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a16z’s Guy Wuollet says crypto is leaving hoodie phase for ‘collared shirt’ decade

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a16z’s Guy Wuollet says crypto is leaving hoodie phase for ‘collared shirt’ decade

a16z crypto partner Guy Wuollet says crypto is entering its “collared shirt” era, as the firm doubles down on a 10‑year infrastructure bet even while high‑profile partners exit amid a new $2b fundraise.

Summary

  • a16z crypto partners have publicly reiterated a 10‑plus‑year investing horizon for the sector, comparing today’s market to the pre‑internet and pre‑AI groundwork phase.
  • At the same time, named partners including Arianna Simpson and Kofi Ampadu are exiting or shifting roles, underscoring how venture talent is rotating as the industry matures.
  • The crypto team is now raising roughly a $2 billion fifth fund, signaling that institutional LPs still see blockchains, tokenization, and AI‑crypto convergence as core long‑term themes.

Guy Wuollet, a16z crypto partner has published a new essay arguing that “finance is not separate from a larger vision; it is part of it,” describing blockchains as foundational infrastructure rather than a speculative sideshow. “At a16z and a16z crypto, we are looking long‑term: our fund structure is designed for a cycle of over 10 years because building new industries takes time,” the partner wrote, likening the current phase to laying railways before new categories of applications can run. The piece stressed that many breakthrough apps will only emerge once wallets, identities, liquidity, and trust mechanisms are mature, echoing a16z research that compares crypto’s timeline to the decades of work behind modern AI.

a16z crypto doubles down on long‑term thesis

That message is consistent with comments from a16z crypto general partner Chris Dixon, who recently said blockchain is “the next foundational infrastructure of the internet,” and that the industry is in a long “foundation‑building phase” similar to the 1943 neural‑net paper for today’s AI boom. Dixon has also noted that the firm has held onto about 95% of its historically invested assets because, in his words, “selling high‑quality assets too early is the worst decision in venture capital.” The stance underpins a16z crypto’s push into themes like stablecoins, tokenization, privacy, and prediction markets, laid out in a “Big Ideas 2026” roadmap that frames crypto as the plumbing for an internet where value moves as quickly as data.

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The long‑term rhetoric comes as some a16z‑linked partners adjust their own career paths. Foresight News reported that Arianna Simpson, a general partner at a16z crypto, has “announced her resignation,” while fellow partner Kofi Ampadu is also leaving after the firm paused its Talent x Opportunity (TxO) program; a memo obtained by TechCrunch shows Ampadu telling staff that “closing my a16z chapter” followed four years of backing out‑of‑network founders. Those moves reflect a broader reshuffling inside top crypto VCs, as funds rebalance between seed bets, growth‑stage deals, and new AI‑crypto hybrids.

Despite the personnel churn, a16z crypto itself is pressing ahead with a fresh war chest. According to a report citing multiple insiders, the firm’s blockchain arm is targeting around $2 billion for its fifth dedicated crypto fund, on top of a broader $15 billion multistrategy raise across infrastructure, applications, and growth‑stage vehicles. Since launching its inaugural $300 million crypto fund in 2018 — in the wake of Bitcoin’s first run to $20,000 — a16z has grown that platform into a $4.5 billion vehicle and now backs projects from exchanges and DeFi protocols to gaming and NFT studios.

For builders, the message is mixed but ultimately constructive: competition for a16z checks is intensifying, even as the capital pool itself grows. On one hand, the departure of familiar faces like Simpson and Ampadu shows that even marquee crypto franchises are not immune to internal strategy shifts; on the other, a $2 billion target fund and a stated commitment to hold 95% of positions signal that LPs and partners remain aligned on treating crypto as a decade‑plus play. The firm’s research arm continues to push for clearer token rules and large‑scale DeFi adoption, arguing that “great endeavors take time” and that today’s messy, volatile years are the “groundwork” phase before a sharp inflection in usage.

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Crypto World

California Governor Newsom Signs Prediction Market Insider Trading Order

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California, US Government, United States, Prediction Markets

California Governor Gavin Newsom signed an executive order on Friday, expanding rules to curb public servants and those close to them from benefiting from insider trading on prediction markets tied to political or economic events they can influence or are privy to.

The order prohibits “gubernatorial appointees,” public officials appointed to office by the governor of the state, from using “confidential or non-public information” gleaned from performing their duties to profit from related prediction markets.

Newsom’s executive order also extends the prohibition to include spouses, family members or former business partners of the appointed officials from using non-public information to profit. “Public service should not be a get-rich-quick scheme,” Newsom said. He added:

“At a time when Trump’s Washington is riddled with ethical failures and insider profiteering, California is drawing a bright line: If you serve the public as a political appointee, you serve the public — period. We’re not going to tolerate this kind of corruption in California.”

California, US Government, United States, Prediction Markets
Governor Newsom’s executive order on government insiders using non-public information to profit from prediction markets. Source: California Governor

An announcement from Newsom’s office listed several instances of political insiders using non-public information to profit from prediction markets, including six suspected political insiders who profited from US strikes on Iran.

Newsom’s office also cited another case of suspected insider trading, which occurred in January, after one Polymarket trader netted $410,000 betting that the US would arrest former Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro hours before his capture.

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Prediction markets have come under scrutiny from US lawmakers, who argue that political insiders are using the platforms to unfairly benefit from their positions and are potentially threatening national security by wagering on sensitive events like war and elections.

Related: Detroit set to enter Michigan‘s battle against Coinbase prediction markets

US lawmakers accelerate prediction market crackdown after insider allegations surface

Texas Congressman Greg Casar and Connecticut Senator Chris Murphy introduced the “Banning Event Trading on Sensitive Operations and ​Federal Functions (BETS OFF) Act” in March 2026 in response to the prediction market insider trading allegations.

The bill seeks to prohibit government insiders from using prediction platforms to profit from markets tied to war or death. 

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California, US Government, United States, Prediction Markets
Congressman Greg Casar announces the “Bets Off Act.” Source: Congressman Greg Casar

US Representative Adrian Smith and Representative Nikki Budzinski also introduced similar legislation in March, titled the “Preventing Real-time Exploitation and Deceptive Insider Congressional Trading (PREDICT) Act.”

The legislative proposal prohibits the US President, lawmakers and other high-ranking government officials from betting on prediction markets.

Magazine: Train AI agents to make better predictions… for token rewards