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The great Bengal disconnect for Nifty bulls: 3 massive worries that are overshadowing the BJP election win

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The great Bengal disconnect for Nifty bulls: 3 massive worries that are overshadowing the BJP election win
West Bengal’s historic shift to BJP rule, the kind of political earthquake that would typically fuel a multi-day Dalal Street rally, lasted barely a few hours before global realities crushed the party. The Sensex crashed over 500 points, and the Nifty shed 0.6% on Tuesday as surging crude oil, a rupee in freefall, and the spectre of sustained foreign selling overshadowed what should have been a celebration of policy continuity and investment potential.

After rallying nearly 1,000 points Monday morning as election results confirmed the BJP’s Bengal victory, the Sensex pared gains to close just 356 points higher, a warning shot that sentiment alone wouldn’t carry the market. By Tuesday, the disconnect was complete.

3 factors are drowning out the Bengal bulls:

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1) Crude oil reality

The resumption of hostilities in the Strait of Hormuz and Brent crude spiking back to around $113 have become the dominant market narrative, overwhelming any domestic political positives.”The sentimental boost provided by the BJP’s electoral victory in W Bengal will not last,” Dr VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments Limited, said bluntly. “The market trend will be guided by the developments in West Asia, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz. The resumption of hostilities in the Hormuz region and Brent crude again spiking to around $113 are headwinds for the market.”

Investors ignored the gains for the BJP in states such as West Bengal and a third term in Assam on the belief that higher import bills could weaken macro-economic fundamentals, reduce purchasing power, and earnings.
Nomura flagged an uncomfortable policy choice now looming. “The strengthening of BJP’s political foothold could reduce India’s political risk premium at the margin, especially at a time when the war in Iran is leading to unpopular price hikes and supply-side shortages,” the brokerage said.
“However, we expect markets will be wary of the prospects of hikes in petrol and diesel prices now that the state elections are over. While the government has pushed back against this in the past, having already cut fuel taxes, a senior government official has been reported to suggest that discussions on fuel price hikes are ongoing to reduce under-recoveries of oil marketing companies.”
JM Financial warned that despite the visibility of incremental capex demand in West Bengal, there is a risk of curtailment in central government capex due to likely fiscal impact of the West Asia crisis.

Also Read | The Bengal boom: 7 stocks that surged up to 22% after BJP win and should you still buy?

2) Rupee crisis

The Indian rupee slid to a record low on Tuesday after U.S.-Iranian strikes in the Gulf rattled markets, dimming hopes for a resolution and deepening concerns over risks confronting the oil-importing economy.

The currency weakened to 95.40 per dollar, down 0.3% on the day, eclipsing its previous all-time low of 95.33 hit last Thursday. The rupee has declined 4.5% since the Iran war erupted on February 28, in line with other currencies of oil importers in Asia.

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UBS has revised its year-end forecast for the rupee to 96 per dollar, weaker than its earlier forecast of 94, while analysts at ANZ expect it to weaken to 98 by March 2027.

“The underlying issue for INR remains the balance of payments. Hence, measures to increase capital flows need to be the key policy priority,” analysts at UBS said in a note.

The US 10-year bond yield rising to 4.44% and the rupee sliding to fresh record low levels are unfavourable from a foreign inflows perspective.

Also Read | Election impact on stock market explained: What likely BJP win in West Bengal means for investors

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3) FII threat

While FIIs bought over Rs 2,800 crore worth of shares in Monday’s trading session, analysts say that could be a one-off. In recent weeks, HSBC and JP Morgan have downgraded Indian stocks.

“While Monday’s election outcome provided a boost to market sentiment, investor focus remained on geopolitical developments, with the West Asia conflict still unresolved and crude prices elevated,” said Rajesh Palviya, head of technical and derivatives research at Axis Securities. “Although the ruling party’s victory supports sentiment, a sustained market uptrend will likely depend on positive geopolitical cues.”

Emkay highlighted the longer-term fiscal concerns that could temper any Bengal optimism. “We believe BJP-led governance in states, particularly WB, could improve Centre-state alignment and accelerate administrative approvals for central projects, benefiting regional industrial growth in the medium term,” the brokerage said. “However, the immediate challenge lies in maintaining fiscal discipline against the backdrop of populist-driven spending trends, which have proven to be a winning electoral formula, but threaten the long-term fiscal health of states and their productive spending.”

With most large-cap earnings now largely behind us, markets are searching for fresh triggers to determine the next directional move. Vijayakumar summed up the near-term outlook: “In the near-term, the market will respond to Q4 results and management commentary.”

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For now, West Bengal’s political transformation remains a medium-term story that the market simply can’t afford to price in while oil burns above $113 and the rupee sets fresh lows by the day.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of Economic Times)

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ADB, StanChart ink partnership to support Indian firms across supply chains

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ADB, StanChart ink partnership to support Indian firms across supply chains
New Delhi: Manila-based multilateral funding Asian Development Bank (ADB) and Standard Chartered Bank have signed agreements to strengthen supply chain finance in India through risk-sharing arrangements covering both USD and rupee transactions.

The agreements include a risk participation arrangement structured through Gujarat International Finance Tec-City (GIFT City) to support US dollar-denominated transactions, and a partial guarantee facility agreement to support onshore rupee transactions, ADB said in a statement on Wednesday.

Together, the arrangements are intended to expand access to trade and supply chain finance for businesses operating in India and to support the continued flow of cross-border and domestic trade, it said.

The agreements were signed last week by ADB Vice-President Bhargav Dasgupta and Standard Chartered Bank’s India & South Asia Chief Executive Officer P D Singh.

Access to trade and supply chain finance remains a binding constraint for many businesses seeking to manage working capital, strengthen supply chain resilience, and participate in regional and global trade, it said.

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The partnership extends ADB’s risk-sharing capacity into both offshore and onshore segments of the Indian market, addressing financing gaps that commercial provision alone has not been able to close, it said.
A key feature of this partnership is its focus on emerging and underserved segments of supply chain finance, particularly distributor financing, it said, adding that the collaboration represents ADB’s first engagement in this space within the market. By enabling risk participation in distributor finance transactions, the partnership aims to unlock working capital for downstream players — often small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) — that play a critical role in domestic supply chains, it said.

This partnership aligns with ADB’s strategic priority to promote inclusive economic growth and financial deepening across Asia and the Pacific, it added.

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Pulmuone rolls out ready-to-eat noodles

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Pulmuone rolls out ready-to-eat noodles

The prepared meals are available in three varieties. 

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Last call to enter best new buildings awards

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2026 ProCon Awards recognise construction projects across Leicestershire and Rutland

ProCon Leicestershire Award 2025 winners (l-r, back) Adam Longbottom (Jewry Wall), Dan Danaher (Watkin Road Bridge), Gosia Khrais, (Charnwood Campus), James McCosh (Leicester Cathedral Revealed) and Joseph Silva (Rising Star) with (front) Kirsty Mokha (Kiln House), Tim Adams (Lutterworth Golf Club), Catherine Haward (Barons Pastures) and Sunny Raju (Archerfield Grange)

ProCon Leicestershire Award 2025 winners (l-r, back) Adam Longbottom (Jewry Wall), Dan Danaher (Watkin Road Bridge), Gosia Khrais, (Charnwood Campus), James McCosh (Leicester Cathedral Revealed); and Joseph Silva (Rising Star) with (front) Kirsty Mokha (Kiln House), Tim Adams (Lutterworth Golf Club), Catherine Haward (Barons Pastures) and Sunny Raju (Archerfield Grange)(Image: Lionel Heap)

Entries for the 2026 ProCon Awards for the best new buildings and other construction projects in Leicestershire and Rutland close on July 8.

The award organisers at ProCon Leicestershire are urging building owners, developers, architects, surveyors and engineers to nominate projects before the closing date to be in with a chance of being finalists or even winners.

Entry is free and all the details are on the ProCon Leicestershire website at: procon-leicestershire.co.uk/procon-awards/2026

The 23rd annual ProCon Awards are backed by two corporate sponsors, Salus and Unique Window Systems. Finalists and winners will be celebrated at a ceremony on November 12 at Leicester City’s King Power Stadium. The Leicester Mercury’s sister title Business Live is the media partner.

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The 2026 ProCon Awards logo and the award sponsors Salus and Unique Window Systems

The 2026 ProCon Awards logo and the award sponsors Salus and Unique Window Systems(Image: ProCon Awards)

There are eight categories, covering residential and non-residential schemes of various sizes, regeneration projects and the third year of the Rising Star category for those making a trailblazing start to their property and construction careers.

The full list is:

  • Pam Allardice Rising Star of the Year, sponsored by Galliford Try
  • Small Non-residential Scheme of the Year, sponsored by Merali Beedle
  • Medium Non-residential Scheme of the Year, sponsored by Knights
  • Large Non-residential Scheme of the Year, sponsored by Procure Partnerships Framework
  • Small Residential Scheme of the Year
  • Medium Residential Scheme of the Year
  • Large Residential Scheme of the Year
  • Regeneration Project of the Year

Umesh Desai, ProCon Leicestershire chair, said: “Anyone with a recently completed project they are proud of should take a look at which categories they could enter. It’s free to enter for any of the awards and shine a spotlight on you and your achievements.”

Stuart Power and Paul Meadows, directors at Salus (Building Control & Fire Safety Consultants), said: “We are proud to continue our support as a corporate sponsor of this outstanding celebration of our industry.

“The continued success of the ProCon Awards is a significant achievement, particularly in a challenging climate of regulatory change and evolving compliance requirements.

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“This year is especially meaningful for Salus as we celebrate our transition to an employee-owned company — a milestone that secures our long-term future and ensures we remain fully independent as Building Control Approvers and Building Regulation and Fire Safety Consultants serving Leicestershire.

“We look forward to joining colleagues from across the sector to recognise and celebrate excellence within our industry.”

Sunil Patel, joint-managing director at Unique Window Systems, said: “Unique is currently celebrating our 20th anniversary and a belief in maintaining the highest standards in everything we do has been instrumental in our continued success.

“Our appreciation of the very real difference a commitment to excellence can make means we are only too happy to advocate this quality in others and our ongoing sponsorship of the ProCon Leicestershire Awards reflects that.

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“Good luck to all those entering this year and thank you for making our region such a beacon of best practice for the built environment sector across the wider UK.”

  • Companies still keen to attend the ceremony are welcome to join a reserve list. To do so, or to enquire about sponsorship opportunities, contact Allyson Jeffrey on 0116 278 1443 or via email: info@procon-leicestershire.co.uk
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Welsh Government criticises GWR for opposing more trains from Wales to Bristol

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The objections from GWR are ‘extremely disappointing’ says Wales’ transport minister

Mark Hooper is the new deputy minister for transport.

The Welsh Government has criticised Great Western Railway after the rail operator expressed concerns about Transport for Wales’ plans to extend services between Bristol and west Wales.

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Transport for Wales wants to run new services for passengers from either Milford Haven or Pembrokeshire to be able to travel straight to Bristol Temple Meads without changing at Cardiff as they currently have to.

But Great Western Railway (GWR), which already runs Cardiff to Bristol trains, said the proposals would have a “significant effect” on its revenue.

The Welsh Government minister with responsibility for transport, Mark Hooper, said it was “extremely disappointing” GWR would seek to “disrupt these plans to improve things for passengers on both sides of the Severn”.

In a document as part of the consultation process GWR says it worries the plans could affect train services in the Bristol area and were “likely to have a significant effect on GWR’s revenue income”.

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It also said the new services are a “large risk” to UK Government money.

Transport for Wales (TfW) is owned by the Welsh Government.

Documents show TfW plans are for a service which is broadly for a two-hourly route with nine services each way per day.

Two will start from Cardiff in the morning but all the others will be through services between west Wales and Bristol.

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All bar two of the through services will be achieved by combining the new Cardiff-Bristol portions with existing West Wales services at Cardiff Central and two weekday trains will be entirely new services between Cardiff and Carmarthen then extending to/from Milford Haven or Fishguard Harbour in place of existing services.

Between Cardiff Central and Bristol Temple Meads they will call at Newport, Severn Tunnel Junction, Filton Abbey Wood, and Stapleton Road.

One train each way on weekdays and Saturday will additionally call at Bristol Parkway.

West of Cardiff the calling pattern will vary but will typically include Carmarthen, Pembrey and Burry Port, Llanelli, Gowerton, Swansea, Neath, Port Talbot Parkway, and Bridgend with most services originating from, or extending to, Fishguard Harbour or Milford Haven calling at all stations.

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The application says connectivity between west and south Wales and the Bristol area has “long been recognised as essential” for supporting economic growth in the wider region.

“The direct service is aligned with the government mission of supporting jobs, growth, and housing,” it says.

It says it will benefit people travelling not only to Bristol but to Bristol Airport.

The application says the plan would have an operational cost of £21.4m and total value of benefits of £27.9m.

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However GWR say it has “grounds for concern and objects to its approval”. For our free daily briefing on the biggest issues facing the nation sign up to the Wales Matters newsletter here.

It says: “We do not believe that the application has been discussed sufficiently with either Network Rail or with the MetroWest funder to enable a cogent plan to be developed and therefore the full extent of these impacts is unknown at this point. We are also unclear how the services relate to other service enhancements on the line of route in question including the proposed Cardiff-Bristol stopping services and associated new stations proposed by the Burns review.

“Approval of the application may significantly affect the capability to implement these.”

The GWR objection also says it has questions about how the Severn Tunnel would cope given “known capacity constraint”.

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“The key grounds for GWR’s objection include the likely impact on performance of GWR and other services in and around the Bristol area and further afield, understanding the assumptions being made in relation to use of infrastructure both now and in the future and the impact of these services on GWR (and DfT) revenues.

“There are no new markets served in this proposal with GWR already operating up to three trains per hour between Cardiff Central and Bristol. The application – and the commercial intentions underpinning it – should, we believe, be seen in this light”.

It says it believes “a two-car cross border service could lead to significant crowding issues on these particular trains that could be better and more cheaply managed through alternative provision”.

The Rail and Road Office will make a final decision.

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Mark Hooper is the new deputy minister for transport. He said: “As a newly-elected government we are committed to working with Transport for Wales on improving connectivity for people across Wales and the borders as part of a modern integrated transport network.

“A new service connecting west Wales with Bristol would not only increase rail capacity on a very busy route but could boost economic growth in communities on the way.

“We will be working collaboratively to ensure that the UK Government’s recent commitment to delivering six new stations between Cardiff and Bristol leads to more services on the route.

“Therefore it’s extremely disappointing that Great Western Railway, which is a UK Government rail operator, would seek to disrupt these plans to improve things for passengers on both sides of the Severn.

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“If Great Western Railway’s objection succeeds it would negatively impact tens of thousands who could benefit from this service.

“I will be writing to the UK Transport Minister to urgently ask for clarification and call for some common sense on this issue.”

GWR has been approached for comment.

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Nestle USA to launch bite-size snacks

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Nestle USA to launch bite-size snacks

The Hot Pockets snacks are available in five varieties. 

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US Supreme Court clears way for Alabama to use pro-Republican voting map

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US Supreme Court clears way for Alabama to use pro-Republican voting map


US Supreme Court clears way for Alabama to use pro-Republican voting map

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Rajesh Exports: Sebi finds 97-99% revenue inflation, bars promoter from trading

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Rajesh Exports: Sebi finds 97-99% revenue inflation, bars promoter from trading
Capital markets regulator Sebi has passed an interim order against Rajesh Exports and its promoter Rajesh Mehta, alleging large-scale financial misrepresentation, non-cooperation with investigators and possible inflation of the company’s reported revenues.

In a 109-page interim order issued on June 3, Sebi said its investigation and forensic review had uncovered prima facie evidence suggesting that about 97-99% of the company’s revenue may have been inflated, describing the findings as “egregious and unheard of.”

The market regulator has restrained Rajesh Mehta from buying, selling or dealing in securities of Rajesh Exports until further orders. It has also directed the company to cooperate fully with investigators and make true and fair disclosures in its financial statements and related-party transactions.

The order stems from a shareholder complaint received in March 2024 that raised concerns over large outstanding trade receivables in the company’s books.

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Following a preliminary examination, SEBI launched a formal investigation covering the period from April 2020 to March 2024 and appointed forensic auditor BDO India Services.


Rajesh Exports, a Bengaluru-based gold refiner and jewellery manufacturer, is listed on both the NSE and BSE. The company sells gold products domestically and internationally and operates jewellery stores under the Shubh Jewellers brand.
A major part of Sebi case centres on what it describes as persistent non-cooperation by the company and its promoter during the investigation.According to the regulator, Rajesh Exports failed to provide access to key accounting systems, withheld critical financial records and did not furnish complete documentation sought by investigators and forensic auditors.

Sebi noted that the forensic auditor was unable to verify large portions of the company’s transactions because supporting records were either incomplete or unavailable.

The regulator said only a small fraction of sampled transactions could be fully substantiated with supporting documents.

The order also raises concerns regarding the financial reporting of overseas subsidiaries and step-down subsidiaries, including entities in Singapore and Switzerland. Investigators examined transactions involving subsidiaries such as REL Singapore, Global Gold Refineries AG and Swiss precious metals refiner Valcambi.

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Sebi said the lack of access to underlying accounting records significantly constrained the forensic review and prevented independent verification of several reported figures.

The regulator further alleged that the company routed funds in a manner that obscured their origin and destination, raising concerns about the authenticity of the reported financial statements.

Given the seriousness of the findings, Sebi said immediate intervention was necessary to protect investors and maintain market integrity.

“The aberrations prima facie noted in the matter, where approximately 97% to 99% of the revenue of the company is inflated, are egregious and unheard of,” Whole-Time Member Kamlesh Chandra Varshney said in the order.

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Apart from restraining Rajesh Mehta from dealing in the company’s securities, Sebi has directed Rajesh Exports to provide all pending information sought by investigators within 30 days.

The regulator has also ordered the appointment of a fresh forensic auditor to conduct a more detailed review of the company’s books and transactions.

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SpaceX Target Valuation Lowered Again. Why That’s a Red Flag for the Stock Market.

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SpaceX Target Valuation Lowered Again. Why That’s a Red Flag for the Stock Market.

SpaceX Target Valuation Lowered Again. Why That’s a Red Flag for the Stock Market.

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North East parts of historic William Cook acquired by US aerospace giant Heico

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Cook Defence Systems will continue to operate out of its Stanhope factory

Cook Defence Systems manufacturers tank tracks.

The Cook Defence Systems factory in Stanhope, County Durham(Image: Cook Defence Systems)

The North East operations of historic steel business William Cook have been acquired by US defence giant Heico in an undisclosed deal.

The move sees the formation of a new company Heico-Cook Defence which will encompass Cook Defence Systems, William Cook Stanhope and William Cook Intermodal. The joint venture is 80% owned by Heico and 20% by William Cook Holdings.

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Cook Defence Systems – which has played a key role in providing replacement tracks for Ukraine’s tank fleet – and its sister companies will continue to operate from their purpose-built factory in Stanhope, which employs about 130 people. The two firms have said contracts with employees, customers and supplies remain unaffected.

Meanwhile, William Cook Rail, William Cook Cast Products and their subsidiaries and associates remain wholly owned by William Cook Holdings, which reported turnover of £100m for the year to June 28, 2025. Cook Defence Systems also makes blast-proof components for armoured vehicles and was created in its current form in 1994 by Sir Andrew Cook, who has helped it become a long-standing supplier to national ministries of defence.

Sir Andrew said: “We are proud to have built Cook Defence Systems into a trusted partner to governments, armies and armoured vehicle manufacturers worldwide. In Heico, we have found a long-term partner that values our independence, supports our growth ambitions, and shares our commitment to engineering excellence, quality, and service.

“We are confident about the future of Cook Defence Systems under the joint ownership of Heico and William Cook Holdings.”

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Hollywood-based Heico makes parts of large commercial and military aircraft as well as industrial turbines, targeting systems, missiles and electro-optical devices. It reported net sales of more than $4.4bn (£3.2bn) in the year to the end of October, 2025.

Eric Mendelson Heico’s co-chairman and co-chief executive officer, said: “Cook Defence Systems represents a distinctive addition to Heico, with many of the attractive attributes we look for in our businesses. The company has established strong relationships across leading defence OEMs and government customers across multiple critical armoured vehicle platforms.

“Cook’s proprietary technology, consistent aftermarket demand, and exposure to increasing global defence spending position it well for continued growth and long-term value creation. We are pleased to welcome William Cook and his team to the Heico family.”

Last year, Cook Defence Systems hosted the Minister for Armed Forces Luke Pollard as the firm celebrated a three-year contract to supply spare tracks for all of the Army’s in-service armoured fighting vehicles. The firm is also supplying tracks for the Army’s Challenger 3 tanks and Ajax vehicles.

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Sir Andrew Cook CBE remains chairman of William Cook Holdings and William Cook and Chris Seymour continue as directors.

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Why is IREN stock rallying today?

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Why is IREN stock rallying today?

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