instead, prosecutors said, he put the money in a personal account where he invested it and lost half within a couple of months.

He put funds into cryptocurrency, and spent money on lavish purchases such as Rolls Royce cars and mattresses costing hundreds of thousands of dollars, according to prosecutors.

During his one-week trial in New York, several Netflix executives were called to testify, saying they only agreed to one season of the show, which Rinsch failed to deliver.

Rinsch took the stand as well – a rare move for a defendant in a criminal case – claiming the situation was a misunderstanding and he believed the money was meant to keep the show going during the pandemic.

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The New York Times reported, external that friends and colleagues described Rinsch as growing increasingly erratic shortly after he signed the Netflix deal.

The outlet reported that he believed he could predict lightning strikes and volcanic eruptions and knew about a “secret transmission mechanism” for Covid-19.

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Australia treasurer says alleged access of prime minister’s bank data ’incredibly concerning’

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Australia treasurer says alleged access of prime minister’s bank data ’incredibly concerning’


Australia treasurer says alleged access of prime minister’s bank data ’incredibly concerning’

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MGL rides PNG adoption wave, analysts see further upside

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MGL rides PNG adoption wave, analysts see further upside
ET Intelligence Group: Shares of Mahanagar Gas (MGL) have rallied 23% over the past three months, driven by expectations of higher sales volume and increased customer acquisition helped by the government’s push to accelerate the adoption of piped natural gas (PNG) amid global supply chain disruptions. The company aims to increase the PNG customer base by 20% from the current 20 lakh users in the near term. This will likely boost PNG consumption by 12%. Despite the sharp run-up, the stock trades at a P/E multiple of 13.7, a modest premium to its historical valuation of 12.5.

In late March, the central government mandated that households with access to piped gas infrastructure must transition from LPG (liquefied petroleum gas) to PNG within three months. This is expected to accelerate MGL’s volume growth to double digits from the current single-digit pace. It reported 8.3% volume growth for FY26. While its core compressed natural gas (CNG) business, which accounted for 72% of revenue in FY26, will continue to grow at a steady pace, MGL management expects overall volume growth to be driven by the PNG segment. The company aims to add between four-five lakh PNG customers in the near term.

MGL may have Enough Gas in Pipeline for Further RiseAgencies

Govt push to promote piped gas to lift sales; co could sacrifice near-term profits to accelerate infrastructure deployment

The company is willing to sacrifice near-term profits to fast-track infrastructure deployment and drive volume growth. The strategy is intended to maximise market penetration while prices of alternative fuels like petrol, diesel, and LPG remain volatile. MGL has provided a capex guidance of ₹1,200 crores for FY27 to expand the network. However, it faces execution risk as pipeline laying on public roads is expected to experience a temporary slowdown during the monsoon months. Additionally, a shortage of labour, plumbers, contractors and material may also affect execution. With all city gas distribution companies in expansion mode, MGL is competing with peers for the same pool of skilled workers.
According to brokerages, MGL’s stock valuation looks attractive given future earnings growth. Motilal Oswal Financial Services expects 9% overall annual volume growth over FY26-28. “At around 10.8x FY28E P/E, valuations appear attractive offering scope for re-rating as margin pressures ease,” the broking firm said in a report.

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Six killed in shooting at mother-and-child shelter in northern Germany

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Six killed in shooting at mother-and-child shelter in northern Germany


Six killed in shooting at mother-and-child shelter in northern Germany

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Guo Wengui: Chinese tycoon sentenced to 30 years in US jail

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Chinese billionaire Guo Wengui places his hands together while speaking on stage during a news conference in 2018 in New York

Guo Wengui, who was once believed to be one of China’s richest businessmen, has been sentenced to 30 years in jail in the US for running a billion dollar scam.

The former property tycoon had fled China to the US in 2017, where he reinvented himself as a Communist Party critic and built a loyal online following.

But Guo was later convicted on charges of racketeering, fraud and money laundering.

New York court judge Analisa Torres said Guo had “preyed on those seeking to bring democracy to China”, taking their money to fund his lavish lifestyle.

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The BBC has contacted Guo’s representatives for comment.

Guo – who goes by several names, including Miles Guo and Ho Wan Kwok – was sentenced in a courtroom packed with his supporters.

US attorney Sean S Buckley told the BBC: “Rather than being satisfied with the many legitimate opportunities afforded to him, Guo exploited the trust that thousands had placed in him for his own greed.”

“Today’s sentence shows that fame and wealth do not place you above the law, and that fraudsters who victimise families to enrich themselves will be met with significant consequences,” Buckley said.

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Before fleeing China, Guo built a fortune as a property developer and had good ties with the country’s government.

But he sought asylum in the US after being accused by top Chinese officials of corruption.

Guo became a critic of China’s Communist regime and cultivated a wide online following among the Chinese community in the US.

Prosecutors said Guo raised more than $1bn (£760m) from online followers, who joined him in investment and cryptocurrency schemes between 2018 and 2023.

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The money he raised was used to fund Guo’s lavish lifestyle which included a 50,000 square foot mansion, a $1m Lamborghini and a $37m yacht, they said.

Guo denied the allegations, saying the funds were used for his political activism.

He had built ties with other China critics, including Steve Bannon, a former adviser to US President Donald Trump.

Bannon and Guo often appeared in online videos and, in 2020, launched a campaign called the New Federal State of China, with the goal of overthrowing the Chinese Communist Party.

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Later that year, Bannon was arrested on Guo’s yacht in Connecticut. Bannon was charged in an unrelated case with fraud in an alleged scheme to defraud people who funded a not-for-profit company to build a US-Mexico border wall.

Bannon entered a guilty plea in a Manhattan court to a first degree scheme to defraud charge and received a sentence of conditional discharge for three years.

He also faced federal charges over the wall campaign after he was indicted by a federal grand jury, but the prosecution came to a halt after Trump pardoned him in the final hours of his first White House term.

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Industry angst amid container changes

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Industry angst amid container changes

The wine sector is concerned about the burden of becoming part of the state’s Containers for Change program.

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