Business
Senators Dominate Maple Leafs 5-2 in Battle of Ontario Showdown
The Ottawa Senators delivered a resounding statement in the latest installment of the Battle of Ontario, overpowering the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2 on Saturday night at Scotiabank Arena with a dominant second-period outburst that left the hosts reeling.

Drake Batherson and Dylan Cozens each tallied two goals and combined for five points, while Thomas Chabot contributed a goal and an assist as the Senators improved to 29-22-8 and kept their playoff aspirations alive. Linus Ullmark turned aside 21 shots for the victory, providing steady netminding behind an aggressive offensive attack.
The Maple Leafs, now 27-24-9, suffered their third straight loss since the Olympic break and fell further behind in the Eastern Conference wildcard race. Morgan Rielly and William Nylander scored for Toronto, but the team struggled defensively, particularly in the middle frame where Ottawa erupted for four goals.
The game began with promise for the home side. Rielly opened the scoring midway through the first period, firing a shot past Ullmark during a power play to give Toronto a 1-0 lead. The goal energized Scotiabank Arena, but the Senators responded quickly. Chabot tied it at 1-1 late in the opening period with a sharp wrister from the point, assisted by Cozens, knotting the score heading into the intermission.
The second period belonged entirely to Ottawa. Batherson put the Senators ahead 2-1 early in the frame, capitalizing on a rebound opportunity. Just 51 seconds later, Nylander answered for Toronto, roofing a shot to tie it at 2-2 and briefly quiet the visiting bench. But Ottawa’s momentum proved unstoppable.
Cozens restored the lead with a power-play goal, beating Joseph Woll glove side to make it 3-2. Batherson added his second of the night and 20th of the season shortly after, burying another chance to push the advantage to 4-2. Cozens capped the barrage with his second goal, a power-play tally that extended the lead to 5-2 and effectively sealed the outcome.
Toronto coach Sheldon Keefe pulled Woll late in the second after he allowed five goals on 28 shots. Anthony Stolarz entered in relief and stopped all 12 shots he faced in the third, but the damage was done.
The Senators’ second-period surge highlighted their recent form. Ottawa has gone 6-1-1 in its past eight games, showing resilience and offensive firepower that has kept them in the wildcard conversation. With 23 games remaining, the win moved them within five points of the final Eastern Conference playoff spot.
Postgame, Senators forward Drake Batherson praised the team’s execution. “We stuck to our game plan, played with pace and capitalized on chances,” Batherson said. “It’s big to come in here and get two points against a division rival.”
Dylan Cozens, who recorded three points, echoed the sentiment. “Our belief is so high right now,” Cozens told reporters. “We played a great 60 minutes.”
For the Maple Leafs, frustration was evident. The team has struggled to find consistency since returning from the break, with defensive lapses proving costly. Rielly’s goal provided an early spark, but the inability to contain Ottawa’s rush led to breakdowns.
“We’re embarrassed by that performance,” one Maple Leafs player said anonymously after the game, per reports. The loss dropped Toronto to 16-10-6 at home this season and raised questions about their playoff readiness.
Ullmark’s 21-save effort was crucial, especially in the third period when Toronto pushed for a comeback. The Senators’ goaltender remained composed, denying several quality chances to preserve the lead.
The rivalry between these two Ontario teams always carries extra intensity, with fans from both sides filling the arena. Saturday’s matchup lived up to the billing early but turned into a one-sided affair as Ottawa pulled away.
The Senators now embark on a five-game road trip, looking to build on this momentum. Toronto faces a quick turnaround and will aim to snap its skid against upcoming opponents.
Highlights from the game included Batherson’s rebound goal to make it 3-1, Nylander’s quick response 51 seconds later, and Cozens’ power-play snipe that punctuated the second-period dominance. NHL.com and other outlets featured condensed recaps showing the key sequences, with fans online buzzing about the Senators’ clinical finishing.
As the NHL season progresses toward the trade deadline and playoff push, performances like this could define trajectories. For Ottawa, the win boosts confidence and standings position. For Toronto, it’s a wake-up call amid a challenging stretch.
Business
In polarised Iran, Khamenei’s death triggers celebrations and grief

In polarised Iran, Khamenei’s death triggers celebrations and grief
Business
Congress should repeal Section 230 to end Big Tech legal immunity
Sen. Roger Marshall, R-Kan., argues Google is committing election interference by suppressing search results for the failed Trump assassination on ‘The Big Money Show.’
Thirty years ago, Congress passed Section 230 to help fragile internet start-ups survive litigation attempts on multiple fronts. In 1996, Americans logged on with dial-up modems and gathered on message boards. Lawmakers wanted to protect burgeoning companies from crushing defamation, copyright, and other lawsuits over something a random user posted. Congress aimed to nurture innovation, protect free speech, and let a competitive marketplace flourish.
That may have made sense then. Today it does not.
What Congress framed as a narrow free-speech shield became a permanent amnesty program for trillion-dollar Silicon Valley monopolists. Section 230 no longer protects speech. It protects power.
Instead of scrappy start-ups, Americans now answer to online oligarchs. Google. Facebook. Amazon. Apple. These companies do not merely host content. They control search, social media, online commerce, app distribution, and digital advertising. They shape what Americans see, read, buy, and believe. And they invoke Section 230 to shield themselves while they censor, silence, and cancel their political opponents.
UNDER OATH, META’S ZUCKERBERG SHOWED WHY BIG TECH CAN’T POLICE ITSELF
Congress granted platforms immunity for content users post, and Congress allowed them to moderate content in “good faith.” Lawmakers assumed competition would discipline abuse. If one platform censored too aggressively, users could leave for another.

Mark Zuckerberg, chief executive officer of Meta Platforms Inc., appears during the Meta Connect event in Menlo Park, California, on Sept. 17, 2025. (David Paul Morris/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)
That competition never materialized. Big Tech executives bought rivals, crushed start-ups, and leveraged network effects to lock in dominance. They turned platforms into monopolies. They used scale to entrench power. Even conservatives who distrust these companies must still use their platforms to reach voters, customers, and each other.
Meanwhile, courts expanded Section 230 far beyond its original purpose. Judges stretched the statute to cover conduct Congress never contemplated. Silicon Valley lawyers pushed aggressive interpretations, and courts accepted them. As a result, trillion-dollar monopolists now decide what Americans may say online while they coordinate with politicians and bureaucrats who demand crackdowns on so-called “misinformation.”
That is not a free market. That is government-enabled censorship.
Conservatives paid the price. Big Tech companies hunted down, censored, and canceled voices that challenge the Ruling Class. They deplatformed doctors and scientists who questioned COVID orthodoxy. They censored Hunter Biden’s criminal activity under the guise of “content moderation.” Americans would rather call it viewpoint discrimination. They deplatformed the sitting President of the United States of America.

Hunter Biden, son of U.S. President Joe Biden, arrives to the J. Caleb Boggs Federal Building on June 06, 2024 in Wilmington, Delaware. The trial for Hunter Biden’s felony gun charges continues today with additional witnesses. (Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images / Getty Images)
At the same time, these companies insist they need blanket immunity to avoid liability for horrific content – human trafficking, terrorism, drug trafficking – content they monetize through ads and engagement. They profit from the system at every step. But when harm follows, they point to Section 230 and deny responsibility.
JILLIAN MICHAELS: BIG TECH BUILT A DIGITAL DRUG — AND OUR KIDS ARE HOOKED
That is not neutrality. That is corporate welfare.
Section 230 does not appear in the Constitution. Congress created it in 1996, and Congress can reform or repeal it. No company possesses a constitutional right to government-granted immunity. When lawmakers grant special protections to powerful corporations, those corporations use that protection to accumulate even more power.
Washington made that choice. Washington can reverse it.
If Meta had competed against Instagram instead of acquiring it, Americans might enjoy more choices and less centralized control. If YouTube had competed with Google instead of merging into it, creators might not depend on a single gatekeeper. Consolidation strengthened censorship power. Immunity protected consolidation.
For three decades, Congress and federal regulators coddled Silicon Valley. They tolerated consolidation. They defended immunity. They ignored warning signs. Now, Americans live under digital gatekeepers who answer to no one.
Conservatives do not want bureaucrats to police speech. But we must refuse to let trillion-dollar corporations wield government-granted immunity while they silence half the country. We must reject permanent amnesty for politically biased monopolists.
CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP
Thirty years is long enough. Congress should strip Big Tech of its Section 230 immunity. Lawmakers should restore competition, enforce antitrust laws, and hold platforms accountable under the same legal standards that govern everyone else.
Stop the amnesty. End the sweetheart deal. Repeal Section 230.
Business
Gold, silver prices likely to soar tomorrow amid escalating Middle East war; what lies ahead?
Khamenei’s death, which was confirmed by Iranian state media earlier today, triggered warnings about sharp retaliation from Tehran. US President Donald Trump announced that the 86-year-old leader had been killed on the first day of what he described as massive joint airstrikes.
Geopolitical tensions trigger risk-off sentiment, shifting investors away from equity markets and towards safe-haven assets like gold and silver. The precious metals had seen a record bull run in the beginning of this year, strongly rallying amid Trump’s tariff flip flops and other uncertainties, before seeing some correction.
Expect volatility in precious metals
Gold and silver prices are set to remain highly volatile with a gap up in the opening session tomorrow as the Middle East conflict involving renewed US and Israeli military action against Iran continues to dominate global risk sentiment, said Jateen Trivedi, VP Research Analyst – Commodity and Currency, LKP Securities.
“A sharp escalation in hostilities, with coordinated strikes and retaliatory moves is fueling uncertainty and diminishing hopes of a quick diplomatic resolution. This elevated geopolitical risk can drive investors toward traditional safe-haven assets like gold and silver, and widely expect a gap-up opening for bullion markets,” he said.
As global equities and risk assets come under pressure, capital tends to shift into precious metals, which act as a hedge against uncertainty, the analyst explained. “Earlier moves have already pushed gold and silver prices higher in recent sessions, and this momentum could continue if the conflict intensifies further. Energy markets are also responding, with crude oil prices rising on fears of supply disruption through key routes like the Strait of Hormuz, which further adds to risk-off sentiment and supports bullion interest,” he further said.
Also read: Crude oil prices to cross $100? What experts predict after US, Israel attack on Iran
Profit booking to follow?
However, the impact may not be uniform. If there are any signs of diplomatic developments or indications of de-escalation, precious metals could see profit-taking after an initial spike of 3-6%, Trivedi said.
“We would expect the ongoing rally in US treasuries, oil, gold, and silver to extend. For India, the impact is typically magnified: higher crude oil prices widen the current account deficit, stoke domestic inflation, pressure the rupee, and could lead to FII outflows as global investors reduce risk exposure,” said Nachiketa Sawrikar, Fund Manager at Artha Bharat Global Multiplier Fund.
Gold rose to near a one-month high on Friday, trading at $5,230.56 per ounce. US gold futures for April delivery settled at $5,247.90. The increase marked a 7.6% gain for February this year.
Silver also climbed, with spot prices rising 4.8% to $92.60 per ounce, recording a 9.7% monthly gain. Platinum increased to $2,350.34 per ounce, while palladium fell slightly to $1,775.31.
Bears likely to take control of Dalal Street
Indian capital markets are expected to see a gap-down opening tomorrow amid the rising uncertainties. Ashish Anand, Partner at Fortuna Asset Managers, said that financial markets will probably experience risk-off behaviour together with foreign FIIs possibly selling holdings while market prices experience intense and fast price changes during the day.
Will Sensex, Nifty react amid escalating Middle East war after Khamenei’s killing?
“Our advice to investors is simple: avoid panic-led decisions. Businesses need to implement volatility as a strategic tool, which should be handled with care. People who want to invest for the long term should keep their Systematic Investment Plans (SIP) running and distribute their money between reliable, strong, and fundamentally strong companies. A person needs to follow asset allocation rules, which include stocks, gold, and bonds, because these guidelines help through unpredictable market times. We believe wealth is built through discipline, not reaction and the key theme would be “patience over pace,” said Ashish Anand, Partner, Fortuna Asset Managers.
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
Business
China’s Wang Yi says attacks on Iran ’unacceptable’, urges ceasefire and talks

China’s Wang Yi says attacks on Iran ’unacceptable’, urges ceasefire and talks
Business
SunOpta surges 63% after InvestingPro Fair Value signal

SunOpta surges 63% after InvestingPro Fair Value signal
Business
There is now an open path to a different Iran, EU’s Kallas says

There is now an open path to a different Iran, EU’s Kallas says
Business
Defence, financials, discretionary in structural sweet spot: SAMCO MF’s Viraj Gandhi
Edited excerpts from a chat:
What is your assessment of the current market cycle, and where do you believe we stand in terms of valuations versus earnings visibility?
The Indian markets continue to appear expensive on a headline basis as they are trading above their median valuations. However, there are pockets of opportunities across sectors and market caps that could benefit from strong domestic demand and policy support. Earnings visibility has been improving for sectors such as financials, industrial products, auto, and select consumer categories, while pockets like defense, and infrastructure continue to offer long-term growth potential. External factors such as global trade tensions, tariff concerns and India being viewed as an Anti AI trade has weighed on the sentiment of the market. India’s pursuit of signing free trade agreements (FTAs) with different countries like the EU and New Zealand is creating new avenues for trade, investment, and market diversification, which could support earnings growth over the medium term. We believe that the market is currently in a phase where broad valuations may appear rich, but earnings visibility is improving, and pockets of opportunities continue to exist for investors who focus on quality, growth potential, and sectors positioned to benefit from both domestic and global trends.
What stood out for you in the Q3 earnings season? Are you more hopeful of broad-based growth than before?
What stood out this Q3 earnings season was the divergence between underlying operating performance and the direction of earnings revisions. Corporate Earnings this quarter were broadly in line with expectations. Several consumption-linked and cyclical sector companies witnessed a growth in top-line with operating margins broadly stabilized or expanded and profit growth remained healthy. Banks and NBFCs showed signs of stability in asset quality and profitability metrics and industrial and defence names continued to benefit from execution momentum and policy tailwinds. Earnings downgrades in a couple of sectors were not driven purely by weak quarterly performance but due to a confluence of external factors such as currency volatility, commodity price swings, competitive intensity in certain segments, and global volatility. Management commentary indicated that domestic demand showed early signs of improvement following policy support, with autos and select consumer categories reflecting better business commentary. However, competitive intensity remains elevated in some sectors such as paints, consumer durables and telecom. IT services delivered a steady quarter with management commentary highlighting the concerns around AI related disruptions. Overall, the quarter reinforced a cautiously constructive view operationally, corporate India appears to be on a firmer footing as compared to previous quarters, but forward earnings expectations are still adjusting to a complex mix of macro, regulatory and competitive factors.
Which sectors appear structurally well-positioned over the next three to five years, and why?
Sectors that are beneficiary of secular trends and policy support given by the government appear structurally well positioned over the next three to five years. One prominent theme is defence. There is a multi-year potential for businesses in this sector due to rising government spending on defense equipment modernization, local manufacture, and indigenization. Strategic Partnerships with global players are improving technological access.
Furthermore, companies that are involved in the manufacturing of advanced electronics, aerospace components, and systems integration are well positioned to benefit from these structural tailwinds.
Pockets of consumer discretionary is another structurally attractive sector, reflecting changing preferences of the consumers as per capita income improves, urbanization and digital adoption encourages consumers to spend more on upgrading and preimmunizing their lifestyles.Banks and NBFCs are improving on asset quality, healthy credit growth, and increasing penetration across retail and corporate segments. The combination of robust balance sheets, policy support, and innovation in digital lending and payments provides a structural tailwind for earnings.
What is your outlook on financials, particularly in the context of credit growth, asset quality and margin sustainability?
The outlook on the financial sector remains constructive given improvement of credit growth and stable operating conditions. There are early signs that corporate lending is picking up which is expected to continue. Deposit growth continues to remain a challenge, and a higher reliance on bulk deposits could keep the cost of funds slightly elevated. Banks should be able to maintain their stable margins given the repricing of MCLR linked loans. Increased collection effectiveness and stress level mitigation, especially in unsecured portfolios, ensure that asset quality and credit costs continue to be controlled. Management commentary suggests that the second half of the year should be better, as growth is expected in both lending and controlled credit costs, which will improve their profitability. This creates a favorable backdrop for banks, balancing growth opportunities with prudent risk management.
How should investors approach the IT and digital ecosystem amid AI-led disruption and shifting global tech spending?
Investors should adopt a wait and watch approach in this space. AI is changing business models of traditional IT companies. The pace of AI-driven change is unprecedented in nature. Global hyperscalers are committing capex more than $600 billion towards AI related infrastructure, including data centers. As a result of these developments within the field of AI, companies are now investing more in automation and artificial intelligence as compared to traditional IT services. Companies who successfully implement AI stand to benefit from these changes, while others could lag, thereby impacting their revenue and profit margins. For Indian IT, the structural shift presents a dual challenge. Traditional service models face pressure as automation and generative AI reduce demand for conventional software maintenance. At the same time, India’s deep talent base and growing digital capabilities provide opportunities to support global clients in AI adoption.
How are you currently positioning portfolios in terms of sector allocation, cash levels and market-cap bias?
We use momentum as a factor across our funds and allocate capital to sectors and companies based on relative price strength, growth in revenue, and accelerating earnings, while using absolute momentum to manage risk and protect capital. From a market-cap bias, positioning depends on the mandate of the scheme. In categories such as Flexicap, ELSS and Special Opportunities where the fund managers have flexibility to allocate across market caps, we have a slight bias towards mid and small caps. Sector-wise, we are positioned in BFSI, Autos, Pharma and Industrial Products where we believe the balance between growth prospects and risk is favourable. These sectors offer a mix of cyclical recovery, structural tailwinds and improving profitability dynamics. On the risk management side, we actively use hedging to reduce downside risk particularly during phases where markets remain sideways or uncertain. In addition, we maintain cash in certain portfolios where near-term risk-reward warrant a more cautious stance. Overall, our approach seeks to participate in momentum-led opportunities while maintaining flexibility and prudent risk control.
Do you think that the sell-off in smallcaps we saw in last 1.5 years is done and that we will see gradual recovery in next 2 quarters?
Given the results in Q3FY26, there are encouraging signs that the extended weakness in small-caps could be stabilizing. Across a broad set of companies, revenue and profitability growth is accelerating, with smaller companies showing stronger momentum. Earnings downgrades appear to be moderating, and we expect upgrades to gradually emerge as macro conditions stabilize and companies benefit from policy tailwinds. Supportive monetary conditions due to the rate cuts done by the Reserve Bank of India should improve corporate earnings and investor sentiment. While valuations are above median levels at the broader index level, there continue to be selective pockets within this space with solid fundamentals and clear growth drivers. The combination of the above-mentioned factors suggests that small-caps could see a gradual recovery in the coming quarters.
Business
Global reaction to the killing of Iran’s Khamenei

Global reaction to the killing of Iran’s Khamenei
Business
BTS to Stage One-Hour Free Comeback Performance at Gwanghwamun Square in Seoul on March 21
K-pop supergroup BTS will make a highly anticipated return to the stage with a free, one-hour comeback performance at Gwanghwamun Square in central Seoul on March 21, 2026, featuring premiere tracks from their upcoming fifth full-length album “Arirang” alongside beloved hits, their agency HYBE confirmed.
Titled “BTS The Comeback Live: Arirang,” the outdoor event at 8 p.m. KST will mark the septet’s first full-group live appearance in three years and nine months, following individual activities and military service commitments. The performance will stream live exclusively on Netflix to viewers in approximately 190 countries, directed by acclaimed Super Bowl halftime show producer Hamish Hamilton, amplifying its global reach.

HYBE emphasized that the approximately one-hour duration was a deliberate choice by the organizers to prioritize audience safety, crowd control, stage management, public transportation convenience and noise considerations in the bustling downtown location. “The performance time has been set at an appropriate duration to ensure safe and smooth operations,” HYBE stated in a release addressing online speculation.
Rumors had circulated suggesting the Seoul Metropolitan Government imposed the time limit, but both HYBE and city officials swiftly clarified that the decision originated with the agency. “The Seoul Metropolitan Government has never limited the Gwanghwamun Square concert to one hour,” HYBE said, adding that discussions from December 2025 onward included the one-hour request from HYBE. City authorities echoed this, noting they handle non-performance logistics like safety while the concert structure falls under the organizer’s responsibility.
The event has generated massive excitement since its announcement. Tickets for seated sections—limited and requiring registration via NOL Ticket—sold out almost instantly when sales opened, with systems crashing under the surge of over 100,000 simultaneous users at peak times. A special standing zone near the extended stage was allocated to 2,000 fans selected through a draw from those who preordered “Arirang.” Authorities expect up to 260,000 people to gather in and around the area, treating Gwanghwamun Square as a “virtual stadium” with 29 designated entry points, heavy police presence and traffic controls.
To manage crowds, Seoul city is hosting separate fan events nearby for about 30,000 additional attendees. Gyeongbokgung Palace, adjacent to the square, will close entirely on March 21—a rare weekend shutdown for the historic Joseon Dynasty site—to facilitate security and flow.
The concert coincides with the March 20 release of “Arirang,” BTS’s first full-group album since 2022. The title draws from the traditional Korean folk song symbolizing resilience and longing, reflecting themes of reunion and cultural pride. The setlist will include new songs from the album plus fan favorites, offering a concise yet powerful showcase of BTS’s evolution.
BTS members—RM, Jin, Suga, J-Hope, Jimin, V and Jungkook—have expressed gratitude for the opportunity to reconnect with fans in such an iconic setting. Gwanghwamun Square, framed by the statue of King Sejong and the National Museum of Korea, holds symbolic weight as a historic public space for cultural and political gatherings.
The Netflix livestream positions the event as a global cultural moment, following BTS’s history of breaking streaming records and influencing soft power diplomacy. Economic projections estimate a significant boost for Seoul, potentially in the hundreds of millions of dollars from tourism, merchandise and related activities.
Preparation has involved close coordination between HYBE, Seoul authorities, police and emergency services. Fans worldwide are already planning trips, with travel guides and eSIM recommendations circulating online for international ARMY (BTS’s fandom name).
As March 21 approaches, anticipation builds for what promises to be a landmark in K-pop history—a free, accessible return in the heart of Seoul, bridging BTS’s past triumphs with their next chapter before launching an 82-date world tour, “BTS WORLD TOUR ARIRANG,” starting in Goyang, South Korea, in April.
For now, the focus remains on safety and celebration. HYBE urged fans to follow official channels for updates, while city officials stressed cooperation to ensure a smooth, memorable night.
Business
Crude oil prices to cross $100? What experts predict after US, Israel attack on Iran
Notably, more than 20% of the world’s oil passes through the Strait of Hormuz, which connects the Persian Gulf with the Gulf of Oman and the Arabian Sea. The heavy missile strikes around the area have raised worries about supply constraints, leading to a spike in oil prices.
US WTI surged 3.19% to $67.29 per barrel, while Brent reached $72.87 on Friday. This came ahead of the significant rise in the Middle East’s war during the weekend, with rising worries around further escalations.
Barclays sees oil prices crossing $100:
UK’s second largest bank Barclays on Saturday increased its forecast for Brent Crude oil futures to $100 per barrel. “Oil markets might have to face their worst fears on Monday. As things stand right now, we think Brent could hit $100 (per barrel), as the market grapples with the threat of a potential supply disruption amid a spiraling security situation in the Middle East,” the bank said in its report.The hike in forecast came after US and Israel’s initial strikes on Iran and the latter’s retaliation. Notably, the war has escalated significantly since then, with the death of Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei sending shockwaves across the globe.
Iran is located along the Strait of Hormuz, through which approximately a fifth of the world’s oil supply passes, Ali Vaez, who heads the Iran Project at the International Crisis Group, said in a post on X. “Even limited disruption could spike energy prices, fuel inflation, and rattle global markets,” he added.
Oil overeacts first, then adjusts’
Equirus Securities in its latest note highlighted that oil prices have repeatedly surged 25-300% during geopolitical crises, even when physical supply losses were temporary. “Pattern is consistent: Oil overreacts first, embeds a geopolitical risk premium, and then gradually adjusts as trade flows reroute & fundamentals reassert themselves. Real forecasting challenge is not predicting the initial spike but estimating how long disruption and embedded premium will persist,” it said.The pattern is consistent – oil overreacts first, embeds a geopolitical risk premium, and then gradually adjusts as trade flows reroute and fundamentals shine through, the brokerage said, adding that the real challenge is not predicting the initial spike but how long the disruption and the resulting premium will persist.
“At the start of the Russia–Ukraine war, markets assumed a prolonged conflict would keep crude structurally above $100/bbl & push OMCs to distressed valuations. Had one known the war would still be ongoing 4 years later, triple-digit oil would have seemed inevitable. Instead, what happened in reality, after briefly spiking above $120/bbl, prices retraced as flows adjusted, Russian barrels were rerouted, & fundamentals reasserted themselves. Today, crude trades closer to fundamentals & OMCs are roughly triple their crisis-implied lows,” Equirus Securities further said.
If escalation threatens the key Strait of Hormuz, premium becomes structural rather than proportional, the brokerage said. “Even partial disruption risk could embed a $20–$40/bbl geopolitical premium, reopening a pathway toward $95–$110+, well beyond mechanical impact of Iran’s barrels alone,” it added.
For India, which relies heavily on imported crude oil, the immediate consequence has been rising inflationary pressure triggered by higher energy prices, said Manoranjan Sharma, Chief Economist at Infomerics Ratings. “Elevated import costs are likely to widen the current account deficit and further strain the fiscal deficit through increased subsidy obligations,” he added.
Rising Middle East tensions raise risks of shipping disruptions, higher global freight and insurance costs, even without a full blockade, said Madhavi Arora, Chief Economist at Emkay Global Institutional Equities. “As per our preliminary checks, India’s crude and LNG supplies are largely intact, and India has buffers in the form of diversified imports, strategic reserves and operational stocks, helping absorb short-term shocks,” the analyst added.
“In the event of tensions in the Middle East continuing, higher oil prices will directly feed into the input costs and macro indicators. If however the situation normalizes with OPEC+ also indicating a sharp output increase (0.4mb/d), and oil doesn’t spike and fall below $70/bbl, the macro impact could be contained,” Arora further said.
Back on Dalal Street…
The shares of oil marketing companies (OMC) will remain in focus tomorrow, amid the expected rise in crude oil prices. The shares of oil refineries will likely see an uptick, mirroring the rise in oil prices.
Tyre and paint stocks will also be a key monitorable tomorrow, as crude oil is a key raw material source for both paint and tyre companies because many of their inputs are petroleum-based derivatives.
Also read: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/will-sensex-nifty-react-amid-escalating-middle-east-war-after-khameneis-killing/articleshow/128909536.cms
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
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