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Haitong sees 26% upside in Paytm. Lists 4 reasons for buying the dips

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Haitong sees 26% upside in Paytm. Lists 4 reasons for buying the dips
Haitong has initiated a coverage on One 97 Communication (Paytm) with an ‘Outperform’ rating for a target of Rs 1,410, implying an upside of 26%. The Hong Kong-based brokerage is betting on Paytm‘s leadership position in retail digital payments in India which is only growing. It has estimated a 4X jump in its net profit over FY26-28E while 12% uptick in its return on equity (ROE) by FY28E.

The coverage comes at a time when Paytm shares have corrected 20% from its 52-week peak of Rs 1,381 on the NSE. This year, the stock has plunged 15% as domestic and global markets remain hit with Iran-Israel/US war that has now completed 44 days and the issues remain unresolved.

Notwithstanding the recent correction, the stock is trading 31% higher on a one-year basis, witnessing a sharp rebound of 16% in April.

One 97 shares are currently trading above their 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of Rs 1,096 while slipping below their 200-day SMA of Rs 1,173.

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4 things that work for Paytm:

1) Leading fintech with strong monetization

Paytm is 3rd largest player in UPI (P2P+ P2M) value share of 6.9% (February 2026) transaction processed. Paytm’s ecosystem evolved from customer to merchant centric with improving monetization capability as indicated by steady rise in revenue per MTU to Rs 1,155 (annually for December 2025 quarter.
“Rise in monetization capability is driven by strong distribution network, diversified product portfolio and strong brand recall. Its vast
active merchant base (48 million December 2025), leadership position within faster growing UPI-P2M and moat in merchant lending should continue drive strong revenue growth of 25% CAGR over FY26-28e,” Haitong note said.Payments contributes 60% of total revenue and should continue dominate revenue mix as per Haitong’s estimates.

2) Strong moat in merchant lending (ML) distribution

Paytm’s financial services distribution has rebounded strongly, with revenue rising 59% YoY in 9MFY26 and its share increasing to 30%, driven largely by merchant lending. Its tech-led collection model and wide sales network create a strong moat, attracting lending partners. With only ~7% of merchants currently using lending services (target: 20%), there remains significant growth potential.

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3) Levers for margin momentum

Paytm’s net payments revenue is expected to grow at a 38% CAGR over FY26–28, outpacing GMV growth of 25%, driving margins to 10 bps+ by FY28. The expansion will be led by a higher share of MDR-yielding instruments, rising EMI transactions, growth in Paytm Postpaid, and regulatory approval as a Payment Aggregator. While near-term EBITDA may see some impact from PIDF adjustments, management remains confident of offsetting this over the long term.

Also read | BSE loses ‘cheap’ tag post 80% rally in one year. Can Q4 performance, NSE IPO drive rerating?

4) Operating leverage

Paytm turned core EBITDA (ex-other income) positive in June 2025 quarter and reported core-EBITDA margin of 6% driven by benefits from operating leverage and reported profit before tax (PBT) of Rs 590 crore in 9MFY26.

“Paytm should continue on its journey to optimize its cost and we expect core EBITDA/PAT to grow by 49%/ 44% CAGR over FY26-28e. We expect Paytm to deliver core-EBITDA (%) of 17% core EBITDA (%) by FY28 broadly in-line with management guidance,” Haitong note said.

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5) Peer comparison

Within the payments space, Paytm has built a strong business model at merchants’ end and it has strong moat around distribution of lending products vis-a-vis PB Fintech, PhonePe, Pine Labs, Groww and Moneyview, this brokerage said.

Paytm and PhonePe reported similar revenues, but Paytm stands out with positive core EBITDA (5.3%) versus PhonePe’s losses, while PineLabs remains smaller but profitable. Paytm has also improved efficiency, sharply reducing employee costs and maintaining relatively lower marketing spends. However, it continues to invest more in technology compared to most peers.

(Disclaimer: The recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)

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Trump and China’s Xi set for talks spanning Iran, nuclear, trade and AI

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Trump and China’s Xi set for talks spanning Iran, nuclear, trade and AI


Trump and China’s Xi set for talks spanning Iran, nuclear, trade and AI

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Bitcoin steadies at $81k with Iran tensions, US CPI in focus

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Bitcoin steadies at $81k with Iran tensions, US CPI in focus

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Beyond the cloud castles

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Beyond the cloud castles

Australia’s record defence spend hides a dangerous reliance on big-ticket toys and a distracted superpower.

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Bessent vows ’constant and robust’ US, Japan coordination on FX

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Bessent vows ’constant and robust’ US, Japan coordination on FX


Bessent vows ’constant and robust’ US, Japan coordination on FX

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PVR Inox shares slide 6% in two days despite strong Q4 earnings. Do Motilal Oswal, Nuvama see any upside?

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PVR Inox shares slide 6% in two days despite strong Q4 earnings. Do Motilal Oswal, Nuvama see any upside?
Shares of PVR INOX fell 2.5% to the day’s low of Rs 1,000 on the BSE on Tuesday, even as the company returned to profitability in the March quarter, reporting a consolidated net profit of Rs 187 crore versus a loss of Rs 125 crore in the same period last year.

The multiplex operator said strong performance from blockbuster titles, including Dhurandhar – The Revenge, Border 2 and Project Hail Mary, supported the earnings recovery.

With Tuesday’s decline, the stock is down 6% in two sessions.

Revenue from operations for Q4FY26 rose 26% year-on-year to Rs 1,547 crore, up from Rs 1,230 crore reported in the corresponding quarter of the previous financial year. On a sequential basis, profit after tax rose 95% to Rs 187 crore from Rs 96 crore in Q3FY26, even as revenue declined 16% quarter-on-quarter to Rs 1,850 crore in the October–December period.

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During the quarter, the company recorded 31 million admissions, reflecting a 2% year-on-year increase. Average ticket price (ATP) stood at Rs 315, up 22% from a year ago, while spend per head (SPH) rose 32% year-on-year to Rs 165.

PVR Inox share price: Should you buy, sell, or hold?

Nuvama Institutional Equities has maintained its “Buy” rating on PVR INOX, with a revised target price of Rs 1,620 from Rs 1,605 earlier, implying 58% upside potential. The brokerage expects FY27 to remain strong, driven by a healthy Bollywood and regional film pipeline along with a steady slate from Hollywood. It has retained its earnings estimates and noted that at the current market price, the stock trades at 13x and 11x FY27E and FY28E earnings, respectively. Nuvama noted that the company’s net debt has declined 90% since the 2023 merger, marking its lowest level since the consolidation.
Elara Capital has maintained its “Buy” rating on PVR INOX with a target price of Rs 1,300, implying an upside potential of 27%. The brokerage said occupancy levels could sustain in the 25-27% range, supported by a stronger near-term content pipeline that includes titles such as Drishyam 3, Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu, Ramayana Part 1, King, Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Part 3, Toy Story 5, Toxic and Jailer 2. Elara Capital, however, expects growth in ATP and SPH to moderate after the normalisation seen in FY26. It added that the company’s FOCO and asset-light expansion strategy is likely to support lower capital expenditure intensity and improve free cash flow generation going ahead.
Motilal Oswal Financial Services has maintained a “Neutral” rating on PVR INOX with a target price of Rs 1,125, indicating a potential upside of 10%. The brokerage said a recovery in Hollywood box office collections, along with a strong content pipeline across multiple languages, is expected to support the company, particularly given its higher exposure to premium screening formats.

Also read: Groww shares sink 7% as Peak XV, Sequoia, others launch Rs 5,637-crore stake sale amid IPO lock-in expiry

Motilal Oswal also noted that PVR INOX has made significant progress in controlling operating costs, optimising capital expenditure and reducing debt on its balance sheet. However, it cautioned that the business remains highly sensitive to occupancy levels. While management remains optimistic about the CY26 content slate, the brokerage warned that even a 200-300 basis point decline in occupancy could materially hurt screen-level economics and EBITDA performance, creating downside risks to its current estimates.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Bhagwan shares slashed on downgrade

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Bhagwan shares slashed on downgrade

Bhagwan shares plunged to a record low after the Perth marine contractor cut its FY26 earnings forecast on Tuesday.

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Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, greetings, and welcome to the Quantum Computing, Inc. First Quarter 2026 Shareholder Update Call. [Operator Instructions] It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, John Nesbett with IMS Investor Relations.

John Nesbett

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Thank you, and I want to welcome everyone to the Quantum Computing, Inc. First Quarter 2026 Shareholder Update Call. Before we begin, please note that today’s remarks may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements regarding expected results, operational plans, strategy and market opportunities. These statements are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Exchange Act and are based on current assumptions and expectations.

Forward-looking statements are neither promises nor guarantees and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. Important factors are discussed in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, and in subsequent SEC filings, including the quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. We undertake no obligation to update these statements, except as required by law.

On the call today, we have Dr. Yuping Huang, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman; and Chris Roberts, Chief Financial Officer. The team will provide

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HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Q1: 2026-05-11 Earnings Summary

EPS of $0.06 beats by $0.00

 | Revenue of $312.00M (4.55% Y/Y) beats by $3.48M

HF Foods Group Inc. (HFFG) Q1 2026 Earnings Call May 11, 2026 4:30 PM EDT

Company Participants

Xi Lin – CEO, President & Director
Paul McGarry – Chief Financial Officer

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Conference Call Participants

Jonathan DeDomenico
Aaron Grey – Alliance Global Partners, Research Division
Daniel Harriman – Sidoti & Company, LLC
William Kirk – ROTH Capital Partners, LLC, Research Division

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Presentation

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to HF Foods Group First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host to turn the call over to Mr. John DeDomenico. Thank you, and over to you, Mr. DeDomenico. You may begin.

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Jonathan DeDomenico

Hello, everyone. Welcome to HF Foods Group’s First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me on today’s call are Felix Lin, the company’s President and Chief Executive Officer; and Paul McGarry, the company’s Chief Financial Officer.

Before we begin, let me remind everyone that today’s discussion contains forward-looking statements based on management’s current beliefs and expectations about future events, which are subject to several known and unknown risks and uncertainties. If you refer to HF Foods’ earnings release as well as the company’s most recent SEC filings, you will see a discussion of factors that could cause the company’s actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. The company undertakes no obligation to update or revise these forward-looking statements in the future.

In these remarks, the company will make several references to non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted EBITDA and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share. We believe that these measures provide investors with a useful perspective on the underlying growth trends of the business and have included in the earnings release a full reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measures.

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Quadria-backed Nobel Hygiene said to plan $300 million India IPO

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Quadria-backed Nobel Hygiene said to plan $300 million India IPO
Nobel Hygiene Pvt., a maker of hygiene products, is considering an initial public offering in India that could raise as much as $300 million, according to people familiar with the matter.

The Quadria Capital-backed company has held preliminary discussions with investment banks about a potential listing and may appoint advisers in the coming weeks, the people said, asking not to be identified because the information is private.

The proposed IPO could include a mix of fresh share issuance and secondary sales by existing investors, the people said. Deliberations are ongoing, and details such as size and timing could change.

A representative for Nobel Hygiene said the company regularly evaluates strategic and capital market opportunities and engages with external advisers from time to time as part of that process.

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Indian firms have raised about $3.1 billion through IPOs so far this year, compared with roughly $22 billion in all of 2025, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.


Quadria Capital, one of Asia’s largest healthcare-focused private equity firms, announced in 2021 that it had acquired a significant minority stake in Nobel Hygiene.
Founded in 2000 by Kamal Johari, the company manufactures hygiene products tailored to Indian consumers, according to its website.

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'A problem for us': coalition reveals One Nation fears

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'A problem for us': coalition reveals One Nation fears

Regional voters turning to One Nation believe the party is the only one “fighting” for them, coalition politicians say, as the conservative alliance continues to reel from losing a key seat in a by-election.

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