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Jefferies raises target price of auto ancillary stock that’s venturing into aerospace

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Jefferies raises target price of auto ancillary stock that's venturing into aerospace
Jefferies has raised its target price on auto component maker Belrise Industries while reiterating its bullish stance on the stock, citing strong earnings growth, robust order wins and an expanding global footprint in aerospace and defence.

Jefferies’ India autos and auto parts team has maintained a ‘Buy’ rating on Belrise Industries with a revised price target of Rs 250, implying a 19% upside from the previous close of Rs 210.50. The target price has been increased from Rs 215 and is based on 26x FY28 estimated earnings per share (EPS).

The upgrade in target price comes on the back of in-line March quarter performance and a positive medium-term earnings outlook. For the March quarter, Belrise’s EBITDA and profit after tax (PAT) rose 5% and 17% year-on-year, respectively, broadly in line with Jefferies’ estimates. Total operating income grew 12% year-on-year to Rs 25,528 million, driven by a robust 21% year-on-year increase in manufacturing revenues, even as trading revenues declined 21%. Manufacturing revenue growth was led by an 18% increase in the two- and three-wheeler (2W+3W) segment, 32% in commercial vehicles (CVs), and 70% in passenger vehicles (PVs) from a low base.

EBITDA margin in the March quarter contracted 90 basis points sequentially to 11.4% on account of higher “other expenses”, including a one-off cost linked to an overseas acquisition. Jefferies noted that 4Q “other expenses include a one-time start-up cost of Rs 95 mn (40 bp of revenues) to overhaul machinery, legal and professional expenses, and personnel expenses relating to the acquisition of SDM in France.” Despite near-term cost pressures from higher commodity, fuel, transportation, and labour costs, the brokerage said Belrise still expects FY27 margins to be broadly similar to FY26, supported by cost pass-through to customers and internal cost controls.

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For FY26, Belrise’s revenues grew 15% year-on-year to Rs 95,091 million, EBITDA rose 13% to Rs 11,538 million and recurring PAT jumped 41% to Rs 5,020 million, with EBITDA margin at 12.1%. The company has also sharply strengthened its balance sheet, with net debt-to-EBITDA down to 0.1 times in FY26, compared with 1.0 times in FY25. Jefferies expects Belrise to deliver a 26% CAGR in EBITDA and 30% CAGR in EPS over FY26–28, aided by organic growth and earnings accretion from the planned merger of group entities in FY28.


The brokerage highlighted strong new order traction as a key driver of its positive view. Belrise has won two new orders: one for exhaust systems and fuel tanks for a top-selling model of a 2W/3W OEM, which Jefferies believes is from TVS Motor, and another for exhaust systems and other components for a Japanese OEM. These programmes are slated to start production in 2QFY27 and 4QFY27, and “should add ~Rs3bn of annual revs on full ramp-up (~3% of FY26 top line),” the report said.

Aerospace diversification

Jefferies also underscored Belrise’s strategic moves to diversify beyond its core two-wheeler business into higher-value global niches. “With two recent acquisitions in France and the UK, Belrise has entered into [the] global aerospace components supply chain,” the analysts wrote, adding that the company has “also entered into a strategic agreement with an Israeli company to jointly pursue opportunities in defence.” While revenue contributions from aerospace and defence are likely to remain modest in the near term, Jefferies believes they “have the potential to meaningfully boost growth in the medium to long term.”On the demand side, Jefferies expects Belrise to benefit from a cyclical upturn in India’s two-wheeler market. The brokerage projects India’s 2W production to grow at a 9% CAGR over FY26–29, supported by the impact of the GST cut in September and a recovery in domestic demand, though it flagged higher retail fuel prices and a weak monsoon as potential headwinds. Belrise, established in 1996, is described as “one of India’s leading 2W metal component players”, with about a 24% market share in its key product categories of chassis and exhaust systems. The company derives about 65% of its revenues from 2W components, around 10% from four-wheelers and roughly 20% from commodity trading.

At the current market price, the stock has already delivered a strong run-up, gaining 14% calendar year-to-date and outperforming the Nifty 50 index by 22 percentage points. Jefferies acknowledged that Belrise’s valuation at 29 times FY27 estimated earnings “appears rich”, but argued that it is “justified given healthy growth and an expanding business footprint.” The revised target price of Rs 250 factors in this growth trajectory and is anchored on a 26 times multiple on March FY28 earnings per share.

Jefferies, however, cautioned investors about key risks to its positive thesis on the stock. Chief among them is Belrise’s high dependence on its top customer, “which, based on industry characteristics, we believe is Bajaj,” the report said. Other risks include weaker-than-expected two-wheeler demand and higher-than-anticipated pressure on margins from input costs and competition. Even so, the brokerage summed up its stance by stating: “We maintain a Buy with a Rs 250 TP (Rs 215 earlier), based on 26x FY28E PE,” reflecting confidence in “healthy growth and an expanding business footprint” across 2Ws, 4Ws, exports, aerospace and defence.

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Argenica confident FDA hurdles cleared

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Argenica confident FDA hurdles cleared

Perth neurological drug developer Argenica Therapeutics says it has addressed several hurdles which led the US FDA to knock back clinical trials of its flagship ARG-007 stroke drug.

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Alcoa Corporation (AA) Presents at 16th Annual Wells Fargo Industrials & Materials Conference – Slideshow

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Alcoa Corporation (AA) Presents at 16th Annual Wells Fargo Industrials & Materials Conference – Slideshow

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Target investors reject proposal for independent board chair- Reuters

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Target investors reject proposal for independent board chair- Reuters

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Asia FX, dollar steady amid fresh US-Iran tensions, Fed rate caution

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Asia FX, dollar steady amid fresh US-Iran tensions, Fed rate caution

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Novanta: An Interesting Deal Accelerates Growth

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Brighthouse Financial (BHF): A Deal-Driven Opportunity, Not A Long-Term Compounder

Novanta: An Interesting Deal Accelerates Growth

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War-wary, May equity MF inflows fall 40% to year low

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War-wary, May equity MF inflows fall 40% to year low
Equity mutual fund inflows fell in May, dropping 40% to a 12-month low as investors scaled back fresh lumpsum allocations amid growing concerns over the fallout of the West Asia conflict. About 22,908 crore flowed into such schemes in May, down from 38,440 crore in April, marking the steepest monthly decline since May 2023, according to data from the Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI).

Monthly flows through systematic investment plans (SIPs), the MF industry’s mainstay, stood at 30,954 crore, marginally lower than April’s 31,115 crore.

War-wary, May Equity MF Inflows Fall 40% to Yr LowET Bureau

Slide most for a month in 3 years as fresh lumpsum payments down; SIPs only tad lower than March high

Sensitive to Sentiment
It marks the second straight month of lower contributions. The SIP book hit an all-time high of 32,087 crore in March.

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Total assets under management eased to 81.58 lakh crore at the end of May, compared with 81.92 lakh crore in April.


Market participants attributed the slowdown in inflows to heightened geopolitical uncertainty and volatility.
“Concerns over global developments, particularly tensions in the Middle East and fluctuating crude oil prices, have led many investors to adopt a wait-and-watch approach rather than make fresh allocations,” said Ankur Punj, managing director, Equirus Wealth.Investors deferred their lumpsum investments into equity mutual funds as elevated crude oil prices, a weakening rupee and intermittent market corrections have dented near-term visibility. Unlike SIPs, lumpsum investments are more sensitive to sentiment, with investors choosing to time their entry rather than commit capital amid heightened volatility.

The Nifty declined more than 2% in May, with crude prices hovering around the $100-a-barrel mark, adding to inflation concerns.

Among equity categories, flexi-cap funds saw the highest inflows at 5,176 crore, though this was 49% lower than April levels. Small-cap and mid-cap funds attracted 4,946 crore and Rs 4,385 crore, respectively, with inflows down 33% and 28%, in that order.

In contrast, gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw net outflows of 725 crore in May, the first monthly outflow in 13 months, following a steady moderation in inflows through the year after record subscriptions earlier in 2026.

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Debt mutual funds witnessed a reversal, recording net outflows of 96,949 crore in May, compared with inflows of 2.47 lakh crore in April, making them the primary drag on overall industry flows.

“Over 70% of the outflows came from the shorter end of the curve, particularly from three categories — liquid, money market and overnight funds — which could be attributed to seasonality of corporate treasury management and tax cycles,” said Sanjay Agarwal, senior director, CareEdge Ratings.

Hybrid funds saw inflows moderate to 10,560 crore from 20,565 crore in April, while new fund launches remained muted. The industry saw 13 new fund offers in May, which collectively mobilised 471 crore, nearly half the amount raised in the previous month.

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China’s Changchun unveils auto revamp plan, seeks BYD and Xiaomi to boost EV push

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China’s Changchun unveils auto revamp plan, seeks BYD and Xiaomi to boost EV push


China’s Changchun unveils auto revamp plan, seeks BYD and Xiaomi to boost EV push

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SpaceX IPO a bid too far? Some opt for a proxy play with Inox India

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SpaceX IPO a bid too far? Some opt for a proxy play with Inox India
Shares of Inox India were among the top gainers Wednesday, after reports of massive oversubscription in the initial public offering of US-based SpaceX drew attention of Indian investors to what could be its local equipment supplier.

Inox India shares ended at 1,891.60 on the NSE Wednesday, up 12.15%. The benchmark Nifty50 closed 0.1% lower.

“The strong response to the SpaceX IPO has drawn attention to Inox India, one of the few Indian companies operating in a related segment and supplying equipment to the space ecosystem,” said Gaurav Sharma, head of research at Globe Capital Market.

SpaceX is reportedly targeting a valuation of $1.7-1.8 trillion.

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SpaceX IPO a Bid Too Far? Some Opt for a Proxy Play with Inox IndiaET Bureau

Co shares surge over 12%, Nifty flat

Investor interest is also being supported by the company’s strong operational performance, with revenue and gross profit expanding over 120% year-on-year, reinforcing confidence in its growth prospects, Sharma said.
In its earnings call after fourth-quarter results, the chief executive Deepak Acharya said, “During Q4, we received a significant aerospace order from a leading US-based private space company with a total order value of approximately 200 crore. We are expecting more high-value orders in Q1 FY 27.”
Sunny Agrawal, head of research at SBI Securities, said there is significant activity in Inox India ahead of the SpaceX listing, and the company is also expanding into segments such as data centres, nitrogen supply and distillery kegs, which support its growth outlook.
But doubts remain about how much more can its shares gain.

“Management has guided for 15-20% growth per year, and after the recent rally, the stock is trading at a relatively rich valuation of about 56 times one-year forward earnings,” said Agrawal. “Investors may consider waiting for a correction before fresh entry, as some profit-taking and a cooling-off in the stock could follow once SpaceX gets listed.”

Shares of Inox India rose 26% in the past week and are over 67% up in 2026 so far. The Nifty50 fell 0.8% in the past week and 11.2% year-to-date.

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Sharma said as the stock has already shot up in the past few days, he would suggest investors to wait for a dip towards 1,700 to take fresh entry and look for targets close to 2,000 and beyond, while maintaining stop-loss below 1,550 for a trading position.

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Energy Transfer Stock: A Low-Risk, High-Potential MLP Play With A 7% Yield (NYSE:ET)

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Energy Transfer's Valuation Can't Be Justified In Light Of Its Surging NGL Exposure

This article was written by

I am interested in a lot of technology and AI stocks like Google, Nvidia, AMD, Tesla and Amazon.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of ET, EPD, KMI, MPLX either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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‘Don’t understand the magnitude’: Activist hits back at Northern Star’s Chaney

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‘Don’t understand the magnitude’: Activist hits back at Northern Star’s Chaney

Activist Northern Star Resources shareholder Elliott Investment says the miner’s board has failed grasp the magnitude of its reputational fall, as it agitates for major change.

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