The Indian stock market extended sharp gains on Friday, with Sensex and Nifty rising more than 0.8% each on the back of easing Middle East conflict, lower expectations of Fed rate hikes, and other key factors.

Sensex gained over 650 points, while Nifty 50 rose above 24,350 during Friday’s trading session. The sharp gains added nearly Rs 2.4 lakh crore to the total market capitalisation of all companies listed on BSE, pulling it up to Rs 482 lakh crore.

IT stocks continued to record strong gains, with HCL Tech, Tech Mahindra, Infosys and TCS shares rising 2-5% to lead gains on the Sensex. Tata Steel, Bajaj Finserv and Bharat Electronics shares followed, rising more than 1% each. Bucking the trend, M&M shares fell nearly 1% on Friday morning.

Broader markets, however, sharply underperformed benchmarks, with the Nifty Midcap 100 index rising only 0.2% and the Nifty Smallcap 100 index rising 0.5%. This came as India VIX, which measures volatility in the market, dropped over 1% to 12.13.

Also Read | Adani Enterprises increases QIP size to Rs 15,000 crore, draws bumper 3.8x bids

Sectorally, Nifty IT jumped more than 2% to lead gains. Nifty Metal also rose over 1.5%. Nifty Auto and Nifty PSU Bank indices, however, slipped into the red. The overall market breadth was positive, with 1,832 advances and 607 declines on the NSE, while 91 remained unchanged.
Here are the key factors boosting market sentiment today:

1) Fed rate hike worries cool down

US job growth slowed sharply in June and payroll gains for the prior two months were revised lower, data released on Thursday showed, pointing to a cooling labour market and prompting financial markets to reduce expectations for a near-term rate hike. The unemployment rate dropped to 4.2% last month from 4.3% in May as workers left the labour force, pushing the participation rate to the lowest level in more than five years.”The figures challenged the narrative that the Fed remains on track to hike in the second half of this year,” Reuters quoted Westpac analysts as saying in a research report. The tepid jobs data doused traders’ expectations of an imminent rate hike and raised the odds that the Fed will keep rates on hold until October.

Traders are now pricing in a 46.8% probability that the U.S. central bank will keep rates steady at its meeting on September 15 to 16, compared to a 35.8% chance a day earlier, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool.

2) Rupee opens higher

Rupee rose 18 paise to 95.17 against the US dollar in early trade. This came on the back of a weaker US dollar after the tepid jobs report. The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, was 0.2% lower at 100.77 after a 0.5% decline on Thursday. It is on course for its biggest weekly drop since early April.

3) FII outflows taper off

Foreign investors remained net sellers of Indian equities, net selling shares worth nearly Rs 312 crore on Thursday, according to provisional data on the NSE. This is marginal when compared to the massive FII outflows seen earlier this year during the raging war in the Middle East.

4) Heavy buying in IT stocks

The overall market optimism was boosted by strong buying in heavyweight IT stocks like HCL Tech, TCS and Infosys. The IT stocks are extending sharp gains today, after tumbling to fresh 52-week lows earlier this week.

IT companies derive a significant portion of their revenue from the North American market. Rate hikes or a spike in inflation in the US can weigh on discretionary spending, which, in turn, may affect the sector’s growth prospects. Hence, lower expectations of Fed rate hikes, along with low valuations, are boosting the IT stocks.

5) Positive global cues

Dalal Street is accompanying global peers in sharp gains today. South Korea’s Kospi jumped 2.5%, while Japan’s Nikkei gained around 1% on Friday morning. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and China’s Shanghai Composite also rose nearly 1% each.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose more than 1% to post a record closing high on Thursday and a fourth straight week of gains. European markets also closed in the deep green yesterday.

6) Iran-US peace efforts

“No news is good news” is what can summarise today’s market scenario. The peace efforts in the Middle East are holding well so far, and no escalation has been reported yet. This comes after Iran and the US held peace talks in Doha earlier this week.

Iran is now preparing for the days-long funeral for the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, whose death early in March had sparked the raging war. US President Donald Trump, meanwhile, has claimed that Iran has conceded to nearly all American conditions in the ongoing diplomatic negotiations while emphasising that the primary objective of the discussions remains preventing Tehran from obtaining nuclear weapons.

7) Oil prices

Oil prices inched up slightly to $72 per barrel, but continue to hover near the pre-war levels as the peace efforts continue to hold well so far. Kuwait’s oil production rose sharply to 1.65 million barrels per day in June from 580,000 bpd in May, Reuters reported, citing sources on Thursday, as the OPEC member boosted exports following the US-Iran interim peace agreement.

Also, at least five supertankers carrying around 10 million barrels of Saudi oil have exited the Strait of Hormuz, with Saudi Aramco switching to spot pricing to speed sales in Asia, Reuters further reported.

What lies ahead?
India’s outperformance continues, aided partly by the weakness in KOSPI and the general weakness in the chip trade, said VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Investments. He added that the continuing tapering of the FII outflows is another significant factor supporting the market. But the rally will not sustain unless it is supported by fundamental factors.

“The crash in crude to pre-war level is the strongest macro support to the economy and the market. Purely from the market perspective, a strong fundamental support is the gaining strength of the banking stocks. Latest news regarding the FCNR (B) scheme is that it is receiving a good response, particularly from West Asia, where HNIs are eager to get good and safe returns in the context of the uncertainty caused by the war,” according to the analyst.

Leading banks are offering attractive leverage on deposits and mobilising big money, Vijayalkumar said, noting that there are reports that this scheme may succeed in mobilising up to $60 billion. Since there is impressive credit growth in the economy, these FCNR (B) deposits will come in handy for the deposit-starved leading banks to significantly scale up their lending. “In brief, banking stocks have the fundamental strength to sustain the rally in Bank Nifty. The IT stocks are witnessing an uptrend triggered by low valuations. But the sector has no fundamental strength to sustain the rally,” he added.

Technical view on Nifty
The near-term outlook remains cautiously optimistic, according to Rajesh Palviya, Head of Research at Axis Direct. “Sustained strength above the 24,000 mark keeps the broader trend positive, with immediate resistance seen at 24,300, followed by 24,450. On the downside, 24,050 remains a key support, while a breach could trigger a corrective move towards 23,900,” he said.

Investors, however, should remain watchful of the ongoing global technology selloff, as renewed weakness in semiconductor stocks could prompt profit booking after the recent sharp rally in domestic IT names, he added.

(With inputs from agencies)
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

Bajaj Housing Finance shares gained 4.5% to Rs 92.65 during Friday’s trading session after the company reported robust business updates for the June 2026 quarter, driven by strong growth in assets under management (AUM) and healthy loan disbursements.

The company reported gross disbursements of approximately Rs 19,500 crore in Q1FY27, marking a sharp increase from Rs 14,651 crore in the corresponding quarter last year. Sequentially, disbursements also improved from Rs 17,506 crore reported in Q4 FY26.

Assets under management (AUM) rose 24% year-on-year to approximately Rs 1,49,610 crore as of June 30, 2026, compared with Rs 1,20,420 crore a year earlier. On a sequential basis, AUM expanded by around Rs 8,904 crore during the quarter.

The company’s loan assets (AR) also witnessed healthy growth, increasing to approximately Rs 1,31,150 crore as of June 30, 2026, from Rs 1,05,954 crore in the same period last year, reflecting sustained demand for housing finance.

Stock price trend and technical outlook

Bajaj Housing Finance has remained in an uptrend, with the stock advancing nearly 15% over the past three months. It currently commands a market capitalisation of Rs 73,866 crore, while its 52-week high stands at Rs 124.

From a valuation perspective, Bajaj Housing Finance trades at a P/E multiple of 28.85, with a price-to-sales ratio of 5.46 and a price-to-book ratio of 3.28, reflecting its current market valuation relative to its financial performance and net worth.

From a technical perspective, the stock continues to display positive momentum. Its 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 60.8, indicating strengthening buying interest while remaining below the overbought zone of 70. Additionally, the stock is trading above seven of its eight key simple moving averages (SMAs), reinforcing the prevailing bullish trend.
Also read: HCL Tech surges 6% on $1.14 billion AI deal; Mercedes-Benz likely clientThe shareholding pattern showed mixed trends during the March 2026 quarter. Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) marginally raised their stake in Bajaj Housing Finance to 0.99%, up from 0.94% in the previous quarter, signalling continued institutional interest. In contrast, mutual funds trimmed their holding to 0.35% from 0.63%, indicating some profit booking. Meanwhile, promoter ownership remained unchanged at a robust 86.70%, reflecting sustained confidence from the company’s promoters.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of Economic Times)

MIAMI — The 2026 World Cup’s round of 32 reaches its final day Friday, with three matches completing the first knockout stage of an expanded 48-team tournament that has already produced its share of upsets, records and memorable moments. The headliner is unmistakably the late-afternoon showdown in Miami, where reigning champion Argentina and the record-setting Lionel Messi face a Cape Verde side that has captivated fans worldwide with one of the most improbable group stage runs in recent tournament history.

But Friday’s card begins in Dallas at 2 p.m. ET, where Australia takes on Egypt in a match carrying genuine historical weight for both sides. Neither nation has ever won a World Cup knockout match, making the Dallas opener a first for one of them regardless of what happens. Australia is playing in just its third-ever knockout round, having lost twice in agonizing fashion, once to Italy in 2006 on a stoppage-time winner and once to Argentina in 2022. Egypt’s appearance in the knockout stage is only the second in its World Cup history, with the first coming in 1934 under a single-elimination format with no group stage whatsoever.

Egypt enters the match with significant injury uncertainty surrounding its most important player. Captain and all-time leading scorer Mohamed Salah was forced off in the 57th minute of Egypt’s group stage finale against Iran with a hamstring strain. Coach Hossam Hassan has expressed optimism about Salah’s availability, but without the former Liverpool forward, Egypt’s offense has little of the individual quality needed to break down a resolute Australian defensive shape. Compounding the concern, left-back Ahmed Fatouh and central defender Mohamed Abdelmonem are both listed as doubtful, leaving Egypt potentially depleted across multiple positions of the backline.

Australia under coach Tony Popovic has not been a high-scoring team through the group stage. The Socceroos scored twice in their opening 2-0 win over Türkiye but were then shut out in a 2-0 loss to the United States and earned a 0-0 draw against Paraguay without finding the net. That scoring drought reflects a team comfortable playing deep and looking to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities rather than imposing possession-based football on opponents, a style that could prove well-suited to navigating Egypt’s injury-diminished lineup if the Australians can keep things tight defensively.

One of the match’s defining storylines involves who is standing in goal for Australia. Shortly before the tournament’s first match, coach Popovic made the surprising call to bench veteran captain Matthew Ryan in favor of Patrick Beach, a largely inexperienced goalkeeper who plays domestically for Melbourne City and had only five international caps entering the tournament. Beach delivered a stunning performance in the Türkiye victory and added a second clean sheet against Paraguay, quickly justifying the unconventional selection. He is likely to be tested early and often if Salah plays, and his form on the day may ultimately determine the outcome.

The second match, in Miami at 6 p.m. ET, frames itself as the round’s most one-sided matchup on paper and also its most narratively compelling underdog story. Cape Verde, representing an archipelago nation of just 525,000 people off the west coast of Africa, advanced to the knockout stage without losing a single group stage match. The Blue Sharks drew 0-0 with Spain, 2-2 with Uruguay and 0-0 with Saudi Arabia, finishing second in their group. Their opening stalemate against Spain, still one of the tournament’s most technically refined sides, announced Cape Verde as a team organized far beyond expectations, built around a disciplined 4-5-1 formation that sits deep and offers opponents almost no space between the lines.

Central to Cape Verde’s run has been 40-year-old goalkeeper Vozinha, who has been one of the tournament’s most celebrated individual performers, particularly during the Spain match, where his command of the penalty area and shot-stopping quality kept the scoreline level against one of the world’s leading attacking lineups. At 40, Vozinha is a story in himself, a late-career achievement that connects Cape Verde’s remarkable group stage to the personal arc of an individual who was never expected to be here.

Against Argentina, however, Cape Verde faces a different order of challenge than anything the group stage produced. La Albiceleste has won all three of its group stage games by multi-goal margins and have played with the self-assurance of a team operating with a clear sense of purpose. They have won their last 10 competitive matches and enter Friday as the clearest favorite of any remaining team in the tournament, a status reflected in betting markets where Argentina sit at odds as heavy as negative 694.

The player around whom everything revolves is Messi, a point that requires no elaboration yet deserves acknowledgment given what the 39-year-old has already produced in this tournament. He has scored in every group match, co-leads the tournament with six goals alongside France’s Kylian Mbappé and has now scored 19 career World Cup goals, the most in the history of the men’s game, a record he set earlier at this tournament. The Blue Sharks kept Spain scoreless over 90 minutes, an achievement of genuine defensive organization and collective discipline, but Argentina’s attack beyond Messi, including the striker partnership with Lautaro Martínez and the creative supporting cast across the front line, presents a dimension of danger Spain’s group stage lineup did not.

A cloud has settled over the Cape Verde camp this week, however. Captain Ryan Mendes is under a criminal investigation in New Zealand following allegations that he raped a woman in March. How the team’s federation and coaching staff have addressed the matter internally has not been fully disclosed publicly, though the news adds an uncomfortable dimension to what had been a purely joyful story for a nation experiencing its first-ever World Cup knockout appearance.

Friday’s final match, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City at 9:30 p.m. ET, features Colombia against Ghana, with the South American side entering as the clear favorite against a Ghanaian team that has relied on deep defensive structure and a deliberate, disciplined game management style to advance from what was widely viewed as a difficult group. Colombia’s emerging quality up front makes them the likely victor in what is expected to be a tactically cautious contest.

In May, Thailand’s economy stabilized with increased tourism and slight domestic demand improvement. However, exports fell, manufacturing declined, and inflation remained elevated. Key concerns include living costs, geopolitical risks, and El Niño impacts.

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Summary

• The Thai economy in May remained broadly stable compared to the previous month.

  o On the external front, tourism receipts and foreign tourist arrivals overall increased, supported by a recovery in long-haul markets and an increase in tourist arrivals from China and Malaysia due to their long holiday period. However, other short-haul tourists declined due to weaker demand and reduced flights. Merchandise exports excluding gold decreased, mainly due to lower exports of electronics and jewelry following earlier acceleration in the previous period.

  o Domestic demand improved slightly, supported by increases in private consumption and private investment, particularly in the automotive sector. However, consumption and investment in other categories remained relatively stable.

  o On the supply side, Manufacturing production declined in line with merchandise exports, while the services sector remained broadly stable.

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The Thai economy in May remained broadly stable compared to the previous month. Tourism receipts increased overall, in line with higher foreign tourist arrivals, as supported by a recovery in long-haul markets as well as increased arrivals from China and Malaysia due to their long holiday periods. However, arrivals from other short-haul markets declined due to weaker demand and reduced flight services amid elevated energy costs. Merchandise exports excluding gold declined, mainly due to lower exports in electronics and jewelry after having accelerated in the previous period. 

Domestic demand improved slightly, supported by higher private consumption and investment, particularly in the electric vehicle sales, partly reflecting a shift toward the electric vehicle usage amid elevated domestic fuel prices. However, consumption and investment in other categories remained broadly stable. Government expenditure expanded from the same period last year, driven by both current and capital expenditures of the central government. 

On the supply side, economic activity remained broadly stable. Manufacturing production declined in line with weaker merchandise exports, while the services sector remained broadly unchanged.

Headline inflation remained elevated but broadly stable. Energy prices declined slightly, while core inflation increased marginally.

Key issues to monitor: 1) The impact of elevated cost of living and production costs on households and businesses 2) geopolitical risks and U.S. trade policy, 3) the impact of government measures, and 4) El Niño developments

Source : https://www.bot.or.th/en/news-and-media/news/news-20260630.html

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REGULATORY inertia. Jittery proponents. Ministers beating around the bush. All hallmarks of a government mired in policy paralysis. 

This is the situation facing companies trying to decarbonise the Pilbara by heeding the state’s call to build a common-user energy grid fed power by mammoth green infrastructure projects. 

Five main proponents have proposed about 45 gigawatts of green power generation across the Pilbara. 

Currently, we have an energy minister (who also happens to be the minister for the Pilbara) who won’t even answer if she will allow proponents to break the law. 

That seems to me a pretty important query to address for a person whose job it is to uphold and update laws. The longer the state government dillydallies behind closed doors, the more likely it is investor patience will wear thin. 

And then there is Fortescue. 

While the company has not explicitly stated it wants to feed its power into a common-user grid, powering other industries as proposed would likely necessitate this, and founder Andrew Forrest has expressed his desire to provide “power for all”. 

As it stands, that would be illegal. 

Fortescue is building its grid under Mining Act tenure, which forbids the powering of non-mining uses such as other industries, or residential. 

There is plenty of merit in changing the law to allow it, however. 

Permitting the biggest renewable energy builder in Western Australia – Fortescue – to pursue its goal would speed up decarbonisation of the Pilbara immeasurably. 

Notwithstanding there are genuine consent and consultation shortcomings with pastoralists, councils and traditional owners that would have to be ironed out. 

So long as the government hesitates on this front, Fortescue’s investors and stakeholders will be wary about the legality of what it has proposed. 

If the intention is to uphold the law as it stands, the government needs to be clear about what can and cannot be powered under the Mining Act. 

Fortescue is justifiably exploiting a grey area to its benefit. It must be addressed. 

Billions of dollars of investor cash is at stake from other proponents, which are planning their projects as per the Land Administration Act (LAA). 

Of APA Group, SP Energy, Yindjibarndi Energy and Intercontinental Energy, only Yindjibarndi has managed to navigate the onerous planning and consultation requirements to start construction. 

If Fortescue is allowed to sign agreements with the Pilbara’s major sources of power demand – other miners and industry – under its easier, cheaper-to-build energy, those proponents may as well close their chequebooks and take their capital elsewhere. 

Yindjibarndi Energy is likely the only survivor should this occur as its current and potential customers are far away from Fortescue’s network. 

APA Group may still have a shot, too, if BHP comes to the party. It is incumbent on the state government to give these proponents clarity, given they have bought in to its Pilbara decarbonisation rhetoric. 

The state government says it is working with proponents and has a team to expedite LAA projects. 

Yet there is no certainty any major offtakers will be left to buy their power by the time their projects are shovel ready. 

For the government to still be talking about ‘working with’ proponents while Fortescue is already more than 1GW into its network rollout (under what the government says is the wrong tenure pathway) is ludicrous. 

Investor confidence is at stake, and any fallout ultimately lies at the feet of the state government.