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Crypto World

Bernstein Sees Prediction-Market M&A Wave as Platforms Integrate

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Bernstein Sees Prediction-Market M&A Wave as Platforms Integrate

Prediction-market operators are bringing trading infrastructure in-house, a rapid shift that could trigger a wave of acquisitions across crypto platforms, sportsbooks, brokerages and standalone exchanges, according to analysts at Bernstein. 

In a research report on Monday, Bernstein said the industry is going through “operational consolidation,” with major platforms moving to control more of the prediction-market stack.

“Every consumer platform that matters has merged the front and back end of the prediction-market stack,” they said. This includes distribution, brokerage, exchange and clearing. That convergence had placed businesses that historically operated in separate industries within a single competitive landscape. 

Bernstein pointed to Robinhood routing major World Cup contracts through Rothera, the exchange it jointly owns with Susquehanna, and DraftKings launching DKeX and moving volume away from CME and Crypto.com infrastructure. The firm also cited Coinbase’s acquisition of The Clearing Company and its launch of event contracts as evidence that consumer platforms are seeking to control more of the prediction-market stack.

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Owning the infrastructure allows platforms to retain fees that previously flowed to outside partners, making acquisitions a faster route to distribution, licenses, or completing missing parts of the stack. However, the same convergence that strengthens the case for consolidation could also heighten state and federal scrutiny by further blurring the regulatory boundary between financial trading and gambling. 

Timeline of acquisitions. Source: Bernstein

Regulatory clash could constrain consolidation

Bernstein said regulatory scrutiny remains one of the main barriers to larger integrations across the prediction-market sector.

While combining crypto platforms with brokerages, sportsbooks and exchanges could improve margins and reduce reliance on outside partners, Bernstein said such deals could attract antitrust scrutiny and deepen disputes over whether sports event contracts should be regulated as financial derivatives or gambling products. 

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Related: About 60% of World Cup bettors on Polymarket are first-time crypto users

That could further stoke the jurisdictional conflict already playing out across several states. Minnesota enacted what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) described as the first outright ban on prediction markets, while Illinois adopted legislation requiring platforms to obtain a state license before offering sports event contracts. 

Valuation of online sports books compared to leading prediction markets.
Source: Bernstein.

Kalshi challenged both states’ restrictions, arguing that federally regulated exchanges fall under the CFTC’s exclusive authority. 

The growing resistance suggests that consolidation may make commercial sense but remain difficult to execute until regulators and courts settle where federal derivatives oversight ends and state gambling authority begins.

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Magazine: Bitcoin slides to $58K, XRP hits $1 but onchain data promising: Market Moves

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Arthur Hayes reveals $2.2M Synapse bet as SYN price jumps

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Arthur Hayes reveals $2.2M Synapse bet as SYN price jumps

Arthur Hayes has revealed a $2.2 million investment in Synapse’s SYN token after backing its Hypercall options DEX, helping drive the token as much as 26% higher on Monday.

Summary

  • Arthur Hayes disclosed a $2.2 million SYN purchase after backing Synapse’s Hypercall options DEX.
  • Hayes said Hypercall could challenge Deribit as he seeks asymmetric exposure to the Hyperliquid ecosystem.
  • SYN surged as much as 26%, while falling futures open interest pointed to profit-taking after the rally.

According to a June 29 post on X by BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, he sees Hypercall, an options decentralized exchange built by the Synapse team and settled on Hyperliquid, as a credible challenger to crypto options exchange Deribit.

Explaining why he backed the project, Hayes wrote that he still wanted exposure to the Hyperliquid ecosystem but was looking for a more asymmetric opportunity.

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“I still want to be long the Hyperliquid ecosystem but I need some asymmetry. It’s time for an options dex to properly take on Deribit. Hypercall, owned by SYN, is that challenger.”

On-chain data from Arkham later showed Hayes purchased 6.16 million SYN tokens worth about $2.2 million from Flowdesk. The purchase came shortly after his public endorsement and coincided with a sharp rally in the token.

Hayes has pointed to tokenomics behind the investment

Alongside his endorsement of Hypercall, Hayes shared a post by crypto investor Duncan, writing, “DYOR – but I found this pretty compelling.”

In the thread Hayes reposted, Duncan argued that SYN offered an attractive risk-reward profile because it had an estimated fully diluted valuation of about $81 million, no venture capital unlock overhang, roughly 88% of its supply already circulating, and listings on major exchanges including Binance and Kraken.

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Duncan also compared SYN with Hyperliquid’s HYPE during its early rally, calling it one of the most asymmetric investment opportunities he has seen in crypto. According to Duncan, Hypercall also expands the utility of the SYN token through revenue mechanisms such as buybacks.

The endorsement comes only days after Hayes reduced exposure to several other digital assets. As previously reported by crypto.news, he exited positions in Worldcoin, Zcash, NEAR and Hyperliquid after arguing that higher energy prices, large artificial intelligence IPOs and political uncertainty could weigh on crypto markets.

More recently, he also sold 6,000 Ethereum at a loss despite having accumulated nearly $10.6 million worth of ETH in the preceding days, even as other large investors continued buying around a key support zone.

Traders lock in profits after the rally

As per data from crypto.news, Synapse (SYN) price initially climbed about 26% following Hayes’ comments before giving back part of those gains as traders took profits. Even after the pullback, the token remained up more than 1,100% over the past month, having outperformed much of the crypto market during a period of heightened volatility.

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Derivatives data suggested the rally was followed by profit-taking. SYN futures open interest fell 13% during the previous four hours to $31.98 million, although it remained about 5% higher over the past 24 hours.

Exchange-level data showed the largest declines in open interest occurred on Binance, where it dropped roughly 15%, followed by more than 14% on Bitget and around 10% on MEXC. The reduction in outstanding positions indicates that some traders used the surge in liquidity after Hayes’ endorsement to close positions rather than open new leveraged bets.

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Viral Altcoin VELVET Explodes 1,700% in a Month: More Gains Ahead or Perfect Short Setup?

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The cryptocurrency sector may be stuck in a prolonged bear market, yet some tokens still manage to outperform with significant upward moves.

Velvet (VELVET) is a standout example, having jumped by quadruple digits in the past month. And while some analysts expect more short-term upside, others warn the altcoin could be a ticking time bomb.

Further Rally?

As of press time, the altcoin trades at around $1.58 (according to CG), representing a 250% increase on a weekly scale and a staggering 1,700% pump over the last 30 days.

VELVET Price
VELVET Price, Source: CoinGecko

Its market capitalization has risen to nearly $700 million, making VELVET the 90th-biggest cryptocurrency. One potential catalyst for the price explosion could be the project’s collaboration with AerodromeeFi.

“With the integration, you now:

– Get tighter pricing
– Pay less slippage
– Tap deeper liquidity on every trade
– Land better fills, automatically,” the announcement reads.

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Later on, the project introduced Velvet-1: an Artificial Intelligence (AI) model for on-chain intelligence, which could also have positively impacted the price.

Several analysts have highlighted the coin’s performance and believe it might have more fuel for additional gains. X user Crypto With Gopal claimed that the price “is tightening inside a Symmetrical Triangle after a sharp bullish impulse.” He argued that sellers continue to lose control, setting a short-term target of $2.1.

The Boss also issued an optimistic prediction, arguing that the latest breakout attempt shows that buyers remain active after consolidation rather than immediately giving back gains. The analyst claimed that the current structure looks “healthier than it did 24 hours ago, with the chart transitioning from recovery mode into expansion mode.”

“If momentum persists and volume follows through, the market could begin testing higher liquidity zones that were previously rejected during the first impulsive move earlier this month,” they concluded.

‘Generational Short Opportunity?’

Many other analysts believe investors should stay away from the altcoin as it may experience a steep decline in the near future. Yesterday (June 28), X user Crypto with Haris ₿ predicted that VELVET could crash to $0.90 in the next six hours (which didn’t happen), calling the setup a “generational short opportunity.”

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For his part, Vuori Trading claimed that the token is another “Binance Alpha aka. CZ scam.” In his view, the token seems to be nearing its top, but if it crosses $2, it might explode to $8.

The coin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) reinforces the bearish outlook. The ratio has risen past 80, meaning VELVET has entered extreme overbought territory and could be on the verge of a collapse. The technical analysis tool ranges from 0 to 100, with anything below 30 considered a buying opportunity.

VELVET RSI
VELVET RSI, Source: TradingView

The post Viral Altcoin VELVET Explodes 1,700% in a Month: More Gains Ahead or Perfect Short Setup? appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Private keys, not smart contracts, caused 40% of crypto’s $16 billion hack losses. Here’s whats being done.

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How North Korea's 6-month long secret espionage program has crypto community rethinking security

“Most blockchain infrastructure was originally built for a single-user, single-key model, one private key controls everything, and if that key is lost or stolen, all the assets are gone instantly. This goes against the basic security principles that traditional finance has relied on for decades: more than one person approving, separation of duties, and several layers of defense,” Wu told CoinDesk.

In a way, the system built to revolutionize global finance has weaker security than a typical email account.

Wu added that the number of routes through which an attack can be launched has increased significantly. “Cloud systems, third-party tools, social media accounts, and the people operating them, all of these can become a way in.”

Both Wu and Fan pointed to the Bybit hack of February 2025 as an example of a widening attack surface. Attackers compromised the software supply chain of a third-party developer tool, allowing them to inject malicious code into the wallet’s web interface and trick executives into unknowingly signing away $1.5 billion in Ethereum.

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The fix

The industry is now moving to address the private key vulnerability issue, though not evenly, according to Wu.

“There’s progress on many fronts: MPC [multi-party computation] wallets, account abstraction with social recovery, passkey-based login, hardware wallet enforcement, and proper key management SOPs,” he said. “The problem is that these are often added as optional extras, instead of being built in from the start at the protocol level. Most chains still treat security as a feature to bolt on, not as a core design principle.”

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Bybit EU Takes Focus as Global Access Narrows for EEA Clients

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR;

  • Bybit EU has become the main regulated route for EEA users as Bybit Global prepares phased service restrictions.
  • EEA users will receive advance notices before restrictions begin, allowing them to manage open positions and balances.
  • Bybit’s move reflects growing MiCA compliance pressure as crypto exchanges adjust services across European markets.
  • Users will retain access to custodied assets while Bybit limits selected global platform services for EEA residents.

Bybit EU moved into sharper focus after Bybit announced phased limits for EEA users on its global platform. The exchange said access to certain global services will be progressively restricted as part of regulatory alignment across Europe. Affected users will receive notices before any changes take effect. 

Bybit also said clients will keep access to assets held in their accounts while they manage positions and balances. The move comes before the MiCA transition window closes on July 1, 2026. It also pushes European clients toward the group’s regulated platform.

Bybit EU Becomes Main Route as Global Access Narrows

Bybit said EEA users will face gradual limits on selected services through Bybit Global. The company did not give a single cut-off date in the notice. Instead, it said users will receive clear instructions before specific measures begin.

The process covers residents across most EEA countries. Austria, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Spain, Sweden, and Norway are included. Malta is excluded from this process because Bybit EU does not actively offer services there.

The exchange framed the move as part of its broader regulatory alignment. MiCA now gives crypto firms one rulebook for serving European clients. That framework raises the pressure on platforms still operating through older national arrangements.

Bybit EU operates through a separate European entity based in Vienna. The platform holds authorization in Austria under MiCAR. Its permitted services include custody, crypto-fiat exchange, crypto-to-crypto exchange, placing crypto assets, and transfer services.

The shift means EEA users may need a separate account on the European platform. Existing Bybit Global accounts are not automatically the same as Bybit EU accounts. Users may also need to complete identity checks again before using local services.

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For traders, the key issue is continuity. Open positions, balances, and service access may be handled under different timelines. Bybit said affected clients will receive direct communication before restrictions are applied.

Bybit EU Incentives Show MiCA Compliance Push

Bybit EU is also using incentives to attract European users before the July deadline. Its “Move Your Funds, Get Rewarded” campaign runs through July 31, 2026. The offer targets new EEA users who have not held a Bybit EU account.

The campaign includes several benefit tracks. Users may receive a welcome package, card bonuses, and subscription cashback. Eligible clients may also get faster VIP status after a qualifying deposit.

Larger deposits may receive USDC cashback under the campaign terms. The offer gives Bybit a commercial bridge while regulatory access changes across Europe. It also helps move activity from the global platform toward the regulated entity.

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The broader backdrop is clear. MiCA has made authorization, supervision, and user protection central to European crypto access. Exchanges without the right license face higher legal risk after the transition period ends.

Bybit EU CEO Mazurka Zeng said users now value clarity and long-term readiness. That message fits the exchange’s new structure in Europe. Bybit Global remains available in other markets, but EEA users now face a different path.

The change may also shape competition among European crypto platforms. Licensed exchanges can market continuity while rivals adjust access. For Bybit, the near-term test is whether users migrate smoothly before service limits tighten.

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Germany Leads MiCA Crypto Licensing Race Across Europe

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Germany Leads MiCA Crypto Licensing Race Across Europe

Update 2:00 pm UTC, June 29: Added comment from Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin).

The European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) framework is producing uneven crypto licensing across member states and European Economic Area (EEA) jurisdictions, with Germany leading approvals under the new regime that takes effect on Wednesday.

Data from the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) interim register, compiled on Friday, shows Germany has 57 MiCA-authorized crypto-asset service providers (CASPs), accounting for about 23% of the 244 total licenses issued.

France follows with 26 companies, or roughly 11% of all approvals, placing it alongside the Netherlands as the bloc’s second-largest hub for MiCA licensing.

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The pattern suggests that although MiCA is designed to create a single European crypto market, implementation remains fragmented across national regulators ahead of the July 1 transitional deadline.

France leads late-June approval wave

While Germany leads overall MiCA licensing, France has recently accelerated approvals, accounting for the largest share of last-minute authorizations.

According to ESMA interim data, France issued five CASP approvals between June 18 and June 22, the most during that window. In total, 11 approvals were issued across EU and EEA jurisdictions during the period, with Malta following France with two authorizations.

MiCA CASP licenses issued during the period from June 18-25, 2026. Source: ESMA

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France’s authorizations include CASPs such as Bpifrance Investissement, RCUBE Asset Management, Paymium, Leonod and Meria.

Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin) told Cointelegraph that the relatively high number of MiCA authorizations is partly driven by the country’s large financial sector, including a high number of credit institutions that can provide crypto asset services under MiCA.

It also pointed to Germany’s pre-existing national licensing regime, which allowed some CASPs to use simplified authorization pathways under MiCA transition rules, potentially accelerating approvals.

Related: Binance faces EU service limits next week as MiCA rules take effect

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A spokesperson at BaFin also said it is difficult to predict whether Germany will maintain its dominant share of CASP authorizations as MiCA implementation progresses, noting that outcomes will depend on market developments, innovation trends and the volume of pending applications across member states. The representative added that approvals in other EU countries are expected to increase over time and broadly align with the size of national financial sectors.

Five EU states have not issued any MiCA licenses

Five EU member states, including Greece, Hungary, Poland, Portugal and Romania, have not issued any MiCA licenses as of June 26, according to ESMA interim register data.

Greece stands out after Binance applied for authorization in the country but later withdrew its application, shifting its eventually licensing plans to another MiCA jurisdiction.

European jurisdictions ranked by the number of approved CASPs under MiCA as of Friday. Source: ESMA

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Poland is also notable, with delays in MiCA implementation legislation followed by three reported presidential vetoes, leaving the country without an active licensing framework by the time of the EU deadline.

In contrast, Italy dominated ESMA’s non-compliant CASP register as of Friday, accounting for an overwhelming majority of entries with 160 out of 162, while the Netherlands and Slovakia recorded one each, linked to MEXC and LWEX, respectively.

Additional reporting by Yohan Yun.

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White House to speak with law enforcement groups to push Crypto’s Clarity Act

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White House favors some stablecoin rewards, tells banks it's time to move

White House officials — especially lead crypto adviser Patrick Witt — have sought to keep the Clarity Act moving forward in the Senate, including holding previous meetings with those who have objected, such as law enforcement groups and Wall Street bankers. Representatives of the White House didn’t immediately respond to requests for comment on the expected Monday meeting, which meant to work through some of the remaining concerns, and few details were available.

Industry groups such as the Blockchain Association have defended the legislation’s crime-fighting tools, arguing that the bill includes a number of new powers for pursuing bad actors, and that the absence of a new law will leave a vacuum.

At an industry-hosted event earlier this month, White House adviser Witt said, “We’re putting real regulatory constraints on businesses and actors that currently live in a state of uncertainty.”

To law enforcement officials, he argued, “You should be the biggest cheerleaders for this bill, because this is really what is missing.”

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Meanwhile, the Clarity Act’s political opponents, such as Senator Elizabeth Warren — the top Democrat on the Banking Committee, have maintained a steady stream of criticism on the legislation’s illicit-finance front. They routinely cite crypto’s use by criminal groups, drug cartels and human traffickers.

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Strategy (MSTR) Stock Drops as Company Prepares $1.25B Bitcoin Sale

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MSTR Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Strategy is preparing to liquidate up to $1.25 billion in Bitcoin holdings to strengthen its cash position, currently sitting at $2.55 billion.
  • Two separate $1 billion buyback initiatives have been authorized — targeting both common and preferred shares.
  • The firm’s mNAV metric fell beneath the critical 1.0 threshold on June 27, eliminating its capital-raising edge.
  • STRC preferred stock dividend increased to 12%, with new policies requiring cash reserves to cover a full year of obligations.
  • Shares of MSTR were trading at $82.31, reflecting a 3.5% decline, as Bitcoin hovered around $60,275.

Strategy (MSTR) is executing a dramatic strategic reversal. The enterprise that staked its reputation on accumulating and never selling Bitcoin is now preparing to offload a significant portion — a development that has captured Wall Street’s full attention.


MSTR Stock Card
Strategy Inc, MSTR

In a June 29 filing, Strategy outlined intentions to divest up to $1.25 billion in Bitcoin assets. The capital raised will strengthen the company’s treasury, finance preferred shareholder dividends, service debt obligations, and support general corporate requirements.

MSTR shares climbed approximately 5% during pre-market hours following the disclosure, though by regular trading the stock had retreated to $82.31, representing a 3.5% decline. Bitcoin was trading near $60,275, posting a modest 0.6% gain over the previous day.

According to the filing, Bitcoin disposals will occur opportunistically based on prevailing market dynamics and capital requirements — not according to any predetermined timeline.

The Economics Have Shifted

For an extended period, Strategy’s approach was remarkably straightforward: raise capital through securities offerings, acquire Bitcoin, then repeat the cycle. This framework delivered exceptional results during Bitcoin’s bull runs, particularly when the company’s mNAV — measuring enterprise valuation against Bitcoin holdings — remained substantially above 1.

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That crucial metric slipped below parity on June 27. This development signals that the valuation premium enabling Strategy to access inexpensive capital for Bitcoin acquisitions has essentially vanished.

Both common and preferred securities have experienced severe declines tracking Bitcoin’s downturn. MSTR has plummeted nearly 80% during the past twelve months. The perpetual preferred instruments Strategy introduced in 2025 — initially conceived as a mechanism to expand Bitcoin holdings without diluting existing shareholders — have tumbled below $75, significantly beneath the $100 par value necessary for economically sensible purchases.

Management also indicated greater restraint regarding future common stock issuances, especially when share prices approach net asset value.

Dual share repurchase authorizations totaling $1 billion each were unveiled — one addressing Class A common stock, the other targeting preferred Digital Credit Securities.

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A newly adopted board mandate now obligates Strategy to maintain treasury reserves sufficient to cover no less than twelve months of anticipated preferred dividends and interest charges. Current reserves total $2.55 billion.

Warning Signs Emerged Weeks Ago

The shift became evident as early as June 1, when Strategy revealed it had liquidated 32 Bitcoin — marking its first sale since 2022. While negligible compared to its approximately $51 billion total position, the symbolic significance was undeniable.

Bitcoin skeptic Peter Schiff quickly seized on the development. In a June 29 commentary, he characterized Strategy as “now a Bitcoin seller,” highlighting the company’s rebranded Bitcoin Monetization Program.

FalconX senior derivatives trader Bohan Jiang provided a more balanced perspective: “While there is more selling pressure on Bitcoin, it is definitely positive for the stock, and both the common and preferred shareholders.”

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The STRC preferred dividend rate was elevated to 12% as part of the restructuring announcement.

Bitcoin has faced headwinds lately, dipping below $59,000 the previous week before staging a partial recovery.

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Can AI drain DeFi? Separating Claude Mythos hype from reality

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Claude Mythos 5 tops major tests
  1. Claude Mythos and DeFi: Real threat or overblown fear?

When Anthropic introduced Claude Mythos-class models as its most advanced AI system for cybersecurity, it drew the usual mix of reactions from crypto communities. The lineup included Claude Fable 5, a Mythos-class model intended for broad use, although access was later suspended after a US government directive.

The concern around decentralized finance (DeFi) was easy to understand. If AI systems can find software flaws faster and with less human input, attackers may also use them to spot weak points in protocols before security teams can fix them. 

Those concerns may seem overstated, but they come from a real shift in technology. AI tools have become better at reviewing code, spotting flaws and supporting security teams. At the same time, DeFi remains a major target for attackers because its code is often public, its protocols hold large amounts of money and many systems are new or not fully battle-tested.

The key question is whether Claude Mythos and similar tools pose a serious threat to DeFi, or whether the industry is overstating what today’s AI can actually do.

The answer sits somewhere between the hype and the alarm.

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  1. What is Claude Mythos?

Claude Mythos is Anthropic’s most advanced AI system for cybersecurity. Unlike general-purpose AI assistants that can write code or explain technical concepts, Mythos is designed to handle complex security tasks.

Anthropic initially limited access to the model instead of releasing it widely. According to the company, Mythos showed clear improvements in vulnerability research, exploit analysis and layered cybersecurity reasoning compared with earlier versions.

That capability drew attention quickly because vulnerability detection is valuable in both cybersecurity and crypto.

A security expert might spend weeks reviewing code for small flaws. If AI can shorten that timeline to hours, or even less, it could change the balance in defensive security.

That possibility explains much of the unease in crypto circles.

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  1. Why Claude Mythos matters to DeFi

DeFi has lost billions of dollars to hacks, exploits and protocol failures in recent years. The concern is not new.

Flash-loan attacks, cross-chain bridge exploits, governance attacks and smart contract bugs have shown that even audited protocols can still have gaps.

Unlike traditional software systems, DeFi protocols often control large amounts of money through smart contracts. A vulnerability may not just expose information. It could allow attackers to move funds quickly and without permission.

That makes DeFi especially attractive to malicious actors.

The open-source nature of many blockchain projects adds another risk. Their code is available for security teams to review, but it is also available to attackers.

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In the past, finding advanced vulnerabilities required deep technical skill. Security researchers needed strong knowledge of coding languages, blockchain architecture, cryptography and attack methods.

AI changes that.

Instead of manually reviewing large codebases, analysts can now use AI assistants to flag suspicious patterns, summarize complex systems and point out possible attack paths.

This is where concerns around Claude Mythos begin.

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Did you know? In some controlled security competitions, AI systems have identified software vulnerabilities in minutes that would normally take human researchers several hours, or even days, to find.

  1. Can AI really find vulnerabilities in DeFi protocols?

The short answer is yes. AI systems have already shown that they can find certain types of software vulnerabilities.

Studies from Anthropic and other research groups show that advanced models can review code repositories, test security assumptions and sometimes find issues that human analysts miss.

Smart contracts are well suited to this kind of analysis because they are often public and written in structured languages such as Solidity.

An AI system can quickly review thousands of contracts, spot repeated patterns and look for known types of vulnerabilities.

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Areas where AI is likely to provide growing support include:

  • Reviewing audit reports
  • Identifying unsafe coding practices
  • Comparing protocol upgrades
  • Detecting permission errors
  • Modeling possible exploit paths
  • Analyzing interactions between smart contracts

AI is becoming a force multiplier for security researchers. A task that once required a full team of experts could increasingly be handled by a smaller group of security professionals using advanced AI tools.

That is a meaningful change, not just marketing hype.

The table below shows how Claude Mythos compares with other models:

Claude Mythos 5 tops major tests
Claude Mythos 5 tops major tests
  1. Why AI threats to DeFi may be exaggerated

Even with these advances, there is a clear difference between finding a vulnerability and stealing funds. Many crypto attacks involve much more than spotting a flaw.

Attackers often need to:

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  • Understand complex protocol mechanics
  • Bring in significant capital
  • Coordinate multiple transactions
  • Exploit market conditions
  • Manipulate liquidity
  • Navigate governance systems
  • Avoid detection

Even when a vulnerability exists, turning it into a successful attack often requires detailed planning and careful execution.

The real-world environment is far more complex than isolated coding tests.

Current AI systems also have limits. They can reach wrong conclusions, miss key details or follow weak lines of analysis. Security experts often find that AI tools produce useful insights alongside many false alarms.

An AI tool might flag 10 possible vulnerabilities, but only one may turn out to be valid. That matters because skilled human oversight is still essential.

Claude Mythos could speed up vulnerability detection, but it does not remove the need for experienced security experts.

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Did you know? Many DeFi protocols publish their code online. This gives both security teams and AI tools more real-world financial software to review than in traditional banking systems.

  1. The defensive side of AI in DeFi

A major flaw in the claim that AI will weaken DeFi is the idea that only attackers will benefit from these tools. Security teams have access to them too.

Security firms are already adding AI to their review processes. Developers are using AI-assisted code checks more often. Bug hunters can also use AI to spot issues before attackers find them.

Over time, AI may become a normal part of protocol security.

That could mean:

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  • Every code update goes through AI-assisted review
  • AI agents continuously monitor deployed contracts
  • Automated systems look for unusual on-chain activity
  • Possible vulnerabilities are flagged before deployment

In that case, AI could strengthen DeFi security instead of weakening it.

The technology is neutral on its own. Its impact depends on how well attackers and defenders use it.

  1. When AI attacks meet AI defenses

A more realistic outlook points to a future where AI systems challenge each other directly. This would make security faster on both sides.

Attackers will use more advanced models to find vulnerabilities and plan attacks. Security teams will use similar tools to monitor threats, improve code quality and respond faster.

This already happens in traditional cybersecurity, where offensive and defensive tools improve side by side.

DeFi could become the next major battleground for this contest. The likely result is not a sudden collapse of the sector. Instead, DeFi may enter a period of faster security upgrades and adaptation.

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Projects that are slow to find vulnerabilities and update their code could face greater risk. Those that adopt AI-supported safeguards may become stronger than before.

Did you know? Several major crypto losses have come from compromised private keys, social engineering attacks or governance manipulation rather than flaws in smart contract code itself.

  1. Assessing protocol vulnerabilities

Risk is not spread evenly across DeFi. Smaller projects with limited security resources often face the highest exposure.

Several categories are especially vulnerable:

  • Fast deployment schedules: Projects that prioritize quick launches over careful testing may leave structural flaws in place.
  • Copied codebases: Many protocols reuse or slightly modify existing code. Advanced AI tools can compare these systems quickly and expose inherited flaws.
  • Weak audit coverage: Projects with little or no third-party review are less prepared for advanced attacks.
  • Legacy smart contracts: Older contract designs may rely on assumptions that no longer hold up against modern exploit methods.

Automated analysis tools could sharply reduce the time needed to find these weaknesses.

  1. What DeFi builders should do now

Claude Mythos offers an important lesson for the industry. DeFi builders should assume that attackers may already be using automated research tools. Security strategies need to improve accordingly.

Core priorities should include:

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  • Expanding automated security testing
  • Running continuous, real-time audits
  • Adding AI-assisted code analysis to development pipelines
  • Increasing bug bounty rewards
  • Using formal verification for critical code
  • Improving threat monitoring and real-time incident response

Engineering teams must reduce the time between finding a vulnerability and deploying a fix. In an AI-accelerated environment, response time becomes just as important as prevention.

  1. A major shift, not DeFi’s breaking point

Claude Mythos has shown that automated systems can handle complex security tasks that once required specialized experts. That marks a major shift for DeFi, where a code flaw can lead to the immediate loss of user funds.

Still, predictions of total systemic failure ignore several practical realities. Finding a vulnerability does not guarantee a successful exploit. Current AI tools still produce uneven results, human oversight remains essential and defensive teams have access to the same technology.

The more likely outcome is a change in security standards, not a collapse of DeFi. Automated tools could reduce the time and cost needed to find vulnerabilities. That will put more pressure on development teams to improve code quality, respond faster and build stronger security systems.

Ultimately, these developments are a warning, not a guaranteed outcome. The future of decentralized infrastructure will not be decided only by what AI can find. It will also depend on whether attackers or defenders use the technology more effectively.

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Chainlink price prediction: record network growth meets bearish technicals

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Can the Chainlink-Mastercard partnership reverse LINK’s bear trend?
  • Chainlink added 6,182 new wallets in two days.
  • LINK’s price must clear $8.31 to strengthen its recovery.
  • Technical indicators lean more bearish than bullish.

Chainlink (LINK) is showing a rare divergence between its on-chain activity and price action.

While the token has struggled to recover from recent losses, network activity has accelerated at its fastest pace this year, raising questions about whether the increase in network activity can eventually translate into a price rebound.

At the time of writing, LINK is trading around $7.30, up just 0.3% over the past 24 hours.

Despite the modest daily gain, the broader trend remains weak.

LINK has declined 8.7% over the past week, 20.3% over the last 30 days, and 45.8% over the past year.

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Chainlink network activity reaches highest level of 2026

Recent on-chain data showed that the Chainlink network added 6,182 new wallet addresses in just two days, marking its strongest two-day growth of 2026.

The increase was spread across two consecutive days, with 3,142 new wallets created on June 25 and another 3,040 on June 26.

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Such growth is often viewed as a sign of rising user participation because it reflects fresh addresses interacting with the network during a period when the token itself has been under selling pressure.

The surge is particularly notable as it came while LINK was trading close to multi-month lows instead of a rally.

In many cases, rapid wallet growth accompanies rising prices as new investors enter the market.

This time, the increase in network activity arrived even as the token remained below several important resistance levels.

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Chainlink continues to maintain a total value locked (TVL) of about $28.841 billion, showing that the protocol remains one of the largest decentralised oracle networks despite recent weakness in its token price.

Some market observers have pointed to the divergence between improving on-chain metrics and weaker prices as evidence that network usage has remained resilient.

However, address growth alone does not guarantee higher prices, particularly when broader market conditions remain under pressure.

Bearish technical indicators continue to dominate

Despite the encouraging on-chain data, technical indicators still favour the sellers.

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From a technical perspective, LINK is trading below its 10-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day EMAs, leaving every major moving average above the current price and acting as resistance.

Remaining below the 200-day EMA also suggests that the longer-term trend has yet to turn positive.

Momentum indicators offer a slightly more balanced view.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 32.21, keeping the token above the traditional oversold threshold of 30 but still close enough that trading volume could play a decisive role in the next move.

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On the weekly timeframe, the RSI is 33.23, indicating that bearish momentum has eased compared to earlier weeks, although the broader trend remains under pressure.

Key Chainlink price levels to watch

The technical structure leaves several important price levels in focus.

Immediate support sits at $7.02. If the token closes below that level, the current support structure would weaken significantly and could expose LINK to additional downside.

Chainlink price chart

On the upside, traders are watching $8.31, which represents the first major resistance level.

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A confirmed close above that price would improve the technical outlook and could allow LINK to challenge the next resistance around $9.19.

Some technical analysts have also highlighted the possibility of a double-bottom formation if support continues to hold.

Under that scenario, a sustained breakout above resistance could eventually open the path toward the $9 region.

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Crypto analytics firm Chainalysis proposes standards for blockchain tracing

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Crypto analytics firm Chainalysis proposes standards for blockchain tracing

The ontology lays out how Chainalysis views the role of attribution to these clusters, presenting a two-tier structure; the first tier “defines the structural graph,” while the second assesses how confident the analysis is in that graph.

“What does it mean that these addresses belong together, right? It’s clearly because somebody believes that they are under the control of the same entity, right?” Illum said. “Maybe it’s an exchange, or maybe it’s a darknet market, or maybe it’s a mixer, or whatever. But what are the grounds to establish that these things actually belong together?”

Investigators likely won’t have private keys, which would be the easiest way to tell if a cluster of addresses is all being controlled by the same entity, so they would then have to look at onchain data.

Illum was also clear about the limitations of this type of analysis: While Chainalysis could conduct research into transactions and clusters, it cannot, on its own, identify the actual end user without additional information.

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Chainalysis could track funds to a crypto exchange, for example, or another entity managing wallets on behalf of customers, but investigators might need to issue a subpoena to identify who the customer is.

In other words, who controls a wallet or what entity is associated with the wallet are separate questions from the actual tracing aspect.

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