Business
New Pastoralist and Graziers boss Digby Stretch lays out policy, reform agendas
Business
Stock Futures Rise as Market Chases 9-Week Winning Run
Stocks looked set to rise on the last trading day of May, putting the S&P 500 on course for a ninth straight week of gains.
Futures tracking the S&P 500 climbed 0.1% on Friday. Contracts tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 also rose 0.1%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were up 74 points, or 0.2%. The three major indexes eked out record closing highs on Thursday thanks to a rally in software stocks.
The market has been on a tear since late March, with the Nasdaq about to notch its best two-month stretch since November 2002, according to Dow Jones Market Data. The S&P 500 is headed for its best two-month spell since May 2020.
Business
Spain, France Headline Top 10 Favorites for 2026 World Cup Glory in Expanded Tournament
With the 2026 FIFA World Cup just weeks away, the world’s top national teams are finalizing preparations for the largest tournament in history. Hosted across the United States, Canada and Mexico from June 11 to July 19, the 48-team event promises high drama as favorites like Spain and France lead a competitive field chasing the ultimate prize.
Betting markets and expert analyses consistently place Spain as narrow favorites, followed closely by France, with a cluster of European and South American powerhouses rounding out the top contenders. The expanded format adds unpredictability, but pedigree, form and squad depth point to a familiar group of elites.
Here is an analysis of the top 10 teams most likely to contend for the title, based on current FIFA rankings, recent performances, betting odds and projections as of late May 2026.
1. Spain (+450 to +475)
Spain enters as the team to beat after winning Euro 2024 in commanding fashion. Luis de la Fuente’s side boasts a dynamic young core led by Lamine Yamal, Pedri and Rodri. Their possession-based style, combined with tactical flexibility, makes them formidable.
Yamal, despite a recent hamstring injury that could sideline him for Spain’s opener, remains a key threat and is expected to feature. Spain’s midfield control and depth give them an edge in a grueling schedule. Projections show them with the highest expected goals and tournament win probability around 20-26%.
2. France (+480 to +500)
The reigning FIFA No. 1 side features unmatched attacking talent with Kylian Mbappe leading the line. France’s squad depth across all positions remains elite, even after a Euro 2024 semifinal exit. Their blend of speed, power and technical quality positions them as perennial contenders.
Experts note France may possess the most raw talent in the tournament. Coach Didier Deschamps has experience guiding them to a final in 2022, and they are seen as the biggest threat to Spain.
3. England (+600 to +650)
England’s “Golden Generation” continues to mature, with Jude Bellingham, Phil Foden and Harry Kane forming a potent core. Reaching the Euro 2024 final showed progress, though finishing remains a question mark. Their physicality and set-piece prowess suit knockout football.
Gareth Southgate or his successor will rely on squad harmony in what could be a breakthrough year for the Three Lions.
4. Argentina (+800 to +900)
The defending champions arrive with Lionel Messi, now 38, seeking a record sixth World Cup appearance and a potential back-to-back title — a feat not achieved since Brazil in 1962. Messi was included in the squad announced this week.
Argentina topped CONMEBOL qualifying comfortably. While age catches up to some veterans, their experience and winning mentality under Lionel Scaloni make them dangerous. No team has successfully defended the title in the modern era, adding pressure.
5. Brazil (+750 to +800)
Despite a dip in recent form, Brazil’s historical pedigree and young talent pool keep them in the conversation. The five-time champions feature emerging stars alongside established names. Their athleticism and flair remain hallmarks.
Critics point to this as potentially the least talented Brazil squad in decades, yet their ceiling in a single-elimination setting is high.
6. Portugal (+900 to +950)
Cristiano Ronaldo’s pursuit of a first World Cup title drives Portugal. At 41, Ronaldo’s role may be more limited, but a supporting cast including Bruno Fernandes provides creativity. Portugal reached the Euro 2024 quarterfinals and possesses strong depth.
7. Germany (+1,000 to +1,300)
Hosts of Euro 2024 showed signs of revival. Julian Nagelsmann’s side blends youth and experience, with strong home support potentially boosting them if they advance deep. Defensive improvements have been noted.
8. Netherlands (+1,400 to +1,700)
The Dutch bring tactical discipline and individual quality, led by players like Virgil van Dijk. Consistent quarterfinal appearances in recent majors underscore their reliability as contenders.
9. Belgium (+2,200 to +2,500)
Kevin De Bruyne remains the heartbeat of a transitioning Belgian side. While the “golden generation” has aged, Belgium retains enough quality to cause upsets and reach the latter stages.
10. Morocco (+7,500 to +10,000)
The 2022 semifinalists represent Africa’s best hope. Their organized defense and counterattacking threat, combined with passion, make them a dangerous outsider in the expanded field.
Other notable mentions include the United States as co-hosts (+6,000 to +6,500), seeking a deep run on home soil, Colombia, Uruguay and emerging sides like Norway.
The tournament’s structure, with more teams advancing from groups, favors depth and recovery from early setbacks. Injuries remain a factor, particularly for star players like Yamal.
Coaches emphasize preparation amid a packed calendar. “We need to give him the time he needs,” Spain’s de la Fuente said regarding Yamal’s recovery.
FIFA rankings as of April 2026 place France first, followed by Spain, Argentina and England, aligning closely with betting odds and projections.
The group stage draw has created several intriguing matchups, though specific groups add layers of complexity for favorites. Home advantage for the U.S., Mexico and Canada could play a role, but European sides have dominated recent odds.
Ultimately, the 2026 World Cup represents a clash of styles and generations. Spain’s current momentum as European champions gives them a slight edge, but France’s talent pool and Argentina’s champion pedigree ensure nothing is certain.
As the tournament approaches, focus intensifies on squad fitness, tactical innovations and the ability to perform under pressure in North America’s diverse venues. One thing is guaranteed: global audiences will witness football at its highest level.
Business
Buy or Sell Amid Surging AI Optics Demand and Record Revenues?
NEW YORK — Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: LITE), a key supplier of optical components powering artificial intelligence data centers, has captured investor attention in 2026 as its stock trades near $855 following strong quarterly results driven by hyperscale demand. With analysts maintaining a consensus Moderate Buy to Buy rating and significant price target upside, the question of whether to buy or sell the shares centers on continued AI infrastructure spending versus valuation risks in a competitive photonics market.

The San Jose, California-based company reported robust fiscal third quarter 2026 results on May 5, with net revenue reaching $808.4 million, up substantially from the prior year. GAAP net income stood at $144.2 million, or $1.50 per diluted share, while non-GAAP net income hit $225.7 million, or $2.37 per share. Gross margins improved to 44.2% on a GAAP basis and 47.9% on a non-GAAP basis.
This performance reflects Lumentum’s strong positioning in optical transceivers, lasers and switching solutions essential for AI training clusters. Revenue has accelerated for multiple consecutive quarters, fueled by 200G and higher-speed products for next-generation data centers.
Analyst sentiment remains largely positive. Across roughly 20 Wall Street firms, the consensus is Moderate Buy, with 13-14 Buy or Strong Buy ratings and a handful of Holds. Average 12-month price targets range from approximately $1,012 to $1,127, implying 18-32% upside from recent trading levels around $855. High targets reach $1,400, while lows sit near $600 to $900.
Recent updates include Barclays raising its target to $1,000 while maintaining Equal Weight, JPMorgan lifting to $1,130 with an Overweight rating, and Rosenblatt holding a Buy at $1,300. Stifel and others have also expressed confidence in the AI-driven growth story.
Lumentum has benefited from the AI supercycle. Its products, including 1.6T DR4 OSFP transceiver prototypes and 1060nm VCSEL platforms for optical interconnects, address bandwidth, power and scaling challenges in AI infrastructure. Demonstrations at OFC 2026 highlighted advancements in scale-up, scale-out and scale-across architectures.
The company is expanding manufacturing capacity, including a new U.S. facility for advanced lasers targeted at the world’s largest AI data centers. This move aims to meet surging demand from hyperscalers and reduce potential supply constraints.
Management has expressed optimism. In earnings commentary, executives noted record revenues and leverage in the business model, with expectations for continued growth into fiscal 2027. Optical Circuit Switch (OCS) business exceeded targets ahead of schedule.
For bulls, the case rests on Lumentum’s technological leadership in high-speed optics. The shift to AI workloads has created a multi-year tailwind, with analysts projecting sustained revenue expansion as data center buildouts continue. Diversification beyond traditional telecom into industrial lasers and 3D sensing provides additional stability.
Valuation remains a key consideration. Shares have risen dramatically over the past year, reflecting AI enthusiasm, but forward multiples are elevated compared to historical norms. Some models suggest the stock trades at a discount to intrinsic value based on projected cash flows from AI optics growth.
Bear cases highlight execution risks, customer concentration among a few large hyperscalers, and potential cyclicality if AI spending moderates. Competition in the photonics space from peers could pressure margins. Short-term technical signals have shown mixed readings, with some near-term caution flagged by moving averages.
Financially, Lumentum has demonstrated improving profitability and cash generation. Sequential revenue growth from fiscal Q1 through Q3 2026 underscores momentum, with non-GAAP operating margins expanding significantly. The balance sheet supports ongoing investments in R&D and capacity.
Broader industry trends support a constructive outlook. Hyperscalers’ push toward higher-bandwidth interconnects for AI training and inference favors suppliers like Lumentum with proven high-volume manufacturing expertise. Inclusion in major indices has also attracted passive inflows.
Portfolio managers note that LITE fits within growth-oriented technology allocations, particularly those focused on AI infrastructure. Position sizing should account for volatility typical in semiconductor-adjacent names. Near-term catalysts include fiscal fourth quarter results and updates on new product ramps.
Risks include macroeconomic slowdowns affecting tech capex, supply chain disruptions for critical materials like indium phosphide, and geopolitical factors influencing global trade. Regulatory scrutiny on AI energy consumption could indirectly impact deployment timelines.
Longer-term forecasts vary by source. Optimistic projections see continued compounding from AI tailwinds, potentially driving revenues toward multi-billion-dollar annual run rates. More conservative views temper expectations around market saturation or technology shifts.
In the current environment, Lumentum exemplifies the intersection of photonics innovation and artificial intelligence demand. While not without risks inherent to high-growth tech stocks, the company’s execution on financial targets and product roadmap has bolstered confidence among most covering analysts.
Investors considering a position should evaluate their time horizon and risk tolerance. Those bullish on sustained AI infrastructure investment may view current levels as an opportunity, particularly following any pullbacks. Others may opt to wait for clearer signals on margin sustainability or broader market conditions.
As with any equity, particularly in the dynamic semiconductor and optics sector, thorough due diligence is essential. Lumentum’s trajectory will likely hinge on its ability to maintain leadership in next-generation optical solutions amid intense competition and rapid technological evolution. The coming quarters of data center deployment cycles will provide further clarity on whether the AI optics boom translates into lasting shareholder value.
Business
UFO: SpaceX IPO A Mega Catalyst, But Not The Only Reason To Buy
UFO: SpaceX IPO A Mega Catalyst, But Not The Only Reason To Buy
Business
MongoDB Stock Rises on Earnings Beat. Software Isn’t Dead Yet.
MongoDB Stock Rises on Earnings Beat. Software Isn’t Dead Yet.
Business
Stocks Rise, Oil Prices Fall as Trump Weighs Iran Peace Deal
Oil is extending its decline and stocks are back in record territory after new comments from President Trump gave investors more hope about a possible peace deal with Iran.
In a Truth Social post Friday morning, Trump wrote that he “will be meeting now, in the Situation Room, to make a final determination” about a peace deal with Iran.
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Business
Zara’s India FY26 profit falls 32% to Rs 204 crore; revenue slips
Zara stores in India reported a Rs 299.84 crore profit and Rs 2,782.06 crore revenue from operations in FY25, Inditex Trent Retail India Private Ltd (ITRIPL), which operates the Zara brand in India, said.
Its total income was Rs 2,767.75 crore for the financial year ended March 31, compared to Rs 2,839.50 crore a year ago.
ITRIPL is a JV between Spain’s Inditex, which owns luxury fashion brand Zara, and Tata Group’s retail arm Trent Ltd.
Zara, which competes with foreign brands like H&M and UNIQLO in India, currently operates 22 stores in the country.
In FY26, Trent reduced its stake in ITRIPL in a buyback offer by ITRIPL.
“During the year under review, the company participated in the buyback offer made by ITRIPL and tendered 94,900 equity shares. Pursuant to the acceptance of the said offer, the company’s shareholding in ITRIPL stands at 20 per cent,” it said.Inditex group has another JV association with Trent, which operates Massimo Dutti stores in India. Massimo Dutti India Pvt Ltd (MDIPL) operates three stores in India.
Its revenue increased 27.97 per cent to Rs 128.45 crore in FY25 compared to Rs 100.37 crore in FY24.
The net profit rose 13.86 per cent to Rs 11.66 crore for the financial year ended March 2026.
Like ITRIPL, Tata group retail firm Trent has a 20 per cent stake in MDIPL.
ITRIPL and MDIPL source merchandise only from the Inditex Group, one of the world’s largest fashion retail groups, headquartered in Arteixo, Galicia, Spain, whose portfolio consists of several well-known brands, such as Zara, Massimo Dutti, Pull&Bear, Bershka, and Stradivarius, a women’s fashion brand.
Moreover, the choice of product and related specifications is Inditex’s discretion. Further, the entities are dependent on the Inditex group for permissions to use the said brands in India, subject to its terms and specifications, according to the latest annual report of Trent.
Business
ON Semiconductor: AI Power, Auto Recovery, And The Problem Of Price
ON Semiconductor: AI Power, Auto Recovery, And The Problem Of Price
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Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) Analyst/Investor Day – Slideshow
Tempus AI, Inc. (TEM) Analyst/Investor Day – Slideshow
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Bond Bites: Ideas And Insights
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