Crypto World
AAVE holds above $90 as protocol deposits rise, but retail demand weakens
Key takeaways
- AAVE is holding above its 50-day EMA at $90.80 as its near-term recovery continues.
- Deposits in Aave V3 on Monad increased by more than $500 million over the past month.
- Aave V4 deposits reached a record high above $350 million.
Aave (AAVE) is extending its mild recovery on Tuesday, trading above the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $90.80.
The recovery comes amid increased adoption of Aave’s lending protocols. Aave V3’s deployment on the Monad Layer 1 blockchain attracted more than $500 million in deposits over the past month, alongside more than $215 million in active loans.
Despite the rise in protocol activity, weak derivatives data and bearish momentum indicators continue to cloud AAVE’s price outlook.
Aave V4 deposits reach record high
Deposits in Aave V4 have surpassed $350 million, establishing a new record after increasing by more than $100 million over the past 30 days.
The growth suggests rising adoption and may be partly driven by an attractive USDC borrowing offer. Holders of cbBTC, WBTC, WETH and wstETH can reportedly access a borrowing rate of negative 0.2%.
The increase in deposits across Aave V3 on Monad and Aave V4 highlights growing use of the protocol, even as demand for the AAVE token remains subdued among retail traders.
AAVE is losing momentum in the derivatives market despite the growth in protocol deposits.
Futures open interest declined by more than 6% over the previous 24 hours to $302.15 million, according to CoinGlass. The drop reflects a contraction in the value of outstanding futures contracts and suggests traders are reducing their exposure.
AAVE’s funding rate also fell below zero to negative 0.0046%. Negative funding indicates a bearish tilt, with short-position holders paying traders holding long positions.
Meanwhile, the 24-hour long-to-short ratio declined to 0.9372, showing that active short positions outnumber longs and reinforcing the cautious market outlook.
AAVE technical outlook: Could the price fall to $70?
AAVE is hovering above $90 at the time of writing on Tuesday, maintaining a mildly constructive near-term position above its 50-day EMA at $90.80.
However, the token remains well below its 200-day EMA at $112.75, suggesting that its broader recovery potential remains limited.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator continues to decline below its signal line, reflecting persistent bearish momentum.
The Relative Strength Index stands near 49 and is trending lower while AAVE’s price forms a modest upward trend. This bearish divergence suggests that buying momentum is weakening despite the recent price recovery.
The 50-day EMA at $90.80 is the key immediate support level. A decisive daily close below this moving average could accelerate selling pressure and trigger a roughly 20% decline toward the June 18 low of $70.65.
The psychological $100 level represents AAVE’s first major resistance. This area sits close to the May 10 high of $103.51, creating a broader resistance zone between $100 and $103.51.
A sustained break above this region would strengthen the bullish case and could allow AAVE to target the 200-day EMA at $112.75.
Crypto World
Polymarket seeks fundraising round at more than $20 billion valuation
A Polymarket billboard displaying New York City mayoral election odds in Times Square in New York, US, on Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2025.
Adam Gray | Bloomberg | Getty Images
Prediction market platform Polymarket is in talks for a fundraising round that would value the company at north of $20 billion, a person familiar with the matter confirmed to CNBC.
The talks and valuation come after the company told CNBC in late June that its annualized revenue was well above $1 billion, following the launch of its regulated U.S. exchange in May.
Bloomberg first reported on Tuesday about the new talks and valuation. Polymarket declined a request to comment by CNBC.
The person familiar with the situation — who asked not to be named to discuss the ongoing fundraising talks — also confirmed that the company previously closed a funding round in April that valued Polymarket at $15 billion.
The Information first reported about the funding round that same month, but the company did not confirm the round’s closure at the time. That round included an additional $600 million direct cash investment by New York Stock Exchange owner Intercontinental Exchange announced in March, Bloomberg reported.
Prediction market platforms are continuing to experience huge growth while staying private. In May, Polymarket’s chief rival, Kalshi, announced the closure of a funding round that valued the company at $22 billion. The Financial Times reported in June that Kalshi was in talks to raise new funds in the third quarter and would seek a $40 billion valuation.
If a new funding round for Polymarket closes, it would mark the first since the U.S. exchange’s official launch, though the platform debuted with a waitlist in December. The U.S. exchange is doing north of $100 million in notional volume per day — up from around $75 million at the end of May — while the company’s international platform is recording daily notional volume above $150 million, according to data from Dune Analytics.
— CNBC’s Ananya Chetia contributed reporting
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.
Crypto World
Banking giant Intesa Sanpaolo cuts IBIT stake 94%, triples ether ETF holding
It wasn’t alone in rejigging its exposure to cryptocurrencies. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs overall recorded roughly $4.89 billion of net outflows in the three months through June, according to SoSoValue data. IBIT alone lost $2.95 billion. Spot ether ETFs also suffered, with more than $715 million in outflows.
Intesa Sanpaolo, in contrast, tripled its stake in BlackRock’s iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHB) to 349,600 shares. The position was worth $7.10 million at quarter-end, up from $3.15 million.
Among crypto-linked equities, the bank nearly doubled its BitGo Holdings (BTGO) position to 323,000 shares, while reducing its stake in Coinbase Global (COIN) by 32%, Circle Internet (CRCL) by 10% and Robinhood Markets (HOOD) by 43%.
The filing also shows a new 5.66 million-share SpaceX (SPCX) position valued at $966.42 million, making it Intesa’s largest disclosed holding. SpaceX, which went public on June 12, holds 18,712 bitcoin worth $1.18 billion. It reduced its holdings in Tesla (TSLA) by 92%.
Intesa made its first direct bitcoin purchase in January 2025, acquiring 11 BTC for about 1 million euros ($1.2 million) as part of what CEO Carlo Messina described as an experiment.
Crypto World
Polymarket targets $20 billion valuation as competition heats up in prediction market sector
Blockchain-based prediction markets platform Polymarket is looking to raise fresh capital at a $20 billion valuation, Bloomberg reported Tuesday, citing people familiar with the matter.
According to the person, the company closed a funding round at a $15 billion valuation in April which included a $600 million investment from the Intercontinental Exchange, the owner of the New York Stock Exchange.
In June, Polymarket told CNBC that its annualized revenue had climbed well above $1 billion even after the platform saw a decline in trading volumes in April and May which were offset by record highs during the World Cup.
Polymarket founder and CEO Shayne Coplan has long argued Polymarket should be viewed as an information platform rather than a betting site. In a March appearance, he said prediction markets let people “put your money where your mouth is” when they disagree with consensus, describing the platform as “a very useful thermometer of the world” that helps people assess the likelihood of future events. He also said his long-term vision is to expand beyond headline events into a broader “almanac for the future” covering a much wider range of markets.
Crypto World
Bitdeer Signs $4.7B AI Data Center Lease in Norway
Bitcoin mining company Bitdeer has signed a 16-year lease agreement valued at as much as $4.7 billion to secure artificial intelligence and high-performance computing data center capacity, underscoring how crypto miners are increasingly expanding into AI infrastructure as demand for computing power grows.
Under the agreement, Bitdeer will provide 121 megawatts of IT capacity at its Tydal, Norway, AI data center to a tenant that the company identified only as a subsidiary of Volta Infra. The facility will be configured to support Nvidia GPU-based AI workloads, though Bitdeer did not disclose the tenant’s identity or specify whether Volta is the end customer or an intermediary.
Bloomberg News reported that the Nvidia-backed Volta’s $10 billion cloud contract is with Anthropic, citing people familiar with the matter.
The lease remains subject to customary closing conditions and is not yet effective, according to the company. To secure the tenant’s payment obligations, affiliates of JP Morgan and another unnamed global financial institution are expected to issue approximately $1.3 billion in letters of credit, or a bank guarantee that ensures the landlord can recover funds if the tenant fails to meet its contractual payment obligations.
Bitdeer shares jumped about 8% in early Nasdaq trading following the announcement, suggesting investors welcomed the company’s continued expansion into AI infrastructure and data centers.

Shares of Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR) rose sharply on Tuesday.
Source: Yahoo Finance
Bitdeer has steadily diversified beyond its core Bitcoin mining business in an effort to broaden its revenue base. Alongside its push into AI and high-performance computing infrastructure, the company has expanded its mining hardware manufacturing operations to reduce its reliance on third-party suppliers. Last month, Bitdeer announced a $36 million investment in a manufacturing facility in Nevada to support that strategy.
Related: Galaxy, MARA Holdings deepen Texas expansion with land acquisitions
Bitdeer bucks industry trend by selling all BTC holdings
Bitdeer has taken a different approach from many of its publicly traded mining peers by fully liquidating its Bitcoin treasury.
In early February, the company held roughly 943 BTC before announcing that it had reduced its holdings to zero, while maintaining that it remains committed to the Bitcoin ecosystem. According to Bitdeer executive Ross Gann, the sales were made to help fund the company’s broader expansion strategy, including acquisitions of powered land for AI and Bitcoin mining infrastructure.
By contrast, several major Bitcoin miners continue to maintain large Bitcoin treasuries. MARA Holdings, Riot Platforms, CleanSpark and Hut 8 each hold at least 10,000 BTC, according to BitcoinTreasuries.NET, with MARA’s holdings exceeding 36,000 BTC.
Magazine: Sorry everyone, Bitcoin is headed down to $43,500: Michael Terpin
Crypto World
Wells Fargo joins JPMorgan and Citi in the race to tokenize Wall Street’s settlement rails
Wells Fargo (WFC) will offer tokenized deposits for select corporate and commercial clients later this year, starting with enabling round-the-clock U.S. dollar-to-British pound transactions on its proprietary blockchain.
The bank frames round-the-clock settlement, programmable payments and parity with its existing deposit protections as future enhancements, saying the system will let clients move, program and settle funds 24/7/365 “when fully deployed.”
The limited initial rollout will expand to more clients, countries and currencies throughout 2027. Its system will automatically route eligible payments through tokenized deposits when doing so improves speed or flexibility, without changing how clients interact with the bank.
Tokenized deposits represent conventional bank balances on a blockchain. Unlike stablecoins, they remain commercial bank money and Wells Fargo says they will carry the same regulatory protections and deposit-insurance eligibility as its existing deposit products.
Future features will include conditional payments using smart contracts, according to the bank.
The platform could also support in-house custodial wallets and connections to other blockchains. Wells Fargo said it can integrate with a shared tokenized-deposit network being developed by The Clearing House, according to the Wall Street Journal.
Crypto World
Bitcoin’s Most Active Day Since 2024. What Happened On-Chain During the Coldcard Panic
Bitcoin (BTC) daily active addresses jumped from 645,000 on July 30 to nearly 1 million on July 31. The reading was the highest since December 10, 2024, and the Coldcard panic, not new demand, drove it.
BTC traded at $60,347 at press time, up 1.24% in 24 hours, BeInCrypto data shows. Three on-chain charts reveal what holders actually did during a weekend of severe stress for self-custody.
Nearly 1 Million Addresses Moved, the Most Since December 2024
Glassnode data shows about 980,000 active addresses on July 31, up more than 50% in a single day. The jump came days after attackers began draining Coldcard hardware wallets through a flawed random number generator.
Three confirmed attack waves have been linked to 1,367 BTC, worth $88.6 million, stolen from 4,585 addresses. A suspected fourth wave has since swept over 380 BTC more.
The last time this many addresses moved, on December 10, 2024, bitcoin traded near $100,000 during a euphoric rally. This time, the same activity arrived with BTC around $60,000. Same metric, opposite emotion.
CryptoQuant Head of Research Julio Moreno noted on X that sending addresses drove nearly all of the growth. Receiving addresses barely moved in proportion, which suggests consolidation. Thousands of wallets emptied toward a much smaller set of destinations.
Historically, active addresses had churned between 550,000 and 750,000 for most of 2026. Therefore, the spike reads as a one-off event rather than a new trend.
Small Holders Moved the Most BTC Since the FTX Collapse
CryptoQuant’s Spent Output Value Bands point to who panicked. Transfers below 1 BTC totaled 39,600 BTC on July 31. The only comparable daily reading came on November 16, 2022, at 39,900 BTC, days after FTX failed.
These bands capture retail-sized wallets, exactly the profile of Coldcard’s user base. One holder lost 18.25 BTC, worth $1.6 million, in under seven minutes. Stories like his pushed thousands of users to act.
Moreno framed the migration as a healthy reflex rather than capitulation.
“The Bitcoin plebs had not move[d] this amount of BTC in a day since the FTX collapse… I like to see that people seem to be taking action.”
He shared the observation on X on August 1.
However, the direction of travel has reversed since 2022. Back then, users pulled coins off exchanges and into cold storage. This time, a cold storage failure sent coins the other way. The reversal feeds the self-custody debate that Binance founder Changpeng Zhao reignited this week.
Many Wallets, Few Transactions. The Anatomy of the Coldcard Panic
The third chart completes the picture. Glassnode counted 761,796 transfers on July 31, a local spike but far from a record. Prior peaks on December 13, 2024, April 19, 2025, and May 9, 2026, all cleared 1 million transfers.
The divergence matters. Active addresses hit a 20-month high while transfer counts stayed inside their ordinary range. In other words, an enormous number of wallets moved, but each made only one or a few transactions.
That is the anatomy of a mass emergency sweep, not an activity boom. In contrast, earlier transfer records came from concentrated, high-frequency churn by far fewer entities.
Galaxy Research head Alex Thorn observed sweep transactions running at 13.8 per block, roughly 45 times the pre-incident baseline. The shock even reached protocol politics, as developers postponed the BIP-110 soft fork activation, citing the incident.
The Chain Recorded Fear, Not a Trend
Raw on-chain metrics will look distorted for days. Analysts may prefer entity-adjusted data until sweep activity fades, and active addresses could normalize just as sharply as they spiked.
Notably, the price barely reacted. Bitcoin held near $60,000 through its most active day in 20 months. That calm suggests the moved coins fled risk rather than sought exits.
The next signal to watch sits on the exchange books. If migrated coins stay put, the episode remains a security story. If they start selling, the Coldcard panic could yet become a market story.
The post Bitcoin’s Most Active Day Since 2024. What Happened On-Chain During the Coldcard Panic appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
These 25 U.S. States Are Suing the Trump Administration. Here’s Why
But the Democratic-led states strongly refute this reasoning, insisting in the lawsuit that “the Administration cannot use forced labor as a pretext to continue its illegal tariff scheme. The tariffs the USTR imposed are so broad that they defy the USTR’s own stated aims and make a mockery of the statute used to justify them.”
California Attorney General Rob Bonta, who co-led the coalition, claimed Trump is “so intent on raising the cost of living for Americans that he is willing to break law after law after law to do so.”
“Tariffs are taxes, and the American people cannot and should not shoulder the extra costs that come from the President’s failed and illegal economic policy—no matter how much the President wants them to,” he added, in a statement announcing he is suing the Trump Administration over its tariffs for a third time.
Joining California in the lawsuit are Arizona, New York, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Kentucky, Hawaii, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, Maryland, Maine, Minnesota, Nevada, New Jersey, North Carolina, New Mexico, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia Washington, and Wisconsin.
Crypto World
What OpenAI’s Hugging Face Hack Tells Us About AI’s Risks
And these models, as impressive as they may be now, will be quaint compared to their successors.
As many AI executives such as Sam Altman, Dario Amodei, Demis Hassabis, Elon Musk, and Mark Zuckerberg will freely admit, a primary goal of the tech industry is to build AI that can fully automate its own research and development—known as recursive self-improvement—which, if possible, would be the most crucial step toward rendering all of us obsolete.
For my reporting, I’ve spent the last three years talking to dozens of AI safety staffers at the leading companies. Typically, I have found that these genuinely well-intentioned researchers believe that AI will become superhuman across the board, but we might be able to create superhuman automated safety researchers to watch over them.
How will they be able to understand and control systems that truly outsmart us? Or catch subtle drift between what we want and how the models behave that compounds over generations? Who knows.
Crypto World
At Least 15 Attackers Used Coldcard Vulnerability: Galaxy Digital
Galaxy Digital’s research chief says new victim reports tied to the Coldcard vulnerability have enabled the identification of additional attackers—highlighting that the incident may be broader than earlier estimates suggested.
According to Galaxy Research, the total losses tied to the Coldcard exploit have increased to about $100 million across three confirmed “attack waves,” with a possible fourth wave that could push the figure closer to $130 million in Bitcoin.
Key takeaways
- Galaxy Digital (Alex Thorn) says at least 15 attackers exploited the Coldcard vulnerability, based on newly received victim reports.
- Estimated losses have risen to roughly $100 million across three confirmed waves, with a suspected fourth wave that could increase totals to about $130 million.
- Dragonfly’s Haseeb Qureshi argues that “$2 of AI hardening” might have prevented the exploit, sparking a debate over AI’s role in vulnerability discovery.
- Tokenomist’s Tatsapat Saerejittima cautions that social media claims about rapid AI discovery were not based on a documented blind test.
- Castle Labs co-founder Francesco points to a potential link between the wallet’s private key setup and the vulnerability’s exploitability.
Victim reports reshape the attacker picture
In a Tuesday X post, Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy Digital, said Galaxy had received additional victim reports since the incident—reports that helped the firm label attacker activity that might otherwise have gone unnoticed.
Thorn’s comments emphasize that this was not a typical centralized-exchange-style compromise. Instead, the exploit mechanism differed in a way that made new patterns detectable once victims began reporting details.
He also cited an example: “Due to one single victim’s report of less than 1 BTC stolen, we identified a new attack with 12 BTC siphoned from 126 addresses,” Thorn wrote.
Loss estimates climb as confirmed waves expand
The broader impact is reflected in Galaxy Research’s figures. Loss estimates connected to the Coldcard exploit have grown to about $100 million across three confirmed attack waves.
Galaxy Research has also flagged a suspected fourth wave. If that additional wave is confirmed, the total losses could reach approximately $130 million in Bitcoin.
The incident has reopened ongoing security questions for cold storage users: while “offline” storage is generally considered safer than hot, connected systems, the Coldcard incident underscores that vulnerabilities in wallet firmware or key-generation logic can still be exploited—even when the device is designed to minimize exposure to networks.
AI hardening debate: speed claims vs. testability
As the incident spread, discussion intensified around whether advances in AI could accelerate vulnerability discovery and whether defensive “hardening” could have stopped the exploit. Dragonfly managing partner Haseeb Qureshi argued that roughly “$2 of AI hardening” could have prevented the Coldcard attack.
Qureshi referenced social media reports suggesting that some AI models were able to rediscover the underlying vulnerability quickly—one claim centered on Claude regenerating the issue in eight minutes. Qureshi added that the results may have been influenced by web search.
He also pointed to an example involving the open-source AI model GLM 5.2, stating that it was able to rediscover the attack in 20 minutes with web access turned off.
However, the narrative around rapid AI discovery met pushback from analysts who stress methodological rigor. Tokenomist’s data lead, Tatsapat Saerejittima, told Cointelegraph that it is unlikely AI models would have independently found the vulnerability before it was public.
“The claim that AI found it in 2 mins came from a pseudonymous Reddit user who scanned the code after the vulnerability had already become public. There was no blind test, no documented methodology, and no assessment of the model’s false-positive rate.”
Where private key setup may have mattered
Another technical thread concerns how Coldcard structured private key entropy. Crypto research company Castle Labs’ co-founder, Francesco, told Cointelegraph that while AI can reduce the time and cost of discovering cryptocurrency vulnerabilities, the wallet’s private key may have contributed to the exploitability.
Francesco said Coldcard used a level of private key entropy of 40 bits—lower than what other wallets typically adopt. He compared this to a standard approach where a 12-word seed corresponds to 128 bits of entropy. He attributed the difference to a firmware bug, suggesting the conditions for exploitation may have been more favorable than they would be under typical key-entropy assumptions.
Francesco also indicated that, as AI models become more capable and more integrated into both cybersecurity and offensive tooling, the broader cost of bug discovery is likely to keep dropping.
What investors and users should watch next
With Galaxy Research pointing to a possible fourth attack wave and analysts debating how quickly vulnerabilities can be rediscovered and mitigated, attention should shift toward whether additional victims corroborate the suspected wave and how cold-wallet vendors respond—particularly around firmware-level assumptions in key generation and any hardening measures that could reduce the chance of repeat exploitation.
Crypto World
Bitcoin (BTC) price analysis: $63,000 level is key
Bitcoin has traded between $60,000 and $67,000 for several weeks, making $63,000 one of the most heavily supplied price areas. The only larger concentration sits between $78,000 and $82,000, where bitcoin topped out in May.
Glassnode’s Entity-Adjusted UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) shows how much bitcoin supply last moved within each price band, with each entity’s balance assigned to its average acquisition price. More than 3% of the supply, approximately 515,000 BTC, is concentrated around $63,000, while more than 2%, or roughly 362,000 BTC, sits around $61,000.
Bitcoin is also trading almost exactly in line with its 200-week moving average, which tracks the asset’s average weekly price over the past 200 weeks. The indicator currently stands at $63,657, compared with bitcoin’s price of $63,822, highlighting significant accumulation in this range.
Glassnode’s 30-day Accumulation Trend Score, broken down by wallet-size cohort, shows that retail investors are currently the most aggressive buyers at these prices. Every other cohort is also accumulating, including whales holding at least 1,000 BTC, which are showing similarly strong accumulation.

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