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Lawyers warn of serious risks

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Lawyers warn of serious risks

Displeased couple having problems during a meeting with their agent in the office.

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A version of this article first appeared in CNBC’s Inside Wealth newsletter with Robert Frank, a weekly guide to the high-net-worth investor and consumer. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.

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Lawyer Tasha Dickinson said she gets calls every week from clients asking about legal advice they got from ChatGPT, Claude or another artificial intelligence chatbot. Some don’t admit it, but she can tell from their line of questioning, she said.

One client, a high-net-worth Florida resident, asked Dickinson about creating a community property trust — an attractive option for married couples — saying he got the suggestion from AI to save on taxes for his heirs, she said. Dickinson quickly pointed out a problem: The client’s wife had recently died.

“I said, ‘Well, you do understand that a community property trust is between husband and wife, right?’ And there was silence on the phone,” said Dickinson, a partner at Day Pitney. “‘They’re like, ‘Oh, well, AI thought it was a good strategy.’ Well, like, in the universe, maybe it’s a good strategy, but it’s not a good strategy for you.”

Lawyers to the wealthy told Inside Wealth that their clients are increasingly using AI not only to research tax topics but to second guess their lawyers’ advice. While some lawyers said AI helps clients come up with informed questions and learn basic concepts, they also say it poses a headache and legal risks.

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Robert Strauss, partner at Weinstock Manion, said several clients have uploaded trust documents to AI systems and come back with a list of questions and suggested edits, forcing Strauss to defend his work and explain why the AI recommendations aren’t appropriate for the client’s situation.

“The questions are fine, but it results in spending more time on the matter than we would ordinarily spend,” he said. “We end up spending two, three, four hours of time dealing with stuff that so far has amounted to nothing. I have not actually received a single workable suggestion from that process.”

The result, he said, is a lack of trust on the part of the client in their lawyer.

What’s more troubling, Strauss said, is that clients are sharing sensitive information with large-language models, raising data privacy concerns and legal pitfalls. Strauss said his firm is currently revising their client contract to warn clients that using AI chatbots like this can void attorney-client privilege.

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In February, a federal judge ruled that a criminal defendant’s conversation with Claude about his legal defense strategy were not protected by attorney-client privilege.

“What’s keeping me awake at night as it relates to AI? It’s not that AI is sometimes wrong, because I can correct those mistakes. And it’s not that people are double-checking my work on AI, because I have a lot of confidence in my work,” Dickinson said. “What I am concerned about is that when people put documents and do these searches into AI, they’re waiving the attorney-client privilege, and that is a huge issue.”

Dan Griffith, director of wealth strategy at Huntington Bank, warned that asking a chatbot how to protect your assets with a prenuptial agreement or how to sell your business while paying less in taxes, for example, could be used against you in court.

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While high-net-worth clients can generally access — and afford — the best legal advice, they, like the rest of us, enjoy the convenience of AI, according to Griffith.

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Dickinson added that the cost savings are still a draw. (“It’s not fun to pay for professional services,” she said.) She added that many of her clients are confident entrepreneurs.

“A lot of our clients have been so successful. I mean, they’re smart, right? And they have a drive for knowledge,” she said. “I think some err on the side of assuming that they understand more about this than they actually do.”

Using these AI tools, she said, “gives a false sense of knowledge.”

In some ways, this isn’t a new problem. Clients often bring suggestions to their lawyer that they got from a country club friend or an article. Dickinson described it as “a more evolved form of cocktail party talk.”

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And the trend isn’t one-sided. Many lawyers use AI in their professional and personal lives. This has led to headline-making blunders like briefs with fake citations.

But few clients are familiar enough with AI and the law to write an effective prompt, lawyers said.

Ed Renn of Withers gave the example of a client who wanted to transfer unlimited assets to his spouse upon ChatGPT’s advice. The client, however, didn’t mention his wife was foreign-born, which means he couldn’t take advantage of the unlimited marital deduction without a special type of trust, according to Renn.

“If you don’t know quite what you’re doing, it’s garbage in, garbage out,” he said.

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Renn added that AI tools appear to make more mistakes with more complex topics like international taxes and aren’t up to date with new legislation or guidance from the Internal Revenue Service.

Griffith said that deciding how to transfer your wealth to your loved ones requires a more complicated discussion than ChatGPT is prepared for. There are rarely easy answers when deciding, for instance, how to divide assets between children from a first marriage and a second spouse, he said.

“If your client asks, ‘Hey, if I do this trust, will my son have access to the funds that I give him at some point in time?’ The answer shouldn’t be ‘yes’ or ‘no.’ The answer should be, ‘Tell me more about your relationship with your son, or what’s the situation like?’” he said. “AI tends to be very solution-oriented and tries to find some way to get to yes. It doesn’t do a good enough job of saying, ‘You know what? Let’s get to the core of what your question is.’”

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Drax hails good performance as it ‘supports UK energy at a critical time’

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The firm’s CEO said Drax has been ‘working hard to help keep the lights on for millions of UK households and businesses through a period of acute geopolitical uncertainty’

Aerial landscape panorama of Drax Power Station in North Yorkshire, UK at sunset

Drax Power Station in North Yorkshire(Image: Getty)

Power giant Drax has issued an upbeat trading update highlighting how it is “supporting UK energy security at a critical time” during the Middle East conflict. The FTSE 250 firm operates the country’s largest power station in Selby, North Yorkshire, which produces at least 5% of the UK’s electricity, mainly from sustainable biomass.

It said a good performance across the group means its 2026 full year adjusted Ebitda is expected to be in line with estimates of £665m – subject to continued good operational performance. Drax produces over 5% of the UK’s electricity and around 10% of its renewable power, going up to 18% at times of peak demand and on certain days over 50%.

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And amid the conflict in the Middle East, it said it is helping to support the UK power system, stating: “The group’s focus on flexible, dispatchable generation and renewables enables it to support a secure, lower cost UK power system, which can continue to decarbonise, by allowing more intermittent renewables to operate and helping to reduce the UK’s exposure to higher gas prices and reliance on imported power.

“The group’s supply chain has a high level of operational redundancy, with limited exposure to underlying commodity prices, sourcing biomass primarily from North America, including from the group’s own facilities in the US South. To help maximise output at times of high demand, the group is continuing to optimise generation across its portfolio to deliver power when it is needed most.”

Meanwhile Drax bosses said its Pellet Production business is performing well, with a continued focus on cost reduction in its US operations, supporting UK energy security via biomass generation at Drax Power Station. It said a strategic review of the Group’s Canadian operations is ongoing.

Drax said its Pellet Production business is performing well.

Drax said its Pellet Production business is performing well.(Image: Drax)

It added: “Against the backdrop of growing demand for energy security Drax continues to see long-term potential for new and existing markets for bioenergy, which can offer an alternative to fossil fuels, including in the production of sustainable aviation fuels and other industrial processes.”

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Drax Group CEO, Will Gardiner, said: “We have started the year well and have delivered a good operational performance across the Group, supporting UK energy security at a critical time for the country. Our assets, colleagues and supply chain partners have been working hard to help keep the lights on for millions of UK households and businesses through a period of acute geopolitical uncertainty.

“We are at a key moment of transition in our business and in the UK’s energy system. With our first battery storage projects and the commissioning of our first OCGT unit progressing, we are growing our UK FlexGen portfolio.

“We are excited about the potential opportunities to invest further to help the country meet its growing energy needs. We believe these opportunities could create value for stakeholders and offer attractive returns for shareholders, in line with our capital allocation policy.”

In February Drax confirmed a major restructuring which will lead to 350 redundancies as part of plans to build “a strong, resilient business for the future”. The firm said it is “focused on driving growth in our flexible generation business”, resulting in the restructure. A consultation process is being carried out with affected staff in Yorkshire and North America.

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At Close of Business podcast April 30 2026

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At Close of Business podcast April 30 2026

Ella Loneragan and Claire Tyrrell discuss a Wall Street executive’s move to buy an iconic Fremantle site.

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Modern Solutions for Men’s Wellness: A Lifestyle Approach to Erectile Health

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Modern Solutions for Men’s Wellness: A Lifestyle Approach to Erectile Health

Breaking the Stigma Around Men’s Health

Men’s wellness has become a prominent topic in lifestyle conversations, yet topics like erectile health still carry stigma that can prevent individuals from seeking help. From stress and lifestyle factors to underlying medical conditions, erectile dysfunction (ED) affects a significant portion of men worldwide. According to BBC, open discussion and education about male sexual health are essential for reducing stigma and encouraging proactive care.

In today’s digital age, accessible and discreet solutions are available that empower men to take control of their health without embarrassment. For those exploring professional support, Hightown Erectile Health Solutions offers a safe and confidential online service to manage erectile health effectively. This modern approach combines medical expertise with the convenience and privacy of online access, making care more approachable than ever.

How Lifestyle Choices Impact Erectile Health

Erectile health is not only influenced by physical factors but also by daily habits and lifestyle choices. Nutrition, exercise, stress management, and sleep play key roles in sexual performance and overall wellness. Forbes highlights that incorporating healthier routines—such as regular cardiovascular exercise and balanced diets—can significantly improve blood flow and hormone balance, which are crucial for erectile function.

Key Lifestyle Tips

  • Exercise Regularly: Improves circulation and overall cardiovascular health.
  • Balanced Diet: Foods rich in antioxidants, healthy fats, and vitamins support hormone regulation.
  • Manage Stress: Mindfulness, meditation, or counseling can reduce anxiety that impacts sexual performance.
  • Sleep Well: Adequate rest regulates hormones and energy levels, improving overall sexual health.

Small changes in daily routines can have long-term benefits for erectile function and overall wellness.

The Role of Technology in Modern Men’s Health

Digital platforms have revolutionized the way men access healthcare solutions. Telemedicine, online consultations, and discreet delivery services allow individuals to obtain guidance and medications without the anxiety of in-person visits. According to Forbes, telehealth services for sexual wellness are growing rapidly, reflecting the need for convenience, privacy, and accessibility.

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Table: Traditional vs. Online Erectile Health Services

Feature Traditional Clinic Online Solutions
Privacy Limited High, discreet online access
Convenience Requires travel and appointments Order and consult from home
Access to Expertise May require referrals Direct access to specialists online
Follow-up Care Dependent on return visits Automated reminders and digital support
Stigma Potentially uncomfortable Reduced embarrassment with confidential services

This table highlights why online solutions like Hightown Erectile Health Solutions are becoming the preferred choice for modern men seeking effective and convenient care.

Understanding Treatments and Options

Erectile dysfunction can be managed through various medical treatments, including prescription medications, lifestyle adjustments, and therapy. Awareness of options empowers men to make informed decisions tailored to their needs.

Common Approaches

  • Prescription Medications: Clinically approved solutions such as PDE5 inhibitors.
  • Therapy & Counseling: Psychological support to address anxiety, stress, or relationship concerns.
  • Lifestyle Adjustments: Targeted changes to diet, activity level, and sleep.
  • Combination Plans: Integrated approaches combining medical, psychological, and lifestyle support.

The availability of discreet online services allows men to explore these treatments in a private, comfortable setting while maintaining access to professional guidance.

Promoting Wellness Through Education

Education is a key component in managing erectile health. Online resources, health guides, and professional consultations help men understand the condition, explore treatment options, and track progress. According to NY Times, men who access reliable digital health information are more likely to engage in proactive care and experience better outcomes.

  • Digital Health Guides: Offer comprehensive explanations of conditions and treatments.
  • Symptom Trackers: Help monitor progress and effectiveness of interventions.
  • Virtual Consultations: Provide confidential discussions with healthcare professionals.

These tools, when combined with solutions like Hightown Erectile Health Solutions, create a modern, tech-forward approach to sexual wellness that fits seamlessly into a contemporary lifestyle.

Integrating Wellness Into Everyday Life

Maintaining erectile health is about more than treatments—it’s part of an overall approach to wellness. Men can integrate healthcare solutions into daily routines by:

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  • Scheduling regular check-ups and virtual consultations.
  • Tracking health metrics using apps and digital tools.
  • Incorporating lifestyle adjustments to support physical and mental wellbeing.
  • Utilizing discreet online platforms to manage medications and treatments effectively.

Modern solutions for erectile health demonstrate how lifestyle, technology, and professional care intersect to support men’s wellness. Platforms like Hightown Erectile Health Solutions exemplify this trend, providing a stylish, accessible, and private approach to sexual health that aligns perfectly with the needs of today’s men.

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Realside Ovest launches new $200m fund

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Realside Ovest launches new $200m fund

The Julie Drago-led company has purchased a $14.85 million parcel of land north of Adelaide as the first asset in the fund.

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New South Wales to London train service launch date

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Train operator Lumo has five trains on order for the route with Hitachi while Transport for Wales is seeking to run trains to Bristol

A Lumo train.

A new west Wales to London train service is on track to launch next year, while Transport for Wales (TfW) is looking to run trains to Bristol.

Lumo, the open access train operator of transport giant FirstGroup, will operate a daily service from Carmarthen to London Paddington. It plans to launch in December 2027.

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Grand Union Trains first secured approval for the route from regulator the Office of Road and Rail (ORR) in 2022, after an initial application had been rejected. It had faced opposition from GWR, which operate its own South Wales to London Paddington services.

Grand Union in turn sold its rights to the route to FirstGroup in 2024. The value of the deal was not disclosed .

READ MORE: The verdict on Plaid Cymru’s plans for the Welsh economyREAD MORE: Wales doesn’t need grants but a new approach to IP and innovation that sustains business success

The route will provide five return services a day, calling at Carmarthen, Llanelli, Gowerton, Cardiff, Newport, Severn Tunnel Junction, Bristol Parkway, and London Paddington.

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The service will be in direct competition with GWR, as well as services between the Welsh stations provided by Transport for Wales.

A Lumo spokesperson said: “Our new service linking South Wales with London Paddington is set to launch from December 2027.

“The service will introduce five brand new Hitachi trains and will bring affordable open access travel to even more communities, operating a single-class of standard seating, offering all of our customers the best seats.

“The new operation will provide five return services a day, calling at Carmarthen, Llanelli, Gowerton, Cardiff, Newport, Severn Tunnel Junction, Bristol Parkway, and London Paddington. We’re also currently preparing to launch a new service linking Stirling with London Euston this Spring, with tickets now on sale.”

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Lumo would not comment on the projected number of passengers per annum in its first few years of operation.

TfW Bristol services

TfW is seeking to run trains from South Wales to Bristol Temple Meads. Its application, which is not an open access bid, is currently being reviewed by the ORR.

TfW is seeking to run two services an hour between Cardiff Central Station and Bristol Temple Meads, stopping at Newport, Severn Tunnel Junction, Filton Abbey Wood and Stepleton Road, with one train running via Bristol Parkway Monday to Saturday.

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West of Cardiff, TfW said post services would originate from or extend to Fishguard or Milford Haven. While calling patterns will vary, stations such as Bridgend, Port Talbot Parkway, Neath, Swansea and Carmarthen could be used.

TfW said its planned services would fit in-between existing GWR services from South Wales to Bristol Temple Meads.

A spokesman for TfW said: “We have submitted an application to the Office of Rail and Road for a new service between West Wales and Bristol, to begin in September 2026.

“As part of this process we will engage with a range of stakeholders, including Network Rail and other train operating companies, to discuss any implications of the new service on performance and route capacity.”

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Subject to approval TfW plans to launch the route September.. The ORR said it couldn’t give any timeframe as to when a decision will be made. TfW operates a number of cross-border services on its Wales & Borders network, including one from South Wales to Manchester.

A spokesman for GWR said of TfW’s Bristol plan “We welcome any enhancements to provide addition levels of service for customers along a key route, but this does need to be done so as not to be detrimental to existing services or already agreed future services which will serve South Wales.

“We will continue to work with our industry partners to ensure railway services are developed in the best possible way for passengers and taxpayer.”

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Chapel Down Hits 1 Million Bottles as English Sparkling Wine Eyes 1% of Global Champagne Market

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Chapel Down Hits 1 Million Bottles as English Sparkling Wine Eyes 1% of Global Champagne Market

Britain’s biggest winemaker uncorks a record-breaking year as chief executive James Pennefather sticks to his audacious target of capturing 1 per cent of the global champagne market by 2035.

Chapel Down, Britain’s largest winemaker, has sold more than a million bottles of English sparkling wine in a single year for the first time, a watershed moment in its bid to seize 1 per cent of the global champagne market by 2035.

The Kent-based producer, listed on London’s junior Aim market and backed by the billionaire Lord Spencer of Alresford, said the million-bottle haul equates to roughly 0.4 per cent of champagne’s worldwide market share. James Pennefather, who took the helm as chief executive last year, expects that figure to climb to 0.7 per cent by the end of the decade.

Pennefather said the company’s long-term ambition was anchored in the available acreage across its native Kent. “We certainly do have options to get there faster, but it also slightly depends on what happens to the wider champagne market,” he said.

While champagne has historically been the preserve of formal celebrations, Pennefather argued that English sparkling wine was redrawing the boundaries of the category. “One of the real strengths of Chapel Down and English sparkling wine is that we’ve expanded the number of occasions on which people are drinking high-value sparkling wines,” he said. “That gives us confidence that we are also expanding the category as a whole.”

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The company farms more than 1,000 acres of vineyards across the south-east of England, producing both still and sparkling wines. Its growing brand profile has been bolstered by partnerships with Ascot, The Boat Race and the England and Wales Cricket Board.

Results for the year ending 31 December 2025 lay bare the appetite for home-grown fizz. Group revenues climbed 19 per cent to £19.4 million, fuelled chiefly by a 38 per cent surge in off-trade sales through supermarkets to £9.4 million on the back of a 5 per cent rise in listings.

On-trade sales, those flowing through pubs, bars and restaurants, edged up 5 per cent to £2.6 million, helped by new account wins. International revenues jumped 49 per cent to £1 million, lifted by the firm’s tie-up with Jackson Family Wines in the United States and a higher profile at British airports and St Pancras International station.

The performance pushed Chapel Down back into the black, with pre-tax profits of £469,000 compared with a £1.4 million loss the previous year. Buoyed by a strong start to 2026, the board reaffirmed guidance for net sales of £22.1 million, in line with City consensus.

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Pennefather conceded that the conflict in Iran was a watch-point for the business, although the Middle East accounts for only a “small” share of revenues. “We haven’t seen any immediate impact,” he said, “but a sustained increase in fuel costs could have an impact on profitability.”

Elsewhere, investors raised a glass to Carlsberg after the Danish brewer posted its first quarterly volume rise in a year, helped by its push into soft drinks. The world’s third-largest brewer, which counts Kronenbourg, Skol and Somersby cider among its stable, reported a 2.8 per cent lift in total organic volumes during the first quarter, with growth across every region. Soft drinks volumes leapt 10 per cent, driven in no small part by its £3.3 billion takeover of Britvic, while beer volumes nudged 0.4 per cent higher.


Amy Ingham

Amy is a newly qualified journalist specialising in business journalism at Business Matters with responsibility for news content for what is now the UK’s largest print and online source of current business news.

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Intercontinental Exchange raises quarterly dividend 8% to $0.52

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Intercontinental Exchange raises quarterly dividend 8% to $0.52

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NYC small businesses face strain under Mamdani’s proposed tax credit cut

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NYC small businesses face strain under Mamdani's proposed tax credit cut

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s latest effort to close a widening budget gap is intensifying concerns among business leaders, as his proposal to scale back a key tax credit threatens a broad range of companies that rely on it to remain competitive.

FOX Business’ Gerri Willis joined “Varney & Co.” host David Asman to report on the proposal, which would reduce the pass-through entity tax (PTET) credit, used heavily by small- and mid-sized businesses, to help generate revenue for the city.

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New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani.

New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani delivering remarks at a rally in NYC. (Selcuk Acar/Anadolu / Getty Images)

The PTET credit was introduced as a workaround to federal limits on state and local tax deductions (SALT) and has since become a financial lifeline for many businesses structured as S corporations and LLCs. Critics argue cutting it risks undermining those firms at a time when economic conditions remain uncertain.

O’LEARY SLAMS NYC TAX PLAN AS ‘SHEER BLIND STUPIDITY,’ DEFENDS WEALTHY INVESTORS

“Many states implemented a pass-through entity tax because many businesses file via the S corp or LLCs. And this became a workaround to keep them competitive,” Partnership for NYC President and CEO Steven Fulop said. “In a time where the economy is fragile in New York City, we’re saying just be cautious on these sort of things.”

The proposal is part of a broader push that includes higher income, property and corporate taxes, raising concerns about long-term economic stability and business retention.

TAX FIGHT HEATS UP AS NEW YORK TARGETS WEALTHY HOMEOWNERS

Gristedes CEO John Catsimatidis warned that the impact could extend beyond top earners, noting middle-income professionals and small-business owners could feel the strain.

“The people that make $300, $400, $500,000 a year, they are the ones… They have an option. They get up and leave,” Catsimatidis said during an appearance on “Varney & Co.” “You can’t destroy the real estate industry… In London, it’s been destroyed… If you do the same thing in New York that is a disaster.”

As policymakers weigh competing approaches, the outcome could shape how attractive New York remains for businesses navigating rising costs and fiscal uncertainty.

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Bank Polska Kasa Opieki (BKPKF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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OneWater Marine Inc. (ONEW) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome at the presentation of the financial results for the first quarter. We have Cezary Stypulkowski, CEO; Vice President responsible for Finance, Dagmara Wojnar; Vice President for Risk Division, Marcin Jablczynski; and Ernest Pytlarczyk, Chief Economist of the Bank. Over to Cezary.

Cezary Stypulkowski
President of Management Board

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Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. The first quarter was successful for the bank. We recorded net profit at PLN 1.2 billion. We feel a revival of credit action both in retail and in corporate markets, maybe excluding mortgage loans, but that’s a separate topic. We see increasing digitization of Pekao S.A. clients who historically followed the market.

With respect to this trend and the capital position remains very strong. I would like to stress here that we maintain a low level of risk cost although we assume that there might be a certain increase here. Anyway, the boundaries within which we move were defined more broadly than the current actuals.

We see 11% growth in loan funding covering various categories. Return on equity continues at a decent expected level. Cost to income ratio is not set in stone in connection with the need to inject capital in the bank. But stays at almost 30.5%, excluding the effects of burdens of the first quarter, mainly in relation to the contributions to the fund for banking stability.

We see the developments that relate to the principal lines in which Pekao S.A. has been not sufficiently invested in particular with regard to micro market, but

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Why market fell today? Sensex slumps 583 pts, Nifty below 24,000; 7 key triggers

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Why market fell today? Sensex slumps 583 pts, Nifty below 24,000; 7 key triggers
Indian stock market tumbled on Thursday, with Sensex and Nifty cracking over 0.7% each, as oil prices soared to historic levels, the rupee plunged to an all-time low, along with other factors that dampened investor sentiment.

The benchmark indices had slipped over 1% each in the morning, with Sensex crashing over 1,200 points and Nifty falling below 23,800 briefly. However, markets recovered some losses by afternoon. At close, Sensex was down 583 points at 76,913l, while Nifty was down over 180 points at 23,998. The sharp drop erased nearly Rs 5 lakh crore from the total market capitalisation of all companies listed on BSE, pulling it down to Rs 464 lakh crore.

Zomato-parent Eternal, Hindustan Unilever (HUL), Tata Steel, UltraTech Cement, M&M, Trent, L&T and Axis Bank shares were the top losers on Sensex, falling nearly 2-3%. Bucking the trend, Sun Pharma shares jumped 2% to emerge as the top gainer.

The sharp selloff in the stock market was broad-based, spilling over to small and midcap counters as well. The Nifty Smallcap 100 index declined 0.5%, while the Nifty Midcap 100 index tumbled nearly 1%. This came as India VIX, which measures volatility in the market, jumped around 6% to 18.46.

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Nifty Metal and Nifty PSU Bank index declined around 2% each to emerge as the top sectoral loser. Nifty Pharma and Nifty IT meanwhile closed in the green. Around 1,976 stocks declined on NSE, while 1,295 advanced and 98 remained unchanged.

Here are the key factors impacting markets today:

1) Trump’s ‘extended blockade’ warning

US President Donald Trump said that the US blockade of Iranian ports could last months as peace talks remained stalled. While Iran has reportedly submitted a fresh peace proposal to end the weeks-long War, Trump is not satisfied. The Wall Street Journal said he had told national security officials to prepare for a prolonged blockade to compel the Islamic Republic to give up its nuclear programme.
“The blockade is somewhat more effective than the bombing. They are choking like a stuffed pig. And it is going to be worse for them. They can’t have a nuclear weapon,” Trump told Axios. His latest comments further spooked investors.

2) Oil prices cross $120/barrel

Oil prices surged amid escalating tensions, crossing $120 per barrel for the first time since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Brent crude futures rose around 4% to $123 per barrel in Thursday morning trade.

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After comfortably falling below the $100 per barrel mark earlier this month, oil prices moved back above the crucial level last week as fresh attacks near the Strait of Hormuz raised concerns about supply disruptions.

3) Fed’s hawkish commentary

The US Federal Reserve kept its policy rates unchanged, with the decision being its most divided since 1992, as three officials dissented over guidance that still signalled a bias towards easing.

“Developments in the Middle East are contributing to a high level of uncertainty about the economic outlook,” the Committee said, adding that it remains attentive to risks on both sides of its dual mandate of growth and inflation.

4) Rupee weakens to all-time low

Rupee declined to a fresh all-time low of 95.07 against the US dollar on Thursday. Later, it pared some losses to close at 94.9050. Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst of Commodity and Currency at LKP Securities, had warned that sustained FII outflows and elevated crude prices are pressuring the currency. “Higher oil prices are significantly increasing India’s import bill and inflation risks, limiting any meaningful recovery in the rupee,” he said. “The trend remains weak, with the currency consistently facing selling pressure on rebounds, indicating a lack of strong support at higher levels,” he added.

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5) Global markets in red

Global markets mostly remained in the red as oil prices soared. Japan’s Nikkei tumbled nearly 1.3%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and South Korea’s Kospi fell around 1.4% each, although China’s Shanghai Composite closed nearly flat in the green.

European markets remained mixed, with UK’s FTSE rising over 1%. France’s CAC fell 0.5% while Germany’s DAX gained 0.18%. Wall Street, however, closed nearly flat, with the Nasdaq ending the session in the green with marginal gains.

6) FII selling continues

Foreign investors remained net sellers of Indian equities on Wednesday, net selling shares worth Rs 2,469 crore, according to provisional data available on NSE. FIIs have now been net sellers of Indian equities for the sixth consecutive session.

While this does not reflect their trading activity today, sustained FII selling dampens investor sentiment and fuels the selloff in the market.

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7) Bond yields soar

US Treasury yields rose to a one-month high after the Fed’s hawkish signal of growing inflation concerns. The yield on benchmark US 10-year notes rose 7.6 basis points to 4.43%, from 4.354% late on Tuesday, while the 30-year bond yield rose 5.7 basis points to 5.0011%. The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, rose 10.7 basis points to 3.951%, from 3.844% late on Tuesday.

Exit polls lead to volatility

Exit polls across four states and one union territory indicate a strong maiden electoral win for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in West Bengal, while incumbents are likely to retain power in Tamil Nadu, Assam and Puducherry, JM Financial said in its latest note. Kerala also appears set for a regime change, with the Congress-led United Democratic Front (UDF) likely to unseat the Left Democratic Front (LDF), which has ruled the state for the last 10 years, the domestic brokerage added.

Analysts say that exit polls often trigger short-term volatility, although their broader impact tends to be limited. Vishnu Tripathi, AVP at Garud Investment Managers, noted that such developments lead investors to reassess positions based on expected policy direction at the state level.

In this context, investors remember the sharp market volatility around the 2024 General Elections. After voting concluded, exit polls predicted a landslide victory for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi. They projected that the BJP would win more than 272 seats in the 543-member Parliament, while the NDA could win up to 370 seats. This had pushed markets sharply higher on Monday (June 3, 2024), a day before the correction.

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As the session began on June 4, 2024, investors panicked as early trends in the actual results diverged sharply from expectations. The BJP failed to reach the halfway mark on its own, and the NDA won 293 seats to form the government, although with fewer seats than expected. Sensex and Nifty fell nearly 6% each on June 4, 2024, wiping off a significant portion of investors’ wealth.

(With inputs from agencies)
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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