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Meta Platforms Stock Jumps 2.4% Today as Investors Bet the Big AI Spending Selloff Was Already Overdone

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Is Claude Still Down? Anthropic's Claude AI Chatbot Hit by

Meta Platforms shares climbed Monday morning, extending a recovery from a rough stretch earlier this year in which investors grew increasingly anxious about the social media giant’s enormous spending plans for artificial intelligence infrastructure.

Shares of the Menlo Park, California-based company were trading at $563.22 as of 11:09 a.m. EDT, up $12.97, or 2.36%, on the day. The gain builds on a broader rebound that has taken hold over the past few sessions, with the stock recovering meaningfully from levels well below its all-time closing high of $787.42, reached in August 2025, and its 52-week intraday high of roughly $796.

Much of Meta’s stock weakness earlier this year traced back to investor unease over the scale of the company’s planned capital expenditures. Meta has guided toward 2026 capital spending of between $125 billion and $145 billion, an enormous sum directed primarily at AI hardware and data center construction. That spending forecast compressed projections for the company’s free cash flow and contributed to a year-to-date de-rating of the stock, as some investors questioned whether returns from those AI investments would materialize on a timeline that justified the near-term financial strain.

Monday’s rally reflects what analysts have described as a growing belief that the earlier selloff went too far. Institutional investors and analysts increasingly point to Meta’s distinct advantage among megacap technology peers: a deeply established advertising business capable of converting AI investment into tangible near-term returns through improved targeting, stronger user engagement and rising ad pricing power. That contrasts with some AI infrastructure spending elsewhere in the sector, where monetization paths remain less clearly defined or more dependent on a small number of large customers.

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A specific catalyst behind Monday’s move involves an internal policy shift at Meta. The company has enacted new restrictions limiting its applied AI developers from using external coding and AI development platforms, including tools such as Claude Code and Codex from outside providers. The move is intended to guard against unintentional model distillation, a process by which a company’s proprietary AI systems could inadvertently leak insights to external platforms, and to protect Meta’s broader intellectual property as it continues developing its own AI models in-house. While the restriction introduces some near-term friction for Meta’s internal software development workflows, market commentary has framed the decision as a sign of the company’s determination to reduce reliance on external AI tools and protect the long-term value of its own AI research.

Not all of the news circulating around Meta on Monday was as clearly favorable. Reports emerged over the weekend that Google had placed limits on Meta’s access to its Gemini AI models, citing infrastructure and compute capacity constraints on Google’s end. Meta had reportedly relied heavily on Gemini to help automate content-safety and anti-scam processes across its platforms, and the new restrictions have reportedly delayed several internal projects while forcing the company to impose stricter token-usage limits on its own developers working with the technology. Separately, internal disclosures reported Monday indicated that Meta’s fast-tracked effort to replace human content moderators with generative AI systems has run into what were described as systemic glitches in the automated moderation rollout, raising questions about the pace at which the company is shifting that function away from human reviewers in pursuit of cost savings.

Despite those operational headwinds, the stock’s gains suggest investors are currently weighing Meta’s long-term advertising and AI monetization story more heavily than the specific near-term technical and operational frictions tied to its AI rollout. Wall Street’s broader view of the stock has remained largely favorable over the past month, with multiple analysts maintaining Buy ratings. Price targets among analysts tracked by financial data providers have averaged in the range of $825 to $827, with high estimates reaching as much as $1,015 and low estimates around $664, reflecting a wide but generally optimistic range of expectations for where the stock could trade over the coming year.

Meta’s underlying financial profile remains substantial even amid the AI spending debate. The company’s trailing 12-month revenue stands at roughly $201 billion, with net profit of approximately $60.5 billion over the same period, figures that place Meta among the top performers in its broader software and internet services industry category. The company operates through two primary segments: Family of Apps, which includes Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp and Messenger, and Reality Labs, which covers the company’s virtual reality, augmented reality and AI wearable device efforts, including its AI-enabled smart glasses line. Meta’s next quarterly earnings report is expected around July 29, a date that will give investors a clearer read on whether the company’s AI spending is beginning to show measurable returns within its advertising business or its broader product lineup.

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The company also continues to pay a modest dividend, with a forward annualized payout of $2.10 per share, translating to a yield of roughly 0.38% at current price levels; the most recent ex-dividend date passed on June 15.

Meta’s situation illustrates a broader theme playing out across megacap technology stocks this year, as investors attempt to differentiate between companies whose AI spending appears likely to generate near-term, identifiable returns and those whose investment cases rest more heavily on longer-term, less certain payoffs. For Meta, the combination of an established and highly profitable advertising engine, continued growth in user engagement metrics, and a defensive posture toward protecting its own AI development from leakage to external platforms appears, for now, to be winning over investors who had grown skeptical of the company’s spending trajectory earlier this year.

Whether that renewed optimism proves durable will likely depend on Meta’s ability to demonstrate concrete progress on AI monetization in its upcoming earnings report, along with how the company navigates near-term friction points, including its complicated relationship with external AI providers like Google and the operational challenges tied to automating content moderation at scale. For Monday at least, investors appeared willing to look past those complications and reward the stock for what many now view as a buying opportunity following an earlier overreaction to the company’s aggressive AI infrastructure spending plans.

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Altria Among 7 Dividend Kings To Announce Annual Dividend Increases In August

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Altria Among 7 Dividend Kings To Announce Annual Dividend Increases In August

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I’m an individual investor looking to grow my wealth over the long term. I’ve tried many different styles of investing over the last 25 years and have found that buying dividend growth stocks and reinvesting the dividends is one of the easiest ways to grow wealth over the long term. Over the years, I’ve owned stocks, options, ETFs, treasury notes, and mutual funds. I operate a blog, HarvestingDividends.com, that provides information on the S&P Dividend Aristocrats and other dividend growth stocks.

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

I may take a position in any of the stocks mentioned in this article in the near future.

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Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Why Roblox Had Its Worst Day Ever After Earnings

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Why Roblox Had Its Worst Day Ever After Earnings

Why Roblox Had Its Worst Day Ever After Earnings

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Bond Selloff Picks Up New Momentum

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Bond Selloff Picks Up New Momentum

Treasury yields extended their recent gains Friday after three Federal Reserve officials explained why they cast dissenting votes in favor of raising interest rate this week.

Yields, which rise when bond prices fall, were also driven higher by economic data, including a stronger-than-expected reading on Chicago-area economic activity.

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note settled at 4.743%, according to Tradeweb, its highest closing level since January 2025. The 30-year yield closed at 5.274%, its highest since July 2007.

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A KOSPI Rally Isn’t Always A Good Omen For Wall Street

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Stocks Little Changed After Fed Decision

South Korean stocks surged on Friday, with the KOSPI index rising nearly 18%.

Despite the dramatic gains, the index was still down for the week and the month, a testament to how volatile Korean equities have been as of late.

Not counting today, the KOSPI has gained more than 10% in a single day in only six instances, according to Dow Jones Market Data. History shows that in the week following those six times, the S&P 500 traded lower two-thirds of the time, with an average decline of 1.6%.

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Oil Posts Big Monthly Gains on Resumption of Conflict

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Oil Posts Big Monthly Gains on Resumption of Conflict

1539 ET – Oil futures end July with hefty gains as the month saw renewed Iranian attacks on shipping in a dispute with the U.S. over control of the Strait of Hormuz. Concerns that a return to negotiations could quickly reduce risk premium and lead to oversupply have kept prices from reaching the lofty levels seen in March and April. “Traders are essentially betting on two very different geopolitical outcomes, and neither one is a safe assumption right now,” says Baron Lamarre, co-founder of Index Litro and former head of trading at Petronas. “My base view is we won’t end up with either a massive glut or a full-blown supply crisis by the end of the year,” he adds. “Instead, we’re in for a period of stubbornly tight, volatile conditions that will stick around longer than the optimists are hoping.” WTI settles up 1.3% at $84.67 a barrel for a 22% monthly gain. Brent for September delivery goes off the board at $90.12 a barrel, up 1.2% on the day and up 24% from the end of June.(anthony.harrup@wsj.com)

Oil Futures on Track for Big Monthly Gains

0951 ET – Oil futures turn higher in early U.S. trading and are on track for hefty gains for July, which saw the U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding fall apart and Iran resume attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. “All things held equal, the market should go a lot higher and led by diesel and gasoline as refinery run rates arejust too low on a lack of crude,” Scott Shelton of TP ICAP says in a note. “The reality is that we are back to a very small amount of crude versus what is needed.” WTI is up 2.2% at $85.42 a barrel. September Brent is 1.5% higher at $90.36 ahead of today’s expiry, while the October contract gains 1.8% to $88.47.(anthony.harrup@wsj.com)

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What’s Behind the Yen’s Rise This Week?

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What’s Behind the Yen’s Rise This Week?

Currency traders broadly believe that the yen’s recent strengthening reflected yen purchases by Japanese authorities, as well as speculation of a possible U.S. intervention. The U.S. Treasury Department meanwhile has informed banks that it might make currency trades on Friday to support the Japanese yen and strengthen its exchange rate against the dollar, the Wall Street Journal reported today.

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Singapore vs Hong Kong vs Dubai: Regional HQ Trade-Offs for Investors

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Singapore vs Hong Kong vs Dubai: Regional HQ Trade-Offs for Investors

Global reforms emphasize control and decision-making authority over legal forms, shifting regional headquarters evaluation to governance, risk management, and value creation, impacted by tax rates and regulatory expectations.

Evolving Evaluation of Regional Headquarters

Global minimum tax, stricter substance enforcement, and geopolitical fragmentation have reshaped how regional headquarters are assessed. Singapore, Hong Kong, and Dubai now serve distinct roles, each aligned with different strategies for controlling operations and managing risks. They are no longer interchangeable hubs competing on similar benefits, but rather centers tailored to specific business models and regulatory environments.

Authority and Control Define a Headquarters

The focus has shifted from a legal entity’s structure to the authority it exercises within an organization. Regulators and counterparties increasingly scrutinize where key decisions—related to capital allocation, pricing, treasury, and risk management—are made. An entity exercising discretion in these areas is viewed as a true control center, influencing regulatory treatment and compliance risk instead of mere administrative support.

Governance and Control in Practice

Beyond reporting functions, the extent of authority impacts governance, documentation, and accountability standards. These factors determine a company’s regulatory exposure and defenses. While corporate tax rates like Singapore’s 17% and Hong Kong’s 16.5% are still relevant, emphasis now also rests on where value creation and control are evidenced within the organization.

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Amazon and Microsoft Delivered Major Earnings Wins

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Amazon and Microsoft Delivered Major Earnings Wins

Are you tired? I’m tired. In addition to four Big Tech companies reporting earnings this past week, the calendar included results for second-quarter gross domestic product and the June personal consumption expenditures price index, along with the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision. Unscheduled, there was a meltdown of the artificial-intelligence trade, as highly leveraged bull positions were liquidated. The iShares Semiconductor exchange-traded fund was down 12% across three days, and one of the most successful AI investors—hedge fund Situational Awareness—saw margin calls and forced sales.

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Exclusive | KKR Near Deal to Buy Integer Holdings

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Exclusive | KKR Near Deal to Buy Integer Holdings

Private-equity firm KKR KKR is near a deal to take medical-device outsourcing company Integer Holdings ITGR private, according to people familiar with the matter.

The details

The deal, which could come as soon as next week, would value the Plano, Texas-based company at roughly $127 a share, the people said. There are no guarantees a deal will come together.

Copyright ©2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Exclusive-Japan to announce Tokyo, Washington took joint action on yen, sources say

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Exclusive-Japan to announce Tokyo, Washington took joint action on yen, sources say

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