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Altcoin spot sell pressure hits 5-year high at -$209b

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Altcoin spot sell pressure hits 5-year high at -$209b

Cumulative spot selling pressure across altcoins, excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, has reached a five-year extreme, according to data released by CryptoQuant, marking one of the most persistent distribution phases in recent market cycles.

Summary

  • Cumulative altcoin buy-sell difference excluding BTC, ETH widened to about -$209b over 13 straight months, the most sell-dominant phase in 5 years.
  • Indicator was near $0 in Jan 2025 before prolonged selling, signaling structural outflows, fading retail demand, and little visible institutional accumulation in altcoins.
  • BTC trades well below its Oct 2025 ATH, while altcoin spot markets remain under pressure, with past cycle reversals only emerging after sustained net buying replaces directional sellin

The cumulative buy-sell difference for altcoins now stands at negative 209 billion, reflecting 13 consecutive months of net selling on centralized exchanges, the data showed.

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In January 2025, cumulative buy and sell pressure across altcoins was roughly balanced, marking the last point where demand matched supply, according to the analysis. Since then, altcoins have recorded a cumulative negative 209 billion in net sell pressure over the following 13 months, with limited evidence of sustained buying activity.

Bitcoin currently trades well below its October 2025 all-time high. While Bitcoin has retraced from peak levels, altcoins have experienced stronger structural pressure, the data indicated. The absence of net positive inflows suggests retail participation has declined, with capital rotation toward major cryptocurrencies occurring earlier in the cycle, according to market observers. Institutional accumulation in altcoins remains limited, the data showed.

Bitcoin trading as alt-coin difference expands

A cumulative negative 209 billion reading signals that supply has consistently exceeded demand, though it does not automatically indicate a market bottom, analysts noted. Extended net selling phases can persist until liquidity conditions improve or new capital enters the market, according to historical patterns.

Durable market reversals have historically occurred only after sustained buying activity replaces directional selling, market data shows. Altcoin spot markets remain under pressure and demand recovery has not yet materialized, according to the CryptoQuant analysis.

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Crypto World

ETHZilla struggles to find footing as Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund exits

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ETHZilla struggles to find footing as Peter Thiel's Founders Fund exits - 1

ETHZilla Corp (ETHZ) shares faced intense pressure in pre-market trading this Wednesday following news that billionaire investor Peter Thiel and his venture firm, Founders Fund, have completely liquidated their position.

Summary

  • An SEC filing revealed that Peter Thiel and Founders Fund have completely liquidated their 7.5% stake in Ethzilla (ETHZ), triggering a 5.13% pre-market drop to $3.33.
  • Originally a biotech firm (180 Life Sciences), Ethzilla’s high-leverage pivot to a “corporate Ethereum treasury” model has faltered, with the stock currently down 97% from its 2025 highs.
  • Amidst heavy debt and market volatility, the company is attempting to stabilize by pivoting again, this time toward tokenizing jet engines and home loans, though investor confidence remains shaken.

The Thiel exodus: Founders Fund liquidates stake in ETHZilla

The stock, which has already plummeted over 97% from its 2025 highs, hit a pre-market low of $3.33, representing a 5.13% drop from its previous close.

ETHZilla struggles to find footing as Peter Thiel's Founders Fund exits - 1
ETHzilla price performance | Source: Google Finance

The sell-off was triggered by a late Tuesday SEC filing revealing that Thiel’s entities now hold zero shares in the company. This marks a dramatic reversal from August 2025, when the fund disclosed a significant 7.5% stake.

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At the time, Thiel’s entry was seen as a massive vote of confidence for ETHZilla’s pivot from biotechnology to a corporate Ethereum (ETH) treasury model.

The massive sell-off marks a dramatic fall from grace for the firm, which rebranded from 180 Life Sciences last year to become a high-leverage Ethereum treasury. While the initial pivot drew over $425 million in institutional backing, the recent liquidation of its ETH holdings has left investors questioning the sustainability of its ‘crypto-first’ balance sheet.

Crisis in the ETH treasury model

The full exit by Founders Fund underscores the growing skepticism surrounding companies that use high-leverage strategies to accumulate Ethereum. While similar “Bitcoin treasury” plays have remained popular, Ether-focused firms like ETHZilla have struggled under the weight of market volatility and debt obligations.

ETHZilla has recently attempted to diversify its business to stabilize its balance sheet. Recent moves include:

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  • Asset Tokenization: Launching “ETHZilla Aerospace” to tokenize leased jet engines.
  • Debt Repayment: Liquidating over 24,000 ETH in late 2025 to settle convertible bond obligations.
  • Real Estate: Acquiring modular home loan portfolios for on-chain yields.

Despite these efforts to pivot toward Real World Assets (RWA), the market appears focused on the loss of its most prominent institutional backer. For many investors, Thiel’s departure signals that the “Saylor-style” accumulation strategy for Ethereum may be facing a structural breakdown.

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Arthur Hayes Predicts AI Banking Crisis And Bitcoin Surge

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Arthur Hayes Predicts AI Banking Crisis And Bitcoin Surge

The divergence between Bitcoin and tech stocks is a warning sign of a potential artificial intelligence-driven credit crisis that could lead to more central bank money printing, says Arthur Hayes. 

“Bitcoin is the global fiat liquidity fire alarm. It is the most responsive freely traded asset to the fiat credit supply,” said the crypto entrepreneur in his latest blog post on Wednesday.

Hayes went on to caution that the recent divergence between Bitcoin (BTC) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 Index “sounds the alarm that a massive credit destruction event is nigh.”

When these two previously correlated asset classes diverge, “it warrants further investigation into any trigger that could cause a destruction of fiat” — mostly dollars and credit, which is also known as deflation, he said. 

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Hayes believes that job losses due to AI adoption will have a major impact on consumer credit and mortgage debt “because of the inability of white-collar knowledge worker debt donkeys to meet their monthly payments.”

“That’s a bold statement to call for a financial crisis because of job losses caused by AI adoption.”

AI job losses could trigger another banking crisis 

In 2025, companies cited AI when announcing 55,000 job cuts, more than 12 times the number of layoffs attributed to AI just two years earlier, reported CBS News in early February. 

“This AI financial crisis will restart the money printing machine for realz,” said Hayes. 

His loose model suggests that a 20% reduction in the 72 million “knowledge workers” in the US could produce around $557 billion in consumer credit and mortgage losses, representing a 13% write-down of US commercial bank equity.

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Predicted losses assuming a 20% AI job loss. Source: Maelstrom

Hayes speculates that weaker regional banks would buckle first, depositors would flee, and credit markets would seize. The Federal Reserve would eventually panic and start printing money. 

“While the Fed is fighting windmills, AI-related job losses will destroy the balance sheets of American banks,” he said. 

“Finally, the monetary mandarins panic and press that Brrrr button harder than I shred pow the morning after a one-meter dump.”

Related: 1 in 4 CEOs expect to sack staff due to AI this year

Hayes predicted that this surge in fiat credit creation would “pump Bitcoin decisively off its lows,” and that the future expectation of increased fiat creation to save the banking system would “propel Bitcoin to a new all-time high.”

In addition to Bitcoin, Hayes said there are two altcoins that his company, Maelstrom, will “deploy excess stables into once the Fed blinks.” Those coins are Zcash (ZEC) and Hyperliquid (HYPE). 

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More money-printing theories abound 

However, this is not the first radical money-printing thesis Hayes has proposed.

In January, he said that the Federal Reserve would print money to alleviate the Japanese bond crisis. 

In December 2025, he predicted that BTC would surge to $200,000 by March due to money printing through a new Fed liquidity tool called Reserve Management Purchases, which resembles quantitative easing. 

Magazine: Chinese New Year boosts interest, TradFi buying crypto exchanges: Asia Express

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