Crypto World
$158 Billion Revenue? India’s Gold Giant Cannot Account for 99.8% of Earnings, SEBI Says
India’s market regulator alleges that Rajesh Exports, the gold major behind Swiss refiner Valcambi, misrepresented about $158 billion in revenue over five years. SEBI says that figure equals 99.8% of the revenue the company credited to its subsidiaries.
The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) issued the interim order on June 3. It barred promoter and chairman Rajesh Mehta from the securities market and ordered a fresh forensic audit.
Why the Numbers Stopped Adding Up
Rajesh Exports built a Fortune Global 500 profile on consolidated revenue. Between 97% and 99% of that total came from overseas subsidiaries, chiefly Valcambi. SEBI says auditors could not match those figures against subsidiary records.
“REL has prima facie misrepresented approximately INR 15,15,385 crore [$158 billion] i.e. representing 99.80% of its revenues which are attributed to subsidiaries during the period FY 2020-21 to FY 2024-25,” SEBI Whole-Time Member Kamlesh Chandra Varshney wrote in the interim order.
The probe traces back to a shareholder complaint in March 2024 about large trade receivables. SEBI says the company failed to supply ownership records, reconciliation statements, or transaction-level evidence despite repeated requests.
The regulator alleges the company booked the full gross value of refined gold as its own revenue. Much of that metal belonged to customers and was only processed for a fee.
Valcambi’s audited accounts reportedly showed less than 0.5% of the group’s claimed total.
The case lands while the tokenized gold market expands and investors revisit the gold safe haven narrative. It raises fresh questions about how physical gold flows are valued and disclosed.
“India may have just witnessed one of its biggest accounting frauds ever,” remarked one analyst.
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Fabricated Trades and Diverted Funds
SEBI flagged roughly ₹11,487 crore, about $1.3 billion, in transactions with broker Affluence Shares and Stocks. The broker told the regulator that Rajesh Exports was never a client and that no trades occurred.
The order also alleges that company funds moved to Mehta’s personal account for derivative trading without board approval. SEBI rejected the company’s refusal to share subsidiary records, which cited Swiss privacy law.
These claims place auditors under fresh scrutiny, echoing earlier debates over oversight in some of the biggest financial frauds.
The case also reflects wider concerns around real-world asset tokenization and verifiable backing.
The Company Pushes Back
Rajesh Exports denies any wrongdoing. In its exchange filing, it called the order interim with no final conclusion and said its revenue reporting follows accounting standards. The company attributes the gap to a comparison of gross gold value against processing income.
“The revenues declared by the company are correct and there is no over stating of revenues. There seems to be some type of communication gap and confusion between SEBI and the company…The company rejects all adverse media reports appearing with regard to the interim order of SEBI. The company will be shortly issuing a media clarification which would clarify and settle the unnecessary speculation in the media,” Rajesh Exports Limited countered.
Notwithstanding, markets reacted quickly. The stock hit its lower circuit near ₹104 ($1.09) on June 4. Life Insurance Corporation holds about 10.8% of the company, and roughly 194,000 retail shareholders are exposed.
SEBI’s directions are interim and ex-parte, so no final guilt has been established. The company has 30 days to respond in detail, and a fresh forensic audit will follow.
How regulators reconcile the gross gold value against the processing fees may decide whether the misrepresentation label holds.
Primary sources include the SEBI interim order and the company filing.
The post $158 Billion Revenue? India’s Gold Giant Cannot Account for 99.8% of Earnings, SEBI Says appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
The DTCC already won tokenization. Nobody noticed.
For a decade the pitch was that blockchains would route around the plumbing of American finance. On July 15 the plumbing processed its first live tokenized trades, with forty firms participating and the crypto-native issuers sitting inside its working group instead of competing with it. The incumbent did not lose. It joined, and then it became the largest venue in the category.
Summary
- The Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation processed its first live production trades of tokenized stocks, ETFs, and US Treasuries on July 15, under an SEC no-action letter authorising a three-year pilot.
- Participation spans more than forty firms including BlackRock, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Vanguard, NYSE, Nasdaq, CME Group, and State Street, with full service launch scheduled for October.
- The scale comparison is the story: DTC custodies more than $114 trillion in securities and DTCC processed roughly $4.7 quadrillion in transactions last year, against a crypto-native tokenized equity market where the largest issuer holds under a billion dollars.
- Crypto-native firms including Circle, Ondo Finance, and Ripple Prime are participants in DTCC’s fifty-firm industry working group, not competitors to it.
- The tokenized versions preserve identical legal ownership rights, which is precisely what offshore tokenized-stock products cannot offer, and which resolves the question our post-IPO settlement audit found unanswered.
Tokenization has been sold for roughly a decade on a specific promise: that putting securities on a blockchain would make the existing settlement apparatus unnecessary. Trades would clear instantly, intermediaries would be disintermediated, and the institutions that sit between a buyer and a share certificate would find themselves routed around by software. It was a coherent thesis, it attracted enormous capital, and on July 15 it was answered in a way almost nobody has processed. The Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation, the entity whose depository arm custodies more than $114 trillion in securities and which processed something in the region of $4.7 quadrillion in transactions last year, ran its first live production trades of tokenized stocks, exchange-traded funds, and US Treasuries. More than forty firms took part, including the largest asset managers, the largest banks, and both major American exchanges. Full service launch is scheduled for October. And the crypto-native firms that spent the decade building the alternative are inside the working group helping design it. The incumbent did not get disintermediated. It ran a pilot, and the pilot is now the biggest tokenization venue in the country.
What actually happened on July 15
The mechanics matter, because the announcement has been reported as a milestone and not examined as a market structure event.
DTCC processed live production trades of tokenized assets held at its depository arm, covering equities, exchange-traded funds, and US Treasuries. Not a simulation, not a sandbox with test assets, but real trades in real instruments settled through tokenized representations of securities the depository already holds. The platform runs with Chainlink providing the blockchain infrastructure layer.
The legal foundation is an SEC no-action letter issued on December 11, authorising a three-year pilot covering constituents of the Russell 1000, major index exchange-traded funds, and US Treasuries. A no-action letter is not a permanent regulatory framework, a limitation this piece returns to, but it is sufficient authority for the institutions involved to participate without the classification uncertainty that has constrained every previous attempt.
The participant list is the part that should have generated more coverage than it did. BlackRock, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Vanguard, State Street, NYSE, Nasdaq, CME Group, and Microsoft among more than forty firms. That is not an experiment being run at the edge of the industry by its most adventurous members. It is the core of American capital markets participating simultaneously.
And one design decision resolves a question that has hung over every tokenized equity product to date: the tokenized versions preserve identical legal ownership rights to the underlying securities. The token is the security, held through the same depository chain, and not a claim on someone’s promise to hold the security for you.
The scale nobody has put side by side
Set the two markets against each other and the framing of the past decade inverts.
The crypto-native tokenized equity market, the collection of products that were supposed to replace this infrastructure, currently amounts to something in the region of a billion dollars in total. Ondo Finance, the largest issuer, holds under a billion. The xStocks product suite sits in the hundreds of millions. Robinhood’s tokenized stock offering leads the category on holder count, with several hundred thousand holders, and carries roughly forty-four million dollars in value, which our coverage of that market noted works out to an average position near a hundred and thirty dollars.
Against that, DTC custodies more than $114 trillion in securities.
The ratio is not a hundred to one or a thousand to one. It is approximately a hundred thousand to one, and it explains why the participant list looks the way it does. Institutions that were never going to move meaningful volume onto an offshore mirror-token venue will move it onto a tokenized rail operated by the depository they already use, because doing so requires changing the settlement technology without changing the legal, custodial, or counterparty arrangements at all.
The entire competitive insight. The crypto-native products asked institutions to accept a new legal structure in exchange for better technology. DTCC is offering the same technology with the existing legal structure attached. Almost nobody chooses the first option when the second exists.
The crypto firms are inside the tent
The detail that makes this a feature instead of a milestone report is who is participating.
DTCC’s industry working group spans more than fifty firms across traditional finance and decentralised finance, and its members include Circle, Ondo Finance, and Ripple Prime. Each of those is a company whose tokenization business was, on the original thesis, a competitor to exactly this infrastructure.
Ripple Prime’s presence is the most striking given what we documented in our audit of that company’s acquisition strategy. Ripple spent roughly four billion dollars assembling custody, prime brokerage, treasury software, and payment rails, an empire built on the proposition that the company could operate institutional financial infrastructure instead of depending on it. Its prime brokerage arm now sits in a working group helping the incumbent depository build the tokenization rail that the same institutional clients will use.
Circle’s participation follows a similar logic. A company that just completed a national trust bank charter, as our coverage of the OCC charter wave described, is positioning inside the regulated perimeter instead of outside it, and joining DTCC’s working group is the settlement-layer version of the same move.
None of this is capitulation, and reading it that way would be lazy. The crypto-native firms have genuine capabilities the incumbents lack: stablecoin settlement, twenty-four-hour operation, programmable compliance, and years of operational experience with blockchain infrastructure. Participating in the standard-setting body is how those capabilities get built into the rail that ends up mattering. The strategic question is whether they end up as suppliers to DTCC’s platform or as competitors with a fraction of its volume, and the working group membership suggests they have made that calculation already.
Why the incumbents win this particular fight
The structural reasons deserve stating, because they generalise beyond this case.
Legal identity beats technical elegance. A tokenized security that is legally the same security, with the same ownership rights, transfer mechanics, and regulatory treatment, requires no new legal analysis from any participant. A mirror token that references a security requires every institution to determine what it actually owns, and our audit of the tokenized products that existed through the SpaceX listing found that question resolved badly for several of them, with products scrapped and buyers refunded.
The counterparty is already approved. Every institution in the participant list already faces DTCC daily. Adding a settlement technology to an existing relationship is an operational project. Adding a new counterparty is a credit, legal, and compliance project measured in quarters.
Volume attracts volume. Settlement infrastructure is a network business with extreme returns to scale, which is why depositories are natural near-monopolies in the first place. A tokenization rail attached to the venue where the securities already sit inherits the liquidity of the entire market.
And the regulator prefers it. A pilot conducted by the depository under a no-action letter, with the largest institutions participating and identical legal treatment preserved, is a substantially easier supervisory proposition than a parallel market operating on different assumptions.
The uncomfortable implication for the sector is that the disintermediation thesis may have been backwards from the start. Blockchain settlement was not a threat to the incumbent clearing layer. It was a technology upgrade the incumbent could adopt once the regulatory path existed, and the decade of crypto-native building may have functioned primarily as the research and development phase that proved the technology worked.
The exchanges are converging too
The settlement layer is only half of it. The trading layer is moving on a parallel track and the two are arriving at roughly the same time.
Nasdaq is developing blockchain-based share issuance in partnership with Kraken’s parent company, targeting 2027. Intercontinental Exchange and the New York Stock Exchange are working with OKX on tokenized stock trading. Both incumbents are approaching from the trading side while DTCC approaches from settlement, which means the tokenized equity market that exists in two years is likely to be operated end to end by the same institutions that operate the untokenized one.
For the crypto-native venues, that is a materially different competitive landscape than the one they were built for. The shadow markets that made SpaceX tradable before its IPO, which our proxy-math piece examined, filled a genuine gap: global retail could not access American equities and crypto rails could deliver that access. If the incumbents tokenize their own listings with identical legal rights and the settlement runs through the depository, the gap that justified the offshore products narrows to the jurisdictions the incumbents will not serve.
That is still a real market. It is a smaller one than the thesis assumed.
What could still go wrong
An honest assessment names the ways this does not play out as described, and there are three.
The authority is temporary. A no-action letter authorising a three-year pilot is not a permanent framework. It can be withdrawn, it expires, and converting it into durable regulation requires either SEC rulemaking or legislation, both of which take years and neither of which is scheduled. Institutions building on a three-year permission are building with a clock running.
Pilots stall. The gap between a live production trade with forty participants and a functioning market with meaningful volume is large, and financial infrastructure projects of this scope routinely take longer than announced. The October full-launch date is a target, not a delivery.
And the incumbents may not actually want it. Faster settlement compresses the float and the fee income that existing market structure generates. T+1 settlement moving toward instantaneous removes revenue for several participants in the current chain, and institutions rarely accelerate their own disintermediation with enthusiasm. The pilot’s participants have every reason to explore the technology and some reason to implement it slowly.
None of those undo the central point. Even a slow, temporary, partially-implemented DTCC tokenization platform is operating at a scale the crypto-native market has not approached, with participants the crypto-native market cannot attract.
The precedent for this, from the last time
There is a historical rhyme worth knowing, because the sequence has run before in the same industry with the same participants.
Electronic trading arrived in American equities as an outsider technology, promoted by upstarts arguing that floor-based exchanges were an unnecessary intermediary layer that software would eliminate. Electronic communication networks grew through the 1990s, took meaningful share, and were treated as an existential threat by the incumbents they were routing around. The eventual outcome was not disintermediation. The exchanges bought the networks, adopted the technology, and emerged operating the electronic markets that were supposed to replace them, with the incumbents’ names on the venues and considerably more market power than before.
The pattern held because the challengers had the better technology and the incumbents had everything else: the listings, the regulatory relationships, the institutional client base, and the balance sheets to acquire whatever they lacked. Technology is purchasable. Distribution and legal standing are not.
Tokenization looks like the same shape at an earlier stage. The crypto-native sector spent a decade proving that blockchain settlement works, building the tooling, and demonstrating institutional demand exists. The incumbents watched, waited for a regulatory path, and then launched with forty of the largest firms in American finance participating from day one. The working group membership of the crypto-native issuers is the current-era equivalent of the acquisition phase: capability moving inside the incumbent structure rather than competing with it from outside.
Where the analogy could break is jurisdiction. Electronic trading was a domestic story with a single regulator. Tokenization is global, and the incumbents’ advantages are strongest precisely where regulation is strongest. The markets the DTCC platform will not serve, the jurisdictions where American securities law does not reach and where offshore products currently supply access, remain genuinely open to crypto-native venues. That is a real market and a smaller ambition than the one the sector started with.
What this means for the products already trading
For anyone holding tokenized equity exposure today, the practical consequences arrive before October and deserve stating plainly.
The offshore mirror-token products currently available occupy a market defined by an absence: global retail cannot easily access American equities, and crypto rails deliver that access. Their legal substance varies considerably, from derivatives referencing a price to collateralised certificates to arrangements where the issuer holds shares through a broker, and our audit of what happened to those products through the SpaceX listing found the differences resolved badly for several holders, with some products scrapped and buyers refunded.
A DTCC-settled tokenized security is a different instrument in the way that matters most: it is the security. Same ownership rights, same corporate actions, same regulatory treatment, same place in the custody chain. When both exist, the comparison is not close for anyone who can access either.
The constraint is who can access it. The pilot covers Russell 1000 constituents, major index funds, and Treasuries, and it operates within the American regulatory perimeter, which means the participants are institutions and, eventually, the retail clients of firms inside that perimeter. A trader in a jurisdiction American brokers do not serve gains nothing from the depository tokenizing its holdings, and that trader is the entire addressable market for the offshore products.
So the honest guidance is a split. If you can hold securities through a regulated intermediary, the tokenized versions arriving through the incumbent rail will be strictly better instruments than mirror tokens, and the question is only when they reach retail wrappers. If you cannot, the offshore products remain the only route, their legal substance still varies, and reading exactly what a given product represents remains as necessary as it was before July 15.
What to watch
The October launch. Whether full service arrives on schedule, and with what scope. Slippage would be the first evidence that the pilot’s momentum is slower than the announcement suggested.
Volume, not participation. Forty firms taking part in a pilot is a headline. Dollar volume settled through the tokenized rail is the measure, and it is the number that would tell you whether institutions are using this or evaluating it.
The no-action letter’s successor. Watch for SEC rulemaking or legislative language that would convert temporary authority into a permanent framework. Its absence as the three-year window runs down is the largest risk to everything described here.
What the crypto-native issuers do next. Circle, Ondo, and Ripple Prime are inside the working group. Whether they emerge as suppliers of specific capabilities to the DTCC rail, or pivot toward the jurisdictions the incumbents will not serve, is the strategic tell for the entire tokenization sector.
The exchange track. Nasdaq’s 2027 target with Kraken’s parent, and the ICE work with OKX. If trading and settlement both tokenize under incumbent operation, the category consolidates faster than anyone forecast.
A closing note on how this changes the reading of everything adjacent to it.
If tokenized securities end up settling through the depository with identical legal rights, several arguments the crypto sector has been having become less important than they looked. The debate over whether mirror tokens confer ownership stops mattering for the assets DTCC covers, because a better answer exists in the same market. The competitive question between offshore tokenized-stock venues resolves toward whichever ones serve jurisdictions the incumbents will not. And the case for building a parallel settlement layer weakens considerably when the existing one accepts the technology.
What does not change is everything outside the perimeter. Assets that are not Russell 1000 constituents, index funds, or Treasuries sit outside the pilot’s scope entirely. Investors outside the jurisdictions American institutions serve remain unserved. Twenty-four-hour trading, stablecoin settlement, and programmable compliance are capabilities the incumbent rail has not yet demonstrated and may adopt slowly given the float and fee income that current settlement timing generates.
That is the honest map of what remains. A large and legally clean tokenized market operated by the institutions that already operate American finance, and a smaller, faster, less regulated market serving what the first one will not touch. It is a considerably more modest outcome than the decade’s rhetoric promised, and it is arriving substantially faster than the rhetoric predicted, which is the pattern financial technology usually follows.
Frequently Asked Questions
What did DTCC actually launch?
On July 15 it processed its first live production trades of tokenized assets held at its depository, covering stocks, exchange-traded funds, and US Treasuries, with Chainlink providing blockchain infrastructure. More than forty firms participated, including BlackRock, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Vanguard, State Street, NYSE, Nasdaq, and CME Group. Full service launch is scheduled for October.
What legal authority permits this?
An SEC no-action letter issued December 11, 2025, authorising a three-year pilot covering Russell 1000 constituents, major index exchange-traded funds, and US Treasuries. A no-action letter indicates the SEC will not recommend enforcement action; it is not a permanent regulatory framework, and converting it into one would require rulemaking or legislation.
How large is DTCC relative to crypto tokenization?
Approximately a hundred thousand times larger. DTC custodies more than $114 trillion in securities and DTCC processed roughly $4.7 quadrillion in transactions last year. The entire crypto-native tokenized equity market amounts to roughly a billion dollars, with the largest issuer holding under a billion and the most widely held product carrying about forty-four million in value.
Are crypto companies competing with this or participating?
Participating. DTCC’s industry working group spans more than fifty firms across traditional and decentralised finance, with members including Circle, Ondo Finance, and Ripple Prime. Each built businesses that the original tokenization thesis positioned as alternatives to depository infrastructure, and each is now helping design the incumbent’s platform.
What makes DTCC’s tokens different from existing tokenized stocks?
Legal identity. DTCC’s tokenized versions preserve identical ownership rights to the underlying securities, held through the same depository chain. Most existing tokenized equity products are mirror tokens or contractual claims referencing a security held elsewhere, which means holders own a promise, not the instrument, a distinction that resolved badly for several products during the SpaceX listing.
Does this mean crypto tokenization has failed?
No, but it means the disintermediation thesis was probably wrong. Blockchain settlement turned out to be a technology the incumbent could adopt, not a threat that would route around it. The crypto-native sector proved the technology worked and built genuine capabilities in stablecoin settlement, continuous operation, and programmable compliance, and the open question is whether those become inputs to the incumbent rail or the basis of a smaller parallel market.
What could prevent this from succeeding?
Three things. The authority is a three-year pilot, not permanent regulation. Financial infrastructure projects of this scope routinely slip, so October is a target, not a delivery. And faster settlement compresses float and fee income for several participants in the existing chain, which gives some of them reason to implement slowly.
What should observers actually track?
Dollar volume settled through the tokenized rail rather than the number of participating firms, whether October’s full launch arrives on schedule and with what scope, any SEC rulemaking that would make the authority permanent, and what the crypto-native working group members do as the platform matures. This is educational analysis, not investment advice.
Disclaimer: This article is for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. It describes a pilot programme operating under temporary regulatory authority whose scope, timeline, and outcome may change. Figures reflect reporting available at the time of writing. Always do your own research. Information is accurate as of July 30, 2026.
Crypto World
Is the Clarity Act dead?
Ask an Expert
Q. The Clarity Act, yea or nay?
Yea, with one important caveat. The objective cannot simply be to make life easier for crypto companies. It should make legitimate projects easier to identify, while making fraud and regulatory arbitrage harder. The biggest problem in the U.S. has been that companies often cannot determine whether they are dealing with the SEC, the CFTC or both until an enforcement action happens.
That is not a serious regulatory system. It pushes responsible teams offshore while doing surprisingly little to stop bad actors. The Clarity Act is directionally right because it recognizes that a capital-raising transaction can involve securities laws without automatically making the underlying token a security.
That distinction is much closer to how decentralized networks actually develop. My main concern is implementation. If the definitions remain subjective, or the SEC and CFTC apply conflicting standards, the uncertainty simply moves from the courts into the rulemaking process. The bill should pass, but success will depend on clear rules, coordinated regulators and real enforcement against fraud.
Q. What aspect will benefit investors the most?
The greatest benefit is the combination of clearer asset classification and mandatory disclosure. Investors need to know what they are buying, which regulator has jurisdiction, what information the project must disclose and what legal protections exist if something goes wrong. The current system often gives investors the worst of both worlds. Many projects do not provide disclosures comparable to public companies, yet they also lack a practical regulatory framework tailored to decentralized networks.
Crypto World
South Korea Stock Market Woes Spark A Crypto Trading Spike
Cryptocurrency trading volumes spiked in South Korea as its stock market fell by nearly 18% this week.
Key points:
- South Korean exchanges see a 600% uptick in crypto trading volume around the snap declines in the KOSPI.
- Investors may be seeking to capitalize on volatility by buying stock-linked products overseas, per analysis.
- Bitwise highlights Bitcoin’s surprising resilience to macro headwinds throughout July.
KRW/USDT volumes spike in response to stock sell-off
Data from largest South Korean exchange Upbit shows trading volume accelerating between the Korean won and Tether (USDT). It neared 200 billion won (140 million USDT) on July 29, up from just 20 million USDT on July 25 — an increase of 600%.

Korean won crypto trading-volume data. Source: Upbit
On the back of several straight days of downside on South Korea’s KOSPI, which came as a result of a sell-off in chip-maker stocks, investors variously sought protection and to take advantage of the decline. Capital could have flowed out of stocks to crypto, analysis referenced by local media outlet Seoul Economic Daily suggested, while investors could also have targeted derivatives of Korean equities via overseas crypto exchanges.
“There is a possibility that demand increased for moving funds to overseas exchanges or personal wallets to trade perpetual stock futures,” Cho Yoon-sung, a senior researcher at independent digital asset research and data provider Tiger Research, told the publication.
As Cointelegraph reported, an influx into semiconductors and away from crypto earlier this year is now under scrutiny as the tide turns on the AI trade’s rapid rise.
Crypto trading remains a hive of activity in South Korea, as younger traders in particular display a fondness for risk. Traders’ fondness for leveraged bets is an overarching feature of both crypto markets and this year’s AI retail boom.
Analyst underscores BTC price strength
The impact of KOSPI volatility on crypto trading volumes was in evidence before this week’s rout. On July 14, Upbit saw a conspicuous volume surge after the index plunged 10% in a single day.
Related: Bitcoin price wedged into ‘most divided’ FOMC as Iran war spikes oil prices 8%
Commenting on the latest events, Andre Dragosch, European head of research at crypto asset manager Bitwise, underscored the lack of contagion resulting from the semiconductor “meltdown.”
“Bitcoin is essentially flat since semis peaked in late June,” he summarized, suggesting that Bitcoin’s resilience was unexpected.
In an analysis released earlier this week, Bitwise attributed “remarkable outperformance” to Bitcoin in comparison to a range of US mega-cap stocks.
“Bitcoin continues to demonstrate remarkable outperformance and resilience vis-à-vis US mega cap stocks such as the Magnificent 7 and SpaceX (SPCX) – a relative strength that is all the more notable in the context of tightening financial conditions and consistent with our view of Bitcoin as the ‘canary in the macro coal mine,’” it stated.
Bitwise argued that Bitcoin may already be giving early indications of future monetary-policy easing by central banks despite rising inflation and the short-term potential for interest-rate hikes as a result.

BTC/USD vs. SpaceX and Magnificent 7 stocks. Source: Bitwise
Crypto World
There is a hidden tax risk of crypto perps that no one is talking about, says CME’s CEO
U.S. approval of perpetual futures contracts could expose traders to unexpected tax and regulatory uncertainty if the products are ultimately determined to be swaps rather than futures, an issue that has received little public attention, according to CME Group Chairman and CEO Terry Duffy.
“There’s a consequence that nobody’s talking about,” Duffy said in an interview with CoinDesk. “There’s ambiguity right there, from a tax perspective, for all U.S. participants now.”
The comments come as CME continues its legal challenge against the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) over the regulator’s approval of perpetual futures contracts in the U.S. Both sides await a federal court decision, and the outcome could significantly influence how the U.S. approaches the rapidly growing arena of perpetual futures. One consequence, according to Duffy, is how the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) ultimately taxes these contracts.
The dispute stems from whether perpetual futures should legally be treated as futures or swaps.
Duffy said that perps should fall under the legal definition of swaps, instead of how the CFTC categorizes them as futures, because of the periodic funding payments exchanged between long and short positions.
Unlike traditional futures, perpetual contracts never expire. Instead, traders periodically exchange funding payments intended to keep the derivative’s price close to that of the underlying asset. Duffy argued that those recurring payment exchanges satisfy the statutory definition of a swap under U.S. law.
“When two parties exchange payments to each other, that is deemed a swap,” he said, referring to the funding-rate mechanism used by perpetual contracts.
What Duffy sees as the main problem with this mismatched designation is that if perpetual contracts qualify as futures, many institutional traders could receive the blended tax treatment available under Section 1256 of the U.S. tax code. Under this, gains and losses are generally treated as 60% long-term and 40% short-term capital gains. If those contracts fall under swaps, they will be taxed under “ordinary” taxation. Given that the perps are newer innovations, the IRS has not issued guidance specifically addressing the tax treatment of perpetual futures.
So if the regulators or courts ultimately conclude that perpetual contracts are swaps rather than futures, market participants who have been treating them as futures for tax purposes could face uncertainty about how to report those positions to the IRS.
“So if you file your tax return and this ruling comes back, where these products that you’ve been trading and filing government tax returns as 1256 contracts [futures], when it should be ordinary, I will be curious what the IRS has to say to you about how much they think you owe them because you didn’t file your tax returns properly,” Duffy said.
‘Substance over form’
Legal experts, however, said that the issue is much more complex than that.
“The challenge here is that textually, by the structure, perpetual futures look a lot like a swap, but economically they perform a lot like futures,” said Rustin Diehl, a tax attorney and counselor at Allegis Law and an Emeritus Fellow at Georgetown Law’s Institute for International Economic Law and professor of business law at Weber State University. “It’s really a substance-over-form question … function versus text.”
Adding to the uncertainty, legal experts say that the definition of swaps is extremely broad.
“Basically, the statutory definition of swaps is so broad as to encompass … anything,” Jason Gottlieb, partner and chair of Morrison Cohen’s digital assets practice, told CoinDesk. He added that the breadth of the statutory language leaves considerable room for interpretation regarding its application to new financial products such as perpetual futures.
What it will come down to is how the court interprets it.
That’s because the Supreme Court’s 2024 Loper Bright decision eliminated the longstanding Chevron doctrine; federal courts now give less deference to agencies’ interpretations of ambiguous statutes, meaning judges could play a larger role in deciding how existing derivatives laws apply to novel crypto products.
Tax evasion?
And it’s likely to be a long, drawn-out process.
“My view is that there’s going to be a lot of litigation about it, and the Supreme Court has told courts that if there is ambiguity in the statute, they can ignore the CFTC and read the statute for themselves,” Gottlieb said.
Also, rather than immediately deciding whether the products should be classified as swaps or futures, a federal judge is likely to first examine whether the regulator reasonably considered public comments and sufficiently explained its decision before approving these contracts, Diehl said.
“I think the judge is going to focus on the Administrative Procedure Act, and kind of look at the question of did the CFTC really exercise independent judgment? Were they thorough? Were they reasoned? Did they express their reasoning?” he said.
Even if the litigation ultimately clarifies whether perpetual contracts are swaps or futures, tax treatment may still require separate guidance from the IRS, which is not obligated to adopt the CFTC’s interpretation of financial instruments, Diehl said.
“I think people are going to want to maybe check with the IRS and see how they should report these,” said Diehl. “They [IRS] generally do agree with the CFTC’s definitions of commodities historically, but there’s been many times when the IRS doesn’t just agree with a taxpayer submitting their tax position based on CFTC rules.”
Until regulators, tax authorities, or the courts provide greater clarity, Duffy said, large institutions could face uncertainty over how to report trades involving perpetual futures.
“How would you like to be running a very large public company that trades a lot and hedges a lot, and all of a sudden you’re in the news for not paying proper taxes,” said Duffy.
Read more: Inside the CME and CFTC’s battle over onchain perpetual futures
Crypto World
Anthropic Claude AI Predicts the Price of XRP by The End of 2026
Claude AI predicts a Fed driven breakout for XRP, and this price prediction ties the entire setup to a single event. XRP walks into tonight’s FOMC decision holding a base that has been quietly defended for weeks, climbing from roughly $1.05 to $1.14 earlier this month before cooling back to $1.06 as ETF inflows moderated ahead of the meeting.
Seven US spot XRP ETFs, launched since late 2025, continue absorbing supply even during this pause. That kind of steady institutional buying through a quiet period is often more telling than a sharp spike, since it suggests real demand rather than momentum chasing.
Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick holds the most credible institutional target on the board at $2.80 by year end. Worth noting, that figure was actually cut down from an earlier $8 call after February’s selloff, which makes it a more conservative, tested number rather than a hype driven one.

A dovish Fed signal tonight or tomorrow is named as the near term catalyst that could push XRP through the $1.20 resistance zone. Polymarket traders currently price 70% odds of that happening by month end.
From there, a clean run at the prior cycle high near $2.20 becomes realistic, with $2.80 as the stretch target if broader altcoin rotation follows a Bitcoin recovery above $80,000. The bear case is grounded in the same underlying data rather than a separate narrative.
RSI currently sits at a neutral 53, while the 50 day and 200 day moving averages are essentially flat around $1.10, meaning momentum has genuinely stalled without a fresh catalyst to break the tie.
If tonight’s Fed decision disappoints risk assets broadly, XRP’s own technical support at $1.00 to $1.05 gives way, opening a slide toward $0.80, the level where the last major accumulation zone from early 2026 sits.
XRP Price Prediction: XRP Is Sitting Exactly Where The Data Says It Should Be
Price closed at $1.0665, down 0.12%, in a session ranging between $1.0608 and $1.0925. That flat close lines up almost perfectly with the neutral RSI reading and flat moving averages described in the prediction itself.
Zoom out and the broader trend since July 2025 has been a long, uneven decline. XRP peaked near $3.65 that month, then spent the rest of the year carving a staircase of lower highs, with the sharpest break coming in October when price gapped from above $2.60 down through $1.80 in a matter of weeks.
Since that October crash, price spent months compressing between roughly $1.30 and $1.60, then broke that range lower in June, sliding toward $1.05. The bounce to $1.14 earlier this month has already faded back to current levels, exactly the kind of stalled momentum the flat moving averages point to.
Support sits at $1.00, the level the bear case names directly as the line that needs to hold. Resistance stacks at $1.14, then $1.20, the zone Polymarket traders are pricing tonight’s catalyst against, then the heavier ceiling near $2.20 from the prior cycle high.
Momentum here is genuinely neutral, not building toward a breakout in either direction on its own. For Claude’s bull case to activate, XRP needs a dovish signal to arrive and immediately clear $1.20, since nothing in the current chart structure suggests it can do that without outside help.
Here is What Claude AI Predicts About LiquidChain: Spoiler Alert, Very Bullish
Hindsight is the only place most people will see this rotation clearly. The money that moves early does not announce itself.
Large caps are not broken. They are boxed in. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP keep testing the same ceilings with nothing giving way. Every macro catalyst comes with a new arrival date. Every institutional wave lands next quarter. Sitting in assets where the next leg depends entirely on someone else’s decision is not a position. It is a waiting room.
Capital that has survived enough cycles operates on one principle. It moves before the destination has a name.
Small market cap infrastructure plays by a different set of rules entirely. A rotation that would not register at Bitcoin’s scale can reprice an undiscovered project by multiples. The return lives in the distance between what something is genuinely worth and what the market has assigned it so far. That distance only exists while the project stays unfound. The moment it gets found, the gap closes for good.
Multi-chain fragmentation drains value from DeFi every single day. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana operate as completely isolated systems with no native bridge connecting them. Every user who crosses those boundaries pays for that disconnection directly in fees, slippage, and failed transactions. Every crossing. Every time.
Claude AI predicts LiquidChain eliminates that entirely. All 3 networks unified inside a single execution layer. One deployment reaches every ecosystem. Zero cross-chain tax on any interaction.
The presale sits at $0.01454 with just over $920,000 raised. The market has not found this yet. That is exactly the opportunity.
The post Anthropic Claude AI Predicts the Price of XRP by The End of 2026 appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
US sanctions firms behind Iran’s Strait of Hormuz BTC insurance scheme
The US Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has sanctioned two Iranian maritime firms in an effort to stop Iran from monetizing the Strait of Hormuz with its BTC insurance scheme.
OFAC claims the Persian Gulf Marine Insurance Company and HormuzSafe Marine Services Authority are “integral” to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and its “extortion scheme.”
The scheme, called “Hormuz Safe,” has been in the works for some months now. Shipowners could pay for Iran’s insurance with BTC and other cryptocurrencies and guarantee safe passage through the strait.
It would reportedly generate over $10 billion of revenue for the country and help it maintain control over the stretch of water once the war is concluded.
Read more: Crypto scams are now a threat in the Strait of Hormuz, report
In a statement, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said, “With its economy in freefall and inflation in the triple digits, the regime is desperate for cash.”
He added, “The United States will not allow Iran to hold global commerce hostage or use international shipping to finance the IRGC’s terrorism, aggression, and repression.”
The US noted that “disgraced regime financier” Babak Morteza Zanjani had already promoted the scheme to his followers on social media.
Zanjani reportedly used Binance between 2024 and 2025 to move $850 million, despite his account being flagged multiple times.
Yesterday’s sanctions also targeted an Iranian shadow fleet of tankers that the US says is supplying the country with millions of barrels of crude oil and petroleum products.
The war began in February 2026, and in June, a US memorandum of understanding was signed that aimed to peacefully reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the war.
This didn’t last long, and millitary strikes resumed on July 13. Another round of peace talks took place in late July during a three-day ceasefire between the US and Iran, however, the conflict has since flared up again.
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Crypto World
Goldman, Barclays, Jefferies Cut Robinhood Targets Despite Earnings Beat
Goldman Sachs, Barclays, and Jefferies cut their Robinhood Markets (HOOD) price targets on Thursday, one evening after the Nasdaq-listed brokerage beat second-quarter revenue and profit estimates. Goldman and Jefferies had each raised their targets to $137 earlier in July.
All three firms kept bullish ratings. Their reversal is about timing, not execution. Analysts now expect Robinhood’s existing trading business, rather than its newer products, to carry growth into 2027.
Why Did Analysts Cut Robinhood Price Targets After an Earnings Beat?
Goldman Sachs moved to $118. Jefferies went to $127. Barclays cut deepest, to $105.
Firm
New target
Prior
Rating
Change
Barclays
$105
$122
Overweight
-14%
Goldman Sachs
$118
$137
Buy
-14%
Needham
$120
$123
Buy
-2%
Jefferies
$127
$137
Buy
-7%
The round trip is what stands out. Jefferies lifted its target from $94 to $137 on July 8. Goldman reached $137 in mid-July. Both unwound that optimism within a month.
Not everyone retreated. Piper Sandler held $135 and BTIG reiterated $125. Bernstein’s $160, set July 20, still leads the 28 analysts covering the stock.
Why It Matters for HOOD Stock
Robinhood beat and still could not hold a bid. That pattern is established, not new.
In November 2025, Robinhood beat on both lines and fell 10.8% the next session. HOOD traded near $89.67 on Thursday morning, about 42% below its October 2025 record.
Barclays framed the ceiling plainly. It expects existing businesses to drive near-term growth, arguing newer bets need years before they move the revenue base.
Robinhood’s HOOD stock fell almost 2% at market open, and was trading for $88.06 as of this time.
What Robinhood’s Q2 Filing Actually Shows
Revenue rose 32% to a record $1.31 billion, per the company’s filing. Diluted earnings reached $0.62 per share, up 48%. Adjusted EBITDA hit $741 million.
Earnings quality is thinner than the headline suggests. Roughly $0.14 of that EPS came from one-off gains, mostly the deconsolidation of Robinhood Ventures Fund I.
Crypto remains the soft spot. Robinhood’s crypto revenue beat consensus at $100 million, yet fell 38% from $160 million a year earlier.
That line now supplies 8% of net revenues, down from 16%. The 10-Q blames weaker market-maker rebate rates and 16% fewer users placing crypto trades.
What to Watch Over the Next 30 Days
July net new assets are tracking toward $4 billion, soft after a strong June.
Costs are the offset. Robinhood cut 10% of staff in June and lowered full-year 2026 expense guidance to a range of $2.675 billion to $2.775 billion.
Robinhood also leads tokenized stock ownership by holder count while trailing on money committed, which is the gap Barclays is pricing.
With the consensus target near $122 and the stock under $90, the question is whether prediction markets and tokenized assets scale before that spread closes on its own.
The post Goldman, Barclays, Jefferies Cut Robinhood Targets Despite Earnings Beat appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
How Russia Benefits From Trump’s War in Iran
It’s clear Russia is the single most important ally to Iran in their shared conspiracy against global peace and prosperity. According to many intelligence reports, in addition to passing on sensitive intelligence to Iran about U.S. military installations in the region, Russia is systematically upgrading Iran’s aging, pre-1979 military infrastructure as its single largest external source of weaponry. As of mid-2026, Moscow has completed production of advanced Su-35 fighter jets and helicopters for Tehran, augmented by deliveries of Yak-130 combat trainers, Mi-28 attack helicopters, and hundreds of long-range air-to-air and anti-radar missiles. Furthermore, in 2022, Moscow helped launch Iran’s high-resolution Khayyam satellite, and Russian forces routinely transfer captured Western weaponry from the Ukrainian frontline—including Javelin and Stinger systems—directly to Iranian defense firms to be reverse-engineered and cloned for Tehran’s proxy networks. Simultaneously, Russian telecommunications firms are supplying Iranian operators with advanced digital surveillance and cyber warfare technologies.
Crypto World
Samsung SDS Partners With Dunamu to Build Stablecoin Infrastructure
Samsung SDS, the IT services arm of Samsung Group, says it is exploring cooperation with Dunamu—operator of South Korea’s Upbit exchange—across stablecoin infrastructure, digital asset systems and AI-enabled payment models. The discussions were outlined during Samsung SDS’ second-quarter earnings call on Thursday, according to remarks from CEO Lee Jun-hee.
The effort also arrives as Samsung Electronics continues to expand its digital asset footprint, including recent plans to add stablecoin support to Samsung Wallet. Together, the moves point to a broader push by Samsung-related entities toward regulated digital finance rails rather than purely retail-facing crypto features.
Key takeaways
- Samsung SDS is in talks with Dunamu on stablecoin infrastructure and broader digital asset system development.
- CEO Lee Jun-hee framed the Dunamu relationship as expansion in infrastructure capabilities, not a standalone financial investment.
- Samsung affiliates already have ties to Dunamu: Samsung Securities, Samsung SDS and Samsung Card agreed to buy a combined 4% stake in May 2026.
- Samsung SDS’ Q2 results show growth across cloud and AI-related services, providing business momentum for its digital finance ambitions.
- South Korea’s regulatory direction for stablecoins remains a key variable for how such infrastructure partnerships develop.
Samsung SDS and Dunamu explore stablecoin and digital finance infrastructure
During its Q2 earnings call, Samsung SDS CEO Lee Jun-hee said the company is discussing potential cooperation with Dunamu on stablecoin infrastructure, digital asset systems, and AI-based payment business models. Lee also referenced Samsung SDS’ own work in tokenized securities and stablecoin workflow validation as proof points for why it expects the partnership to strengthen its position in digital asset infrastructure.
Lee noted that Samsung SDS has already secured “differentiated business capabilities” through the Korea Securities Depository’s tokenized securities platform project and through end-to-end validation of a full stablecoin process—from issuance through settlement. The company’s stated aim is to combine its IT services, cloud and security capabilities with Dunamu’s blockchain expertise.
In the Q2 transcript, Samsung SDS said the partnership goal is to “lead this market” by pairing the two firms’ respective strengths. However, Samsung SDS did not provide additional detail on timelines, specific technical approaches, or the scope of any prospective commercial offering.
Cointelegraph previously reported Samsung Electronics’ plan to add stablecoin support to Samsung Wallet, and this new development suggests the Samsung ecosystem is aligning infrastructure capability with consumer-facing wallets. While Samsung Wallet would be a distribution layer, stablecoin infrastructure and enterprise digital asset systems typically sit behind the scenes—supporting issuance, settlement, custody integrations, and compliance-oriented workflows.
Earlier stake tie deepens: strategic rather than financial intent
The talks with Dunamu follow a prior move that increased Samsung affiliates’ exposure to South Korea’s digital asset sector. In May 2026, Samsung Securities, Samsung SDS and Samsung Card agreed to buy a combined 4% stake in Dunamu. That transaction strengthened existing commercial ties and underscored that Samsung-related companies are looking beyond pilots.
In the latest Q2 call, Lee reportedly characterized Samsung SDS’ investment in Dunamu as strategic rather than purely financial. He said both companies plan to refine potential business models for digital financial infrastructure, suggesting that any future cooperation could extend beyond infrastructure experiments into more defined productization.
Samsung SDS did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph’s request for comment, and Dunamu declined to comment. That limits what can be said publicly about how negotiations are progressing or whether agreements are already in place for specific use cases.
How Samsung SDS’ cloud and AI expansion could reinforce digital finance plans
Samsung SDS’ stablecoin and digital asset ambitions are being presented alongside broader growth in cloud and AI services. In its Q2 earnings presentation and related figures, Samsung SDS reported Q2 revenue of 3.72 trillion Korean won (about $2.6 billion), up 5.9% year on year. The company cited cloud momentum as a major contributor, including a 17% increase in cloud revenue from the prior year and a jump in external cloud business revenue of 75%.
Samsung SDS attributed part of the external cloud growth to demand for its cloud platform and graphics processing unit-as-a-service offerings. That emphasis matters because stablecoin infrastructure and tokenized financial systems often depend on the same enterprise capabilities—secure hosting, scalable compute, identity and access controls, and reliability under transaction load.
The company also reportedly outlined plans to expand its AI infrastructure capacity—from about 110 megawatts today to 230 MW by 2029, and more than 800 MW by 2031. If executed, such expansion would further position Samsung SDS to deliver data-intensive services for AI-driven finance workflows, including risk analytics, fraud detection, and automated settlement-related monitoring.
Still, investors and builders should distinguish between infrastructure readiness and regulatory authorization. Stablecoin use in retail payments, treasury operations, or tokenized assets typically depends on compliance frameworks and the specific licensing/oversight model in the relevant jurisdiction.
What this means for South Korea’s digital finance ecosystem
South Korea has been moving toward clearer stablecoin and crypto regulation, and industry participants are watching how the rules will translate into real, compliant payment and settlement deployments. Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph noted that a South Korea report proposed stablecoin rules ahead of a broader crypto law framework.
Against that backdrop, Samsung SDS’ focus on end-to-end stablecoin process validation—from issuance to settlement—reads like an attempt to be ready for both technical and compliance requirements. Rather than targeting speculative applications, the company appears to be building capabilities that can support regulated flows once the legal environment permits or clarifies specific models.
At the same time, the partnership’s practical impact will hinge on what “AI-based payment business models” ultimately involve. AI can be used in customer authentication, compliance monitoring, market surveillance, and payment risk assessment, but the boundaries of acceptable use will depend on data policies and the final regulatory approach.
For traders and users, these initiatives may not immediately change day-to-day trading volumes or retail access. For developers and institutional stakeholders, however, infrastructure partnerships can matter because they affect integration timelines, operational reliability, and the availability of custody/settlement tooling that exchanges and financial platforms can adopt.
Next, the key question is whether Samsung SDS and Dunamu will move from exploratory cooperation into concrete deployments—particularly in stablecoin issuance/settlement workflows and any wallet or payment integrations tied to Samsung’s consumer products. Observers should also watch for updates as South Korea’s stablecoin regulatory trajectory progresses, since the permitted use cases will likely determine what infrastructure work can scale commercially.
Crypto World
Primit Wraps Up Season 1 Trading Campaign on Avalanche
The two-week campaign brought thousands of traders on-chain, with daily $500 prize pools and fully transparent, publicly verifiable winner selection.
Primit, the decentralized perpetual exchange built on Avalanche, today announced the successful conclusion of its Season 1 trading campaign, a 14-day event that rewarded traders with daily prize pools and marked the platform’s first major community milestone since launch.
Running from July 15 to July 28, the campaign invited traders of all sizes to participate with a deliberately low barrier to entry: anyone generating at least $200 in daily trading volume was automatically entered into that day’s draw. Each day, 20 winners split a $500 prize pool, with rewards distributed directly to their wallets.
By the Numbers
Over the course of Season 1, Primit recorded:
- 10,000+ participating wallets across the campaign
- Over 500 wallets qualified for every single one of the 14 daily actions
- 14 daily draws completed, with 280 total winners
- $100,000 will be distributed directly to traders’ wallets
In a space where campaign fairness is often questioned, Primit published every day’s winner list — with masked wallet addresses — on its official blog, allowing anyone to verify results on-chain. This transparency-first approach became a defining feature of the campaign and a foundation of trust with its early community.
“Season 1 was about proving one thing: that a new perpetual DEX can give everyday traders a fair shot at real rewards, not just whales,” said Primit Team. “The response exceeded our expectations — traders came for the prizes, and stayed for the product.”
Built on Avalanche
Primit’s deployment on Avalanche played a central role in the campaign’s accessibility. Sub-second finality and near-zero gas fees allowed participants to reach the $200 volume threshold in minutes, at a cost of pennies — removing the friction that typically keeps retail traders away from on-chain derivatives.
What’s Next: Season 2
With Season 1 complete, Primit confirmed that Season 2 is already in development, featuring a larger prize pool and new participation mechanics. Details will be announced through Primit’s official channels in the coming weeks.
“This is the end of Season 1, but the beginning of Primit’s community story,” the team added. “Everything we learned from our first traders goes directly into what we build next.”
About Primit
Primit is a decentralized perpetual futures exchange deployed on Avalanche, offering fast, low-cost on-chain derivatives trading without KYC. Primit is building the next generation of accessible on-chain trading infrastructure.
Website: https://primit.io | X: https://x.com/primitforall
The post Primit Wraps Up Season 1 Trading Campaign on Avalanche appeared first on BeInCrypto.
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