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Explained: Why silver prices have crashed 14% this week to hit a 7-month low

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Explained: Why silver prices have crashed 14% this week to hit a 7-month low
It’s been a brutal week for silver as the white metal has plunged as much as 14%, extending losses for a third straight session on Thursday, just a day after tumbling to a seven-month low.

Spot silver was down more than 2% at $56.35 on Thursday. A day earlier, it had slumped 9.1% to $56.41, its lowest level since November 2025, before recovering to close at $57.71.

Silver is now trading at less than half of its all-time high of $121 an ounce touched in January. The sharp decline comes as precious metals have come under pressure during the Iran-Israel conflict and amid growing expectations that the US Federal Reserve could raise interest rates later this year.

What’s behind the sharp selloff in silver prices?

Fed rate hike worries – The biggest trigger behind silver’s slide has been growing expectations of higher US interest rates. Traders have ramped up bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes this year after the US central bank adopted a hawkish tone at its latest policy meeting, while concerns over inflationary pressures linked to the Iran-Israel conflict have continued to linger.

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Investors are also awaiting US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, due on Thursday, for further clues on the monetary policy outlook.

Risk premium gone – Silver prices have remained under pressure as tensions between the United States and Iran eased following a 60-day agreement aimed at addressing key issues, including Tehran’s nuclear programme. The deal helped ease fears of a broader Middle East conflict, reducing the safe-haven demand that had supported precious metals in recent weeks.


While geopolitical uncertainty would typically support silver, analysts say the metal is currently being driven more by macroeconomic factors, particularly rising bond yields and expectations surrounding US monetary policy.
Rising bond yields – An increase in yields has added to the pressure on silver prices. Unlike bonds, silver does not generate any interest or income. As yields on government securities rise, investors can earn better returns from fixed-income assets, making non-yielding assets such as silver relatively less attractive.Higher yields also tend to strengthen the US dollar, which can further weigh on precious metals by making them more expensive for buyers using other currencies. As a result, investors often shift funds from gold and silver into interest-bearing assets, leading to weaker demand and lower prices for precious metals, especially during periods of sustained increases in yields.

Historic rally cools – The sharp correction follows a historic rally in precious metals over the past several months. Gold and silver hit record highs in late January, with gold climbing to about $2,200 an ounce and silver touching about $121.

The rally was driven by a combination of factors, including interest rate cuts, President Donald Trump’s tariffs, international tensions and rising demand for metals from technology-related industries. That momentum has now faded as investors reassess the outlook for interest rates, inflation and global economic growth.

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(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Business

Narendra Modi has his eyes set on boosting business: Joao Cravinho, EU Ambassador

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While the world’s democratic superpower was maintaining armslength from Narendra Modi (then Gujarat Chief Minister in 2012-13), Europe led by an European Union delegation in India was quietly engaging with the BJP leader nearly two years before the Lok Sabha elections. In fact, Ambassador Joao Cravinho, head of the EU delegation, led Ambassadors of various European countries to a quiet lunch with Modi at the capital last year. And in the runup to the polls, he even travelled across India to get a sense of the probable outcome and interacted with all players cutting across the political spectrum, something foreign envoys seldom do. In an interview with ET, Ambassador Cravinho described India’s new Prime Minister as a man with clarity of thought who has a clear vision for India and governance. The Ambassador feels that EU member states have the potential to drive Modi’s economic diplomacy and help boost India’s economic health.

How do you view this victory of Narendra Modi and the BJP? And how will it impact the Indian economy?

We want India to do well. This election has ensured that there’s political stability for the next five years. A decisive leadership would mean tougher decisions, and no good governance is possible without tough decisions. The BJP-led NDA has a clear mandate to take bold and innovative decisions. International politics is not about zero-sum game and while India would economically engage other powers, EU has the potential to drive growth in India. EU is already the single biggest trading partner as a bloc, and is the single largest source of FDI for India as a bloc. We are ready to meet India’s needs in the fields of technology and funds.

You have interacted with Modi when he was the Gujarat Chief Minister. How do you rate him as a leader of modern India?

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As a former Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs and Cooperation of Portugal, I had interacted with various leaders worldwide and I can say that Mr Modi is among the best. He has clarity of thought and clear vision of governance and that’s what India requires. He also has a very clear understanding of the challenges before the country. He is a good listener as well as a good talker and can engage in enriching discussions. No Prime Minister would like to have communal strife on his record, and I am certain that he would not allow any communal tensions in India. His priority is to boost the economy and he has his eyes set on that.

Where do India-EU relations go from here? What are the priority areas for India-EU and what’s the future of Free Trade Agreement that’s being negotiated for many years now?