Crypto World
Anthropic Models 3 AI Futures for 2030 After Its Researcher Warns of Extinction
Anthropic has published a model of how artificial intelligence (AI) could reshape the US economy by 2030. Interestingly, its fastest growth case is the one that cuts knowledge worker wages by more than 10%.
The company’s economics team released the tool alongside a technical report, Economic Scenarios for Transformative AI, and invited readers to plug in their own forecasts.
Three Futures With Very Different Winners
The model runs three cases, coming only hours after researcher Jacob Coxon said he had resigned from Anthropic and accused the industry of racing toward self-improving superintelligence.
That same capability triggers the model’s worst case:
- Modest case
AI matches the internet in scale and lifts gross domestic product (GDP) to $34.1 trillion, a 1.6% gain.
- Substantial case
Assumes AI handles half of all knowledge work by 2030. GDP reaches $36.3 trillion, roughly twice the normal growth rate, while unemployment settles near 5%. Knowledge worker wages stay flat.
- Extreme case
Requires AI that improves its own capabilities without human help. Annual growth hits 15%, GDP reaches $44.4 trillion, and unemployment spikes to historic levels. Knowledge worker pay falls by more than 10%.
Labor’s share of national income tells the same story. It slips slightly in the modest case, drops to 56.1% in the substantial one, and falls to 45.2% in the extreme.
“In the extreme scenario, the gains from a rapidly expanding economy are unevenly distributed,” read an excerpt in the report.
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Americans Are Betting on the Middle
Anthropic surveyed 10,980 people in August. The typical answer implied GDP about 10% higher by 2030, close to the substantial case. Roughly one in 10 expected the extreme.
That caution echoes earlier work. Anthropic’s June polling found Americans name job loss as their biggest AI worry, while Goldman Sachs traced the sharpest hiring damage to entry-level tech roles.
Anthropic frames the outcome as a choice rather than a forecast.
The model makes the trade explicit, since the scenario that creates the most wealth also hands the smallest slice of it to workers. The harder question is who gets to choose.
The post Anthropic Models 3 AI Futures for 2030 After Its Researcher Warns of Extinction appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Bitcoin price risks $70K if $78K neckline breaks
Bitcoin price remained under pressure near $78,500 after a retreat from its Sept. 3 peak of $82,283, while weakening momentum and a possible head-and-shoulders pattern raised the risk of a deeper correction.
Summary
- Bitcoin price fell about 4.6% from $82,283 to trade near $78,500.
- The 4-hour RSI stood at 43.58, showing that sellers retained a modest advantage.
- A possible head-and-shoulders pattern places $78,000–$79,000 at the key neckline.
- Liquidation clusters sit near $80,000 above price and $77,500 below it.
Bitcoin price action today
According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) price traded near $78,500 late on Sept. 9 after moving between approximately $78,060 and $79,760 during the daily session. The price has lost about 4.6% since reaching $82,283 on Sept. 3.
The latest decline extended a sequence of lower highs visible on the 4-hour chart. Buyers defended the area near $78,000 several times, but each rebound struggled to regain the psychological $80,000 level.

Bitcoin’s position inside the 4-hour Bollinger Bands also showed fading short-term strength. The asset traded at about $78,522, below the middle band at $79,079 and only slightly above the lower band at $78,015.
A move close to the lower Bollinger Band can indicate growing selling pressure, although the nearby support may also produce a short-term rebound. Bitcoin would need to recover above the middle band to weaken the immediate bearish setup.
The upper Bollinger Band stood near $80,144, making the $80,000–$80,150 region the first major resistance area. A close above that zone would give buyers another opportunity to challenge the recent highs around $81,500 and $82,300.
Oil and Treasury yields pressure risk assets
Bitcoin’s pullback came as escalating Middle East conflict pushed Brent crude toward $100 per barrel, reviving concerns that higher energy costs could keep inflation elevated. Brent reached $99.22 on Sept. 9, while West Texas Intermediate rose to $94.13.
Rising inflation concerns matter for US crypto investors because they can affect expectations for Federal Reserve interest rates. Higher rates and bond yields increase the returns available from lower-risk assets, creating competition for Bitcoin and other assets that do not generate interest.
Pressure also came from the US Treasury market. The benchmark 10-year yield climbed above 4.85% after the Treasury announced a $6 billion buyback operation targeting older bonds with maturities of 10 to 20 years.
The 30-year yield also reached its highest level since 2007. Rising Treasury yields can tighten financial conditions by increasing borrowing costs and reducing investors’ willingness to hold volatile assets.
Bitcoin’s decline therefore coincided with a wider reassessment of US inflation and interest-rate risks ahead of the Federal Reserve’s Sept. 15–16 policy meeting. Traders will watch incoming inflation data and oil prices for signs that the central bank may keep monetary policy restrictive.
Bitcoin technicals put $78K support in focus
The 4-hour relative strength index stood at 43.58, below both the neutral 50 mark and its signal average of 44.71. The reading showed bearish momentum without placing Bitcoin in oversold territory.
Daily indicators were less bearish. Bitcoin remained above the daily Supertrend support at $72,786, meaning the broader recovery structure had not yet been invalidated despite the latest decline.

The daily Aroon readings were also closely matched, with one line at 57.14% and the other at 50%. The narrow difference showed that neither buyers nor sellers had established strong control on the higher timeframe.
Crypto analyst Gerla identified a possible head-and-shoulders structure, with the first shoulder near the late-August highs, the head around the Sept. 3 peak, and the right shoulder potentially forming during the latest rebound.
“$78K–$79K is the line in the sand. Lose that and $70K could come pretty quick,” Gerla said in a Sept. 9 post on X.
The pattern remains unconfirmed while Bitcoin holds its neckline. A decisive daily close below $78,000 would strengthen the setup and expose $76,000–$77,000 before the larger downside target near $70,000.
Liquidation heatmap shows pressure on both sides
CoinGlass’s three-day liquidation heatmap showed large concentrations of leveraged positions above Bitcoin’s current price. The strongest nearby liquidity appeared between approximately $79,700 and $80,200, with additional clusters extending toward $82,000.

Such concentrations can attract price during periods of high leverage, although they do not guarantee that Bitcoin will move toward them. A recovery through $79,100 could trigger liquidations of short positions and help drive a test of the $80,000 cluster.
Downside liquidity was concentrated near $78,000 and between roughly $77,500 and $77,800. Losing the current support could therefore accelerate volatility as leveraged long positions are closed.
Further liquidity appeared around $76,000, broadly matching the next technical support area visible beneath the proposed neckline. The heatmap suggests that either a break above $80,000 or a loss of $78,000 could produce a sharper move as liquidations add to spot-market pressure.
Key Bitcoin levels to watch
Bitcoin’s immediate range sits between the lower Bollinger Band near $78,015 and the middle band around $79,079. Holding $78,000 would keep open the possibility of a relief move toward $79,700–$80,150.
A sustained break above $80,150 would weaken the short-term bearish structure and place $81,500 and $82,283 back in focus. Buyers would need to clear the September peak to confirm a renewed upward move.
A close below $78,000 would confirm greater weakness and shift attention to $77,500, followed by the wider $76,000–$77,000 support zone. The head-and-shoulders interpretation would gain credibility below the neckline, although the daily Supertrend near $72,786 remains an important barrier before the analyst’s $70,000 scenario can develop.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto World
Consensys to Separate MetaMask and Launch Institutional Blockchain Unit
Consensys Software Inc., the Ethereum-focused firm behind MetaMask, plans to restructure by splitting its consumer-oriented business from its institutional blockchain infrastructure operations. The company says the separation is expected to be completed by the end of 2026, creating two independent companies with distinct leadership and strategic priorities.
According to a Business Wire announcement, Joe Lubin will serve as chairman and CEO of MetaMask while also taking the role of executive chairman of the new Consensys. The institutional business—focused on Ethereum protocols and infrastructure—will be led by Mike Kriak as CEO, with David Cunningham as president.
Key takeaways
- Consensys will separate into two independent firms by the end of 2026: MetaMask (consumer self-custody) and a new Consensys (Ethereum protocols and institutional infrastructure).
- The new Consensys will house Consensys’ protocol and infrastructure portfolio, including Linea, Besu, and Teku.
- MetaMask is positioned to broaden beyond a wallet into payments, savings, investing, and other traditional financial products.
- Consensys says MetaMask has surpassed 100 million downloads across about 190 countries and supported “trillions of dollars” in transaction volume.
From one umbrella to two focused companies
The planned reorganization reflects what the company describes as increasingly different objectives between its consumer-facing and institutional-facing teams. In the announcement, Consensys frames the split as a way to allow each business to pursue its own roadmap without competing for shared priorities.
Under the new structure, MetaMask will remain the centerpiece of the consumer division, with an emphasis on self-custody. Consensys also outlined that MetaMask’s expansion is not limited to crypto holdings and decentralized app access; it is intended to extend into areas such as payments, savings, and investing, as well as “traditional financial products.”
Meanwhile, the institutional infrastructure company will consolidate Consensys’ Ethereum protocol and infrastructure activities. The company says this entity will focus on Ethereum infrastructure while supporting financial institutions looking to deploy blockchain technology for tokenization, stablecoins, and other onchain financial services.
What will live under “MetaMask” vs. “the new Consensys”
Consensys’ announcement is explicit about the portfolio split. The new Consensys entity will house the company’s protocols and institutional infrastructure businesses, including Linea, Besu, and Teku.
While the announcement does not detail whether these products will change in scope after the separation, the strategic direction is clear: an infrastructure-first company designed to work with institutions, where the customer is more likely to value deployment, reliability, and enterprise integration over consumer growth metrics.
In contrast, MetaMask’s mandate centers on consumer self-custody and product-led expansion into finance-adjacent services. The company’s messaging suggests that the consumer operation will continue to evolve from a browser extension into a broader interface for onchain and finance-related experiences, including functionality connected to stablecoins and yield strategies—while remaining within a self-custody framework.
Consensys says MetaMask has been downloaded more than 100 million times across roughly 190 countries and facilitated trillions of dollars in transaction volume.
MetaMask’s push into consumer finance features
Part of the logic behind the split appears tied to how MetaMask has expanded beyond its original “wallet for decentralized applications” role. Launched in 2016 as an Ethereum browser extension, MetaMask has added new product lines over the past year, including tools associated with payments, yield, and access to tokenized real-world assets.
In June, Consensys said MetaMask launched Money Account, which it describes as allowing users to earn up to 4% variable APY on eligible mUSD stablecoin balances. The company also stated that the yield is generated through decentralized finance lending strategies rather than interest paid by MetaMask or by the stablecoin issuer.
Earlier in the year, MetaMask added access to tokenized financial products for certain users. In February, Consensys reported support for 200 tokenized US stocks, exchange-traded funds, and commodities via Ondo Global Markets, limited to eligible users outside the United States.
That same month, MetaMask rolled out a Mastercard-enabled spending card across 49 US states. Consensys said the card expanded a previously available product that had already reached markets including Europe, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, and Argentina.
Taken together, these updates help explain why a consumer-first business might benefit from separation: MetaMask’s expanding feature set increasingly resembles a consumer finance platform—while the institutional protocols business is oriented toward deployment infrastructure for enterprise and regulated use cases.
Why the split matters for builders and investors
Restructuring a major Ethereum software provider can matter beyond internal operations, because it shapes where resources and attention flow. A dedicated institutional infrastructure unit may allow teams behind Linea, Besu, and Teku to focus more narrowly on scaling, tooling, and integration work relevant to financial institutions and enterprise networks.
For investors and market participants, the split also provides clearer lines of accountability: MetaMask’s leadership and product execution can be assessed primarily through consumer adoption and the rollout of finance features, while the new Consensys can be evaluated on the delivery of Ethereum infrastructure services and institutional deployment outcomes.
At the same time, Consensys’ own framing highlights that the separation is not simply organizational—it is strategic. The company says the consumer and institutional businesses have “increasingly different priorities,” and the timeline suggests it expects those differences to become more consequential as each unit pursues its own growth and partnerships.
Readers should watch how Consensys handles continuity during the transition, especially how MetaMask’s expanded financial features and the institutional protocols roadmap will evolve up to the end-of-2026 completion target.
With the split planned but not yet finalized, the key near-term question is whether the product lines will remain consistent for users while each company sharpens its focus—particularly as MetaMask continues moving into payments and tokenized asset access, and the institutional unit deepens its work supporting stablecoin and tokenization initiatives.
Crypto World
World opens Solana prediction market to 1M users
World has opened its standalone Solana prediction market platform to more than 1 million waitlisted users after creating over 150,000 markets through its Phantom integration.
Summary
- More than 1 million waitlisted users can now access World through its standalone website.
- Over 150,000 markets have been created across sports, crypto, politics, finance, economics, and culture.
- Chainlink Data Streams and its Runtime Environment provide market data and automate contract resolution.
- World plans to introduce equity, commodity, and weather markets after the initial launch.
World gives waitlisted users direct market access
World said in a Sept. 9 announcement that world.xyz now gives more than 1 million waitlisted users direct access to its prediction markets, extending the service beyond the Phantom wallet where it has operated since July.
The initial selection covers every NFL regular-season game, seven soccer leagues, and Formula 1. Contracts tied to the 2026 U.S. midterm elections and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming policy decision are also available, placing political and economic events alongside sports and crypto markets.
Each market offers “yes” and “no” contracts priced between $0 and $1. Their prices represent the market’s assessment of whether an event will occur, while the final result determines which contract settles at $1 and which expires at $0.
Users settle trades with CASH, the dollar-backed stablecoin used inside Phantom. World operates as a non-custodial protocol, meaning it does not take custody of customer funds, while orders are routed to liquidity providers operating on Solana.
Unlike a conventional brokerage or centralized crypto exchange, World does not require users to open a brokerage account or register with an exchange. Phantom users still need enough funds to cover Solana network fees when opening or closing positions.
World’s service had already supported positions through Phantom before the standalone site went live. According to the company, users have opened positions through the prediction market service since June 1, 2026, while the wallet integration became publicly available in July.
The platform has not disclosed its first-day trading volume, open interest, or fee structure. Without those figures, its initial share of prediction market activity cannot yet be compared with established venues such as Kalshi and Polymarket.
Chainlink automates World market resolution
Chainlink Data Streams and the Chainlink Runtime Environment supply World with market data and automated resolution tools. Once a game finishes or another specified event reaches its deadline, the system can determine the result and settle the related contracts.
Using automated data removes the need for a human resolution panel or a vote among token holders. World said older oracle designs can also include dispute periods that delay settlement, while its Chainlink setup is designed to process outcomes from defined data sources.
Chainlink Labs Chief Business Officer Johann Eid linked World’s waitlist of more than 1 million users to demand for prediction markets built on Solana. According to Eid, Chainlink provides the data and infrastructure needed to resolve markets quickly and efficiently.
A similar model has already appeared elsewhere in the sector. In May, Myriad integrated Chainlink Data Streams and the Runtime Environment to automate the creation, resolution, and settlement of markets tied to BTC, ETH, BNB, and SOL.
Myriad also announced plans to extend its service to stocks, commodities, and other real-world assets. Its adoption showed how Chainlink’s infrastructure can coordinate external data with on-chain settlement without relying on a single manual decision-maker.
For World, the system supports contracts across categories that resolve in different ways. Sports markets require verified final scores, Federal Reserve contracts depend on official policy decisions, and election markets need confirmed results under predetermined settlement rules.
Solana keeps World liquidity onchain
Solana Foundation Head of DeFi Ramzy Ali said World introduces another type of tradable product to the network while keeping its liquidity within Solana’s on-chain economy.
Ali described the platform as “introducing a new asset class to Solana and keeping 100% of the liquidity onchain.”
World routes orders to Solana liquidity providers instead of managing trades through an off-chain order book controlled by the platform. According to the announcement, the arrangement allows capital committed to its markets to remain within the Solana network.
The standalone launch also places World among a growing group of prediction market providers competing for retail activity. Prediction market volume across Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US reached a record $50.59 billion in July, according to data reported in August.
Kalshi accounted for $37.7 billion of the total, while Polymarket’s international and U.S. platforms generated a combined $12.9 billion. The figures represented notional trading volume rather than deposits or exchange revenue because contracts can change hands several times before settlement.
World has not provided comparable turnover data for the more than 150,000 markets created through its service. Its disclosed market count measures the number of contracts launched, not the amount of money traded or the number of active customers.
Access remains available through world.xyz and inside Phantom on iOS, Android, and desktop. Phantom states that prediction markets are offered only in jurisdictions where they are supported, although the launch announcement did not provide a country-by-country availability list.
U.S. access depends on local prediction market rules
World’s inclusion of NFL games and the 2026 midterm elections gives the platform a direct connection to U.S. events, but listing an American event does not establish that users in every U.S. state can trade it.
Prediction market access in the country remains subject to disputes over federal derivatives oversight and state gambling laws. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission regulates designated contract markets, while several state authorities contend that sports and election contracts can fall under their own gaming rules.
In September, conflicting Kalshi rulings had produced different outcomes in federal appellate courts. The Third Circuit allowed an injunction protecting Kalshi from New Jersey enforcement to remain in place, while the Ninth Circuit permitted Nevada regulators to enforce state gaming requirements as litigation continued.
New Jersey subsequently asked the U.S. Supreme Court to review whether the Commodity Exchange Act prevents states from applying sports-gambling laws to event contracts listed by a CFTC-regulated exchange. The petition does not mean the Supreme Court has agreed to hear the dispute.
World has not said that it operates a CFTC-registered exchange, nor has it identified which of its contracts are accessible to U.S. residents. Its jurisdiction notice therefore remains important for American users considering markets tied to sports, elections, or Federal Reserve decisions.
After the standalone rollout, World plans to add equity up-and-down contracts. Commodity markets covering gold, silver, oil, natural gas, and computing capacity are also planned, followed by weather contracts tied to major cities.
Crypto World
The Promise of the Kurdish Peace
Turkey’s embrace of a political process—instead of simply pursuing a decisive military path—to end the conflict made it more acceptable to the PKK leadership and the Kurdish movement. Abdullah Ocalan, the leader of the PKK, had to persuade his comrades to dissolve their organization, abandon the armed struggle, and choose political struggle. Unfavorable broader regional trends against armed militancy may have helped convince Ocalan and his comrades to make that consequential choice.
The legitimacy of the political solution, in the eyes of the Kurds, determines its sustainability and transformative impact. The current peace process seeks to end the insurgency and transform the struggle for Kurdish rights and aspirations into a nonviolent political one. It could transform Turkey’s relations with its own Kurdish community and the Kurdish communities in Iraq, Syria, and Iran. Leaders of the Kurdish movement believe that they can achieve more through politics than through armed struggle, and that it isn’t only they who are transforming, but that the state, political, and legal systems in Turkey can also change. The promise of the future, rather than being beholden to the grievances of the past, is the way forward.
Crypto World
Silvergate Ex-CEO Challenges Official Account of Bank Closure
Former Silvergate Bank CEO Alan Lane said political and regulatory pressure from the Biden administration drove the crypto-focused lender’s voluntary wind-down in 2023, arguing that the bank remained solvent after weathering a deposit run.
In an inaugural Substack post on Tuesday, Lane said Silvergate could have continued operating after satisfying withdrawals equivalent to 70% of its demand deposits during the fourth quarter of 2022. He argued that a “coordinated attack by the Biden Administration” ultimately led to the wind-down, saying the bank chose liquidation “in the face of political pressure.”
Lane said Silvergate had held liquid assets that could be sold or pledged as collateral during periods of heavy withdrawals. In a January 2023 business update, the bank reported that digital asset deposits fell 68% from $11.9 billion to $3.8 billion during the quarter. Silvergate sold $5.2 billion of debt securities, recording a $718 million loss. The bank said it had $4.6 billion in cash and equivalents at year-end.
Lane’s account adds a firsthand claim to the debate over whether US agencies sought to restrict crypto companies’ access to banking. However, it differs from federal findings that attributed the bank’s liquidation to its concentrated deposit base, funding risks and weaknesses in governance and compliance.
Regulators cited risk management, compliance failures
A September 2023 review by the Federal Reserve Board’s Office of Inspector General said Silvergate’s dependence on crypto depositors, rapid growth and multilayered funding risks led to its liquidation. It also cited significant weaknesses in corporate governance and risk management and said examiners could have acted more aggressively and decisively.
Lane said no regulator had proven that Silvergate’s anti-money laundering (AML) controls failed. In July 2024, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) charged Silvergate Capital, Lane and former chief risk officer Kathleen Fraher with misleading investors about the bank’s AML program and monitoring of crypto customers.
The regulator alleged that Silvergate’s automated system failed to monitor more than $1 trillion in transactions and that the bank failed to detect nearly $9 billion in suspicious transfers among FTX entities.
Related: Silvergate’s Fraher breaks silence on settlement with Gensler’s SEC
Lane settled the SEC’s charges without admitting or denying the allegations, agreeing to a $1 million penalty and a five-year officer-and-director bar. Separately, the Federal Reserve fined Silvergate $43 million over transaction-monitoring deficiencies.
Lane also cited interagency crypto-risk statements issued in early 2023 as evidence of pressure against the industry. The statements urged banks to take a cautious approach to crypto-related activities, although the Fed said institutions were neither prohibited nor discouraged from serving any specific customer class. In April 2025, government agencies withdrew the statements.
Magazine: Is Bitcoin too volatile to risk your retirement on?
Crypto World
Bitcoin's Spot-Backed Rally Hides an Altcoin Leverage Trap Last Seen in 2025
Altcoin perpetual futures carried more open interest than Bitcoin’s on September 6, the first such flip since December 2024, according to Coinalyze data. That crossover comes even as Bitcoin’s own rally stays anchored in spot demand, not altcoin leverage.
Neoclassic Capital Co-Founder and Managing Partner Michael Bucella called Bitcoin’s advance a healthy rotation. He said the initial surge came from short covering. Spot demand and rising call-option skew have since taken over as futures positioning eased.
Altcoin Leverage Nears Levels Last Seen Before 2025’s Crash
Zcash drove most of the shift. ZEC’s derivatives book swelled to an all-time high near $2.4 billion during Zcash’s decade-high rally. Short sellers absorbed roughly $34 million in forced closures as the token broke higher.
Zcash’s rally has drawn extra attention as Grayscale files to convert its ZEC trust into a spot ETF. That filing adds a new demand angle even as leverage climbs.
Ether and tokens tied to Robinhood’s new blockchain have also outperformed. Pons, a memecoin launchpad built on that same chain, has fueled a fresh wave of token launches. Traders are rotating leverage further down the risk stack as Bitcoin’s rally matures.
Proceed to Altcoins with Caution
Bucella told CNBC’s Halftime Report the buildup echoes conditions from October 2025. That was just before a sharp market-wide liquidation. He argued Bitcoin’s own move looks comparatively healthy. It is driven by spot buying rather than pure short covering.
“I’m not saying that this move isn’t sustainable. I’m just saying you should proceed with a lot of caution.”
— Michael Bucella, CNBC
Bitcoin’s ETF-backed bid has held up despite a brief late-August outflow streak, per BeInCrypto’s September warning signs. Whether altcoin leverage unwinds as calmly is the open question for the rest of September.
The post Bitcoin's Spot-Backed Rally Hides an Altcoin Leverage Trap Last Seen in 2025 appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
The World’s Best Companies of 2026
Traditional companies in the space like French defense electronics maker Thales (no. 22; up from no. 224 in 2025) and Italian defense and aerospace company Leonardo (no. 25; up from a no. 126 in 2025) are seeing uptick in orders. At the same time, “non-traditional players are entering into the field, especially as suppliers,” Lavandier says. “In particular, a number of automotive players have entered into the fray…sometimes even selling plants, making capacity available.” Thales, for example, recently announced a sovereign drone partnership with French carmaker Renault (no. 42). A number of new startups are also taking this opportunity to translate the investment into innovations, sometimes as standalone products or in partnership with other companies, similar to Anduril’s ventures in the U.S. For example, German drone-maker Quantum Systems, which is currently supplying armed forces in Ukraine, announced significant investment from German telecomm giant Deutsche Telekom (no. 7), which owns the T-mobile brand, and also announced a new partnership with Rheinmetall (no. 287) to co-create an anti-drone shield.
Crypto World
What the U.S. and Canada’s Trade War Could Mean for Prices
The trade war is set to further escalate later this month: the Trump Administration said on Tuesday that it will bar the import of certain dairy products, motorcycles, and alcoholic drinks from Canada, starting on Sept. 29. The announcement comes after several Canadian provinces prohibited American alcoholic beverages from being sold last year.
There is no clear resolution to the conflict on the horizon, and both Trump and Carney are standing their ground.
Here’s how the tariffs—on both sides—could affect consumers amid the ongoing rift.
What products will be impacted by the U.S. and Canadian tariffs?
Experts point out, though, that the goods being affected by the tit-for-tat tariffs make up a small portion of the overall trade between the two countries. The U.S. tariffs, for instance, are impacting about 5% of the nearly $382 billion worth of goods that Canada exported to the U.S. last year, while the Canada tariffs are affecting about 6% of the more than $330 billion worth of goods that the U.S. exported to its northern neighbor in 2025.
Crypto World
Silvergate Ex-CEO Says Biden Pressure Drove 2023 Wind-Down
Former Silvergate Bank CEO Alan Lane says the lender’s 2023 voluntary wind-down was driven less by solvency concerns and more by political pressure tied to the Biden administration. In an inaugural Substack post published Tuesday, Lane argues that Silvergate could have continued operating after meeting large withdrawal demands in late 2022—contradicting the thrust of multiple regulator reviews that pointed to funding, governance, and compliance failures.
The dispute matters beyond Silvergate’s collapse because it sits at the center of a broader, ongoing debate: whether US regulators effectively squeezed crypto-focused banks through risk management scrutiny and supervisory actions, or whether the failures were primarily internal. Lane’s account adds a firsthand perspective to a record that includes Federal Reserve and SEC enforcement actions, as well as official reviews highlighting weaknesses in how the bank managed its concentrated deposit base and compliance obligations.
Key takeaways
- Alan Lane claims Silvergate remained solvent through periods of heavy withdrawals, citing liquid assets that could be sold or pledged.
- Lane attributes the 2023 liquidation decision to “political pressure,” while Federal Reserve-related reviews emphasize funding risks and governance and compliance shortcomings.
- A Federal Reserve Office of Inspector General review in 2023 linked Silvergate’s collapse to its dependence on crypto depositors and multilayered funding risks.
- The SEC charged Silvergate Capital, Lane, and former risk officer Kathleen Fraher in July 2024 over alleged deficiencies in AML-related monitoring and investor disclosures.
- Government agencies later withdrew early-2023 crypto-risk supervisory statements, but regulators’ enforcement actions continued to shape the post-mortem.
Lane argues Silvergate could withstand the withdrawal wave
Lane’s central claim is that Silvergate did not collapse because it lacked liquidity or capital to operate. He wrote that the bank had the capacity to keep running after it satisfied withdrawals equivalent to 70% of its demand deposits during the fourth quarter of 2022.
In the post, Lane argued that liquidation became the path of least resistance only after political pressure intensified. He described a “coordinated attack by the Biden Administration” as the reason Silvergate chose liquidation “in the face of political pressure.”
Lane also pointed to the bank’s reserves and balance sheet actions during the period. In a January 2023 business update, Silvergate reported that digital asset deposits declined 68% from $11.9 billion to $3.8 billion over the quarter. The bank said it sold $5.2 billion in debt securities and recorded a $718 million loss, while reporting $4.6 billion in cash and equivalents at year-end. Lane’s post leans on this picture—liquid assets were available, and funding outflows did not automatically imply insolvency.
Even if Lane’s liquidity framing is accepted, regulators’ accounts differ sharply on what ultimately caused the wind-down. Lane presents a solvency-and-strategy argument; multiple supervisory findings emphasize risk concentration, rapid funding dynamics, and compliance and governance problems.
Regulators’ assessments focus on concentration, governance, and risk controls
A September 2023 review by the Federal Reserve Board’s Office of Inspector General examined Silvergate’s failure, citing the bank’s heavy reliance on crypto depositors, rapid growth, and multilayered funding risks as key drivers behind the decision to liquidate. The review also highlighted weaknesses in corporate governance and risk management, and suggested examiners could have acted more aggressively and decisively.
Lane’s Substack post pushes back on the compliance narrative. He said no regulator had proven that Silvergate’s anti-money laundering (AML) controls failed. That assertion sits in tension with the SEC’s later enforcement actions, which specifically targeted AML monitoring practices and related disclosures.
For investors, this difference is not just rhetorical. If regulators’ conclusions primarily reflect internal control failures, then industry access to banking may be constrained mainly by compliance performance. If, instead, supervisory pressure was the decisive factor, the risk lens for lenders and crypto businesses could shift toward how regulators manage institution-level risk tolerance rather than how firms execute monitoring and governance.
SEC enforcement and the AML-monitoring allegations
Lane’s account also intersects with the SEC’s July 2024 charges. According to the SEC’s press release from that time, the agency charged Silvergate Capital, Alan Lane, and former chief risk officer Kathleen Fraher with misleading investors regarding the bank’s AML program and monitoring of crypto customers.
In the SEC’s allegations, Silvergate’s automated system failed to monitor transactions worth more than $1 trillion, and the bank allegedly failed to detect nearly $9 billion in suspicious transfers involving FTX entities.
Lane later settled the SEC case without admitting or denying the allegations. The SEC reported that the settlement included a $1 million penalty and a five-year officer-and-director bar. Separately, the Federal Reserve fined Silvergate $43 million over transaction-monitoring deficiencies, according to a Federal Reserve enforcement press release dated July 1, 2024.
Taken together, these actions support the core of regulators’ post-mortem: even if deposit withdrawals accelerated stress, supervisory authorities argued the bank’s monitoring and governance posture contributed to its inability to stabilize.
Did the industry face supervisory “pressure”? The withdrawn statements
Lane also cited early-2023 interagency crypto-risk statements as evidence of pressure on the broader industry. The Federal Reserve’s regulatory materials described guidance urging banks to take a cautious approach to crypto-related activities. The Fed also stated that institutions were neither prohibited nor discouraged from serving specific customer classes based solely on that guidance.
However, that episode did not remain permanent. In April 2025, government agencies withdrew the earlier statements, according to a Federal Reserve press release about the withdrawal.
That timeline is important for readers trying to weigh Lane’s claims against the regulatory record. The supervisory stance of early 2023 may have influenced how banks managed crypto-related risk; the later withdrawal suggests agencies eventually reassessed how the guidance was framed. Still, the SEC and Federal Reserve actions tied to Silvergate’s own monitoring and risk controls remained part of the enforcement backdrop—suggesting that whatever broader pressure existed, regulators also found failures in how Silvergate operated.
What to watch next for the “regulation vs. solvency” question
Lane’s Substack post will likely intensify the split between those who view Silvergate’s liquidation as a response to external political and supervisory pressure and those who see it as the logical endpoint of internal risk concentration and control failures. The key question now is whether further filings or proceedings clarify which factors were decisive in the wind-down—and how regulators’ changing guidance will be interpreted going forward by crypto-focused lenders.
Crypto World
Metaplanet’s Executive Stock Pool Sparks Shareholder Backlash, CEO Addresses MMXX Ties
Japanese Bitcoin treasury company Metaplanet’s executive stock pool continues to draw shareholder backlash over stock dilution concerns.
Multiple shareholders objected across social media to Metaplanet’s 10th Series executive option pool, which was designed as 20% of fully diluted shares and automatically expanded as the company issued new shares to fund its Bitcoin (BTC) accumulation.
Bitcoin Magazine CEO David Bailey defended Metaplanet’s executive stock model, saying that giving the team 20% of the cap table over five years “isn’t some crazy number” and that his company has been invested in Metaplanet since “day zero,” in a Tuesday X post.

Source: David Bailey
Some shareholders are now asking Metaplanet to cancel the additional 273 million shares created from the changes and to provide more transparency on future decisions. Metaplanet said it froze the pool at 319.5 million shares on Aug. 18, but critics contend this magnified dilution for existing shareholders, as the pool grew from 46 million shares to 319.5 million.
Pseudonymous Metaplanet shareholder Bitcoin Pharaoh claimed that Bailey personally benefited from Metaplanet’s stock options and received 300,000 options at a 105 Japanese yen strike price, when the stock was trading at 510 yen, as compensation for his role as a strategic board advisor at Metaplanet.
“Set the pool against what the shareholders contributed and the cut is 26% of the bitcoin: of every four coins the shareholders’ money bought, management took one,” wrote Bitcoin Pharaoh in a Wednesday X reply to Bailey.
Related: Metaplanet buys 2,823 BTC, surpasses 43,000 in Bitcoin holdings
Metaplanet CEO addresses MMXX ties
Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich pledged to review the company’s governance and compensation policies and sought to distance himself from Metaplanet shareholder MMXX Ventures, explaining that he is a significant but non-majority shareholder in MMXX’s parent company and holds no executive role.
“We are continuing to review our governance and compensation policies and will share any updates when that work is complete,” wrote Gerovich in a Sunday X post.
On Aug. 31, Metaplanet revealed that its CEO exercised 92,000 shares from the 10th Series executive options pool.
VanEck’s head of digital asset research, Matthew Sigel, said that Metaplanet should “freeze” further exercise rights from the 10th Series option pool, have holders voluntarily surrender the excess rights and weigh additional options related to the shares that have already been exercised.
“Finally, replace Series 10 with a shareholder-approved, five-year incentive plan tied primarily to BTC per fully diluted share,” wrote Sigel in a Wednesday X post.
In an Aug. 18 notice, Metaplanet acknowledged that the decision to expand the share pool “amplifies the dilution borne by existing shareholders.”
Cointelegraph has request comment from Metaplanet on whether it would consider freezing the remaining shares in the executive pool.

Metaplanet stock price, five-day chart. Source: Yahoo Finance
Metaplanet’s shares closed up in Wednesday’s Tokyo trading, trimming their five-day decline to roughly 16.3%, according to Yahoo Finance.
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