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CLSA sees 29% downside in Meesho despite a 19% YTD rally. Buy, sell or hold?

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CLSA sees 29% downside in Meesho despite a 19% YTD rally. Buy, sell or hold?
Meesho shares have gained nearly 19% so far in 2026, but CLSA believes the stock’s valuation already reflects overly optimistic expectations for advertising revenue, order growth and logistics savings.

The company’s shares have gained 18.76% year to date, outperforming the Nifty 500, which has declined 3.90% over the same period. Despite the rally, CLSA maintained its Underperform rating and target price of Rs 150. The target implies a 29% downside from its previous close of Rs 210.30.

CLSA said, “Investor discussions around Meesho were largely focused on three potential growth drivers: advertising monetisation, higher order frequency and savings from latent logistics capacity. However, the brokerage believes the market is assigning a higher probability of success to these drivers than warranted.”

Investors are factoring in advertising revenue equivalent to about 5% of net merchandise value by FY30, compared with CLSA’s estimate of 3.9%. The brokerage said this expectation could be difficult to achieve because Meesho already operates at a take rate of 17.8%, compared with 5.1% for Chinese ecommerce company PDD.

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Meesho’s sellers also generate only about one-tenth of the merchandise value generated by an average PDD seller, while its seller base is about 5% of PDD’s. According to CLSA, weaker seller-level economics could restrict advertising budgets and make it harder for Meesho to scale ad revenue.


Order frequency is another area where investors expect stronger growth. Meesho’s annual order frequency stood at 10.1 in FY26, and CLSA expects it to rise to 13.4 by FY29 and about 17 by FY32.
A significant increase beyond these estimates would require Meesho to expand into categories such as fast-moving consumer goods and daily essentials, CLSA said. This could require a more localised supply chain and faster deliveries, increasing operational complexity and potentially weakening the company’s asset-light model.The brokerage also questioned whether logistics capacity would remain readily available as Meesho grows. The company accounts for about 39% of India’s ecommerce shipments, up from around 3% five years ago. As more volumes shift to Meesho’s Valmo logistics network, third-party partners may have less incentive to invest in additional infrastructure, potentially creating capacity constraints.

CLSA expects Meesho to remain loss-making through FY27, with a projected net loss of Rs 357 crore. It forecasts a profit of Rs 651 crore in FY28 and Rs 1,483 crore in FY29. The stock trades at about 149 times CLSA’s estimated FY28 earnings and 66 times FY29 earnings.

The Rs 150 target is an equal-weighted blend of CLSA’s relative-valuation estimate of Rs 172 and discounted cash-flow valuation of Rs 128. Faster advertising growth, stronger order frequency and greater logistics efficiencies remain key upside risks to the brokerage’s cautious view.

Disclaimer: This article has been written by Somanjali Das, who is not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or an Investment Adviser. Somanjali Das and his/her ‘relative(s)’ (as defined under Section 2(77) of the Companies Act, 2013) do not hold any financial interest in the companies mentioned in this article as of the date of publication. The views/recommendations mentioned in this article, wherever applicable, are those of the respective SEBI-registered Research Analyst/brokerage and have been reproduced/reported with due attribution. They should not be construed as the views or recommendations of The EconomicTimes Digital or the journalist. Readers are advised to consider the original research report and make their investment decisions based on their own assessment.
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Bernie Sanders pushes 32-hour workweek amid warnings it hurts workers

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Bernie Sanders pushes 32-hour workweek amid warnings it hurts workers

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., is renewing his push for a shorter workweek. Critics warn the 32-hour workweek proposal could come at a steep cost for American workers.

Club for Growth President David McIntosh argues the plan could cost workers jobs and benefits while making life “more unaffordable for Americans.”

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McIntosh joined FOX Business’ Stuart Varney on “Varney & Co.” to discuss Sanders’ renewed push for a 32-hour workweek and the potential impact on American workers.

Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT).

Sen. Bernie Sanders is renewing his push for a 32-hour workweek as critics raise concerns over the potential impact on American workers. (Nathan Posner/Anadolu / Getty Images)

Sanders’ proposal would lower the federal standard workweek from 40 hours to 32 hours over four years without reducing workers’ pay or benefits, with overtime applying after 32 hours. He has tied the renewed effort to advances in artificial intelligence and argued that workers should share in productivity gains.

BERNIE SANDERS UNVEILS PLAN TO TAKE 50% STAKE IN AI COMPANIES FOR GOVERNMENT WEALTH FUND

McIntosh pushed back, arguing that while AI could boost productivity and wages, mandating a shorter workweek could have unintended consequences for employees.

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“AI will make people more productive, and they’ll get paid more, but Bernie’s idea will hurt the very workers he’s trying to help. A lot of people will lose their job, lose their benefits when they implement something like that,” McIntosh said.

DALLAS MAYOR SOUNDS ALARM ON THE ‘GRAVE THREAT’ FACING AMERICA’S CITIES

He also framed the proposal as part of a broader economic agenda he believes could raise costs, criticizing what he called “far-left radical socialist policies” and warning they risk “making life more unaffordable for Americans.”

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In an appearance on “The Sunday Briefing,” Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins also discussed the idea of a shorter workweek.

“We believe in the dignity of work. It is a biblical foundation. I can’t imagine a scenario where we’d say, ‘Oh, everyone just stay home a couple more days. We’re only gonna work a couple of days.’ The American dream does not include a four-day work week from my perspective, at least,” Rollins said.

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SailPoint: Noticeable Deceleration Amid Steep Multiples (Downgrade)

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SailPoint: Noticeable Deceleration Amid Steep Multiples (Downgrade)

SailPoint: Noticeable Deceleration Amid Steep Multiples (Downgrade)

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Entrada Therapeutics at cantorfitzgerald healthcare conference: data catalysts ahead

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Entrada Therapeutics at cantorfitzgerald healthcare conference: data catalysts ahead

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Stan Kroenke agrees to buy MLB’s Angels, valuing team and regional network at $4B

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Stan Kroenke buys controlling stake in MLB's Los Angeles Angels

Owner Stan Kroenke of the Denver Nuggets on the court before Game 4 of the Nuggets’ NBA Playoffs series against the Minnesota Timberwolves at the Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota, April 25, 2026.

Aaron Ontiveroz | Denver Post | Getty Images

Stan Kroenke has added an MLB team to his growing sports empire, agreeing to purchase a controlling stake in the Los Angeles Angels from the Moreno family, according to a release.

The transaction values the Los Angeles Angels and their regional sports network at $4 billion, according to a person with direct knowledge of the deal, who was not authorized to speak on the matter.

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The deal is expected to close in the first quarter of 2027, the release said.

“The Angels are a storied franchise anchored in a great market. We look forward to an exciting future with the Angels organization,” Kroenke, owner and chairman of Kroenke Sports and Entertainment, said in the release.

Denzer Guzman #23 of the Los Angeles Angels and Vaughn Grissom #5 look on during the game between the Cleveland Guardians and the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim on Wednesday, Aug. 26, 2026 in Anaheim, California.

Rob Leiter | Major League Baseball | Getty Images

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Kroenke Sports and Entertainment was valued at more than $26 billion in CNBC’s most recent list of the world’s most valuable sports empires, published in June.

The addition of a baseball team gives KSE ownership in every major professional sport and a deeper presence in one of the top sports and entertainment markets in the world.

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KSE also owns the NFL’s Los Angeles Rams, the NBA’s Denver Nuggets and the NHL’s Colorado Avalanche, as well as Major League Soccer’s Colorado Rapids, the National Lacrosse League’s Colorado Mammoth and the Premier League’s Arsenal Football Club.

KSE also owns SoFi Stadium and the 300-acre Hollywood Park district in Inglewood, California. Kroenke spent more than $5 billion on the stadium, which is home to both the Rams and the Los Angeles Chargers.

“The Moreno Family has been honored to steward the Angels for 23 years and we believe with KSE’s experience and success they are the best next owner for the franchise,” Arte Moreno said in a statement.

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What the 2026 summer box office reveals about theatrical shifts

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What the 2026 summer box office reveals about theatrical shifts

“Spider Man: Brand New Day” and “The Odyssey.”

Sony (L) | Universal (R)

Hollywood has a new summer record.

The domestic box office tallied $4.76 billion in ticket sales during the period between May 1 and Sept. 7, the highest haul in cinematic history.

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The key moviegoing season, which starts the first weekend in May and runs through Labor Day weekend, is a pivotal piece of the theatrical calendar, typically responsible for 40% of the total annual domestic box office.

The previous summer record was cemented in 2013 when films including Disney and Marvel’s “Iron Man 3,” Illumination’s “Despicable Me 2,” Warner Bros.‘ “Man of Steel,” Pixar’s “Monsters University” and Universal’s “Fast & Furious 6” led the period to $4.75 billion. 

The 2026 season was boosted by Sony’s “Spider-Man: Brand New Day” and Universal’s “The Odyssey,” which together contributed more than $1.5 billion to the summer tally, or more than 30%.

It was also helped by an extra week of ticket sales. In 2013, the summer began on May 3 and ended Sept. 2, a period that was seven days shorter.

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“This should be a blueprint for future summers,” said Paul Dergarabedian, head of marketplace trends at Rentrak. “One movie should not have to carry an entire season. You need the event pictures, the family films, the breakout surprises, and the independent films working together to keep people coming back. This summer showed what that combination can deliver.”

The summer 2026 box office ended nearly 10% ahead of 2019, according to data from Rentrak, the year before Covid shutdowns hamstrung ticket sales and before streaming took a bite out of moviegoing in earnest.

This strong showing has positioned the 2026 year-to-date haul to be just 7.5%, or $595 million, behind that pre-pandemic marker and reaffirmed box office analysts’ predictions that the full-year box office can top $10 billion for the first time in seven years.

Heading into the summer movie season, 2026 lagged behind 2019 by 24%, or about $830 million in sales, according to Rentrak.

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While this year’s box office is making gains, the figures don’t tell the full story.

The shifting movie landscape

Here’s how Gen Z is shaping the box office

In 2019, the average movie ticket cost $9.16, according to exhibition trade organization Cinema United. In 2026, a ticket costs an average of $12.75, according to market research from EntTelligence. And that’s just for a standard screening.

PLF tickets average around $18.26, according to data from EntTelligence, with Imax skewing that figure with its $20.57 average ticket price.

Audiences are increasingly opting for these more expensive PLF screenings and have yet to be deterred by the price tag. Tickets are consistently selling out for specialty screenings like Imax’s 70mm showings of “The Odyssey” and the upcoming “Dune: Part Three.”

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There’s such demand for premium screenings that studios are getting creative when marketing their films.

Disney, for example, will be shut out of Imax screens when “Avengers: Doomsday” is released on the same day as the third Dune in December. In response, the company has created a certification for PLF theaters that it’s calling “Infinity Vision.” Essentially, Disney is promoting cinemas that have big screens, “bright images and outstanding sound.”

“When you see the Infinity Vision badge, you know you are in for an incredible theatrical experience,” the company touts on a dedicated website for the certification.

What are moviegoers watching?

At the same time that audiences are embracing big blockbusters on the biggest screens, the theatrical industry has also seen a return of moviegoers for smaller-budget and genre films.

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Notably, this summer movie season didn’t kick off with a big-budget action film or superhero team-up. Instead, the first major hit of the season came with the release of Disney’s “The Devil Wears Prada 2.” That was followed by Universal’s “Obsession” and A24’s “Backrooms,” two low-budget horror films from YouTube creators-turned-filmmakers. 

It was further fueled by residual ticket sales of Lionsgate’s “Michael,” the Michael Jackson biopic, which debuted in April. Then “Toy Story 5” arrived in mid-June. Those five films combined generated more than $1.4 billion toward the summer haul.

“This summer demonstrated the importance of a consistent flow of compelling content that appeals to a wide variety of moviegoers, coupled with the unique draw of the larger-than-life, immersive environment our movie theaters provide,” Justin McDaniel, senior vice president of global content at Cinemark, wrote in a statement last week after the cinema chain surpassed its previous summer box office record ahead of Labor Day weekend.

Marcus Theatres, the fourth-largest theater circuit in North America, also posted a record summer period. The company noted that not only did summer revenue hit an all-time high, but so did its concession, merchandise and food and beverage sales. It also marked the highest summer attendance since 2019 and the highest premium large format screen attendance for any summer, Marcus said.

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“The tremendous turnouts for a wide range of diverse films created unique memory-making moments for all audiences – from the tears to the laughter to the thrills and chills – that cannot be replicated at home,” Jeff Tomachek, president of Marcus Theatres, wrote in a statement Tuesday. “As we look ahead to the rest of the year, several new and highly anticipated films await, giving moviegoers even more reason to enjoy a great time at the movies with friends and family.”

In addition to the dual release of “Dune: Part Three” and “Avengers: Doomsday,” dubbed “Dunesday,” the final four months of the 2026 slate include a slew of horror films — “Resident Evil,” “Clayface” and “Other Mommy” — as well as smaller-budget genre films like “Practical Magic 2,” “Digger,” “Wicker” and “Verity” alongside bigger-budget movies like “The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping,” “Hexed” and “Jumanji: Open World.”

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Administrators explore sale of some Parker Group entities

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Administrators explore sale of some Parker Group entities

Administrators appointed to several Parker Group eateries have received a time extension to hold a creditors’ meeting and to look into selling off some businesses.

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Goldman Sachs Warns Oil Could Hit $120

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Alphabet Is Selling 100-Year Debt as Part of a Big Bond Sale

Brent crude could surge above $120 a barrel because of intensified attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea, Goldman Sachs warned in a new oil price forecast.

“Markets are increasingly pricing a prolonged Mideast conflict,” the bank’s analysts said in a research note Monday evening.

Goldman said its baseline assumption was now that Middle East shipping disruptions would continue into next year. It predicted that $120 oil could become the norm in 2027 under its most pessimistic scenario for Middle East crude production, in which the region’s oil exports remain bottlenecked because of persistent tensions.

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Biggest wealth destroyer is not poor performance, but constant search for better returns, says Radhika Gupta

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Biggest wealth destroyer is not poor performance, but constant search for better returns, says Radhika Gupta
For investors, the biggest challenge in wealth creation may not always be finding an investment that delivers poor returns. It can be the tendency to constantly look for something that has performed better. Radhika Gupta, Managing Director and CEO, Edelweiss Mutual Fund, believes that repeatedly moving money in search of higher returns can make investors lose sight of the financial goals they originally started investing for.

Gupta on social media platform X said that, “Most investors start with an absolute goal. “I need 10% returns.” “I need to retire comfortably.” “I need my money to beat inflation and grow.”…………… The biggest wealth destroyer is often not poor performance. It’s the constant search for better performance. “

Also Read | This 58-year-old invests Rs 50,000 in 8 mutual funds. Expert flags portfolio imbalance, suggests rejig

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Gupta said that most investors begin with an absolute goal: they need 10% return, want to retire comfortably and they may want their investments to generate a certain level of returns, beat inflation, build a retirement corpus or accumulate enough money for a specific financial milestone. However, once they start comparing their returns with those of other funds, their expectations can change.

According to Gupta, an investment that was earlier considered good enough can suddenly appear inadequate when a newer or hotter fund delivers higher returns. This can turn an investor’s focus from achieving a financial goal to beating other investments.
Gupta pointed out that the problem begins when absolute performance becomes relative performance. An investor may have a fund that is delivering the returns required to keep the financial goal on track. But if another fund generates significantly higher returns, the investor may feel the need to switch.
This can result in money moving from one fund to another simply because of recent performance. Investors may end up chasing the latest winner without considering whether the fund’s investment strategy, risk level or portfolio is suitable for their own financial goals.
The original goal, however, may not have changed. The amount required for retirement or another financial objective remains the same. What changes is the investor’s perception of what constitutes a satisfactory return.

Gupta believes investors should remember that performance matters, and consistently poor performance should not be ignored. At the same time, unusually high returns should also prompt investors to ask how those returns were generated.

Markets rarely offer a free lunch. Extraordinary returns can come with extraordinary risks, which may be visible through higher volatility or remain hidden until market conditions change.

A fund that has delivered exceptional returns over a particular period may have benefited from a favourable market cycle, a specific sector exposure or an investment style that may not continue to work in the future. Simply moving into such a fund after it has already generated strong returns can expose investors to the risk of entering at the wrong time.

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The tendency to chase performance is not limited to investors. Gupta noted that fund managers can also face pressure to keep pace with better-performing peers.

When investors continuously compare funds based on short-term returns, fund managers may feel compelled to take more aggressive positions to remain competitive. This can increase portfolio risks and encourage a broader market tendency to chase recent winners. As a result, the pursuit of higher returns can become self-reinforcing, with investors and fund managers both responding to what has performed well recently.

Also Read | Silver gave 98% returns in 1 year, but investors made just 18%; 56% investments in loss: Report

According to Gupta, the best investment strategy is not necessarily one that produces the highest return every year. Instead, investors should focus on whether their chosen investment approach can help them reach their financial objectives.

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This means evaluating a mutual fund based on factors such as investment strategy, risk, consistency, time horizon and suitability for the portfolio rather than simply looking at which fund delivered the highest return in the recent past. Once an appropriate strategy has been identified, investors also need the discipline to stay invested through different market cycles.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

If you have any mutual fund queries, message ET Mutual Funds on Facebook/Twitter. We will get them answered by our panel of experts. Do share your questions at ETMFqueries@timesinternet.in along with your age, risk profile, and Twitter handle.

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Nike Slides Near a 52-Week Low as China Slump and Soft Outlook Keep Pressure on Turnaround

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Vinted Down: Users Report Login, App Errors As Complaints Rise

BEAVERTON, Ore. — Nike shares slipped again Wednesday, hovering just above a fresh 52-week low as investors treated the sportswear giant’s turnaround as a multiyear project with China still unfinished.

The stock traded at $37.06 around 12:09 p.m. Eastern, down $1.04, or 2.74%. It touched $37.95 on Sept. 3, then closed Sept. 4 at $38.40. The 52-week high is about $77. The November 2021 peak near $179 is now a historical footnote: the shares are down roughly 79% from that high, and the company that once commanded a 50-times earnings multiple now trades in the low-to-mid 20s on underlying profit.

There was no new quarterly print on Wednesday. The tape is still digesting fiscal 2026 results released June 30 for the year ended May 31, and a first-half fiscal 2027 outlook that calls for more sales declines. Broader pressure on discretionary names — oil near $100 a barrel after fighting around the Strait of Hormuz — did not help a brand that sells $150 sneakers.

Fiscal 2026 revenue was $46.4 billion, flat in dollars and down 2% in constant currency. Diluted earnings were $2.10 a share, down 3%. Strip out a one-time tariff recovery and underlying earnings were about $1.58, according to analyses of the company’s own breakout. Net income was $3.1 billion, versus $3.2 billion a year earlier. Nike Direct, the stores-and-apps channel that was supposed to be the future, fell 6% to $17.7 billion. Digital dropped 12%. Wholesale was the relative bright spot. Footwear, still the core, was about $29.5 billion, down 2% in constant currency; units fell 1%. Apparel rose 4% to about $13.4 billion.

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The fourth quarter told the same story in sharper type. Revenue was $10.97 billion, down 1% to 4% depending on the comparison, the lowest quarterly haul since early 2022. Greater China sales fell 17% in constant currency. That was better than the 20% drop the company had flagged three months earlier, and worse than the 10% decline in the third quarter. A $986 million tariff-related refund lifted quarterly net income to $1.07 billion and gross margin to 49.2%. Without it, management said margin would have been roughly flat; Reuters put the ex-refund margin near 40.2%.

Chief Executive Elliott Hill did not dress it up. “Overall, the results aren’t there yet,” he said on the post-earnings call. “We know we’re not living up to our full potential.” In March he had already said the turnaround “is taking longer than I would like.”

Chief Financial Officer Matthew Friend was equally plain about the backdrop. “The environment around us continues to be volatile,” he told investors, citing tariff risk, Middle East disruption and weak sentiment tied to high oil prices. Nike guided first-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue down in the low-to-mid single digits, with no currency tailwind, and said the first half of the new year would still shrink. Second-quarter sales were expected to decelerate from the first because of last year’s digital promotions in Europe and the timing of North America wholesale shipments. Gross margin was seen slightly positive in the first quarter as tariff year-over-year comparisons ease. Friend has said the first quarter of fiscal 2027 should be the last in which higher tariffs remain a material margin headwind.

The map of the business is split. North America has been “leading the way,” in Hill’s earlier phrase: wholesale up sharply in some recent periods, running posting multiple quarters of double-digit growth, football contributing. Sportswear and Jordan streetwear — together about half of sales — remain weak, with discounting and a soft order book. Management has said those two lines will stay negative in fiscal 2027, with hope for a better second half. Converse is in a reset. EMEA has dealt with traffic and promotion noise.

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China is the structural problem. It is roughly 15% of Nike’s revenue, third after North America and EMEA. Domestic rivals such as Anta and Li Ning have taken share. Sell-through has lagged plans. Nike is cutting shipments to clean a marketplace it flooded in prior years, which makes reported sales look worse before they look better. Friend has said China will take more time. Hill has pointed to more than 5,000 mono-brand stores that need investment and “distinct sport experiences.” Running has grown there even as the total has fallen — a thin green shoot.

Hill’s “Win Now” plan is familiar: fewer promotions, more product distinction, a return to wholesale partners after years of pushing consumers onto Nike.com, and a focus on running and football first. Inventory units have come down. That cleanup costs revenue now so it can stop costing margin later. Competitors Hoka and On did not wait for Nike to finish the clean-out.

Wall Street’s posture matches the chart. Consensus is Hold, with targets clustered in the low $50s — a large percentage gap from $37 that assumes the second half of fiscal 2027 actually inflects. Earnings estimates for fiscal 2027 have been cut because the tariff refund does not repeat; analysts have talked about EPS near $1.71, down almost a fifth.

A $37 stock on a still-profitable $46 billion brand is not a bankruptcy price. It is a price that no longer pays for brand immortality. Every point of China decline and every quarter of Sportswear discounting chips the multiple. Hill has two jobs that pull against each other: keep the marketplace clean, which suppresses sales, and prove the logo still moves product at full price. Wednesday’s 3% dip is not a new thesis. It is the old one, marked to a 52-week low while oil is high and sneakers are optional. The next earnings date will test whether running and North America can outrun China and streetwear. Until they do, $37.06 is what a turnaround looks like when the results, in the chief executive’s words, are not there yet.

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Global Market: Amazon diversifies debt funding with first Sterling bond offering

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Global Market: Amazon diversifies debt funding with first Sterling bond offering
Amazon began marketing sterling-denominated bonds for the first time on Wednesday, as major technology companies accelerate fundraising across global currencies to finance heavy investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure.

According to Reuters, citing three banks managing the transaction, Amazon set initial price guidance at around 70 basis points above comparable British government bonds for a three-year tranche.

Read more: Global Market: South Korean shares surge as Samsung, SK Hynix rally on AI optimism

The company also indicated initial spreads of around 90 basis points over UK government bonds for a six-year bond, 105 basis points for a 12-year bond and 110 basis points for a 19-year bond, according to a memo circulated by the banks.

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The bond sale is expected to be priced later on Wednesday.


Read more: Global Market: Japan bond yields ease as yen strength tempers BOJ tightening bets
Amazon’s move comes as so-called hyperscalers step up borrowing to fund the rapid expansion of data centres, computing capacity and other infrastructure needed to support the artificial intelligence boom.Reuters reported that major technology companies have increasingly turned to bond markets outside the United States this year, raising funds in currencies including euros, Swiss francs and yen. The strategy allows companies to diversify their sources of financing as spending on AI infrastructure drives their funding requirements higher.

The expansion of AI-related capital expenditure has pushed large technology companies to seek financing on a broader range of debt markets, while investors have gained access to highly rated corporate issuers across multiple currencies.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)

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