Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Business

(VIDEO) Elon Musk Predicts Universal High Income and Deflation as AI Boom Reshapes Economy

Published

on

Elon Musk Predicts Universal High Income and Deflation as AI

AUSTIN, Texas — Elon Musk, the billionaire entrepreneur behind Tesla, SpaceX and xAI, has sparked intense debate with a bold prediction that artificial intelligence will usher in an era of “universal high income” funded by direct government payments, ultimately triggering deflation rather than inflation as productivity explodes. In a video clip widely shared Friday on X, Musk described a future where AI-driven output of goods and services grows faster than the money supply, making everyday items cheaper even as cash is distributed to citizens.

The remarks, captured during what appears to be a recent interview, quickly went viral. Posted by popular X account DogeDesigner, the 59-second clip had amassed more than 600,000 views within hours. Musk sits in a black Tesla-branded jacket against a cosmic backdrop, gesturing emphatically as he outlines his vision. “We’ll have universal high income,” he states. “We’re basically just issuing money to people, and just because the output of goods and services will so far exceed the money supply, that effectively you have deflation, because deflation is just the ratio of the outputs of goods and services to the money supply.” He adds that he predicts the growth rate of goods and services will outpace money creation, leading to falling prices.

Musk’s comments represent an evolution of his long-standing views on universal basic income, which he has supported for years as a buffer against AI-induced job displacement. This time, however, he escalates the concept to “universal high income,” suggesting payments substantial enough to maintain living standards without traditional employment. The deflationary twist hinges on AI’s ability to supercharge production across sectors — from manufacturing and agriculture to services and energy — creating abundance that dilutes the purchasing power pressure typically associated with printing money.

Advertisement

Economists have long debated the mechanics of such a scenario. Traditional theory warns that flooding an economy with new currency risks inflation, as more dollars chase the same goods. Musk flips the script, arguing AI will flood the economy with goods instead. If factories run with minimal human labor, farms harvest autonomously and software handles complex tasks, the supply curve shifts dramatically rightward. Prices for housing, food, transportation and healthcare could plummet, he contends, even as governments issue larger stipends.

The idea aligns with Musk’s broader optimism about AI. Through xAI, his latest venture, he has positioned himself as a proponent of safe, truth-seeking artificial intelligence that accelerates scientific discovery. Tesla’s Optimus humanoid robots and autonomous vehicle fleets are already prototypes of the labor-replacing technology he envisions. SpaceX’s Starship program and Neuralink’s brain interfaces further illustrate his belief that humanity is on the cusp of a post-scarcity world where work becomes optional.

Yet the proposal has drawn swift criticism and questions. Replies to the viral post reflect a spectrum of reactions. Some users expressed fear that unconditional payments would erode work ethic and foster dependency, citing historical experiments like the “mouse utopia” studies where abundant resources led to social collapse. Others worried about real-estate prices: if everyone receives high income, demand for limited assets like land could skyrocket, offsetting deflation in other areas. “Universal high income sounds fantastic right up until you realize a basic starter home will probably cost 400 trillion dollars,” one commenter wrote.

Skeptics also challenged the mechanics of implementation. “Printing money has never created deflation,” another user replied. “Control has.” Economists note that real-world distribution matters: who decides payment amounts, eligibility and funding sources? Without corresponding productivity gains across all sectors — including those with natural scarcity like prime real estate or rare materials — localized inflation could still emerge. Critics point to past stimulus checks during the COVID-19 pandemic, which contributed to price spikes despite supply-chain issues.

Advertisement

Supporters, however, see Musk’s forecast as forward-thinking policy guidance. In an era when AI is already automating white-collar jobs in coding, legal analysis and customer service, universal high income could serve as a humane transition mechanism. It echoes proposals from figures like Andrew Yang, who advocated universal basic income during his 2020 presidential run, but Musk’s version envisions higher amounts sustained by exponential growth rather than tax redistribution alone.

The timing of Musk’s comments adds weight. As of April 2026, AI investment is surging globally. Major technology firms report breakthroughs in multimodal models capable of reasoning, creating and optimizing at superhuman speeds. Governments from Washington to Beijing are racing to regulate and harness the technology, with debates centering on job displacement versus abundance. Musk himself has warned repeatedly about AI risks, urging caution even as he invests heavily. In the clip, he acknowledges the future holds “a range of possible outcomes” and urges vigilance, estimating an 80 percent chance the trajectory proves “great.”

Policy implications could be profound. If Musk’s deflationary abundance materializes, central banks might need to rethink monetary policy. Interest rates, quantitative easing and inflation targets were designed for scarcity-driven economies. A world of falling prices could reward savers but discourage spending and investment if consumers wait for even lower costs. Governments might issue high-income payments through digital currencies or direct deposits, funded partly by taxes on AI-driven corporate profits.

Musk’s companies stand to benefit enormously from the shift he describes. Tesla’s full self-driving technology and robotaxis could generate trillions in value while displacing millions of driving jobs — precisely the scenario universal high income would address. xAI’s Grok models aim to accelerate discovery in physics, biology and materials science, potentially unlocking the productivity gains Musk predicts. The entrepreneur has long argued that humanity must become multi-planetary to ensure long-term survival, viewing AI as both a tool and a potential existential risk.

Advertisement

Public reaction on social media highlights deep societal divisions. Optimists celebrated the vision of leisure time for creativity, family and exploration. “More time for me to make AI videos,” one user quipped. Pessimists warned of moral hazard: “If everyone is rich then no one is.” Some invoked philosophical concerns, arguing that struggle gives life meaning and that removing it risks societal decay. Others questioned practicality: “How is it possible? And why would we even need money in society at that point?”

Financial markets showed no immediate reaction Friday, with Tesla shares trading steadily amid broader tech sector volatility. Analysts note Musk’s statements often move markets when tied to product announcements but serve more as philosophical provocations here. Still, the clip’s rapid spread — boosted by high-engagement accounts — underscores X’s role as a real-time barometer of tech thought leadership.

The discussion revives older debates about technological unemployment. Since the Industrial Revolution, automation has displaced workers while creating new opportunities. AI differs in scale and speed, potentially affecting cognitive as well as physical labor. Studies from organizations like the World Economic Forum project massive job churn by 2030, with reskilling programs struggling to keep pace. Universal high income, in Musk’s framing, acts as a bridge rather than a permanent welfare state.

Implementation hurdles remain vast. Funding such a program at scale would require unprecedented fiscal resources or novel revenue streams, such as value-added taxes on AI output or international agreements. Political feasibility depends on public trust in government distribution mechanisms — a challenge in polarized times. Pilot programs worldwide, from Finland to Kenya, have tested smaller-scale basic income with mixed results on employment, health and entrepreneurship.

Advertisement

Musk’s track record lends credibility to his forecast even as it invites scrutiny. He has repeatedly delivered on seemingly impossible timelines, from reusable rockets to mass-market electric vehicles. Critics argue his optimism sometimes overlooks transitional pain: millions could face unemployment before abundance arrives. “The transition will take 10-plus years and will be immensely painful for people displaced by AI,” one observer noted in replies.

As the video continues circulating, it joins a growing chorus of tech leaders addressing AI’s societal contract. OpenAI’s Sam Altman has experimented with universal basic income pilots, while others advocate for “AI dividends” from productivity gains. Musk’s contribution stands out for its deflationary optimism — a counter-narrative to doomsday predictions of hyperinflation or mass poverty.

For now, the entrepreneur’s words serve as both provocation and roadmap. Whether universal high income becomes policy or remains theoretical will depend on how quickly AI delivers the abundance Musk anticipates. In the meantime, the clip has reignited global conversation about humanity’s relationship with work, money and technology in an age of intelligent machines.

Friday’s viral moment underscores a central tension: technology that could free humanity from drudgery also demands new economic and ethical frameworks. Musk’s vision, delivered with characteristic candor, challenges policymakers, economists and citizens to prepare for a future where scarcity may give way to plenty — and where the very definition of economic value may transform.

Advertisement

Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Business

Bonus issue, stock split, dividend: 9 stocks to turn ex-record date next week, check details

Published

on

The Economic Times

Several companies are set to go ex-record date for bonus issues, stock splits and dividends in the upcoming week between April 20 and April 24. It is important to note that investors must buy the shares of the companies before their record dates in order to be eligible for the dividend payments, bonus shares or stock split. Check all the key dates and other details you must know.

Continue Reading

Business

Iran war causing staycation spike – holiday firms

Published

on

Iran war causing staycation spike - holiday firms

One man says he cancelled his holiday to Spain due to the rising costs and uncertainty.

Continue Reading

Business

Capital gains from property sale? How to balance tax saving with long-term wealth creation

Published

on

Capital gains from property sale? How to balance tax saving with long-term wealth creation
Selling a property often results in a significant capital gain, leaving investors with a crucial decision—whether to reinvest for tax savings or deploy the funds to maximise long-term wealth. With multiple options available, from real estate reinvestment to equity exposure, choosing the right mix depends on time horizon, liquidity needs, and financial goals.

The same is the case with Aditya, a viewer of The Money Show on ETNow. He plans to invest capital gains from a property sale into a mix of high-growth and stable instruments for a long-term horizon of around 10 years. The key question is a suggestion on combination of investments for good returns and how time and amount-wise distribution should be done

Also Read | Gold ETFs deliver up to 61% return since last Akshaya Tritiya. Should you hold or book profits after the rally?

Understanding capital gains taxation

Explaining the basics, financial expert Shweta Jain said that capital gains from property arise when an asset is sold at a profit. If the property is held for more than two years, it qualifies as long-term capital gains.

Advertisement

She noted that taxation on such gains is currently structured at 12.5% without indexation or 20% with indexation from 2024.


“So, any property that is held for more than two years, you can have indexation. Indexation basically adjusts your cost of acquisition to current,” the expert said. Indexation helps adjust the purchase price of the property for inflation, thereby reducing the taxable gains.
She also highlighted that investors should explore legitimate ways to save on capital gains tax, depending on whether they want to reinvest in property or other eligible assets. “So, your cost of acquisition sort of increases, so profit reduces for capital gains calculations. So, when you have a profit, you want to sort of save the capital gains also because you do not want to pay tax on the entire thing if you can help it. There are legit ways to save capital gains especially on property,” Jain said.

Reinvesting in property vs exploring other options

One of the most common ways to save tax is reinvesting the gains into another property. However, Jain pointed out that while this helps in tax efficiency, it may not always be the best option for wealth creation.

She explained that real estate investments come with limitations such as large capital commitment, lower liquidity, and constraints in quickly accessing funds when needed. This makes it important for investors to evaluate whether locking a significant amount into another property aligns with their broader financial goals.

There are a few sections based on whether you want to buy another property, whether you already have another property in consideration, whether you want to buy any other long-term asset, whether it is again a property, Jain said.

Advertisement

Also Read | Planning investments for specially-abled child? Focus on structure, not just returns says Harshvardhan Roongta

Role of equity in long-term wealth creation

The expert said Aditya can invest in another property if he wishes to save capital gains tax. However, we also have the opportunity of maximising his wealth. So, property again comes with its own set of restrictions whether it is a huge amount of capital being blocked or limited liquidity requirement if required to liquidate immediately or other sort of constraints when it comes to property.

For investors with a longer time horizon, equity can be a compelling alternative. Jain said that equity investments are better suited for goals beyond five years, as they have the potential to generate higher returns over time despite short-term volatility.

Given Aditya’s 10-year horizon, a combination of equity and relatively stable instruments could help balance growth and risk. However, the exact allocation would depend on his risk appetite and financial needs.

Advertisement

Balancing growth and stability

The key, Jain suggested, is to avoid concentrating the entire capital gains into a single asset class and instead diversify across instruments to optimise returns while managing risk.

Capital gains from property sales present an opportunity not just for tax planning but also for long-term wealth creation. While reinvesting in property can offer tax benefits, investors should weigh it against liquidity constraints and return potential. A well-balanced portfolio with a mix of equity and stable assets, aligned with a long-term horizon, can help achieve both growth and financial flexibility.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

If you have any mutual fund queries, message on ET Mutual Funds on Facebook/Twitter. We will get it answered by our panel of experts. Do share your questions on ETMFqueries@timesinternet.in alongwith your age, risk profile, and twitter handle

Advertisement
Add ET Logo as a Reliable and Trusted News Source

Continue Reading

Business

New Zealand defends military patrol flight near China

Published

on

New Zealand defends military patrol flight near China


New Zealand defends military patrol flight near China

Continue Reading

Business

Analysis-The Iran war has revealed Trump’s pressure point: the economy

Published

on

Analysis-The Iran war has revealed Trump’s pressure point: the economy


Analysis-The Iran war has revealed Trump’s pressure point: the economy

Continue Reading

Business

Trump says he has ’good news’ on Iran, offers no clarity on peace deal

Published

on

Trump says he has ’good news’ on Iran, offers no clarity on peace deal


Trump says he has ’good news’ on Iran, offers no clarity on peace deal

Continue Reading

Business

AU Small Finance Bank, ICICI Bank top picks as banking sector shows resilience: Siddhartha Khemka

Published

on

AU Small Finance Bank, ICICI Bank top picks as banking sector shows resilience: Siddhartha Khemka
India’s banking sector ended FY26 on a robust note, with systemic credit growth accelerating to 16.1% year-on-year as of March-end, reflecting sustained demand across segments. Notably, the final fortnight of the fiscal saw a sharp pickup, with incremental credit addition of nearly INR6 trillion, underscoring a strong finish to the year.

On the liability side, deposit growth also witnessed a meaningful surge, rising to 13.5% YoY compared to 10.8% in the preceding fortnight. The system added approximately INR12 trillion in deposits in the last two weeks of March alone, indicating an aggressive mobilization push by banks to support balance sheet expansion. Despite this improvement, the gap between credit and deposit growth remains elevated at 2.6%, though it has moderated from earlier levels.

This easing is reflected in key liquidity indicators. The system-level loan-to-deposit ratio (LDR) declined to 81.4% from 83% in the prior fortnight, while incremental LDR dropped sharply to 81% from 101%, marking one of the lowest levels since August 2025. The moderation suggests some relief in funding pressures, albeit within a still tight liquidity environment.

Banks have increasingly relied on wholesale funding avenues to bridge the gap. Certificate of Deposit (CD) issuances rose to INR14.3 trillion in FY26, up from INR11.7 trillion in FY25, with nearly 30% of issuances concentrated in February and March. Notably, peak CD rates touched 8.2% in March despite a lower policy repo rate of 5.25%, highlighting persistent tightness in system liquidity and elevated marginal cost of funds.

Advertisement

Structurally, regulatory frameworks such as Liquidity Coverage Ratio ad Net Stable Funding Ratio optimization offer headroom for balance sheet expansion, with potential for further improvement in credit-deposit ratios. This, coupled with strong second-half momentum, positions the sector for sustained growth.


Looking ahead, the sector is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory, with credit growth projected at a 14% CAGR over FY27–28. However, the interplay between deposit mobilization, funding costs, and liquidity conditions will remain critical. While demand-side fundamentals remain intact, the ability of banks to efficiently manage liabilities will be key to sustaining margins and supporting future growth.

AU Small Finance Bank: Buy| Target Rs 1250

AU Small Finance Bank is actively pursuing a universal banking licence, which would significantly expand its liability franchise, reduce cost of funds, and unlock access to a much larger customer base. This transition, if successful, would re-rate the bank meaningfully, positioning it closer to established private sector peers in terms of valuation and business scale. AU SFB’s core strength lies in serving the underbanked and MSME segments across Rajasthan, Gujarat, and tier 2-3 markets; a space with decades of growth ahead. As financial inclusion deepens and credit penetration rises in these geographies, AU is structurally positioned to compound its loan book at a healthy 25-30% CAGR over the long term. Unlike most small finance banks, AU has demonstrated an exceptional ability to build a retail deposit base; a critical differentiator for long-term sustainability.

ICICI Bank: Buy| Target Rs 1750

ICICI Bank continues to deliver a well-rounded performance, supported by improving loan growth, a strong liability franchise and resilient asset quality. Growth remains well diversified, with SME and business banking expected to sustain high-teen expansion, supported by improving demand conditions and a healthy enquiry pipeline. We estimate the loan book to grow at ~16% CAGR over FY26–28.On the liabilities front, the bank maintains a stable and granular deposit base, with deposits growing ~9% YoY and CASA ratios holding steady at ~40–41%. Asset quality remains a core strength, with strong underwriting and adequate provision buffers ensuring stability. Credit costs are expected to remain contained at ~45–50 bps, while GNPA/NNPA ratios are likely to improve further. Overall, ICICI Bank is well positioned to deliver steady earnings growth, with PPoP/PAT CAGR of ~18%/16% over FY26–28, supporting RoA/RoE of ~2.3%/16.4%.

(The author is Siddhartha Khemka, Head of Research – Wealth Management, Motilal Oswal Financial Services)

Advertisement

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)

Continue Reading

Business

AI Abundance Won’t End Inflation, Nor Make Money Meaningless

Published

on

AI Abundance Won’t End Inflation, Nor Make Money Meaningless

AIER educates Americans on the value of personal freedom, free enterprise, property rights, limited government and sound money. Our ongoing scientific research demonstrates the importance of these principles in advancing peace, prosperity and human progress. www.aier.orgFounded in 1933, AIER is a donor-based non-profit economic research organization. We represent no fund, concentration of wealth, or other special interests, and no advertising is accepted in our publications. Financial support is provided by tax-deductible contributions, and by the earnings of our wholly owned investment advisory organization, American Investment Services, Inc. (https://www.americaninvestment.com/)

Continue Reading

Business

Australia extends fuel-quality waivers as supply chain strains persist

Published

on


Australia extends fuel-quality waivers as supply chain strains persist

Continue Reading

Business

Gold demand set to remain resilient ahead of Akshaya Tritiya; Bullion remains preferred safe-haven for wealth creation

Published

on

Gold demand set to remain resilient ahead of Akshaya Tritiya; Bullion remains preferred safe-haven for wealth creation
Gold demand and consumer sentiment remain firm ahead of Akshaya Tritiya on Sunday, April 19, as retail investors look to bullion as a preferred avenue for wealth creation.

Despite elevated price levels, the festival continues to serve as a primary driver for the precious metals market, supported by a year where gold delivered gains exceeding 60 per cent.

Experts indicated that while the volume of jewellery purchases may stay moderate, the overall value of demand remains strong due to the metal’s role as a hedge against global uncertainties.

Sachin Jain, Regional CEO, India, World Gold Council, noted that the festival remains a significant occasion for purchases, symbolising prosperity and long-term value.

Advertisement

“Akshaya Tritiya is the second-largest gold-buying festival in India and continues to be a significant occasion for gold purchases, symbolising prosperity and long-term value. While price movements earlier this year led to some cautious sentiment, demand fundamentals remain resilient, with gold prices up around 14-16% year-to-date. Recent geopolitical tensions have driven intermittent volatility, reinforcing gold’s safe-haven appeal,” Jain said.


The market also sees a shift in consumer behavior as younger buyers gravitate towards lightweight and contemporary jewellery. Jain explained that while traditional demand remains, there is an increasing preference for 22k and 18k options alongside digital gold and gold ETFs.
“However, prices have seen phases of stability and mild correction, offering a balanced entry point for retail consumers, with an upward trend expected towards the end of April. We are seeing consumers continue to support traditional jewellery demand, while younger buyers are increasingly gravitating towards lightweight, contemporary 22k and 18k gold jewellery as both an aspirational and accessible investment choice. We are also expecting continued growth in digital gold and gold ETFs, reflecting evolving investment preferences. Overall, we anticipate positive momentum in gold buying this Akshaya Tritiya,” Jain added. A report from Kotak Neo Research stated that investment-oriented products like coins and small bars see strong traction. This reflects a gradual evolution in consumption patterns in India, moving towards investing rather than merely holding physical gold for ornamental purposes.

The report stated that gold demand is expected to remain firm in value terms, although jewellery volumes may stay moderate due to elevated prices. “Investment-oriented products such as coins and small bars are likely to see strong traction, continuing the shift toward practical and liquidity-friendly formats,” the report noted.

India’s deep-rooted affinity for gold remains intact, with consumption patterns gradually evolving towards investing rather than holding the physical gold.

The broader outlook for bullion remains supported by central bank diversification away from fiat assets and persistent fiscal imbalances. Short-term volatility offers an opportunity for gradual accumulation, with a gold allocation of 8-15 per cent for portfolio stability.

Advertisement

From a broader perspective, gold continues to be supported by persistent global uncertainties, including fiscal imbalances, geopolitical tensions, and ongoing diversification by central banks away from fiat assets.

“Short-term volatility, driven by shifting interest rate expectations and liquidity conditions, should be viewed as an opportunity for gradual accumulation rather than a deterrent. For retail investors, maintaining a gold allocation of 8-15% remains a prudent strategy for portfolio stability. Additionally, this year presents a compelling case to include silver as a tactical allocation,” the report noted.

As per the Kotak report, on the MCX, gold has rebounded about 30 per cent from its March lows to trade above Rs 1,50,000. While technical resistance stands between Rs 1,60,000 and Rs 1,75,000, the underlying trend for bullion remains positive as the festival begins.

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025