Business
Deutsche Bank: Middle East energy shock could derail BoE’s disinflation path
A topsy turvy day has Treasury yields ending Friday’s session lower, while still logging hefty weekly gains.
Yields, which move in the opposite direction of bond prices, initially climbed overnight with oil prices. They then fell immediately after a disappointing jobs report, only to rebound and then fall again.
Bonds are facing strong crosscurrents. Pushing up on yields, rising energy prices are making investors worried about a rebound in inflation that could make it harder for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Even so, some investors think that the Middle East conflict could eventually cause yields to fall by slowing the economy and increasing demand for safer assets.
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A surge in jet-fuel costs is threatening major disruptions for global airlines as the conflict in the Middle East continues to drive up crude-oil prices.
Oil prices are up about 50% so far this year and jet-fuel prices have more than doubled, Deutsche Bank analysts said in a note Friday. The spread between jet-fuel prices and underlying oil prices are exceeding the total per-barrel price of oil in regions like the Gulf Coast and West Coast, they said.
The last time this happened was in 2005 in the wake of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, which caused significant and widespread damage to the airline industry and played a factor in Delta Air Lines and Northwest Airlines filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, the analysts said.
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raised its unsolicited bid to acquire fellow dry bulk shipping company Genco Shipping & Trading GNK -4.15%decrease; red down pointing triangle, and said Star Bulk Carriers had agreed to acquire 16 of Genco’s vessels if the acquisition closes.
Diana, which owns about 14.8% of Genco’s shares outstanding, said Friday that it would pay $23.50 a share for the remaining shares. It said the offer represents a 31% premium to Genco’s undisturbed closing share price as of Nov. 21, the last trading day before Diana first offered to buy the company.
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