Business
Mahsa Alert app aids Iranian civilians amid war, internet blackout
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As the U.S. and Israel round out a fifth week of war with Iran, some 93 million civilians living inside Iran are stuck in a conflict zone without a missile alert system or access to the internet. Another 4 million people of Iranian origin worldwide are cut off from their friends and family still in Iran.
While the Islamic Republic has left its own people in the dark, Holistic Resilience, a group of engineers focused on internet freedom, is using an app called Mahsa Alert to light the way.
The app is named after Mahsa Amini, a 22-year-old Iranian woman who died in 2022 after an arrest by Iran’s “morality police.” This group regularly detains women it believes do not comply with the country’s mandatory hair-covering laws. Her death became the impetus for widespread protests after decades of oppression. Amini’s image is now a symbol of what has become known as the Woman, Life, Freedom movement.
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Holistic Resilience said it first recognized the lack of civilian protections during the 12-day war between Israel and Iran in June 2025.

Millions of civilians living inside Iran are stuck in a conflict zone without a missile alert system or access to the internet. (Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu via Getty Images)
“They’re checking on the surroundings of their loved ones’ neighborhoods to make sure there is no location that could be potentially a target of these strikes and inform them to stay away from them,” said Ahmad Ahmadian, the executive director of Holistic Resilience.
Using crowdsourcing and open-source intelligence, volunteers analyze about 100 tips a day for validity and accuracy. These reports can come in the form of social media videos or photos or messages on Telegram. They also pore through footage from some 18,000 CCTV cameras around the country.
As the 17th-largest country in the world by area, Iran presents a significant mapping challenge.
“We have to be up to be able to immediately push out that notification. The last one was, I guess, in the middle of the night,” said Ahmadian. “I have colleagues that are working near 16 hours on this project. We have been self-funding this project from the beginning, and we never stopped doing that despite all of the challenges. The reason for that is it’s something that people need to have, and it saves lives.”

Internet connectivity in Iran estimated at less than 1%. (Majid Saeedi/Getty Images)
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The Israel Defense Forces occasionally posts evacuation notices on its Farsi-language X account. A previous post from the account shows warnings like: “In the coming hours, the IDF will operate in the area, as it has in recent days across Tehran, to strike military infrastructure of the Iranian regime. For your safety and well-being, we ask that you immediately leave the area indicated on the map.”
With internet connectivity in Iran estimated at less than 1%, Israeli evacuation notices often fail to reach the civilians they are intended to aid.
Civilians who evacuate to towns or cities they are unfamiliar with can use the Mahsa Alert app as a critical lifeline, identifying hospitals, blood banks, government checkpoints or shelters while offline.
“We’ve realized, OK, if people start to move around and get displaced, they need to see the essentials, the essential locations,” said Ahmadian.
The Iranian government is prioritizing its objectives beyond its borders over its own people, according to Holistic Resilience.
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“Instead of the sirens, sending crisis alerts to the mass population, every day they’re sending text messages by the Ministry of Intelligence threatening people, [saying] if you share information with others, we will know about it and we’ll come after you,” said Ahmadian.

As the 17th-largest country in the world by area, Iran presents a significant mapping challenge. (Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
The government has accused those volunteering information to the platform of acting as Israeli spies or gathering intelligence for the U.S. military. The group has come under attack from the Iranian government, both from hacking and from deliberately sending misinformation to undermine the group’s credibility. Palo Alto Networks’ Unit 42 has reported a widespread increase in cyberthreat activity by Iranian actors since the conflict began in late February.
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In one instance, Ahmadian said a tip alleged missiles were being launched from a specific building, which the group later identified as a girls’ dormitory at a university. He said the group believed the tip may have been intended to mislead targeting, giving the Iranian government ammunition for its anti-Israel and anti-U.S. media campaign, though this could not be independently verified by FOX Business.
“By increasing the number of civilian casualties, they pump up their propaganda war,” Ahmadian said. “This is not our war. This has never been our war.”
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Leo Nelissen is a macro-focused equity strategist and long-term investor with more than a decade of experience on Seeking Alpha, where he has built a following of over 50,000 readers. His work combines big-picture macro analysis, geopolitical insight, and bottom-up research to identify high-quality businesses and long-term investment opportunities. He is the founder of Main Street Alpha, a Seeking Alpha Investing Group focused on macro strategy, real portfolios, dividend investing, and disciplined capital allocation for long-term investors.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of REXR, RTX, GE either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
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Survival Over Hype: The hidden trait that builds long-term wealth
The Illusion of Strength in Easy Money Cycles
Over the past decade, abundant liquidity and low interest rates allowed even mediocre businesses to thrive. However, as global central banks—from the Federal Reserve to emerging market policymakers—tighten or recalibrate policy, the market is increasingly distinguishing between real compounders and fragile performers.
In such an environment, earnings growth alone is no longer a reliable indicator. Companies that once looked strong due to favorable liquidity conditions are now being stress-tested.
The “Capacity to Suffer”: A Rare Corporate Trait
Thomas Russo’s framework which he presented at Talks@Google revolves around identifying businesses that can endure short-term pain to build long-term value. According to him, true survivors are those willing to sacrifice immediate profitability in order to invest in future growth.
This often manifests in:
Heavy reinvestment into brands, distribution, or new markets
Acceptance of lower margins in the near term
Strategic decisions that may temporarily hurt stock prices
Such companies are not chasing quarterly expectations—they are building multi-decade compounding engines.
Why Markets Punish the Right Behavior
Ironically, the very traits that define long-term winners often lead to short-term underperformance. Markets, especially in uncertain times, tend to reward visibility and punish ambiguity.
Russo highlights that expanding businesses require capital and patience, and these investments may not yield immediate returns, which can weigh on stock prices.
In today’s environment—where investors are hypersensitive to interest rates, liquidity shifts, and geopolitical risks—this disconnect becomes even sharper.
The Investor’s Mirror: Can You “Suffer” Too?
Russo’s philosophy extends beyond companies to investors themselves. The ability to hold onto quality businesses during periods of underperformance is crucial.
This “capacity to suffer” includes:
Resisting the urge to chase momentum
Ignoring short-term noise and market euphoria
Staying committed when others appear to be making easy gains
As he points out, watching others profit quickly can itself feel like a form of suffering—but it is temporary.
Reinvestment: The Engine of True Compounding
A key marker of resilient businesses is their ability to reinvest earnings at high rates of return. Companies that can deploy capital effectively—not just generate it—create exponential value over time.
This aligns with a broader value-investing principle: the best businesses are those that can continuously reinvest and expand their economic moat, rather than simply distribute profits.
Applying Russo’s Lens to Today’s Market
In the current global setup:
Technology companies face disruption from AI and changing demand cycles
Banks and financials are navigating rate volatility and credit risks
Consumer businesses are dealing with inflation-driven demand shifts
Amid this uncertainty, the winners will likely be those that:
Continue investing despite macro headwinds
Maintain pricing power and brand strength
Think in decades, not quarters
Conclusion: Survival Is a Strategic Choice
Market downturns and global uncertainties do not just test balance sheets—they test philosophy. As liquidity tightens and easy gains disappear, the market is returning to its fundamental nature: rewarding patience, discipline, and long-term thinking.
The real survivors are not the fastest growers in good times, but the most resilient builders in bad times.
For investors, the message is clear: identifying such businesses is only half the battle—the other half is having the conviction to endure the journey alongside them.
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