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Bab Al-Mandeb Strait Betting Odds Hit 18% as Price Hinges on a Data Trigger

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Bab Al-Mandeb Strait Betting Odds Hit 18% as Price Hinges on a Data Trigger

Polymarket traders are pricing an 18% implied probability that the Bab Al-Mandeb Strait betting odds meet the platform’s definition of “effectively closed” before December 31, 2026, based on the market’s live pricing as of its September 24 update.

The contract does not require any government or naval authority to declare the waterway shut; it resolves Yes only if IMF PortWatch records a seven-day moving average of 10 or fewer ship arrivals on any date before the deadline.

SOURCE: Polymarket Bab Al Mandeb Strait Betting Odds

That distinction matters more than the headline number. Shipping through the strait has collapsed by most measures on record, but collapse and the contract’s specific data trigger are not the same thing.

Also, nothing in the available reporting confirms that the seven-day threshold has actually been crossed. Polymarket has run into this same verification gap before on Houthi-linked contracts, where ground-truth confirmation lags the market’s appetite for a clean binary answer.

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Bab Al Mandeb Strait Betting Odds: What Does the Shipping Data Actually Show?

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Houthi forces seized Yemen’s Red Sea coastline, the port of Mokha, Perim (Mayun) Island, and the Hanish Islands in mid-September, putting the group in control of both shores flanking the strait. No government or maritime authority has declared Bab el-Mandeb closed, but the traffic figures reported since then are stark and inconsistent across time windows.

Anadolu Agency reported on September 17 that only four vessels transited the strait in the preceding 24 hours, against a roughly 33-vessel daily norm, an 88% decline, with oil and chemical tanker traffic down 91% and container ship traffic down 86%.

Six days earlier, the same outlet cited Kpler data putting daily transits at around 26 to 27 vessels, a steep drop from the roughly 70-vessel pre-crisis baseline but nowhere near the four-vessel reading that followed.

Those two figures are not contradictory. They’re different windows capturing different moments in a fast-moving blockade. A single 24-hour count of four vessels is not a seven-day moving average, and a seven-day average sitting anywhere from 15 to 27 vessels a day.

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Have Your Say on the Al Mandeb Strait Closure on Polymarket

The Houthi Claim and the Contract’s Blind Spot

The Houthis maintain they are enforcing a targeted embargo on Saudi-linked shipping while asserting safe passage for other vessels, a claim attributed to the group and not independently verified in the available reporting.

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International statements have emphasized freedom of navigation under UNCLOS, but assurances of safe passage from a party controlling both shores of the strait carry obvious credibility limits that the PortWatch data trigger sidesteps entirely.

That’s the core tension embedded in this market. Geopolitical risk around Bab el-Mandeb is plainly elevated, with rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope, rising insurance premiums, and the broader Iran-linked regional conflict all pressuring the corridor.

But the Polymarket contract pays out only on a narrow statistical condition, not on the broader sense that the route has become commercially unusable. Polymarket has drawn this same line before on other geopolitical contracts, where the news cycle outran the specific resolution language written into the market.

Bab Al Mandeb Strait Scenarios Into Year-End

If the IMF PortWatch seven-day average shows 10 or fewer arrivals on a qualifying date before December 31, the Yes side resolves immediately, meaning one bad week could settle the contract.

If arrivals stay in the mid-teens to mid-20s, uncertainty remains without triggering resolution, despite the high war-risk premiums shippers face. Restoring daily counts above 10 would likely reduce the 18% price, though historical reactions to data prints aren’t specified.

The key takeaway for traders is to understand resolution criteria before interpreting headline probabilities, since the 18% price reflects contract specifics rather than the broader situation at Bab el-Mandeb.

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Cryptocurrency is entering a “new bull market”; BTC holders earn $7,770 in passive income through SHR Miner.

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Cryptocurrency is entering a "new bull market"; BTC holders earn $7,770 in passive income through SHR Miner. - 3

Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.

A pullback in oil prices and easing supply concerns drove U.S. stocks higher and boosted the cryptocurrency market.

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Summary

  • The report says Bitcoin reached $86,332 on Bitstamp, up 5.7% on the day.
  • It links the broader market rally to falling oil prices and easing supply concerns.
  • SHR Miner advertises remote Bitcoin mining contracts lasting 7 to 55 days.
  • The listed daily rewards and contract returns are company estimates, not guaranteed income.

Bitcoin surpassed $86,000 for the first time since late January. According to TradingView data, Bitcoin hit $86,332 on the Bitstamp exchange, marking a 33-week high, with a daily gain of 5.7% at the time of writing.

This surge has further fueled market optimism regarding Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. Market analysts have even dubbed the current cryptocurrency market a “new bull market.”

As market attention heats up, some cryptocurrency users are starting to look for ways to generate income beyond simply holding their coins and are turning their attention to SHR Miner in search of passive BTC income opportunities.

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Cryptocurrency is entering a "new bull market"; BTC holders earn $7,770 in passive income through SHR Miner. - 3

As a leading global SHR Miner cloud mining platform, it enables users to enter the lucrative world of cryptocurrency mining by remotely renting ASIC mining hash power; simply purchasing a contract package allows you to start mining, regardless of your technical knowledge or experience level.

How to get started with BTC mining:

Starting your cloud mining journey with SHR Miner is very simple.

  • Create an account to receive $15 worth of free mining power (generating $0.60 in daily earnings).
  • Selecting a Contract: In the contract hashrate section, eligible users can select contract packages ranging from 7 to 55 days and earn daily variable BTC mining returns based on the purchased hashrate and applicable product rules.

Compared to probability-based individual mining, this pool-based mining model offers a more continuous and observable mining experience, while eliminating the cost of owning or operating mining equipment.

Examples of returns on popular mining contract packages:

Cloud mining contract Contract price Duration Estimated daily reward Estimated contract reward
Bitcoin Miner S21 XP Imm $5,000 25 days $70.50 $1,762.50
MICROBT WhatsMiner M73 $8,000 30 days $116.80 $3,504
Bitcoin Miner S21e XP Hyd $10,000 35 days $151 $5,285
ANTSPACE HK3 $30,000 40 days $513 $20,520

Click here to view more premium contract plans.

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SHR Miner cloud mining employs a model based on leasing computing power from remote data centers. This reduces initial capital requirements and provides greater cash flow flexibility, while also lowering total mining costs.

David, COO of SHR Miner, stated: “Mining should be accessible to everyone who wishes to participate, rather than being limited to those with the means to purchase and operate professional equipment. By launching our cloud mining service, we are providing a more convenient pathway for a wider range of users to engage in professional Proof-of-Work mining, while simultaneously expanding SHR Miner’s multi-asset ecosystem. Our goal is to connect everyday users with professional-grade infrastructure through a transparent, integrated experience.”

Overview

As a leading cloud cryptocurrency mining platform, SHR Miner has attracted the attention of numerous investors thanks to its convenient investment approach and array of advantages. It offers a simple, secure, and stable investment method while allowing investors to choose from flexible investment options and earnings mechanisms tailored to their specific needs. If you are interested in mining investments, don’t miss out on the lucrative returns driven by the Bitcoin bull market!

Join SHR Miner today to start your mining journey with ease and confidence, and explore the limitless possibilities of cloud mining!

For more information, please visit its official website: https://shrminer.com/

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Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.

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5 Financial Layers Could Power the Next Crypto Bull Market

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Why AI Agents Pay in Stablecoins

In September 2026, the total crypto market cap increased nearly 7%. Several major assets hit multi-month highs. So are we in a definitive bull market? And which assets will win big?

The current cycle is important because a lot has happened against the market’s favor. US Fed increased interest rates, and the Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act. And yet, Bitcoin price climbed to its highest level since January. 

Analysts at BloFin Research argue the next bull market could look very different. In their view, a single category of tokens or applications won’t define the cycle.

Instead, it will be shaped by five distinct layers. 

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Next Bull Market Won’t Keep the Money Inside Crypto

Every crypto bull market so far has had a headline narrative. Those stories ranged from Bitcoin as digital money to smart-contract platforms, DeFi, and NFTs.

BloFin Research notes that most of the activity in those cycles stayed inside crypto. Fresh capital came in, moved from token to token, and created new ways to speculate. That held true even when the technology behind a trend aimed at something wider.

However, a different pattern could be taking shape now. Several of crypto’s quickest-growing sectors lean the same way. Together, they point toward crypto acting as a parallel market for the broader financial world.

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  • Stablecoins
  • Tokenization
  • RWA perps
  • Prediction markets
  • Token value accrual

These sectors are often discussed as separate narratives, but BloFin Research views them as layers of one stack.

1. Stablecoins

Stablecoins form the cash leg of the stack. BloFin Research says they are expanding from crypto trading into real-world payments

This is visible in adoption. Visa’s stablecoin settlement volume passed a $20 billion annualized run rate. That is more than 15 times the level a year earlier. 

The next step could likely be AI agents paying for data and computing power in stablecoins. BlackRock made a similar case in a recent paper, naming stablecoins a key candidate for “machine-native money.” 

Why AI Agents Pay in Stablecoins
Why AI Agents Pay in Stablecoins. Source: BloFin Research

2. Tokenization

Tokenization supplies the asset leg by bringing real-world ownership on-chain. BloFin Research says commodities and stocks now rank among the quickest-growing tokenized assets.

Tokenized commodities reached $5.55 billion by the end of Q1, led mostly by gold. That marks a 289% rise since the start of 2025.

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RWA Growth in 2026.
RWA Growth in 2026. Source: BloFin Research

Tokenized equities grew even faster, up 390% this year to $4.43 billion by mid-September. Even so, only about 0.0029% of the $151.9 trillion global listed-equity market is tokenized. That leaves ample room for growth as access widens and on-chain use deepens.

3. RWA Perps

RWA perps make up the leverage leg. These contracts allow traders to take leveraged positions in stocks, commodities, or indices without owning the underlying assets. 

An RWA perp mainly needs a reliable price feed, liquidity, collateral, and a liquidation system. Tokenizing an asset, by contrast, requires legal structuring, custody, and investor-eligibility rules. 

Analysts at BloFin Research think the difference helps explain why synthetic exposure can scale faster than tokenized ownership.

RWA Perps Volume Growth
RWA Perps Volume Growth. Source: BloFin Research

DefiLlama data shows that RWA-perps volume rose from $122 billion in Q1 to $2.2 trillion in Q3. Open interest now tops $15.3 billion.

4. Prediction Markets

Prediction markets act as the information leg. They turn news and expectations into probabilities backed by traders’ money. That has made prediction markets one of crypto’s standout sectors this year.

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On-chain prediction market volume reached about $5.24 billion so far in September, according to a Dune dashboard. That is more than triple the roughly $1.56 billion recorded in September 2025.

Ahead of the 2026 FOMC meetings, odds on Kalshi and Polymarket moved in response to incoming economic data. They then drifted toward CME FedWatch as each decision approached.

BloFin Research adds that these probability feeds are becoming machine-readable, so AI agents can use them as live signals.

The Intersection of AI Agents and Prediction Markets.
The Intersection of AI Agents and Prediction Markets. Source: BloFin Research

5. Token Value Accrual

Value accrual is the final test of the bull market. In simple terms, value accrual means how a crypto protocol’s success translates into value for its token holders.

Analysts argue that usage requires a credible mechanism to convert it into value for token holders. That can take the form of buybacks, burns, distributions, or treasury growth.

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For example, if a DEX does $10 billion in trading volume and earns $20 million in real fees, but none of that $20 million has any connection to its token, the token has weak value accrual.

The current token-emissions model has lost credibility. Traditional investors, focused on revenue and cash flow, also want a measurable link to token value, it adds.

Token Value Accrual Model

BloFin Research points to three major DeFi protocols as examples, each using a different mechanism. Hyperliquid burns HYPE bought with trading fees, while Uniswap links protocol fees to UNI burns. Aave sends revenue to its DAO, which can fund AAVE buybacks.

Buyback spending has also hit a record this year. Crypto projects repurchased $638 million of their own tokens by late August, according to data from Allium Labs. Hyperliquid and Pump.fun accounted for nearly 90% of that total.

How the Layers Feed Each Other

These five layers reinforce each other. Stablecoins serve as collateral for perps and as the settlement asset for tokenized securities. Tokenized stocks and RWA perps both take their prices from traditional markets, but they serve different needs. Tokenization carries ownership, while perps carry leveraged price exposure. 

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Data from perps and prediction markets then becomes a signal for traders, models, and AI agents. Fees from all of this activity feed the value leg.

But there are two potential challenges. Infrastructure for AI agent payments is arriving before the volume does. The value of equity perps as a pricing signal also depends on liquidity, since thin markets can produce noisy or manipulated readings.

The post 5 Financial Layers Could Power the Next Crypto Bull Market appeared first on BeInCrypto.




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Philadelphia Fed’s Anna Paulson says ‘modest’ rate moves likely ahead to tame inflation

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Philadelphia Fed’s Anna Paulson says ‘modest’ rate moves likely ahead to tame inflation
Philadelphia Fed’s Anna Paulson says ‘modest’ rate moves likely ahead to tame inflation

Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Anna Paulson said Thursday that she and her colleagues may need to raise interest rates further to bring inflation back to target.

Speaking a week after the Federal Open Market Committee raised benchmark borrowing rates by a quarter percentage point, Paulson said inflation trends are still worrying.

The rate hike, which took the key funds rate to a target range of 3.75%-4%, “brings policy closer to what I believe is needed to return inflation to 2% at a pace that balances inflation with risks to the labor market. Looking ahead, if conditions evolve as I expect, some modest further tightening may be warranted.”

Though the summer showed some moderating in price pressures, she said underlying inflation is still running around 2.5%-3%, “well above our 2% target, and the gap has shown little signs of closing.”

“The best I can say about underlying inflation this year is that it hasn’t gotten worse,” Paulson said in prepared remarks for a fintech conference in her home district. She noted that inflation has held higher even outside of the oil supply shocks from the Iran war and tariffs.

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Outside of inflation, Paulson said economic output “has been solid” while the labor market is “holding steady.”

The comments come as markets have raised their expectations for Fed tightening dramatically.

Another leg up this week has taken longer-duration Treasury yields to highs not seen since 2004. Traders are now pricing in a 64% chance the FOMC hikes again in October, then expect another move in January, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Fed funds futures contracts are implying a rate of 4.8% by the end of 2027, which would indicate the expectation of as many as four quarter-point increases ahead.

New York Fed President John Williams said earlier Thursday that he thinks it’s “reasonable” to expect another hike before the end of the year

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Solana Foundation Adds Ex-Binance CMO and Payments Lead for Partnerships

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Crypto Breaking News

Solana Foundation has moved to strengthen its institutional and payments push with two senior hires, naming former Binance chief marketing officer Rachel Conlan as chief strategy officer and Polygon Labs executive Jamal Raees as general manager of payments.

The appointments come as Solana attempts to broaden its footprint beyond developers into mainstream business use cases, including stablecoin payments and tokenized deposits—areas the foundation says it plans to prioritize through partnerships and ecosystem growth.

Key takeaways

  • Rachel Conlan joins Solana Foundation as chief strategy officer, overseeing institutional partnerships, ecosystem expansion, and business onboarding efforts.
  • Jamal Raees becomes general manager of payments, with a mandate to deepen ties with payments companies and focus on infrastructure for payment-service builders.
  • Solana’s hiring decisions follow the March launch of the Solana Developer Platform, which introduced Modern Treasury as a payments infrastructure partner.
  • AWS has added Solana support to its x402 feature, designed to let website owners charge AI agents in USDC for access to content.
  • Solana is also preparing the Alpenglow network upgrade, which is intended to reduce transaction finality time from about 12.8 seconds to roughly 150 milliseconds.

Conlan’s strategy role targets institutions and business adoption

In her new position, Conlan will lead Solana Foundation’s strategy work across multiple fronts, including institutional partnerships, ecosystem growth, and initiatives intended to bring businesses onto the Solana network.

Solana Foundation noted that Conlan spent three years at Binance, and previously held senior roles at OKX, CAA Sports, and Havas. The breadth of that background—spanning major exchange marketing leadership and broader corporate experience—signals that the foundation is aiming to close the gap between crypto-native infrastructure and the requirements of traditional business partners.

For investors and builders, the practical question is whether this strategy focus translates into more deployment-ready payment tools and repeatable enterprise onboarding. Conlan’s remit includes institutional partnerships, which typically require more than technical compatibility; they often depend on compliance readiness, commercial go-to-market support, and partnerships that can scale beyond pilots.

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Raees to focus on payments infrastructure and stablecoin growth

Raees’ mandate is more narrowly centered on payments. Solana Foundation said he will deepen engagement with major payments companies and concentrate on the infrastructure that teams use to build payment services on Solana.

In a statement provided by Solana Foundation, Raees said his focus would be “driving greater adoption and usage of stablecoins and tokenized deposits,” with an emphasis on global markets.

That emphasis matters because stablecoins and tokenized deposits sit at the intersection of crypto and regulated finance: they are frequently the use cases that business partners ask for when evaluating whether to integrate with blockchain networks. By putting Raees in charge of the payments layer, Solana Foundation is effectively prioritizing the parts of its stack that help other companies launch compliant-looking payment products at scale.

Developer Platform and early partners widen the payments pathway

The hiring decisions follow Solana Foundation’s March launch of the Solana Developer Platform. The program includes Modern Treasury as a payments infrastructure partner, and early users cited by the foundation include Mastercard and Western Union.

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While the announcement does not detail commercial outcomes, the pairing of high-profile payments ecosystem names with a dedicated developer platform is notable. It suggests Solana is trying to reduce friction for companies that want to build payment services without having to assemble every component themselves.

For traders and market participants, these kinds of platform moves can be important even when they don’t immediately show up in price headlines—because they can shape liquidity, transaction routing, and long-term user flows. The immediate impact may be hard to measure, but the direction of travel is clear: more institutional and payments integration pathways, supported by infrastructure partners.

AWS x402 expands a new USDC distribution route for content access

Separately, Amazon Web Services added Solana among the networks supported by its x402 feature, which lets website owners charge AI agents in USDC for access to content.

This development points to an increasingly common pattern in blockchain adoption: using stablecoins as a payment rail for specific application workflows rather than relying on general-purpose speculative activity. In this case, the integration is framed around access and usage billing for AI-related content delivery.

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For builders, the value is practical—integrating a supported chain and stablecoin into a cloud product can lower deployment complexity. For Solana users, it may open additional demand channels for USDC in app environments that are not traditionally crypto-native.

Alpenglow upgrade aims to materially shorten finality

Solana is also preparing its Alpenglow network upgrade. The foundation says the planned change is intended to reduce transaction finality from about 12.8 seconds to roughly 150 milliseconds.

Finality improvements can matter for payment-related apps because faster confirmation reduces friction for interactive user experiences and can improve operational reliability for services that depend on timely settlement. While the announcement here is focused on the goal and not on delivery timelines, the magnitude of the proposed shift suggests Solana is actively targeting performance characteristics that are often central to enterprise evaluations.

It also provides an additional reason why payments-focused hires are arriving now: infrastructure improvements and commercial expansion efforts are being coordinated around the same core objective—making Solana more practical for real-world financial workflows.

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Stablecoin and tokenized asset activity underscores the payments thesis

Solana Foundation said the network has processed more than $5 trillion in stablecoin volume so far in 2026. It also reported more than $4.5 billion in real-world assets on the network and more than $620 million in tokenized equity supply.

Those figures support the foundation’s broader narrative that stablecoins and tokenization are becoming more than isolated experiments. However, readers should still watch how activity translates into durable partnerships and product launches—particularly in environments where payments and tokenized deposits require robust operational controls, predictable settlement behavior, and clear integration paths.

With Conlan and Raees taking on strategy and payments leadership just as Solana’s Developer Platform and Alpenglow upgrade work are underway, the next signals to watch are whether early ecosystem users expand, whether stablecoin and tokenized deposit integrations move from pilots into ongoing deployments, and how the network’s performance targets line up with the demands of real payment services.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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AI Agents Could Wipe Out $1.4 Trillion in Wall Street Fees, Sharplink CEO Says

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AI Agents and Financial Fees

Sharplink CEO Joseph Chalom projects that AI agents will eliminate nearly a quarter of global finance fees by 2035. 

His team’s model puts the resulting investor savings at $1.4 trillion a year. Chalom, a former BlackRock executive, set out the forecast in an X post on Wednesday.

A $4 Trillion Prize and a $180 Billion Blind Spot

Chalom’s team modeled 10 financial verticals through 2035. The model puts more than $1 trillion in annual financial services revenue up for grabs by 2030. Chalom expects that figure to reach $4 trillion a year by 2035.

AI Agents and Financial Fees
AI Agents and Financial Fees. Source: X/Joseph Chalom

The model assumes agents will make financial providers compete more aggressively on fees. Consumers would then keep an extra $350 billion a year by 2030, before the figure climbs to $1.4 trillion.

Chalom also points to roughly $15 trillion that US households hold in checking, savings, and short-term deposits. Much of it earns well below money-market rates, which he says costs savers at least $180 billion a year.

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“Over $1 trillion of annual global financial services revenue is going to be up for grabs by 2030, growing to $4 trillion annually by 2035. Every major bank, broker, payments firm, and digital assets company is racing to capture a share in one of the most important battles over money and value we will see in our time,” he said.

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Visa, Coinbase, and Circle Race for the Agent’s Wallet

Chalom says the contest to control these agents has already begun. He names Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, PayPal, Circle, Tether, Robinhood, Coinbase, and Binance among the contenders. 

In his view, the winner would also decide which products agents recommend and where idle cash gets swept.

“Whoever owns the infrastructure, owns the agent, and therefore the customer,” Chalom added.

BlackRock’s research paper this week made a related case, naming stablecoins as the leading candidate for agent payments. 

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Chalom argues that agentic transactions will predominantly occur where stablecoins, tokenized assets, and DeFi liquidity are concentrated, with much of that activity currently centered in the  Ethereum (ETH) ecosystem. He points to Ethereum’s record of 3.6 million daily transactions in April as evidence of the network’s growing activity.

That outlook lines up with Sharplink’s balance sheet. The company held 891,714 ETH as of September 14, according to its dashboard.

Fidelity Digital Assets offered a more cautious read in August. Senior research analyst Max Wadington warned that closed systems run by tech and fintech firms could instead absorb agent activity.

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The post AI Agents Could Wipe Out $1.4 Trillion in Wall Street Fees, Sharplink CEO Says appeared first on BeInCrypto.



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Bybit CEO Says Pure Crypto Exchange Era Is Ending

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All news, reviews, and analyses are produced with full journalistic independence and integrity. For more details on our standards and processes, please read our Editorial Policy.



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Why Blockchain Startups Need Different Marketing for Institutional Investors

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Most crypto and fintech founders build their marketing for retail audiences first. That’s understandable — retail audiences are large, accessible, and respond to the energy that drives a project’s early community. But when the same founder walks into a family office meeting or pitches an institutional fund carrying materials built for someone else, the results are predictable: polite non-answers, long silences, no term sheet.

Institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals evaluate blockchain companies differently than retail participants do. They have legal teams, compliance officers, and risk committees. They care about regulatory positioning, not roadmaps. They read footnotes. Reaching them requires a different kind of marketing — one built around credibility, precision, and compliance awareness from the ground up.

Positioning: Stop Competing With the Noise

The first problem most blockchain startups have is that their positioning is indistinguishable from thousands of other projects. “Decentralized,” “trustless,” “next-generation” — these words appear on countless project websites and tell an institutional investor nothing useful. At best, they signal that the team communicates for retail traders. At worst, they raise the concern that the project can’t explain itself in plain terms.

Effective positioning for institutional audiences starts with specificity. What problem, exactly, does this company solve? For whom? What is the market size, sourced from identifiable data? What does the competitive landscape actually look like — not dismissively (“we’re better than X”), but in an honest structural analysis of where this company sits?

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A family office managing $200 million doesn’t need to feel excited. It needs to see that the founding team understands the space clearly enough to place a coherent bet on itself.

The table below shows how the two audiences read the same marketing signals differently:

The implication is direct: a company can’t run one marketing program for both audiences. The signals that build retail excitement actively undermine institutional credibility.

Credibility-Building Content: Show Work, Not Vision

Institutional investors don’t respond to vision decks the way early adopters do. They respond to evidence. A content strategy targeting this audience needs to demonstrate expertise, not announce ambition.

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The content formats that carry real weight with institutional readers are specific:

  • Audited white papers — written to a technical standard, with methodology documented and findings signed off by an independent auditor, not internal team members
  • Cited research reports — market analysis, protocol assessments, or competitive reviews thorough enough that other practitioners reference them
  • Trade press bylines — published in Bloomberg, the Financial Times, Reuters, The Block, or CoinDesk’s institutional coverage, not consumer crypto outlets
  • Legal and regulatory memos — brief, factual documents that show the company understands its jurisdictional exposure and has addressed it
  • Team credential materials — structured backgrounds for key hires that surface relevant prior roles: exchange positions, regulatory agency experience, institutional fund management

Leadership credibility is a separate lever. Institutional investors diligence people before they diligence protocols. A CIO who previously ran a prime brokerage desk, or a general counsel who came from a regulatory agency — these are marketing assets. They belong in investor materials, not buried in an about page.

Working with a specialist in blockchain marketing, such as ICODA, often makes sense at this stage because the content standards for institutional audiences differ in kind, not just degree. A generalist agency experienced in SaaS or e-commerce campaigns doesn’t know why a tokenomics paper needs an independent auditor’s sign-off — or why a hedge fund’s compliance officer will kill a deal if the company’s website carries “not financial advice” disclaimers in the footer while the homepage talks about guaranteed yields.

Compliance-Aware Messaging: The Rules Are Part of the Product

This is where most blockchain startups underestimate the problem. Securities law, AML obligations, investor accreditation requirements, and jurisdiction-specific disclosure rules create a constraint landscape that effective institutional marketing has to be built inside — not layered onto afterward.

These are the messaging mistakes that most commonly damage credibility with institutional audiences — and in some cases create direct legal exposure:

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  • Implying returns — any language that suggests historical performance will repeat, or that a yield is predictable, is both a compliance violation and a red flag for legal teams
  • Skipping risk sections — pitch decks or one-pagers that omit regulatory risk, counterparty risk, or liquidity risk read as either naïve or deliberately evasive
  • Using general solicitation channels for restricted offerings — an email campaign or social post promoting a Regulation D private placement to an unqualified audience can void the exemption entirely
  • Inconsistent disclaimers — “not financial advice” in the footer while the homepage describes projected returns signals to compliance reviewers that the team doesn’t understand what the disclaimer actually requires

None of this means messaging has to be evasive. It means it has to be precise. There’s a difference between “our protocol returned 340% to early participants” (a liability) and “here is an independent analysis of how the protocol performed under the following conditions” (a reference document). The second version tells the same story with more substance and less exposure.

Institutional-grade messaging also addresses risk directly. Retail marketing tends to minimize or avoid risk language. Institutional investors expect it. A pitch deck that doesn’t acknowledge regulatory risk, counterparty risk, and liquidity risk reads as either naïve or evasive. A risk section isn’t a weakness — it demonstrates that the team has a mature view of its own business.

The Underlying Issue

The gap between retail crypto marketing and institutional crypto marketing isn’t a matter of tone or production quality. It’s a structural difference in what the audience values, what they’re allowed to respond to, and what professional consequences they face if they back a company that turns out to have operated carelessly.

Institutional capital markets run on reputation and referrals. A firm that impresses a family office once gets introduced to three others. A firm that wastes their time doesn’t get a second meeting.

The companies that close institutional rounds aren’t always the ones with the best technology. They’re the ones that understood who they were talking to and built everything — content, positioning, legal review, distribution channels — around that understanding. That’s not a niche marketing problem. It’s a business problem that marketing is responsible for solving.

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Why Did SpaceX Stock Fall 4% Days Before Starship's Biggest Flight?

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SpaceX stock price chart ahead of share unlock

SpaceX stock fell more than 4% on September 23, one day before a lockup expiration freed about 328 million shares for trading.

The selling pressure comes ahead of Starship Flight 14, the rocket’s first planned trip into Earth orbit and its first revenue-generating mission.

Starship Flight 14 Targets Orbit With Paying Cargo

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk said on September 24 that the company is preparing for a Monday launch, which falls on September 28. By then, the launch tower’s mechanical arms had already stacked Ship 41 on top of Super Heavy Booster 21.

Until now, every Starship test stayed on a suborbital path by design. This time, the fully assembled 124-meter rocket aims for an orbit roughly 275 kilometers above Earth, SpaceX says. The flight should last nearly 10 hours and circle the planet about six times.

Moreover, the ship will carry 26 Starlink V3 satellites instead of dummy mass. Chief Financial Officer Bret Johnsen described the flight as the vehicle’s first revenue-generating mission.

However, SpaceX will not try a tower catch. Both stages are expendable, so the booster will splash down in the Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile, SpaceX plans a deorbit burn that brings the ship down in the Pacific west of Chile.

Why SpaceX Stock Faces Selling Pressure

News of the orbital attempt first lifted shares above $150 in mid-September. Since then, fresh supply has weighed on SpaceX stock. The company releases insider shares in stages rather than all at once, and the first tranche unlocked in August.

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The previous tranche unlocked on September 9, and the stock fell 3.9% that day.

SpaceX stock price chart ahead of share unlock
SpaceX (SPCX) Stock Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Still, the expiration does not force anyone to sell. Instead, the real impact depends on how many insiders cash out. Further tranches are scheduled through June 2027.

On the fundamental side, Wall Street treats Flight 14 as a key proof point. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas holds a Buy rating and a $300 price target, implying about 99% upside. In his view, the market underprices SpaceX’s AI and orbital computing plans.

A clean orbit and satellite deployment would give Starship its first commercial proof. Until then, SpaceX stock looks caught between launch progress and a growing pool of tradable shares.

The post Why Did SpaceX Stock Fall 4% Days Before Starship's Biggest Flight? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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DoubleZero launches Hyperliquid order book feeds on Edge

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can HYPE hit $100 in 2026?

DoubleZero has launched five Hyperliquid data feeds on Edge, giving subscribers a live view of the exchange’s order book and trade[XYZ] markets over dedicated fiber.

Summary

  • Four feeds cover Hyperliquid’s native perpetuals and trade[XYZ] markets, including contracts linked to commodities.
  • A fifth feed carries order intents drawn from Hyperliquid’s mempool transactions.
  • DoubleZero says subscribers receive sequenced data without having to rebuild the order book from public API updates.
  • Hyperliquid joins Solana and Kalshi as the third venue available through Edge.

According to a Sep. 24 announcement from the DoubleZero Foundation shared with crypto.news, the new service delivers Hyperliquid market data in a machine-readable format for trading firms, market makers and quantitative desks. The launch was built with Hyperliquid validator operators and ecosystem partners Hyperion DeFi, MAVAN and Kinetiq.

Subscribers can receive four market data feeds covering Hyperliquid’s native perpetual futures and trade[XYZ] markets under HIP-3, the system that lets outside teams create perpetual futures markets on Hyperliquid. A separate feed carries order intents from mempool transactions. Together, the products give firms information they can use in their own pricing, hedging and trading systems, according to DoubleZero.

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The foundation said the feeds are available now through a paid subscription. Its website lists prices, and each subscription includes two IP addresses per region.

Hyperliquid feeds replace work firms did through public APIs

For firms tracking many contracts at once, DoubleZero said, maintaining a current order book has meant collecting public API responses, managing WebSocket connections, and rebuilding the book on their own systems. Changes to Hyperliquid’s public APIs have reduced the update frequency and depth available through those endpoints, according to the announcement.

Edge instead sends subscribers a sequenced feed across DoubleZero’s fiber network. The company says its infrastructure draws on validator operators and partners in Tokyo to provide a view of Hyperliquid’s order book. It describes the service as its fastest commercially available Hyperliquid feed, though the announcement does not include comparative latency measurements.

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The distinction matters for automated systems that act on changes in bids, offers and completed trades. DoubleZero says a delayed or missed update can affect whether a trading strategy fills an order. Its product supplies the data path; firms still use their own systems to decide whether and how to trade.

In a September interview about Kalshi, DoubleZero co-founder Austin Federa described Edge as a read-only data service without order-entry or execution functions. That account explains the role the company has assigned to its distribution platform, although the Hyperliquid announcement does not set out separate execution terms for the new feed.

Trade[XYZ] brings commodity markets into the feed

The Hyperliquid package includes trade[XYZ]’s HIP-3 contracts tied to assets such as oil, gold and silver. Unlike a conventional futures contract with an expiration date, a perpetual contract can remain open while funding payments help keep its price close to the reference asset.

The size of those markets gives the data launch a use beyond crypto pairs. A September report covered by crypto.news put trade[XYZ] Q2 volume at $202.36 billion, up 79.2% from the previous quarter, based on research by GLC Research, Four Pillars, Arrakis and GRZ Research. The report also estimated that trade[XYZ] accounted for 95.1% of HIP-3 trading volume during the quarter. Those figures came from external research, rather than audited company results.

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DoubleZero said Hyperliquid as a whole processed more than $662 billion in trading volume in Q2. Its launch statement presents the growth of crypto and asset-linked perpetuals as a reason firms need a consistent stream of market data, particularly when the contracts continue trading outside the hours of established exchanges.

“When traditional markets are closed, oil and other assets still trade, they just trade somewhere else,” Federa said in the announcement. He compared Edge’s publish-once distribution model with the market data systems used by NYSE, Nasdaq and CME.

DoubleZero adds Hyperliquid after Kalshi and Solana

Hyperliquid is the third venue on Edge. In August, Kalshi opened its order book to Edge subscribers, starting with Level 1 and Level 2 data for sports contracts and crypto perpetual futures. Level 1 covers the best bid and ask and completed trades; Level 2 shows orders at multiple prices. DoubleZero had earlier introduced Edge with Solana validator data.

The Kalshi rollout also showed how DoubleZero distributes venue data: a publisher sends information once, and the network delivers it to connected subscribers. Hyperliquid adds another source to that service, with feeds spanning its native contracts and markets operated by an outside HIP-3 deployer.

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Hyunsu Jung, CEO of Hyperion DeFi, said his firm is participating in the launch alongside Kinetiq and MAVAN. DoubleZero named the three as ecosystem partners but did not assign each one a separate technical role in the announcement.

U.S. energy proposal remains before the CFTC

The Hyperliquid feeds include markets relevant to a U.S. regulatory debate, though a market data subscription does not, by itself, authorize trading a contract in the United States. In August, Hyperliquid Policy Center and trade[XYZ] asked the CFTC to permit regulated perpetuals tied to West Texas Intermediate crude, Brent crude and Henry Hub natural gas. Their filing argued that continuous contracts could let U.S. firms manage energy exposure during weekends.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission was reviewing questions about continuous energy trading and perpetual contract design, including reference prices, surveillance, margin and customer safeguards. The agency had not approved the proposed energy products when the groups submitted their filing in August.

DoubleZero’s announcement also referred to an August signal from the U.S. president about a possible compliant path for Hyperliquid. It did not identify an approval, a launch date for U.S. trading, or a change to the platform’s existing access rules.

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For the present launch, DoubleZero says the five Hyperliquid feeds are available by subscription through its website, with two subscriber IP addresses included per region.



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Crypto investment firm RockawayX puts $150M behind push for trade finance, private credit onchain

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Crypto investment firm RockawayX puts $150M behind push for trade finance, private credit onchain

The next big opportunity is in assets that offer higher returns and behave differently from crypto markets, CEO Viktor Fischer said in an interview with CoinDesk.

“Our thesis going forward that after trading, yield will be the largest use case onchain” Fischer said. For that, “we need new sources of yield, 12% plus, uncorrelated to crypto,” he added.

Catapult will focus on areas including trade and supply-chain finance, specialty asset-backed securities, CLOs and real-estate-related credit.

Fischer said the appeal of putting less-liquid assets onchain is that market makers can create an exit even when the underlying investment has lengthy redemption periods.

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RockawayX is looking for traditional finance professionals who know how to originate and underwrite those assets, then pair them with crypto-native operators who can help structure and distribute them onchain.

“The hard part of RWAs was never tokenization. It’s everything after: who buys the asset, where it trades and what happens when someone needs to get out,” Fischer said.



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