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FatFIRE Addresses Growing Demand for Private Financial Communities Among High-Net-Worth Investors
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10 Things You Must Know About the Biggest Independence Day in the Nation’s History
WASHINGTON — The United States is marking its 250th birthday on Saturday with a scale of celebration that no previous Independence Day has come close to matching, combining record-setting fireworks, an international fleet review, Times Square ball drops spanning every American time zone and hundreds of community events from Bristol, Rhode Island, to Hawaii. Here is everything you need to know about this extraordinary national milestone.
1. This is the most consequential July 4 since the Bicentennial in 1976. The 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence, known formally as the Semiquincentennial or America250, marks a milestone that arrives only once in a nation’s history. Planning for the celebrations began a decade ago through a congressional, bipartisan commission. President Donald Trump also established a parallel public-private initiative called Freedom 250 to coordinate federal, state and private sector involvement. Trump himself kicked off the anniversary weekend Friday night at Mount Rushmore, delivering remarks beneath the carved faces of George Washington, Thomas Jefferson, Abraham Lincoln and Theodore Roosevelt before a fireworks display lit up the South Dakota sky.
“With a single sheet of parchment and 56 signatures, America began the greatest political journey in human history,” Trump said.
2. The Times Square ball is dropping eight times, not once. In a first for the iconic New York tradition, the Times Square ball descended multiple times to mark the arrival of Independence Day across every American time zone, beginning with Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands at 10 a.m. Friday and ending in American Samoa at 7 a.m. Saturday. The event is organized by America250 chair Rosie Rios, who framed the rolling celebration in explicitly national terms.
“This is more than a countdown. It’s a moment that brings the entire country together, one time zone at a time,” Rios said.
3. Washington is hosting the world’s largest fireworks display in history. The White House’s Freedom 250 Commission planned what organizers described as the largest fireworks show ever staged, with more than 860,000 fireworks set to be launched during a 40-minute “Salute to America” show anchored near the Washington Monument. The display was designed to be visible across a substantial portion of the capital region and to be broadcast nationally.
4. Dangerous heat forced major events to be canceled or modified. A record-breaking heat dome blanketing much of the eastern United States created significant public safety complications for the celebrations. Philadelphia canceled its Salute to Independence Semiquincentennial Parade. Washington temporarily closed the Great American State Fair on the National Mall and canceled a separate planned parade. Several other cities shortened events, rerouted routes or moved portions of programming indoors as forecasters warned of real-feel temperatures reaching 100 to 115 degrees Fahrenheit across parts of the Midwest, Northeast and South. Emergency medical personnel were positioned at events throughout the affected region.
5. The world’s largest fleet review is happening in New York Harbor. The United States Navy is hosting Sail250, its seventh International Fleet Review, in New York Harbor, with approximately 60 ships from 30 nations participating in what officials described as the largest maritime gathering in American history. The procession, which includes roughly 20,000 sailors and an international military flyover saluting the Statue of Liberty, represents the ocean-facing dimension of celebrations anchored primarily in the nation’s capital. New York Governor Kathy Hochul framed the moment with deliberate historical weight.
“You will see a New York like you’ve never seen before,” Hochul said. “We also have to remember that for 250 years, America has stood as that beacon of hope to the rest of the world, and here in New York City, it has always burned brightest.”
6. America’s first American pope delivered a birthday message. Pope Leo XIV, the first American to lead the Roman Catholic Church, used a speech on the eve of the nation’s 250th birthday to accept the 2026 Liberty Medal from the National Constitution Center via livestream from the Vatican. In his remarks, the pope urged the United States to recommit to the founding principles of human dignity, liberty and national unity.
7. The World Cup is playing simultaneously on American soil. In an unprecedented overlap of national celebration and global sporting event, two World Cup matches were scheduled at American venues on Independence Day itself, with fixtures at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia and NRG Stadium in Houston. Canada’s round of 16 match against Morocco at Houston’s NRG Stadium kicked off at 1 p.m. ET, meaning that for much of the afternoon, tens of millions of Americans were watching their co-host nation attempt to advance to the World Cup quarterfinals while simultaneously preparing for fireworks and birthday celebrations.
8. The Statue of Liberty received a spectacular light show as a French birthday gift. France, which gifted the Statue of Liberty to the United States in 1886, commissioned a 15-minute laser and light show projected onto the statue’s exterior, broadcast on ABC on the eve of July 4 as a commemorative tribute from the French government. The spectacle brought the monument to life through techno music and precisely synchronized visual effects visible from across New York Harbor.
9. Bristol, Rhode Island, is celebrating its 241st consecutive Fourth of July parade. The small New England town, which lays claim to the nation’s oldest Independence Day celebration, marked America’s 250th with its 241st consecutive Independence Day bash, featuring at least 34 floats, a golf tournament, a beauty pageant and a gala ball. The town’s double yellow line on Hope Street received its annual red, white and blue makeover, a tradition that continues year after year regardless of political climate or national mood.
10. Six mobile museums traveled to all 48 contiguous states to mark the occasion. The Freedom 250 initiative deployed six state-of-the-art “Freedom Trucks,” double-wide 18-wheeler mobile museums that traveled across the country throughout the year to reach an estimated 20 million Americans at schools, libraries, national parks and community gatherings. The trucks told the story of American independence and the country’s subsequent history, bringing the 250th anniversary observance to communities too small to host major events of their own, ensuring that the celebration reached well beyond the big cities and national monuments that dominate most of the day’s coverage.
Business
Affirm Stock: More Upside In The Tank (NASDAQ:AFRM)
I am interested in a lot of technology and AI stocks like Google, Nvidia, AMD, Tesla and Amazon.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AFRM, UPST, SOFI either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
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(VIDEO) Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce Married at Madison Square Garden in Adam Sandler-Officiated Ceremony
NEW YORK — Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce are officially husband and wife, married Friday evening at Madison Square Garden in a star-studded ceremony officiated by actor Adam Sandler that drew thousands of fans to the streets of midtown Manhattan and lit up the arena in a soft pink glow as the couple celebrated one of the most anticipated weddings in modern pop culture history.
Swift’s publicist Tree Paine confirmed the marriage, with a display outside the arena reading “JUST&T MARRIED” in a play on Taylor and Travis’s first names, as cheers from fans crowded outside could be heard from inside the blocked-off streets surrounding the arena.
The couple wore Christian Dior, Paine said, with Jonathan Anderson, the creative director at Dior, having designed both Swift’s wedding dress and Kelce’s outfit.
“This is the designer’s first couture wedding dress for a world-renowned celebrity,” Paine said in a statement.
Their shoes were custom made by Christian Louboutin, and Swift wore Cartier jewelry, Paine added. The couple did not have traditional bridesmaids and groomsmen. Swift’s brother Austin served as her man of honor, and Travis’s brother Jason Kelce, the retired Philadelphia Eagles center and longtime fan favorite, stood as best man.
The two-day celebration began Thursday with a smaller pre-party event, consistent with the permit filed with New York City officials, before Friday’s larger ceremony drew an estimated 1,000 guests arriving in a stream of blacked-out SUVs that passed through a pop-up tent erected outside the stadium to shield guests from view during their arrival. The NYPD closed the streets around the arena at midday, sealing off the area to both vehicle and pedestrian traffic as a security perimeter was established across one of Manhattan’s busiest corridors.
The celebrity guest list visible upon arrival was a reflection of the scale of Swift’s reach across entertainment, sports and high society. Model Gigi Hadid arrived with her boyfriend, actor Bradley Cooper. Actress Dakota Johnson was spotted among those entering the building. Actor Hugh Grant attended with his wife, Anna Elisabet Eberstein. Supermodel Karlie Kloss and her husband Joshua Kushner were photographed arriving. Actor Ethan Hawke and singer Benson Boone were also among those seen outside the venue. Several members of the Kansas City Chiefs were also present, consistent with reporting that multiple players had been staying at the nearby Marriott Marquis in Times Square during the holiday weekend.
Outside the arena, thousands of fans known as Swifties lined the surrounding blocks in sweltering temperatures that reached 37 degrees Celsius, or nearly 99 degrees Fahrenheit, singing lyrics from Swift’s catalog and cheering for the couple throughout the day and into the evening.
Fan Tara Rosales, who had traveled to Manhattan for the occasion, described the moment she confirmed the wedding was actually taking place at the arena.
“I knew that she was going to get married in New York but I had no idea where. So I can’t believe it, I’m actually shook and I’m so excited,” Rosales said. “She’s never an inconvenience. Taylor can do whatever she wants.”
Canadian fan Emily, a teenager who had made the trip specifically for the occasion, said the venue had surprised her.
“I thought it was going to be more gardens, more flowers, more tropical. Something more fancy, something more Taylor Swift,” she said.
New York resident Rose expressed mild exasperation alongside her well-wishes.
“I hope it’s a beautiful wedding… but I think they should do it somewhere that’s less inconveniencing to the general populace of New York City,” she said, laughing.
Pop culture critic Kristen Meinzer framed the significance of the union in terms that extended well beyond the individuals involved, arguing that Swift and Kelce represent something genuinely resonant about American cultural identity.
“We worship at the throne of music and football, these are all the things we love in America married together,” Meinzer told the BBC. She also noted that New York’s cultural DNA contributed to the ceremony’s particular flavor. “We aren’t people who run up to our celebrities, we usually leave them alone,” she said.
The choice of Madison Square Garden drew both admiration and raised eyebrows, with planning experts telling the BBC that the couple likely spent tens of millions of dollars to rent out the arena for the celebration. The venue offers advantages that a traditional outdoor location could not, most notably a complete absence of windows, which makes aerial photography impossible, along with underground parking and loading access that allowed guests to arrive with a meaningful degree of privacy. For Swift, who has spent years navigating the specific security and surveillance challenges of global fame, those structural features made the arena a logical choice even if the setting was unconventional by traditional wedding standards.
Swift and Kelce began their relationship in the summer of 2023, quickly becoming one of the most photographed and discussed couples in the world as the Grammy-winning pop star’s attendance at Kansas City Chiefs games drew sustained media and cultural attention throughout the NFL season. The two became engaged in August 2025, with Meghan announcing the news via Instagram and immediately setting off months of breathless speculation about every detail of the eventual ceremony. That speculation, sustained through permit filings, hotel booking reports and social media detective work by fans, culminated Friday evening with the announcement appearing on the arena’s exterior display.
Ahead of the celebrations, the couple donated $26 million to more than 20 charitable organizations, though made no direct reference to a wedding in that announcement, consistent with the carefully managed secrecy they maintained around the event’s details until the final moments.
The Empire State Building in midtown Manhattan lit up in celebration following confirmation of the ceremony, adding one more visual landmark to a night that had already transformed the streets around Penn Station into something between a sporting event crowd and a concert queue, with the couple who represent both worlds at the very center of it all.
Business
Lumentum Stock: The Market Is Finally Blinking, And It Could Get Worse (NASDAQ:LITE)
JR Research is an opportunistic investor. I was recognized by TipRanks as a Top Analyst, and also by Seeking Alpha as a “Top Analyst To Follow” for Technology, Software, and Internet, as well as for Growth and GARP. I identify attractive risk/reward opportunities supported by robust price action to potentially generate alpha well above the S&P 500. My picks have consistently demonstrated market outperformance over time. My approach combines timely and sharp price action analysis with fundamentals as my foundation. I also tend to avoid overhyped and overvalued stocks while capitalizing on battered stocks with significant upside recovery possibilities. I run the investing group Ultimate Growth Investing which specializes in identifying high-potential opportunities across various sectors. My main ideas revolve around stocks with strong growth potential, and also well-beaten contrarian plays. I designed the group for investors seeking to capitalize on growth stocks with solid fundamentals, robust buying momentum, and appealing turnaround plays to generate alpha consistently. Learn more
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of NVDA, META, GOOGL either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Business
What Leaders Get Wrong About Joining a New Industry
Senior executives who move across industries are hired for their difference. The track record in another sector, the capability the industry hasn’t developed, the willingness to challenge assumptions that have stopped being questioned. The rationale is usually sound. What organisations consistently underestimate is how long it takes for that difference to become an asset rather than a liability.
Athalie Williams knows this from experience. After 14 years at Accenture spanning financial services, telecommunications, healthcare and industrials across Australia and Southeast Asia, she moved into a senior corporate role at National Australia Bank. From there, she went to BHP, the world’s largest mining and resources company. Then to BT Group (British Telecommunications), one of the UK’s largest employers, navigating a shift from telecommunications provider to technology company. Each move required her to unlearn something. The rhythm of decisions. The dynamics of regulation. The unspoken logic of how organisations in a given sector measure success. “Every time you change industry, there is a period where the experience that got you hired is not yet working for you, because the context that made it valuable is no longer there,” she says. “The leaders who struggle most are the ones who do not recognise that period is happening.”
The Hire and the Gap
The premise of a cross-sector hire is that the incoming executive brings something the organisation lacks. An external perspective. A capability the sector has not developed. A track record that signals what is possible. The rationale is well-founded: boards increasingly recruit from outside to force a break with established thinking and bring in approaches the sector has not tried.
The problem is not the premise. Almost every time an executive transition fails, the failure is a surprise to the executive themselves, their C-suite, their board, and their teams. The story goes like this: they have been high performers with track records of strong results, engaged teams, and deft handling of ever-more-challenging assignments. And then they step into a new context, and the same qualities produce different results.
DDI’s Leadership Transitions Report 2021, drawing on data from more than 15,000 leaders across 1,740 organisations, found that 35% of internally promoted executives are considered failures in their transition period, and that figure rises to 47% for external hires. The cross-sector move compounds those odds further still. The incoming leader must navigate a new organisation and, beyond that, a fundamentally different operating logic.
It is worth saying plainly: even when both the intent and the approach are sound, these transitions do not always run to plan. The responsibility for outcomes is shared. Organisations that hire across sectors carry an obligation to create the conditions that allow incoming leaders to succeed, and leaders who arrive with strong instincts must balance confidence with genuine curiosity about how the new context actually works. When transitions falter, the cause is rarely one or the other. It is usually both.
What the New Sector Does Not Tell You
Williams identifies a common failure mode: the incoming leader who arrives with well-developed instincts, a strong point of view, and an understandable desire to demonstrate early impact. The instincts are real. The point of view is usually valuable. But the desire to move quickly, before the context has been properly understood, is where things go wrong.
“There is a version of sector knowledge that you cannot read in a briefing pack,” she says. “How do decisions actually get made here? Where does power sit in ways that are not on the org chart? What is the relationship between this company and its regulators, and how does that shape what is possible? What have people already tried, and why did it not work? None of that is in the induction programme.”
The assumptions that follow a leader across sector lines tend to cluster in a few predictable areas: the pace at which change is possible, the role of formal authority versus informal influence, the tolerance for risk and disruption, and the relationship between strategy and execution. An approach that worked in a fast-moving consumer business may be poorly calibrated for a capital-intensive infrastructure company. A leader who thrived in a high-growth environment may misread the political complexity of a regulated one.
The First Twelve Months
Williams’ practical counsel for leaders entering a new sector is grounded in discipline rather than deference. The perspective an incoming executive carries is part of why they were hired. The question is when to deploy it, and sequencing matters more than most realise.
“The first twelve months should be weighted toward listening, not toward proving,” she says. “You are building a map of the territory that nobody else can build for you. That means spending time with the people closest to the work, not just the executive team. It means asking questions that sound naive, because the naive questions often surface the assumptions the organisation has stopped examining.”
Cross-industry transitions that succeed tend to separate the understanding of how the new sector actually operates from the operational frameworks the incoming leader has carried across. Applying what worked in the previous context becomes a liability when the sector operates through fundamentally different incentive structures.
Organisations bear responsibility here too. Williams is direct about what she has observed from the other side of the hiring decision: companies that recruit external talent and then give it no room to operate are wasting the investment. So are companies that expect a cross-sector hire to perform at full effectiveness from month three. “You hired someone from outside the industry because you wanted something different,” she says. “You then need to give them the time and context to actually deliver it.”
The value a cross-sector hire brings, a fresh perspective, a different set of assumptions, a track record built in a different kind of organisation, takes time to translate. Leaders who understand that translation is part of the job, and who approach the first year accordingly, tend to be the ones who are still there making a genuine impact in year two. But they need an organisation that understands that too, and is willing to hold the space for it.
Business
This Is Kevin Warsh's Fed Now
This Is Kevin Warsh's Fed Now
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Lumentum: The Pullback Before The Breakout (NASDAQ:LITE)
Pythia Research focuses on multi-bagger stocks, primarily in the technology sector. Our approach combines financial analysis, behavioral finance, psychology, social sciences, and alternative metrics to assess companies with high conviction and asymmetric risk-reward potential. By leveraging both traditional and unconventional insights, we aim to uncover breakout opportunities before they gain mainstream attention. Our multidisciplinary strategy helps us navigate market sentiment, identify emerging trends, and invest in transformative businesses poised for exponential growth. We don’t just follow the market—we anticipate where disruption will create the next big winners.Markets don’t move purely on fundamentals; they move on perception, emotion, and bias. We lean into that reality. Investor behavior, anchoring to past valuations, herd mentality during rallies, panic selling from recency bias, creates persistent inefficiencies. These moments of mispricing often mark the start of a breakout, not the end of one.Rather than avoid psychological noise, we analyze it. When the crowd sees volatility, we assess whether it’s driven by emotion or fundamentals. Status quo bias can keep investors blind to companies redefining their category. Fear of uncertainty can delay recognition of businesses with clear but unconventional growth paths. We look for these disconnects.Our process blends deep research with signals others miss: sudden shifts in narrative, early social traction, founder-driven vision, or underappreciated momentum in developer or user adoption. These are often the precursors to exponential moves, if you catch them early.We focus on conviction plays, not safe bets. Each opportunity is evaluated for Risk/Reward profile: limited downside, explosive upside. We believe that the best returns come from understanding where belief is lagging reality.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of LITE either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
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SOXL: Levered Semiconductor Funds Are Living On Borrowed Time (NYSEARCA:SOXL)
Ian Bezek is a former hedge fund analyst at Kerrisdale Capital. He has spent the decade living in Latin America, doing the boots-on-the ground research for investors interested in markets such as Mexico, Colombia, and Chile. He also specializes in high-quality compounders and growth stocks at reasonable prices in the US and other developed markets. Ian leads the investing group Ian’s Insider Corner. Features of the group include: the Weekend Digest which covers everything from new ideas to updates on current holdings and macro analysis, trade alerts, an active chat room, and direct access to Ian. Learn More.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial short position in the shares of SOXL,SOXS either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
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F&O Talk: Smallcap index better placed than Nifty, says Sudeep Shah; picks 9 stocks for next week
Sensex gained around 262 points to close at 77,764, while Nifty 50 rose more than 95 points to end the session above 24,270 during Friday’s trading session. The sharp gains added nearly Rs 44,155 crore to the total market capitalisation of all companies listed on BSE, pulling it up to Rs 480 lakh crore.
Analyst Sudeep Shah, Vice President and Head of Technical & Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, interacted with ETMarkets regarding the outlook for the Nifty and Bank Nifty, as well as an index strategy for the upcoming week. The following are the edited excerpts from his chat:
Nifty has closed the week over a percent higher. What are crucial levels to track next week?
The benchmark index Nifty remained confined to a narrow range of nearly 500 points over the past 13 trading sessions. On Friday, the index finally broke out of this consolidation, but the breakout lacked follow-through as profit booking emerged at higher levels, restricting further gains. Consequently, the index settled the week at 24,270, registering a gain of 0.89%. On the weekly chart, Nifty formed a bullish candle with shadows on both sides, reflecting continued indecisiveness among market participants. Notably, this marks the third consecutive week of an indecisive candlestick formation, highlighting the ongoing tug-of-war between bulls and bears. But beneath this seemingly directionless move, a completely different story is unfolding in the broader market.While the frontline indices continue to move cautiously, the Nifty Smallcap 100 is painting a completely different picture. The index has consistently outperformed the benchmark over the past few weeks and is now just a stone’s throw away from its all-time high, whereas Nifty continues to trade nearly 8% below its record peak. Moreover, the relative strength chart of the Nifty Smallcap 100 against Nifty has climbed to an 81-week high, underscoring the sustained leadership of the broader market. Based on the prevailing chart structure, the bullish momentum in the small-cap segment is likely to remain intact over the next few trading sessions. The bigger question now is whether Nifty is preparing to follow this leadership or continue lagging behind.
Turning back to Nifty, the index continues to trade comfortably above its 20, 50, and 100-day EMAs, indicating that the broader trend remains positive. In addition, the daily RSI has moved above the 60 mark, signaling strengthening bullish momentum. Going forward, the 200-day EMA zone of 24,400–24,450 is expected to act as a crucial resistance area. A decisive move above 24,450 could trigger a fresh leg of the rally towards 24,700, followed by 24,900 in the short term.
On the downside, the 100-day EMA zone of 24,150–24,100 is likely to provide immediate support. A breach below 24,100 could expose the index to the next important support zone near the confluence of the 20 and 50-day EMAs, currently placed around 23,920–23,880. With the market approaching a crucial technical juncture, the next few sessions could decide whether this breakout evolves into a sustained rally or another false start.
In June, Sensex largely remained range-bound, oscillating within a 4500-point band. What’s your outlook for July?
The benchmark index Sensex registered a breakout from a 13-day consolidation phase on Friday. However, the index could not sustain at higher levels and witnessed profit booking, eventually closing the week with a gain of 0.87%. On the weekly chart, Sensex formed a bullish candle with shadows on both sides, marking the third consecutive week of such a formation, indicating indecisiveness despite a positive bias.Technically, the index continues to trade above its 20, 50, and 100-day EMAs, with the 20 and 50-day EMAs gradually trending higher, reflecting a constructive undertone. The daily RSI has moved above the 60 mark and remains on an upward trajectory, suggesting strengthening momentum. However, the daily ADX stands at 13.39 and continues to decline, indicating that the current trend lacks strong directional conviction.
Going forward, the 78,300-78,500 zone is likely to act as a key resistance area as prior swing high is placed in that region. A decisive and sustained move above 78,500 could trigger a fresh leg of rally towards 79,200, followed by the psychological 80000 mark in the near term.
On the downside, the 20 and 50-day EMA zone of 76,500-76,400 is expected to provide strong support. As long as the index holds above this zone, the broader short-term outlook is likely to remain positive.
After June’s expiry and the start of a new series, what do F&O positioning and open interest trends suggest?
After the June expiry and the start of the new series, F&O positioning points to a constructive undertone for Nifty. Between June 15 and July 2, the index consolidated in the 23,785–24,262 range while open interest declined 7.11% despite a 1.06% rise in price, indicating gradual short covering rather than fresh short buildup.
The put-call ratio remained stable between 0.81 and 0.85, suggesting balanced positioning with put writers absorbing selling pressure. The FII long-short ratio also improved from 7.58% on 8th June to 17.02% on 29th June during June before easing to 10.36% on expiry day, reinforcing the view that bearish bets were being unwound. Following the July 3 breakout, Nifty has reclaimed the 100-day EMA, RSI has moved above 60, and DI+ has crossed above DI-, signalling strengthening bullish momentum. Any further short covering could provide an additional boost to the ongoing up move.
How are FIIs and DIIs positioned in index futures?
FIIs continue to hold a net short bias in index futures, but positioning suggests gradual short covering rather than fresh bearish additions. The FII long-short ratio improved from 7.58% on June 8 to 17.02% on June 29 before easing to 10.36% on the June expiry. Since the start of the July series, it has slipped marginally to 9.59% as of July 3. However, net short positions in index futures have reduced from 2.56 lakh contracts on June 30 to 2.50 lakh contracts on July 3, indicating that shorts are still being covered, albeit at a slower pace.
Meanwhile, the DII long-short ratio has eased only marginally from 90.22% on June 15 to 86.79% on July 3, reflecting continued supportive positioning. This steady stance from DIIs has helped absorb FII selling pressure and provided stability to the market. With Nifty breaking out of its consolidation range, any acceleration in FII short covering could act as a catalyst for further upside.
How are Nifty IT and Bank placed in the coming week?
Nifty IT – The broader technical structure of the Nifty IT Index remains weak. The index continues to trade below its key moving averages on both the daily and weekly timeframes, indicating that the primary trend remains under pressure.
From a relative strength perspective, the index continues to reside in the lagging quadrant of the Relative Rotation Graph (RRG), reflecting weak relative performance and subdued momentum compared to the broader market. Reinforcing the cautious outlook, the MACD remains below both the zero line and the signal line, indicating the absence of meaningful bullish momentum. Rising ADX indicates bearish trend strength.
Historically, the 26,200–26,100 zone has acted as a strong demand area. Between June 2022 and April 2023, the index witnessed multiple rebounds from this region, making it a crucial long-term support zone.
While intermittent pullbacks and short-covering rallies cannot be ruled out, a meaningful trend reversal is unlikely unless the index decisively reclaims the 28,300–28,400 zone. Until then, the broader technical bias is expected to remain cautious, with any relief rallies likely to encounter selling pressure at higher levels.
Nifty Bank – Last week, the banking benchmark Bank Nifty traded within a narrow range of 939 points, marking its narrowest weekly trading range since the last week of December. The index underperformed the broader benchmark indices and formed a small-bodied candlestick with shadows on both sides. Notably, this was the third consecutive week of a similar candlestick formation, highlighting a phase of indecision among market participants.
Despite the subdued price action, the index continues to trade comfortably above its short and long-term moving averages. These moving averages remain in an upward trajectory, indicating that the broader trend continues to be positive. The daily RSI is positioned in bullish territory; however, it has been oscillating in the 60-63 range over the last four trading sessions, suggesting a lack of fresh momentum at higher levels.
Going forward, the 58,600-58,700 zone is likely to act as a key resistance area for the index. A decisive and sustained breakout above 58,700 could pave the way for a sharp upward move towards 59500, followed by the 60300 level in the short term.
On the downside, the 20-day EMA zone of 57,100-57,000 is expected to act as a strong support base. As long as the index sustains above this crucial support zone, the overall short-term trend is likely to remain constructive with a positive bias.
Can you name few stocks that are looking good on the charts for next week?
Technically, Aurobindo Pharma, Lodha, LT Foods, Zydus Life, AB Capital, DLF, Oberoi Realty, Titan, and Divis lab are looking good for next week.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
Business
Relax, Micron Stock Can Rebound Quickly After the Fourth of July Holiday
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