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Meesho slides 40% from peak, slips below listing price. Here is why brokerages still see 26% upside

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Meesho slides 40% from peak, slips below listing price. Here is why brokerages still see 26% upside
Shares of e-commerce firm Meesho have slid about 12% over the past week after its Q3 earnings disappointed the Street. Consolidated net losses for the December quarter ballooned nearly 13-fold to Rs 491 crore, compared with a loss of Rs 37 crore in the year-ago period. The stock has also slipped below its listing price after an initially strong debut, amid concerns over growth sustainability. However, a couple of leading foreign brokerages continue to see silver linings, pointing to factors that could still work in the company’s favour.

Meesho was listed in December at Rs 162 on the NSE, marking a 46% premium over the issue price of Rs 111. After rallying sharply to a peak of Rs 254 on December 18, the stock has since reversed nearly 40% and is now hovering around Rs 151, its Thursday closing price. Notably, Meesho had turned into a 129% multibagger within just seven sessions of listing before entering the current downtrend.

The December-listed e-commerce company reported a 32% year-on-year jump in revenue in Q3FY26 to Rs 3,518 crore versus Rs 2,674 crore in the corresponding quarter of the last financial year.

The company’s losses rose on a sequential basis as well, climbing from Rs 411 crore in Q2FY26, while the topline recorded a 14% quarter-on-quarter growth versus Rs 3,074 crore in the July-September quarter.

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What brokerages recommend

Swiss brokerage UBS has maintained a Buy rating on Meesho with a target price of Rs 220. The stock was recommended at a price of Rs 173, implying a 26% upside.
“The topline growth was strong but profitability was impacted by one-off factors and is expected to revert back in the next two quarters,” the note said. UBS attributed the decline in contribution margin by 110 bps in Q2 and a further 100 bps in Q3, with an additional 16 bps impact due to network restructuring. “This impact was largely one-off and driven by the merger of two of the largest 3PL players, Delhivery and Ecom, into a single entity, which temporarily constrained the availability of 3PL providers for Meesho. As a result, Meesho accelerated the expansion of its in-house logistics arm, Valmo, leading to short-term network inefficiencies and higher costs,” the brokerage noted, adding that management expects these costs to normalise over the next two quarters.

UBS also highlighted management’s expectation of steady-state ad revenues of 5.5-6%. Margin improvement is expected to be driven by ads and other value-added services, while the logistics premium is likely to remain range-bound at 2-2.5% of net merchandise value.

BofA Securities has retained a Neutral view on the stock, though it sees a 9% upside, implying a target price of Rs 190. The stock was recommended at Rs 174.

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The company’s Q3 revenues were ahead of BofA’s estimates.

The US brokerage is of the view that Meesho will continue to decide the right mix between Valmo and 3PL partners based on the lowest cost structure.

“Some capacity at Valmo was built at a very fast pace and was not optimised for costs. The company will fix this and then start to scale up Valmo again. Incremental costs from Q2 and Q3 are expected to normalise over the next two quarters, with operating leverage benefits from investments made across technology, marketing and logistics scale-up,” the note said.

According to BofA, Meesho’s growth over the next three to four years is expected to be led by faster expansion in annual transacting users rather than an increase in transaction frequency. The brokerage noted that first-year users typically transact less compared with more mature cohorts, with the top quartile of Meesho’s users clocking an average annual frequency of over 20 transactions. BofA added that the company is likely to maintain its logistics margin within a 2-2.5% contribution margin range on net merchandise value, with any gains from operational efficiencies expected to be passed on to users.

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(Disclaimer: The recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)

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Immunome: Upcoming NDA, Valuation, And Investment Case (NASDAQ:IMNM)

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Immunome: Upcoming NDA, Valuation, And Investment Case (NASDAQ:IMNM)

This article was written by

Dubai-based investor focused on building a resilient, income-generating portfolio with a long-term growth mindset. My approach is primarily long-only, blending dividend-paying equities, REITs, and other income strategies with selective growth opportunities. I believe in disciplined, fundamentals-driven investing, prioritizing capital preservation while compounding returns over time. Originally from India.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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HC quashes Rs 1 crore GST seizure, orders return

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HC quashes Rs 1 crore GST seizure, orders return
Mumbai: Holding the seizure operations by the DGGI as “perverse, arbitrary and without authority of law”, the Bombay High Court quashed two seizure orders issued by the department and directed the return of ₹1 crore in cash seized from a Mumbai trader.

A division bench of Justices G. S. Kulkarni and Aarti Sathe ruled that officers of the Directorate General of GST Intelligence (DGGI) failed to comply with the statutory requirements under the GST law before seizing the money.

The bench also expressed surprise when the government counsel informed the court that the seized cash had been handed over to the Income Tax Department for further proceedings.
Smruti Waghdhare, proprietor of M/s Platinum International, had challenged seizure orders dated June 27 and June 28, 2023 issued in Form GST INS-02.

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Sean Duffy blames Chuck Schumer for airport security funding crisis

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Sean Duffy blames Chuck Schumer for airport security funding crisis

As travelers across the country face increasingly long security lines, the political fight in Washington over funding for the Department of Homeland Security is spilling over into everyday travel. 

TSA agents responsible for screening millions of passengers each day have been working without pay during the shutdown, raising concerns about staffing levels and wait times at airports.

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Those pressures have fueled growing frustration across the transportation system, particularly as security personnel remain on the job despite missing paychecks.

Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy joined FOX Business’ Stuart Varney on “Varney & Co.” to discuss transportation innovation and the policy challenges facing Washington, but the conversation quickly turned to the government funding standoff and its impact on airport security operations.

“Stuart, what the hell is going on?… We’re in war with Iran. Joe Biden let thousands, millions of people into this country. We don’t know who they are. Now more than ever, we need to fund the Department of Homeland Security,” Duffy said.

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The transportation secretary also pointed to the financial strain facing TSA workers who continue reporting for duty while going without pay.

“The fact that you have TSA agents, they don’t make a lot of money… They can’t go without… multiple paychecks and think they can pay their mortgage, pay their rent, put food on the table,” Duffy said.

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Duffy argued that the political stalemate in Washington is directly affecting both federal workers and travelers moving through the nation’s airports.

“It’s unacceptable, Chuck Schumer has to get off the political bandwagon and start being on the American bandwagon and funding the Department of Homeland Security,” Duffy said.

He added that passengers frustrated by long airport security lines should make their concerns known to lawmakers.

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“Everyone who stands in that line, they should all call or email Chuck Schumer’s office. Say, ‘Get this done, Chuck,’” Duffy said.

The funding standoff continues as TSA agents remain on the job and travelers move through airports nationwide.

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Stocks Recover From Early Losses. It’s a Familiar Pattern.

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Stocks Little Changed After Fed Decision

The stock market started to climb out of its early hole on Monday. Pardon me if you’ve heard this one before.

The Dow, after nearly falling 900 points in the first hour of trading, was down just 280 points, or 0.6%. The S&P 500 cut its decline to 0.2%. The Nasdaq Composite was actually up 0.2%.

The stock market was following an identical pattern that played out most of the past week: The Dow racked up big declines early, but the indexes climbed out of the early hole as oil prices ease slightly.

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Sheffield withdraws March 2026 quarterly guidance

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Sheffield withdraws March 2026 quarterly guidance

Bruce Griffin-chaired Sheffield Resources has withdrawn both its production and shipment guidance for the March 2026 quarter at the Thunderbird mineral sands mine, citing multiple factors.

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Frontera agrees to sell Colombian oil assets to Parex for $750M

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Frontera agrees to sell Colombian oil assets to Parex for $750M

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IEA proposes largest ever oil release from strategic reserves, WSJ says

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IEA proposes largest ever oil release from strategic reserves, WSJ says


IEA proposes largest ever oil release from strategic reserves, WSJ says

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Valuations moderate after market fall, but India’s premium limits FII comeback

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Valuations moderate after market fall, but India’s premium limits FII comeback
ET Intelligence Group: Valuations of Indian equities have eased after the recent sell-off but that may still not be enough to lure foreign funds back here as the country’s main share indices continue to trade at a premium to emerging market peers.

At the end of Tuesday’s trading session, the NSE Nifty 50 and the BSE Sensex had a trailing price-earnings (P/E) multiple of 21.2 times and 21.3 times, respectively. This compares with their P/Es of 22.8 at the beginning of the current calendar year. The Indian benchmark P/Es have softened from the levels of over 23 two years ago. This shows the market is cheaper than it used to be, tempering investor concerns of excessive valuations, which, along with slowing growth, has contributed to foreign investors‘ risk-aversion towards India.

India a Little Less Expensive, But Don’t Bet on a Foreign Rush SoonAgencies

VALUATION PREMIUM FALLS: Benchmarks have shed over 8% in 2026 amid investor caution over fallout of West Asia war, but local equities still trading at a premium to EM peers

The valuation premium of Indian benchmarks has now narrowed with respect to nine out of 12 major global equity indices. For Instance, Nifty’s premium over the Hong Kong benchmark has reduced to 1.8 times from 2.3 times at the beginning of the year. The premium with respect to the German DAX and French CAC 40 has fallen to around 1.2 from 1.5 by similar comparison. In the case of other benchmarks, including the US Dow Jones and S&P 500, Indian benchmarks continue to trade at a marginal discount, as they did earlier.
The benchmarks have shed over 8% in 2026 so far, including a 4% drop since the beginning of March as investors turn cautious amid the rising concerns over the impact of the West Asian conflict between Iran and Israel. On a year-to-date basis, India has the second-worst performing equity market among major markets in the world behind Indonesia where the local benchmark has lost 14%.

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D-St bulls, rupee regain ground amid global oil price rollercoaster

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D-St bulls, rupee regain ground amid global oil price rollercoaster
Mumbai: Indian stocks Tuesday rebounded from multi-month lows, tracking gains in risk assets across Asia, while the rupee climbed 53 paise against the US dollar after crude oil prices slumped about a quarter – or nearly $30 a barrel – over two days from levels not seen since the earliest days of the Ukraine war nearly four years ago.

The rupee closed at 91.80 per dollar amid likely RBI interventions, prompting traders to buy the dip. It had previously closed at a record low of 92.33. Oil prices plunged nearly 10% from their panic-driven peak a day earlier, but were paring losses as of press time.

Risk assets mirrored the currency’s smart recovery. The NSE Nifty climbed 1% to 24,261.60. The BSE Sensex advanced 0.8% to 78,205.98.

Screenshot 2026-03-11 061752Agencies

Sectoral Indices Up
Both gauges had fallen around 3% over the past two sessions.

“Slide in crude prices yesterday [Monday], after touching $119, and further falls on Tuesday led traders to cut their bearish bets,” said Siddarth Bhamre, head of research, Asit C Mehta Intermediates. “The West Asia conflict had led to the build-up of ‘panic shorts’ in the system, which got squeezed out as Donald Trump indicated the war is near its end.”
Across Asia, South Korea jumped 5.4% while Japan gained 2.9%. Hong Kong and Taiwan climbed more than 2% each. China advanced 0.7%.
Analysts said that while the rebound could extend, investors remain cautious given the volatility in crude oil prices on account of the conflict in West Asia.
Some uncommitted investors with higher cash holdings are also likely to have deployed money since the declines offered decent entry points, said Bhamre.

All sectoral indices climbed except the IT and oil & gas indices. The Nifty Auto index jumped 3.1% and Nifty Consumer Durables index gained 2.7%. Bank Nifty advanced 1.6% and the PSU Bank index moved 2.2% higher. “Some weak hands squared off their short positions after Trump said that the war could wrap up soon. It also led to some long build-up in outperforming sectors, such as auto and pharma,” said Rajesh Palviya, head of technical and derivatives, Axis Securities.

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The rupee, meanwhile, traded in the range of 92.19 per dollar and 91.72 per dollar. Brent crude oil prices cooled to around $93 per barrel, from about $119 per barrel Monday after the US President said “the war is very complete.”

The dollar index, too, decreased to 98.5 from nearly 100 levels the previous day, strengthening Asian currencies.

‘Cautious Optimism’
Still, fuel price fluctuations remain the key driver for the rupee’s trajectory, and the pace of deprecation would increase if oil prices trade above $100 per barrel, traders said.

“With crude prices cooling and the dollar slightly weaker, sentiment for the rupee has improved. I expected the trading range to remain between 91.25/$1 and 92.60/$1,” said Jateen Trivedi, currency research analyst at LKP Securities. “Crude price movements and the direction in the dollar index would continue to guide the currency’s near-term trends.”

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Energy prices remain a major concern for risk assets, too, with analysts explaining a lower-than-expected decline in the fear gauge to suggest that a spike in oil prices could dent stocks.

The Volatility Index (VIX) dropped 19.1% to 18.9 – indicating that traders tempered risk expectations.

Foreign portfolio investors sold shares worth ₹4,672.7 crore on Tuesday. Their domestic counterparts bought shares worth ₹6,333.3 crore. In March, global investors dumped stocks worth ₹33,429.6 crore.

Bhamre said while the rebound could extend in the short term, the preceding corrections were substantial. “Investors are not advised to get carried away with the rebound since it is unsure if the bottom is made,” he said. “There is no big rally in the offing. Unless the tensions flare up again, the markets are expected to see minor declines instead of deeper cuts. The volatility and global risk-off sentiment could keep a lid on the gains.”

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Lululemon Fined More Than $700,000 for Sending Emails That Violate Spam Laws

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Lululemon
Lululemon
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Lululemon has paid a $702,900 fine for sending hundreds of thousands of emails that customers had no way of unsubscribing from.

This comes after the Australian Communications and Media Authority (ACMA) launched an investigation against the companies over violations against the country’s spam laws.

Lululemon Pays Fine Over Emails

According to a report by 9News, not all of the emails that Lululemon sent between December 1, 2024, and January 5, 2025, were marketing or promotional in nature.

“In this case Lululemon sent service emails such as shipping updates that also contained sales material and direct links to promotions,” ACMA member Samantha Yorke said in a statement.

Yorke added, “This was an easily avoidable error that has led to hundreds of thousands of marketing emails being sent without a way for people to opt out.”

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A spokesperson for Lululemon has also released a statement on the issue, according to ABC News.

“We take this responsibility very seriously and have worked cooperatively with the Australian Communications and Media Authority (ACMA) to address their findings,” the Lululemon spokesperson said.

“We have completed a thorough review of our practices for communicating with our guests and have made updates to our standard guest journey emails, including our order confirmation and delivery notifications to ensure ongoing compliance,” the spokesperson assured.

What Australian Law Requires

Spam laws in Australia require businesses to include the option to unsubscribe from marketing and promotional emails and texts.

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In addition to the fine for violating Australian laws, Lululemon has also agreed to enter into an independent review of its spam rule compliance.

The company is also required to regularly report to the ACMA regarding the implementation of recommended improvements.

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